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StevieDay1983 last won the day on January 12

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  1. Famalicao vs Maritimo The Portuguese Primeira Liga throws up an interesting weekend of fixtures this round. @buga00 has covered the two big games this weekend so I'll take a look at the next one down the pecking order. It's former pace setters and top flight new boys Famalicao hosting Maritimo in a 5:30pm GMT kick-off this Sunday evening at the Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho Vila Nova de Famalicao. Famalicao have won over a lot of admirers this season with the way they have approached their first season back in the top flight of Portuguese football. Manager Joao Pedro Sousa has his team currently in 3rd place and it appears they have navigated their way through a dodgy spell of results. A 5-game spell without a win was ended thanks to a 3-0 win at home against Vitoria de Setubal. It's now three games unbeaten and the form looks back on track. The team comes into this game having only lost 1 of their 7 league games at home this season. Maritimo fans will want to see their side start moving on up the table. Manager Jose Gomes has guided his team to 11th in the table so far but they're a distant 9 points adrift of the automatic European qualification spots and only 5 points ahead of the relegation quagmire. Recent form has improved with the defensive side of their game tightening right up. It's 4 matches across all competitions without conceding a goal now. Away form remains a concern given that they've only won 2 of their 7 away league matches but they'll feel they can take something from this game. I'm going to take a punt here. Even though I think a 1-0 win seems like the most likely outcome for this game I just feel the value on Maritimo getting something from this game is too tempting to turn down. I'm sure our boy Buga00 will curse me for doing this but I'm going to defy the odds and ELO ratings to back this Maritimo defence to grind out a result in this game. Draw @ 4.10 with Unibet Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.05 with Marathonbet @betcatalog, @allthethings, @AHbettingPT, @Magic0024, @Odyssey, @Xcout, @GreatCaco, @btugero, @FAETTTON, @Sterphyle, @Apeyours. @ivanhoe. @InsyEnergy, and @VYA.
  2. Olympiakos vs Aris The Greek Super League throws up some tricky fixtures this weekend which don't really offer a lot in terms of value. I'm going to play it relatively safe and back a favourite to do a demolition job. It's league leaders Olympiakos taking on European qualification contenders Aris in a 5:30pm GMT kick-off on Sunday evening from the Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. Olympiakos are looking good to regain their Super League title as the club sits proudly at the summit of the table with a 1 point lead over reigning champions and closest rivals PAOK. Pedro Martins' side remain undefeated in the league with a focus on defence with 12 clean sheets in the league playing a key role. The clinical finishing of Youssef El-Arabi has also been vital to their efforts. It's 8 wins and 1 draw from their 9 league games at home so you have to back them here. Aris will be satisfied with their campaign so far with the team sat in 4th place but they're only 1 point inside the Championship round qualification spots. Michael Oenning will want his team to put a strong run together to shore up their position in the league table. Getting wins on the road in the league has been a big problem. They've drawn 66% of their away matches but only picked up 1 win in the league away from home. However, they are six games unbeaten in all competitions so can they end that drought in this game? I have to say that there aren't many more confident bets across European football than backing Olympiakos to win at home. I'm not sure they'll destroy Aris as they have done to other teams but I think backing a clean sheet win with a late lead established could be worth some value. Aris will be tough to grind down and Olympiakos have been known to be patient at home against teams that come with no other intention but to hold out for a draw. Olympiakos to Win to Nil @ 1.55 with Sportingbet Draw HT/ Olympiakos FT @ 3.85 with Unibet @betcatalog, @THEODORE-007, @Magic0024, @Rey86, and @Icongene.
  3. Oostende vs Waasland-Beveren One of the things I love most about covering the European leagues each week is looking into the form of teams that I wouldn't ordinarily keep tabs on. This week is an example of that as I preview the match-up between the two lowly placed sides in the Belgian First Division A of Oostende and Waasland-Beveren in a 7pm GMT kick-off on Saturday evening at the Versluys Arena in Ostend. Oostende are in 14th place but still a clear 7 points ahead of bottom-placed Cercle Brugge. The prospect of relegation hasn't completely vanished yet but it won't take many more wins to pull themselves away from the danger. Fortunately, Dennis van Wijk's side come into this game knowing their home form is actually not too bad. It's their away form of 9 losses from 11 away league games that is the main reason they're floundering in the league. Recent form isn't great though with three defeats in a row but those games were all away. At home, it's three league games undefeated including back-to-back wins against Gent and Anderlecht. Waasland-Beveren find themselves in a slightly worse predicament than their opponents for this game. Arnauld Mercier has seen his team struggle in the league with the club in 15th place and just 6 points ahead of Cercle Brugge. Last season was a close call for the team so they'll want to avoid being sucked into a nerve-wracking relegation battle as the season goes on. Sadly, just 1 win from 10 away league games suggests this might not be the game where points will come in. Their recent form has picked up with three games without loss but their points tally on their travels remains unconvincing with 4 defeats in their last 5 away games. This is your classic relegation six pointer. Whoever wins this game will strike a points and psychological blow to their opponents. Sometimes it can be easier as the away team in a game like this because the pressure and nerves from the crowd doesn't affect you. However, I think this is one game where Oostende will have enough to pick up the win and move clear of the relegation spot. Oostende to Win @ 2.04 with Coral Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.73 with William Hill @laprikon, @VYA, @Magic0024, @the bastardian, @ElPrincipito007, @Chaserapp, and @Marc Kearney.
  4. FC Twente vs Groningen It's a challenging weekend in the Dutch Eredivisie this week with a number of matches that are either close calls or have poor odds attached to them. I'm willing to take a bit of a risk this round by covering FC Twente versus Groningen in a 6:45pm GMT kick-off this Saturday evening at De Grolsch Veste. Only two places separate these teams in the table so who will prevail victorious? FC Twente are struggling get points on the board right now. The club is in 12th place but now only 4 points above the relegation play-off spot. Gonzalo Garcia had seen his team start the season well with an unbeaten run of 6 league games. However, form has tailed off since then and it's now just 2 wins in 11 league matches. Home form has been a particular issue with just a 33% win ratio at home in the league. Conceding goals appears to be the big problem with FC Twente letting in 19 goals at home already this season. Groningen head into this game full of confidence on the road. Danny Buijs has led the team to 10th in the table and just 4 points off the European play-off positions. It's only 1 loss in their last 4 away league games. Granted, they've only won 2 of their 9 matches in the league on the road but they've become a team hard to break down away from home. It's a huge temptation to back them against an FC Twente side that are really toiling at the moment. I'm still unsure which bet is the best option but with the ELO ratings showing a fair bit of favour towards Groningen in the performances then it demands some consideration. I think given the fact that I'm torn on the draw and the away win I have to back the draw simply because it offers better value. If Groningen were slightly more capable away from home then I'd be willing to take a risk but the fact they seem to be able to grind out draws on the road but rarely pick up all 3 points then it has to be the draw. Draw @ 3.45 with Unibet Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.96 with Marathonbet @laprikon, @TOTTI3, @Rimmed, @Magic0024, @Xcout, @FAETTTON, @malabgd, @Niceguy, @craigh, and @Charon84.
  5. Watford vs Tottenham The Premier League action begins this weekend with a 12:30pm GMT kick-off between Watford and Tottenham at Vicarage Road on Saturday lunchtime. The host team are discovering a decent run of form right now under new manager Nigel Pearson and they face a travelling side that is suffering from a bit of an injury crisis. Who will prevail as the winners? Watford come into this game in 17th place and 1 point above the relegation zone. It's a huge turnaround for a side that looked lost at the bottom of the table just a month or so ago. Pearson has come in and lost just 1 of his 7 league games in charge. That defeat was away to Liverpool so can kind of be excused as well given their form this season. The Hornets remain undefeated at home under Pearson and that includes winning their last three home league games and conceding just 1 goal in those matches. Tottenham had started life under Jose Mourinho reasonably positively but a range of injuries including to star striker Harry Kane has hit the team hard. Spurs are now in 8th place but still 9 points off the Champions League qualification spots. The club are now winless in three league games and their 2-1 win against Middlesbrough in the FA Cup 3rd Round replay during midweek was hardly convincing. Until new signings are brought in it looks like Tottenham could be a team struggling to pick up points. Particularly on the road. I'm not sure whether to back the home win or a draw. I don't have a lot of confidence in Tottenham at the moment but Mourinho does have a habit of grinding out the results when his sides are up against it. The ELO ratings still favour Tottenham but it's very tight. On that basis, I'm going to have to back the draw. If I was being bold and backing a correct score I'd say 1-1. It'll be close however this ends up. Draw @ 3.60 with Marathonbet BTTS @ 1.70 with Sportingbet @Mindfulness, @Pep004, @MaliMisko12, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @godofhorses, @Tiffy, @waynecoyne, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @Duke_Tm, @dogmeister, @Arkadi Manucharov, @derbent, @fat, @allyhibs, @6avin24, @discipline, @the bastardian, @Bronxie, @Bett, @KikoCy, @teddybear3011, @markus808, @allthethings, @Kenton Schweppes, @vasilli07, @Dylan Lynch, @neilovan, @JKos, @zemo91, @kulikTS, @mrclubbie, @Judeksi, @Henind666, @Teodore, @kilkenny1, @newjack, @PokerWolf1, @Dave1X2, @real55555, @jazzman02, @Ameer13, @Gedkip, @mcsilks, @MangoTheThird, @Roy The Boy, @DonPaulo, @Duckets, @yossa6133, @sjuesju, @dylanphan, @thfc, @Dboston, @Dr. Florida192, @money44, @1moregoal, @ggm31v, @EuroDream, @ndanmak, @cummins91, @vicsuna, @abigail, @Carovie, @thfc, @Hitch, @Ameer, @LimMouse, @freddie01, @Ulrik, @i1_principe, @BobEire, @doverwhite, @jimbo584, @Kingdom for, @AussieDex, @shrewd., @SgtTr, @michalciesla, @Duckets, @Apeyours, @Tyson Reyes, @NoFear, @Rey86, @delfino, @craigh, @BHAadam, @bettingfellow, @ivanhoe, @Charon84, @Costanzi84, and @AndreBR.
  6. Guingamp vs Lens This week, I'm using the lack of Ligue 1 games on the weekend to take the opportunity to cover the action in Ligue 2. My focus for the preview this weekend is the match between Guingamp and Lens in a 5:30pm GMT kick-off at the Stade de Roudourou on Saturday evening. The home side will be looking to win to get back in contention for the play-offs as the away team aim to consolidate their spot in the promotion berths. Guingamp are looking to bounce straight back to Ligue 1 after relegation last season but things aren't quite going as well as their fans had hoped. Head coach Sylvain Didot has guided his team to 10th place and 6 points off the play-off pace with a game in hand. Inconsistent home form has been a stumbling block with the club winning just 3 of their 10 home league games. It's impossible to expect a promotion push when you're failing to win most of your matches on home turf. This has included failing to win any of their last 4 games at home. The 5-1 win away to Chateauroux will have done their confidence the world of good but can they transfer that performance to their home ground? It's hard to believe that Lens won the Ligue 1 title as recently as 1997/98 and finished as runners-up in 2001/02. Not to mention UEFA Cup semi-finalists in 1999/2000. The club narrowly missed out on a return to Ligue 1 last season but things are going well so far in this campaign. Head coach Philippe Montanier has led his team to 2nd in the table and they're just 2 points off top placed Lorient with a game in hand. Impressive home form with 7 wins from their 9 league games has been key but just 2 losses on the road in the league this season has also helped. I think the away side have to be backed here. If they want to earn automatic promotion this season then this is the sort of game they need to be winning. Lens haven't had the best away form lately but I think the 2-1 win away to Ajaccio in their last venture on the road will restore confidence that has been knocked recently. Guingamp look to be faltering and I'd be surprised if they build up a run of form to make a play-off push. Lens to sneak a narrow win in this one for me. Lens to Win @ 2.91 with Marathonbet BTTS @ 1.95 with Coral
  7. Schalke vs Borussia Monchengladbach The German Bundesliga action kicks off on Friday night at 7:30pm GMT when title contenders Schalke and Borussia Monchengladbach go head-to-head at the Veltins-Arena. Both of these teams will have lofty ambitions of trying to take Bayern Munich's title crown. They're falling just short at the moment but there's still time to regain the lost ground and a win here would set them on their way. Schalke come into this game in 5th place but they're only 7 points behind the league leaders RB Leipzig. Manager David Wagner is fast building a very positive managerial CV having experienced success at Huddersfield. Only 1 win in their last 4 league games has stunted their title aspirations but 8 league games at home without defeat shows they've turned the Veltins-Arena into a bit of a fortress. Now that they've done that they can really progress if the away form stays solid. Just 1 clean sheet in their last 8 league games is a concern and it'll be a test of their fire power here. Borussia Monchengladbach were the early season pace setters in the Bundesliga sitting at the summit for a number of months. Marco Rose has seen his team falter as of late with the club now in 2nd place behind RB Leipzig. They remain only 2 points behind the leaders but rivals Bayern Munich are now just 2 points behind them. A distinctly average set of results away hasn't helped. This is a team that boasts the joint best defensive record in the division conceding just 18 goals in 17 league games including 5 clean sheets. Just 1 win in their last 3 league games and failing to win any of their last 3 away league games is a concern. I'm torn between backing a draw and going for a home win in this one. I do feel that Borussia Monchengladbach could begin to tail off now and I'm liking the look of this Wagner side at Schalke. I have doubts about Schalke's ability to keep a clean sheet because they'll certainly have a hard time scoring against this Borussia side. The ELO ratings just favour the home win so I'll put my faith in them. That being said, I won't blame you if you back the draw because the bookies can't separate them. Schalke to Win @ 2.65 with Marathonbet Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.18 with Marathonbet Magic0024, @malabgd, @sajtion, @betcatalog, @DrO, @Neubs, @Xcout, @Banter1, @Bayern, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @Franger83, @Uriel18, @VYA, @EuroDream, @JPee, @i1_principe, @euphoria. @Sterphyle, @MisterInstinct, @dylanphan, @Chaserapp, @craigh, @AussieDex. @Zizou419, and @JKos.
  8. Levante vs Alaves A few matches stood out in terms of their value this weekend in La Liga but I'm going for the clash between mid-table sides Levante and Alaves in a 12pm GMT kick-off this Saturday afternoon from the Estadi Ciutat de Valencia. Both of these teams could do with the points to ensure they don't get sucked into a potential relegation battle with the aim to move on up the table. Levante are in 11th place in the table right now and just 5 points away from the automatic qualification spots for the Europa League. Head coach Paco Lopez has bemoaned a lack of consistency this season that is preventing them from taking that step up and competing with the teams further up the table. Their home form is solid enough with just 2 losses in the league at home this campaign but losing 7 out of their 10 away league games has become a real issue. Alaves sit precariously above the relegation zone in 15th place just 5 points above the bottom three. Head coach Asier Garitano is witnessing his side endure a run of 5 league games without a win. It's a disconcerting time for the club. Just 4 points earned from a potential 27 points up for grabs on their away trips in the league this season is also a worrying statistic. This includes losing 7 of their last 8 away league games. The combination of Levante having the potential to take points off most teams at home with Alaves being so awful on the road means that the ELO ratings have to be backed for this one. I am concerned for Alaves unless things change drastically. The club is on a bad run at an inconvenient time. There's still time to turn things around but time will run out for Garitano quickly if he doesn't get a positive result soon. Levante is unlikely to be the place that he'll do it. Levante to Win @ 2.07 with VBet BTTS @ 1.80 with William Hill @Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jazzman02, @Mr.Paul, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @laprikon, @Gabosbet, @Dr. Florida192, @thinkpink63, @MarioDunav, @EuroDream, @vicsuna, @i1_principe, @dinero, @Sterphyle, @SPACEGHOST87, @Odyssey, @i1_principe, @Rey86, @Sterphyle. @Isalem, @craigh, @AussieDex, @ivanhoe, and @derbent.
  9. The Northern Irish and Welsh odds are now available. All the action is happening on Saturday so take a look and tell us your predictions!
  10. Fulham vs Middlesbrough The Championship action starts on Friday night this weekend when Fulham play Middlesbrough in a 7:45pm GMT kick-off at Craven Cottage. Both sides are in decent form at the moment so this will be a good test of their confidence. Can the home side push on and apply pressure to the automatic promotion chasers or will the away team extend their unbeaten run to climb up the table? Fulham currently sit in 4th place but the club are some way off the pace of the automatic promotion spots they were expected to contest this season. The Cottagers are now 7 points behind 2nd placed Leeds. Scott Parker will be pleased that his side have picked up some vital wins lately having lost just 1 of their last 4 league games. They boast the third best home record in the division only behind Preston and Brentford so they'll be confident coming into this one. However, we should be wary because they did lose their last home game 2-1 against Reading. Middlesbrough started the season very poorly and it looked like they would either need to part ways with inexperienced manager Jonathan Woodgate or face relegation. The club's fortunes have turned around drastically lately with a run of 5 league games undefeated including 4 wins. Just 1 loss in their last 4 away league games is further proof of a Boro side that is looking rejuvenated. The last two away trips for Boro have seen them go to two of the toughest grounds in the league belonging to West Brom and Preston and win both matches 2-0. Recent form has thrown a spanner in the works of this game. Middlesbrough are really coming strong. I do wonder what impact the FA Cup 3rd Round replay trip to Tottenham in midweek will have on them and I think that will be the defining factor here. Fulham are also doing well at the moment but have looked a bit shaky at home. I think ordinarily I would back the ELO ratings to say Middlesbrough will get something but I think playing in midweek whilst Fulham will be fresh will be a detriment. Fulham to Win @ 1.92 with BetVictor BTTS @ 1.72 with Sportingbet @waynecoyne, @sajtion, @arvee, @canaries91, @Mindfulness, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @CloughandTaylor, @Tiffy, @Gidds, @chris50, @PokerWolf1, @teddybear3011, @skyblues88, @allyhibs, @Icongene, @KikoCy, @willie82, @Neubs, @Papa Lazarou, @kulikTS, @Valkovets, @Pipoca, @padman, @Marek76, @silver fox, @neilovan, @HastGill1, @jazzman02, @andypaps28, @Kenton Schweppes, @rangers234, @newjack, @Kane91, @yossa6133, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Xcout, @branskie, @Wanderer89, @Hitch, @four-leaf, @trevor8, @OppoArchitizerLady, @Power90, @THEODORE-007, @KeyserSoze1, @Ulrik, @Rey86, @freddie01, @gruja, @craigh, @BHAadam, @mrclubbie, @MrJol, and @the bastardian.
  11. Here are the odds and ratings for the next batch of Greek Super League matches coming up this weekend. Give us your predictions right here!
  12. Check out the odds and ratings for the next round of Portuguese Primeira Liga matches coming up this weekend. Tell us your predictions down below!
  13. Carlisle vs Cardiff The FA Cup 3rd Round replay action continues tonight and, unfortunately yet predictably, my Cardiff side are faced with a horrific trip to Cumbria for this 7:45pm GMT kick-off tonight against a Carlisle side that are struggling for form in League Two. It's arguably one of the least attractive midweek trips but let's see if the lads can get the win that the bookies are expecting them to get. Carlisle continue to toil in the league. A 3-0 loss at home to Plymouth on the weekend shows their minds are clearly pre-occupied by the prospect of facing the illustrious Bluebirds in cup action. OK, I tried very hard not to laugh when typing that but failed miserably. I still have no idea how Carlisle threw away a 2-0 lead against us when we were so poor in the first tie. This is a big chance for the Cumbrians to earn their first win over Cardiff since 30th March, 1991. Cardiff put in one of their better performances of recent months in the 0-0 draw with Swansea at the weekend. It was a game we were dreading but thankfully I predicted the outcome spot on. Neil Harris is managing with one hand tied behind his back but he's not helping himself. Dropping the likes of Aden Flint and Neil Etheridge was a big statement and one that was needed. Both have been awful but they were changes well overdue. I'm hoping Harris takes this game seriously because we need a win. I wouldn't mind seeing a couple of fringe players like Danny Ward, Cameron Coxe, and Sol Bamba given starts but we must win this game. I'm usually reluctant to back Cardiff to win at the moment but I'd be shocked if we didn't take the victory in this one. Even if we rest a few first team players we have a lot more in the artillery than Carlisle and there's no excuses. In terms of value on offer, I'd still back us to make a meal of it. Either going for a narrow Carlisle handicap or Carlisle to score first. I can promise you, it'll be a rare event if Cardiff stroll to a win in this one but we should just about sneak through. Draw (Carlisle +1) @ 3.75 with Bet365 Anytime Scorer: Danny Ward @ 2.50 with Bet365