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Premier League Predictions > Jan 1st - 3rd

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The first Premier League fixtures of the 2019 calendar are coming up this week. It's been a tough festive schedule but we're treated to a potential title decider when Manchester City welcome Liverpool to the Etihad Stadium on Thursday evening. Check the odds and ratings then let us know your tips for these matches.

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5 hours ago, newjack said:

I think odds on pool are too high. They dropped a bit last few day but game day i'm seeing them closer to 3 or possibly even sub 3. Yes City is a tough opponent but i cant help but feel value on +0,5 pool currently sitting at 1.9

Yeah, especially when you consider that Klopp has had the better of Guardiola over recent encounters. I think it's 3 wins for Liverpool and 1 draw in the last 4 meetings. However, it was only in September, 2017 that City destroyed Liverpool 5-0 at the Etihad Stadium. I think we can all agree that Liverpool are a lot more solid now though.

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Bournemouth - Watford X2

I am again against Bournemouth, I am not so confident they will lose but I am confident they will not win so double chance on X2 with some poor odds with high probability of going through. In the first game Watford lost 0:4 but they got a red card in 1st HT and still the statistics didn't go that much on the Bournemouth side.

Newcastle - Man Utd AWAY WIN

Newcastle is obviously not an easy opponent considering they were 0:2 up in the first game between them where Man Utd grinded out a win in last minutes but situation in Man Utd changed and they play confidently in last rounds. Newcastle lost at home to all top sides and almost all with 1:2...I could imagine it happening again.

Man City - Liverpool BTTS

Two strong opponents so I expect goals from both sides with most probable outcome 1:1. Liverpool with slightly better defense but I believe Man City has slightly better offense so it comes down to before mentioned result. I realized that Man City concedes at least a goal all the way to their CL game against Lyon.

For the rest of the games I would have considered Huddersfield to grab a win against Burnley but one of their best players Mooy is injured so no bet just like West Ham who also has lots of missings.

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Everton FC v Leicester City

Everton FC: Ademola Lookman (11/0 f, doubtful)

Leicester City: Jonny Evans (9/0 d), Wes Morgan (15/0 d)(both doubtful), Matty James (0/0 m), Daniel Amartey (9/0 m)


Arsenal v Fulham FC

Arsenal: Mesut Ozil (13/3 m), Nacho Monreal (10/1 d)(both doubtful), Henrikh Mkhitaryan (14/4 m), Hector Bellerin (17/0 d), Konstantinos Mavropanos (0/0 d), Rob Holding (10/0 d), Emile Smith Rowe (0/0 m), Danny Welbeck (8/1 f)

Fulham FC: Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa (11/0 m, doubtful), Alfie Mawson (13/0 d), Calum Chambers (14/0 d, loan from Arsenal)


Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at:

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@StevieDay1983 as a spurs fan, i'm wary of the Cardiff game given your reasonable home form and good recent results.  That said, spurs have been excellent away from home, and we do tend to pick up a result after a loss.  However, I can't tip spurs on the outrights at the current prices.  Spurs also have a tight turnaround with an FA cup game on Friday, although I can't imagine many first 11 players will play in that one, especially as the league cup semi vs Chelsea follows on the Tuesday.

I haven't found anything I fancy on this game, but i'll be interested in your take on the game and whether you fancy Cardiff to get something out of the game.


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Cardiff vs Tottenham

My first preview of this New Year's Day schedule of games will try to build on what @thfc has said but I think he's got it nailed on. It's Cardiff at home to Tottenham in a 5:30pm kick-off at the Cardiff City Stadium and I'm not as optimistic as other Bluebirds fans are heading into this one.

Cardiff picked up their first away win of the season. Despite what the highlights showed it was a game I felt we deserved to win. We generally dealt with Leicester quite comfortably and only had ourselves to blame for not scoring the decisive goal earlier. It's a win that has solidified our position in 16th place to remain 3 points clear outside the relegation zone.

Tottenham suffered a surprising 3-1 loss at home to Wolves in their last game. It wasn't a result many people saw coming with Spurs leading 1-0 with just 18 minutes left. It's a defeat that now leaves Mauricio Pochettino's side 9 points off the title pace and needing something special to get back into the title race.

This could be a harsh bump back to reality for Cardiff. Our home record is decent but Manchester United exposed us on home territory just as Manchester City did earlier in the season. We simply can't cope when teams pile forward on our back line. We might score on the counter but for every goal or two we'll get we'll concede 3-4 goals when teams do that.

Pochettino will be looking for a reaction from his players. I'm not saying Tottenham will turn us over but I'm not expecting to come away from the Cardiff City Stadium having witnessed us take anything from this game. This is a very good Tottenham side and I can see them grinding out a 1-0 or 2-0 victory.

On a personal note, it's a poignant moment for me. I had a season ticket for Cardiff from the 1999/2000 season when we were in the old Division 4 right up until the season we first got promoted to the Premier League. A combination of the re-brand and having my first child all came together to prevent me from renewing my season ticket for that first Premier League season. For one reason or another, usually family or work related commitments, I've never managed to see Cardiff live in the Premier League. Tomorrow, that changes. Here's hoping we can take all three points! May the best team win, @thfc!

Tottenham to Win to Nil @ 2.53 with MarathonBet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.20 with Betfair

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51 minutes ago, newjack said:

Man oh man, i'm a little discouraged by that last 0:0 result in city/pool game, but i firmly believe we're in for a goal fest. I just can't see under 2,5 in this one. Thoughts?

1.69 for over 2.5 in said game doesn't exactly look like price error of the century to me. You could make a case for the price to be a bit shorter but clearly the markets already favour overs here.

We know City will go for the 3pts, Liverpool's mentality and approach to the game will be the most interesting factor.

City looked very vulnerable to the counter-press against Southampton, Liverpool are likely to be a lot more ruthless with said method.

I still don't like over 2.5 at current prices but I'm sure they'll be some folks arguing it should be 1.49 and that it's time for the biggest bank burner of the season.

I too am concerned by this previous 0-0 you speak of.

@StevieDay1983 Is it time to dust off the punters lounge manuscripts and take heed of the ancient wisdom that is 'two team repel theory' ???



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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

Everton conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 7 matches in Premier League.
26% of Leicester City's conceded goals occurred in the first 15 minutes in Premier League.
Arsenal have scored in each of their last 19 matches in Premier League.
Cardiff City have scored 42% of their goals after the 75th minute in Premier League.
Tottenham have scored in each of their last 10 matches in Premier League.

You can find interesting 53 Football Betting Streaks for 01.01.2019 on this link ...

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10 Selections
Everton - Leicester City
Draw(3.25) 1-1 FT

Arsenal - Fulham
Arsenal(1.35) 2-0 FT

Cardiff City - Tottenham
Tottenham(1.46) 1-2 FT

Bournemouth - Watford
Bournemouth(2.70) 3-0 FT

Chelsea - Southampton
Chelsea(1.28) 3-1 FT

Huddersfield Town - Burnley
Draw(3.15) 0-0 FT

West Ham - Brighton
West Ham(1.97) 1-0 FT

Wolves - Crystal Palace
Draw(3.25) 1-1 FT

Newcastle Utd - Manchester Utd
Draw(4.00) 2-2 FT

Manchester City - Liverpool
Manchester City(2.08) 3-1 FT

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I´m on a Double here today.

I will go with the Fav´s and bet on Wins from Arsenal and Spurs.

Both with MUST WIN´s today, i think both Coaches want the win´s and they have in my opinion perfect Opponents.

Both teams can rotate at Weekend in FA Cup, so i think today Gunners and Spurs will field strong (maybe strongest) possible Starting XI. Spurs will face Cardiff, where i personal think they are to weak in Offensive, to make trouble in Spurs defensive.

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7 hours ago, RICHY1234 said:

Pls am new into this site ..concerning the prediction is straight win or double chance

Sorry, Richy, what predictions are you talking about?

@Mindfulness, it's New Year's Day so a good time to dust off a lot of things! It's never too early to re-introduce the two team repel theory.

I'm about to head off to the Cardiff game and I'm now more nervous than I was last night. Entered the official "fearing the worst" stage of being a football fan.

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Wolverhampton Wanderers V Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace +0.50 AH @ 1.89 Matchbook

Fairly standard value play in my view, I respect the fact that Wolves are in a good moment but Palace could prove to be awkward opposition here.

We know that Palace struggle at home if teams sit back against them but away they are more dangerous. I expect Wolves to be expansive and play an open and attacking game. This will leave space for the likes of Zaha, van Aanholt, Wan-Bissaka and co whilst Hodgson's insistence on playing 4 defensive midfielders can stifle the likes of Neves and Moutinho. We saw Wolves struggle against this dynamic in their home game against Huddersfield and it could be the same here.

Both teams are poor at converting their chances, ELO ratings are almost level whilst key goal metrics are bang on equal. I don't really understand why Palace are such a big price here, in my view the asian line has been set incorrectly for this match. 

Palace to cover 2 of the 3 outcomes at 1.75 or above seems to be a decent value bet.

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

75% of Bournemouth's matches had over 2.5 goals scored in Premier League.
Manchester Utd have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 3 matches in Premier League.
Huddersfield have lost their last 7 matches in Premier League.
West Ham Utd conceded at least 1 goal in 90% of their home matches in Premier League.
70% of Wolverhampton's matches had under 2.5 goals in Premier League.
Crystal Palace have scored 35% of their goals after the 75th minute in Premier League.

You can find interesting 45 Football Betting Streaks for 02.01.2019 on this link ...

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Beyond that, the upscale Solskieer Manchester United counts three consecutive wins and even comfortable against Cardiff, Huddersfield and Bournemouth, with satisfaction at the club's ranks. He is currently being tested at Newcastle headquarters and with the forum he can easily win

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Newcastle vs Manchester United

It's an unpredictable set of fixtures due to the previous congestion of matches so I'm going for the televised game today between Newcastle and Manchester United that is scheduled to kick off at 8pm from St James' Park. Can the home side pick up a much-needed win or will the travelling team extend their winning run to four league games?

Newcastle are experiencing another dour season by their high standards. The fans are still waiting for Mike Ashley to sell the club and with the January transfer window now open it's another stark reminder of the lack of investment the team is receiving. The club are 15th place but precariously just 3 points above the relegation zone. Defeat here could potentially see them only outside the bottom three on goal difference.

Manchester United look freed from the shackles of Jose Mourinho's negative tactics under the stewardship of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. The Red Devils haven't really been challenged yet having notched up solid wins against lower-placed sides in the form of Cardiff, Huddersfield, and Bournemouth but this might be a trickier game than many anticipate.

United didn't have the easier of rides here over the past couple of seasons. It was a 3-3 draw on 12th January, 2016 and then Newcastle won 1-0 on 11th February, 2018 in the past two fixtures between the two clubs at St James' Park. Will a new manager halt this bad run of results for United at this ground?

One interesting fact is that Rafa Benitez has proved to be a thorn in the side of Manchester United over recent times. The Spanish manager has now won his last four home games against United when in charge of English clubs. It's a record that covers his time at Newcastle, Chelsea, and Liverpool.

Generally, the omens favour United, if you're into that superstitious stuff. United have lost just 1 of their last 8 league games against Newcastle. United have only lost 2 of their last 22 first matches of the new calendar year. They also possess the best January record of any club in the Premier League with 67 wins from their 99 games played in this month in the Premier League era. Furthermore, Newcastle have lost 7 of their 10 home league games this season.

There's a chance of history being made in this game as well. If Solskjaer wins then he will become the first United manager since Sir Matt Busby in 1946 to win his first four matches in charge. Looking at the state of the two clubs right now, I can see United doing it. It might not be a rout like their last three games but a 2-0 or 2-1 win should do it.

Manchester United HT/FT @ 2.50 with Ladbrokes

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.72 with Unibet

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I was just writing about, when your reply appeared. Therefore I had to see what you had provided us with! And as always spot on analysis.

My two cents:

I suspect Manchester United have the edge for this match, the team really turn around once Mourinho left the building. Another case of study for the players sacked the coach? 

For this match the away victory odds have fallen to much. On the other side Newcastle is heading towards a tough fixtures and judging from his recent form, it might end up in relegation positions. Still as BH correctly stated the good results of Benitez against Manchester United are something to have into consideration. I will follow BH HT/FT bet with a medium stake.


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8 minutes ago, Xcout said:

I was just writing about, when your reply appeared. Therefore I had to see what you had provided us with! And as always spot on analysis.

My two cents:

I suspect Manchester United have the edge for this match, the team really turn around once Mourinho left the building. Another case of study for the players sacked the coach? 

For this match the away victory odds have fallen to much. On the other side Newcastle is heading towards a tough fixtures and judging from his recent form, it might end up in relegation positions. Still as BH correctly stated the good results of Benitez against Manchester United are something to have into consideration. I will follow BH HT/FT bet with a medium stake.


:lol Sorry! I needed to fit in a preview when my thoughts on the game were fresh. As you say, the odds on a win for the United are too low for me. I think United will still win but at that price it's not tempting enough. If anyone can upset the apple cart, it's Benitez against United.

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Wolves v Crystal Palace

BTTS YES @ 2.10 with Pinnacle

Great value here IHMO.

The home side are in a great moment, with 4 wins in last 6 and a high mood following the 3-1 away win over Tottenham.

They scored 11 goals in 6 of last 7 league games, mising to find the net only against Liverpool.

On the other hand they have conceded in 5 of last 6 home games. Crystal Palace come from 3 consecutive away BTTS, with 6 goals scored in the process (conceding 8).

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • Monaco GP So Hamilton pulls a rabbit out of the hat and grabs pole for yet another Mercedes front row lockout. Lewis is an unbackable 1/3 shot to lead all of the way and this 78 lap traffic jam. I feel for Bottas as he was going quickest for most of the session and now finds himself stuck behind the best driver at Monaco in the race. He's a 4/1 shot to get past Hamilton so basically your betting 4/1 for Hamilton to retire?? Max Verstappen is now a 6/1 shot but is as short as 4/11 to finish on the podium so maybe the value has swung towards Vettel in this market who is a tempting 6/5 shot. H surely cant have another bad day like today, can he?? I'm struggling to see how Pierre Gasly is 4/7 to finish in the top 6 when Riccardo is 11/8, Gasly has a 3 place grid penalty to starts 8th while the Aussie starts 6th?? Leclerc who starts 16th is 13/8, that will be worth seeing if he finishes 6th!!! Lance Stroll struggles here and his car is pretty slow so backing him at 2/1 not to finish is worth a small bet to keep me interested in what could be a dull race. Bets Verstappen 7/2 Under 15.5 5/6 Vettel Top 3 6/5 Ricciardo Top 6 11/8 Stroll DNF 2/1  
    • Well done Steve, your first win in the Cup since May 2017 Unlucky Ken mate.      
    • Albert Ramos to beat Laslo Djere at 2.15 with betsson It's all about probability in this one and I rate the probability of this happening higher than the current odds of 2.15. Albert has been in the quarterfinal of Roland Garros before and knows how to play in grand slam events while Laslo is 1-6 in GS maindraw matches. I expect Laslo to run into some major difficulties against Albert. They met once before and Albert won 2-1 back in 2017 in Marrakech. Peter Gojowczyk to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 4.50 with Unibet Peter has beaten J-W before and most importantly on indoor hard and even in a 5 set Davis cup thriller by 8-6 in the decider. I think Peter could have enough to win this again even though his form isn't the best but neither is J-Ws form and I think clay suits Peter a little bit better and he's got the matchup advantage and knows how to find break opportunities in the J-W serve. Better chances of an upset than the odds suggest at least. Sveta Kuznetsova to beat (-1.5 sets) Kristina Kucova at 2.04 with Unibet Sveta could not have asked for a more favorable first round opponent. Kristina hates clay and she's never won a set in Roland Garros maindraw and her last two visits have been first round straight sets losses to Shuai Zhang 6-0 7-5 and Sam Stosur 7-5 6-0. She's done well to reach the maindraw from qualification but her opponents weren't really hard at all but she still had problems in last match against Katie Swan but won in a decider. Sveta should have many opportunities to break and could win in straight sets. Kateryna Kozlova to beat Bernarda Pera at 2.35 with Unibet Kateryna most famously knocked out reigning champion Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets last season in Roland Garros first round and later lost in second round. Bernarda Pera also won her first round match in Roland Garros last season and she beat Elena Vesnina but I don't rate that performance at all and she later also lost in second round. Anyway I don't see what makes Kateryna the underdog in this one. Kateryna has a higher ranking now (66), close to her career high 62 and I rate beating Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets higher than Bernarda beating a Elena Vesnina with retirement in her sights. Should be more  even odds here I think.  Roger Federer to beat (-6.5) Lorenzo Sonego at 1.97 with betsson I think I have to rate Rogers chances pretty high here. I don't think Lorenzo will get many looks into Rogers serve but Roger should find ways to find breakpoint opportunities on the Lorenzo serve. It might take some time but once Roger gets a break it could be a rout. This could even be covered in 4 sets.
    • I agree about Millman. He must have a chance to at least take a set as Sascha is all over the place right now. He's just won Geneva but it was such a struggle - apart from his first round every match was three sets and he only got the better of Jarry in a final set tie-break which it looked as though he did his best to throw away after building a big lead. It would be so ironic if this is to be the tournament where Sascha makes his grand slam breakthrough when his form is just not there after the last few years where he's been playing well but couldn't translate that into deep runs in the slams. I certainly wont be backing him and it'd be a brave person that did based on his season so far.
    • 2.10 Font - Demon Fou - win at 7/4 bog bet365
    • Few personal opinions apart from the picks above. I agree Millman is capable of an upset of Zverev.I'll be taking a side one on this one. I was looking forward to take on Cameron Norrie before Kyrgios pulled out.No one believes he's really ill n he hates clay season with a passion. Weren't he to take on a serious player in the 2nd round I'd have considered him to go on a bit further. Mikael Ymer will be decent n I expect him to win his first match art RG.I'd stay away from Jarry Vs DelPo.Most unpredicted 1st round match. Kohlschreiber is a formidable opponent especially this year but I think there's value in taking R Haase against him based on motivation.Also Lloyd Harris prefers hard courts to clay I don't see why he's the favourite to beat Rosol who despite being poor in form on a good day is decent on Clay.Thoughts @South_African_Punter
    • 3.15 fontwell risk and roll my win bet @ 1.73                  6.00 curragh hazraw my win bet @ 2.50                  4.25 curragh iridessa @12/1 my e/w bet                   5.00 curragh trading point @12/1 my e/w bet
    • Valentino Dancer 2.00 Kelso 15/8 - William Hill
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