Darran

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Darran last won the day on December 16 2017

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About Darran

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    aka Addpea
  • Birthday 08/26/82

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  1. For the final time I am writing this in oz on my phone so back to normal next week. I see the weather hasn’t been great so I guess some of these might be lost but I have 5 bets. Leyton Orient continue to look decent under Edinburgh and they travel to a Halifax side who I am still unconvinced about. Over 2s on the away win looks big. Another team to improve for a change of manager have been Eastleigh and with Maidstone struggling at home this season and not being in great form in general I think the away win is much bigger than it should be. Torquay need a minor miracle to stay up and it’s hard to understand why Bromley are as big as they are and they have useful away form this season. Obviously I am opposing Eastbourne again and although St Albans are a bit too in and out for my liking given I’m on them for the league they should be much too good here and odds against looks generous. Kingstonian have made some great loan signings and it’s meant a big improvement on the pitch. I like them to make it 3 wins on the bounce against brightlingsea Eastleigh 2pts Leyton Orient 1pt Bromley 1pt st Albans 3pts kingstonian 3pts
  2. Non-League Predictions > Jan 13th

    Woken up to another profitable afternoon which is good to see
  3. Right I’m typing this on my phone so it will be very brief. At big odds I think Hendon and heybridge are worth backing in the Fa Trophy. Havant are over priced especially given their away form in the big game in the NLS. Hampton look a great bet at odds against as more than happy to continue to oppose Eastbourne. Whitehawk worth another go at long odds and the very much in form leatherhead are worth backing in the bostik premier. Hendon 1pt Heybridge 1pt Havant 1pt Hampton 3pts Whitehawk 1pt Leatherhead 3pts
  4. Weather doesn’t sound the best back in the uk so suspect games will be lost. I have just the two bets. Going to go with whitehawk again after putting 4 past Eastbourne. Bognor in the relegation zone as well and hard to make the home side as big as they are with marathon. The other bet is hitchin who are on a good run of form who travel to a Banbury side who are struggling at the moment especially at home where their form is awful. Again marathon are biggest. whitehawk 1pt hitchin 1pt
  5. Non-League Predictions > Jan 1st

    Great start to the new year getting 5 out of 8 although amazed by that Tranmere result
  6. Non-League Predictions > Jan 1st

    Just a quick note to say that I am heading off to Australia on Sunday night for 3 weeks. I hope that I will still be able to put tips up and at the very least write some brief previews. It does also mean I won't find out what has happened to the above bets until I get off the plane in Sydney so lets hope its a nice surprise to help with the jet lag!
  7. Non-League Predictions > Jan 1st

    A small loss to end 2017, but it has been a hugely successful calendar year and hopefully 2018 will be just as good. The weather looks better so hopefully that shouldn't be an issue and I have 8 bets in total. AFC Fylde v Tranmere Tranmere are really finding their feet now and are looming large as they continue their rise up the table. They are the best side in the division for me and finally everything is clicking and they are looking really impressive. They win their game in hand and they would be in 2nd place behind Macclesfield. They have now won 5 on the bounce in the league and have just one defeat in their last 10 league matches. Now their away form has been a bit in and out, but they only played one away league game in December and that was the impressive 3-1 win at Sutton. Prior to that they drew 2-2 against Macclesfield when the home side equalised in injury time. Having put 4 past Fylde on Boxing Day you would be hopeful they can get another 3 points. The home side got a good win on Saturday coming from a goal down against Maidenhead and they have lost just two home league games all season. Having said that prior to playing Ebbsfleet on December 23rd their last home league game was November 18th. Micky Mellon said Fylde made it hard for them on Boxing Day despite the scoreline and I am sure they will again, but I think they are value to keep the winning run going. Marathon have them at 6/4 to do so. Dagenham & Redbridge v Leyton Orient Sounds like Dagenham deserved a point against Ebbsfleet even if the equaliser did come late on. Even so I think what I wrote in that preview still holds true and I just can't get over the price on Orient here. They were really unfortunate to lose 1-0 to Bromley on Saturday having gone down to 10 men early on as they had numerous chances to at least get an equaliser. Justin Edinburgh has really improved them and as Boxing Day proved Orient look a play-off challenging side rather than a team near the relegation zone. After beating them 2-0 a week ago it makes little sense to have them at 7/2 (Marathon) to win this game. Granted playing over 80 minutes with over 10 men isn't ideal, but for me that is more than factored into the price. Solihull Moors v Maidenhead The home side have definitely improved since Mark Yates took over and it was a close game between these two sides which Maidenhead won 1-0. Solihull then got a cracking victory at Barrow on Saturday and on the back of that I think they can pick up another 3 points here. As mentioned above Maidenhead blew a 1-0 lead on Saturday to Fylde and as their record suggests they are a very in and out side. With home advantage I am surprised Moors are 41/20 to win this because I would probably just about make them favs. Bromley v Ebbsfleet This is the live game on Monday and it does seem a bit of an odd pick although I am hoping the away side edge it. Granted their away form hasn't been the best and they have picked up just 2 points in their last 5 away games, but again as mentioned above that is a bit misleading because the Fylde game was their only away league game last month and I think they are playing better than they were in November. Bromley still don't really convince me and they look a mid-table side. As mentioned above they had luck on their side against Orient in that win and I can't make them such strong favs to win this. Ebbsfleet look decent value at Bet 365s 21/10. Alfreton v Stockport Now Stockport have only won two away league games all season, but they have only lost one of their last five on their travels which was a 3-2 defeat a Brackley. Travelling to Alfreton is going to be a very different story as they have lost their last 5 home league games and conceded 13 times in those games. That Brackley defeat is Stockport's only loss in their last 7 league games whereas Alfreton have lost 7 of their last 8 league games which tells its own story. At 143/100 with Marathon Stockport look a nice price. Bognor Regis v Havant & Waterlooville These two teams drew 0-0 on Boxing Day, but as regular followers will know Havant's away form is way better than their home form. It reads won 8, drawn 2 and lost just 1. They are unbeaten in 10 league games now as well and I fancy them to win this. Bognor have drawn their last 3 games, but they have only won once in their last 10 and they haven't won in their last 9 home matches. The vast majority of bookies are either odds on or evens about an away win which makes Marathon's 117/100 a real stand out bet. Eastbourne v Whitehawk I have to back Whitehawk again as I did on Boxing Day as they were all over Eastbourne, but just couldn't score and they were defeated 1-0 and the Eastbourne goal was a penalty. I am clearly not the only person who thinks Whitehawk might get their first win of the season as they have been backed, but they are still value for me at Marathon's 73/20 as there is nowhere near the gap in class between these two sides as the betting suggests, in fact I would have them pretty much the same price. Merstham v Worthing You never really know what you are going to get from the home side as prior to losing their last two games, they were unbeaten in 4, but prior to that they had lost 4. Losing 3-1 to Tooting on Saturday was a poor effort and I just have to back Worthing again. I know they only drew against Lowestoft, but they played well again and the fact remains they are making themselves very hard to beat at the moment. No way should they be 31/10 (BetVictor) to win this and they have to be backed. Tranmere 1.5pts @ 6/4 with Marathon Leyton Orient 1pt @ 7/2 with Marathon Solihull Moors 1pt @ 41/20 with Marathon Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365 Stockport 2pts @143/100 with Marathon Havant & Waterlooville 3pts @ 117/100 with Marathon Whitehawk 1pt @ 73/20 with Marathon Worthing 1pt @ 31/10 with BetVictor
  8. Non-League Predictions > Dec 27th - 30th

    I think this year is rather unique though in the fact that teams play Saturday, Tuesday, Saturday all the time so should be used to it. Monday afternoon might be a little different but even then the schedule is no way as tough as it can be at this time of year.
  9. Non-League Predictions > Dec 27th - 30th

    Boxing Day was a bit of a horror show, but hopefully we can end 2017 with a profit. I have 5 bets which will hopefully beat the weather. Ebbsfleet v Dagenham & Redbridge For me Dagenham are a worse version of last season side. Last season they looked very very good at times, but then threw in some right stinkers. This season they have still looked a very good side on occasions, but less so and have thrown in more stinkers. I think they should still have enough for the play-offs, but they hardly look a title winning side to me. When they beat Chester 4-0 on the TV the other week, they were shocking in the first half and whilst they did improve in the 2nd for me the game told us more about how bad Chester are at the moment than how good Dagenham are. That victory was one of just 3 away wins this season and they have lost their last two league games and you can add in a FA Trophy defeat to Hereford as well. I always try and read the Racing Post non-league tips and I thought their opposition of Ebbsfleet on Boxing Day was a strange one which was mainly based on the fact they thought Bromley were a classier side. Quite why the write thought that I don't know because I would be very surprised if Ebbsfleet didn't finish above them come April and of course they ended up winning the game. Their home form this season has been superb winning 7 and losing just twice and they have won 5 of their last 6 at home. They are now unbeaten in 4 and have won 3 of those. I tipped them up for a top 7 finish at the start of the season and they are now just 2 points off the play-offs. They are favs, but I would have them as stronger favs than they are so the 159/100 with Marathon looks an appealing price. Billericay v Dulwich Given how the pitch looked today I am not sure this game will go ahead, but if it does Dulwich are a value play. Billericay have been making hard work of wining their league games of late and they now face the 2nd best team in the league. I feel sorry for Dulwich because take Billericay out of things and they would be a very short price themselves to win the league. Obviously the home side should be favs, but Dulwich are too big. If you have a Betstars account they are biggest at 17/4, BetVictor are next at 21/5 and then if you are like me will have to take the 4/1 with Betfred. Harrow v Leatherhead Now Leatherhead's away form has been shocking so far this season. They won their first away game against Kingstonian in their first away game of the season, but given Kingstonian play their home games at Leatherhead it doesn't really count. Their next away win came on Wednesday night when they beat Met Police. They look to be using some of their FA Cup money in strengthening the side and they have to believe that the play-offs are still a possibility. Getting some away wins would help and I think they are worth backing to win at Harrow. Harrow have lost 6 of their last 7 home games and have conceded 19 goals in those matches. Ironically their only win came against Met Police. Again Betstars are biggest at 21/10 but 2/1 is available at a few bookies including Betfred and Betway and that looks value for an away win. Kingstonian v Staines I wanted to oppose the home side on Boxing Day and I guess this game is probably in doubt here, but Staines look well worth backing. The home side have just one point in their last 6 games and look like a side who need to be careful they don't get sucked into the relegation battle. Staines will be hoping to keep onto their play-off sport and have lost just twice in their last 9 league games. One of those was when they had no strikers available for their game against Billericay which not surprisingly they lost. They have also lost just one away match in their last 8 and they look the best bet of the day. Marathon go 11/10. Wothing v Lowestoft This game is on a 3g pitch so will be on and I am going to stick with the home side. Based on the last 10 matches form guide Worthing are 7 which just shows how much of an improved side they are. Finally I got paid out for backing them on Boxing Day and hopefully will do again here. They have lost just 2 of their last 9 games and the Thurrock defeat a week ago is their only home lose in their last 6 and they really should have won that. Lowestoft are very hot and cold having won 4 and lost 6 in their last 10 league games. I think Worthing are playing better at the moment and am happy to back them again at the 8/5 with Betfred. Ebbsfleet 2pts @ 159/100 with Marathon Dulwich 1pt @ 17/4 with Betstars Leatherhead 1pt @ 21/10 with Betsars Staines 3pts @ 11/10 with Marathon Worthing 1pt @ 8/5 with Betfred
  10. Non-League Predictions > Dec 27th - 30th

    I think if anything Fylde are the value against Maidnehead but not a game that appeals. I have been thinking about Hartlepool as Chester are desperate at the moment, but Hartlepool haven't been much better and it looks priced up about right to me.
  11. Non-League Predictions > Dec 27th - 30th

    Glad I hadn’t written a preview yesterday as looks like we could lose a few of these games with some inspections for today already.
  12. How ironic that Worthing were the only winners. Poor day but we go again on Saturday.
  13. Not ideal as the Ashton game has been called off.
  14. Not elsewhere but Paul signed me up to PL so my tips are exclusive on here now.
  15. Kingstonian v Merstham is off.