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dylanphan

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About dylanphan

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 05/04/1971

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  1. Just some quick thoughts here. Since United beat Chelsea in week 1 on August 18th, they have failed to score more than a single goal in a match since that time. And save Arsenal & Liverpool, they have played absolute garbage. I'm talking League 1 Rochdale, Partizan, Alkmaar, Newcastle, Palace, Astana, I'm talking competition they should have smashed and at least been able to score multiple goals against. Anyone backing them this week is crazy, imho. United can counter for sure. The likes of James, Martial, Rashford, AWB, they have speed to burn. But, any manager worth their sa
  2. One game I like today is Bayer Leverkusen -1 (-120) Leverkusen has a fantastic squad and are flying high with 3 goals in each of their first two league games. They have weapons all over the field, and wonderkid Havertz is simply fantastic. Home win seems very likely here. I will lay the handicap here for a few reasons. Offseason has been very harsh for Hoffenheim. Injuries, attrition and they lost their coach to RB Leipzig and this is a massive loss in my eyes. Still without Kramaric, they lack in the dynamic goal scoring department. Game should have goals, but I fancy
  3. Last week was one of my best in a while. I had West Ham at +250 in a number of acca's and my biggest bet was the Liverpool/Arsenal over. Only game that really cost me money was United losing, but that's going to happen. Their expected goals were nearly 3 and the expected goals against was the second lowest for the weekend. It happens. I've only made one bet for the weekend and its a big one. Man United +110. This is just nuts. I've stated for weeks I have Southampton tipped for the drop. United isn't great, no. But they are miles better here. They've played a very pleasing brand
  4. Been a pretty good start to the season for me. Although I've been dead wrong on some teams, the bets I've put in have been so far, so good. early game, someone up top found Norwich +1 at evs and well, I need that line available to me because I've seen nothing close to that. I like Norwich and put a small play on them at +0.75 at -110. Norwich seem to get goals for fun. They led the championship in goals last year at just over 2gpg and seem to picked up right where they left off. Chelsea a bit of a team in flux imo. Jury still out on Lamps as a manager and it's going to take him a bit
  5. Usually the second week gives an opportunity or two to take a punt on a team with long odds, however this weeks fixtures are extremely tricky in my eyes. I generally will try to take an overreaction to the market as a chance to make a play, but I'm not seeing it this week at all. I'll go through a few games quickly. Liverpool should smash Southampton, I to have Southampton tipped for the drop, and Liverpool is obviously a strong side, however with Allison out and now potentially Adrian out well, I'm going to shy away by playing short odds here on the road side. This game screams pass
  6. Sundays fixtures: Leicester is too heavily favored in my eyes. Maguire is going to be a massive loss to the confidence of this team. I don't see why Wolves are so short, I mean they finished ahead of Leicester last year, no? Give me Wolves at +260 and DNB at +160 here all day. I don't think Wolves will finish as high as last year, but see no reason why they can't get a result here tomorrow. I like Arsenal quite a bit this year. Lacazette/PEA and now Pepe in the attack. Tierney and Luiz should be good gets in defense. It make take a few weeks for this team to find their best 1
  7. First week always tricky in my eyes. I try to keep it simple and don't play much early on. Here are my quick thoughts on Saturday's games West Ham/City - this game is just a huge pass for me. I've got City tipped to win the league and they are just a fantastic side. But, I do like West Ham quite a bit this year. A full year with Lanzini, Anderson hit his form late - and I love the Fornals and Haller pickups. But, will take a while for this team to congeal. Meanwhile, City pretty much the same as last year. Kompany and Delph gone, Rodri on, this team will be fantastic this year. Ju
  8. Paderborn game busted, but MY GOD, bless you Franfkfurt. Absolutely made my weekend here.
  9. Two games have my interest here tomorrow in Germany. First one, Paderborn vs St Pauli. Paderborn score for fun at home with 36 goals in 12 home matches. I'm not that smart, but that looks to be 3 goals per game. In fact, they've scored at LEAST 3 goals in 6 of their last 7 home games. St Pauli no slouches, sitting 4th in the table so I expect this to be a very competitive game. Team that is at home loves to score against another good team? to me that simply means goals. o1.5 1H +125 o3 -120 BIG BET The other game looks to be an absolute cracker is Frankfurt/Hoffenhe
  10. Going to wake up early, really looking forward to Spurs/Arsenal game. No strong lean in that match, but do feel Arsenal are being undervalued, taking them +0.5 would make sense. Be honest here, I think Poch is overrated as a manager. He has a nice system, has a keen eye for young talent, and gets a lot of his players so something certainly can be said for that, but his in game management is questionable. Case in point, Kane's first game back in what, 6 weeks against Burnley of all teams, and leaves him in for a full 90? Yeah, he scored a goal, that's well and good, but bigger fish t
  11. Well done Neubs. Between you and me we wiped clean on the early slate of games
  12. Borrusia Gladbach are super strong at home. They are a very good team with tons of attacking options and have won 11 in a row at home. See no reason not to back them here at -125 vs Augsburg. Nurnberg are the worst team I have seen play by far. They are certain to get relegated. They offer nothing from open play in attack and try to just defend defend defend and get a set piece. Terrible team Mainz at home should take care of them and again very generous price in my eyes at -120
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