Darran

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Darran last won the day on March 23

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About Darran

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    aka Addpea
  • Birthday 08/26/82

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  1. Way too short a price for especially as Chester have done better in their last two games against better teams than Maidstone. Would still fancy Maidstone to win, but there will be way better 4/6 shots than them.
  2. Matlock v Stalybridge Given the amount of games on Thursday this week I am starting a new thread especially as for some it is their 2nd game of the week. For Stalybridge though it is their 3rd game. They played a county cup game on Monday which went to extra time and they then played a league game against Ashton on Tuesday night where 8 of the players who started on Monday started again. I mentioned this on Twitter just before kick off and suggested people got involved in the handicap markets and at half time I at 1-0 I was fairly confident Ashton would kick on in the 2nd half especially as they had dominated the first. Amazingly Stalybridge ended up winning the game 2-1 which was some feat given in the league they had only got 1 point in their previous 5 games and Ashton were in good form and are trying to stay in the play-offs. Stalybridge also played on Thursday and Saturday last week so this will be their 5th game in a week. For their hosts Matlock it will be their 5th game this month! In addition they are in good form at the moment having won 4 on the bounce. Now they did also play on Tuesday night, but they will surely have the fresher legs here. Stalybridge v Ashton is a derby game and I just wonder if that was the reason that they were able to get a result. Matlock look a decent bet at odds against (11/10) with BetVictor. Matlock 3pts
  3. 3 losers on Saturday although not too much damage done. Margate blowing a 2 goal lead was frustrating though. All these bets are on Tuesday night and all biggish prices again. Maidenhead v Sutton Maidenhead seem to be showing some signs of life again after looking like they were going to coast towards the end of the season. They beat Dover 3-2 at the weekend after scoring a stunning late winner and having beaten one play-off hopeful I think they can beat another one on Tuesday night. Sutton have only won once in their last 6 games and have lost 4 of those. They were the better side against Hartlepool on Saturday, but a stunning performance from their keeper meant it ended in a draw despite the fact Hartlepool only had 2 shots the whole match. Around that though performances have certainly dipped and Maidenhead look value to give Sutton another defeat. Hartlepool v Leyton Orient Speaking of Hartlepool I am taking them on as well on Tuesday night. They aren't certain to be safe just yet, but look to have done enough and that Sutton point was their first in 3. Fellow relegated side Orient actually have a chance of a top 12 finish which is staggering given where they were at prior to Justin Edinburgh's arrival. They are unbeaten in 5 now and got a good point at Macclesfield on Saturday to delay them winning the title. They are the better side of the two here and I would make them favourites so 2/1 makes plenty of appeal. FCUM v York FCUM did lose on Saturday when I put them up against Darlington and according to the report they deserved to lose as well although Darlo needed a gift of a goal to win the game. Even so I am going to back them again here, because York have lost 3 on the bounce now and have just one win in 6. On Saturday they lost to the 10 men of Gainsborough who only have one team below them in the table which is a shocking performance. They are now out of the play-off places and might not get back in unless they improve quickly. Maybe they will, but I think FCUM will make things hard for them here and look value to give York another defeat. Braintree v Whitehawk I'm annoyed I didn't back Whitehawk on Saturday as they were a big price again and beat Welling. Braintree's form has improved with just one loss in 6 now as they look to try and get into the play-offs, but I am not sure they are playing all that well and as I have pointed out a few time Whitehawk's current team would be play-off contenders not certain to be relegated. That makes their price of 5/1 just plain silly and I am happy to get involved. Coalville v Halesowen Into the Evo-Stik Northern Premier for the last bet and Halesowen are ending the season in good form having lost just once in their last 6 games and got a good 1-1 draw against play-off hopefuls Ashton on Saturday. They could have easily have won that game as well as the equaliser only came with pretty much the last kick of the game. Coalville on the other-hand are in poor form having lost 5 on the bounce and they lost 3-2 to fellow strugglers Marine on Saturday with the crucial factor that Marine only had 10 men for most of the 2nd half. The away side look a fair bet to pick up the 3 points. Maidenhead 1pt @ 23/10 with Bet365 Leyton Orient 1pt @ 2/1 with Bet365 FCUM 1pt @ 23/10 with Marathon Whitehawk 1pt @ 26/5 with Marathon Halesowen 1pt @ 19/10 with BetVictor
  4. Shaw Lane v Lancaster has been moved to Lancaster's ground. Not sure what happens to any bets placed so far and obviously the price will change.
  5. Good to be back among the profits on Tuesday night and there are just two weeks left of the season now although some sides still have 6 games still to play! I am going to take it fairly steady tomorrow although I have found 4 bets worth having. Boston v Bradford Park Avenue I am avoiding the National League this weekend as there didn't seem to be a great deal of value so straight into the National League North and I like the home side here. Boston's home form has been really strong and they have just the one defeat at home in their last 10. Bradford have only won twice in their last 10 games and won none of their last 7 away matches. Their season has very much petered out after a good first half and Boston look in better nick at the moment. Marathon's 53/50 is worth taking. FCUM v Darlington Darlington's good run of form has come to a bit of a halt as their only win in their last 4 matches was against bottom side North Ferriby. Regular readers will know how strong FCUM's home form is and they even managed to win away last week. I am more than happy to back them at home again especially as they look over priced at 179/100 with Marathon. Shaw Lane v Lancaster In the Evo-Stik Northern Premier I am going to take on the home side here. They did manage to win on Thursday in what turned out to be an away game as they were forced to switch the game to Stalybridge. They hadn't been in great form themselves so I am not reading too much into the fact Shaw Lane won. They have had such a busy schedule and have lost the vast majority in that spell as well. Granted Lancaster are hardly flying themselves, but they did have a cracking 3-1 win over Grantham on Tuesday night and they haven't played as many matches as Shaw Lane and I think that will make the difference. They are certainly worth taking a chance on at BetVictor's 27/10. Staines v Margate Margate have become the draw specialists as they drew 6 on the bounce. They did win again last week, but lost on Tuesday night. Even so I think they have the edge here as Staines have been very busy this week. First off they lost to Leatherhead on Saturday, Monday they lost 5-3 to Billericay and then on Thursday they were involved in a thrilling 4-4 draw with Folkestone. Those run of games against opponents in the promotion hunt most have left its mark and there is every chance this 4th game on the bounce with a promotion hopeful will be a match too far. Margate's 17/10 with BetVictor is worth taking. Boston 2pts @ 53/50 with Marathon FCUM 1pt @ 179/100 with Marthon Lancaster 1pt @ 27/10 with BetVictor Margate 1pt @ 17/10 with BetVictor
  6. Non-League Predictions > April 12th

    Game was called off this morning
  7. To be fair I thought the same when they played Folkestone the other week and they were very unlucky to lose 2-1 so they clearly have a good performance in them.
  8. Just a note about the Spennymoor game it is being played on Harrogate's 3g pitch as Spennymoor have so many games to fit in
  9. Saturday was a bit of a disaster really but hopefully we will get some of the cash back this mid week. I will put some reasoning behind the other games when I can but as there is a tip for tonight I am just going to list the others for now. Chelmsford v Whitehawk (tonight) I am tipping up the away side here who despite looking certain for relegation now have still only lost two of their last 10 games. Taking a look at the last 10 games form table Chelmsford have 17 and Whitehawk have 16 points so there is little between them on the basis of that. Whitehawk come here on the back of a thumping 3-0 at St Albans on Saturday and I think they can beat another play-off hopeful here. They have only lost 1 of their last 6 away games and as I have mentioned a few times since Christmas they are a much better side than the league table suggests and I don't think its too much of an exaggeration to say that if they had this team in August they would be in the play-off battle. Chelmsford have been very in and out and haven't really convinced in their last two wins against Concord and Poole. Whitehawk will be a tougher test than those two sides and I think they should be around a 2/1 chance not a 53/10 shot as they are with Marathon. Halifax v Sutton I am happy to continue to oppose Sutton on Tuesday night. A long trip to Halifax follows a long trip to Fylde on Saturday where they blew a 1 goal lead. As I wrote for that game they have already said they can't win the title and if they aren't careful they will slip out of the play-off places, but again like I said on Saturday they probably won't mind all that much if that did happen. Halifax are basically safe now and they have been in really good form as they have only lost once in their last 8 games. It was a really good performance on Saturday as well to beat Boreham Wood 2-1 and I think they look over priced to gain another 3 points here. Solihull v Maidstone Solihull have become really hard to beat under Mark Yates and they should be able to stay up. They have only lost twice in their last 10 games and both of those were by a goal to nil against Ebbsfleet and Sutton. They have drawn half their games in that time which is a slight worrry, but they are unbeaten at home in their last 10 games winning 5 and drawing the other 5. Given Maidstone's I think they can pick up another 3 points here. Strangely enough their away form is the complete opposite of Solihull's having drawn 5 and lost 5 and their overall form has gone off the boil again after a mini revival. Only drawing against Guiseley wasn't a great effort on Saturday and if Solihull can pick up another 3 points they will be almost safe. Dulwich v Tonbridge/Biggleswade v Slough I am playing safe in just putting Slough in a double instead of looking to go big in opposing Biggleswade again. Barbury didn't test the keeper enough in the first half and it also sounds like when they did in the 2nd half he is up to the test. Slough should be a different story though and they seem to have found their grove again as they look to enter the play-offs in good form. Slough should win this. Dulwich should have beaten Burgess Hill on Saturday as they had numerous chances, but only got 1 and Burgess Hill scored a cracker to equalise. Hopefully they can bounce back here and go back above Folkestone and continue to put some pressure on Billericay. Wealdstone v Oxford City (Wednesday night) Whitehawk 1pt @ 53/10 with Marathon Halifax 1pt @ 73/20 with Marathon Solihull 1pt @ 5/4 with Betway Dulwich/Slough 2pts double @ 6/4 with Marathon Oxford City 1pt @ 19/10 with Marathon
  10. Non-League Predictions > April 7th

    Bromley should win, but sometimes you get funny results when a team has been relegated however given the manager will be changing it is hard to see why the Chester players should be motivated, Guiseley haven't done too badly of late and Dagenham are hard to predict at the moment although they should win. I am going to tipping up Halifax to beat Sutton so more on that later. Tranmere should win although hardly a backable price.
  11. Non-League Predictions > April 7th

    Sorry guys that was pretty shocking today thankfully they have been pretty rare this season. Seems like Banbury didn’t test the keeper enough in the first half and then he pulled off some great saves in the 2nd. Was able to get a tip out late on Twitter after seeing some team news which won but it was pointless putting it here as it was so close to kick off.
  12. Non-League Predictions > April 7th

    Listened to an interview with the Biggleswade manager this morning and he said they won't have a keeper for today's match and the player who went in goal against Gosport may not be fit to play
  13. Non-League Predictions > April 7th

    Where a team finishes in the play-offs though is crucial this season as to who they might have to play and if they get home advantage so I certainly wouldn't be opposing a team who look certain to be in the play-offs just on that basis.
  14. The weather has caused all sorts of problems and the fact the worst of it has hit late into the season means lots of clubs are having to play Saturday, Tuesday, Thursday at the moment and in the next couple of weeks there are going to be some tired legs out there. Its going to be hard as a punter to try and keep up with when games are taking place and who has played when, but hopefully there will be money to be made. AFC Fylde v Sutton Fair play to Sutton boss Paul Doswell as after the loss to Bromley on Monday he admitted Sutton can no longer win the title. To be fair I am not sure he will be all that bothered. He knows that going up will hurt the club given they will have to replace their 3g pitch and although if it happened they will do it, reading between the lines it seems to me that the club hope it doesn't happen. They looked a side who had run out of steam on Monday and really struggled against a Bromley side who deservedly won the game. They now have to travel to a Fylde side who have almost been unstoppable at home. It is worth pointing out that they have beaten Tranmere 5-2, Macclesfield 6-0 and Aldershot 7-1 at home since the turn of the year. They have only lost 3 games at home all season and since the turn of the year they have played 11 home games and Leyton Orient were the only team to beat them. They are in with a real chance of getting into the play-offs at the first time of asking, but even if they don't go up this year they are already on my radar for next season's title. To me Sutton are there for the taking and Fylde are more than good enough to take full advantage. They look a fair bet at 129/100 with Marathon. Southport v Nuneaton Although Southport's defeat against Alfreton was a costly one for us I am happy to back them again here. After that Alfreton game they lost 3-2 to York, but that was still a decent effort. Both their games over Easter were called off so they have had a week and a half without a game which is no bad thing. I am happy to take on Nuneaton despite the fact they have only lost once in their last 10 games.The important thing for me though is the improvement came under Dino Maamria, but since he has gone to Stevenage performances have definitely become worse. Their last 3 games have seen them draw with North Ferriby, lose to Leamington and draw with Alfreton in a game which was low on quality. Southport for me have the clear edge in this and I am happy to take the even money with Betway. Truro v East Thurrock The home side are looking to keep themselves in the play-offs and they look a big price here to pick up another 3 points. They had won 4 games on the bounce prior to a thrilling 3-3 draw with Hemel on Good Friday. Hemel took the lead 3 times and Truro's 3rd came in the 94th minute. East Thurrock on the other hand have only won twice in their last ten games and they came against Bognor who are all but relegated and Concord who are in a relegation battle. They have nothing left to play for now and for me the home side should be odds on so Marathon's 29/25 makes plenty of appeal. Banbury v Biggleswade So the weather beat us when trying to oppose Biggleswade on Wednesday night, but we get another chance on Saturday. The story took another twist though when the goalkeeper who was meant to have been in Poland was actually still in England and has never even been to Poland. He had played for them in pre season, but he doesn't actually want to play for them which is a little surprising given he now has a bit of fame. The league may allow them to sign an emergency keeper but I would be surprised if that did happen to be honest. Even if they did Banbury should win anyway and in their last 10 games Hereford are the only team who have beaten them. They score plenty of goals as well so they should put whoever plays in goal under plenty of pressure. The -1 is 11/10 with a handful of bookies and hopefully we might see a few more price it up. AFC Fylde 2pts @ 129/100 with Marathon Southport 2pts @ Evs with Betway Truro 3pts @ 29/25 with Marathon Banbury -1 4pts @ 11/10 with Skybet/BetVictory/Betbright
  15. Stalybridge game is off. Shaw Lane have 11 games to fit in in the next 21 days which is just crazy.