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  1. 12 points
  2. Congrats to the top 4. Thanks to @MCLARKE for running the wonderful comp. Your efforts much appreciated. My first ever win in this comp!!🙂
    11 points
  3. Profit of just over 6 points on the day with winners at 13/8 & 7/2 and a few places as well.
    10 points
  4. 1.30 Nott - Aldbourne - 1pt EW - 15/2 (1/5th 5 places) 2.50 Sedge - Oceans Red - 4pts win - 9/4 4.30 Sedge - Kiss my face - 2pts EW - 7/2 (1/5th 3 places) 4.40 Kemp - Bedouin Queen - 2pts EW - 11/2 (1/5th 3 places) 5.05 Sedge - Creative Control - 3pts win - 10/3 7.00 Kemp - The Turpinator - 2pts EW - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places) 21pts staked
    9 points
  5. What a difficult race to rate .....I've taken the bottom 8 draws of which 11 of the past 15 placed horses qualified and rated then thus ..... Luxembourg 9.0 4/1 Vadeni 8.9 10/1 Alpinista 8.9 11/2 Westover 8.3 Do deuce 8.2 Deep bond 8.0 Mendocini 8.0 Al hakeen 7.9 Luxembourg beat vadeni last time although there's a,possibility that vadeni could do better over further but pedigree doesn't suggest that but ew possibility......Luxembourg ran on strong that day and last ran leop which is a plus and home reports are he's training well so worthy fav ..... Alpinista is unknown quantity ....ground might be against him as currently heavy ish.....but doesn't know how to lose so if there 2f out then will be tough to pass ....overall ....there are soft ground d specialists like last year's winner ....but he's drawn in car park ....so I'll try 10pt wins Luxembourg and alpinista at 4/1 and 11/2 and 1pt rev forecast.....vadeni could be a danger if stays this time
    9 points
  6. 3.00 ascot Rohaan 8.4 7/2 Flaming rib 8.2 8/1 Commanche falls 7.9 Gale force maya Tiber flow 5pt wins top 2 330 asc Symbolise 9.0 8/1 Mum's tipple 8.8 22/1 Rhoscolyn 8.5 12/1 Asjad 8.4 Safe voyage 8.1 5pt wins top 3 2pt win doubles top 2 in 3.00 with top 3 in 330
    9 points
  7. Beneficio is back out tomorrow and for once it is at a watchable time, 11.45am. She goes in race 8 at Moonee Valley and here is my preview. Squizzy Mizzy - Finally managed to win above BM58 level last time at Mornington when winning on a Heavy 9 track. She looks likely to try and help set the pace alongside Beneficio although I am not sure she had quite the same ability as she does, but she does have an inside berth. Also she isn't always quick away so Beneficio might be able to get across before she shows her early speed. Viviane - The short price favourite based on her 2nd to a horse who was landing a hat-trick last time at Sandown. They pulled clear of the rest so it looks like it is good form although nothing really came from behind so it could have been an advantage being on the pace. She had landed a hat-trick prior to that winning her maiden and then a BM64 at Sandown last year and winning 1st up at Sale at the start of this month. Last year she had been settling just off the speed, but she has been more prominent on the 2 starts this year and has a good draw in 4 to take advantage of her speed. One for the shortlist. Mouse Almighty - Is her trainer's first ever runner in Melbourne being based in NSW at Wagga Wagga and she was a winner on her home track in a Heavy 10 a couple of weeks. She does seem better on a wet track and is way more exposed compared to the leading fancies here who have plenty of potential progression to come. Tycoon Humma - Was only 7th behind Viviane at Sandown last time although as I pointed out above it did look to be an advantage to be on the speed. She ran well here in March over 955m when she had a bad draw and finished 4th and has had to face some tougher tasks than this. Did finish 2nd in front of Beneficio at Sandown in May although she had the advantage of being in the middle of the track and whilst she is capable of hitting the frame, I am not sure she will have enough to win. For me Beneficio can reverse the form. Beneficio - As much as the Ballarat race wasn't a strong one she could hardly have been more impressive in the style of victory. She powered away from them in the straight without the jockey having to make an effort and he got off and said she had done it with plenty left in the tank. He also added that Moonee Valley should be ideal for her giving her running style and that she could be up to getting some black type at some point. The 2nd at Caulfield on her last prep is arguably the best form in the race so I think she has a very good chance again. Her 2 runs over 1000m so far have been disappointing on the face of it, but I suspect the first one she was over the top and at Sandown she was on the wrong part of the track and came back with an injury so I can forgive both. 1000m should in theory be her ideal trip in my view. The draw hasn't been ideal, but I am hopeful at the very least with her early speed that she can get across and be no more than 1 off the rail. Donna Natalina - Disappointing at Sale last time when didn't pick up at all although I suspect she is capable of better than that having been a good 2nd at Mildura first up. Steps up to metro level here though and would be a bit of a surprise if she was up to it. Hypothetical - Only had the 3 starts to date and followed a 2nd first up at Mornington by winning at Sandown in July. A month later she won at Sale in a BM64 and did it quite nicely given she looked like she was still learning. Her first two races were over 1200m and the last one was over 1106m so does drop down in trip again which is a slight concern especially round this sharp track. She won a jump out last week though so is still ticking over nicely. She clearly has a nice profile but as well as the trip doubt she has a horrid draw as she is on the outside and the combination might well be enough to see her run well in defeat rather than win. Jillette - Likes Caulfield having run well there in December and January winning 1 and finishing 2nd and 3rd. The concern here though is she has not run well on her first two runs back and was just 10th in the Viviane race last time. Rose Tycoon - Gets a run if she wants one with the 3 non-runners above her. She had a bad draw at Sandown last time, but flew home to finish 3rd and was 3L behind Viviane who was 2nd. As I mention above it seemed to be better on the speed in that race and she was the only one to be finishing strongly and had to go much wider than the first two. That suggests that she could be up to this grade having won a BM58 at Ballarat last month. Now she doesn't have a great draw here either in 11, but to my eye if she didn't have to go so wide at Sandown she would have been much closer and possibly would have finished in front of her. If there is one horse in the race that is really over-priced it is her and I think the draw is factored into the price. Onika - Also gets a run if she wants it. Impressively won a maiden at Bendigo in February and then ran 4th in her first handicap the next month at Sandown. Was last of 7 a couple of weeks after that though and I suspect she may need a bit longer to get up to this sort of grade. Verdict - Not a bad little race as you would expect for the grade and I do think Beneficio is over-priced. I think at worse she will be 1 off the rail due to her early speed and I think she will be hard to run down over this trip. The Caulfield 2nd shows how good she is and I everything points to the fact that she is still improving based on the win a couple of weeks ago. Clearly the favourite has a chance, but Viviane looks very short to me at evens and I would much rather back Rose Tycoon at double figure odds to over turn the form. Yes she has a bad draw again, but I loved the way she was finding the line at Sandown and if she gets some luck in running she might be the main danger to Beneficio. Hypothetical is an obvious danger as well and Tycoon Humma also has place claims. Beneficio e/w @ 11/2 with Bet365, Coral and Ladbrokes Rose Tycoon e/w @ 14/1 with everyone
    9 points
  8. I personally think the draw angle is a bit of a red herring in the arc, 4 winners from 20 renewals thats actually 20% . the ground is most significant factor for me if it is Heavy apparently it is soft at the moment with lots of rain forecast, Alpinista is a horse i have highly rated since its first run and i have made plenty of money out of it. Going to give my tips based on soft/heavy going which excludes all the 3year olds, this race is gruelling and the soft/heavy ground means they will be floundering in the last furlong they are just not strong enough at 3yo. The fav on all known form should be Alpinista. Torquator tasso 4yo has been there and done it, is this year stronger than last? No chance. Just look at the result from last year 2nd tarnawa 5yo 3rd hurricane lane 4th adayar 5th sealiway 6th snowfall, broome 11th I wanted to recomend Alenquer ew at 100/1 but Haggis has chosen to experiment by fitting first time blinkers, anyone doing an in depth study on fto blinkers will know that they actually scare/panic a horse into running faster which means they will burn out sooner than they would without them, this is exagerated if they have to run around a bend. so unless Haggis has seriously tried the blinkers at home it is around a 100/1 chance it will win despite any other considerations. ( going to cover this with just a £2 ew just in case foolish bet) The Japanese runners seem to hate heavy ground as they have little or no experience of it so its safe enough to rule those out. So i am left with 6 runners Alpinista 11/2 dr6 likely winner Torquator Tasso 15/2 dr18 Ger likely 2nd/3rd Mendocino 33/1 dr1 Ger likely 2nd/3rd Mare Australis 20/1 dr19 Ger Fabre had many options also Murzabeyev booking seems significant. Sealiway 33/1 dr15 beaten 4,1/2/ last year as a 3yo Bubble Gift 66/1 dr 13 beaten 5,1/2L last year (finishing well) as a 3yo Conclusion. Already backed Alpinista at 20/1 & 16/1 going to cross first 4 in forecasts and Tricasts best ew is probably mendocino (beat torquasor lto and it didnt look a fluke to me)
    9 points
  9. The ground is crucial at the three televised UK Cards on Saturday with a big band of rain moving across the country mid afternoon Friday into the evening and I’m taking a chance that the ground will be on the easy side at all three meetings. If the forecast is right we may be able to seek out some value on the soft ground performers now. Let’s hope the rain arrives in bucket loads or it’s going to be an expensive afternoon ! Newmarket 1.31 Newmarket’s card kicks off with a 10F class 2 handicap for fillies where we have many lightly raced types. My two against the field are George Boughey’s I’ll Be There and Sir Michael Stoute’s Crystal Estella with the latter making her handicap debut today. Both won last time out in soft ground so they’ll be no issues with not handling the ground here. A couple whom have yet to encounter easy ground are favourite Al Husn and Persist. I’ll split my two fancies and back both win only with the Stoute runner Crystal Estella the favoured of the duo with her latest winning jockey William Buick stating after he had won on her at Goodwood back in May that she ‘likes the ground which was key’. She has an absence to overcome but can be competitive with Richard Kingscote now in the plate. Boughey’s I’ll Be There will be ridden by Buick himself having won on her on her stable debut at Sandown 17 days ago on soft ground. She’s been raised 6lb for that success. CRYSTAL ESTELLA 1 point win @ 7/1 Paddy Power I’LL BE THERE 1 point win @ 7/1 bet365 Ascot 1.51 A dozen speedsters go to post for the listed 5F Rous Stakes and with Friday’s rain hopefully getting into the Berkshire turf I’m looking for mudlarks there this afternoon. Last year’s winner Tis Marvellous has claims though did run a bit flat when easy to back at Newbury last time out. John Ryan’s Manaccan has been pulled out twice in his career due to softening ground conditions so is over looked. Julie Camacho has her team in fine shape and her Ainsdale is one that will appreciate any easing of the ground. Andrew Balding’s Kings Lynn is another who won’t mind the conditions but a 7lb penalty may put paid to his chances. I’m going to take a chance on Ed Walker’s Came From The Dark who must have softish ground and was thought of by his shrewd handler at the start of the season as a possible group one horse. Things havn’t worked out for the grey though with two lack lustre efforts in the spring on fast ground and reappears here having had a wind surgery and with his trainer stating in this week’s Weekender that his recent work has been excellent and the operation has been a success. On the figures he only has 4lb to find with the top weighted here Acklam Express and at double figure odds is worth chancing with Danny Tudhope in the saddle for the first time. CAME FROM THE DARK 1 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Newmarket 2.06 A bumper field of 29 go to post for this 6F Tattersalls October Auction Stakes with many here easy to strike a line through. Current favourite is the Ed Walker trained Amichi who won a similar contest on the July course five weeks ago on only his third start. Form that has stood up with the third Eddies Boy winning a Group 3 at Chantilly since. He should go well but is hardly value at around the 3/1 mark for a horse that is officially (at these weights) rated a stone inferior to his stable mate Union Court. She’s the highest rated here but hasn’t won since bagging a brace of victories in May and June. Rod Millman has done well in these type of sales races in the past and saddles a couple with chances in the Neil Callan ridden Safari Dream and Trevor Whelan ridden Woolhampton. The former is the most interesting of the duo to me having won two nurseries this season at the minimum trip and steps up to 6F today. He’s progressive and in a race I don’t really have too strong an opinion on is worth a small each way bet with additional places. SAFARI DREAM 1/2 point each way @ 10/1 1/5th 12345 Ascot 2.25 The Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes is up next with just nine runners. William Haggas saddles his smart Hamish who looked likely to topple the smart Kyprios in the Irish St Leger last time until that game one battled on well. It was still a hell of an effort and he’ll be hard to beat today on easy ground that suits. Aidan O’Brien’s High Definition is actually the highest rated in the race but he’s become rather disappointing despite keeping good company all season. He’s not won since taking the Beresford Stakes at The Curragh a couple of years ago, some eleven runs ago and he’ll hopefully make the market for Hamish who is a confident selection despite his 3lb penalty. HAMISH 3 points win @ 13/8 BetVictor Newmarket 2.42 The feature race of the day is the Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes run over a mile for fillies and mares and has attracted a field of nine this year. The race revolves around Jane Chapple-Hyam’s flag bearer Saffron Beach who won this event last year by three lengths. She’s gone from strength to strength this season winning at Ascot (Group 2) and Deauville (Group 1) before a slightly below par second to Pearls Galore at Leopardstown in the Group one Matron Stakes three weeks ago. She had Dermot Weld’s three year old Homeless Songs 2 1/2L behind that day and on two pound better terms can confirm the form even though Homeless Songs now sports a first time tongue tie. She’s probably better than that run but at around 11/4 I’m not going to pay to find out. The unexposed one is the John and Thady Gosden trained Laurel who takes a massive step up in class following wins at Newmarket on the July course from perpetual loser Mashaaer and a comfortable win on the all weather at Kempton. She looks highly promising but has yet to encounter give in the ground and on official ratings has 22lb to find with Saffron Beach who has to be the selection. SAFFRON BEACH 3 points win @ 13/8 William Hill Ascot 3.00 Fourteen go to post for the Group 3 Bengough Stakes run over 6F of the Berkshire track. Best in at the weights and the one I like is David Evans’ Rohann who is three from four at the track and has won on all types of ground so the weather can do what it likes! His latest 3rd in the Group 1 Betfred Sprint Cup at Haydock is a good piece of form (Flaming Rib 3/4L further back)and this drop in class looks ideal for this Andrea Atzeni ridden four year old. He may have most to fear from the smart handicappers Comanche Falls and Summerghand who were separated by just a length in the Ayr Gold Cup last time out with the former 7lb better off for the length beating and should turn the tables on his rival today. Easing of the ground would be against the super mare Gale Force Mayo, Ehraz, Tiber Flow and Diligent Harry and it’s all about Rohaan for me. ROHAAN 2 points win @ 7/2 Paddy Power Redcar 3.21 A field of seventeen assemble for the William Hill Two Year Old Trophy, a listed contest run over 6F for two year olds. Cold Case comes here on the back of a good win at Doncaster in their sales race ( Holguin 3rd and looks held) and holds every chance today for trainer Kevin Ryan and jockey Clifford Lee. Also on the short list has to be Richard Fahey’s Barefoot Angel who was a Group 3 winner at Ayr last time. The best in at these weights today is the Michael Bell trained Maylandsea and it would be no shock were she to run well here off of her allotted weight. I’ll stick with Barefoot Angel if she can cope with the likely softish ground (she was a 6L runner up to the smart Swingalong on her debut on good to soft) and she looks good each way value. BAREFOOT ANGEL 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Ascot 3.36 The Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup is a class 2 handicap run over the straight 7F and feature eighteen handicappers. On similar ground Fresh beat Silent Film and River Nymph over course and distance in a similar handicap a month ago by a neck and a short head challenging out wide in the middle of the course and is only a pound worse off with that pair. He’s drawn near to the stand side this time and will need luck in running from there though should be thereabouts. The third that day, Clive Cox’s River Nymph won last year’s Victoria Cup on soft ground over course and distance and is now just 2lb higher. He must have the mud and has to be part of the staking plan under Adam Kirby. James Horton’s Asjad did us a favour at Doncaster on his favoured soft ground three weeks ago and a 3lb rise may not be enough to stop him taking a hand in the finish. Softening of the ground may not be in the favour of Blue For You whilst Safe Voyage will love and cut and has fallen to a very nice mark. River Nymph for me but a small ew saver on Asjad as well. RIVER NYMPH 1 1/2 points each way 8/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 ASJAD 1/2 point each way @ 16/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 12345
    8 points
  10. 3,36 Ascot two for me backed RHOSCOLYN last night 5 places bog @ 14's (around 12's now)has been threatening to win a big handicap all season must surely be in the thick of things here has a 5lb claimer on top big e/w chance imho. This would be my main bet but also had a bit on each way on SILENT FILM 14/1 bog top run lto if can match that should go very close. Good Luck All
    8 points
  11. Asjad 3 36 Asc 1/20th of a pt win 16/1 Cairn Gorm 7 30 Wol 1/20 th of a pt win 14/1 Candleford 2 25 Asc 1/2oth of a pt win 28/1 Fonteyn 2 42 New 1/20th of a pt win 38/1 Ehraz 3 00 Asc 1/20th of a pt win 14/1 Tiber Flow 3 00 Asc 1/20th of a pt win 20/1 P/L + 159. 8/10th PTS
    8 points
  12. 7 points
  13. 230 pont Cookstown cafu 8.0 8/1 Dungar glory 7.8 8/1 Improvise 7.4 Ravenglass 7.4 I'll try 5pt ew top 2 ...bit of value in those
    7 points
  14. Wow! It takes a lot of value to bet on Aslan at this particular moment. He's in a disastrous losing streak (1-9) and he even lost in Tel Aviv to Etcheverry, a player who only has won 2 ATP main draw matches on hard in his entire career (the other win is against another pure claycourter, Facundo Mena...). Now, add to that the Aslan's dark record of match f***** and you definitely will get an explosive cocktail. I have censored the word but all the punters who know Aslan will know what word goes there. Well, Khachanov was impressive in the US Open and he's really good playing on hard indoor courts. Actually, the only Masters 1000 he has won is played on indoors (2018 Paris Masters). Something you should be worried about if you want to bet on him is why he neither played in Metz nor Tel Aviv. Did he want to rest? Or it was some kind of physical problem? Who knows... but it's been a month since his last match. Cressy returned in Tel Aviv after his injury during his first round match in the US Open. He beat Korda in straight sets and that was a pretty convincing victory... Then, he lost to Lestienne in 3 tight sets (7-6, 3-6, 6-7). He was impressive on serve (he only faced 1 BP in the whole match). Honestly, it's really hard to predict. Cressy will give no rhythm to Karen. IMO, this is the kind of match you shouldn't get involved unless the odds are really good. In relation to the Cilic-Otte match, it's another match with some red flags. Cilic is playing good and he reached the Final in Tel Aviv. Otte reached the doubles final in Sofia..., so I can say neither Cilic nor Otte will have the proper training for their first round match here. If you think Cilic can play well 2 straight weeks then that's your player. In any case, it's a match with some red flags for the reasons I've explained. EDIT. I forgot to mention the horrible losing streak of Otte in singles, but I'm sure you are aware of that. Finally, the Evans' match. I think he should beat Albot easily. It would be a surprise if he lost to him.
    7 points
  15. Hopefully, I have done these right this time @Bang on (A) 1.31 Nmj I'll Be There 13/2 (B) 2.25 Asc Hamish 11/8 (C) 2.47 Red I'm A Gambler 5/2 (D) 4.27 Nm Mellow Yellow 5/4 (E) 3.00 Asc Rohaan 10/3 AE, BC, BD, CD 4 x 1.50 win doubles and BCD 1 x 1 win Treble = poss return of 98.13 Singles and savers 1.51 Asc Came From The Dark 0.30 ew at 10/1 2.25 Asc Candleford 0.15 ew at 22/1 3.00 Asc Flaming RIb 0.60 ew at 8/1 3.36 Asc Simbolised 0.60 ew at 13/2 and Escobar 0.30 ew at 18/1 2.06 Nm Safari Dream 0.30 ew at 10/1 4.22 Nm Winter Wyldes 060 ew at 8/1 2.47 Red Dubai Poet 2.10 win at 3.45 3.57 Red Spirit Catcher 0.60 ew at 13/2 No time to list PL contributors but will do so if any win Total stakes 16.00 Good luck you all ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pity that Mellow Yellow didn't fire, it would have got me off to a great start for the month. Instead I had to settle for a won double of 11.58. Funnily enough my bet in the 3.36 at Ascot helped me make a profit. It wasn't rocket science. David O'Meara had 4 runners in the race and Andrea Atzini was on Escobar. I felt that I had to have a bit on that despite all the work that other members had done to put up various selections. My net profit was 4.85 on the day, so at least a positive start for the new month. My YTD is -169.13 I may be tempted to have a small bet in the Arc tomorrow but will focus on the jumps at Uttoxeter and Kelso if I get the time. I don't like betting outside the UK. Good luck to all brave punters who do though
    7 points
  16. BET365 4/1 TV offer selections September was a better month with 5 winners from 25 selections and a profit of £525. Poor overall though with 33 winners from 269 selections and a loss of £1,997.50. Today's selections NEWM 1.31 Ill Be There (4) 5/1 ASCO 1.51 Manaccan (10) 4/1 ASCO 2.25 Cresta (5) 9/2 NEWM 2.42 Laurel (7) 15/2
    7 points
  17. Able Kane 2 00 ASC/ 1/20th of a pt win 16/1 Raising Sand 4 55 ASC/ 1//20th of a pt win 16/1 James Watt 8 15 NEW/ 1/20th of a pt win 22/1
    7 points
  18. Ascot 455 Bullace 8.2 9/1 Persian Royal 8.1 11/2 These 2 are clear of rest so ew value to take the fav on ....I'll try 5pt ew both
    7 points
  19. 2.40 York- Putting this up early as it is already a BOG race with Bet365 Paying 5p 1/5 odds. ISLA KAI 16/1 e/w- Fair draw good mark 3lb claimer on top a front runner who may be hard to catch off current mark & forget last run when last of eleven that was over 2f longer never going to get home over that trip well worth e/w bet at 16/1 in this in my book!!
    6 points
  20. Chepstow 1.35 Run just short of three miles this class 2 handicap chase is for veterans and has attracted a small field of seven. Top weight is the Jonjo O’Neill trained Cloth Cap who it must be said was very disappointing last season although has fallen 12lb in the weights for his below par efforts. Not seen since pulling up at 33/1 in the Grand National in April I’m happy to take him on. The one I fancy here has pulled up on four his last six starts! Michael Scudamore is an underrated trainer who saddles Some Chaos and is the pick despite not been seen for 172 days. He defied a similar absence in this event last season when a cosy winner off of 140 under todays pilot Ben Poste and can repeat that victory off of a handicap mark of 138. Some firms are paying three places on this seven runner race so let’s back him each way with the additional place. SOME CHAOS 1 1/2 points each way @ 4/1 bet365 1/5 123 Newmarket 1.50 A feast of quality racing at Headquarters kicks off with the Group 3 Cornwallis Stakes for two year olds over 5F. A dozen speedsters line up with a warm favourite in the Keith Dagleish trained Prince Of Pillo who runs in the Middleham Park colours. He put a disappointing run at Doncaster on soft ground behind him when an impressive winner of the listed Harry Roseberry at Ayr last month. He had that race won some way out and the form has been boosted by the subsequent victory of the runner up Bolt Action. If he can reproduce that form he’ll be very hard to beat. Michael O’Callaghan’s Crispy Cat was just ahead of the selection at Doncaster and may be the one to chase home the favourite. PRINCE OF PILLO 2 points win @ 15/8 bet365 Chepstow 2.10 Eight novices assemble for the 2m 3 1/2F grade 2 Persian War Novices’ Hurdle. The highest rated of them is the Donald McCain trained Presentandcounting who’s gone off favourite for his last five starts winning four of them. This is his stiffest task to date mind. Dan Skelton’s Quid Pro Quo looks short enough in the betting having won both his hurdle starts in five and six runner fields. He could win this but at around the 7/4 mark represents no value at all. Harry Fry’s Deeper Blue is of more interest as he was runner up at this meeting last season to Stage Star before winning a maiden hurdle and handicap hurdle in March. A race in which to watch with the future in mind so just a tentative each way bet on Deeper Blue. DEEPER BLUE 1/2 bet each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5 123 Newmarket 2.25 Eleven two year old fillies go to post for the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes and the race does have a rather open look about it. Tom Clover’s Crystallium is unbeaten in two starts at Chelmsford and Newbury and should be competitive. The highest rated here is Eve Johnson Houghton’s Rage Of Bamby who undoubtably brings the best piece of form to the table with her 4L third in the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes a fortnight ago to Commissioning. Lose Yourself is a very interesting runner for the very much in form Ralph Beckett stable. She made a winning racecourse debut when winning on soft ground here on the July course back in August. That form has worked out well with the 2nd, 4th & 6th all winning since. She was nicely backed that day and looks worth chancing today despite the rise in grade. Rossa Ryan was on board for her debut and retains the ride today. LOSE YOURSELF 1 point each way @ 6/1 bet365 1/5th 123 York 2.40 If my weather forecast is correct York is more likely to turn on the soft side than either of the two other meetings featured today so I’ve based my analysis on ground with give in it. A 20 runner class 2 one mile handicap is up next and as one would expect is a tough contest to crack. I do like William Haggas’s Substantial already a soft ground winner but don’t like his draw in 19 although if they migrate to the stands side it may not be such a bad draw. John Quinn’s Empirestateofmind loves to get his hooves in and comes here in excellent shape having finished runner up in handicaps at Hamilton and Doncaster this Autumn. He’s drawn in stall 5 so I’ll take him to take this and a small each way saver on Substantial. EMPIRESTATEOFMIND 1 point each way @ 10/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 SUBSTANTIAL 1/2 point each way @ 10/1 Boylesports 1/5th 123456 Newmarket 3.00 The key is the ground to this eight runner Group 2 Challenge Stakes. William Haggas’s Sacred was very impressive last time when dropped in class but loves to hear her hooves rattle so wouldn’t like any ease in the ground. On genuine fast ground she would be a strong fancy but with the overnight rain and prospect of watering I’ll pass her over at the likely price of around 5/4. I’ll take her on with the Charlie Hills entire Pogo. He’s been very consistent this season and looks sure to run his race. A winner of two Group 3’s this Summer at Haydock and here at the July course he had Sacred 5L behind when runner up to the subsequent dual winner Kinross at York in August. He was pulled out here at the Cambridgeshire meeting as the ground was deemed too slow so like Sacred he too wouldn’t want the conditions to ease. At the prices I’ll take Pogo to turn over Sacred with William Buick doing the steering and if all eight stand their ground looks a bet to nothing. POGO 1 1/2 points each way @ 4/1 Coral 1/5th 123 York 3.15 Only thirteen have declared for this £100k sales contest run over 7F. Slow ground won’t deter Eve Johnson Houghton’s Streets Of Gold who looks one of the better bets of the day. He’s unbeaten in four starts culminating in a length victory in a similar type of contest as this at The Curragh in September on soft ground. Official ratings have him 3lb superior to his two main rivals Shouldhavebeenaring and Coco Jack but he’s still progressing and as long as a wide draw in thirteen isn’t a hinderance will be a tough nut to crack. STREETS OF GOLD 2 points win @ 2/1 William Hill Newmarket 3.35 Eight go to post for the Group 1 Fillies Mile for two year olds. We have a very warm favourite in the John and Thady Gosden trained Commissioning who will be very hard to beat. An impressive winner on her debut at the July course here she proved that was no fluke when winning the Rockfel over 7F here a fortnight ago looking to all as though an extra furlong will suit her down to the ground. A reproduction of that sparkling effort should be more than enough to take this. Official ratings have her 6lb and upwards ahead of this field with Harry Dunlop’s Group 2 May Hill winner Polly Pot looking the filly most likely to chase the favourite home. A no bet race for me at the prices. York 3.50 A highly competitive fourteen runner class 2 handicap run over 1m 6F where Newmarket handler William Haggas has a strong hand with current favourite Nathanael Greene who appreciated first time cheek pieces when winning in the mud at Haydock last time out from subsequent St Leger placed Giavellotto. He should be thereabouts along with Haggas’s other runner Post Impressionist who is one of four who filled four of the first five places in a very rough contest at Haydock a fortnight ago. Only 3/4L covered winner Double Cherry, Zain Nights (3rd), Post Impressionist (4th but placed 3rd) and Flamborough (5th). A messier race you won’t find all season and watching the race back I felt there was several hard luck stories, none more so that Post Impressionist who’s jockey Adam Farragher had to sit up and suffer inside the final furlong. Roger Varian saddles the progressive Aimeric, a Ayr winner last time and now two pound higher. A tough race but I’ll back both of the Haggas runners. NATHANAEL GREENE 1 point win @ 7/2 bet365 POST IMPRESSIONIST 1 point each way @ 8/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Newmarket 4.10 A bumper field of sixteen go to post for this valuable class 2 Old Rowley Cup Handicap run over 1m 4F of the Rowley Mile. It’s an open contest with many holding chances. William Haggas’s La Yakel struck on his handicap debut at Ascot a month ago with Charlie Appleby’s First Ruler a length back in third and now 4lb better off. There shouldn’t be much between that pair and both can run well. Caius Chorister flopped last time in France but that may have been down to the soft ground and is not out of this. Charlie Appleby saddles four runners with the aforementioned First Ruler under William Buick his most likely winner. William Haggas also has a second bow to his string with The King’s Educator who flopped when well backed at Salisbury last week. He’ll need to have improved plenty to take a hand in the finish here mind. The top weight Maksud looks very interesting in a first time hood. He’s shown useful form despite taking a keen hold and if the hood helps him to settle could run well. I’ll take him to small stakes each way with the additional places in the hope the hood works the oracle. MAKSUD 1 point each way @ 9/1 bet365 1/5th 12345
    6 points
  21. Good luck , some good racing on ITV4 Friday & the official start of Winter Jumps season at Chepstow in which I imagine Paul Nicholls will target heavily , hope the going at Newmarket & York stay no worse than good 🤞
    6 points
  22. Double. 3.15. Nott. Mr Buster. 9/2... 2nd 7.00. Kemp. Diocese of Rome. 7/1..... 3rd singles & double. Good luck all.
    6 points
  23. Excellent start. Hope you bet with BET365 then you will have a free bet on TURPINATOR.
    6 points
  24. Having a day out at Sedgefield and have a fancy for Sonning in the 4.30. Finished third in a Class 3 last time out where the first went on to win another Class 3 and the runner up went on to win a Class 2. Sonning was only a head behind the runner up and has gone up just 3 lb for the effort, still just a four year old so hopefully improvement to come, 9/4 at the moment the worry is the money for the Ellison horse Kiss My Face.
    6 points
  25. Daysofourlives - lost 4th - ran green should be much better next time. Strawberry Belle - WON Counterattack - lost - didn't look to be busy, will surely win soon. Parikarma - WON 11/2 Oasis Power - lost 2nd Another decent day producing +10.5pts
    6 points
  26. Candleford 3rd Fonteyn { delivers the goods 😃 hope you had a few shekels on ted 😃 Asjad 3rd { not "donohoe" finest ride 😖"} Other punts U/P but i'll settle for the "bullseye" on Fonteyn 😃
    6 points
  27. Well done all winners and all those in the money. Thanks again @MCLARKE for all your hard work and hope you had a nice day off you slacker 😜
    6 points
  28. Le Longchamp Raiders 1223 (Group 2) #2 Al Qareem (R Moore / K Burke) #6 Whileuweresleeping (T Marquand / E O'Neill) 1258 (Arab Group 1) #2 Monda (J Crowley / X Thomas - Demeaulte) 1333 (Fillies Group 1) #4 Sea La Rose (T Marquand / W Haggas) #8 Emily Dickinson (R Moore / A O'Brien) #9 Perotan (Y Take / A O'Brien) 1450 (Stakes) #2 Denmark (R Moore / A O'Brien) 1525 (Group 1) #3 Quickthorn (T Marquand / H Morrison) #4 Tashkhan (B Robinson / B Ellison) #7 Kyprios (R Moore / A O'Brien) #10 Princess Zoe (J Sheridan / A Mullins) #11 Lismore (S Pasquier / H de Bromhead) 1600 (Group 2) #2 Addeybb (T Marquand / W Haggas) #3 Grocer Jack (R Moore / W Haggas) #6 Anmaat (J Crowley / O Burrows) #9 West Wind Blows (T Bachelot / S & E Crisford) 1635 (Group 2) #2 Raadobarg (B Coen / JP Murtagh) #6 Triple Time (K Stott / K Ryan) #9 Checkandchallenge (M Guyon / W Knight) #10 Glounthaune (R Moore / A O'Brien)
    6 points
  29. 2.00 Ascot i am having a bet o 16/1 shot STONE SOLDIER who is a very decent AW horse but some good turf form also so in a wide open contest happy to part with some of my hard earned cash on a horse that looks overpriced to me e/w 4 places bog .
    6 points
  30. 32 out of 82 showing profit overall for the month 👏
    6 points
  31. Well ....I've had a plan this year .....in the last 5 years of the 15 places available 11 were drawn 1 to 7 ....13 were drawn 1 to 9 .....I know last years winner was 12 but he was 100/1 do probably a blip ....so from a value perspective I'm going to rate the bottom 7 draws and hopefully it will throw up a good bet or 2 ........my 2nd criteria was not beaten more than 2.25 lengths lto .... and I prefer my horse to have ran at longchamp or leop last time out .....if I can get find a high rated horse or 2 in the bottom 7 draws that passes those the moneys on 🤣🤣
    6 points
  32. Course Time Selection Odds / Bet Type Result Warwick 13:40 Golden Taipan 2.37 / Win 14:50 Twig 2.10 / win 15:25 Opening Bid 10.00 / EW 3 places 16:00 Guernsey 5.50 / win Ayr 15:35 First Greyed 6.00 / win Chelmsford 20:00 Schwartz 2.87 / win 20:30 Captain Howse 2.00 / win Good luck in finding winners. 🤞
    5 points
  33. Aldbourne - WON 9/1 Oceans Red - WON 3/1 Kiss my face - lost - never put near race despite looking comfortable. Bedouin Queen - lost Creative Control - lost 2nd The Turpinator - lost A good start to the day that didn't quite pan out. A profit on the day of 7.8pts October running total = +31.15pts
    5 points
  34. 7.00 kemp Al shibli 7.8 11/2 Diocles of Rome 7.6 7/1 Mitronfire 7.5 9/1 Bowman 7.2 Very tricky race and although the top rated looks strong I'm pretty certain the draw bias is low and he's drawn 12 ....bowman is ideally drawn in 2 but hasn't been showing much of late ....whereas the other 2 are drawn 4 and 6 so I'll go 5pt ew diocles and mitronfire and 1pt forecasts top 3
    5 points
  35. (A) 2.15 Sed Hajey 11/4 (money) (B) 3.50 Nott Opera Ghost 5/2 @The Brigadier (C) 4.20 Nott Shaladar 7/2 (D) 5.05 Sed Creative Control 10/3 @Bang on (E) 5.30 Nott Ascending 5/2 @kensland+ money AE- BC-BD-CD 4 x 1.50 win doubles + BCD 1 x 1 pt win treble = 7 points poss return 164.96 Singles and Savers 3.50 Nott Manifested 0.60 win at 8/1 @trainmad091 4.20 Nott Bowland Park 1.10 win at 4.90 (money horse) 5.30 Nott A E Houseman 0.60 win at 7/1, Deferred 1 pt win at 9 and Tartan Chief 0.60 win at 17/2 @Donnyflyer 2.15 Sed Caliope 1 pt win at 4.2 and I am a Spiderman 0.60 win at 15/2 @mickyftm32 4.30 Sed Spantik 0.60 win at 8/1 5.05 Sed Hidden Commander 1 pt win at 3.55 Total stakes = 14.10 The 7.00 at Kempton looks interesting but very tricky. The 7.30 less tricky but no easy task. Don't know if @richard-westwoodwill have an interest in the 7.00 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Not going well with only one winner I am trying a 0.5 win Trixie = 2 pts on Shaladar, Creative control and Ascending with a poss return of 59.25 points Opera Ghost very disappointing I'll try a 1 pt win double on Creative Control and Ascending Also will have 1 pt win on each of Mitrosofire at 9/1 and Diocles Of Rome @richard-westwood Total stakes now 19 points Two non-runners in the 5.30 so I'll have a last gasp attempt with 5 pts to win on Ascending at 3.10 24 points staked That's all folks for today ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Very frustrating day with 5 seconds. It seems amazing to me that Jayne Chapple-Hyam seemed to know better than Roger Varian which trip suited First Office in the 5.30 at Nottingham. Just 1 winner today and a couple of non-runners. This caused a loss of 17.40 which makes my MTD -27.96 and YTD - 201.94 Loads of short priced favourites in the class 4 and upwards races tomorrow. Looks like another tough day ahead
    5 points
  36. Big Bard - lost - 2nd 5/1 beaten a short head. Shandy Star - Won 6/1 Edge of Darkness - lost My Lion - Won 7/4 Uncle Jumbo - lost So close with Big Bard, but a but a nice +12.65pts.
    5 points
  37. Single. 4.46. Wolv. Arab Cinders. 9/2..... 7/1. 1st Double. 4.57. Win. Pride of the Pack. 7/1.... unpl 1.00. Strd. Shetland Bus 3/1... 1st singles & double. Good luck all.
    5 points
  38. Course Time Selection Odds / Bet Type Result Uttoxeter 14:18 Aucunrisque 2.25 / Win 14:53 Castle Quarter 3.75 / Win 15:28 Finalshot 5.50 / Win 17:13 Galice Macalo 3.00 / Win Kelso 13:25 The Nagivator 4.5 / Win 15:12 Nuts Well 3.00 / Win Good luck folks.
    5 points
  39. A VERY busy Saturday. 2.12 Red - Can't stop now - 4/1 (1/5 4 places) - 2pts EW 2.25 Asc - Hamish - 11/8 - 4pts win 2.35 Font - Wet and Windy - 2/1 - 4pts win 3.57 Red - Spirit Catcher - 13/2 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW 5.00 Wolv - Liberated Lad - 4/1 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW 5.37 Red - Fast Response - 4/1 (1/5th 5 places) - 2pts EW 7.30 Wolv - Swiss Ace - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places) - 2pts EW 8.30 Wolv - Midnight Train - 5/2 - 4pts win 32pts staked
    5 points
  40. Redcar 2.47 Dubai Poet 11/4 5.07 Billy No Mates 4/1 Singles & double Good luck all CNBB.
    5 points
  41. Longchamp Treble - Bet365 prices 1450 - Denmark 11/4 1600 - Addeybb 8/1 1635 - Triple Time 11/2
    5 points
  42. Just a few today.... Course Time Selection Odds / Bet Type Result Fontwell 14:35 Mascat 8.50 / Win 15:10 Zacony Rebel 2.62 / Win 15:45 Chapmanshype 4.00 / Win 16:20 Fresh New Dawn 17.00 / EW 2 places Newmarket 15:17 Leadenhall 3.75 / win Good luck 🤞
    5 points
  43. William Muir & Chris Grassick only runner. Redcar. 5.37. Swayze. 7/1..... unpl Good luck all.
    5 points
  44. Even though the thread title is Arc De Triomphe ( Sunday ) I'll post Saturday's here as well which I hope is ok . 133- SEA THE SKY ( 16/1 bet365 3 places) showed massive improvement stepping up & winning over CD last time out & the more rain the better . 4th 325- PRINCESS ZOE ( 18/1 bet365 3 places ) back off the same mark as when winning this last year on very soft same as Saturday's . 4th 435- THE REVENANT ( 11/4 bet365 ) I just like this horse , will absolutely relish the going but is giving the Aga Khan's horse 3Lb , will be flying late . 2nd rather they be last than one place from a pay out . Marquand , Moore & trainer O'Brien reporting the ground nowhere near as bad as reported , more sticky than proper soft but plenty of rain forecast tomorrow morning .
    5 points
  45. We’ll done to winners and Michael for running comp . Bit out of order me coming 26th 😂😂😂👍👍
    5 points
  46. 5 points
  47. A disappointing final day but still a fantastic month with an overall profit being made. @Kingdom forwins by a distance. @Craig bluenosefinishes 2nd with @BBBC3rd and @mickyftm324th.
    5 points
  48. Couple of Ralph Beckett 2yo's. Salisbury. 3.09. Time's Eye. 12/1... unpl 1.25. Bluestocking. 12/1.. 1st singles & double. ew Good luck all.
    5 points
  49. This Friday (30th September) is mental health day for all those who work for Tag Media (the new owners of Punters Lounge). We will be taking the day off to recharge so there will be no Naps competition on this day. Thursday 29th September will be the last day for this month's Naps competition.
    5 points
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