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WON ! ....... I'll have to put up more selections from my system ! the fact she's beaten a field of well regarded colts, most of which have already won a race, suggests she's pretty useful

We’ll done all prize winners make the most of win mr faint 😂 got new system for may 🍺 on you Saturday 😂💰👍

I gotta system ! ......... for early season 2 year old 5 furlong races where there's not much form and lots of runners making debuts (the system is based around sires and damsires progeny average winning trips) So today we have a nice little Class 2 race at Ascot 1.10 which often throws up Royal Ascot types and my selection is Enchanting Empress EW at 9/1 bet365 (2 places). Outsider of the field and the only filly (which admittedly is a worry). She won on debut and the 2nd has won next time out. She also beat some colts in that race.

830 kemp Cajetan. 8.2 2/1 Inv.speed 8.0 Want want 8.0 18/1 Bit of a risky one this ......cajetan could be anything trying kempton first time ....some horses just don't take to it ...invincible speed won well last time but hcapper hammered him 10lb so much more on plate today ... Computer said WANT WANT would be Ew value bet at 8/1 and he was around that last night but has drifted to 18/1 !!!!.. now that sounds negative but if it was value bet at 8 then 18 looks a gift .... I'll try small 3pts Ew in case there's a reason it's drifted

Well done top 3 , some decent LSP's there & also @bymatrix most winners & 4th in monthly 👏

Just 2 winners on the last day at 10/1 and 2/1 so the positions remain unaltered Congratulations to @Harry_Faint99 who takes top spot with an excellent 75 points Well done to last months runner up @adamross who finishes 2nd and @Bill11 who improves on last months 5th to finish 3rd

Cajetan is 2/1 so the bookies really fancy him .....but I'm looking for value on a quiet day so I'd rather back a 18/1 than a 2/1 .....want want could finish 8th because they know something with the drift or he could storm clear in the straight .....risky bet but good value win or lose ....I'd be happy with a place Sky are going 14/1 4places for the faint of heart 🫣🤣

Surprised to see fallen angel so low as a dual group 1 winner against a group 3 dance sequence 🤔🤔.....if the ground comes up on the fast side of good its porta fortuna Ew all the way for me 🤔

For completeness I've manually calculated the ratings for the 2 horses that have only run in Ireland or France

Poor Day 2 and so annoying to see Tom Foolery win. He was really well backed and ended up going off favourite so clearly some people expected an improved showing. I'm not sure Duke Of Bedford was loving Warrnambool and he might prefer going elsewhere. Only the final day where the big race of the week, the Grand Annual takes place. Race 1 The Champion Novice Hurdle looks the toughest race of the week to find the winner of. Affluential is the market leader after he got up to beat Dubai Moon at Pakenham and last week he won a maiden on the flat at Cranbourne. Dubai Moon ran well enough on Tuesday to give the form a solid enough look and they did pull clear of the others. As I wrote the other day though Dubai Moon's jockey thought he got distracted by the hurdle after the line so was he possibly a bit fortunate to win so whilst I respect his chance and he could win I am going to take him on. Jekyll'n'hyde won a maiden at Coleraine last August and then ran a solid enough 4th at Ballarat in handicap company behind El Diez. He has had 3 flat runs over the last couple of months and he won a hurdle trial here 3 weeks ago. He has claims. Calvi could run a decent race as he took the maiden on the first jumps card of the season over course and distance. Elementry was 4th that day and did reverse the form at Pakenham last month, but I think the fact he could dictate the pace in a small field played into his hands and Calvi's run wasn't bad. He ran OK on the flat at Moe last week. Lincoln King won his maiden at Ballarat last time, but I'm not sure that is the strongest form in the race, but he does have strong flat form so I still respect his claims. I was really impressed with Huntly Castle at Pakenham as he quickened up well to storm clear. Given Leaderboard who was 2nd that day won on Tuesday that form has a strong look to it and his jockey has impressed in Australia so far and landed the Galleywood yesterday. I put up Custom Of The Sea at Pakenham and on the face of it he ran poorly, but he was lame after the race and the jockey reported that he made an abnormal respiratory noise turning for home. I think he looks a potential big improver from that effort and he had shown good promise in Ireland over hurdles so we know the ability to win a race like this is there. I'm going to take two against the field here and with Huntly Castle's form boosted on Tuesday I am going to back him and I am expecting a much improved run from Custom Of The Sea so he is the other one I will back. Huntly Castle 1pt @ 9/2 with Bet365 Custom Of The Sea 1pt @ 19/5 with Bet365 Race 7 Really looking forward to the Grand Annual which is the longest jumps race in Australia at 5500m and it is worth around £130k to the winner. Stern Idol was entered in this, but in a very clever move by his trainer I think he was only put into the race to keep the weights down for last years Rockstar Ronnie. He would have had to carry more than 67.5kg and it would have led to more horses being in the handicap proper, but instead he is giving less weight than he should do to some of the runners. I find it odd that in Australia they don't see to focus on the handicap and just look at the weight's the horses have to carry which is the opposite to what we do over here. Rockstar Ronnie was a good winner last year and the ex Dan Skelton trained horse certainly won way more money than he would have done in the UK. After that he was beaten by Mighty Oasis in the Thackeray and then ran a stinker in the Crips at Sandown, but he was lame after the race and he jumped terribly so I suspect the lameness was the reason. I thought he ran the perfect trial at Pakenham when 3rd behind Stern Idol and after the race I went over to where connections were stood and they were delighted with the effort which should have put him spot on for this. Bell Ex One was certainly the better horse of the 2 in Ireland/UK and he was 3rd at the Cheltenham Festival on his last start here. His first start in Oz went perfectly as he beat Stern Idol over hurdles and I thought he was going to win lots of races last season. That didn't really happen though and whilst he did well to win the Lafferty Hurdle I didn't think he was really at his best. To be fair his chase debut was a good effort in the Grand National at Ballarat when 2nd to Brungle Bertie, He's had lots of trials this year and a couple of flat runs and he was 2nd last time at Kyneton. I never really had him down as a horse who needs this far and I do think he has to step up on what he did last year. Brungle Bertie ended the season very well as his run in the Crisp was good given he got badly hampered and then as mentioned above he won the Grand National. I thought he was given a bit of a daft ride at Pakenham as he tried to serve it up to Stern Idol which is never to work as he burnt himself out and ended up finishing 5th. He should come on for that run though and given he stayed 4500m well he ought to stay this trip. Vanguard was 4th in this race last year and no doubt will have had this race as his plan again this year. He ran well in his prep at Ballarat when 3rd to Mighty Oasis and Instigator. With another year on his back he could easily improve on his 4th place. Crosshill had good form in Ireland before going to Oz and he was certainly a better horse than Rockstar Ronnie, but things haven't quite worked out for him. He was 3rd in this last year and did win a maiden on the flat, but he was only 6th in the Crisp and then failed to finish in the Grand National. He won 1st up this season although it ended up being a very weak race with the other two chances both departing early on. I thought he was very poor at Ballarat though in the hurdle there when he failed to finish. He did win a steeple trial last time. He was put in at silly odds although that was with Stern Idol still in the race and I'm not surprised he's been backed in, but I think the value has gone now. Instigator ran a huge race on Tuesday when putting it up to Stern Idol late on and it is not unusual for horses to run in both races so has another chance here. The only other one with a chance is Budd Fox who jumped really well to win at Pakenham and beat Tom Foolery who obviously franked the form today. He is the main horse who is running from out of the handicap, but that was his first jumps race since 2022 so he should improve for it. He was also 2nd in the longest flat race in Oz which is here over 4600m so the trip shouldn't be an issue either. I do think Rockstar Ronnie is the one to beat again as he ran a fantastic trial for this at Pakenham and we know this test suits him perfectly. Vanguard won the Brieley 2 years ago and then slipped in this when fav and the 4th last year was obviously solid. There was lots to like about his prep run as well so he will be the other horse I cover in what should be a cracking race, Rockstar Ronnie 2pts @ 3/1 with Bet365 Vanguard 1pt @ 7/1 with Bet365

Great scores from the top 3 and well done to them , tough to even compete with those totals. As for the most winners , unfortunate CS333 as you played it well but didn't have the luck late on , respect Next month looks like it'll be as dead heat between 87 of us as we'll all be following LEE-GRAYS infallible new system Thanks to Clarky as always

6.00 Punchestown - HERIDITORY RULE 33/1 eway bet365 + 25% winning bonus . Won race last year off 6Lb lower but has been rubbish since but I'll take a chance only small eway stake & 2022 winner finished 2nd in 2023 also arriving with dismal form .

Good luck with this one. Is it possible for you or Michael @MCLARKEto change the day to read Wednesday, please?

Fallen 8.9 Ylang. 8.6 Porta fortuna. 8.3 Dance sequence. 8.0 Content. 7.8 See the fire 7.7 Cinderella's dream 7.7 Darnation. 7.5 Pretty crystal 7.5 Ramatualle. 7.2 Regal jubilee 7.2 Brilliant 7.2 Starstyle. 7.0 Rolica 7.0 Sacred angel 7.0 Star music 6.8 Timfana 6.5 Emallca. 6.5 Lunar eclipse 6.5 Finsceal Luas 6.5

Watchya 3 25 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 12/1 Sempo 3 40 Pun 1/40th of a pt ew 44/1 Conflated 5 25 Pun 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1 Roedora 6 35 Pun 1/40th of a pt ew 38/1 Rossario 2 50 Asc 1/40th of a pt ew 18/1

Well after a 'bonus' day Tuesday with an EW Win and EW 2nd, so adding very nicely to our 'pot' for upcoming Newmarket meeting we attending..... we had a look at Ascot card and big prize money on offer and saw some races only 5 or 6 runners 😥..... normally we go to the opening day of new Ascot season, but as we have an invite for Newmarket 3 day weekend we passed it over. Its such a shame as Grandstand tickets are £20, its generally known as a trials day for horses, who then go forward to the Royal Ascot meeting with an experience of the course 🐎 but we dont envisage a large crowd im afraid! Soooo we wish the Ascot team well on opening day for some top class racing / prize money. We will see you soon and many friends there, to experience 1 Fabulous day at end of June for the Royal Meeting 😂 Late tip from HQ...... 3.25 Woolhampton @ 7/2 for Devon trainer B Millman, run 3 times at course Win / 2nd / 3rd..... not coming up to Ascot for day out & 7lbs decent claimer onboard.......WON

Double for me tomorrow...

Tahat weeks gone quick.

ZILZALIAN KR STOPWATCH RP SR MCLARKE MR RICHARD WESTWOOD RR TOTALS TR PRETTY CRYSTAL 130 PORTA FORTUNA 116 PORTA FORTUNA 91 FALLEN ANGEL 89 PRETTY CRYSTAL 426 DANCE SEQUENCE 126 YLANG YLANG 113 YLANG YLANG 89 YLANG YLANG 86 DANCE SEQUENCE 414 PORTA FORTUNA 126 RAMATUELLE 112 REGAL JUBILEE 88 PORTA FORTUNA 83 PORTA FORTUNA 409 ROLICA 125 DARNATION 112 FALLEN ANGEL 88 DANCE SEQUENCE 80 ROLICA 405 REGAL JUBILEE 124 FALLEN ANGEL 110 SEE THE FIRE 88 CONTENT 78 REGAL JUBILEE 400 CINDERELLAS DREAM 123 SACRED ANGEL 109 SACRED ANGEL 87 CINDERELLAS DREAM 77 CINDERELLAS DREAM 396 CONTENT 123 SEE THE FIRE 109 STAR STYLE 86 SEE THE FIRE 77 CONTENT 395 FALLEN ANGEL 121 CINDERELLAS DREAM 102 DANCE SEQUENCE 84 PRETTY CRYSTAL 75 FALLEN ANGEL 382 RAMATUELLE 121 DANCE SEQUENCE 101 DARNATION 83 DARNATION 75 RAMATUELLE 380 SACRED ANGEL 120 REGAL JUBILEE 101 STAR MUSIC 81 REGAL JUBILEE 72 SACRED ANGEL 374 YLANG YLANG 118 CONTENT 96 PRETTY CRYSTAL 80 RAMATUELLE 72 YLANG YLANG 366 STAR MUSIC 117 STAR STYLE 96 RAMATUELLE 80 BRILLIANT 72 STAR MUSIC 365 TAMFANA 115 BRILLIANT 96 BRILLIANT 78 ROLICA 70 TAMFANA 359 STAR STYLE 111 STAR MUSIC 91 ROLICA 77 SACRED ANGEL 70 STAR STYLE 349 BRILLIANT 108 PRETTY CRYSTAL 90 ELMALKA 72 STAR STYLE 70 BRILLIANT 340 SEE THE FIRE 107 ROLICA 88 FINSCEAL LUCAS 72 STAR MUSIC 68 SEE THE FIRE 335 ELMALKA 106 FINSCEAL LUCAS 84 TAMFANA 70 TAMFANA 65 ELMALKA 325 DARNATION 104 ELMALKA 67 CINDERELLAS DREAM 68 ELMALKA 65 DARNATION 304 FINSCEAL LUCAS 104 TAMFANA 66 LUNAR ECLIPSE 60 FINSCEAL LUCAS 65 FINSCEAL LUCAS 295 LUNAR ECLIPSE 78 LUNAR ECLIPSE 33 CONTENT 33 LUNAR ECLIPSE 65 LUNAR ECLIPSE 209

Walk Away Harry 2:30 Punchestown (4/1 Skybet). Chap I follow on X is sweet on this one. Had issue with wind that is hopefully solved now (1st time TS on). Form of bumper win has been well franked (3rd and 5th gained RPRs of 131 and 143 since). Runs off just 113 so well weighted on ability. 2pts win 4/1 Skybet Well backed into 7/4 but struggling a long way out and didn't land a blow 🤢 P/L: -9.3pts.

A win in the PLO leg for Barry and after taking 2nd place the week before he now takes over at the top of the table. Top 2 have a little gap from the rest but are still very catchable and it's tight for 3rd place with a tie currently and the followers close by. All on the final leg tonight, which is a 5000 stack NLHE game. Starts at the usual 8.10pm with 20 mins added late registration. Multiplier in effect for extra points, and the more in the more points are available to catch the added money places.

Sergei Prokofiev's 2 year old fillies are 4 from 6 so far this season , good stats , see how they go when the ground goes good to firm .

It certainly takes up a lot of time (not to mention the angst) probably a job for a bot!

B/Fwd - 78.80 L15's and RC P/L (incl L15's) - 110.70 Had 3 15's on the daily today = 4.50 points 1.10 Asc Rock Hunter 1.50 win at 5/2 3.25 Asc Glamorous Breeze 0.50 ew at 11/1 4p (let's hope the rain stays away for this race) Total stakes today = 7 points

Lucky15Ref: 377794592 4 Selections 2. Rock Hunter - 9/4Winner - 13:10 Ascot 3. Coltrane - 3/1Winner - 14:15 Ascot 6. Giselles Defence - 5/1Winner - 15:15 Pontefract 8. Kuwait City - 4/1Winner - 16:00 Ascot Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 89.15

All the eyes will be on Lee Grays to come on top with new system🙏🍺💰💰💰

I'm not confident with these horses. See if anything happens....

Hiya. Tip for today lol. "Vultar" 5.10 Ascot. Justin. 🏇.

I could run the numbers tomorrow. It would be good if you could collate the ratings as per your opening post and send me the spreadsheet. I think the data entry took me longer than the rating!

5.10 Ascot, Roarin Success, 4/1 William Hill. (Will probably cross the line on Saturday 😬)

Most winners Congatulations to @bymatrix for winning this month's competition as @CS 333 cannot find a winner on the last day

I was lucky at Punchestown...

I'll include it at SP

April prize winners £60 @Harry_Faint99 £30 @adamross £20 @Bill11 £20 @bymatrix £30 @u1905068 £10 @silver fox If you haven't already done so please PM me with pay-pal details and addresses for merchandise. Please do not contact PL direct as this may cause confusion. ALLOW UP TO 21 DAYS FOR PAYMENT

Fullkrug to score at 3.45 (may be drifting further). A system pick for me, in decent scoring form at the moment. Backed Vitinha and Sabitzer "screamers" for an interest, 20/1 and 18/1 (22/1 if you can get on with Betway).

Dortmund vs PSG Over 1.5 match goals 2/13 Mbappe to score or assist 1/2 Sancho to score or assist 8/5

I would settle for a win that could pay the Pizza Express bill at this stage!

We'll investigate 🙂. I believe the other issues have been resolved

Done.

What an effort from Putintseva lol. Alize Cornet to beat Fiona Ferro at 2.23 with Unibet Cornet is into her last few tournaments now, and, back on her own soil and on a lower level than usual, I think she can muster some strength and get a couple of wins. I saw Ferro against Davis and it was a very messy match, with both players struggling with the conditions. I see this as a 50/50 coin-flip, perhaps Cornet being a very slight fav.

Lucky15Ref: 377800556 4 Selections 4. Impressor - 9/2Winner - 14:05 Pontefract 1. Francisco's Piece - 11/2Winner - 14:40 Pontefract 2. Arkendale - 6/1Winner - 15:50 Pontefract 8. Roarin' Success - 7/2Winner - 17:10 Ascot Stake£ 1.50 Potential Returns£ 214.40

YTD -£7 One bet this week. K Mitchell 40/1 B365 £1 ew 1/4 odds 5 places

+85 €20 Accum

Not to labour my previous point on the subject (well, maybe not to labour it excessively) you can get that bet at 4/5 with PP who (possibly) have a wider definition of what an assist is. Also you could dutch the best anytime goal/assist prices to around 1.75 and have the chance of landing 2 bets for the price of one. It's hard to win in player prop markets generally and getting the best combination of price and terms can make a big difference. (For the benefit of anyone who sees the bet and fancies it perhaps.) Kane anytime has drifted enough for me to back him at 2.3 or more. I saw the assist at 13/2 with Ladbrokes.

I think for me .....ghostwriter has always been up there ....I can see him placing and being a better horse in the derby later on .....and haatem is also looking overpriced at 33/1..,.so I'm very happy to have 5pt Ew on both ....just a shame only 3 places

There has been debate in the Speed Ratings thread about the importance of going and distance. This has raised the question about which are the most important variables to consider when making selections. I will start with my list in order of importance. Please fell free to comment or add your own lists. Odds (both current race and previous race, exclude long odds) Days since last run (higher preferred) Race distance v distance of previous races Finishing position of previous runs (not including last run) Draw (this list is for flat racing only) Number of runs Number of runs (current season) Going Weight Class movement Country horse bred in Race distance Claiming jockey Winning / losing distance of last race Turf / AW Weight v previous run Official Rating Finish position last run Same / different jockey Same / different course Number of runners in previous race Sex of horse Age Previous course Handicap / non handicap Official rating v last run Official rating v last winning run Maiden / non maiden Course winner Races since last win Month Course Distance winner Beaten favourite

Mostly at Punchestown.

Thx Mc will try and produce a late surge tomorrow lol. Appreciated it.

To my embarassment after many years I'm still waiting for a naps prize, I did finish 4th once but that was the month after we'd decided to stop giving a prize for 4th place !