harry_rag

"A Madrid v Eibar: 24 points on Llorente to score at 3.95 on BF and 20 on Correa to score at 5/2 with Uni Looking at the formation and the prices (with no Suarez available) I think there's more chance of one or both scoring than those odds imply." That worked out well last time; going in again tonight as Atletico host Huesca. 20 points on Llorente at 5/2 PP and 20 on Correa at 3.25 on BF.

A winner earlier, 2 more with the same selection, stake and odds. R Sociedad v Celta Vigo and Roma v Atalanta

No joy yesterday. Alanyaspor v Gaziantep: 20 points on 4-6 cards at 11/10

1 from 3 cards bets since the last update (the Italian game on Tuesday) and 2 losers yesterday on Kessie to score and Son to assist. 100 points returned 43.98 for a 56.02 point loss. 694.72 points up overall.

What's so absurd about it is how quickly it's collapsed. Having committed to it you thought they might have tried to brazen it out a bit longer. They all look ridiculous (as well as despicable) now. They've been taken aback by the reaction of the "legacy" fans? Surely you don't plunge headfirst into something like this without having done a bit of market research! It's like announcing you plan to start sleeping with the wife's sister every other Wednesday and wondering why she's lobbing volleys of crockery at you!

Spurs v Southampton: 20 points on a Son assist at 7/2 with Lads. Waited for line ups, he starts as expected and no Kane, also as expected. I was probably going to back him but a nice drift in the price beyond 3/1 made my mind up for me.

He's not back as expected which means there may be value among the "secondary" attacking players. Standout for me is Kessie at 3/1 with Uni and I've had 20 points on him to score.

Yesterday's bet won. 2 for today. Elche v Valladolid: 20 points on 4-6 cards at 11/10 AC Milan: Sassuolo: 20 points on 4-6 cards at 11/10

I wonder what the odds on it happening are now? https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/56823501

1 from 3 yesterday (the <45 points bet). Verona v Fiorentina: 20 points on 4-6 cards shown at 2.199 (11/10 with an odds boost applied).

Only 1 from 6 yesterday and the one that returned least! <45 points landed in the later Spanish game but the other 3 cards bets lost along with the 2 Bamford assist bets. 67.5 points returned 25 for a 42.5 point loss. 750.74 points up overall.

I meant to add, I couldn't resist 1 point on him getting 2 or more assists at 200/1 with Sky Bet!

Incoming mug bet klaxon! (Given all I've been saying about backing player assists.) Sometimes though you see a big price and feel you'd rather back it and lose than swerve it and risk seeing it land. And I think I can make at least a half decent case. Leeds v Liverpool: 8.5 points on Bamford to assist a goal at 10/1 with Sky Bet or Betway Bear in mind he's no bigger than 9/4 to score tonight. Bamford has scored 14 of Leeds' 49 goals this season and assisted 7 of them (in 31 appearances). Since the turn of the year, he's only scored 4 of their 19 goals in 15 games but has assisted 5 o

I've done 4-6 cards at 23/20 in the other game, between Leganes and Ponferradina. At 42-46, the game's outside my normal area of focus (those where the spread price is at least 45 to sell) but the ref stats have him as a solid "middler" so I'm happy enough to play it.

Leganes v Ponferradina: 20 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20