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  1. Yesterday
  2. Bet 30 Penarol v Nacional Lay 0-3 70.50 @ 48
  3. Bang on with the sarcastic 1-1 prediction. I fancied Barnsley who couldn't hang on.then QPR in running but left it out and regret it...
  4. Wolverhampton, 16:35, Falcon Cliffs, 2/1 BV
  5. NEWCASTLE 1.10 SPEAK OF THE DEVIL 9/4 BET365
  6. Xtc12

    Conflict Cup

    2nd today Cadzand 15.30 Warwick 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog) €35,000 half-brother to bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler Ballymak from fine NH family. Easy winner of point on debut in March and positives to draw from opening third in this sphere at Newbury.
  7. 1st @ 4\11 - led, jumped very slow and headed 1st, tracked leaders, jumped badly left and slow 2nd, led before 2 out, kept on well towards finish Not Never 13.30 Taunton 4 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog) Has a good strike rate and shaped as if he'd come on for the run when sixth in a handicap at Plumpton last month. Obvious claims dropped in grade.
  8. 15.35 Wolverhampton - Isabella Ruby - 1 Pt Win @ 6\1 Bet365
  9. nobody who puts money on betting does it for entertainment we all do it to make some money
  10. Great game all, tough HU vs Paul who outclassed me & was VUL also VUL therivr vs my rejam!
  11. £1 Treble Coventry to win 2.50 Stoke to win 2.05 Bradford to win 2.30
  12. Looks Good 5.35 Wolverhampton (E.Way 10/1 BetVictor) Recently sold for £30k in December, Looks Good is by far the most expensive horse in this line up.
  13. 1 pt win Somekindofstar 12.50 Warwick 20/1 Bet365
  14. JdsGooner90

    200

    Bet 29 Olympiakos vs Red Star Belgrade (0-0 78) Lay 3-0 @ 50
  15. Taunton 2:35 Le Ligerien - 8/1 bet365 win thanks Le Ligerien - from Philip Hobbs yard who saddles two in race, This 6yo has been a winner of a hurdle race at 2m 3f on good ground last year at Fontwell in Maiden Hurdle with Richard Johnson in saddle, he had a handful of runs last year on horse and found a 2nd place here which started a three 2nd places run with that win followed , Richard been in saddle in last two of three runs this season with last run 14 days ago here when 3rd over 2m 0.5f they up the distance to 2m 3f and handicapper has him off 116 which is 5lbs below his winning mark here with Richard Johnson in saddle
  16. Maybe it is bad idea, but it's certainly nice idea, I enjoy crumbling numbers, especially when you have a vast source of statistcis, similar to one created by poster above, Giraldi, check site in his signature to see what is next level statistics. And I think it's valid as long as you see betting as entertainment and not source of living. As for your article, I can hardly take seriously people who play "football" using hands, and who christened actual football as "soccer". Why not checking native British expert, Joe Buchdachl, he has several amusing books on that topic, and you can find nice and short briefing on stats based betting in his site: https://www.football-data.co.uk/ratings.pdf Finally, PuntersLounge has its own stats based system, ELO Ratings, and @NickP recently proved that it can be successfull, see here: Overall, I believe you cannot generalize that systems based on stats are good or bad; they are as good or as bad as you can process available statistics and predict when match will follow the trend and when it will deviate.
  17. 3.50 Chelmsford City Maximize @ 33/1 ew Bet365
  18. Your observation is totally correct, you are absolutely right! You only need to pay a bit of attention to your words that I emphasized above. If you check, you will see for yourself that odds for under 5.5 if one goal is scored at HT, and under 4.5 if no goals at HT, are barely 1.05 or even less. And if you check this year games, not a dozen of today games, but thousands of this year games, you will find that usually 5 out of 100 such a matches go over 5.5 or over 4.5. So, if you bet 100 units each time, you will win 5 units 95 times, add or take two or three times, and lose 100 units 5 times, add or take two or three times. Now do the math, and you will see where does your system go. Though, if you are able to select games, not to bet on all today games or all this year games, but to select matches so that you hot over 4.5 or over 5.5 less than (100-100/odds) out of 100 matches, where "odds" are average winning odds you get, after commission, then indeed you have a profitable system. So, all you need is to find such a matches.
  19. Betvictor chase friday Singlefarmpayment 245 +3 Cogry 243 +3 Doing fine 240 +2 Cogry won this last year and will make another bold bid with conditions to suit ....would have been the ew bet at 11/2 But currently 5/1 ....Doing fine has ew chances off bottom weight but Singlefarmpayment is capable of a big run on a good day and last race should have put him spot on for this so it's close between top 2 but I'll try win bets Singlefarmpayment 5pts win 13/2 sky Cogry 5pts win 5/1 bet365
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