Darran

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Darran last won the day on August 15

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About Darran

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    aka Addpea
  • Birthday 08/26/82

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  1. Was only following the scores so hadn’t fully seen to start with what had happened at Hartley but my god we got away with that one
  2. 4 out of 7 so another winning day although a shame Welling conceded a goal with the last kick of the game
  3. Put my ante-post stuff up for the league, and put up Dorking to beat Bishops Stortford last Saturday. Steve King leaving Whitehawk was their main issue. If he had stayed I more than likely would have backed them for the league
  4. So the mid-week action was superb with 5 out of 6 winners. Obviously it was frustrating to be so close to all 6 winning given Havant were 3-1 up at one stage, but at the end of the day singles are were the day to day money is to be made and anything else is just a very nice bonus. Hopefully the good start to the season can be continued on Saturday and I have 7 bets across 3 of the 7 leagues. Barnet v Ebbsfleet (National League) Two teams I put up ante-post and I have been really disappointed with how Barnet have performed so far. They should be doing better than they are and as much as I think John Still will turn it around at some stage, I don't see how they can be odds on to win this game. Ebbslfeet have had a solid start to the season and have been playing better than their results suggest. They have only won one of their first 4 games, but they have been a bit unfortunate not to add to their points tally and they look in better shape than their hosts on Saturday. Marathon have an away win at 147/50 and that looks value to me. Maidstone v Barrow (National League) Barrow have had a superb start to the season especially given they were one of the market leaders to go down this season. To beat Chesterfield 3-2 on Tuesday night was a superb result even allowing for the fact Chesterfield went down to 10 men when they were 2-1 up. Their other 3 games have seen them beat Havant 3-0, get a fully deserved 2-2 draw at Leyton Orient and the one blip so far was a defeat at Halifax. Given that form I am not surprised to see they have been backed already for this, but at 13/5 (Marathon) I still think there is plenty of value to be had. I opposed Maidstone on Tuesday night with Orient and although they got 1 back late on to make it nervy, Orient were very comfortable for most of the evening. Barrow have certainly been the better of the two sides so far this season and they should be at least 74-15/8 for this in my view. Dartford v Wealdstone (National League South) Wealdstone may have needed a late penalty to see off Woking on Monday night, but they were good value for the victory and I am going to continue backing them at the weekend because they look a big price at Dartford. It will be a tough game, but for me there is noway they should be as big as 14/5 with Marathon as the teams are much closer together than the prices suggest. Dartford have had a tough start to the season fixture list wise and have done well enough to come away with 2 wins, a draw and a defeat. That defeat came on Tuesday night against Concord who have started the season in really good shape, but it showed that Dartford might not be quite up to the heights they achieved last season and with Wealdstone looking stronger I think they are more than up to picking up another 3 points here. Truro v Welling (National League South) To be fair to Truro they haven't done quite as badly as I thought they would after their management team left just before they played their 2nd game. They suffered their 2nd defeat of the season on Tuesday against Chippenham and they are yet to win this season, but picking up a couple of points is a fair achievement given all the off the field issues. Welling are favourites for this, but they should be. They did loose 3-0 against Billericay on Tuesday night, but they played better than the result suggests and they were playing the best team in the division. Truro are going to be in a relegation scrap this season and Welling should be looking at the play-offs and they should be up to winning this. Marathon go 131/100 about an away win. Slough v Torquay (National League South) Torquay were unbeaten in their first 3 games, but then lost on Tuesday night when losing to Oxford City 1-0. That is not a good result and as I wrote on here last weekend, they had been lucky to beat Bath in their 2nd game of the season. Beating East Thurrock in between those two games doesn't say a great deal given they have lost 4/4 and I think Slough can beat them. Slough made slightly harder work of it than I was hoping for when beating Weston on Tuesday, but crucially once they got 1 they added the 2nd pretty quickly to turn things around. This game will be tougher, but I think Slough have enough to see off a Torquay side who I think might be looking at mid-table obscurity this season. Hartley Wintney v Frome Town (Southern League South) The home side have got off to a cracking start in their first ever season at this level and it seems for now they are continuing on their form from last season when winning promotion. They have already beaten Poole and Gosport and this would look an easier game on paper. Frome drew with Hendon on the opening day and then lost to Tiverton on Tuesday. They were in all sorts of issues at the back end of last season and although they aren't as bad as that I certainly don't expect them to be in the top half of the table. The home side might drop away as the season progresses, but at the moment they are looking strong and Marathon's 27/20 is well worth taking. Kings Langley v Taunton (Southern League South) Taunton were only beaten late on by Weymouth on Tuesday night and that is a good effort against the favourites for promotion. As I wrote in my ante-post preview Taunton were really impressive when winning the league last season and they should be up there this time around as well. Kings Langley struggled badly last season and I fully expect them to be near the relegation zone this time around. Taunton at 11/8 with Marathon looks worth taking. Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 147/50 with Marathon Barrow 1pt @ 13/5 with Marathon Wealdstone 1pt @14/5 with Marathon Welling 2pts @ 131/100 with Marathon Slough 1pt @ 29/20 with Marathon Hartley Wintney 1pt @27/20 with Marathon Taunton 1pt @ 11/8 with Marathon
  5. Cheers everyone always nice to make people money and as much as we were all close to a big pay day at least we all made money and that it the important thing. Things won’t always go as well as that so important to enjoy it when it does. Saturdays stuff should be up tomorrow evening.
  6. How ironic after writing this that I probably go the closest I have ever been to the big payout. Havant seemed comfortable at 3-1 and then Dover got a penalty and that woke them up and they were all over them after that.
  7. I considered Aldershot as well and it does look a good chance for them but sounds like they have been very poor so far and not scoring isn’t great. I want to see something before backing them at short odds even against Dagenham.
  8. Ok what I will do in future (if I remember!) is put the league next to the fixture at the start of each preview. I will get into oddschecker again to sort out their step 3 prices which are still a mess
  9. Strange thing is in all the time I have been tipping on Non-League I have never landed a massive pay-out. Gone close a few times to landing a bet when I have put up 5 or more, but never hit the jackpot. Shows how hard it is and that singles are the way to go, but I always use 0.5pt to cover the acca and what even is one down from the amount of selections. At the very least I usually hit a couple of one losing and that usually covers those bets for the season.
  10. A good day on Saturday although Dorking and AFC Telford both failing to hold onto their 1 goal leads stopped it from being an excellent afternoon. Like last mid-week I have 6 bets with 1 on Monday night and the other 5 all on Tuesday. Dover v Havant & Waterlooville Havant were surprisingly well beaten by Barrow on the opening day of the season, but they have improved massively on that in their following two games. A goalless draw against Boreham Wood was followed up with a 1-1 draw against Fylde on Saturday where they outplayed their opponents and should have won. They have clearly got over the shock of their first game at this level and I think they have a great chance to get their first win of the season on the board on Tuesday night. Dover have only picked up a point so far in a 2-2 draw against Bromley last Tuesday and they weren't great when losing to Gateshead on Saturday. They only managed a couple of shots on Saturday and it seems like the new team might need a bit of time to get going. I think the away side are over priced at 113/50 with Marathon. Maidenhead v Wrexham I am a big fan of Alan Devonshire as a manager, but it looks like he could have his work cut out keeping Maidenhead in the league this season. They were bad against Gateshead and then lost to Solihull. They drew with Dagenham on Saturday and although they ended up with only 9 men on the pitch I don't think the form is anything to write home about as Dagenham have struggled themselves early doors. Thanks to leaving my iPod on the train on Saturday afternoon I didn't end up watching the Wrexham game on BT Sport as I had hoped, but they ran out 3-0 winners over Boreham Wood. Now the report suggests it was a little against the run of play, but crucially they were able to put the ball in the back of the net and I suspect that was a game that would have ended 0-0 last season. They haven't conceded a goal in their first 3 games and I can't believe they aren't shorter than they are. Marathon's 93/50 makes plenty of appeal. Maidstone v Leyton Orient Orient have started the season with 3 draws against Salford, Ebbsfleet and Barrow, but this looks a good chance to get that first win on the board. They didn't sound like they were at their best on Saturday when drawing 2-2 with Barrow, but they more than have the class to see off a Maidstone side who were very poor at the weekend. They do have a win on the board after beating Dagenham last week, but as mentioned above I am not sure that says a lot and losing 3-0 to Halifax on Saturday was not a great result. I would make Orient favourites for this so the 193/100 with Marathon looks big. AFC Telford v Brackley Into the National League North now. Telford were unfortunate not to win for us at the weekend with the late Guieseley equaliser a deflected effort. It continues their unbeaten start to the season though and I was amazed to see them as big as 15/8 (Marathon) to overcome a Brackley side who have had an indifferent start. A win against Alfreton last Tuesday was a good effort, but either side of that they have lost to Bradford Park Avenue and then on Saturday 4-2 to Darlington. Given they are at home I was surprised not to see Telford as the favourites for this and they have to be a bet at the prices. Wealdstone v Woking Two bets in the National League South starting with this game on Monday night. Woking are 3/3, but I am not sure that tells the full story. A dubious penalty in injury time got them a win at East Thurrock and then sending offs for their opponents have played a big part in them winning their other two matches. East Thurrock and Oxford City (who they beat on Saturday) are games against teams likely to be battling against relegation and they shouldn't really have to be relying on men getting sent off. Wealdstone have had a solid start to the season and they pushed Billericay hard on Saturday despite losing 1-0. If they can back that performance up here I think they have a great chance of adding to their opening day win against Weston. Marathon are 17/10 and I think that is on the right side of value. Slough v Weston-Super-Mare Speaking of Weston I am more than happy to oppose them again on Tuesday night. They were 2 up against St Albans and then ended up losing 3-2 and that makes it 8 goals conceded in just 3 games. Slough got their first win of the season on Saturday and as much as Gloucester were really bad, Slough should have won more easily than the 2-1 scoreline suggests. They should get plenty of chances in front of goal again on Tuesday night given Weston's shaky defence and I think they can follow up Saturday's win. Marathon's 34/25 looks a cracking price. Havant 1pt @ 113/50 with Marathon Wrexham 1pt @ 93/50 with Marathon Leyton Orient 1pt @ 193/100 with Marthon AFC Telford 1pt @ 15/8 with Marthon Wealdstone 1pt @ 17/10 with Marathon Slough 2pts @ 34/25 with Marathon
  11. To make it even worse the Guiesely goal was a deflected one.
  12. That Chester result was just bizarre especially given Blyths first two results and Chester have performed well in both games as well. Salford out to 11/2 already and those taking shorter a couple of weeks ago will be kicking themselves.
  13. Cheers. A pleasing afternoon which wasn't far away from being an excellent afternoon as the two losing bets were both in front until fairly late on in their games.
  14. Sorry my fault always mean to add these to help people. First two are National League North, next two are National League South and the last one is the Bostik Premier