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Darran

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Darran last won the day on October 11

Darran had the most liked content!

About Darran

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    Non League Punter
  • Birthday 08/26/1982

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  1. What price did they go off at? I noticed early in the 2nd half when it was 1-1 they were 11/10 which obviously was way shorter than I had put them up at pre game. They must have been long odds on I would have thought.
  2. I was tempted by Merthyr but there away form put me off. Could be they have just improved of late though and certainly couldn't put anyone off.
  3. Happy enough with the way things went on Saturday obviously frustrating the two bigger bets failed to land, but there were some big prices landed with the 4 teams that did win and it was just what was needed after a couple of tough sessions. Not that many games this week and I have just two bets that have caught my eye. Blackfield & Langley v Weston-Super-Mare My main ante-post bets for the BetVictor Southern Premier South were Weston and they have made a solid start to the season where they have maybe drawn more than ideal. They showed their class on Saturday though as they hammered Dorchester 6-0. I fancy them to follow that victory up with a win here as they face a Blackfield who are struggling at the moment. They have lost their last 4 games and their 4 wins in the league this season have mainly come against the weaker sides in the league. Hopefully Weston make their class count and they can win at 63/50 with Marathon. Merstham v Cray Wanderers The home side are not having a good season and look like they are going to find themselves in a relegation battle this season. I opposed them a couple of weeks ago against Worthing and the same comments apply here. They lost that match 3-1 and then on Saturday they lost 4-1 to Leatherhead and by the sounds of it could have been much worse for them as Leatherhead missed some really good chances and a penalty. Cray look a big price at 7/4 with Bet365. They are doing well after winning promotion last season and the 5-3 defeat against Enfield on Saturday is their only defeat in their last 8 games. They were 5-1 down at one stage, but they kept going to make the scoreline a bit more respectable which is something that is good to see. The one slight concern is they have drawn 5 of their last 10 games, but this looks a good opportunity for them to pick up 3 points. Weston-Super-Mare 1pt @ 63/50 with Marathon Cray Wanderers 2pts @ 7/4 with Bet365
  4. Wish I had left Boreham Wood out as well so I could have won that much lol
  5. I have had tough spells in the past and given this one has only lasted 2 match days it is not exactly the longest, but this week has been really tough. Saturday wasn't great and the 3pt Yeovil bet losing was annoying, but what happened on Monday and Tuesday was just awful. Gloucester should have won that game with ease in the circumstances, but they massively under performed and obviously personally that defeat was hard to take. Then for Dover to go and somehow lose 4-0 to Aldershot on the Tuesday night was probably an even freakier result. I have now tipped up Dover in their only 2 games they have failed to win on the road and they have conceded 7 times in those two matches. Granted it was only a point on Hartlepool on Wednesday night, but to see them defend as badly as they did for the 2 Stockport goals was pretty hard to take as it was really bad stuff. Obviously if you were a new follower after the two really good days the week before then you might be wondering what all the fuss is about and you will be a fair few quid down. I can make no guarantees about making a profit, but hopefully come April I will still be in profit and who knows we might get a day like the final day of last season again! Anyway onto Saturday and I have 6 bets. Halifax v Boreham Wood Chorley turned up to Halifax on Tuesday night and didn't even try to win the game and Halifax just couldn't break them down. Fair play to Chorley because they keep drawing games so in some ways it was no disrespect to only get a point against them rather than all 3. I do think though they can get straight back to winning ways against a Boreham Wood side who will have done plenty of travelling this week. They have been in decent nick only losing 2 of their last 7 games, but one of those was when they had to go all the way to Barrow on Tuesday night and they lost 3-1 to the in form home side. It is pretty nasty of the fixture list to send them to Barrow on a Tuesday and then Halifax on the Saturday especially when Halifax played at home on Tuesday night. Halifax have got the best defence in the league which is key given Tshimanga and Marsh have both score 8 goals for Wood this season. Keep them quiet and the chances are you will win the game and hopefully Halifax will do just that. I would have them odds on myself so 13/10 looks a big price. AFC Telford v York City York are still unbeaten which is pretty impressive after 12 games and hopefully they will be making it 13 games unbeaten after this one. They are already looking like they will be hard to beat for the title and they ought to have too much for a Telford side who have been really struggling of late. They lost to Blyth in their last league game and were also dumped out of the FA Cup 3-0 to Nantwich from the league below. They have conceded 3 goals in each of their last 4 home games as well and you would expect a side like York to be able to punish them on that front as well. Again I think York should be odds on shorts so 59/50 makes plenty of appeal. Curzon Ashton v Blyth Spartans Blyth are obviously risky because they haven't been great so far this season, but they have shown signs of improvement and they look way over priced to beat a badly out of form Curzon side who are in worse form. Curzon have not won a game since August 12th and not only that they have only picked up 1 point in the league since then and that was when they drew with Stalybridge on Bank Holiday Monday which stopped me from getting a very profitable full house on that day! Blyth know they can beat Curzon as they beat them in a FA Cup replay last month. As mentioned above Blyth won their last league game against Telford and although they lost to Hednesford in the FA Cup last Saturday they still look in better shape than their hosts at the moment. I would probably have them around the 7/4 mark and the 29/10 they actually are is way over the odds. Whitby v Warrington I am going to try and get some of the money back lost on Monday by taking on Whitby again. We know they were down to the barebones for Monday and although getting time off work won't be an issue here they still have injuries to deal with. The players were out on their feet on Monday after about 60 minutes and Gloucester were well on top despite having just 10 men and I even get the feeling City might have won the tie if they had 11 men on the pitch. Taken that into account I suspect there will be some tired Whitby legs on Saturday. Also given they have a great chance of getting to the 1st Round of the FA Cup next Saturday and I would imagine they will have more than one eye on that tie against Stourbridge. Warrington are more than good enough to take advantage and have yet to loose on their travels in the league this season. Granted they haven't won in 4, but they have drawn 3 of those games and although South Shields already look away and gone they should be in the play-offs. All things considered I think they are over priced for this and are well worth backing. Hartley Whitney v Walton Casuals The home side have yet to win at home in the league this season and hopefully that will continue to be the case here. They have only won twice and they have come against Dorchester who are below them in the table and Met Police who are one place above them. Walton Casuals lost their first 5 games, but have followed that up with 4 straight wins so come here in fine form and I fancy them to make it 5 losses and 5 victories. Harrow v Truro Truro are having a cracking season after relegation having lost just twice in 10 games and have won 7 of them as well. They look possible title contenders and I think they can get another 3 points here. Harrow started the season well enough and were unbeaten after 5 games, but they have lost 3 of their last 4 and I suspect they are going to find their place in the table being the bottom half come April. I think Truro are well worth a bet as they are the better side of the two and hopefully will go and prove that on the pitch. Oxford City v Dartford This is an extra bet after I put the initial 6 bets up. It was announced on Thursday evening that Steve King was the new manager at Dartford and I think that news makes them worth a bet on Saturday. We usually see an improved performance from teams who have a new manager and I am a huge fan of Steve King. His track record especially at this level is hugely impressive and as much as fans of rival clubs have always wanted to slag him off I have never really understood why given how good he is. He nearly saved Whitehawk from relegation 2 seasons ago given from memory I don't think they had even won a game when he joined, they certainly were detached at the bottom of the table. He then went to Welling and got them to finish 3rd despite the fact they cut the wage budget during the season and they went on to lost to Woking in the play-off final. I'm not surprised he wasn't out of work for long and I expect him to get an under performing Dartford rising up the table. Oxford City have won three games at home this season and two of them were against Hampton & Richmond with the other against North Leigh in the FA Cup. They have drawn against Weymouth and Billericay in their last two home league games which are fair efforts, but I think we could see a big performance from Dartford this weekend and at 15/8 I am willing to back them. Halifax 3pts @ 13/10 with William Hill York 2.5pts @ 59/50 with Marathon Blyth Spartans 1pt @ 29/10 with Marathon Warrington 1pt @ 9/4 with BetVictor Walton Casuals 1pt @ 153/100 with Marathon Truro 1pt @ 7/5 with Marathon Dartford 1pt @ 15/8 with Bet365
  6. Cheers for those stats. I don't always get top price as I don't have easy access to a BetVictor account. The Naps would have been showing a profit before Saturday and Tuesday's disaster.
  7. Must admit I have never really understood his posts so have just ignored him. I've had bad spells, but this past week has been one of the toughest I have had. Tonight Hartlepool defended terribly for the two goals and despite having lots of possession didn't do enough with it in the final 3rd. If people want to stop following that's up to them, but prior to Saturday I had a great couple of sessions with 4 late goals making a huge difference to things. I've been posting on here for nearly 10 years now and only a couple of times have I struggled on match betting so it is proven that I will nearly always make a profit over a season. Obviously I can never guarantee that as it is gambling at the end of the day, but hopefully come the end of April we will all be a few quid up.
  8. Don’t have any strong view to be honest. Might be a bit high but they have under performed for me so far this season
  9. It was annoying Whitby tweeted their news story just after I posted on here as that meant the info was out there for everyone so was going to go even quicker than I initially thought.
  10. Just after posting Whitby Tweeted this confirming the news I had been told https://whitby-town.com/injury-woes-mount-as-wearmouth-added-to-missing-party
  11. Gloucester v Whitby Part of me doesn't want to get involved in this game as obviously I already have a lot riding on it from an emotional point of view as I am always desperate for us to progress in the FA Cup, but take my heart out of it the game looks to be potentially one that money can be made from and ultimately I would be getting involved if I wasn't a Gloucester fan. Whitby should have won the first tie on Saturday and Gloucester equalised very late in the game to take the match to a replay. Not surprisingly the Whitby players looked gutted after the goal goes in and that for me was the moment their hopes in the FA Cup ended. Just 48 hours later they have to travel over 200 miles to Evesham to take in the replay. That is tough for plenty of reasons but the main one being they could well struggle to raise a team tonight. They were already suffering from injuries and the squad was pretty depleted on Saturday and then the players have to try and get a day off work at very short notice. Now until the final team sheet is seen it is impossible to know for certain who is on that team bus, but I have seen it suggested that they may not have 10 outfield players. I did consider waiting to see the team news before having a bet, but I think it is a case of trying to beat the crowd on this one. Given the Gloucester players had a massive scare on Saturday I don't think they will take things lightly tonight and with the draw given them a home tie against a lower league side in the next round, it looks a decent opportunity to get to the 1st Round. Gloucester have done us a few favours already this season and even if Whitby do have 10 outfield players on the pitch I still think City will be too strong at the 2nd time of asking. For me the bet is on the -1 handicap with is 15/8 with Betfair and Paddy Power which could look very big depending on team news and looks a good bet anyway. Gloucester City -1 3pts @ 15/8 with Betfair, Paddy Power and Boylesports
  12. A poor day on Saturday, but days like that will happen so we move on to the midweek action and I have 2 bets I like the look of. Aldershot v Dover It really annoys me that the only time I have backed Dover when they have played away from home was the only time they haven't won on their travels this season. That game ended in defeat to Boreham Wood, but apart from that they have been exceptional on the road this season and I fancy them to win here against a poor Aldershot side. Aldershot have only managed to beat Wrexham at home so far this season and obviously given where they are in the table it doesn't say a great deal. They played out a dire 0-0 on Saturday against Chorley and you would expect Dover to have too much for them. Dover played their part in a good game on Saturday where they were denied the 3 points late on by Notts County in a 2-2 draw. For me Dover should be odds on for this and I can't see the 13/10 lasting. Stockport v Hartlepool This game is the live BT Sport game on Wednesday night and I think Hartlepool are a big price to back up their win against Yeovil on Saturday. They played really well and to get a winner in injury time a couple of minutes after Yeovil had equalised showed a real strength in character. That was their first win in 6, but they are unbeaten in 3 now and they have decent away form only losing to Halifax and Dagenham so far on their travels. I still think they look a side capable of being in the promotion mix and to be fair despite the fact they are 15th they are only 4 points from the play-off places. Stockport are in desperate form at the moment and lost 5 on the bounce before getting a 0-0 draw at Sutton on Saturday. There were some shocking performances in those defeats as well and they were conceding goals for fun. Manager Jim Gannon saw some improvement on Saturday, but it wasn't a great game and I think Hartlepool can punish them. I'm surprised that Hartlepool are as big as 5/2 because I think they are the better team and would have them no bigger than 7/4. Dover 4pts @ 13/10 with BetVictor Hartlepool 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365
  13. Typical although after the last two sessions not surprised something went against us.
  14. Poor afternoon and give back some profit sadly. Also for the 2nd round running Bristol Manor Farm have stopped the FA Cup acca from winning.
  15. I wouldn't really want to be backing Wrexham at the moment and they had an extra game in mid-week albeit I did think the price was a bit higher than I would have made it.