Jump to content
Announcements
** December Poker League Result : 1st Elliott Sutcliffe, 2nd McG, 3rd juanmoment **
** December Naps Competition Result: 1st mick33, 2nd Sugardaddyken, 3rd kenisbusy, 4th Johnrobertson. KO Cup Winner: Kingdom for, Most Winners: Johnrobertson **

Leaderboard

Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation since 12/17/21 in all areas

  1. As in previous years the Naps competition will be taking a break in line with that taken by the BHA. There is no UK or Irish racing on Thursday, Christmas Eve or Christmas Day. May I take this opportunity to wish you all a happy Christmas and a prosperous and healthy new year.
    20 points
  2. MCLARKE

    2021 NAPS TABLE SUMMARY

    No prizes for this but out of interest a summary of 2021. Some stellar performers, especially @mick33who produced a fantastic 247 points profit with only 2 months showing a loss. 6 players produced profits of over 100 points. Over a third of players made a profit.
    12 points
  3. The English and Scottish League matches are (currently) scheduled for this weekend but there are no European matches. Additionally there's a second batch of matches scheduled for 28th/29th/30th which includes some Portuguese Liga ones. As it seems likely that more games will fall to postponements I'd like to give as much choice as possible so I'm going to give the option of both sets of matches and the Portuguese ones for this game week. I will need you to indicate clearly which game you are picking as many teams will appear twice. Preferably use Team A v Team B format and quote the odds to make it completely clear. If you only show one team name and no distinguishing odds I will default the bet to the first game that team plays. You are allowed to pick the same team for both its matches in your combination if you wish. For this week there will be no penalty for a 'no show'. If you prefer not to play this week, for instance if you normally pick from the European matches and would rather not risk your bank with unfamiliar matches, you are under no risk of elimination from the competition. Deadline is Sunday even if you are picking from the second batch of games. Hope this is OK for you all. I'm keen to get a week in whilst it is feasible in case we end up with a firebreak week. Wish me luck settling the bets! Happy Christmas to everyone! 🤶 🎄 🎅
    11 points
  4. As per last year there will be a Christmas Tipsters competition. There is racing on terrestrial TV for 3 days from Boxing day onwards so I suggest we use these for the competition. At the moment this gives us 21 races. Rules: 1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account No edits allowed in selection posts Losses incurred for losers Replacement selections for NRs can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Leader-board posted each evening A minimum of 14 bets is required to qualify for any prizes Only bets on that day's thread will be included, bets posted eleswhere will not be included All welcome, good luck.
    10 points
  5. Hi to everyone. Alas i've not posted since October 12th due to being rushed to hospital with a severe Pancreas condition , i've unfortunately hit my 80th consecutive day at the hospital today. Also unfortunate to being too ill to even think about using a computer so basically that's the fundamental and only reason for not posting on this great site. I'm now starting to get back to some normality by actually looking at sports betting which is always a good measure of improvement and feeling a bit nearer normal despite losing 35lb in weight whilst in hospital. Fully intend to start posting on all competitions again from Jan 1st although my release from hospital is likely to be around the 12th of Jan. Apologies to MCCLARKE and all the guys running the other comp's for abstaining all this time as i fully appreciate all the hard work that goes with running all these competitions. See you all again from Saturday , belated Merry Xmas and have a great New Year.
    9 points
  6. event_date time course selection betfair position 2022-01-15 12:27 Wetherby Our Jet 1.57 1 2022-01-15 13:50 Warwick Threeunderthrufive 1.68 1 2022-01-15 17:15 Chelmsford City Shanko 1.92 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 69.71 49.71 Month bets outlay return profit 1 15 300 393.59 93.59
    8 points
  7. If you are new to reading this thread then a couple of years ago I decided to do a Road to the Cheltenham Foxhunter thread given all the various Cheltenham pieces never mention the contest. It has proved popular and it is back again as we build up to the race. It is later than usual this season for a couple of reasons. First of all bookies have been very slow to price the race up and secondly not too much has happened especially this side of the Irish sea. To start with I have written about every horse who has been priced up so far and added a couple that aren’t, but that are being targeted at the race. Hopefully you will find this useful and as always I will update as and when. Billaway – Not surprisingly the current favourite to finally get his head in front at Cheltenham and I have a feeling at this stage he might just well do it. Having said that his current price is no value and his nonappearance so far this season is a concern. He was entered in the opening Irish hunter chase of the season at Fairyhouse, but didn’t run and then didn’t even get an entry at Down Royal on Boxing Day. Both those things make me think he is injured at the moment or at the very least recovering from an injury. As always with horses being aimed at this race we rarely hear anything about their well being and until we see him on a racecourse I wouldn’t be backing him. Bob And Co – Obviously wont be seen until hunter chases start up in this country and it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he followed the same route as last season when he won at Haydock prior to going to Cheltenham. Porlock Bay – Last year’s winner wasn’t seen again after that success and he made his seasonal reappearance at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas. He finished 2nd to Premier Magic that day beaten a length in the end, but Will Biddick said after the race that he left plenty to work on and that he was working back from Cheltenham. The fact he was beaten doesn’t make me think that he couldn’t hold on to his crown in March as I do think he will improve a lot for race. Reading between the lines of what Will said after the race he clearly thought Porlock Bay would beat Premier Magic should they take each other on again and I agree with him. I wouldn’t want to back him yet, but at the same time I would have him in single figures rather than the 12/1 he is with Bet365. He looks set to run again this month in either a hunter chase or a point as his final prep for Cheltenham. Premier Magic isn’t priced up yet, but it did sound like he would be going to Cheltenham as well. He’s a good horse and Bradley Gibbs mentioned he had improved from last season. I do think he was the fitter horse at Chaddesley rather than being the better horse. Latenightpass – As short as 8/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair, but connections have said they will skip Cheltenham and aim him at Aintree instead which seems sensible and they have two other horses to target at the race anyway. Staker Wallace – 4th and 3rd in the last two runnings and could still have improvement to come. Has yet to be seen so far this season. Paddy Power and Betfair go 7s which is closer to the price I would have him at rather than the 20/1 Unibet have put him in at. Mighty Stowaway – Already run 7 times between October and the end of December and he’s won 2 points and head heated in another. He was 3rd behind Vaucelet at Fairyhouse in November and it is hard to see on what he has shown so far this season how he is going to improve on his well beaten 6th at Cheltenham last year. Lord Schnitzel – Was pulled up at the 2020 Festival in the Novice Handicap Chase off 139 and didn’t so a great deal after that. He change trainers last summer and started off by finishing 5th in a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle, before finishing 2nd in his 1st point in September. Since then he has thrived as he won 3 points on the bounce before trouncing his rivals in a maiden hunter chase at Limerick over Christmas. That was an impressive performance and it will be interesting to see what he does in a stronger race, but his trainer said after the race that they may skip Cheltenham and go to Aintree instead. Winged Leader – Surprised to see him in the beating to be honest as I’d be surprised if he ran, but dead heated with Mighty Stowaway in his only run so far this season. Just struggle to see how he would find the improvement needed to play a part if he did travel. It Came To Pass – Was a well beaten 7th last year after beating Billaway by 10L in 2020. Has run in 3 points this season so far and after being stuffed in the first of them finished a close 2nd next time before beating Killultagh Vic by a couple of lengths on Sunday. For a novice riders race it was a decent heat, but at this stage I find it hard to see him getting close to his 2020 effort. Killultagh Vic – Speaking of Killultagh Vic he is also priced up and it was back in 2015 that he landed the Martin Pipe. Obviously has the back class, but he’s now 13 and given he’s been beaten in 2 points this season as well as one last season he will probably do well to qualify for the race let alone win it. Cloudy Tuesday – Is unexposed and easily won a hunter chase at Thurles last March, before pulling up at Fairyhouse. This season he beat It Came To Pass first up, but was then 2nd to Mighty Stowaway last month and he would need to find improvement to play a part at Cheltenham. Another Venture – Nicky Henderson doesn’t send too many hunter chasing, but he mentioned that this horse had been purchased to go hunter chasing under his assistant George Daly. George rode him at Cheltenham at the November meeting and ran well enough to finish 3rd albeit 16L behind the winner. In all honestly I think the only reason he has been priced up is because of who he is trained by as his previous rules form wouldn’t be good enough to win this, but he does look capable of winning hunter chases during the season. Vaucelet – Had Premier Magic and Fumet d’Oudairies behind him win when landing the John Corbet Cup at Stratford last season and he did it will that day on only his 5th start. He returned this term to win a point by 30L before landing the first hunter chase of the season at Fairyhouse. I thought he still looked green that day and it made me think that this season’s Cheltenham Festival might be a year to soon for him. He then went to Down Royal on Boxing Day in a race he really ought to have been good enough to win, but he was only 3rd in the end. He was making hard work of it, but coming to 2 out I thought he was going to win given how well he stays. I was disappointed that he didn’t keep finding at that point and that he faded into 3rd. Some might say that the trip was too short, but for me the trip didn’t get him beat. It will be interesting to see what he does next time, but if he were mine I wouldn’t send him to Cheltenham this season and I think they would be better allowing him some more time. Dorking Cock won that Down Royal contest and he got up to a rating of 129 when trained over here by Tom Lacey. He was a surprise winner at Down Royal and he wouldn’t be good enough for this based on what he had done previously, but he’s only had 17 starts so maybe there is more to come. He’s not in the betting at the moment, but the 2nd home Er Dancer is. He had won a couple of points prior to Down Royal and it does seem like he’s found some improvement this season. He ran like he needed further and could possibly be interesting if the improvement continues. Fumet d’Oudairies – An incredible buy at just £800 given he is 5 from 6 in points and he has won a couple of hunter chases. I thought he was impressive at Leicester and Cheltenham although they were over 2m4f and 2m respectively and he was only 2nd to Vaucelet at Stratford and that would lead me to think he might struggle to stay in this. He returned on New Years Eve where he had a very easy task at Horseheath under his new jockey Gina Andrews as her brother has now gone pro. I’d want to see him prove he can stay this far under rules and Gina is likely to have a tricky choice to make as the yard have another contender. Dubai Quest – That other horse is Dubai Quest and at this stage I would favour him over his stablemate. Apart from when he fell on his debut for the yard he has won his other 6 starts for them including bolting up in a hunter chase at Fakenham last February. His only other start last season was a point win at Maisemore. This season he returned in what will probably be the hottest Ladies Open we see all season at Chaddesley Corbett which he won well beating Tango de Juilley and Red Indian. I think it’s seriously good form and connections suggested the hunter chase at Wetherby next month would be used as his Cheltenham prep. He’s not priced up yet, but he ought to be. Highway Jewel – You may remember that I tipped her up at 66/1 last year only for the trainer to forget to enter her! She has been put in the betting at 20/1 with Bet365 this time around and she has yet to run this season. I think she is better than her stablemate Premier Magic and she would be my pick of the Gibbs runners. I can’t wait to see her back in action.
    8 points
  8. Eight races on ITV today from Sandown and Wincanton and although one of the lesser terrestrial TV days there’s still eight winner to be found!. The ground at both fixtures is likely to ride soft or even heavy with a band if wet weather predicted. Here’s my thought on the. :- Wincanton 1.30 A competitive start to the ITV racing today but possibly a contender for one of the worst races shown by them! Thirteen go to post for this 1m 7F 50yds class 5 handicap hurdle. It may be poor pickings but there’s still a winner to be found and Planned Paradise has to be on the shortlist following a much improved effort when winning on his handicap debut at Newcastle in December. He’s up 11lb for that however and the ground will be significantly different today. Pittsburg landed a monumental gamble last time under Miss Alice Stevens at Catterick when defying his previous form figures of P00PP0P to win and has been raised 6lb. Pilsdon Pen is an interesting runner making his handicap debut for the in form Jeremy Scott stable who’s shown very little so far but any market support for him would be interesting. Top weight Coupdebol is also making his handicap debut and wasn’t disgraced in a Newbury novice won by I Am Maximus last time beaten 15L and can be competitive. I love a four year old in a handicap at this time of the of year as they receive a whopping 13lb age allowance and Nigel Hawke’s Inferno Sacree falls into that category so has to be part of my staking plan with top weight Coupdebol the main bet. COUPDEBOL 1 point each way @ 10/1 1/5 12345 Betfred INFERNO SACREE 1/2 point each way @ 18/1 1/5th 1234 Bet365 Sandown 1.50 Favourite Gunsight Ridge bumped into one last time at Exeter when chasing home L’Homme Presse who’s won twice since including the Dipper Novices Chase at Cheltenham and is now some 26lb higher. Olly Murphy’s charge is without the doubt the one they all have to beat but has been priced accordingly and as a horse who’s actually only won one of his eight starts I’m happy to look elsewhere for some value. That may come from the top weight Moonlighter who ran better than his finishing position suggested last time out at Cheltenham and has dropped to a mark 3lb lower than when winning a similar contest over course and distance last February. Harry Cobden takes over from Tom Scudamore who remains faithful to Heather Main’s Numitor whom he usually rides. MOONLIGHTER 2 points win @ 13/2 Bet365 Wincanton 2.05 Run over just short of two miles this class 3 handicap chase sees ten going to post. Anthony Honeyball’s Belle De Manech has to be on the short list following his easy win here on Boxing Day bringing his course record to two wins from three starts but this represents a stiffer test dropping in trip and having been raised 10lb. He has to give weight all round but top weight Grey Diamond trained by Sam Thomas looks likely to give his running and appeals as each way value. This represents a drop in class for the eight year old as he has shown up well in grade 1 and class 2 handicaps this season and can race today off of a handicap mark only 3lb higher than when winning at Sandown in March. He won’t mind the likely soft ground and is worth a small stakes each way bet with Jack Tudor who still claims 3lb doing the steering for the first time. GREY DIAMOND 2 points win @ 7/2 Bet365 Sandown 2.25 Six smart novices go to post for this years renewal of the 2 mile Tolworth Novices Hurdle and I’ll be shocked if Nicked Henderson’s Constitution Hill can’t win this. He was super impressive when quickening away on the run in in excellent fashion over course and distance a month ago and will be at prohibitive odds. A no bet race for me but let’s hope he’s as good as he looked last time. Gary Moore’s Shallwehaveonemore can chase him home. Wincanton 2.40 A bakers dozen go to post for this class 3 handicap hurdle and there is one horse here who could be thrown in. Philip Hobbs saddles his handicap debutant Crossing The Bar who was rated 83 on the flat when trained by Sir Michael Stoute and was sold out of his Newmarket stable for 60,000 guineas at the August horse in training sales at Newmarket. He’s shown promise in his two novice hurdles at Lingfield and Ffos Las with his third at the latter in December already been boosted by the horse that was 18L behind him in fourth Pageant Material winning a novice hurdle since at Ffos Las. An initial mark of 108 compared to his flat mark suggest the handicapper has erred on the side of caution and with stable jockey Tom O’Brien in the saddle can take what looks to be a winnable handicap. Nicky Henderson’s handicap debutant Blairgowrie has to be respected along with the well handicapped Apple Rock. CROSSING THE BAR 2 points each way @ 9/2 1/5 1234 Bet365 Sandown 3.00 Run over three miles, thirteen chasers have assembled for this veterans handicap chase and although I’m loathe to be tipping favourites in this style of event I do think that the top weight Aso, trained by Venetia Williams will be hard to beat. Runner up in the 2019 Ryanair Chase he got up to the dizzy heights of being officially rated 168 and races here today off of a mark 21lb lower than his pomp. He showed last time that he retains plenty of ability as he chased home Blaklion at Haydock and that one has come out since and bolted up again. Charlie Deutsch rides and he looks worth a bet today. Fergal O’Brien’s 13 year old Final Nudge and Philip Hobb’s Rolling Dylan look likely dangers. ASO 3 points win @ 3/1 Bet365 Wincanton 3.15 Only six run in this 2m 4F handicap chase in which top weight Stolen Silver looks the most likely winner. Sam Thomas and Jack Tudor who have a solid chance with Grey Diamond in the 2.05 has to give weight all round but if he can replicate either his Market Rasen win in October or his runners up effort at Cheltenham in November will be hard to beat. He’s obviously highly thought of by his shrewd trainer as he ran him in the grade one Henry VIII novices chase at Sandown last time out where he appeared to be out of his depth against the likes of Edwardstone. Slate House is a very interesting runner for the Tizzards. He’s dropped a stone since we last saw him over fences and wears blinkers for the first time today. He’s not been running well over timber mind but it would be no shock were he to run well here but for me it has to be Stolen Silver. STOLEN SILVER 2 points win @ 9/4 Bet365 Sandown 3.35 Jane Williams won this handicap with a similar sort in Monsieur Lecoq back in 2019 and can take this eight runner handicap hurdle once more with her lightly raced five year old Hermes Boy who is making his handicap debut today. He got off the mark at the fourth time of asking at Exeter a month ago when winning a novice hurdle that has worked out well (the third Dubrovnik Harry has bolted up since) and with no doubt more improvement to come can take this from some more experienced and exposed handicappers the best of whom may well be Mack The Man who will love the soggy conditions. HERMES BOY 2 points win @ 11/4 Bet365
    8 points
  9. Welcome to 2022 Trixie! event_date time course selection betfair position 2022-01-04 14:00 Lingfield Porfin 2.48 1 2022-01-04 15:20 Hereford Good Look Charm 2.58 1 2022-01-04 16:00 Newcastle Tyrrhenian Sea 1.34 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 108.76 88.76 Month bets outlay return profit 1 4 80 130.33 50.33
    8 points
  10. All prices Bet365: 12.15 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Doctor Ken @ 16/1 Not sure why he's such a big price here - he wasn't impressive last time but possibly it came too soon after his seasonal reappearance and of these runners, looks one of those who will benefit most from conditions. His two half siblings were very smart and I think there's more to come from this one. 12.50 Cheltenham - 2pts win Undersupervision @ 9/2 Very keen on this one today - has run well here a few times recently including last time out when the small field didn't play to his strengths. Wants a true test which he'll get today on this ground and I think he can win this. 1.43 Southwell - 1pt win Straitouttacompton @ 15/2 Whilst the surface is different at Southwell now, quite a lot of course form has held up and this course specialist ran really well on seasonal return after wind surgery last time out. Didn't get a great run through that day but with fitness now on side, looks to have another good chance. 2.00 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Kauto Riko @ 18/1 Looks fairly treated still and ran well last time so a bit surprised about the price here - a stiff test over this trip on soft ground is spot on and was competing in top handicaps here with credit last season so no reason why there shouldn't be another big run. 2.35 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Spiritofthegames @ 12/1 Another one who can definitely win off his current mark and the return to hurdling looks a good move having failed to fire over fences last time. Relishes a good test which he'll get today and looks a big each-way player.
    8 points
  11. event_date time course selection betfair position 2022-01-13 14:10 Catterick A Different Kind 1.32 1 2022-01-13 15:00 Bangor Green Vault 1.57 1 2022-01-13 15:20 Newcastle Al Zaraqaan 1.98 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 59.49 39.49 Month bets outlay return profit 1 13 260 305.26 45.26
    7 points
  12. MCLARKE

    2021 NAPS TABLE SUMMARY

    Most winners analysis for 2021.
    7 points
  13. La Ligerien 2.50 Chepstow. I thought he ran with some promise at Doncaster before fading 2 out, made a couple of bad errors which didn't help. Drop back in trip makes sense, goes well on heavy and likes forcing the pace which often suits at Chepstow. Well handicapped off 112 today, peak hurdles rating of 137. Can't see why he shouldn't run well today at 14/1 (bet365). Wins well 😎 jumped way better, runner up ready to win too.
    7 points
  14. A decent afternoon’s racing with the ITV cameras at Cheltenham where the ground is soft and Musselburgh where the conditions are slightly better with good to soft the call. There’s also the Al Boum Photo romp at Tramore to look forward to. Here’s my thoughts on the eight races. Cheltenham 1.25 A decent renewal of the 2m 4 1/2F Dipper Novices’ Chase. Favourite is L’Homme Presse of Venetia Williams who was impressive when winning at Ascot when well backed a fortnight ago. He’s sure to be hard to beat although at the prices I just prefer Alan King’s mare The Glancing Queen who’s looked very smart in winning both her runs over fences under Tom Cannon in listed company at Bangor and Warwick against her own sex but looks well worth a try against the males here. Alex Hale’s Millers Bank is also in with a shout but it’s the mare to trump the colts for me here. THE GLANCING QUEEN 2 points win @ 7/2 Bet365 Musselburgh 1.40 Donald McCain had three winners on this card last year and he looks to have decent prospects of another good day. He can take the 2m 4F handicap hurdle with his 6 year old Geromino who’s winning sequence was halted by the progressive Tommy’s Oscar (runs in the 2.10) at Doncaster last time out. He stays the extra trip well and with champion jockey elect Brian Hughes in the saddle can take this. Olly Murphy is not in as good a form as he was earlier in the season but his challenger here Strong Glance has claims on his latest second although he’s not a horse to trust implicitly and he’s worth taking on. Ashington is maybe a bigger threat having had a recent pipe opener on the level in preparation for this race. GEROMINO 2 points win @ 10/3 William Hill Cheltenham 2.00 The feature race of the day is the 16 runner Paddy Power New Year’s Day Handicap Chase run over 2m 4F 127yds of the new course. The most important piece of form comes from the Racing Post Gold Cup run over course and distance three weeks ago when Coole Cody beat Zanza 2L (Deyrann De Carjac 13L back in 5th). They’re weighted to dead heat today and both have claims in a wide open handicap. Venetia Williams won this event back in 2021 with top weight Aso and attempts to repeat that feat with Funambule Sivola who was runner up in the Peterborough Chase on his re-appearance and should run well here even if he does have his stamina to prove. Others with chances include Paddy Power Gold Cup 5th Galahad Quest (fallen at Aintree since), Vienna Court who was a very impressive winner here at the last meeting over course and distance but has been shunted up 12lb and the Dan Skelton trained Alnadam a dual winner at Sandown last season and probably needed his first start of the season when last of four beaten 24L to the smart Bravemansgame at Haydock. It’s a tough race but I do like the top weight Funambule Sivola even though he does have to prove he stays 2m 4F. FUNAMBULE SIVOLA 2 points each way @ 7/1 1/5th 12345 Bet365 Musselburgh 2.10 7 go to post for this handicap hurdle run over 1m 7F 124yds. Tommy’s Oscar is on a good roll currently for trainer Ann Hamilton chasing a hat trick following success’s at Haydock and Doncaster rising 12lb for those wins with 7lb conditional Tom Midgley taking over from Brian Hughes today. He looks sure to go well although at a bigger price it’s that irresistible team of Donald McCain and Brian Hughes that catch my eye here with Fiveandtwenty who racked up a treble over course and distance last season. Things haven’t gone right for him in three starts since but he has dropped slightly in the weights and perhaps most importantly has had a wind operation since we last saw him. Irish challenger Anna Bunina is respected although hasn’t been seen for 258 days and it’s Fiveandtwenty for me today. FIVEANDTWENTY 2 points win @ 8/1 Coral/Ladbroke Tramore 2.20 Only 6 got to post for this grade 3 New Years Day Chase run over 2m 6F and features the return of dual Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Al Boum Photo who’s started his campaign in this race for the least three years winning easily on each occasion. His trainer Willie Mullins saddles 5 of the 6 runners and he should have little trouble winning this for the fourth consecutive year en route to another tilt at the Gold Cup in March. He’ll be at prohibitive odds so it’s just a sit back and enjoy race. Cheltenham 2.35 A cracking 14 runner 3 mile handicap hurdle up next. The two favourites both have solid chances with Olly Murphy’s Tamar Bridge stepping up in trip here following a battling win over 2m 4F at Aintree and a rise in the weights of 6lb. The runner up that day (pair pulled clear) was soundly beaten the other day so has a few questions to answer now. Art Approval hasn’t been seen since landing a touch here at the Paddy Power Gold Cup meeting in November and he too has to prove his stamina with a 8lb hike in the weights. Pileon won well at Sandown and stays well so even with a rise of 6lb can go well today (he’s still 1lb lower than when just touched off in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle at the 2020 Festival here). Others with chances include Stoney Mountain who stays well and the David Maxwell ridden Dolphin Square from the same yard as Pileon’s. A tough race with possible stamina doubts over the front pair so it’s Pileon for me each way. PILEON 1 point each way @ 6/1 1/5th 1234 BetVictor Musselburgh 2.50 A small turnout of only five go to post for this 2m 4 1/2F handicap chase and can go to those men Brian Hughes and Donald McCain again with their 8 year old top weight Gaelic Coast. He’s already shown his liking for this specialist track by winning two of his three starts here and had an excuse for his poor effort last time out at Newbury as he slipped on the approach to the first fence and was never travelling from there onwards. Third in that contest was the Paul Nicholls trained Amour De Nuit who, under Bryony Frost is the danger here today. GAELIC COAST 2 point win 4/1 Bet365 GEROMINO/FIVEANDTWENTY/GAELIC COAST 1/4 point win trixie. Cheltenham 3.10 The Relkeel Hurdle is run over 2m 4F and has a warm favourite in Brewin’upastorm who was very impressive when winning at Aintree back in November. Conditions look ideal for him today and he’s the one to beat under Aidan Coleman. Only 3lb behind him on official ratings is the Paul Nicholls trained McFabulous who was actually beaten 5 1/2L by Brewin’upastorm in the National Spirit Hurdle at Fontwell in February but is 6lb better off now. He’s a horse I’ve always liked and despite an absence of 268 days does go well fresh and re-appears here having had the obligatory Nicholls wind operation since last seen. At the prices I’ll take him to beat the favourite. McFABULOUS 2 points win @ 11/4 Bet365
    7 points
  15. No late challengers so well done to @mick33for finishing first. @Sugardaddykenfinishes second and @kenisbusy's 50/1 winner ensures 3rd place. A last day 14/1 winner means @Johnrobertsongrabs 4th place, at the expense of @mickyftm32. To add insult to injury, this also means @Johnrobertsoncaptures the most winners competition as well.
    7 points
  16. RESULTS UPDATE A case of seconditis seems to have spoilt my day today for profit. My stakes were actually 15.5 pts as I counted Sir Oliver twice. At least that won and showed a return of 10.23. This meant a loss of 5.27 pts. This made my December cumulative profit 42.52 and leaves my YTD figure at -190.65 Some good classy racing at Cheltenham tomorrow REVIEW OF THE YEAR I think that the accumulated loss for the year was largely down to two factors. Firstly, when I increased my betting bank I seem to be too free with my bets on longer priced selections and backed too many of them as well. Not enough of them won so my losses accumulated. The other factor was the Festival Bets. I was tending to have a bet in all the races at the festival meetings. I described these as fun bets. Of course, too many of them lost. Throughout the year I was focussing on various angles from Trainers to Jockeys and even looked at Timeform and Racing Post RPR ratings. None of these proved to be worthwhile in providing regular profits. It was September when I carried out an exercise in recording the tips of what I called the big 3 tipsters where they all tipped the same horse in a race. These tipsters were Racing Post Spotlight; ATR and the Timeform selection. (The Oddschecker selection is always the same as the ATR selection, so doesn't count as an additional tip). It was expected that these selections would be overbet and therefore would not make a regular profit unless one could incorporate additional factors to exclude ones that didn't win. It was not my intention to do much work on any angle associated with the selections. They didn't do too bad for September with a cumulative loss of 7.48 points. I think that August was a bad month for them but I didn't keep a record of it and only started recording selections on about the 8th of August. What I found surprising was that despite the selections quite often being tipped up at cramped odds it was no easy task to back against them and find winners to make a profit either. For example, I am pretty confident that say just dutching the 2nd and 3rd favourite against the big 3 selection would not have made a profit. Horses at all kinds of prices seemed to win these races when the big 3 selection failed. In conclusion, I found that it is not worth backing the big 3 selections unless one has some other angle on them in a race. However, if you want to go against them and have any chance of making a profit then you have to delve into the possibilities of the longer-priced horses. June through to August I was betting way too much on my selections. It was only at about September time I started to cut back on my staking. September was a flat month but I gained about £100 in October. This was largely down to putting up a Trixie with a small number of supporting single bets. I felt that I was doing better but my YTD figures were constantly dragging me down. I decided to switch to a "points" staking method in November. This enabled me to report on my monthly results as well as bring forward the YTD cumulative figure. I feel that this is the best way for anyone to record their bets and results. It is quite heartwarming to see a monthly profit of over 42 points when I compare this with the so-called red hot tipsters out there who boast smaller profits and try and get punters sucked into their dubious selection methods. I will continue into the New Year with my Trixies and some singles bets in an effort to build up a decent cumulative profit. These days I focus more on the highest class races of the day and horses that have shortened up in price overnight or favourites that have held their price well too. At least I am in tune with what is going on in the market as at the time I do a comparison which is any time from 10 am onwards. It would be great to do this right up to the start time of a race but it's impractical for my Trixie bets. Professionals who only make single bets could well benefit from this process. I wish PL members a happy, healthy, and very prosperous New Year
    7 points
  17. We'll take a one week break There are a number of postponements in the English leagues, Scottish Prem matches are all off and only French cup and Spanish matches scheduled in the European league. Things should hopefully be back to a more normal scheduled list of matches weekend of 8th Jan. HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL OF YOU
    7 points
  18. Was thinking of various strategies for the final day of Christmas tipsters competition given i have 3rd place at the mo. 1 i do nothing and stay on +11 the others get 9 losers i win. the danger is someone comes from nowhere. 2 i do ,3 4 selections save myself points which the leader could have done and retained his lead given i or others in contention get 9 losers 3 i do 9 selections and hope for the best knowing if i get 9 losers i am out 4 play the game in the spirit of its intention given that the leader and 2nd and most others have submitted 9 entries. 5 stop being a PRAT and ffs just pick 9 horses if u win you win if you lose you lose. 🤣😂🤣😂 So option 5 it is. Good luck every one.
    7 points
  19. Five quality contests on ITV on Boxing Day with the centre piece the King George V Chase. The ground is currently on the slow side of good with a mixed forecast so the ground maybe heading towards soft. Kempton 1.20 A competitive looking 2m 4F 110yds novices’ handicap chase has attracted 8 runners. Nicky Henderson saddles a brace of runners here with slight preference for Bothwell Bridge ahead of Mister Coffey who both should have a future at the game over the bigger obstacles. Bottom weight Killer Kane hails from the Colin Tizzard camp and is not out of this as he is still lightly raced and has been dropped a further coupe of pounds for his Exeter effort but the horse I like here is the Paul Nicholls trained Danny Kirwan who put some disappointing hurdle runs behind him when finally getting his chance to jump a fence at Cheltenham in October. He did a few things wrong then but still finished off his race well to chase down Annual Invictus to be beaten 3L. The form has been boosted since and off of the same handicap mark can take this contest with Harry Cobden riding for his boss on what the stable are hoping will be a memorable day for them. DANNY KIRWAN 2 points win @ 7/2 Ladbrokes/Coral Kempton 1.55 Only 4 go to post for this year’s renewal of the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase and it looks a match to me between Lucinda Russell’s promising Ahoy Senor and Paul Nicholl’s Bravemansgame. Official ratings have the latter 3lb superior to the Somerset challenger with Ahoy Senor having taken his scalp at Aintree in the Spring over hurdles although that maybe mis-leading as Nicholl’s charge looks a much better chaser than hurdler. No novice has impressed me more than Bravemansgame’s two fencing victory’s this season at Newton Abbot and Haydock where he impressed with his fluent jumping in dispatching decent yardsticks in Fusil Raffles and Itchy Feet comfortably. It may well come down to jumping and jockeyship and for those reasons I’m firmly with Bravemansgame against Ahoy Senor. BRAVEMANSGAME 4 points win @ 5/6 William Hill Wetherby 2.10 The Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase is run over three miles of the Yorkshire track and this year we have a field of 10 runners. Favourite Silver Hallmark was pulled out in the morning of the Racing Post Gold cup due to the ground not being soft enough and conditions should suit a lot better here. He has a massive chance although there are others with coins including 2018 winner Lake View Lad and 2019 winner Top Ville Ben. The biggest danger however to my selection is the Sandy Thomson trained Empire Steel who wasn’t disgraced first time up at Haydock in November when chasing home Strictlyadancer. SILVER HALLMARK 2 points win @ 10/3 Bet365 Kempton 2.30 Only 5 go to post for the Christmas Hurdle including 2019 winner Epatante who got turned over in this last year when a 1/5 chance by Silver Streak who unfortunately lost his life last week. Nicky Henderson’s 7 year old mare,who won the Champion Hurdle in 2020, dead heated on her re-appearance at Newcastle with Not So Sleepy in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle and Hughie Morrison’s 9 year old takes her on again today on the same terms. There really shouldn’t be much between them but at the odds the play has to be Not So Sleepy with Jonathan Burke retaining the ride. Tritonic is out quickly following a good victory at Ascot a week ago but does have 13lb to find with the two principals whilst Soaring Glory may not be suited by a small field as proved when beaten last time out at a shade of odds on at Newbury. NOT SO SLEEPY 2 points win @ 3/1 Betfred Kempton 3.05 A stellar renewal of the King George VI Chase run over three miles of the Sunbury course. Somerset trainer Paul Nicholls has a terrific record in the race winning it an amazing 12 times with the great Kauto Star winning five if those. He saddles three this year in last years winner Frodo’s who may have got an easy lead then, outsider and 4th last year Saint Calvados who’s debuting for the Nicholls team and the 2018 and 2019 winner Clan Des Obeaux who ran a bit flat last season. The Cheltenham Gold Cup winner from March Minella Indo trained by Henry De Bromhead is also here and although 5L behind Frodon at Down Royal on his re-appearance can now be expected to turn the tables with that run behind him. Nicky Henderson runs Chantry House a novice winner at the Cheltenham and Aintree Festivals last season to add further spice to an excellent renewal. Willie Mullins sends over Asterion Forlonge who has stamina to prove but I have to stick with King George maestro Paul Nicholls and go with Clan Des Obeaux. CLAN DES OBEAUX 2 points win @ 3/1 Bet365
    7 points
  20. The Brigadier

    Merry Christmas

    I just wanted to wish all forumites a very Merry Christmas and most importantly a healthy New Year. I hope you've enjoyed my ramblings this year and lets hope we can all find a winner or three over the Festive season. My Boxing Day thoughts are already up and my horse racing tips (available on the 'Racing Tips' link above are available daily from 6PM onwards normally (Boxing Day's will be up tomorrow). The Brigadier
    7 points
  21. The ITV cameras are at Ascot and Haydock for six races on Saturday with the normal testing ground at Haydock and drying dead ground at Ascot (officially good to soft). Here’s my thoughts on those six races :- Ascot 1.50 Eleven go to post for this 2m 3F handicap chase which has a very open look about it. Likely favourite is the Jonjo O’Neill trained Palmers Hill who is owned by legendary owner JP McManus. He impressed on only his second chase start when winning at Wetherby last month and has to race here off of only a 4lb higher handicap mark. Plenty of others appeal including Guy who is 3lb higher than his good 2nd place to Pink Legend here last month. Kerry Lee saddles an interesting runner in Financier but he has a 280 day absence to overcome. Dan Skelton saddles his 8 year old Knight In Dubai and he might worth a small each way bet. He showed promise on his re-appearance at Aintree last month when 5th under David England and has been dropped a couple of pounds for that effort. The trainers brother and stable jockey Harry takes over now and a bold bid looks likely. KNIGHT IN DUBAI 1 point each way @ 11/2 1/5th 1234 William Hill Haydock 2.05 A 9 runner handicap hurdle run over 2m 3F where four of the runners come here on the back of a significant lay off making the race rather tricky. Philip Hobbs’ Stellar Magic is arguably the most interesting having won two novice hurdles in good style last season before flopping when favourite at Warwick in February. Not seen since and in a handicap for the first time he could run well. Olly Murphy is having a great season and his Mackelduff brings the best recent form to the table here having followed up a brace of wins with a good third at Cheltenham behind Gowel Road. He too can be competitive. It’s a race without market clues to play to small stakes in my opinion and I’ll back Mackelduff who will be ridden by David England today. MACKELDUFF 1 point win @ 5/2 Bet365 Ascot 2.25 A strong field of eight assemble for the grade 1 Long Walk Hurdle over 3m 97 yds which unfortunately doesn’t feature the ante post favourite Buzz who fractured his pelvis on the gallops on Friday morning. Nicky Henderson does however saddle two in On The Blind Side and Champ who’s reverting to hurdles following his stint over fences and could be a player here.Emma Lavelle’s Paisley Park has won this race for the last two years but doesn’t appear to be the same horse this season. Thyme Hill is a strong stayer trained by Philip Hobbs who went off favourite for the Stayers Hurdle last season when finishing third he has to put a disappointing effort behind him in France last month. Hobbs horses aren’t really flying either with just 2 winners from his last 50 runners but is the one to beat. The Irish raider Ronald Pump also comes into the reckoning and in a trappy looking affair it maybe Champ who can bounce back to form over hurdles. CHAMP 1 point win @ 6/1 Bet365 Haydock 2.40 A bumper field of 16 have declared for this year’s renewal of the 3m 1 1/2F Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase to be run on heavy ground. The favourite Remastered looks a decent bet here having been tanking along when crashing out four from home in the Ladbroke Trophy at Newbury three weeks ago. He can race off of the same handicap mark and with Tom Scudamore taking over from 3lb conditional jockey Fergus Gillard looks sure to be involved as long as the fall hasn’t left him with any mental scars. Sam’s Adventure won this two years ago whilst Potters Legend was runner up 12 months ago and whilst there are plenty of others with each way chances on their best form the one horse who could be way ahead of his mark is the David Pipe trained favourite and he has to be the bet. REMASTERED 3 points win @ 11/4 Bet365 Ascot 3.00 A good turnout of 13 for this 3 mile Silver Cup Handicap Chase. Plenty can be give chances with the weights headed by last season’s Ladbroke Trophy winner Cloth Cap. JP McManus has three runners here in course specialist Regal Encore, Phoenix Way and Jerrysback with all three holding each way chances. The horse I like here is the Venetia William’s trained Belami Des Pictons who for a horse once rated as high as 148 looks well treated here off of 135. His re-appearance run when 4th beaten 6L to subsequent Aintree winner Snow Leopardess was a decent one with the 5th Blaklion also boosting the firm since by winning a veterans handicap chase at Haydock. In an open handicap I’ll be backing him. BELAMI DES PICTONS 2 points win 9/2 Bet365 Ascot 3.35 A cracker of a handicap to finish the card at Ascot with 14 going to post. The Greatwood Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham form is well represented here by winner West Cork and third No Ordinary Joe and both have solid claims especially the latter if he can settle better than he did that day. Tritonic was back in 5th that day and is no forlorn shot here either. Goshen heads the weights although I do feel that he needs very deep ground which with a drying forecast he’s unlikely to get here. The same comment may apply to Harry Fry’s Metier who also has a poor run here a fortnight ago to put behind him. Onemorefortheroad is trained by Neil King and will have appreciated the dry week more than most. On a four timer today he stepped his form up when winning the Gerry Feilden Handicap Hurdle at Newbury on Ladbroke Trophy day when winning a four runner event from the front. That’s twice now he’s made all to win although listening to his trainer after that win he actually feels he could be better getting a lead. Only raised 3lb for that win and with Bryony Frost booked he could be the value each way bet in this competitive contest. I can’t resist a small each way saver on the Philip Hobbs novice Luttrell Lad who’s mark of 135 could be workable. His recent 1/2L second behind Jpr One has been boosted since not only by the winners second in a Cheltenham novice hurdle won by Datsalrightgino but also by the third I Am Maximus who impressed when winning at Newbury in the week. Luttrell Lad was giving I Am Maximus 7lb that day and one would feel that if that one was in this race off of 10 stone he would be pushing for favouritism. ONEMOREFORTHEROAD 2 points each way @ 8/1 1/5th 12345 William Hill LUTTRELL LAD 1 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 1234 Bet365
    7 points
  22. I understand that there are mixed feelings about re-running the competition after yesterdays problems. I did manage to submit selections before the deadline - though not my original selections as earlier races had already been run. I was beaten by Redphil so I think that it would be unfair of me to try for a rematch as I wouldn't feel comfortable if I were to win and Redphil were to lose. I will not submit other selections and I will bow out gracefully and acknowledge that Redphil was the winner. Good luck to Redphil for the remainder of the competition and also to the other punters that remain in the KO cup
    6 points
  23. Won. BSP 1.71 Monthly profit £ 141.83
    6 points
  24. event_date time course selection betfair position 2022-01-10 12:45 Ludlow Dr T J Eckleburg 1.87 1 2022-01-10 13:30 Taunton Knickerbockerglory 2 1 2022-01-10 14:45 Ludlow Bridge North 2.22 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 103.17 83.17 Month bets outlay return profit 1 10 200 245.77 45.77
    6 points
  25. 6 points
  26. Happy New Year everyone and here we go, starting with the ATP Cup!
    6 points
  27. Eight terrestrial TV races to get stuck into on Monday with the ground likely to ride testing at both Kempton and Chepstow. Chepstow 1.05 Venetia Williams has an outstanding record in this race winning the contest on a staggering 6 times out of the last 9 years and despite the fact that the favourite of Jonjo O’Neill’s When You’re Ready will be hard to beat it maybe worth sticking with the Williams runner Pink Legend. Williams had three in this race at the first entry stage and relies upon her 7 year old mare who’s latest poor effort at Aintree can be excused as she was badly hampered at the start. If she’s back to the form she showed previously when winning at Ascot she can run a big race. PINK LEGEND 2 points each way @ 8/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 1234 Kempton 1.20 This looks poised to go to Barbary Castle trainer Alan King’s Edwardstone who will be at skinny odds to take this. His main threat today in the betting is Do Your Job who who fell last time in the Henry VIII Stakes won by Edwardstone at the 8th fence. Despite a 5lb penalty this would go the favourite but from a punting view is too short to back. Chepstow 1.40 A dozen juvenile hurdlers go to post for this year’s renewal of the Finale Juvenile Hurdle run over 2 miles and a recognised Triumph Hurdle trial. Harry Fry saddles his progressive Forever Blessed who’s looked good in winning at Ffos Las and Sandown and looks sure to be competitive. Skycutter is two from two over hurdles and takes a step up in grade here. Porticello and Magistrato are two others who come here with decent enough claims but I’m be sticking with the Fry runner who’s impressed me this season and has conditions to suit. FOREVER BLESSED 2 points win @ 7/2 Bet Victor Kempton 1.55 The 3 mile mares handicap hurdle won by Tequila Blaze 37 days ago is the key form race to evaluate here with none other than five of todays seven runners taking part. Fergal O’Brien’s 7 year old was ridden out to win by 4 1/2L with Coded Message (7lb better here for a beating of 5 1/4L) back in 4th, Go Millie Go (7lb better for 5 3/4L) 5th, Martha Brae who went off favourite 7 1/2L back in 6th with Paul Nicholls’ Get The Appeal 7th. I don’t see any real reason why Tequia Blaze can’t confirm that form on softer ground here and she’s the one they all have to beat. TEQUILA BLAZE 2 points win @ 11/4 William Hill Chepstow 2.10 A small field of only seven go to post here with favourite Take Your Time the one to beat following wins at Ffos Las and over course and distance and with only a 5lb rise looks sure to be involved in the finish. His biggest danger may well come from Kateson who has a good record here (2 wins from 3 starts) and ran well last time. TAKE YOUR TIME 2 points win @ 9/4 William Hill Kempton 2.30 All eyes in the Desert Orchid Chase run over 2 miles will be on the re-appearing Shishkin who looked very special last season when winning all 5 of his chase starts in his novice season culminating in wins at the Cheltenham and Aintree Festivals. He’s not been seen since April and has had his wind done since. He has a big danger danger here in Tingle Creek winner Greaneteen but receives 3lb from his rival today and can take this in his stride. Again like Edwardstone he’ll be too short to really back although maybe a double the pair maybe the way to go. Chepstow 2.50 The feature race of the day is the Coral Welsh Grand National run over a stamina sapping 3m 6F 130yds which on soft ground will take some getting. Last year’s winner Secret Reprieve won like a horse that had just jumped into the race two from home but has had issues since and hasn’t been seen since. He is only 6lb higher mind and with Native River running he keeps the weights down for Evan William’s 7 year old who if straight enough is without doubt the one they all have to beat. 2019 winner Potters Corner is also running and holds each way claims along with plenty of others. Iwilldoit won the Welsh National trial over the course but 6F shorter but he wasn’t stopping and he should run well also. But in a wide open handicap if Secret Reprieve is anywhere near the horse he was this time last year he wins this. SECRET REPRIEVE 2 points each way @ 9/2 1/5th 1234567 IWILLDOIT 1 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 123456 Kempton 3.10 Eleven go to post for this 3 miles class 2 handicap chase where I think there is a decent bet here. Welsh trainer Christian Williams saddles three runners in top weight Kitty’s Light who flopped last time out in the Ladbroke Trophy, Five Star Getaway and last years runner up Cap Du Nord. It’s the latter that really takes my eye under 7lb conditional jockey Ellis Collier who’s struck up such a good partnership with Uno Mas this season winning four times. Collier looks excellent value for his claim and has won 5 races from just 18 starts. Ap Du Nord was beaten 3 1/4L into second place in this contest last year by Royal Pagaille which was an excellent effort when you consider that winner is now rated 23lb higher and is ranked as one of the best staying chasers in training. It was 19L back to the third that day and Double Shuffle who is only a pound better off here. Christin William’s charge can race today off of the same handicap mark (4lb lower if taking Collier’s claim into account) and if in the same form looks a good bet today. CAP DU NORD 3 points each way @ 4/1 1/5th 1234 William Hill
    6 points
  28. I think it is going to be hard to be bullish about anything whilst Covid is disrupting football so much. I'm hoping that clubs are more likely to get out of league games than they were FA Trophy matches as there were some teams who kept Covid issues very quiet with Enfield only managed two subs against Eastleigh for example. The other issue we are going to have is that training will have been disrupted with those who have had Covid regardless of how ill they were. I have 8 bets over Sunday and Monday. Aldershot v Woking I'm always slightly wary of getting involved in a derby match especially one that is as big as this, but Woking have been off the boil for a while now and they couldn't even beat an understrength Yeovil side in the FA Trophy last week. Aldershot meanwhile have won 4 out of their last 5 in the league and although they were a bit fortunate to overcome Kingstonian in the Trophy last week it did at least keep the good run going. There isn't a huge amount in the price but I think there is enough to warrant a bet on the home side. Torquay v Yeovil I still don't really know how Torquay managed to beat Stockport in their last league game, but what I will say is they do seem to have stepped up their performances against the better sides in the division. This was backed up by the fact they went to Tonbridge and lost 2-1 in the FA Trophy despite the fact the victors had a weakened team out. As mentioned above Yeovil came from a goal down to beat Woking, in the league they are unbeaten in 7 and of course they have the FA Cup 3rd Round to look forward to. They haven't always been the best side in those games, but they keep getting results and I certainly think they are too big a price here as there isn't much between these two at all. AFC Telford v Chester (National League North) Steve Watson was announced as the new Chester manager on Thursday and I think he can get 3 points in his first match in charge. For me they are a better side than their hosts on paper and Telford haven't really improved for their new manager. They had a very winnable game at home to Guiesley on Tuesday and yet they were pretty poor in a 1-0 defeat. I'd make Chester slight favourites here so there is value in the price. Curzon Ashton v Southport (National League North) To be fair to the home side they are proving hard to beat having drawn 5 of their last 9 league games, but they have only won once in that spell, although it was against Fylde. As I wrote on Tuesday ahead of the called off game against Kettering, Southport are flying at the moment and although not as big value as they were on Tuesday they are value again to pick up another 3 points. Chelmsford v Braintree (National League South) An Essex derby between two of the poorer sides in the division, but there are certainly more signs of life in the away side at the moment and I don't see why they are such a big price. No league wins in 9 now for the home side and they have only managed to draw against two other sides around them in the table, Tonbridge and Billericay, in their last 2 games. Braintree have only lost to Havant in their last 4 league games, managing a win against Tonbridge and two draws in the time. I suspect it will probably be a game low on quality, but Braintree should certainly be much closer to Chelmsford in the betting and hopefully they can edge it for us. Horsham v Lewes (Isthmian Premier) The Horsham manager is one of the bosses to have come out and said how badly Covid has affected his side, but they want to play the games as they are desperate for the season not to be null and voided which is completely understandable. He mentioned he might be able to have a training session on Thursday, but that would only have 6 or 7 players and the players haven't kicked a ball since they played a County Cup game against Hastings on the 14th. As good form as they are in that is hardly ideal going into a tough game against a good side. Lewes can throw in the odd stinker as mentioned in the preview below, but they are a side who should end up in the play-offs and they hold the advantage here for me given Horsham's issues. Potters Bar v Hornchurch (Isthmian Premier) Hornchurch have been in good form in recent weeks having lost just two of their last 8 league games. They were against Worthing and Enfield as well so two of the toughest games in the division. They have crept into the play-off picture and I think they will have too much for their hosts who have mainly struggled of late. Potters Bar did manage to beat Lewes 5-1 recently although that was a game to forget for their opponents and I think their other 3 of their last 4 games shows where they are actually at right now. They lost those 3 games and in their last 2 they have conceded 4 both times. One of those defeats was to bottom side Leatherhead as well so it is the away side who are value to win this. Wimborne v Salisbury (Southern Premier South) Another example of how hard it is at the moment to fully know what is happening at each club is the fact the Salisbury, who of course was one of the bets last week, only had 12 available players for the game against Poole. The fact they led twice and then drew 2-2 is of great credit, but I also think it shows how Poole aren't in a strong position at the moment. Wimborne did us a huge favourite on the other-hand last week when they beat Gosport and it showed how much they are improving at the moment. This is potentially a tricker game for them, but the bookies have not surprisingly not caught up with the fact that Wimborne have strengthened and they are worth backing again for me. Aldershot 1pt @ 6/4 with Ladbrokes and Coral (take up to 5/4) Yeovil 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365 (take up to 15/8) Chester 1pt @ 8/5 with Betfred (take up to 11/8) Southport 1pt @ 2/1 with William Hill, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 6/4) Braintree 1pt @ 9/4 with William Hill (take up to 7/4) Lewes 1pt @ 7/5 with William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair and Bet365 (take up to 11/8) Hornchurch 1pt @ 5/4 with William Hill and Bet365 Wimborne 1pt @ 21/10 with Paddy Power and Betfair
    6 points
  29. That's the Darts action over until 27th Dec. Good see Dobey come back and win. What a match that's going to be, Dobey Vs MVG!! Level for the evening. +9pts for the day Worlds +112pts Happy Christmas all 🎅
    6 points
  30. Happy Christmas to you and yours MClarke and thank you for your hard work in maintaining this Naps topic so well
    6 points
  31. only 2 horses with french connections at leicester today 1st and second worth keeping eye out for horses that have raced in france like the conditions there was only one yesterday won 2,30 exeter win my wings 28/1
    5 points
  32. 5 points
  33. NH selection Doncaster 1.05 WONDERWALL 7/5
    5 points
  34. Won. BSP 3.10 Monthly profit £163.22
    5 points
  35. Fader

    The Masters

    In the evening we've got Murphy taking on Barry Hawkins. Normally, I would be on Murphy here but his recent form just doesn't do it for me and he's still a favourite here. He went out of the UK Championship to Jiahui 6-5 and was 5-1 down there. He only just beat Ng On Yee in a deciding leg after going down 3-1 in a first to 4 and then went out tamely to Li Hang 4-2. You just can't be with him here. 4pts Hawkins to beat Murphy evens paddypower
    5 points
  36. NH selection Wetherby 2.35 BALKARDY 10/3 This system is based on young horses (<7) that have had a break of 3 weeks or more and do not carry more than 12 stone.
    5 points
  37. AW selection Kempton 7.15 IMPERIUM 11/8
    5 points
  38. NH selection Wincanton 12.20 SUPER DUPER SAM 11/8
    5 points
  39. 2nd , 5/1. Returns £48 Jan. + £79.25.
    5 points
  40. I have been looking for a 3rd selection but couldn't quite commit. So I have gone with 2 selections today. I have backed them EW individually and in an EW double. 2.35 Weth - Maccloud - 6/1 (1/5 3 places) - Ann Duffield has another Irish recruit. This is first time in a handicap. It has had 1 race for her over 3m1f at Carlisle, today it runs over just 2 miles, a big step back in trip. It wears 1st time cheekpieces and has won a point race. - 3rd 9/1 3.20 Ling - Cafe Sydney - 9/2 (1/5 4 places) - I have been watching this horse for a while. It won a division of this race last year. Has a decent jockey and trainer has had a couple of winners in the last fortnight (can be hard to predict). Should be placed at least. - 2nd 9/2 Prices are Bet365 B.O.G. - As stated earlier I have backed as EW singles and an EW double. ** Unlucky today, we turned a profit but came close to a nice double.
    5 points
  41. No Trixie today as unusually not enough qualifiers. So, 1.30 Ling - Metal Man - 7/2 B.O.G. Bet365 - £20 win - WON Rebecca Menzies is in fine form (6 winners from 18 runners last 2 weeks), and she travels with just the 1 horse from her Durham base to Lingfield (292 miles each way). Has been nibbled in the betting.
    5 points
  42. Naas TBP Treble wins to return 20pts. I wish I had put a win treble on but never mind, I must not get greedy. Unfortunately Tipperary Tiger not placing let down the other treble. All the same, 8.5pts staked and 20pts returned for an 11.5pt profit. Overall P/L = +7.75pts
    5 points
  43. Won. BSP 1.69 11 / 21, lsp + 10.57
    5 points
  44. Warwick 1445 Templier 14/1 betvictor
    5 points
  45. That will do trixie, that will do event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-29 13:25 Newbury Gallic Geordie 2.75 1 2021-12-29 14:20 Leopardstown Sharjah 1.8 1 2021-12-29 15:05 Newbury Stage Star 2.5 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 143.50 123.50 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 29 580 573.37 -6.63 10 28 560 756.97 196.97 11 30 600 767.18 167.18 12 26 520 526.09 6.09
    5 points
  46. The Down Royal hunter chase on Boxing Day could well feature a leading Cheltenham contender in Vaucelet. You may remember he took the John Corbet Cup at Stratford back in May and although it was a small field he beat some decent horses. He has had two runs already this season and he has won them both landing a point before taking the first hunter chase of the season in Ireland at Fairyhouse. I thought he still looked pretty green and inexperienced at Fairyhouse which would concern me at this stage for Cheltenham, but he is clearly a progressive horse and I think there is more to come. Some people have wondered if the trip is on the short side for him, but to me he has a high cruising speed and there is every chance that this will be run at a much stronger pace than the Stratford race which should turn in it into a decent test at the trip. Therefore the trip doesn't concern me and I think it is his greenness which makes it look like he needs a test of stamina. When I look at his opposition I am not actually all that worried about it. Stand Up and Fight won this race in 2018, but for me he certainly needs a test of stamina now and he struggled to get involved in this contest last year when a keeping on 4th behind Billaway. On The Sod is a stablemate of the favourite, but his hunter chase efforts away from Downpatrick have left a bit to be desired on the whole and to me he is likely to set the race up for Vaucelet. The main danger might end up being Gordon Elliott's Its All Guesswork who seems in much better form this season than last, judged on his two pointing runs. First off he beat a good horse in Solomn Grundy by 15l and then he unseated last time at 3 out when still going well out in front. If he brings that form to this contest then he is a possible winner and it is no surprise that he has been backed this morning. David Christie has a 3rd runner in Some Man who also would be in with a chance of hitting the frame. These are unofficial tips and wont be included in the season stats, but I do think Vaucelet is a fair price at 7/4 as I think he should be around 5/4. Its All Guesswork has been well backed but I will be having a saver on him.
    5 points
  47. avongirl

    League Tables - Week 6

    Will sort out what matches we have to play with this week and put odds up tonight. It's likely to be Boxing Day Games (so deadline this week will be Sunday) and pretty much looks to be only English and Scottish leagues.
    5 points
  48. Happy Christmas to you too Michael and very many thanks for all your effort this year and in particular for your mammoth catch-up following your unfortunate stay in hospital. Very well done indeed.
    5 points
  49. Very quiet here today, must all be Christmas shopping. NH selection Plumpton 2.35 FULL OF LIGHT 9/4
    5 points
  50. event_date time course selection betfair position 2022-01-08 13:03 Cork Adamantly Chosen 1.28 2022-01-08 14:25 Sandown Constitution Hill 1.41 2022-01-08 15:43 Newcastle Since Day One 1.74 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 48.13 28.13
    4 points
  • Newsletter

    Want to keep up to date with all our latest news and information?
    Sign Up
×
×
  • Create New...