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About mcsilks

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 03/03/1971

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  1. Its actually 6 matches over this last month. He was excellent in qualifying. Gary Wilson has been on TV a massive amount over this tournament, so I can only assume that you have turned off when his games have been on. As this is a betting forum, I try and offer reasoned advice, and advising to back against a player that by your own admission you 'haven't seen' is just crazy. Class and pedigree serve players well, particularly in Sheffield, but Wilson is the form player and is proving that again. His very best game may well mean he will still come up slightly short, but nothing like an -8.5 handicap that you suggest.
  2. Gary Wilson has been the standout player. I actually stopped taking you seriously when you said that you hadn't watched any of his games. Judd Trump has been patchy this tournament whereas Wilson has been nothing short of superb. To base an opinion merely on a players name and rank without taking into account form is amateur to say the least. Trump has to be favourite, but I think the bookies have priced this one up about right.
  3. Ronnie's attitude has been first class for some time now. If he didn't have the application, he wouldn't be sitting at the top of the game at his age. I am also of the opinion that he has to be cut a little more slack than others. He is of genius quality...and with can come some difficulties. Added to the fact that his father is a convicted murderer and his mother is in prison, too. Hardly an easy upbringing.
  4. Bingham Vs Dott Bingham -1 @ 4/7 PP Lisowski Vs Carter Lisowski @ 5/6 PP Ding Vs McGill Ding -1 @ 1/2 PP Bingham won 13-5 in their only previous World Championship meeting. Am very confident of a comfortable victory for Bingham. Lisowski has had a real breakthrough season and should have too much for Carter. Ding beat McGill 13-4 in last year Worlds and has an unbeaten record against him. Bet: 250 Possible return: 1,080 My two bets are both straight forecasts, each for 20. 1. Trump to beat Robertson in the final @ 25/1 PP 2. Robertson to beat Trump in the final @ 28/1 PP My reasoning is that Robertson is the form horse coming into this tournament and has the easier half of the draw. Trump is playing very well at the minute and Ronnie is the only player I can see beating him. Having said that, O'Sullivan doesn't like playing Trump and I feel that Trump will prevail in their quarter.
  5. Paddy Power have a tasty double on at the minute. Man City to win the title and Cardiff to finish bottom @ 3/1. Really can't see anything else this season.
  6. Maybe not a bigger surprise as everyone is claiming as the semi-finals are made up of 4 sides that were in the top 9 in the anti-post betting. Croatia started the tournament very impressively, but performance wise, are getting worse as each round passes and the pressure goes up. On the contrary, England are getting better and looked impressive after the first 20 minutes; which were probably the dullest 20 minutes of any match in the World Cup so far. So, I would surmise that England deservedly start as pretty warm favourites to reach the final. There is little value to be had in this market. I really like the match-up in the other semi. This match is as good as the final as whoever wins this one, should have little bother seeing off England or Croatia. I believe this match may be won on the touchline. Belgium have one of the most tactically astute managers in Martinez and despite starting as second favourites, I think this will make the difference. So my bet will be a straight forecast @ 11/2 for Belgium to beat England in the final. I'll wait for a better price with PP. The price given is with WH.
  7. For all the exciting matces it has given, it has left us with 8 teams who with the exception of Russia, have all failed to impress. Brazil have played well only in patches in their games and look distinctly average. France have only come alive for the one game. Uruguay have looked good only in their last outing. Belgium have really stuttered. Sweden have played their usual brand of dour, Stoke City football. England have largely played like Sweden...winning without impressing. and Croatia have played in patches well but were very poor in their last outing. If France wake up, they will walk this tournament. They have played the best football of the lot in their last game and no side, even Brazil, will come close to them if they reproduce that. I can't get excited over England. They just bore me to the point of wanting to watch their games on fast forward. I am desperate for England to win a World Cup, bit if this current side wins this tournament, it'll be a victory for anti-football. My predictions for the last 8: Uruguay to beat France in a dour 1-0. Brazil to beat Belgium 2-0 as this Belgian defence is not the best. England to beat Sweden on pens after a 0-0. Croatia to overcome Russia in a nervy 1-0. Due to it's unpredictability, I have actually bet on a Uruguay v Croatia final. Good luck all!
  8. I would say that losing to Iceland is 'really poor', but I guess it's all about opinions. I just don't see where all of the new renewed optimism is about England. Do they look good...really? I compare this England side to a Burnley in the Premiership. Southgate has made us tough to beat, but we are anything but easy on the eye. Kane aside, we don't have any match winners. I expect that today's game will see us surrender possession and play a counter attacking style. Columbia will be technically better than we are.
  9. Yes, you might be right. James Rodriguez incidentally wasn't playing in their first half against Japan when they were the dominant side. After he came on, they looked a shadow of the team from the first half. He isn't even close to the Rodriguez from 2014. As far as Cuadrado and Falcao go, they both failed to produce in the English game but the same can be said of Aspas, Thauvin, Fazio, Paulinho, and Boateng...all of whom have been brilliant since leaving the Premiership. Ashley Young will have his work cut out stopping Cuadrado.
  10. Am I missing something here or are Columbia just a ridiculously good price at 3/1 to beat England over 90 minutes? Why have England gone from a really poor side to a team that everyone thinks has a chance of reaching the last 4 or better. I say there is little or no chance. So far, England have beat a very poor Tunisia side in the dying minutes, beaten the tournaments worst side 6-1 and played off the park against Belgium. Even Panama had the best 2 chances before we opened the scoring. Columbia on the other hand were much the better side in the first half despite playing with 10 men against Japan, beaten a poor Poland side comfortably and looked very impressive doing it, and beaten a very good and strong Senegal side. I would honestly make it about 50/50 and possibly even slightly favour the South Americans. My bets will be Columbia to beat England over the 90 minutes @ 3/1, Columbia HT/FT @ 5/1, and Columbia -1 @ a crazy 8/1 with Paddy Power. I hope I am wrong, but tournament history suggests the bookmakers may just be favoring this England side a little too much.
  11. Columbia 1-1 Japan at Half Time. Columbia down to 10 men. Columbia 4/1 to win with Paddy Power the game despite dominating with their 10 men. Cracking odds.
  12. This current Japan side is the worst I have seen for many years. They're an ageing side and have no real good youth to speak of. I'm based in Japan and the feeling here is that they'll do well to pick up any point in the competition. Their first game is against a Columbian side that beat them 4-1 at the last World Cup in Brazil. Since then, Japan have gone backwards. Columbia to win on the -1 handicap at 7/5 looks a fairly no risk pick. Japan to pick up 0 points is a slightly more risky bet but at 13/2 with Paddy Power, I'll take that gamble.
  13. Having watched Saudi Arabia last night, I like the look of their total group points of 0 @ 10/11 quite appealing. I cannot see them picking up points against Egypt or Uruguay. I will also take Russia's total group points of 3 @ 11/2. And Panama's total group points of 0 @ 11/4.
  14. Second round starts today and there are some mouth watering match ups. Mark Allen v Joe Perry The head says Mark Allen, but how can I back against Perry having taken out Selby with ease and playing an opponent that has a very average record at the crucible. Added to that, Perry beat Allen in their most recent encounter at the UK Championship. I'll take Perry @ 6/4. Kyren Wilson v Jamie Jones I make Wilson strong favourite here against a player in Jones that has done precious little this season. Granted, Jones took Smurf out in the 1st round, but he did rather contrive to lose that match. Wilson has been consistently reaching the latter stages of all of the majors this season. I'll be having a play at the handicap and Wilson -3.5 @ 11/10 looks tempting. John Higgins v Jack Lisowski Difficult one to call this one. Higgins loves the crucible, but Lisowski has played well in their recent meetings. I think it could be close and Lisowski +3.5 @ EVE will hook me in. Barry Hawkins v Lyu Haotian Will leave this one well alone. The Hawk has to improve from his dreadful performance in the 1st round and he will do. Lyu wasn't great against Fu. The bookies say Hawkins to win comfortably and I'll go along with that. Mark Williams v Robert Milkins Again, little value here either. MJW should steamroll an inconsistent Milkins, but you never know which Milkins will turn up. Ronnie O'Sullivan v Ali Carter Carter is for me, the weakest player left in the draw. I doubt they'll play many frames of their 3rd session if at all. Ronnie's B game has won him 5 tournaments already this season and he'll be far too much for Ali. I'll take Ronnie -5.5 even at the daft price of 10/11. Ding was the standout of the 1st round performers for me and I've taken him @ 9/1 to win the whole thing.