harry_rag

Maybe Glory Hunts are like The Wall, after the green balls come the red ones! “Drop ‘em”.

And relax! Lost track of how close it was to kick off so perhaps fortunate to get matched in time. Doh, just remembered it’s the handicap rather than >0.5. Should be ok though.

Not the first and I won’t need to resort to beans on toast for tea if it doesn’t come in! On the other hand, don’t say I jinxed you if they get thrashed!

Got matched for 1.03 on this one, put it up just after you posted and just been matched. On the one hand, it’s only one tick but on the other it’s an extra 50% on the price. Not sure if putting a request up and leaving it for a while would work for you, I appreciate you’re trying to balance getting on and being able to post.

I’m always reminded of the phrase (from a song) “I shot a dog that didn’t need shooting” when I hit a run of seemingly impossible bad luck.

Even I’ll admit that’s straying into freakishly bad luck territory! I know a cast iron certain way to improve your fortunes but,unfortunately, I’m not feeling benevolent enough to start laying your selections.

I reckon I’m beating the quoted odds on somewhere between two thirds and three quarters of the bets I’m following on, sometimes by 2 “ticks”. I guess odds are irrelevant if you’re only concerned with the number of bets and sometimes people just want to make sure the bet is on but if the return is a consideration you might want to try asking for a better price and seeing if you get matched (time permitting). I’m currently mulling over a staking approach that factors in a degree of going all in for x number of bets then resetting the initial stake as a proportion of bank, sort of a supercharged version of simple progressive staking. I just need to decide on the optimum number of bets for x! 10 is my initial thought.

I totally get the logic, it's just the timing that sucks. I checked the rules before I started and they've changed in play (I think I've done 4 or 5 bets that would fall foul of the rule). I didn't cynically target such prices but some of the markets I favour (cards and corners) aren't well covered on Betfair and I just took the bets I liked. Maybe it would be fairer to say "from this point forward" so that bets that were placed when there was no such rule can still be counted but none will be from now on. No doubt it will be much fuss about nothing assuming I crash and burn before I get within sniffing distance of the leaderboard!

15 points on Salah to score at 4.2 Not often you will see him at such a price and, even allowing for the close and low-scoring game expected, I think it's perhaps a bit generous.

I might as well pack it in then! Why the sudden change? As far as I'm aware there was a previous suggestion of such a minimum odds rule and it wasn't taken up. Surely there must be runs on the board that fall foul of that rule? Are you going to remove them from the current standings? I must protest in the strongest possible terms! (Fairly half-heartedly if I'm honest, but it does seem odd and a bit arbitrary.) ps - and presumably that rules out laying anything at odds of 101 or more?

23/23 now and 13.69 points up betting 10% of bank or 12.94 to £10 level stakes. Maybe I should be posting the selections for a tilt at the leaderboard, might get there quicker than via my own endeavours!

1 from 3 there (Mane) for a small profit. 40 winners from 123 bets for a loss of 64.27 points.

2 out of 5 since the last update (Mane scoring and >0.5 goals in the Cameroon game). 195.4 points down overall.

Winner earlier, 1 from each team in the QPR v Swansea game. 10 points on Austin at 9/4 and 10 on Piroe at 3.1

10 points on Mane (Senegal) at 3.5