harry_rag

No joy last night, Man City back in action tonight so had a quick look at the De Bruyne assist prices. He's odds on in most places and the yes/no is priced as a coin toss with Uni. A couple of firms go odds against, PP at 13/10 and Lads at 23/20 (6/5 with a boost). Given how prolific an assister Kev is I've had 30 points on De Bruyne to assist a goal at 13/10 with PP.

1 from 5 footy bets since the last update (Smith-Rowe assist) for a small gain, 67 points returning 78 for an 11 point profit. 122.9 points up overall.

West Ham v West Brom: Had a look at this game and three players have caught my eye. Benrahma: Has a couple of assists to his name this season despite only starting 4 League games. Amassed 23 in 71 starts for Brentford. Most likely player to provide an assist according to the spreads. Bowen: Only 2 in 17 so far this season but 7 in 29 for Hull last season and 4 in 11 for West Ham. Next most likely to assist according to spread prices. Ajayi: Has 9 headed goals in 123 career appearances, 6 in 50 since joining West Brom. 15 goals in total and 7 for West Ham. Has scored a header in

Be interesting to see if they fall into line with their pricing of him next game.

15 points on Smith-Rowe to get an assist at 21/5 with Uni After Son and De Bruyne I'm on a hat trick of flagging winning assist bets (though I only backed the former myself), let's see if the Arsenal youngster can defy those odds. Sub 2/1 in places which is laughable, i think he should be shorter than 4/1 though,

0 from 5 and -95 points. Think I need to admit defeat when it comes to backing in this market. Sells have been profitable and lays look promising. Plenty of time to review before next season.

0 from 3 NFL bets yesterday for a 60 point loss, one from 2 on the footy (Son assist) for a 24.4 point profit. +4 point adjustment from the correction mentioned in the Rugby Union thread (noticed I'd missed a bet). 111.9 points up overall. Spreads are +366.5 points, fixed odds -254.6.

2 from 6 (the games at Elche and Granada) since the last update. 134 points returns 102.2 for a 31.8 point loss. 11 winners from the last 31 bets (35.48%). 652.5 points returns 561.5 for a loss of 91 points with an ROI of -13.95% Overall total for the thread now looks like this. 195 winners from 631 bets (30.9%). 10379.5 points returns 10085.86 for a loss of 293.64 points with an ROI of -2.83%

Only 3 corners in the game so a comfortable win. 10 wins and 1 push from 15 bets. +5.475 points to advised stakes with an ROI of 37.76%, +4.975 points to level stakes with an ROI of 33.17%.

Yeah, I was looking for odds against so no bet for me, last time I was going to take 6/5 but it was cut to evens. Worth keeping an eye on.

De Bruyne can be backed at evens with Hills for an assist and at 21/20 with Uni not to get one. Too close to call for me though if you gave me a free bet on the market I'd narrowly favour the evens. 6/1 with Lads the best I've seen for a "screamer" (goal from outside the box) and 11/2 for 2+ shots on target from outside the box with PP was worth a second look.

No joy last night, 3 for tonight. Cleveland at Kansas: 20 points on Austin Cooper at 27/10 with Uni Tampa Bay @ New Orleans: 20 points on Jared Cook at 12/5 with PP and 20 on Antonio Brown at 47/20 with Uni

I liked the look of that bet but it hasn't landed in any of the last 10 Premier League meetings!

Even a stopped clock is right twice a day!

B Munich v Freiburg: 12 points on Goretzka to score at 11/2 with Lads (fine at 5/1 without boost and wlsewhere) Definitely a profitable player to have followed over the last couple of seasons. May well not score today but shouldn't be bigger than 4/1 in my opinion.