harry_rag

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harry_rag last won the day on July 26 2015

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About harry_rag

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 11/07/65
  1. 7 winners from 8 bets mentioned in this thread so far, with just the RP tip for Warrington +6 failing to oblige. I've had the good fortune to go 5 from 5 with winners at 9/4, 2/1, 12/5, evens and 3/1. Will post later if anything appeals today. The RP advise Salford -10.
  2. A trio of bets with Spreadex for me on Cas v Wigan. Gale to score a try at 12/5, >45.5 points at evens and >55.5 at 3/1. Any game involving Cas has the potential to be a points fest and it's backable for me at those prices. Gale 2/1 at most elsewhere and looks worth a shot for an attempt at 3/3 try scorer bets this weekend!
  3. For today, under 45 booking points in Hearts v Partick, 0.5pt staked at 6-5 with Hills.
  4. Chiefs v Sunwolves: Buy Sunwolves hotshots at 17 with Spreadex (Sasakura, Tupou, Goto and Matsushima) They may be over 30 point underdogs but I think that price is a good 3 points too low and underestimates the chances of the the 4 players mustering at least a single try between them. Reds v Waratahs: Buy Perese try minutes at 14 and Hanigan's at 6, both with SPIN I'm keener on the latter than the former. I'd equate those prices to 13/5 and 13/2 anytime when the best available prices are 13/8 and 4/1
  5. All that effort to more or less break even! Tries for Anscombe and Marchant mean you'd have won £9.50 from a tenner on each anytime selection. The 39 point profit from the decent performance of the Pro 12 hotshots was wiped out by the 45 points loss on Wasps. Bets to follow on the early Super Rugby games.
  6. And in the 2 Aviva Prem games. Harlequins/Wasps: Marchant to score a try at 11/4 with Skybet and Daly to score a try at 11/4 with Coral. Buy Wasps hotshots at 45 with Spreadex (Bassett, Daly, Wade and Le Roux) Newcastle/Worcester: Watson to score a try at 11/4 with Skybet
  7. For better or worse, I've enough time on my hands to have a fairly close look at today's action. That means more bets and I can actually post them as well! Taking the 3 Pro 12 games first, I've had the following bets. All are based on my opinion where a price catches my eye and study of the player's stats support the bet except for the hotshots which are "systematic" selections if you like, with no subjective element. I just price the players up and bet (or not) according to prescribed criteria. Cardiff v Zebre: Anscombe to score a try at 16/5 and Minnie to score a try at 11/2, both with PP Edinburgh v Dragons: Mata to score a try at 16/5 and Watson to score a try at 4/1, both with PP. Buy Dragons hotshots at 21 with Spreadex (25 points per Howard, Beard, Hughes or Meyer try) Leinster v Glasgow: Buy Leinster hotshots at 36 with Spreadex (McFadden, O'Loughlin, A Byrne and Kirchner) and Glasgow hotshots at 29 with SPIN (Jones, Grigg, Sarto and Seymour) Will see if anything appeals elsewhere.
  8. RP tips for tonight are Warrington +6 and St Helens -10.5. They also mention the expected return from injury of Matty Russell for Warrington. He scored a hat trick against Hull a few weeks ago and appeals at 2/1 anytime with Spreadex when the next best is 13/10.
  9. Well, I didn't see that coming with Huddersfield winning by the margin they were expected to lose by! Still, at least Parcell was among the tryscorers.
  10. I'm inclined to agree with the RP that there should be sufficient reaction from Huddersfield for them to stay within an 18 point handicap tonight but no bet on that for me. Have followed on Parcell to score a try for an interest though. Advised at 15/8, I took 9/4 with Spreadex who are now 2/1 best price.
  11. Rotherham "lost" 6-7 so we were just one corner away from a winning bet. This season (level stakes): 20 winners and a push from 33 bets, a profit of 9.64 points with a yield of 29.22% This season (advised stakes): 12 bets advised to 1 point stakes and 21 to only 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 5.47 points with a yield of 24.31% Overall (level stakes) +33.55 with a yield of 23.63% from 142 bets.
  12. Clermont v Leinster later and another tight game wouldn't be a surprise so probably best not to go gung-ho in the tryscorer markets. Clermont hotshots are 22 to buy with Spreadex but 25 elsewhere and I think there's a bit of value in the buy at 22 with the prospect of a small profit from just a single try by any of the quartet of Strettle, Spedding, Lamerat and Abendanon. For the visitors, 9/2 Carbery with Skybet and 4/1 Nacewa with Lads are big enough for an anytime bet (the latter being one of their enhanced specials; it would have been a pass at 3/1).
  13. Yeah, short of time lately! Saracens hotshots a buy at 20 with Spreadex for me (25 points per Goode, Ashton, Maitland or Billy Vunipola try). Ashton a decent bet to score a try at 11/4 with PP, even in what's expected to be a tight game.
  14. For tomorrow, Rotherham +1 corner, 0.5pt staked at 6-5 with Hills.
  15. The RP tip Wigan, Catalans, Castleford and Huddersfield on the handicaps if anyone fancies a bet. Their preview of the later game enough to put me off Salford.