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StevieDay1983 last won the day on February 21

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About StevieDay1983

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    The Welsh Moderator
  • Birthday 09/26/1983

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    Ystrad Mynach, Wales

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  1. We have some midweek matches in the Championship to check out this week. Here are the odds and ratings. Take a look and give us your predictions! @waynecoyne, @sajtion, @arvee, @canaries91, @Mindfulness, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @CloughandTaylor, @Tiffy, @Gidds, @chris50, @PokerWolf1, @teddybear3011, @skyblues88, @allyhibs, @Icongene, @KikoCy, @willie82, @Neubs, @Papa Lazarou, @kulikTS, @Valkovets, @Pipoca, @padman, @Marek76, @silver fox, @neilovan, @HastGill1, @jazzman02, @andypaps28, @Kenton Schweppes, @rangers234, @newjack, @Kane91, @yossa6133, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Xcout, @branskie, @Wanderer89, @Hitch, @four-leaf, @trevor8, @OppoArchitizerLady, @Power90, @THEODORE-007, @KeyserSoze1, @Ulrik, @Rey86, @freddie01, @gruja, @craigh, @BHAadam, @mrclubbie, @MrJol, and @the bastardian.
  2. Gil Vicente vs Benfica The Portuguese action extends into the Monday for this weekend's round of games. I'm focusing on Gil Vicente versus Benfica in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. The home side are simply looking to consolidate their place in the middle of the table after earning promotion last season and the away side are locked firmly in a two horse race for the title with rivals Porto. Gil Vicente fans will be happy if their team can just stay up this season. As it stands, Vitor Oliveira's men are doing just that in 11th place and 11 points clear of the relegation zone. Relegation does seem a very unlikely outcome but they'll relish the big games like this because that's what plying Primeira Liga football is all about. Just 1 defeat from their 10 league games at home is a decent return for a newly promoted side. Inconsistent form recently has stunted their progress but they'll just be keen to be competitive here and hold out for as long as possible. Benfica know a win will take them back to the top of the table. Manager Bruno Lage's side are 2 points behind current league leaders Porto but possess a game in hand. Benfica have won 9 of their 10 away league games this season so they'll feel they can and should take all 3 points from this game. The only issue being is that they've suffered back-to-back defeats. Granted, those losses came away to Porto and at home to Braga but how much will it have affected them mentally? Is the pressure getting to the players? I think this game is done and dusted. Lage will be demanding a return to form after the two losses in the league to get their title aspirations back on track. I can see a more assured defensive display after a jittery pair of performances. Will we see goals galore? I don't think so. Gil Vicente have shown they are tough to break down at home so they'll make it difficult but the away side will just have too much quality and will be keen to make a point. Benfica to Win to Nil @ 2.63 with Unibet Benfica HT/FT @ 2.38 with Boylesports @betcatalog, @allthethings, @AHbettingPT, @Magic0024, @Odyssey, @Xcout, @GreatCaco, @btugero, @FAETTTON, @Sterphyle, @Apeyours. @ivanhoe. @InsyEnergy, @buga00, and @VYA.
  3. Kasimpasa vs Denizlispor The Turkish Super Lig offers up the treat of two Monday afternoon games this week. The one I want to focus on is the 5pm GMT kick-off between Kasimpasa and Denizlispor that is set to be played at the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. The home side are in a real relegation battle coming into this game but they'll be hoping to drag their opponents into the quagmire by inflicting a defeat upon them. Kasimpasa are fighting the battle of their lives at the wrong end of the table. Manager Fuat Capa has seen his team toil for a while now with the club currently down in 17th place and 4 points adrift of safety. It's a dire situation and the fact it's now 7 league games without a win only adds to their woes. They're not even in a position where they can rely on their home form having only tasted victory once at home all season. Denizlispor will want to simply avoid defeat here and maintain distance between themselves and the drop zone. Manager Bulent Uygun has led his side to 12th in the table and 4 points above the bottom three spaces. They are also without a win in 7 league matches without a goal scored in their last two league games. However, their away record is actually quite decent with just 3 losses from their 11 away league games. Only Trabzonspor, Galatasaray, and Goztepe have won more points on their travels this season. I actually think it's worth putting a punt on Denizlispor to get the win here. Yes, their streak without a win is concerning but it's no worse than the team they're up against who are in a far more depressing situation on the wrong side of the relegation line. I was temped to back the draw but I genuinely think this will be a game that the away side will see as an opportunity to pull away from the bottom teams whilst this will simply be another game that an out-of-form and struggling home side will dread playing. Denizlispor to Win @ 3.40 with Sportingbet Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.70 with William Hill
  4. Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin The Bundesliga matches stretch into the Monday and due to me being sidelined with a vomiting bug over the last 24 hours I'm pushing my preview back to cover this game between Eintracht Frankfurt and Union Berlin in a 7:45pm GMT kick-off from the Commerzbank-Arena. Both of these teams are starting to consolidate in mid-table but a bad run of results could still see them dragged into the relegation zone. Eintracht Frankfurt are still a force to be reckoned with under Adi Hutter. The club are in 10th place but they're 8 points off the pace of the automatic European qualification spots.A four game undefeated streak in the league came to an abrupt end last week with a 4-0 hammering at the hands of Borussia Dortmund. They still boast a solid home record with just 2 losses from their 11 home league games this season and remain unbeaten at home in 2020. Union Berlin had appeared to be growing into their first season in the top flight of German football under the management of Urs Fischer. Unfortunately, it's now just 2 wins from their last 8 league games. It's a run of results that has seen the team drop to 12th in the table. Even though they are still 6 points above the relegation zone it's not a comfortable margin. Their form away from home has been a really thorny issue with just 2 wins coming on their travels from their 11 away matches in the league. Only their opponents in this game have a worse away record in the league. I'm not exactly filled with confidence by Eintracht Frankfurt's form recently but they've got their act together at home and that will be vital if they're to make a success of this season. Union Berlin are quite frankly atrocious on the road and I wouldn't back them to take points off many teams on their travels this season. Especially not a side that have turned their home ground into a bit of a fortress. A solid business-like home win for me in this one. Eintracht Frankfurt to Win @ 1.86 with VBet Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.75 with Marathonbet Magic0024, @malabgd, @sajtion, @betcatalog, @DrO, @Neubs, @Xcout, @Banter1, @Bayern, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @Franger83, @Uriel18, @VYA, @EuroDream, @JPee, @i1_principe, @euphoria. @Sterphyle, @MisterInstinct, @dylanphan, @Chaserapp, @craigh, @AussieDex. @Zizou419, @ivanhoe, and @JKos.
  5. Liverpool vs West Ham The Monday night football game this week in the Premier League could put Liverpool a huge step closer towards their first league title since 1990 when they play a struggling West Ham side at Anfield in an 8pm GMT kick-off. It seems an inevitable eventuality that the title is destined for Merseyside but their fans will be keen to see it done and dusted as soon as possible beginning right here. Liverpool are a beast right now and nobody has worked out how to control them. OK, so Diego Simeone's Atletico Madrid did a job on them in midweek but if we're strictly talking about the Premier League then the Reds remain undefeated this season. Jurgen Klopp's side will need to be without their captain Jordan Henderson after he was ruled out with a hamstring injury for three weeks. It's now just 5 wins needed to secure the title. If they win here then they will equal Manchester City's record of 18 consecutive league wins. It would also be a 21st consecutive league win at Anfield which would equal the club top flight record that was set back in December 1972. Given the fact the Reds have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 11 league games it's not a bad shout for a bet. West Ham had looked to be showing signs of improvement under David Moyes after he was appointed for a second spell in charge at the club when he replaced Manuel Pellegrini. It's now been 3 losses from their last 4 league matches. Moyes received criticism from the Hammers fans for his negative approach to the midweek away loss to Manchester City. The fact they've also lost their last 4 away league games means confidence isn't exactly rife heading into this game. Perhaps the most worrying stat is that Moyes himself has never tasted victory against Liverpool with a record of 7 draws and 8 losses down the years. I think in terms of anticipated outcomes they don't get much more definitive than this. The value isn't in backing a Liverpool win but trying to work out how they are going to win and by how many goals. I think backing the clean sheet is a must and I think they'll win by at least two goals so a solid handicap is in order. I was tempted to go for a HT/FT option but Liverpool's last two league games have been a draw at half-time. Liverpool to Win to Nil @ 2.00 with BetVictor Liverpool -2 @ 2.40 with SpreadEx
  6. Crawley vs Stevenage League Two is offering a lot of possibilities this week with me thinking Crewe, Newport, and Salford were all possible options but I've decided to settle on the game between mid-table Crawley and lowly-placed Stevenage in a 3pm kick-off this Saturday afternoon at the Broadfield Stadium. Everything is pointing towards a home win which is being offered at generous odds so let's see what's going on. Crawley are priced very generously heading into this game and that interest me a lot. John Yems came in on 5th December and the club has been putting in some solid performances in the league. They're now up to 14th in the league and even though the play-offs are a bit too far away with an 11 point gap it seems that consolidation is fine given the unsettled season they've had. Three league games without a win is a concern but it's now 7 league games unbeaten at home. Stevenage find themselves in a dire situation right now. Former Cardiff and Rotherham striker Alex Revell was appointed as manager earlier this week. He's now the third man at the helm after the departures of Dino Maamria and Graham Westley. Both of those gaffers failed and Revell now has the challenging task of getting his team off the bottom of the table. They're 8 points adrift of safety and have suffered 6 league defeats in a row. It's also just 1 win from their 17 away league games this season. The odds, ELO ratings, and form all points towards a home win here. Stevenage might as well start preparing for National League football next season because that's the appalling situation they find themselves in. Crawley might not be in a position to challenge for the play-offs but I still feel their home performances make them worth backing to win against most teams in this division. Crawley to Win @ 2.02 with Marathonbet Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.91 with SportNation
  7. Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday Well, that was a nice positive start to the weekend last night with both of the bets coming in. Lovely stuff. Hopefully, Cardiff can continue that and so will this game. It's Pep Clotet versus Garry Monk. Sorry, I mean Birmingham versus Sheffield Wednesday. Kick-off is 3pm on Saturday afternoon at St Andrew's and enough has been made about the hatred the two managers have for each other to make this a tasty affair. Birmingham are looking resurgent under Clotet over recent weeks. The January signing of striker Scott Hogan was a master stroke with the Republic of Ireland international bagging 3 goals in his 4 appearances since his move from Aston Villa. Unfortunately, he's a major doubt for this game which could play a huge factor in the outcome of the game. The Blues are in 14th place and unbeaten in 7 league games. One eye will undoubtedly be on the play-offs but they'll need to keep winning to stand any hope of making up the 9 point deficit. Birmingham have won their last three home league games against Wednesday but have only won 1 of their last 9 home league matches. Sheffield Wednesday have become the butt of a lot of jokes lately with memes and gifs popping up about the EFL not punishing them with a points deduction because Monk will ensure they get relegated on his own. It's a sad state of affairs with the club having previously looked like play-off contenders now down in 13th place and without a win in 6 league games only scoring 2 goals during that barren run. The imminent return of striker Steven Fletcher could help remedy that but is this game too early? This is a fascinating encounter with so much vitriol involved. Both managers are playing down the personal rivalry but it's clear it will still be evident. Birmingham are the team in form right now and the ELO ratings are backing them slightly. I'm wondering if Monk's determination to get one over on the man he claimed "snaked him" (even though I'm fairly sure Monk was guilty of exactly the same to Michael Laudrup at Swansea?) may see his spur his team on to a draw. I'd ideally like to wait and see team news but I don't have that luxury today. If Hogan plays I think Birmingham will win. If he doesn't then it's more likely to be a draw. Draw @ 3.30 with BetVictor BTTS @ 1.95 with Marathonbet
  8. Leicester vs Manchester City The evening kick-off in the Premier League today is a 5:30pm start between long shot title challengers Leicester and Manchester City at the King Power Stadium. It now seems certain that Liverpool will seal their first domestic league title since 1990 but the race to secure that runners-up spot is still firmly wide open with a chasing pack getting ever more congested. Leicester were looking like the biggest competitors to Liverpool's title push but have faded off the pace over recent weeks. Brendan Rodgers continues to do a cracking job with the Foxes still in 3rd place and 9 points clear of 4th placed Chelsea but with just 3 wins from their last 10 league matches there are concerns they are starting to run out of gas. Back-to-back draws against Chelsea and Wolves are decent stand-alone results but have contributed to a poor run of return in points. This home game is a chance for them to not only get back to winning ways but make up ground on City themselves. My big concern is that Leicester come into this game with a lack of defensive midfield options with Wilfred Ndidi, Nampalys Mendy, and Hamza Choudhary all unavailable. That could mean Matty James being drafted in to start his first game in over a year. Manchester City had a rough start to the season but things have steadied recently. Pep Guardiola's men are still reeling after the 2-year ban from European competition but we'll see how that develops over time. It didn't appear to have any impact on the player morale as they strode to a 2-0 win at home to West Ham in midweek in a game where they never really got out of second gear. That was their 5th win in 7 league games and even though the title looks gone they know a win here will put them firmly in the driving seat to finish 2nd. There is hope for Leicester fans here because they did beat City at home last season. However, they have lost 5 of the last 6 meetings between the two clubs. Rodgers himself has never lost a home league game against City but I think that will have little bearing on the outcome here. Leicester need to have their best players available on their best form. Neither of those factors are going to happen so I have to back a solid City win. Manchester City to Win @ 1.73 with Coral Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.60 with Betfair
  9. Stoke vs Cardiff OK, so I'm a little bit annoyed that Cardiff drew against Wigan last weekend because it was an awful refereeing display that saw us disallowed a goal that was a soft foul at best and had a penalty given against us that was harsh. Still, that's the game and I won't dwell on it. We go again this week with my beloved Bluebirds travelling to Stoke for this 3pm kick-off on Saturday afternoon at the Bet365 Stadium. Stoke just don't seem able to put their relegation worries behind them. Michael O'Neill appeared to be a shrewd appointment but it's an arduous process for the Potters right now. O'Neill's men are in 21st place and only 3 points above the relegation zone with the likes of Wigan, Luton, and Barnsley behind them still fighting relentlessly in every game. Form had looked like improving with an unbeaten run of 4 league games in January but it's now 3 defeats from their last 4 league games that has seen them get sucked back into the quagmire at the bottom of the table. Cardiff are still doing enough to stay in touch with the teams in the play-off chase. For all the disappointment of failing to win last weekend, Neil Harris's men are 9th in the table and just 3 points off the play-off pace. It's a position none of us City fans thought we'd be in and there's still plenty of time for us to mess it up. We are enjoying a solid run at the moment though with 7 games unbeaten in the league. That includes back-to-back wins on the road against teams down the wrong end of the table. I'm a little cautious to see how our players react after the Wigan game. It was a demoralising blow but we didn't lose and that's the key factor. Stoke are a team that have only lost 1 of their last 7 league games at home so this won't be easy. I'm not confident we can win and I do fear we are due a loss but I have to back us to take at least a point given our current performance levels. Draw @ 3.50 with Sportingbet BTTS @ 2.00 with Sportingbet
  10. Mate, don't beat yourself up about it. I don't think you're the only one who thought Swansea would hold on having turned it around. How many times does the team that pinches the lead from behind late on go on to win? 95% of the time. I still think you'd do the same thing if it happened again and you'd probably win next time.
  11. Emmen vs Willem II The Dutch Eredivisie is always a league that offers up some tempting bets and this week is no different. I'm going hard rather than going home this week (although ironically I am still backing a home team!) with this clash between Emmen and Willem II that is scheduled to start at 5:30pm GMT on Saturday afternoon at the Oude Meerdijk with both teams desperate to win. Emmen are currently positioned in 13th place and just 4 points above the relegation zone. Head coach Dick Lukkien's side are flirting with relegation but just about seem to be managing to get the points tally ticking over. The club's home form has been their life saver recently with an unbeaten run of 8 league games at home including three wins on the bounce with a clean sheet in each of those victories. Only Ajax, PSV, AZ, and Feyenood have earned more points at home this season. Willem II are in a slightly better position of 5th place in the league and only 2 points off the pace of the automatic European qualification spots. Qualification for the Europa League play-off phase of the season is looking all but assured. Head coach Adrie Koster will be delighted with his team's progress after last season's 10th place finish. The team possesses the 4th best away record in the league with only AZ and Ajax earning more points on their travels in the league. This could be one of Emmen's toughest challenges yet at home. It's no surprise that despite their very impressive home record for a team so low in the table that they're not fancied at all here because Willem II have shown they can do the business on the road. I just fancy backing the underdog here. Emmen have done enough recently to deserve the chance to be backed so here I am doing it! If it fails then it's a punt worth failing for! Emmen to Win @ 2.75 with Sportingbet Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.83 with Marathonbet @laprikon, @TOTTI3, @Rimmed, @Magic0024, @Xcout, @FAETTTON, @malabgd, @Niceguy, @craigh, and @Charon84.
  12. Inter Milan vs Sampdoria Serie A doesn't particularly offer much value this week in terms of the outright market so I'm going to pick one of the more conservative selections to try and grind out some profit. Inter Milan host Sampdoria in a 7:45pm GMT kick-off this Sunday evening at the San Siro. Will the home side's title challenge stay on track or will it be hampered by an away side deep in a relegation battle? Inter Milan are 3rd in the league table and only 3 points behind league leaders Juventus. Antonio Conte's side have exceeded expectations this season but a resurgent Lazio have turned it into a three-way race for the Scudetto after Inter suffered a 2-1 loss to Lazio away last weekend. This is arguably an ideal game for Inter to play right after such a defeat. The team is undefeated at home in their last 8 league matches. It's a perfect opportunity to not only get back to winning ways but seal a first clean sheet at home in the league since 21st December. Sampdoria continue to hover dangerously above the relegation zone in Serie A. Claudio Ranieri is doing his best to save the club after coming in during the middle of October. Consistency remains a problem. Their away form under Ranieri hasn't been too bad in the league with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats. The last road trip seeing a 3-1 win away to Torino. The only problem remains conceding an average of 2 goals per game away from home in the league. I'm going to have to follow the odds, ELO ratings, and statistics here and back Inter Milan to bounce back to winning ways. I think Sampdoria have shown enough recently to suggest they might avoid relegation but staying out of the bottom three and taking any points away from a side that has only lost once at home all season are two completely different challenges. Inter Milan -1 @ 2.00 with SpreadEx Inter Milan HT/FT @ 2.00 with Boylesports @Pep004, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @four-leaf, @allthethings, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @the bastardian, @chris666, @thegeneral55, @Mindfulness, @stephen m, @teddybear3011, @jazzman02, @Bayern, @Xcout, @Valkovets, @MangoTheThird, @DonPaulo, @Franger83, @fhuefdsa, @dinero, @laprikon, @cluelessG, @Skenderbeg, @Gabosbet, @thinkpink63, @VYA, @balkan-pro, @i1_principe, @Hitch, @vicsuna, @Rey86, @Torque, @LBN89, @craigh, @Costanzi84, and @scommetix.
  13. Strasbourg vs Amiens The Ligue 1 odds and ratings don't exactly offer up a wealth of attractive possibilities this week so it's a bit of a grind. I've settled on this game between Strasbourg and Amiens that's scheduled to kick-off at 7pm GMT on Saturday night at the Stade de la Meinau. Even though the odds in this game aren't outstanding it still feels like a home win is a very solid bet to back. Strasbourg are in 7th place in the league and only 4 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification spots. Manager Thierry Laurey is on the verge of creating modern history for this team but they just need another run of results to move them up a level. The club has seen their progress hampered by losses scattered throughout the season that have brought potential winning streaks to an abrupt end before they've gotten started. However, it's now 3 league games unbeaten and 3 wins from their last 4 home league games. Amiens find themselves in deep trouble coming into this game. Head coach Luka Elsner will want his team to start picking up wins as soon as possible. The club is currently in 19th place and 6 points adrift of safety. It's now 13 league games without a win since their last victory back on 2nd November. The 4-4 draw against league leaders PSG last weekend was a shock result but it still wasn't all 3 points if we're being critical. They come into this game with just 1 league win on the road all season and that was way back on 21st September. I'm going to be honest, I can't see Amiens getting out of this mess. They are clearly battling for their lives but they just can't turn those draws into wins. They've drawn 5 of their last 9 league games and if three of those draws had been victories they'd potentially be out of the relegation zone right now. I think Strasbourg are starting to gather some momentum now and this could be a tough evening for the visiting side. Strasbourg to Win @ 1.76 with Marathonbet Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.21 with SportNation @Pep004, @sodabrab, @giraldi, @Magic0024, @allthethings, @DrO, @malabgd, @Xcout, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @FCNA, @silver fox, @thinkpink63, @TOTTI3, @Warbirds, @Rey86, @four-leaf, @AussieDex, @Foo_Fighter, and @canaries91.
  14. Getafe vs Sevilla The La Liga matches gave me some food for thought this week but I've decided to take a punt on a high risk bet due to the ELO ratings shown for this game. It's Getafe versus Sevilla in a 5:30pm GMT kick-off this Sunday afternoon at the Coliseum Alfonso Perez. The home side have been in superb form on their own patch recently and they face a visiting team that have struggled to put performances in on the road. Getafe have been putting in some quality displays recently with Jose Bordalas seeing his players win 4 league games in a row and keeping clean sheets in each of those games before a brave 2-1 loss away to Barcelona. That run of results has seen Getafe rise to 3rd in the table. Even though the Barcelona loss means a late title push now seems out of the question the club's recent form has moved them 2 points inside the Champions League spots. Just 2 defeats in their 12 home league games including a run of just 1 loss in their last 8 home league games makes them a solid home bet. Sevilla will feel this is a game that could make or break their hopes of a Champions League qualification campaign. Julen Lopetegui's side are in 5th place and only outside the top four on goal difference but results have been poor recently. The club has failed to win any of their last 3 league games and it's now just 1 win in their last 6 league matches. One positive fact is that they boast the 2nd best away form in La Liga. However, recent away form has been below par with back-to-back defeats on the road and just 1 win in their last 4 away league games. This is a tough one to call because Getafe are in fine form but it depends how they respond to that loss against Barcelona. Sevilla are dropping off the pace slightly lately but they've still shown they can grind out draws. At the end of the season, that could be the difference between Champions League and Europa League qualification. Before last week's loss, I would've been keen to back Getafe for the win but I'm questioning whether Sevilla could sneak a draw or not. I think I'm going to go for the draw this time. Draw @ 3.18 with VBet BTTS @ 2.23 with Unibet @Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jazzman02, @Mr.Paul, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @laprikon, @Gabosbet, @Dr. Florida192, @thinkpink63, @MarioDunav, @EuroDream, @vicsuna, @i1_principe, @dinero, @Sterphyle, @SPACEGHOST87, @Odyssey, @i1_principe, @Rey86, @Sterphyle. @Isalem, @craigh, @AussieDex, @ivanhoe, and @derbent.