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      £21,363 in PROFIT & 15 Consecutive Winning Months on our Racing Tips!    11/01/17

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Darran last won the day on November 15

Darran had the most liked content!

About Darran

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    aka Addpea
  • Birthday 08/26/82

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  1. Non-League Predictions > Nov 18th & 19th

    So last night didn't go to plant although it was great to watch Billericay lose and Tamplin throw his toys out of the pram. One tip one winner last Saturday and then both bets won on Tuesday night and FCUM had an amazing come back. From just one bet last weekend I have 7 teams that are worth an interest this weekend. Leyton Orient v Dover Orient finally sacked Steve Davies this week which wasn't a big surprise given how bad their form has been in recent weeks. Going forward they don't look too bad at all, but time after time their defence lets them down massively and it was the case against Ebbsfleet in front of the TV cameras last Saturday. They have had key players injured in defence which hasn't helped, but I think it might take until the new manager comes in to sort their defensive issues out. Dover are surprising leaders and I would be even more surprised if they were still top come the end of April, but they are 9 games unbeaten now and crucially they are very solid at the back and have conceded just 5 on their travels all season. That's impressive and you would imagine they will get chances at the other end to score. I think they should really be favourites for this one so the fact they aren't makes them well worth backing. Bradford Park Avenue v Brackley Given 2nd place Brackley's recent good form it might be surprising that I am putting up the home side, but I think BPA have been over priced. Their home form has been very strong and they have lost just once in their last 7 home league games. That was against top team Salford and even then it was only 2-1 in a game they more than held their own in. Brackley have won their last five, but they have been playing some of the lesser sides in the division and this game is much harder than their recent matches. The 3/1 on offer about a home win is way above what I would have it. Gainsborough Trinity v FCUM I am going to continue backing FCUM after their fantastic win on Tuesday night. To come from 2 down to win it 3-2 was a huge effort and they were by all accounts superb in the 2nd half. Granted they have only won once away in the league all season, but they look an improved side since Greaves took over as caretaker manager and so I think that can be ignored to a certain extent. Trinity have won just 3 at home in the league all season although to be fair two of those were their last two home league games. We have to add to that though that they did lose 6-0 to Slough in the FA Cup.The away side look the value at over 2/1 to pick up another 3 points. East Thurrock v Havant & Waterlooville The home side were unbeatable at the start of the season, but now they can't win games of football. They haven't won in 7 league games now and they have lost their last 3 including a shocking effort at Bath last weekend when losing 4-0. They also conceded 4 in their previous game against Weston. They have also failed to win in their last 5 home league matches. Havant come into this in really good form and they have been superb away from home all season. Their only defeat came at St Albans and they beat top of the table Braintree in their penultimate away league match. Given they have won just two at home in the league it is clear they seem to be performing much better on their travels. Given East Thurrock's recent form you would be hopeful of them continuing that form on Saturday. Hungerford v Truro Fair to say Truro have been the surprise package in the National League South so far this season and currently sit in 3rd position. They have lost just one of their last ten and had a superb 3-1 victory over Dartford last Saturday. Hungerford are struggling and have won just one of their last 9 league games and that came over bottom side Whitehawk. Truro should probably be nearly odds on for this game and you would expect them to be able to carry on their good form here. Lowestoft v Margate Amazingly Lowestoft did manage to win last week although that was against the massively inconsistent Merstham. Just in case anyone thought they might be making progress again on the pitch they duly went and lost 3-0 to Thurrock on Tuesday night. Margate had a little wobble where they didn't win in 5 league games, but they drew 3 of them and the two losses are their only two in their last 10 games. Margate have the joint 2nd best away points tally in the Bostik Premier with 14 in 8 games and given they perform so well away I am confident they should be able to beat a Lowestoft side who have plenty of issues. They look the best bet of the weekend. Worthing v Leiston Finally a bit more of a speculative bet in bottom side Worthing. Now they have won just two league games all season, but crucially they were their last two games. They were disappointingly beaten by Thame in the FA Trophy last weekend, but otherwise they look an improved side, indeed they have picked up 8 of their 9 points in their last 6 games. Leiston may be on 26 points, but they look in a right mess on the pitch on the moment. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games in the league and were hammered 4-1 by Dorking in the FA Trophy last Saturday, which just happen to be the last side they beat in the league. A bit more of a risky one, but I think the price offers value as Leiston are very low on confidence right now. Dover 1pt @ 197/100 with Marathon Bradford Park Avenue 1pt @ 3/1 with Betfred and Bet365 FCUM 1pt @ 52/25 with Marathon Havant 2pts @ 44/25 with Marathon Truro 1pt @ 127/100 with Marathon Margate 2.5pts @ 29/20 with Sportingbet Worthing 1pt @ 5/2 with BetVictor
  2. FA Cup Predictions > Nov 14th - 16th

    Probably the most happy I have been to lose a bet. Leatherhead were superb and fully deserved. Great to see the smile wiped of Tamplin's face!
  3. FA Cup Predictions > Nov 14th - 16th

    Fully expecting Billericay to record a very comfortable victory tonight. Tonight Tamplin will want to show the BT Sport viewers that Billericay are one of the big Non-League teams and he will be desperate to prove the point. Obviously Leatherhead will be desperate to beat them and given Tamplin told the BBC viewers after the first game that they will hammer them in the replay they don't need any further incentive. They do have a decent team, but there problem is they are badly out of form. They have just one win in the their last 8 league games and although they only lost 1-0 at Billericay earlier in the season they were in much better form then. Billericay rested some players on Tuesday so expect the likes of Jake Robinson to return to the fray and he has scored 18 goals already this season. If you can get on with Skybet their boost of him to score first at 7/2 is worth chucking a few quid at. Billericay are unbeaten in all competitions since the opening day of season and have scored 18 in 4 home FA Cup matches. Like I say I think they will win easily tonight and the 15/8 on them on the -2 handicap with Paddy's is well worth taking. Billericay -2 2pts @ 15/8 with Paddy Power Robinson to score 1st 0.5pts @ 7/2 with Skybet
  4. Non-League Predictions > Nov 13th - 15th

    Yeah it certainly was a great comeback from FCUM. Thought the bet was dead when they went 2 down.
  5. Non-League Predictions > Nov 13th - 15th

    1 from 1 on Saturday and it is another quiet mid-week with not too many fixtures to look at. I like the look of 1 bet in the National League North and a short price treble as well. FC United v Alfreton FCUM have certainly struggled on the whole this season and they sit just one position and one point out of the relegation places. It is no surprise that they decided to sack Karl Marginson a couple of weeks ago as he had taken the club as far as he could and it needed a fresh pair of hands. Player Tom Greaves has taken over as caretaker manager and he scored their opener in a 3-1 victory over AFC Telford on Saturday. That win came at home and they have won their last 3 home league games now. Given they have won just once away in the league all season it is clear they are stronger at home at the moment. I thought Alfreton might do OK this season and although they are only 6 points off the play-offs they sit in 16 place and just 3 points ahead of their hosts. I must admit they don't look too fair away and although they lost 5 of their last 6 all 5 came against sides in the top 8 and only one of those defeats was by more than a goal. The problem is they have won just 2 away games all season and with FCUM looking so strong at home at the moment I think they will come away with another defeat. I think there is enough in Marathon's 139/100 to get involved. Treble As I mention in the posts above Billericay are playing a league game against Merstham on Tuesday night and the FA Cup replay against Leatherhead on Thursday. I would imagine the likes of Jake Robinson will be rested, but they have added some strength to the squad and whatever team they put out it should be strong enough to beat a home side who are so inconsistent. They have lost 5 of their last 8 league games and had a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Lowestoft on Saturday. A Billericay first team would be a lump on job at 4/5, but given the doubt about who is going to play I will stick them in a treble with a couple of other likely winners. Dulwich are top of the Bostik Premier at the moment and are looking very good at the moment, bar the FA Trophy defeat on Saturday. They have played 9 league games since I saw them lost 1-0 to Hendon with a goal with the very last kick of the game and they have won 8 and drawn 1 of them. Visitors Harrow have lost their last 4 and have picked up just 2 points in their last 7 league away matches. Finally Hereford should really see of Potters Bar Town at the 2nd time of asking in the FA Trophy. The treble pays just under 4/1 with Betfred. FCUM 1pt at 139/100 with Marathon Billericay/Dulwich/Hereford 1pt treble at 3.98/1 with Betfred
  6. Non-League Predictions > Nov 13th - 15th

    I saw the Tweet saying about the Billericay game and was surprised to see it was still on. The bookies seem to be taken into account it will be a weakened team as they put them in at 5/6 which has already been taken. Funnily enough for all the money they spend they didn't have a huge squad, but they have added to it in recent days as I think they realised they need more bodies in to see them through a very busy schedule. Whoever they play though you would still think it will be a team good enough to beat Merstham although I am sure Tamplin will be putting more emphasis on Thursday's game as you can be certain he will be wanting to make a statement live on TV.
  7. Non-League Predictions > Nov 13th - 15th

    Will be interesting to see what side Billericay put out on Tuesday given they have the FA Cup replay on Thursday. I was surprised to see the game still on but I guess they are so far behind they have to try to squeeze them in when they can.
  8. Non-League Predictions > Oct 24th

    Like I said before I can't believe Hill will get sacked. Given his quotes he knows his team isn't good enough, but I think the chairman will play the long game given all the upheaval of last season. He must be pretty close to the chairman as well given their history. Orient can't defend which isn't helped when their two main defenders are both injured. I think they need stability although they are dangerously close to the relegation zone at the moment. Going forward they did pretty well today, but it is just the defence. I guess it is up to the owner to decide if they can't defend because of the manager or if they are just lacking in depth in that area. They had a very rushed preparation and although their first 11 is strong as is being shown now beyond that they have little strength in depth. I also think because they started so well that their fans expectations were suddenly raised so that hasn't helped things either. I wonder what good sacking him will do, that's not to say it won't happen now and he would be a short price fav if I was pricing up the next manager to leave market.
  9. Non-League Predictions > Nov 11th

    1 bet 1 winner to continue adding to the profits!
  10. Non-League Predictions > Nov 11th

    Blimey wanting £600 on a Bostik Prem game in shop is going to raise flags straight away. They know if someone is wanting a bet like that on that that person is going to know way more than them.
  11. Non-League Predictions > Nov 11th

    A very good weekend with the two 2.5pt bets winning in the FA Cup and Met Police winning for the Non-League selections. This weekend however I am only going to put one bet up. I can't remember ever doing this before when there has been a full fixture list, but it looks a really tough set of fixtures. Fylde, Hartlepool and Woking all look a bit bigger than they should be in the National League, but at the same time it wasn't enough to make me want to put them up. The last thing I want to do is force bets for the sake of it as that does no one any good, so it will be just the one for me on Saturday. Bognor Regis v Hampton & Richmond I opposed Bognor on the opening day of the season because they'd had a bit of a nightmare summer. They surprised me by winning 3-2 and given what they have done since I can feel hard done by because they have only won once in the league since then. Indeed their last win was on August 15th and they have picked up just 4 points in their last 12 matches. That is obviously relegation form and they certainly look at the very least like they will be in a relegation battle this season. On the other hand Hampton have been in superb form and are unbeaten in 12 league matches now. Their last defeat came on August 26th and after drawing 6 on the bounce they have finally discovered again how to win matches as they have won their last 4. They have drawn half of their away games and that is a slight worry, but otherwise everything points to an away win. Marathon are clear top price at 119/100. Hampton & Richmond 3pts @ 119/100 with Marathon
  12. FA Cup Predictions > Nov 3rd - 6th

    Pretty happy with that. I know people tend to stay away from betting on the FA Cup, but I never understand why because there is good money to be made. Just a shame Colchester ruined the acca and Tranmere could only draw although they might be a bet in the replay if the price is right.
  13. FA Cup Predictions > Nov 3rd - 6th

    I love punting on the FA Cup as it always throws up the chances of getting some big price winners or you get some bigger prices than you should on the higher ranked teams. The competition has been pretty kind to me so far this season so hopefully that will continue into the weekend. Hyde United v MK Dons At first glance this really should be an easy win for MK Dons as we have a League 1 side playing a team from Step 4 of Non-League football. Hyde got some publicity when it took them ages to win a game in the Conference Premier a few years ago and then they followed that relegation with two more to find themselves at Step 4. Darren Kelly is their manager and he is famous for lasting 8 games at Oldham and then 9 games at Halifax two seasons back. He looked completely out of his depth and he failed to save Hyde when he joined them late on last season. It has to be said though that Kelly seems to have found his level and he has done a superb job in changing their fortunes around. They have yet to lose a league game this season winning 7 and drawing 4. They had a fairly kind passage to this stage of the FA Cup with them only having to play one side from above them in the pyramid, but that doesn't mean they won't be capable of holding their own here. MK Dons are on a hiding to nothing here given the game is live on BBC2 and it is a tricky tie for them. They aren't doing all that well in League 1 at the moment and have only picked up 2 points in their last 5 games. A big factor for me though is that Hyde play on a 3G pitch and as we saw last season that can cause problems for Football League and Premier League sides as they just aren't used to playing on them. Now I do expect MK Dons to be too strong, but I think Hyde are capable of causing them a scare. I am going to back them on the -2 handicap which is 5/4 with Ladbrokes, Coral and Stan James. Gateshead v Chelmsford and Gillingham v Leyton Orient With Gateshead a shade above evens and Gillingham a shade under evens I am going to stick these two in a double as I fancy them just as much as one another and it makes sense to risk less for more money than risking more and if only one wins basically getting my money back. Gateshead's home form is strong, they have lost just twice at home in the league all season and arguably they were unlucky to lose those two. They should have beaten table toppers Dover last weekend and I fancy them to overcome National League South side Chelmsford. In the league they went 5 games without a victory drawing 4 of them and then they looked to come out of the other side of that winning two including beating top of the table Dartford. However they then went and lost to Chippenham last weekend. To be fair that was their 1st away defeat of the season, but this will be much tougher for them. At least they will be used to playing at an athletics stadium! I opposed Leyton Orient last weekend and I was surprised Wrexham conceded 2 goals against them. Although they did beat Dagenham to get through to the 1st Round they haven't won in 10 league games no and have conceded 20 goals in that time. Defending has been a big issue for them and League 1 Gillingham should be able to take full advantage. Gillingham have improved since sacking Ady Pennock and are doing well of late. I am surprised they aren't shorter than they are to be honest and it seems Orient have been priced up as a Football League side not a side who haven't won in 10 National League games. The double pays around 2.9/1 with Marathon. Peterborough v Tranmere Given Peterborough's recent form it is amazing they are 8th in League 1. Prior to beating Shrewsbury last week they had only picked up 1 point in their previous 5 games. Now being the side who finally beat Shrewsbury is obviously a very good feat, but given their form up to that win I think Tranmere have a decent chance of causing an upset. Now if you don't follow the National League you might be thinking that backing a team who have only won 6 of 18 in the league to beat a team in 8th in League 1 is a silly move. However, Tranmere are much better than their league position suggests indeed I still think they are more than capable of winning the title. For whatever reason things haven't quite clicked for them this season, especially in front of goal, but I believe they are the best side in the division and they are certainly showing more than enough of late to suggest that. I can see the Tranmere players looking to make a statement in this and they were really good against Halifax last Saturday. I certainly can't make them as big as 19/4 for this and Bet 365 are at least a quarter of a point bigger than anyone else at the time of writing. Dartford v Swindon Onto Sunday's BBC games now and I like the look of Swindon here to overcome National League South leaders Dartford. To be fair to Dartford they have only lost once at home in the league all season, but I don't think the league is overly strong this season. Swindon's away form in League 2 has been nearly as good as Dartford's home form as they have lost 2 and won 6. I think with Dartford doing so well in the league it will help concentrate the Swindon's players minds that they have a job to do and you would hope their better quality will see them safely through to the 2nd Round. I think Swindon should be odds on for this so the 23/20 available with Skybet, BetVictor and William Hill makes plenty of appeal. Acca Obviously there will be some upsets over the weekend, but there are 5 odds on shots that should all do the business and I think they are worth sticking in an acca. Oxford City are struggling in the National League South and Colchester have only lost one of their last 7 in League 2 and should prove too strong. Nantwich have only won 4 Evo-Stik Premier games all season and although Steveange's recent form has seen them lose 4 of their last 5, their home form has been strong and they should have few issues in winning this. Truro are having a good season in the National League South, but Charlton are flying in League 1 at the moment and they have lost just once at home in the league. I can't see anything but a home win. Fair play to Heybridge on getting this far and because of that they have only played 8 league games so far, winning 7 and losing 1. They are also still in the FA Trophy after winning a replay in midweek. Exeter though are 4th in League 2 and I just can't see how Heybridge can possible compete. Exeter should run out fairly comfortable winners. Finally Solihull are looking for their 3rd manager of the season after Richard Money decided he didn't fancy the job after all earlier in the week. That suggests to me he thought he wouldn't be able to keep them up and I struggle to see how they can beat a Wycombe side doing well in League 2 and having lost just once away from home in the league. Those 5 pay 4.2/1 with Sportingbet. Hyde +2 1pt @ 5/4 with Ladbrokes/Coral Gateshead/Gillingham 2.5pts double @ 2.9/1 with Marathon Tranmere 1pt @ 19/4 with Bet365 Swindon 2.5pts @ 23/20 with Skybet/BetVictor/William Hill Colchester/Stevenage/Charlton/Exeter/Wycombe 1pt acca @ 4.2/1 with Sportingbet
  14. Non-League Predictions > Nov 4th

    Thanks to Stourbridge's easy win on Tuesday night we made nice little profit to keep things ticking over. Obviously with the FA Cup we have a reduced fixture list in the leagues, but I like the look of 3 bets. Leamington v Boston Boston are not in a good shape on the field at the moment as they continue to look for a new manager. They have only collected 1 point in their last 7 league games and they have just 1 point from their 8 away league games conceding 20 goals in the process. That is a pretty sorry state of affairs and it makes improving Leamington an attractive betting proposition. Leamington had an awful start to the season, but they have turned it around and they are now unbeaten in 7 league games. Having lost their first 5 home games of the season, they are now unbeaten in 3 and Marathon's 23/20 about them winning this looks very attractive. Stalybridge v Mickleover Stalybridge have only picked up 1 away point all season, but their home form is a very different matter. In the league they have won 5 of their last 7 and after drawing at Prescot in the FA Trophy on Saturday they then thumped them 5-0 at home in the replay. That really does tell us they are two very different sides at home and away. Mickleover are solid enough and are unbeaten in 4 in the league although they did lose in the FA Trophy last Saturday. I just think though that at home Stalybridge will have too much for them and BetVictor's 31/20 appeals. Lowestoft v Met Police Big changes are happening at Lowestoft with the long standing chairman having left recently and then the manager who had been their 18 years also deciding to leave. It is fair to say they are in a state of flux at the moment. They lost their last league game 6-2 and then lost 3-0 to Worthing in the FA Trophy and Worthing have yet to win in the league this season. Now Met Police are looking potential play-off contenders as they are unbeaten in their last 8 games. The slight worry is they have actually only won once away in the league all season and they have drawn their last 3 including at Worthing. Usually that would be enough to put me off, but given the issues at Lowestoft at the moment, it looks a cracking opportunity for them to get 3 points on the road and they really do look overpriced at 7/4 with BetVictor. This would be a 4 point tip if it wasn't for their away form so I am halving the stakes. Leamington 2pts @ 23/20 with Marathon Stalybridge 1pt @ 31/20 with BetVictor Met Police 2pts @ 7/4 with BetVictor
  15. Non-League Predictions > Oct 31st & Nov 1st

    Easy for Stourbridge but concord made it 5 draws on the bounce