Leaderboard

As im working ...just having a n early look at the weekend racing .....big race of weekend is bet365 gold cup Kinindo kwetu. 9.0 16/1 Amirite. 8.9. 10/1 Sam brown 8.4 33/1 Le Milos. 8.3 8/1 Does he know. 8.0 28/1 A very difficult race to rate tbh as a lot of these have only ran on soft since Xmas and now the ground has changed dramatically it's difficult to know where they will be on the tree ........so I've changed tack slightly... with this race .....I've rated as normal .....then historically it's been very difficult for horses over say 11-5 in this race so that cuts out the bottom 3 .....leaving the top 2 again so that's good enough for me .....I'm not saying the others can't win .....in fact I think Sam brown and does he know look overpriced on select form and I could see them placing at big prices but for me I'm looking for value and the top 2 tick the boxes 5pt Ew top 2

Sandown 1.50 A bumper field to start the day’s ITV action with a maximum twenty runners going to post for this class 2 2M Novices’ Championship Handicap Hurdle. Many are making their handicap debuts so have the potential to be better than their mark although the one I like has already had a run in a handicap. Sam Thomas’s Steel Ally followed up his cosy Wincanton win by pushing subsequent Cheltenham winner Doyen Quest to a neck at Newbury last month with the third, some 9 3/4L back in third, Imperial Saint also winning since to further boost the form. He has been shunted up 7lb for that fine effort and can run well each way. Also on the shortlist is John O’Shea’s Maasai Mara who looks well treated in his first handicap in first time cheek pieces. I can see him running well also. STEEL ALLY 1 point each way @ 10/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 MAASAI MARA 1 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5t 12345 Leicester 2.05 The feature race of the day at Leicester, and covered by the team at ITV is the 1M class 2 King Richard III Cup Handicap. Last year’s ready 4 1/4L winner Al Mubhir has his ground again and although 7lb higher than that win is most definitely the one they all have to beat. Trained by the in form William Haggas that was his only victory last season and he has been gelded since last seen. He did however come into last year’s race having had a run when 5th in the Lincoln and although the most likely winner is no value at his current odds of around 9/4. I’ll take him on with Tony Coyle & Keane Wood’s mud loving Thunder Roar. A dual winner in the mud last Autumn at York and Doncaster he went down by just half a length to the re-opposing Look Back Smiling (also declared at Haydock) and is a pound better off today. He looks sure to be thereabouts today under Cam Hardie and can be backed each way. THUNDER ROAR 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 123 Sandown 2.25 Just the seven face the starter for this Grade 2 bet365 Oaksey Chase run over 2M 6 1/2F. The best in at the weights by a pound is Patrick Neville’s The Real Whacker who drops in trip and, according to his trainer in the trade press earlier in the week, will relish the drier ground. He looks the most likely winner to me. Paul Nicholl’s Hitman sports blinkers for the first time and at the weights is the likely danger with the Willie Mullins representative Easy Game having to carry a 6lb penalty and also sporting first time cheek pieces. Not a very inspiring race with all bar Fantastic Lady sporting some form of headgear but the pick is The Real Whacker to small stakes. THE REAL WHACKER 1 point win @ 5/2 bet365 Haydock 2.45 A ten runner 7F class 2 handicap which is covered by the ITV cameras today and it really does have an open look about it. With the ground riding very soft all bar last year’s winner Rainbow Fire should be in their element. Katie Scott’s Gweedore was runner up last season and has won first time out for the last two seasons and has to be on the shortlist with the selection being the Richard Hannon trained Tacarib Bay. His last five starts have all been on the all-weather which include a 6F listed win last November at Newcastle but he’s equally as effective on the turf as he proved when running some good races in defeat in big handicaps last summer. He obviously likes this track as he’s won two of his three visits here and is currently on the same handicap mark as when scoring over course and distance in July 2022. He looks good each way value for a trainer who’s been amongst the winners recently especially if able to find a firm paying four places. TACARIB BAY 1 point each way @ 9/1 Betfred 1/5 1234 Sandown 3.00 The 1m 7 1/2f Grade 1 Celebration Chase looks a match between Willie Mullins’s Cheltenham flop El Fabiolo and Nicky Henderson’s impressive Aintree winner Jonbon with officially just 5lb between the pair in favour of the former. That pair are rated 6lb (Edwardstone next best) and more better than the other five and in what is a race to saviour can be won by Nicky Henderson’s Jonbon who is unbeaten at the Esher track in three starts here including in this race last year. He looked good over further last time but also has speed and may actually cope with the drying ground better than the Mullins runner who has raced exclusively on soft ground and of course has the poor run at Cheltenham to put behind him. It’s hard to split the pair so at the prices the pick will be J P McManus’s Jonbon who will be ridden by Nico De Boinville. JONBON 1 point win @ 9/4 bet365 Sandown 3.35 A bumper maximum field of twenty line up for the 3M 4 1/2F bet365 Gold Cup (hands up if you’re old enough to remember the race as the Whitbread Gold Cup). Current favourite is last year’s winner Kitty’s Light who has to be part of the staking plan having run so well when leading over the last in the Grand National a fortnight ago. The quick turnaround doesn’t worry me as he won the Scottish Grand National and this contest with a week between them last year. He’s 5lb higher than last season but the ground appears to have come right for him and Christian Williams’s eight year old looks sure to be thereabouts. An outsider who I feel is overpriced is Anthony Honeyball’s Sam Brown who is arguably the best handicapped horse in the field as he goes up 4lb in future handicaps for his highly creditable run at Aintree a fortnight ago when runner up to Cruz Control under today’s pilot Freddie Gingell. He’s the oldest horse in the race by two years plus and maybe that’s why he’s been neglected in the betting but he had one of today’s rivals in Kinondo Kwetu just under 7L behind that day and on the same terms is a bigger price. Many others have chances but it’s Kitty’s Light and Sam Brown for me. KITTY’S LIGHT 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 SAM BROWN 1/2 point each way @ 33/1 bet365 1/5th 12345

Does the business ....beating the short price fav ....making a nice profit on the day

Rainbow Fire 2 45 Hay/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 - 3rd An Brandan Frasa 1 50 San/ 1/40th of a pt ew 22/1 Rapper 3 35 San/ 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1 Will Carver 5 20 San/ 1/40th of a pt ew 22/1 P/L + 177 Pts

Only other race I could find a potential bet was 7.00 wolv .......computer was saying if the full 8 run and I could get 11/2 or better then ...SO OBSESSED is a value bet Ew .....bet 365 have just priced up first at 6/1 ....so I'm happy to take that and play ....5pt Ew 🙂

Won @ 7-1

Saturday is the 2000 guineas with the 1000 following on Sunday .....of course in the 2000 guineas all eyes are on the Aiden o briens ...CITY OF TROY who is being likened to o briens version of Frankel Can't argue that the horse has done everything asked so far in facile manner so it's hard to see how this horse will be beat surely but either way ....when there's a short priced fav there has to be an opportunity for value bets elsewhere so I've asked the computer to rate the current 21 entries with a view to seeing what if anything could be a potential value bet alternative bet ....these are the ratings that came back .... City of Troy 9.2 4/6 Henry Longfellow. 8.9. 25/1 Haatem 8.8 25/1 Ghostwriter. 8.6 16/1 Rosallion. 8.5 5/1 Interesting set of results ....computer has city of Troy clear but he has been downgraded slightly based on unknown on fast ground ....so if there is any chink in this favs armour that's possibly it if the ground goes fast as it currently is .....the horse was soooo effective on soft recording a fast time ...can he be equally effective on fast ????.....not many horses can as it requires a different action but not impossible If the rating holds true then Aiden o brien would get the 2nd spot too with Henry Longfellow who has quietly risen through the ranks and has generally been overlooked ....but we all know never to ignore o briens 2nd or 3rd strings as they regularly pop up when you least expect them Not much between haatem and ghostwriter on form ...they both look very evenly matched ....you could argue that ghostwriter just edged it with class and going if the ground comes up fast but I wouldn't like to put money on that come the day .....especially if the ground came up good as that would very much swing back in haatems favour And finally rosallion .....who is a lot of people's idea of an Ew horse if there is one and I can't fault the horse and he's very much an improving type .....for me there's no value in the horse at all when you compare him to the other better priced horses in the ratings ......all comes down to value really .... Good form actually at Newmarket is a very good thing to have also ....with the undulations really not suiting many horses ....good form can realistically give you as much as 5lb bonus so based on that ...... City of Troy won Henry Longfellow. Unknown Haatem. Won Ghostwriter. Won Rosallion. Unknown That would seem to strengthen the Ew value of haatem and ghostwriter and overall those two look the overall best value in the race .....nothing wrong with Henry Longfellow though .....looks prime for forecasts and tricasts I think 🤔....although it may help later today as I think declarations have to be in today ?....so some might drop out yet ....Aiden might not even run Henry after all which would help .....just a shame only 3 places on offer for a 20 runner race currently ....that's pretty crap really ...cmon bookies Anyone liking any of those ??....or other thoughts ?

2.05 leic miss cantik 18/1 bet365

I got a Silver Tankard for my 18th birthday in 1970 ........ it was the common practise then ....... you're a man now, put your tankard behind the bar at your local !

I worked for Whitbreads in the late 70s, in the canteen you were allowed 2 free pints a day, even the lorry drivers ! The brewery was in the centre of Sheffield, you could smell it from miles away

Oh yes!

4.15 Doncaster-Turner Girl Coming back trip will suit her Each Way @ 13-2 with Bet Victor

Good Morning. Little tip today (or the one to avoid lol, not brave enough to put it on the "£20.00 Daily Challenge"). 3.20 Epsom, Qitaal. Justin.

Exchanges ? Bookies shop with fake wig & muzzie in case they recognise you ? 3.10 Yarmouth - LUCENTIO 9/2 William Hill .👎 4.55 Yarmouth - SHE IS A KEEPER 9/2 Coral .👎 both ran poorly despite Kellawasy's being backed into favourite & finished last .

1515 Yarmouth Cat Ninja 5/1 Info 👍🏼

Good Morning. A very mixed bag on the punting front. "Level" on the week (enjoyed "What A Johnny"). I've been very busy with work so I post when I can. Today's hugely speculative bet is in the 5.20 at Sandown Park. "Sa Majeste". Good Luck to you all! Justin. 🏇.

Tightenourbelts 6:10 Chepstow (5/1 bet365). Things haven't gone to plan since impressive win at Ludlow, but did run well behind Hermes Allen and Nickleback at Newbury. Got the 1st at Cheltenham wrong and the trainer said he lost confidence before pulling up. Had a couple of months off then a spin over hurdles so hopefully confidence is restored. Running off 134 now and looks a mid 140's horse to me if back to form and this is much easier than taking on Il Est Francais 😋 3pts win 5/1 Smashed into 6/4 but woeful effort, confidence not back or something else wrong with it. P/L: -7.3pts

1.40 Cork: Sharinay @ 12/1 Bet365

210 epsom Looking for Lynda 8.5 9/1 Mountain peak. 8.5 10/1 Clearpoint. 8.2 Tricky race with lots of questions marks but I'll try 2pt Ew on top 2 as they look a bit of value

505 epsom Mr baloo likes it here at epsom ...has a fitness edge having won at kemp and has the services of Alec voikhanksky who's good for his claim of 3lb ....should run well 5pt win 100/30

🤞 good luck with Cat Ninja, Its drifting again now as betfair 9/2 and b365 4/1........... 5 places in Punchestown 3.05 soooo .....few UK runners.... Immortal Fame @ 25/1 EW .......Tune in a Box @ 28/1 EW WON.........irish runner bottom weight Paddys Milestone @ 9/1 EW paying 6 places at Punchestown 4.15 sooo little EW play i think......UK trainers gone over....... B Pauling has runner Densworth @ 25/1 EW ( b365) non runner ..... H Derehams Brentford Hope @ 12/1 EW ( b365).... 2nd C Longsdons Rare Edition @ 28/1 EW

Just so you have a bit more clarity on my horse posts, I'll always state if it's info as I have today. I've actually backed e/w as I got 5/1 but the info is usually always to back on the nose. They only ever really suggest e/w of odds over 12s so today's is suggested on the nose but I'm trying to play slightly cautiously. This is the 3rd info bet since returning. The 1st won around 9/2, the 2nd came 2nd at around 18/1 and that was suggested e/w and this is the 3rd so hopefully the solid info continues 👌🏼. Good luck if you follow 🙂

5.10 Catterick-Hailey Ya Mal Each Way @ 28-1 [4 places] with Coral Could surprise if hand brake let off...

1000 guineas Fallen angel. 8.9 11/4 Ylang ylang 8.6 7/2 Porta fortuna. 8.3 25/1 Kitty rose. 8.1 33/1 A bit more straightforward this one ......top 2 in betting look strong and both have won at Newmarket ....porta fortuna looks an interesting horse were she to run and the ground came up on the quick side ....was last seen in breeders cup juvenile where she finished 2nd ....that's classy form but has drifted of late so that may indicate will drop out but could be the value bet if on the quick side ...the quicker the more it would suit...has also won at Newmarket .... Kitty rose beat content who in turn was behind porta fortuna in the above breeders cup juvenile ....so collateral lines put this one on par with porta fortuna .....so overall top two look strong with Ew value in porta fortuna and kitty rose should they run and ground is on quick side 😁

I love having a go in these big races ....but I hate short priced favs ......I'd rather back a 20/1 shot Ew because the Ew returns can be better than a win bet on the fav and sometimes they actually win !!!.....so it's mainly a value hunt

Ew 5th ....was hoping for a better run but cest la vie

Apologies, No gamesmanship, honestly. I had a glasgow Southampton drive today, for the start of my summer holidays, and literally just arrived. Good luck to league 2 for a superb profit this season. Marek 76 you deserve to be champion in this league, with your staking plans,unless someone else has super finale Thanks to avongirl for all the admin,such a time consuming task Well done take a bow

I know rip off normally get beers larger wine from supermarkets lots cheaper now 🍺🍷

I had to pay over £8 for a pint of Stella Lager and a small bottle of still water in a Wetherspoons up in London recently. My favourite beer was Fullers ESB when it was managed properly by bar staff. No one seems to manage beer properly any more in pubs. It puts me off buying the stuff

Yesterday Charyn won (4th top rated in a row) at 3.35 + Arabian Crown at 5/6 + 4 losers Current loss 0.74 points Todays top rated is BROKEN SPEAR. It achieved its top rating over todays course and dstance and on todays going. I have it 11 lengths clear of the favourite so it looks excellent value at 4/1. BSP. Lots of action today, these are top rated overall and on the going Leicester 2.05 LOOK BACK SMILING 8/1 - BSP Leicester 3.12 RECON MISSION 5/1 - BSP Leicester 4.55 EY UP ITS JAZZ 14/5 - LADBROKES Haydock 2.10 COLD STARE 11/2 - BET MGM EW (4 places) Haydock 3.20 THE SMILING WOLF 11/4 - BSP Haydock 3.53 SHEMOZZLE 8/15 - BSP Haydock 5.00 AMANCIO 5/2 - BSP Doncaster 5.40 ISLE OF DREAMS 13/1 - LADBROKES Ripon 6.20 LEGENDARY DAY 16/1 - LADBROKES

Was 33p a pint in grays about 77-78

5.15 Ripon-Helter Skelter Think owners "The Horse Watchers" have a nicely handicapped horse on their hands 11-4 with Bet 365

That’s it good will it lasted -£4 after 111 days

annual invictus 20/1 or rapper 25/1 for the win

Hi all, some TV racing this afternoon 🐎 ........sooo have a little play i think and see what lovely meg and Jason think about it 🤞 ....... Main bet 'we' hopeful 👌 as some trainers have to target early season prizes before the 'big guns' get up & running!.....🐎 👍 stayed on to WIN We off to Newmarket next weekend to see/stay with friends for Guineas meeting, and now have some nice winnings to play with 👌 Sandown 1.15 Tan Rapido 9/1 EW Hedge Fund 6/1 Perth 1.30 Mack the Man 4/1 Rascal 9/2 Sandown 1.50 Cracking Gold 5/1 Blue lemons 9/1 EW 2nd 10/1 Don 1.58 Ratafia 5/2 Warrior Square 9/1 EW Perth 2.05 Tom Cody 8/1 EW 3rd Bretney 12/1 EW WON Sandown 2.25 Okeechobee 7/2 (main bet ) WON 💷 Sandown 3.00 Charyn 9/4 ( hear is fit to win early big prize ) WON running on last 100/150m to win nicely Arabian Crown Wins and off to the Derby @ 6/1 ish ......worth taking that now maybe at least EW 🤞 .... IF City of Troy is Aidens Frankel !? then 5/4 now for Derby looks big...... we know on 1st JUNE 🐎

Don't get many 9.0s. Have had a look at the race now and this one seems like a good bet given the ground. Currently 14's on William Hill.

3.35 Sandown - PORTLAND 11/1 eway bet365 . 4th , no returns but ran on really well at the end , have put in tracker next 3 runs hopefully over 12f which would really suit . Has had a prior run unlike most of today's rivals over 7f & on heavy blowing the cobwebs away , today's faster surface & extra 3f trip should suit . ITV showing races from Sandown & Perth , I'm surprised @TheBrigadier hasn't done one of his excellent write ups , hope all's ok .

I tend to bet on the day of the race now that BOG is not offered before

1535 Ludlow Musique De Fee william hill 11/1 ty

1850 GP - Action Plan @ 30-1 ew PP/BF

I'm having a small punt on these two horses (obviously). 14:10 at Epsom Downs Reverse forecast LOOKING FOR LYNDA & LIHOU. I'm betting that both horses finish in the first 4.

2.53 Southwell Taste the Fear @ 20's bet365

2.45 Epsom Bellum Justum - each way (14/1 Bet365)

+7.41 less commission if my maths are right

Bit of ew money there. Here is the point and moral regarding speed figures this race had a 6/5 fav (stable in form) £10 win returns £22, profit £12. Speed figures suggested Almarada Prince was the bet so you would have to go EW at 22/1 (if you were sensible which i am not) with a chance of the win but also covering 3 places, same stake £10 split £5ew returns £27 profit £17. Be a sensible punter people don't be like a Zil. 😁

law supreme 430 bath 25/1 bet365

I am going to chuck in the 2:50 here. We know all about most of these the "unknown" is Zarir dropping back in trip beautifully bred and can be anything this year. 25/1 PP is a very big price and so is well worth the unknown factor.

-26.

I remember drinking Whitbread Trophy bitter, "the pint that thinks its a quart"

ON THE RIVER won yesteday at 3/1 + 3 losers for a breakeven day. Current profit 5.54 points. Top rated today is Crystal Delight but that was achieved on the AW. 2nd top rated in that race is DUAL IDENTITY and it is top rated on todays good going. Available at 6/1, I'll have a bet at BSP. Top rated in total and on the going are Epsom 3.55 WYNTER WILDES 15/1 - Ladbrokes EW (4 places) Epsom 4.30 MIDAIR 5/4 - BSP Epsom 5.05 MR BALOO 10/3 - BSP Yarmouth 2.00 READY OR NOT 8/1 - BETMGM Yarmouth 4.20 SPANISH MANE 80/1 - BETMGM EW (4 places) Yarmouth 5.25 BATCHELOR BOY 5/1 - BSP