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Showing content with the highest reputation since 09/10/19 in all areas

  1. 3 points
    Another frustrating day on Saturday when a late Eastleigh goal stopped a profit being made with York ending up being the only winner. Obviously annoying that the Nap's Alfreton were 2 down after 3 minutes. There isn't much action this mid-week, but a couple of bets catch my eye in the two BetVictor Southern Leagues. Nuneaton v Stourbridge The home side were one of the favourites for the league, but they look a long way off being champions at the moment. They had seemed to spend a bit of cash on the squad over the summer despite the fact they nearly went bust last season, but I did wonder if they might still struggle given how bad they were last year. They have won just 2 of their opening 7 games with wins over Needham Market and Lowestoft (who are below them in the league) and arguably this is their toughest test yet this season. Stourbridge have been knocking on the door of promotion for a few seasons now and finished 2nd to Kettering last year. Their long-term manager left after the play-off loss to Alvechurch, but the new manager has some in and started very strongly winning 5 of their first 7 league games. They have had a reasonably kind fixture list to be fair and the one time they did face a top half side they lost 3-0 to Hednesford, but then obviously Nuneaton are far from being a top half side at the moment. They have score 17 goals already and Nuneaton have only kept one clean-sheet so far this season. Marathon's 31/25 makes plenty of appeal. Dorchester v Taunton Taunton look a good bet to beat Dorchester here. Like Stourbridge they finished 2nd in the league last season although they got off to a very slow start losing their first 2 games 3-0 and 4-0. Since then they are unbeaten though winning 3 and then drawing their last two. They should be more than capable of getting back to winning ways against a struggling Dorchester side. Granted they did win 3-1 on Saturday, but Hendon have only won one game all season and Dorchester's other win came against Beaconsfield on the opening day of the season and they have lost every single game so far. Taunton are much the better side and hopefully they will prove it on the pitch and they look a big price at 131/100 with Marathon. Stourbridge 2pts @ 31/25 with Marathon Taunton 3pts @ 131/100 with Marathon
  2. 3 points
    Feeling rather alone in here . Mikhail Kukushkin to beat Jannik Sinner at 1.66 with Marathonbet Sinner is certainly an up-and-coming player and I do expect big things from him going forward, but this is a tough draw for him given how well Kukushkin usually does in these Eastern European events. He's still classy enough and he needs to start getting ranking points somewhere, so I wouldn't be shocked to see him do a Basilashvili here and go really far in the entire thing.
  3. 3 points
    Brighton vs Burnley: Draw Burnley won both games vs Brighton last season after a run of 5 draws between the two teams. Burnley’s coach Sean Dyche has faced Brighton 11 times, drawing 6 games or more than 50%. Last season’s win at the AMEX stadium was actually Dyche’s first there after 3 draws and 2 losses. 2 out of 4 games between Brighton and Burnley in the Premiership ended as draws. Brighton have won 80 points in 80 Premiership games since coming back to the elite level of English football. Brighton are the only team in the last 2 seasons besides Southampton whose home matches are more likely to end as a draw than any other outcome. I generally see a little less than 50% chance for a draw in this game so odds above 3 look like value to me. P.s.: As a Manchester United fan I hope we win vs Leicester. Saw a graph showing that based on expected goals Manchester United should have been second after City this season but maybe this is because of those missed penalties. I just do not think we are as bad as 8-9 place as some say. May bet on Maguire to score anytime as often players score against their former teams.
  4. 3 points
    Cash Out Kev

    Naps - Thursday Sept 12th

    315d kings lynn 12/1 coral
  5. 3 points

    Naps - Thursday Sept 12th

    Chelmsford 6:50 Royal Birth ew 11/1 Skybet
  6. 3 points

    Naps - Wednesday 9/11

    2.05 Uttoxeter Sinakar 15/2 Bet365
  7. 2 points
    This is a general tip for ATP St. Petersburg: I'd oppose both Khachanov and Medvedev, despite the potential for both of them to play well in front of a "home" crowd. Khachanov is miles away from his best (and I saw he became a new father recently) and surely all of Medvedev's tennis will finally catch up with him.
  8. 2 points

    Naps - Monday Sept 16th

    2030 Kempton Taverner ew 16/1 @ bet365
  9. 2 points

    Naps - Sunday Sep 15th

    4.10 Curragh Search For A Song 11/1 sky
  10. 2 points
    Sir Puntalot

    Naps - Friday 13th Sept

    @LeMale - thanks for letting us know about this and you were absolutely correct. The limit was 10 per day, but has been changed to unlimited.
  11. 2 points
    I'm a Man United fan and I think we are as bad as 8th or 9th. There is simply no experienced midfield quality playing today. I think you see a really disjointed game from United, where they are unable to create much/anything. The stats don't lie. This team has won 3 of their last 13 league games. 4-0 Chelsea and 2 fluke wins over West Ham and Watford where they were outplayed for vast periods of the game. A good beating from Leicester could be the start of the end for OGS. Hopefully Potch has a fallout with Levy and become the new manager when Solksjaer gets his marching orders. Just a ridiculous kneejerk reaction to appoint the guy in the 1st place, based on a last minute dubious penalty against PSG in the CL. The team has been useless this season. Would any other huge club such as Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Juventus, PSG, Porto, Benfica, Ajax, Dortmund be in such a bad position? All very well to go down the youth path, but there has to be a mix and blend. It is not nearly the same as Fergie winning with boys, because those guys had all played along side each other for 6 years. I'll be very surprised if United even score and expect them to get zip from this game.
  12. 2 points

    Naps - Sat Sept 14th

    7.15. M Super Florence. 5/1 BET365
  13. 2 points
    Noodle bowl

    Racing Chat - Wednesday 9/11

    Top man darran Thanks for the tip
  14. 2 points

    Naps - Monday Sep 9th

    Perth 4.10 Wise Coco. 9/1 betvictor
  15. 1 point
    I see how you're saying Alanya faced some weaker clubs so far and that's the reason for theirs 1st place, but they do really play nice football, making lot of scoring chances... Even though Fenerbahce is bigger club and mayble slightly favorite I couldn't go against Alanya right now. I'm not saying Fenerbahce won't win but over 3,5 & over 4,5 seems much safer option. Over 2,5 banker ...
  16. 1 point
    Alanyaspor vs Fenerbahce The Turkish Super Lig has an intriguing game for its Monday Night Football when the top two teams in the league meet. It's league leaders Alanyaspor versus second placed Fenerbahce in a 6pm BST kick-off at the Bahcesehir Okullari Stadium in Alanya. The winning side will be sending a huge statement to the rest of the league with victory here in a game where both sides have everything to gain. Alanyaspor are the surprise pace setters in the Super Lig this season. Manager Erol Bulut has seen his team win all three of their league games so far against Kasimpasa, Kayserispor, and Yeni Malatyaspor. The results have been far from convincing and the opposition hasn't exactly been the big guns of the league but a 100% record after three matches isn't a run of form to be sniffed at. Fans of European football will recognise the names of Steven Caulker, Juanfran, and Papiss Cisse in the Alanyaspor ranks so they're a side that has the talent in the squad. Fenerbahce have bounced back after last season's atrocious effort. Ersun Yanal fixed the awful work put in place by Phillip Cocu and Erwin Koeman last season. He's continued his positive work here beginning the season with 2 wins and 1 draw. Goals are coming from all areas of the pitch so far and the signs are very positive. Fenerbahce have won their last three league games away from home on the bounce so they have every right to feel confident coming into this match. I don't mean to play down Alanyaspor's achievements so far but I'm not expecting them to remain in the title hunt this season. They've had favourable fixtures and despite deservedly winning all three games this is their first real test. They are up against a Fenerbahce side that do look like the potential real deal and I think a solid away win is the bet to follow here. Fenerbahce to Win @ 2.65 with Bet365 BTTS @ 1.62 with William Hill @black_baar, what do you think for this game?
  17. 1 point
    Aston Villa vs West Ham The Premier League offers us one more match this week with struggling new boys Aston Villa hosting an improving West Ham for this Monday Night Football clash at Villa Park that's scheduled to kick-off at 8pm BST tonight. Both sides could do with a victory here but there's a strong feeling that the home team need this more with wins at home crucial for any side looking to stay up. Aston Villa were criticised for following Fulham's failed approach of spending big on new players after earning promotion from the Championship last season. Granted, there were differences that there seemed to be more of a plan around Dean Smith's transfer activity but it was still over £100 million spent on signings. Three defeats from their first four league games suggests they are at risk of a similar fate to Fulham unless results improve. West Ham are a side that still excite me. Manuel Pellegrini is a top class manager and his signings during the summer really added quality to the squad. It was a slow start with the 5-0 loss at home to Manchester City in the opening game of the league season but results have improved since. A 1-1 draw away to Brighton has been followed up by two wins against Watford and Norwich. Before the season started I predicted them to finish top 7 at least. I think that's very much still on. A big problem so far for Aston Villa is the amount of chances teams are being allowed on their goal. The Villains average conceding 19.3 attempts on their goal per league game. If they allow the Hammers to have that many efforts tonight then they could be in for a tough evening. Luckily for Villa, West Ham have only kept one clean sheet on the road in their last 13 trips away in the league. I can see goals coming in this game but I think West Ham will be bitterly disappointed if they don't sneak a win here. West Ham to Win @ 2.65 with Marathonbet Anytime Scorer: Sebastien Haller @ 2.70 with Paddy Power
  18. 1 point

    Help need advice!!

    I just want to ask @StevieDay1983and @Sir Puntalotis there a chance to create a Serbian Super League thread? I would like to post sometime a preview or two. It's a football league to be precise.
  19. 1 point
    Well what a finish, there may have only been 2 and 3 runner races to finish off but it decided the competition. Saddlesore bagged a 13/8 winner in the 4.45 compered to Mr Jol's 6/4 winner in the last which left him just 11p short. Saddlesore completes a competition treble having won the Ascot and Aintree comps as well He/She must be selling PL pens on the market by now😂 Craig Bluenose finished 4th but had 3 NR's so can have my PL Merchandise as a consolation Prizes £60 Saddlesore + PL Merch. £25 Mr Jol + PL Merch £15 BillyHills PL Merch: Craig Bluenose Can all winners send their PayPal details, PL Name, Prize being claimed and home addy if winning Merchandise.
  20. 1 point

    William Hill Scammers

    I’d just do it, as long as they’re not asking you to hold up a piece of paper saying something like “I admit that I’m a fraudster”! I’m guessing the intent is for you to prove to them that they’re dealing with the person whose ID they’ve been sent, so they get a picture that meets their stipulation that they can match against the ID. Not saying I’d like it if it happened to me or that it doesn’t seem a bit OTT but it’s the way it is and I doubt it would be seen as an unreasonable request from a legal or regulatory perspective. i also agree with the point about us never getting the full story with these sort of posts. I’m not asking you for more details but, to illustrate the point, all sorts of questions spring to my mind; is this a brand new account, are your winnings from an unusual betting pattern, is there something they regard as suspicious about the source of the funds, do they suspect you of inappropriate activity e.g. courtsiding. Unfotunately, I suspect that they very much can legally withhold your money until you comply with this request.
  21. 1 point

    Strikers Horses To Follow

    What a winner. Thanks Striker!!
  22. 1 point
    Soi Bongkot

    Naps - Sunday Sep 15th

    sarah jessica 16.20 ffos las 7/1 bet 365
  23. 1 point
    Well done guys, all go through
  24. 1 point
    Hunting dragons! I love that phrase!
  25. 1 point
    Hi folks i have an interest in two games in the Scottish leagues this weekend. Dundee at home to Alloa. Dundee actually didn't play that bad in the Dundee Derby but were at the end of a freak 6-2 scoreline against a rejuvenated Utd side. This is the classic bounce back game you would want against perennial strugglers Alloa Athletic. Alloa a team too good for league 1 but too poor for the championship. They will be relegated yet again this season and Dundee will have too much for them at dens park. This has been compounded with the fact that vet kpr Neil Parry is out for the season for Alloa after an injury suffered midweek, u21 kpr Chris Henry makes his his first first team start for Alloa. Comfortable home win take Dundee -1 @29/20 or parlay Dundee with.... East Fife away to Montrose. A real feel good factor at East Fife this season. The club is operating well off the field with the people behind the scenes doing their job. Players are being secured on contracts, morale is high and that is reflecting on a happy team on the park. They are deservedly top of the league playing some nice football. They are playing away at montrose a 90 min drive up the coast. Montrose were promoted last season and are finding the step up a hard adjustment. After drawing their first game they have lost 4 games in a row... this will be their 5th. Take East fife at 19/20 Bets to consider Dundee -1 @ 2.45 Dundee + East Fife combo @ 2.925 East Fife @ 1.95 Good luck Have Fun
  26. 1 point
    ACF FIORENTINA vs JUVENTUS btts and over 2.5 @2.25 most likely Juvemtus to win and btts but i ll play it safe here
  27. 1 point
    It will not be an easy task for PAOK, the hosts will give it their all. However, Atromitos, not a good defender, receives goals in all matches this year, both in the league and in the Europa League qualifiers, so PAOK can take advantage of the quality and get one. significant victory ATROMITOS ATHINON vs PAOK THESSALONIKI @@ PAOK THESSALONIKI, odds 1.65
  28. 1 point
    Back in harness with Ross County –0.5 Asian handicap corners v St Mirren, 1pt at 1.95 with 365.
  29. 1 point

    2020 Finish

    29 result: Furth won 2-1. Won £40 Profit to date £1438.52
  30. 1 point

    Keef's Horsey Holy Grail

    RESULTS - Friday, 13th September 2019 2:10 Doncaster - FARZEEN Drifted before the off and did not start favourite. NO BET. 4:20 Doncaster - MOLATHAM Backed in to EVS and started as favourite. BET and WINNER.
  31. 1 point

    Naps - Friday 13th Sept

    1530 Chester Revich ew 12/1 @ bet365 Not deliberately trying to take you on @LeMale it was just the timing, honest
  32. 1 point

    Racehorse Syndicates

    Hi. Billy. Didn't get to Cheltenham other commitments but got to Aintree when he won best £47 I have spent .I think a lot of people expect to be making money out of these type of syndicates if you notice in the owners club magazine a lot of members moan about horses going lame or not getting value for there investment you got to think of it has a bit of fun I don't expect to make money but if I get something back it's a bonus. I looked at LAST GOLDEN TICKET but had just got shares in ASDAA . The Easterby syndicate is just flat at the moment . Good luck with LGT.
  33. 1 point

    Keef's Horsey Holy Grail

    I'm going to struggle to keep up with all these tomorrow so here's a little more information about the staking plans. Base stake is always £10 and the base percentage is always 1%. Level Stakes This is the easiest one. Simply £10 per bet. Square Root This is the base percentage of the current bank (1%) plus the square root of the difference between the current bank and the start bank (£1000) but only when the current bank is in profit. For example if the current bank is £960 then the stake is £9.60 (1% of the current bank). If the current bank is £1250 the stake is £12.50 + £15.81 (SQRT of 250) = £28.31. Stakes will increase and decrease as the bank goes up and down. 1-3-2-6 Again, using the base percentage of the current bank (1%) but a negative balance doesn't affect the progression through the multipliers. The first stake is 1% of the current bank. If the first selection loses we remain on 1%. After the first winning bet the stake becomes 3% of the current bank. If this second selection loses we revert back to 1%. If the second selection wins we then put 2% of the current bank on the third selection. If the third selection loses we revert back to 1% but if it wins we reach our final step, 6% of the current bank. If the fourth selection wins or loses we revert back to 1%. This plan is aggressive and can only really be profitable where there are several winning runs of 4+ bets. Ratchet Square Root This is almost exactly the same as the Square Root plan above but with the exception that the stake does not decrease with the current balance (hence the 'ratchet'). For example, the first bet is 1% of the start bank (£10 from a bank of £1000). If this wins at 4/1 the bank now stands at £1040. The stake for the next selection will be £10.40 (1%) + £6.32 (SQRT 40) = £16.72. If this loses the bank is down to £1023.28 but the stake remains at £16.72.
  34. 1 point
    Real Betis vs Getafe The La Liga action throws up a tasty fixture judging by the ELO ratings this week where we could find some decent value in the game between Real Betis and Getafe that is scheduled to be played at 8pm on Sunday evening at the Benito Villamarin in Seville. Neither side has enjoyed the best of starts to their league season but the home side come into this game with more reason to be cheerful than their opponents. Real Betis experienced a summer of huge change with a lot of big name departures and arrivals in Rubi's team. The likes of Pau Lopez, Junior Firpo, and Giovani Lo Celso left the club in big money moves. That allowed for the likes of Borja Iglesias, Juanmi, and Nabil Fekir to come in. Back-to-back defeats to begin the season wasn't the best start for Los Verdiblancos but one of those losses was away to Barcelona and the 2-1 win at home to Leganes before the international break suggested they will be a side that will pick up points against the lower placed sides at home... like in this game. Getafe are one of those sides that could be involved in a relegation scrap if they're not careful this season. Jose Bordalas worked a miracle last season to see his side finish 5th in the league but this season hasn't started well at all. A narrow loss away to Atletico Madrid on the opening weekend was anticipated but the two 1-1 home draws against Athletic Bilbao and Alaves were matches they'd have hoped to pick up 3 points in. The upcoming schedule of Europa League matches this season also adds an extra element of pressure on the squad. It's understandable to see why the bookies are pricing a home win out like they are. Real Betis haven't shown a huge amount of play to be positive about this season but the ratings don't lie. Getafe almost certainly won't recreate their achievements last season and they'd be foolish to sacrifice the Europa League for domestic focus. I think Real Betis could be worth backing here because I think they'll be difficult to beat at home and something just isn't quite clicking for the visitors yet. Real Betis to Win @ 2.25 with UniBet Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.64 with Marathonbet @Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jazzman02, @Mr.Paul, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @laprikon, @Gabosbet, @Dr. Florida192, @thinkpink63, @MarioDunav, @EuroDream, @vicsuna, @i1_principe, @dinero, @Sterphyle, @SPACEGHOST87, @Odyssey, @i1_principe, and @derbent, what bets are you all placing on this weekend's La Liga matches?
  35. 1 point
    A highly controversial showdown begins the fourth Bundesliga match, as both Fortuna Dusseldorf and Wolfsburg are all capable of starting and trying to stabilize their game-by-game performance. In this respect the Wolves have done better, where they remain undefeated (2-1-0), with the home side counting one win and two defeats in their first three games. Offensively both teams look good and the match can be rhythmic FORTUNA DUSSELDORF vs VFL WOLFSBURG @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.67
  36. 1 point
    Barcelona vs Valencia 1(3-1)
  37. 1 point

    Quick System

    Result   Listowel 02:30 FRANKLYN.....1st..7/4 Rule 4 Applies @ 5% Todays Profit = + 16.63 pts Current Years Profit 2019 = + 196.39 pts. (Years Profit 2018 = + 90.52 pts.) (Years Profit 2017 = - 73.44 pts.) (Years Profit 2016 = + 437.86 pts.) (Years Profit 2015 = + 18.52 pts.) (Years Loss 2014 = - 30.20 pts.)  (Years Loss 2013 = - 105.06 pts.) (Years Profit 2012 = +127.65 pts.) (Years Loss 2011 = - 13.82 pts.)    (Years Profit 2010 = +166.01 pts.)  Bank = + 2697.77 pts.  Profit = + 2597.77 pts     Current Winning Run = 1
  38. 1 point
    17/20 over 2.5 with hills is good enough for me in Morton v QOS. they shared a 3-3 draw in the cup and Morton score a lot of goals but also concede a lot of goals Elgin seem good odds at 31/20 to beat a poor Stirling. This however would be my least confident bet Fleetwood look a great price at 10/11 to beat a very poor Southend side. Sunderland@ 11/10 away to an Accrington side who have not had the best of starts look as good.
  39. 1 point
    i fancy a 2-2 draw between mallorca vs athletic bilbao i think zidane is few weeks away from the sack. real madrid got injuries and suspension so i see another match where they struggle to win. i'm going to go for levante to score 2 goals or more and win
  40. 1 point
  41. 1 point
    there could be many upsets after international break. the lower league sides could do very well. i'm thinking leicester win newcastle draw norwich draw
  42. 1 point

    When should I increase my stake.

    I know I've made it much more complicated than it is on the sheet but I'm loathe to change it now as it's a bit of a beast with all the different staking systems! But you can see how I messed up. Twice. Also having to put '13to8' in the cell because Excel so helpfully changes '13/8' to '13 Aug'!! Anyway, I'm going to create a new thread in Betting Systems and Strategies to continue this as I seem to have hijacked this one - apologies xtc12.
  43. 1 point

    When should I increase my stake.

    Yes, like I said, this whole decimal thing really messes with my head! I believe it's 7/4 (2.77). I couldn't believe it myself when I put 11/4 as I thought that seemed way too high! Thanks for helping me out with that!!!
  44. 1 point
    england v kosovo kosovo are unbeaten in 15 games and recent results include wins v czech republic 2-1 (H) and 3-2 v bulgaria (A). They also drew at home to Denmark 2-2 in a friendly. My bets are in the hope that they can score a goal: sell time of 1st kosovo goal at 72 and 2nd at 87 (spreadex) Incidentally these prices were 76 and 88.5 with sporting index yesterday who now go 70.5 and 87 so that's a fairly big change
  45. 1 point

    Naps - Tuesday Sept 10th

    1655 Leic Chatham House win 7/2 @ bet365
  46. 1 point

    Racing Chat - Tues Sept 10th

    Not sure if anyone has posted this before and I am in no way affiliated to William Hill but ... They have at least one flat meeting a day where you get a cash refund of your stakes up to £10 provided bog or sp is 3/1 and 4 or more run. For me this works best if less than 7 run as the ew only gives the 2nd place anyway. Today it is Leicester so if you fancied Billy's nap above or mine Chatham house (other selections are available) but they come 2nd to the fav at least you get your stake back to fight another day. Hope it helps someone. It works for me as I am far more skilled at picking 2nds than winners.
  47. 1 point
    RECORD: Bets won = 8 Bets lost = 12 Profit = -$1.56 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time): Mets (at -221 or 1.452) vs Diamondbacks This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle: "Fade a road team whose winning streak of length 5+ was just snapped in their previous game (so you bet the HOME team)." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +22.06 units from 281 bets (ROI = 7.9%) In 2019: -2.21 units from 27 bets Since Arizona's five-game winning streak was just snapped yesterday, we are fading them today. Good Monday all! Professor MJ
  48. 1 point

    Naps - Sunday Sep 8th

    5.20 Fontwell Shantou Sunset ( each way ) 9/1 Coral
  49. 1 point
    Sir Puntalot

    Following tipsters?

    to Punters Lounge @BetterBettor Put quite simply, there is just no need to pay for tips. There is never any guarantee a previous years record will be repeated the following year. It's much better to improve your own knowledge and style of betting, whilst managing your betting bankroll strictly, in fact this is the most important thing of all. Punters Lounge has in house tipsters as well as some phenomenal members who post great tips each and every day. We have an ethos that no part of this website will ever be charged for, unlike say Racing Post. You really have all the things you need right here for free, and shrewd punters to interact and learn from too. With all the updates we have coming, this will only be enhanced and we won't stop until we're the No.1 site for all punters providing everything they need completely free. It takes time, but we're making great progress in the background with our development team.
  50. 1 point
    might as well move this to the right place:- I have taken an early price on Leicester to win at man utd at 17/4 with hills on sept 14 not convinced by man utd and think this could be close and the value does not lie with the home team
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