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About Duke_Tm

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  1. S.C. Braga-Spartak Moscow I am really amazed to see a Russian side being so underestimated at this stage of the competition, more so when you look at the force they are showing in their games played so far having won against decent opposition such as Thun (home and away) and with CSKA in the Moscow derby. Spartak Moscow scored in 6 of the 8 official games played from the start of the season, and Braga both scored and conceded in each of their official encounters. BTTS @ 1.8 with Betfair
  2. Celtic v AIK Stockholm Having lost the chance to assure themselves the privilege to play in the UCL group stage, Celtic's only option remaining to save their season is to get pass AIK, having in mind that on the domestic front they are still without a strong challenger to the title. AIK doesn't look to be a team that is very strong at the back, having conceded in most of the games this season, and in each of their European games so far, showing the vulnerability of not having a team that is both attacking and defending at the same time. On the other hand, Celtic won most of their games this season, having scored more the 1.5 goals in 13 of their 18 games so far. Suggestions: 1 & over 1.5 with Betfair @ 1.8 1 @ 1.4 with Betfair Celtic to score over 1.5 @ 1.66 with Betfair
  3. FCSB v Guimaraes FCSB had a difficult start to the season having troubles with the players fitness. With several of their first key players being injured during the start of the season - D. Man, H. Gnohere, M. Pintilii, M. Momcilovic, D. Nedelcu, O. Moruțan, M. Roman or I. Hora - they look very fragile when it comes to outline a strong first eleven. Their domestic results tell the tale of how thin is their squad in this period, having played with young and unexperienced players just to be able to rest the ones that where still fit so they could be ready for the UEL matches. Even with Gnohere and Pintilii looking to return for this game, it is still not enough to get passed Vitoria SC. The Portuguese side look to continue their strong form shown in the last season, with a strong defensive stand at the back, and having most of their players fit to engage in this important game to the start of the season. Even if they played most of their games this season against much lesser sides than FCSB, at this stage and with the internal problems lurking in their club, the Romanian side doesn’t seem to have attacking potential to get pass Vitoria Guimaraes at this moment. For this game I purpose the following with unibet: X2 & over 1.5 @ 1.94 X @ 3.1
  4. Both teams looked great until the semifinals, when after the first leg of the competition both English sides were looking to exit the competition before the final. If you look how constant Liverpool was this season loosing the EPL after having a reassuring advantage at one point in the season, when nothing was looking to stop them this time. I believe that the fact that they stood in the same key players all season against City's strong squad with rotation players that could easily cover the ones that were considered first eleven players made them lose enough pace to lose the crown of English football. Yet, with 97 points at the end of the season, any other team from any other league would have won it. On the other side, Spurs showed their lack of constancy over the season on many occasions and that was due to the fact that they didn't had a strong back line, that did conceded in front of decent attacking opponents. They also had moments in which Spurs's players seem to not be able to keep the ball too much in front of teams that had this style of play, which made them vulnerable at the back where the opponent overcame the defense in many games. The fact that they reached the final stage of the competition, from my point of view, they deserve all the credits for their hard work, but it was a whole lot of luck in the past meeting in this competition, against both Man City and Ajax. With the possible key players missing, as @malabgd pointed out makes it more tempted to look towards Liverpool for this amazing clash. I don't think that after the lack of luck that this squad of Liverpool had in the past couple of season will blow the opportunity of grabbing the last chance of winning a cup. So, after the few details that I've tried to point out, and adding the fact that Alli didn't delivered what everyone expected from the moment Kane looked to be unavailable for the rest of the season, and the lack of reinforcement for Spurs squad, made them look not to bring anything special from the Spurs that we all know in Pochettino's era. So, I'm betting on Liverpool to win @odds 1.90, Liverpool to score over 1.5 @ 1.83, BTS and over 2,5 @ 2.2
  5. Huddersfield v Burnley BTTS @ 2.2 with Unibet Despite the fact that Huddersfield found a bit of form lately, they still not seem be able to maintain too many clean sheets during their encounters. They really know how to create chances and also keep the possession in that time and with their forwards on form, I believe they are able to score in this game. Burnley on the other hand are performing well this season and the good result against Man Utd in the last fixture, they can get more freedom in the way they will connect with this game, not having any real pressure on their hands. I believe this attitude can give you more chances of ending up with some results. Also, Burnley players do not need too many chances to score, having a more direct way to play and having in Arfield and Gudmundsson two good players that can provide great crosses to create the chances that gave Burnley thus most of their chances and goals this season.
  6. Re: UEFA Euro 2016 Qualifiers > Thursday October 9th My banker for today is Austria. Austria did well in the opening game in their group against one of the favourites of that group - Sweden. It's useless to talk about form and other stuff. Austria is at it's peak looking at the past games and they now have the chance to consolidate their position as qualification candidates after quite some years now to a final tournament. To get there they must lose points against the less fortunate which is Moldova in this case. Montenegro did their job against them, and Austria should do the same looking at the quality of their players. Austria to win 1.62 @ bet365 This game combined with Ukraine to score or Switzerland on a double chance would be a decent combination to place a big bet.
  7. Re: 3.Liga > August 26th - 31st Hansa Rostock over 1.5 goals vs Mainz 05 II @ 2.25 with bet365 Neither of these teams can't seem be able to maintain a clean sheet in any of their games yet Hansa looks to me like the better team in this clash being a team that has enough experience to return to winning ways. They've brought some experienced players which they've managed to sign this summer like Ziemer ( a natural goalscorer) Gröger who was a key player in Energie Cottbus' last campaign in 2. Bundesliga or the experienced C. Stuff which constantly played in the 2. Bundesliga for Union Berlin along side some other players that can easily compete at this level it's Hansa that I see to have the upper hand here looking at how easily Mainz to give away a lot of goals each campaign. GL!
  8. Re: Capital One Cup > August 26th & 27th West Ham to win at home vs Sheff Utd I will start by saying that what makes me believe in WHU in this tie is that Sheff Utd have not managed, besides last year to produce results in the Cup competitions lately and also did not eliminate any PL team. Even if it's a Cup competition and we all know the PL teams do tend to make significant changes from their League matches, into the starting XI, WH in this case do encourage me even so to place a bet on them as they do have some quality players that have yet to play for them this season like E. Valencia, Jenkinson, Jarvis or Morrison. If they play they can really make in impact, more so to show that they would deserve a place into the #XI. As for the team news The Blades will be missing Stefan Scougall and long term absentee James Wallace. As for West Ham, according to the latest news, they will be without Kevin Nolan who has a fractured shoulder and it's expected that Sam Allardyce will field a strong side vs Utd. WHU win @ 1.57 with bet365
  9. Re: Weekend > League 2 > 18 Feb Torquay v Bradford Pick: Torquay to win @ 1.66 Bet365 Torquay is on a perfect run for 8 games which is really incredible and are about to meet one of the worst away teams in the league, Bradford City. Such games are always double-edged and at any game, especially in the football league can go both ways. But I'm not afraid for this one. It's hard for a football league to maintain such a momentum knowing that they have 46 games to play in this league, but Torquay players and staff knows it's their moment and they really need to win this cos with every game that'll come it will be harder by the second.
  10. Re: Weekend > League 2 > 18 Feb Southend v Crewe Pick: Southend to win @ 1.66 with bet365 With Crawley involved in the FA Cup it's Southend chance to remain leaders with a win in this game. Southend may not be the best team at home but they look decided to get promotion this year. Also they got back to winning ways after getting 3 precious points away at Gills, after a prolonged period (4 games) without a win. Crewe's form away from home looks threatening with 7-1-7 but I still don't believe that even if they are on form, Southend knows very well that they will need to get in all for this game and organize as best as possible in order for them to get the win they need.
  11. Re: Midweek > Irn-Bru Division 1-3 > 14th Feb Elgin City v Peterhead This game caught my eye mostly because of how drastically Peterhead's odd abruptly fell down from 3.75 to 2.4 which is just too obvious that something is going on ahead of that game. I still haven't find our for the moment on why had this happen but Elgin played very well at the weekend keeping promotion contenders Annan Athletic at a standstill which in my opinion was quite a performance even if Annan is way out of form for the moment. Peterhead on the other side is on a decent run picking up a several wins lately but has just one away win in their last 8 outings which is not something to guarantee them anything. A promising thing is that they practically scored in most of their games which gives me the impression that they'll manage it once more tonight. Looking over the official website of the Scottish Football League I learnt that Elgin's manager will make several changes to his side from their draw against Annan one being St. Johnstone defender Mark Durnan which was dismissed at the weekend and will look to freshen his squad with Paul Kaczan, Mark Nicolson and Paul Millar most probably missing tonights game. As for Peterhead they will be without goalkeeper Paul Jarvie (9 games) which is not likely from an elbow injury and will be replaced by Raymond Jellema (13 games) but aside of that, manager Jim McInally will have the rest of the squad available for this trip. After looking over the statistics and seeing that that Elgin in spite of standing quite comfortable at the middle of the table they still like to concede goals and to score with a like of 33 scored and 33 conceded. As I've mentioned above Peterhead also score goals away from home almost every time, my pick for this game will be both to score 1.61 @ WilliamHill
  12. Re: England > Barclays Premier League > 2-4 January Blackburn v Stoke Pick Stoke to win @ 2.8 with Bwin Stoke City is a robust team that can give headaches to any team in the EPL. Blackburn on the other side comes after two great results against teams from the top of the league taking a tally of 4 points from Liverpool & Man Utd. Even if Blackburn seems to be in a great form, after this crazy last couple of fixtures I don't see any constance in most of the teams playing at this time of the year. Stoke proved many times that they can get results but are a team that doesn't score too much having scored just 20 times in 19 fixtures. At the other half Blackburn seem to concede too easy and way to many in order to get some results. Looking at the team news on Stoke City's Official website Tony Pulis will most probably be without winger Etherington and their main striker Walters after going out with injuries in their last game against Wigan, but will have other two players available again in Woodgate and Fuller. Steve Kean will also have a late check on the fitness of 4 of it's players Hoilett, Olsson and Dunn which could all be out with hamstrings and Gael Givet who is recovering after a heart surgery according to Blackburn's official website. One other of the reason that I'm counting Stoke here to get me some profit is the belief that Blackburn won't keep momentum going after two terribly hard and exhausting games against The Reds and Utd.
  13. Re: Welsh Leagues & Cups - 2011 Great stats there guys. I am looking to back the home sides today looking at the stakes that both Llanelli and Bangor are playing for. It's a tight battle in front of the Welsh Premier and I don't think any of the teams engaged in this fight afford to lose any more points, especially at home. Llanelli and Bangor alongside The Saints also detached themselves from the rest of the followers which makes me believe that they are up there for a reason - their strength. Looking at the stats both teams have a great home record with 8 wins - 1 draw - 1 defeat but as Aliando mentioned above it's a special game for Bangor which makes me more determined to go with them today. Looking at Llanelli's game, the previous two meetings ended in a bloodbath for Neath, Llanelli beating them both home and away 4-0 last season, after the first two didn't go so well for Llanelli, the cause being the injury problems that the Reds had in the first part of last season. Even if Neath has the best defense in the league I still can't see them resist The Reds' firepower in Griffiths. Selections: Llanelli to win @ 1.44 with Bet365 Bangor to win @ 1.44 with Bet365
  14. Re: England > Boxing Day > Npower Football League Championship > 26 Dec Birmingham v West Ham WHU DNB @ 1.9 with bet365 WHU double chance @ 1.5 with Bet365 Birmingham City, one of the only two teams yet to lose a game at home - the other one being the league leaders, Southampton. Surely West Ham has the power to get all three points from this trip being the best team on away records in the league with 7 wins, 2 draw, and 2 defeats until now. One interesting fact is that the Blues has not lost on Boxing Day in the last four seasons. Also, the Hammers did not lost on Boxing day since 2006 a 4-1 defeat to Pompey in the EPL. Both teams will miss a few of their first team pieces with Matt Taylor (calf), Winston Reid (shoulder) and Sam Baldock (hamstring), for the Hammers, and are not expected to return for this encounter as for the Blues Jean Beausejour (calf), Liam Ridgewell (thigh). There are also some doubts on Carew, Faubert and Faye. Important players, that can help West Ham get the result here. One thing that also makes me not look at Birmingham is the fact that they will most probably get rid of some of their best paid players in the squad and hearing this news a several days ago gives me more trust in the Hammers which are looking to return to back to back wins after they've lost two consecutive games recently and need to stay in the neck of Southampton so they can remain on the automatic promotion spots.
  15. Re: England > Boxing Day > Npower Football League Championship > 26 Dec Reading v Brighton Reading to win @ 1.72 with Bet365 Reading looks to be in a great shape at the moment and are pushing really hard for the play-off spots which makes me choose this side for this encounter. Brighton on the other hand is not a team to omit, and not the fact that they'll have just 16 players to choose from - those being the ones mostly used this season - for this game makes me not wanna bet on them but the fact that Reading's home form and results says much about how they've recovered after not a very good start of the season. In the last 8 games, Reading lost just once at home, that being to Cardiff, which is one of the strongest sides in the league, doesn't daunt me at all. So 4 wins - 3 draws - 1 defeat in the last 8, with a victory against WHU, and draws against the Saints and Boro make me believe Reading is capable of making another great game which will keep them in the battle for the play off spots.