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Challenger: Anning Sasi Kumar Mukund vs. Yan Bai @2.81 Pinnacle 5/10 Bai has a good record in Anning on clay: 2019 he reached a semifinal at the ITF tour, in 2018 he won F13 tournament in Anning aswell and he also reached the qf.at the Challenger in 2018. Overall 28-14 record in Anning over the years. So he should know the conditions pretty well. According to my sources he prepared for the tournament whole last week, training on clay in Anning. On the other side Mukund played in Taipei last week on indoor hard, he has to translate to clay and didn't play on clay since June 2018. Furthermore Bai is leading the H2H 2-0 with two clear wins on Hardcourt (62 61 and 63 63). I like Bai as an underdog here at home on clay.

ouahab won 62 60 walk in the park for the legend. i took some more of ouahab this morning, no idea why some books had him aroiund 2.7....strange one, ouahab dominated from the first point as expected.

Monte Carlo qualification Mischa Zverev vs. Julian Ocleppo @3.35 Pinnacle 8/10 Zverev in horrendous form and shape. Looked horrible vs. Daniel in Marrakech. Clay was always his worst surface. Don't see him winning many matches next few weeks. Might cash out some bigger tournaments though and looking forward to grass court. I doubt you can make him a favorite right now vs any decent claycourt player out there. Ocleppo looking solid enough to take advantage of Zverevs bad form. Ocleppo once was a good prospect, beat guys like Auger-Aliassime or Yibing Wu as a junior for example.

we're good here, galdos/varillas won 75 62

ATP Miami - R2 Dominic Thiem - vs - Hubert Hurkacz Hurkacz @ 3.450 Pinnacle 7/10 Hurkacz played a good match in the first round and looked very confident to me. He's a next-gen player and he will climb top 20 I think. Hurkacz is a hardhitter which does not suit Thiem. I expect Thiem being tired after his great success and I really won't be surprised if he's going to lose in straight sets. Everybody who follows tennis knows, that this scenario is going to happen often.

Grigor Dimitrov -1 game @2.00 Dafabet 3/10 I like Dimitrov here for some reasons. He's living in Monte-Carlo for years now and so this is kind of a home tournament for him. He prepared well in MC last two weeks hitting with a lot of good training partners and apparently he looked pretty good. My contact in MC told me he's looking strong and pumped and i think he can deal with a guy like Berrettini on clay who is - to be fair - a really good prospect who can make it to the Top 20/30 soon. Berrettini had good tournament in Phoenix and Sofia but overall more an average year so far with a lot of early losses.

Just post what you think has value, don't force yourself into posting just favourites or underdogs, that doesn't make any sense.

Yulia Putintseva (+1.5 sets) to beat Karolina Pliskova at 2.12 with Pinnacle Happy to take this at odds against. Pliskova is prone to losing sets against opponents that move well and the conditions should allow Yulia to find some good opportunities and spots. Not sure she has enough to win this, but she should be able to win a set more often than not.

Unusually for me I don't really fancy anything at the prices in any of the 3 National Leagues today so I am going to Step 3 for my bets. Bamber Bridge v Farsley Celtic & Burgess Hill v Margate Both Farsley and Margate are around even money and I fancy both strongly so I think it is worth putting them in a double which pays 77/25 with Marathon. Bamber Bridge have lost 5 on the bounce and not won in 9. Celtic are top of the table and have won 7 of their last 9 games. Farsley should be shorter than they are to win and the same goes for Margate. I mentioned the other week that they have improved massively since Jay Saunders took over and that has continued. They have won 5 of their last 7 games and although Burgess Hill won last week that was their first victory in a long time. They beat the other out of form side Kingstonian and Margate should have too much for the bottom side. Redditch v Tamworth I am happy to back Tamworth again given their current form and they were superb last weekend when I put them up to beat Banbury. Redditch should offer a stiffer test, but Tamworth look really good at the moment and I think they can prove too strong for them. Farsley/Margate 3pts double @ 77/25 with Marathon Tamworth 1pt @ 7/5 with Marathon

Barnet v Wrexham Barnet obviously let us down badly on Tuesday especially given they had gone a goal up, but I think scoring so early has actually gone against them. Given they were playing a relegated side and going a goal up I think they probably thought it was job done. That caught them out, but I think they might be able to bounce straight back here given their performances of late against the better sides in the league. We also have to add to this the fact Wrexham are struggling at the moment. They have lost 4 and won 2 of their last 6 games and the two games they won were against the bottom two sides in the league. Barnet are overpriced at nearly 5/2 so I am happy to back them for a 4th game running. Eastleigh v Gateshead On paper this is a game between two out of form sides as Eastleigh have lost 4 of their last 5 and Gateshead have picked up just 1 point in their last 5. Gateshead off the field issues have been well publicised and they only have 16 players thanks to cost cutting and a transfer embargo. I think they are running on empty now and fair play to them for going so close to the play-offs, but not surprisingly the off field issues have got in the way. I think we can upgrade Eastleigh's form especially their last two games in the past week. Going up to Fylde is never easy and after being in front they lost 4-2, but they were really unfortunate to lose to Leyton Orient on Tuesday 3-2 after being in front 2-1 at half time. With McCallum still among the goals, especially headers, I think they will prove too strong as they look to keep themselves in the top 7. Spennymoor v Brackley The home side blew up badly at the back end of last season although that was mainly because they had to cram so many games into such a short space of time. This time around they don't have that excuse and they have won just one of their last 8 games and that was against lowly Guiesely. They then lost 3-0 to Ashton who are likely to be relegated last weekend. Luckily for Spennymoor they already look to have enough points to qualify for the play-offs. Brackley are one place and 3 points above their hosts here and they could hardly be in better form having won 7 of their last 8 games and drawing the other. Win this and they should basically be guaranteed to 3rd place which of course is crucial as it means they play one less game in the play-offs. Burgess Hill v Brightlingsea Regent Three bets in the Bostik Premier to end with the week with the the first bet being a team looking to avoid relegation and they are showing signs they might just do that having won 3 of their last 4 games. The only defeat was when I put Margate up against them and they managed to beat Merstham in that spell as well. Last week they scored 2 late goals to beat Corinthian-Casuals 2-1. With their opponents not having anything to play for and the fact they have only won 2 of their last 10 games I think the home side are worth backing here. Enfield v Carshalton Enfield have lost 3 league games on the bounce including to Kingstonian last week which was their first leg win in 3 months. The other crucial thing for me in this fixture is the fact Enfield had the League Cup Final on Wednesday night which they won, but that was the only thing they had left to play for this season and it could be tough for them to get up for this game especially against a team looking to get into the play-offs. Carshalton have only lost once in the last ten, a surprising defeat to Corinthian-Casuals, and they look to have the upper hand for me in this fixture. Margate v Potters Bar I think we were a bit unlucky not to get paid out on the Margate bet last week as they should really have beaten Bishops Stortford, but I think they can bounce straight back here. Potters Bar did win last week, but that was against bottom side Harlow and it was only their 2nd victory in their last 9 games. Given how good Margate have been since Jay Saunders took over I think they win this. Barnet 1pt @ 61/25 with Marathon Eastleigh 3pts @ 101/100 with Marathon Brackley 2pts @ 147/100 with Marathon Burgess Hill 1pt @ 6/4 with BetVictor Carshalton 2pts @ 6/4 with BetVictor Margate 2pts @ 6/5 with BetVictor

Golubic wthdrew from doubles because of an injury and she played badly against Rus. Nice value to me. Tennis - WTA Lugano - R16 Stefanie Voegele - vs - Viktorija Golubic Stefanie Voegele @ 1.97 Pinnacle 5/10

Another small profit to keep things ticking over. Fair play to Natalie for sitting on Virak who made a really bad mistake just as the race was starting to get serious. She did well to get the horse back on an even keel and the horse stayed on strongly to overhaul Queen Olivia late on. She bounced back to her best here and I guess in hindsight Lilly might have not gone for home as soon as she did. In Arrears was a massive gamble before the race which was a bit of a strange one given she would have had to find a lot of improvement to have beaten Virak and it clearly wasn't e/w money. Her chance was hindered by the fact Silvergrove tried to take her on for the running and she was doing too much in the early stages. Even so I am not sure she would have finished any higher up and she will need her sights lowered next time. Silvergrove looks to have completely gone and needs to go back pointing to try and get his confidence back. Only 4 runners at Ludlow and the betting is quite tight. Delegate is just favourite at the time of writing and he was meant to run here last week but the stewards had to take him out. It is certainly an easier race and he has a better chance of winning. He was well fancied on his pointing debut in a race Optimised won and Bears Affair was 2nd so it was a hot little contest despite there being just 4 runners. He pulled up though and the jockey could give no reason as to why he was so disappointing. He won a Musselburgh Novice Chase last year, but I suspect that he was flattered by that and he was a beaten favourite next time before being outclassed in a Grade 1 at Aintree. He is the one unknown in the race really because if you forgive the Bangor effort then he has a strong chance, but also there is a big question mark over his current well being. Karinga Dancer has only run in points since Laura Thomas took over his training in 2016 and he has won 5 out of 13 which is obviously decent. Laura has ridden him in points and the jockey change will be a plus. He won on his seasonal debut over this trip at Cottenham although the race wasn't a strong one and he has been beaten both times since. At 13 I get the feeling one of the younger horses in the race will beat him. Sam Cavallaro has been a great servant for Heidi Brookshaw although he hasn't won for nearly 3 years now despite some solid placings in that time. He was a distant 2nd behind Arthur's Secret a couple of weeks ago and he achieved little there in my view. He should build on that, but I find it hard to see him winning. That leaves us with Hidden Charmer who you wouldn't fancy at all if it was coming off the back of its rules form from last year when he was last seen going off a 66/1 shot in Stratford Class 4 Handicap in November. New connections have clearly improved him though and he was a massive gamble when he made his pointing debut at Brampton Bryan 8 days ago. He made the running and was just beaten by Knight Bachelor who was the favourite for the in for Philip Rowley team and was rated 138 under rules when he last race. That form gives him an excellent chance of winning this as it is the best recent form in the race. Ignore the fact he opened up at 8/1 as it lasted a minute and the price collapsed pretty quickly after that. The only real danger is Delegate if he can bounce back, but Hidden Charmer is the most likely winner for me and I think he will end up going off favourite and certainly less than the 9/4 he currently is. Hidden Charmer 2.5pts @ 9/4 with Betfred, Betfair and pretty much all bookies

First thing to say is that I am writing this on about 3 hours sleep and jet lagged so if there is any errors do let me know and I will correct them to make sure it all makes sense! Asockastar - I said in my Cheltenham preview that I thought he would run with credit and that is exactly what he did to finish 8th. Patrick Mullins has been booked for the ride and I could see him finishing in the top 10 again without troubling the places. Balnaslow - Great 'winner' of this race last year after finishing 2nd the year before. It seems like he will lose the race though from what we have been told which is a shame for connections. I'm sure he will have his fans given how he has run the last two years, but he doesn't look in good form this and he ran no sort of race at Cheltenham. With no Derek O'Connor on top either I am more than happy to oppose. Bear's Affair - The horse who is set to become the 2018 winner once the BHA finally announce he has got the race. He won his seasonal return back in November, but then pulled up at Cottenham in December and was 2nd to his stablemate Optimised at Bangor last time out. He was beaten a neck that day and the winner has won 2 since including a Hunter Chase so the form isn't that bad. The problem is he is 13 now as much as I am sure he will run well and get round I just wonder if a top 4 placing might be a bit above him this year. Burning Ambition - Was the big talking horse all last winter ahead of Cheltenham and he travelled really well into the race which had me worried given I didn't fancy him. However he didn't stay up the hill and ended up only 8th. There was talk that he wouldn't be hunter chasing this season, but he returned with connections saying Aintree rather than Cheltenham was the target which made sense given he didn't stay at Cheltenham. He made a winning return in January, but then disappointed when beaten by Sidetracked the following month.Those two re-opposed at Down Royal the day after Cheltenham when Burning Ambition held on by a diminishing margin from Sidetracked. The jockey said he was just easing him down and he had plenty left, but I must admit that wasn't how I saw it and I was slightly worried, having put him up as a bet, that he wasn't actually going to win. I thought he didn't have much left and that added to the fact he got beaten on his previous start is a worry for me. If this was last season I could understand why he heads the market, but this time around, especially given the UK horses seem to have the upper-hand based on Cheltenham in this sphere I don't get the price. A big plus though is that he has Derek on top. Champagne West - Miles behind Seefood at Leicester and impossible to see how he can reverse that form despite his back class which includes winning the 2017 Thyestes. Coastal Tiep - Pulled up at Cheltenham and hard to see much of an improvement here. Crazy Jack - Was well handicapped when winning the handicap Hunter Chase at Stratford last season, but that is is only Hunter Chase win and hasn't shown much in 3 runs this season. Dineur - Great winner of this race two years ago, but wasn't see again until last month and he was miles behind Road To Rome. Unseated rider early on at Fakenham on Gold Cup day and it is hard to know what sort of ability he still has at the age of 13, but hard to want to back him to get back his crown. Galley Exhibition - Wasn't a bad run at Kingston Blount last time when 2nd but was last of 12 in this last year and hard to see him improving on that. Greensalt - A surprise 3rd in this last year and then unseated at Hexham when badly hampered 2 from home by the leader who fell. Just seen the once so far this season when he was a 3L 2nd to Path To Freedom at Duncombe Park. That was a fair run and this clearly has been the target, but hard to see him equalling last year's efforts let alone go 2 places better. Just Cause - Beaten at odds on by Asockastar at Leicester and I don't think he will reverse that form let alone trouble the judge here. Pulled up at Cheltenham. Kruzhlinin - 7 out of 7 in Irish points this season, but not sure that means he has achieved a great deal and was 3rd at Down Royal in his only Hunter Chase behind Stand Up And Fight. That leaves him with work to do here. I also have a big concern about the trip as it looks on the short side and in his previous runs round here he has never really convinced either. Not for me. Mr Mercurial - Been a really good pointer/hunter chaser over the years and ran well enough when 8th in his only run in this back in 2017. Had a superb season last time around and in that form I would be tempted to back him for this. The problem is he left Shelia Crow last season and has gone to Will Ramsey who trains him and rides him as well. He isn't a great jockey and I don't think he has given him great rides either start this season. If you give him a chance to dog it then he will and he was in front for way too long at Kelso when his head went straight up in the air after the last allowing Shantou Flyer to go past him. Granted that form is looking pretty decent now and Sir Jack Yeats was in behind them so it was still a good run. He was then 3rd in the Grand Military Gold Cup when he didn't stay although his jockey did get carried away which didn't help. This test will suit more but who knows what sort of ride he is going to get. Mr Mix - Was a well beaten 2nd behind Hazel Hill at Warwick and although the winner is top notch I still think the form is suspect in behind. His pointing form is nowhere near good enough to get competitive in this. He was seen to have blood coming from his nose after winning at Charing which would explain why he was an unimpressive winner, but that also brings its own concerns as to if he will do it again. I think he is really short in the betting for what he has done this season. Never Complain - Well beaten in 2 previous attempts and no reason why he should do any better here. Numbercruncher - Too far for him and he will be outclassed anyway. Pass The Hat - Got this horse very wrong in both his Hunter Chase wins as I didn't fancy him at either Southwell or Carlisle. It could be argued Road To Riches needed it at Carlisle, but I thought he ran out a decent winner and it is hard to see why he should be such a big price compared to that horse for this. I can see him running well, but he ought not to be good enough to win this. Road To Riches - Had a very easy task to win last time after that 2nd to Pass The Hat back at Carlisle. Was 6th in last year's National and was 3rd to Coneygree in the Cheltenham Gold Cup in 2015, but as mentioned above I wouldn't be certain he can overturn that form with Pass The Hat let alone win this and he isn't for me. Road To Rome - I've been saying for ages now that this is the race for him. He ran a stormer at Chetlenham finishing 4th after just not staying after setting a blistering gallop as he usually does. His jockey has a superb record round here and has won this race 3 times. The two minor concerns are his jumping, although he has never looked like falling this season, and a bigger worry would be that he has 8 races already since the season started in November. After a tough race at Cheltenham as well it might well catch up with him, but it hasn't so far and I think that is the only thing that is going to stop him from winning this. Seefood - Wasn't exactly the strongest renewal of the Leicestershire Hunter Chase that he won on his only start so far for new connections, but he was an impressive winner and he was well backed ahead of the race as well so connections were clearly expecting a big run. His last good run under rules was in the Grand Sefton in December 2016 when he was a good 2nd so he ha crucial course form as well. His jockey isn't the most experienced in the field, but she gave him a good ride at Leicester and I think he has a fair shout of hitting the frame. Shantou Magic - No chance Shimla Dawn - Has to front run as he did when winning well at Musselburgh but no way will he be pacey enough to keep up with Road To Rome here. Sir Jack Yeats - I think he has a huge chance. Last season was all about qualifying him for Cheltenham which ended up being a bit rushed given he needed 3 runs to get qualification. He then run well enough at Cheltenham but didn't really see out the trip. Aintree was very much an after thought and it told late on when he ended up finishing 9th although I do want to see him handle the Canal Turn better than he did that day. This season he looked like he might win at Kelso before the lack of a run told late on and his trainer admitted after he won at Fakenham that he had left him more under-cooked than he thought he had ahead of the Kelso run. He had little to beat at Fakenham, but he did it with ease and this has been his main target instead of an after thought this time around Starkie - Not seen since surprisingly beating one of the best pointers in recent years Broken Eagle at Hackwood last season and on that form would be of serious interest in a normal Hunter Chase, but hard to see him being good enough for this. Top Wood - A superb training performance to get him to finish 3rd at Cheltenham on his seasonal debut after finishing 2nd in the race last year. Has never been here before, but no reason why he shouldn't handle it. The slight worry would be the trip as he probably needs slightly further, but this is likely to be a good test and given he should sit near or on the pace that should suit as well. Concern would be if he bounced after Cheltenham, but on the other side of the coin if he came on for the run then he is going to be right there at the finish. Ucello Conti - As I said in my review of the Cheltenham Foxhunter I thought Jamie Codd gave him a terrible ride as he sat way too far off the pace and they were never going to get involved from that far back given the quality of horse up front. Was 6th in the 2016 Grand National, but unseated in the last 2 years although was a close 4th in the Becher Chase in 2016. I didn't fancy him for Cheltenham though as I thought his form this season wasn't great and this trip is surely going to be on the sharp side for him. I can see him being tapped for toe from an early stage and struggle to get into the race from there. Wonderful Charm - Slightly surprised he is even running given Sam is on Road To Rome. Was always well behind in this last year and likely to be the same again especially with the cut in the ground. Summary - As at Cheltenham I am more than happy to oppose the Irish here and am going to stick with the home team. As long as Road To Rome isn't feeling a long season then he is the one they all have to beat and he is the main selection. Sir Jack Yeats has been specifically aimed at this race this year and until running wide at the Canal Turn was running a good race. I think he has a huge chance and is over-priced. Top Wood is the 3rd choice as hard to see him out of contention as long as he doesn't bounce. A small e/w play on Seefood as well who is proven round here and is another to have clearly targeted this race. Road To Rome 2pts @ 4/1 with Bet365 and most others Sir Jack Yeats 1pt e/w @ 22/1 with Bet365 (4 places is shorter with 5 places on offer) Top Wood 0.75pts e/w @ 14/1 with Bet365 (4 places) and Boylesports (5 places) Seefood 0.5pt e/w @ 20/1 with Betway (4 places)

beck/navarro won 16 63 13-11

C. Beck/E. Navarro vs. D. Jurak/J. Ostapenko 7.76 Pinnacle 4/10 Beck and Navarro both very good junior players, they received a wild card for the tournament in Charleston because they're probably the best prospect doubles team out there right now with a strong 51-15 record at junior level and 8-7 at pro level. Navarro lost a close match to Siegemund last night session. Pretty good talent imo. They have played over 70 doubles matches together and i expect them to be very movitated here. Jurak and Ostapenko on the other side teaming up for the first time, Ostapenko has to play her singles match before vs. tough opponent Rogers who is btw a local from Charleston so i doubt she will go out without a fight. Ostapenko also will play in Bogota next week, tough conditions there with high altitude and a different claycourt. Jurak obviously isn't bad but doubt she alone will make a huge difference, she's old and her serve is weak. Can see an upset here if the youngsters reach their peak today.

On second thoughts, upgraded to permanent ban. Betfair forum awaits you.

Thank you for your support my friends, two losses are no problem for me, the tournament was great with full profit anyway. It's not about me, I just don't want other people to lose money.

Big John is serving like out of this world in Miami.. Totally incredible serving and we've seen that from him before and when he's in that sort of serving form it's virtually impossible to break him. Nobody creates breakpoints on the Isner serve right now and he can go on like that all day long. I don't know if Roger or Kevin Anderson can stop big John in Miami this season. Maybe Felix AA or his compatriot can? Who's gonna stop the servebot?

@eros I've given you enough chances, consider this to be the final warning. I've told you enough times that we don't accept criticism that isn't constructive here and yet, you didn't even recognize your fault after I deleted your yesterday's post. You post picks with zero explanations and yet dare to speak against others who actually write something. I don't care that you don't have any time, because you apparently do have enough time to post here and aggravate others. While I might not agree with @vvararu thoughts on what's value, I do appreciate that he/she takes some time and explains the picks.

Just the 3 for Wincanton's Hunter Chase and I am surprised that the early money has been for Woodfleet. Yes he did win over course and distance last May, but Unioniste didn't run his race and it meant he ended up with a very simple task. This season he pulled up on his return and I then saw him finish a distant 2nd at Charing. His last start at Milborne St Andrew saw him beat a head by Jack Snipe who was carrying 4lbs more. That doesn't tell the whole story though having watched a video of the contest. The winner would have been a big price in running as he was a fair way back in 3rd jumping the last with Woodfleet looking set to win, he then pulled himself up and it allowed Jack Snipe to go by him. It has to be a big worry for anyone wanting to back him that he has done that. Regardless Southfield Vic has the best form in the race anyway based on his 2nd at Newbury to Master Baker which was a massive step up on his Hunter Chase debut at Fontwell. A repeat of that effort should be more than good enough to beat his two rivals here. Keltus wouldn't be totally out of this based on his 3rd in the Royal Artillery, but he wasn't as good in the Grand Military on his next start which is a bit off putting. The Stratford contest looks a cracker with Arthur's Secret taking on Master Baker and Risk A Fine. All 3 have won 2 Hunter Chases this season and there have been some big winning margins as well. Regular readers of my previews this season will know I hold Arthur's Secret in the highest regard and that I am a big fan of Risk A Fine as well. They are both front runners so there is one theory that they could cut each others throats and set things up for Master Baker, but I don't think that will happen. First of all it wouldn't surprise me if James King on Risk A Fine just let Arthur's Secret get on with it, but even if he did try and force the issue I think Arthur's Secret would eventually burn him off. Arthur's Secret can set a ridiculously high tempo and crucially can keep going at that high tempo. As much as Risk A Fine has impressed me this season I just don't think he is up to being able to get Arthur's Secret off the bridle especially based on his Wincanton run behind Monsieur Gibraltar. I know Master Baker won over 2m at Taunton earlier in the season, but that was a really bad race and I think he will find himself outpaced over this trip round here especially given the speed Arthur's Secret is going to go. The jockey change is a plus though. I am really looking forward to this race, but in my view Arthur's Secret would have been capable of going very close at Aintree last week and he is one of the best pointers/hunter chasers in the country at the moment which is backed up by his lofty rating in this sphere. As much as the other two are good horses I just don't see how they can get him beat if he is at his best again. I think a double on both races is the way to go and at the moment it pays 2.6/1 with Bet365. Southfield Vic/Arthur's Secret 2.5pts double @ 2.6/1 with Bet365

Tennis - ATP Houston - SF Sam Querrey - vs - Christian Garin Garin @ 2.04 Pinnacle 4/10 Sam with a bad match yesterday, if he continiuous like that I rate Garin, whose skills are rising steadily, as favorit. Sam also took a MTO yesterday.

Opole strikes again with Ocleppo today. If somebody doesn't cage him up .. He's going to tear down the betting walls, and we'll be back to playing chinese checkers for coins on the street.

Bit of a disappointing mid-week as only Salford managed to win. Fairly quiet for me again this weekend with just the 3 bets. Barrow v Boreham Wood I had this game in mind for a bet on the home team when I was looking at Tuesday night's matches as I thought the home side at odds against looked a good bet and although Boreham Wood managed to get a point against Solihull I still think the home side are a bet. They lost to Aldershot last weekend and they have only won once in their last 10 games. The home side are in good form having only lost twice in their last 10 games and one of those was against Leyton Orient. They did blow a 2 goal lead against Harrogate last week, but this is easier on paper and I wonder if Tuesday night might just leave its mark on Wood especially with this long journey to make. Hyde v Stafford A couple in the Northern Premier League for me this weekend and I like Stafford here. Granted they are only 18th in the league, but they have only lost 1 game in their last ten. Granted they have drawn 6 in that time, but I think they are value to pick up 3 points here given Hyde have lost 4 out of their last 5 and the win was against Workington who are bottom. Scarborough v Lancaster Lancaster are only 3 points ahead of Stafford, but like them they have only lost once in their last 10 as they are proving hard to beat. They have drawn just one fewer, but again they are playing an out of form side who sacked their manager last week. They have lost 4 of their last 5 and the away side are worth backing at big odds. Barrow 3pts @ 21/20 with Betway Stafford 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor Lancaster 1pt @ 15/4 with BetVictor

I wouldn't get too down about it @eros Two losers, much like two winners, doesn't really mean anything. If you enjoy looking at tennis matches and trying to work out what will happen then carry on with it and see whether you've made or lost money after a few hundred bets. That will give you an idea about whether you're better at judging outcomes than the market and if it turns out you aren't but you've only lost a little but you still enjoy it then carry on anyway. It's not always about making money, if you get enjoyment out of it then it's no different than paying for a gym membership for example - you pay for your membership and you get health benefits out of it. If betting on tennis costs you money then you're 'paying' for it, but if you enjoy it and if the losses are acceptable for you then it doesn't matter

Aston Villa vs Blackburn For the second preview of the weekend's Championship games we move 3 miles down the road to Villa Park where Aston Villa will attempt to continue their charge up the league table in this home game against Blackburn that kicks off at 3pm on Saturday afternoon. Aston Villa have now won four league games in a row. Dean Smith's side have shot up into the play-off positions thanks to this run of results. The manager is set to name an unchanged XI from the one that tore Middlesbrough apart before the international break. Villa have won their last three home games against Blackburn as well. It seems Jack Grealish's fitness is key to Villa's progress. Since Smith took charge, Villa have won 69% of their games with Grealish involved compared to just 15% with him missing. Blackburn appear to have done enough to stay up this season. Tony Mowbray's side are 16th in the table and 11 points clear of the relegation zone. Unfortunately, their form has tailed off towards the back end of this season. It's now just 1 win, 1 draw, and 7 losses from their last 9 league games. Just 4 wins in their 10 away league games this season suggests it's a tall order here. Every season, one team paces their push to the play-offs exactly right. Villa are doing exactly that. Blackburn have scored at least once in their last 9 league games against Villa so it might be worth backing both teams to score. I can just see Villa continuing their storming run with a 2-3 goal win here. Aston Villa -1 @ 2.62 with SpreadEx BTTS @ 1.67 with William Hill

I'm on Burnley to beat Wolves. Main reasoning is as I say every week, Wolves don't turn up to play the lesser PL teams and Burnley are definitely in that category. Wolves also have Man Utd on Tuesday and then the FA Cup semi final next weekend. I think they just want to get through this game and don't really care about the result a great deal. Burnley have been in poor form but the international break came at a good time for them and now they have a great chance to get some points and push clear of Cardiff before their game on Sunday. Wolves form in the PL isn't all that great either. They lost to Huddersfield which takes some doing and I think Burnley are good things to take advantage of a dis-interested Wolves team with a focus on Tuesday and next weekend. Burnley at 3.25 (betfair) with a decent stake for me.

Later than usual and a bit annoying because when I looked at the betting about 3 hours ago I had in mind what I would put up only to now see that the betting has totally changed during the morning. Risk A Fine was put in pretty short last night and then drifted out to 3/1 this morning, but has now been backed back in and is no bigger than 13/8 now. People who have been following me for most of the season will know I was really taken by this horse when I saw him win a point over Christmas and he did it well at Fakenham over a track and trip that didn't suit. In the end I had a small bet on him to win at Wincanton but Monsieur Gibraltar was too good for him in the end. I did wonder at the time if maybe I had over-rated the horse, but I am going to give him another chance here. Marinero won at Ascot a year ago in a race that I fancied Monsieur Gibraltar to win, but Harriett Tucker fell off him that day and it meant Marinero had little to do in the end to win as the rest were a poor bunch and the 2nd didn't stay. I thought Marinero ran well enough on his seasonal return at Ludlow, but he was then beaten even further by Road To Rome back there the next time which has to be a concern. I think Monsieur Gibraltar would have easily beaten Marinero at Ascot so based on that there isn't much between them, but Risk A Fine has certainly shown better form this season in my view. It is frustrating I didn't get chance to write this earlier, but given the drift I wasn't then expecting it to be smashed off the boards so that took me by surprise. Even so I am happy to back it at the price. Brave Jaq is the only other one to consider. In both starts this season he has been less keen than he was last season and it meant he was able to see out the 2m4f at Stratford last time. I thought it was a good performance, but it was a lesser race than this and I would have been backing either of the other two to have won that contest. The other concern is Warwick is more of a stamina test than Stratford and even now he is more settled in his races I do think this trip might be far enough for him especially against classy opposition. Risk A Fine 2pts @ 13/8 with Bet365

Felix Auger-Aliassime to beat Borna Coric at 2.20 with bet365 Considering the recent form of both players Felix should be the favorite player here. He's playing better than Coric. Felix has win in straight sets in his last 2 matches against Hurkacz (who was playing very well) and the always dangerous Basilashvili. Coric has been very lucky with his opponents. He has played against 2 players in a bad shape (Chardy & Carballes) and a clown (Kyrgios) but all these players have take a set from him.

I am writing this from Wellington airport waiting for a delayed plane and have used the time to catch up with the weekend's action and look ahead to tonight's matches where I have 3 bets and there are 2 bets for Wednesday's games. Halifax v Ebbsfleet I have put up Halifax a couple of times and they failed to win only for the to then beat Solihull at a big price at the weekend. I had also put them up for this fixture when it was called off the other week and I think they are worth backing again to win it. The loss to Dover remains their only defeat in their last 8 games and they were superb on Saturday in that win over Solihull. Ebbsfleet have won 3 on the bounce, but the form isn't overly strong. They had a really comfortable time of things at Maidstone on Saturday and prior to that it was wins over badly out of form Boreham Wood and Maidenhead. Gary Hill spoke again about his small squad after Saturday's win and how it is being tested and I just wonder if a Tuesday night trip to Halifax is where they come unstuck again especially as Halifax are in such good form. I would make the home side favourites so a near 2/1 quote is worth taking. Harrogate v Salford This game is live on BT Sport on Wednesday night and it is a shame my BT Sport app doesn't work in Australia because I wouldn't mind being able to watch this game especially as I think the away side are worth a bet. Salford are surprisingly big at 11/5 to win this. I still don't think they will win the title, but it was impressive to see they have bounced back from their sticky patch and crucially they have stopped leaking goals which had become an issue. It is now 5 clean sheets on the bounce and they had won 4 games on the bounce prior to a 0-0 draw against a resolute Barnet on Saturday. Harrogate lost to Barnet last Tuesday and then were very lucky to get a point out of their game at Barrow on Saturday. With Salford's defence not letting anything through at the moment there is every chance 1 might be enough here and it is a rare time this season for me where Salford have been overpriced and worth backing. Bradford Park Avenue v AFC Telford BPA have really found their form again after a rocky patch. Off the field they don't want promotion and that was enough to take them out of the title hunt although the squad have bounced back and they look set for the play-offs again. They are 7 games unbeaten now although they did blow a 2 goal lead against Southport on Saturday, but this match is a great chance for them to bounce straight back. Telford played well in both legs of the FA Trophy, but in the end Leyton Orient's class just about saw them home. That effort will have taken a fair bit out of them though and I have mentioned before about their dreadful away form this season. On paper it has improved of late, but the wins were against weak teams and coming off the back of Saturday's disappointment they will have wished for an easier game than this. Guiseley v Curzon Ashton It is 13 games without a win for the home side and they might well be looking at a double relegation. They have only won 3 games at home all season and they all came a long time ago. They lost 1-0 on Saturday in what sounds like a dire game of football. It is hard to understand why Curzon are so big here because they are in decent nick coming into this. I think I put them up when this fixture was originally meant to take place and at the beginning of the month they won the reverse fixture 1-0. They have been strong away from home of late as well and although the fixture list has been fairly kind on that front they did manage to win at Chester and draw at BPA in the recent spell. They are better than the home side and at nearly 2/1 are a cracking price. Darlington v Chester Another game which I put up a bet for the other week when it got called off. Granted Darlington are hardly in the best of form and only beating Nuneaton 2-1 on Saturday wasn't great, but their home form is good. Granted they haven't won in 4, but they had a really tough run of fixtures so to pick up 2 points was hardly a disaster. I have mentioned about Chester's away form recently and it really is bad. They didn't play on Saturday so that will help, but there is enough in the home team's price to want to play and given this game is on Wednesday it gives Darlo more recovery time. Halifax 1pt @ 97/50 with Marathon Salford 1pt @ 11/5 with Bet365 BPA 1pt @ 123/100 with Marathon Curzon Ashton 2pts @ 49/25 with Marathon Darlington 1pt @ 31/20 with Marathon

Jurgen Melzer to beat Sergio Gutierrez-Ferrol at 2.25 with Unibet Hey @CzechPunter didn't Jurgen retire in Vienna last season? Wasn't that supposed to be his last match in singles? He has already won a ATP doubles title this season and now he decides to go for singles matches again. Quite funny and I'm ready to back him anyday of the week when a guy like SG-F is at the other side of the net. SG-F is a player who usually don't do anything special with the ball. Jurgen should be able to exploit this opponents weaknesses. We all saw how he dismantled Milos Raonic in Vienna last season and easily won in straight sets so the high capacity of Jurgen is still hanging around. He hasn't played singles since Vienna but he is quite used to playing well without matchpractice. Can still remember how he dismantled Jerzy Janowicz in a challenger tournament in Poland two years ago. Took the pole down in two in second round and went on to easily win the hole tournament without dropping a set. But before that week in Wroclaw he had a lot of matchpractice as he had just won Budapest challenger. But even though he doesn't have any matchpractice now he is capable of winning this match anyway.

Tennis - WTA Miami - R16 VZ Su-Wei Hsieh -vs- Caroline Wozniacki Hsieh @ 2.640 Pinnacle 6/10 I don't think Wozniacki according to her current performances will have weapons against Hsieh Su-wei today, who has already beaten world #1 Naomi Osaka and is in a form she has never been before. This is Wozniacki’s first real test in Miami and she looks vulnerable to me, Hsieh with her special game style should cause problems to her. I see good value in taking Hsieh and won't be surprised she will do her job in 2.

I am hoping we are going to see a few big priced winners on Easter Monday as I have some monster prices among the 9 teams I am putting up. Aldershot v Havant Two relegated teams and both have only won one of their last 10 games, but Havant were able to go 3 up against Ebbsfleet on Friday and they aren't a bad side. As Lee Bradbury said after they were relegated they were very competitive in all bar 2 of their games this season and that is backed up by how many they have lost by a single goal. This is a Hampshire derby and I am sure they would love to get one over an Aldershot side who have had a terrible season. Havant just shouldn't be as big as 3/1 to win this. Chesterfield v Boreham Wood Chesterfield were poor on Friday against Gateshead and sadly for us seemed the players seemed to have their minds on the beach which surprised me. Whilst they were losing Boreham Wood gave Salford a massive scare coming from 2 down to level it at 2 all before conceding a winner late on. That effort might leave a mark, but given Chesterfield went through the motions on Saturday, if Wood can back that effort up then they have a chance here. At 18/5 they are well worth taking a risk with. Eastleigh v Maidenhead Eastleigh are doing their best to blow their play-off spot having lost 4 out of their last 6 games. Losing 2-0 at Dagenham on Friday was another poor effort and although Maidenhead couldn't quite recover from a poor first half against Barrow on Saturday they did get a point. It wouldn't surprise me at all if they won this this and at 19/5 they are worth backing. Ebbsfleet V Dover Ebbsfleet are the closest side to Eastleigh in 8th yet they have hit the buffers a little in the last couple of weeks. As mentioned above they got away with coming from 3 down on Friday to get a point. Prior to that they lost to Dagenham and before that it was a point at Gateshead. Dover are unbeaten in their last 7 now and in the last 10 form table only the 3 title contenders are above them. They might have nothing to play for, but they would love to get one over their Kent rivals and at 5/1 they look overpriced. Harrogate v Gateshead I'm slightly surprised to be putting up Gateshead, but although it was only a penalty that defeated Chesterfield they more than deserved the win. It showed they still have a bit of fight in them and Harrogate aren't exactly doing great things at the moment with their only win in 7 was against Havant. Given they have to chase down Eastleigh Gateshead have suddenly given themselves a chance of the play-offs again and although the early 5s has gone the 4s is still decent value. Guiseley v Darlington Darlington have hit form as they win against Bradford Park Avenue on Friday was the first time they have won 3 on the bounce all season. The only time Guiseley have won in their last 10 was when I opposed them against Curzon, but that was the start of Curzon's downturn in form so it doesn't say much. I don't think the away side should be over 2/1 to win this and they are well worth a bet. Bath City v Oxford City The home side looked good for the play-offs 6 games ago, but they then haven't won in 6. To be fair they have picked up 4 draws in that spell, but they only drew 0-0 against relegation threatened Hungerford on Friday. Oxford lost to Slough, but they are flying at the moment and it was 2 late goals which defeated them 3-1. They have won 4 of their last 6 and winning at Concord in their previous game is decent form. I just don't see how on earth they can be priced up at 9/1 to win this and although a draw is a concern they are simply too big not to back. Hemel Hempstead v Weston-Super-Mare Granted Weston weren't great when I put them up on Saturday, but Hemel have looked really poor of late and now Weston have finally been relegated it wouldn't surprise me if they went and won this now they have the pressure off. Weston have picked up 1 more point than Hemel in their last 10 games and it is just crazy why the bookies have stuck the away side in at 7/1 in what is a pretty even game for me. Leatherhead v Dorking One bet at step 3 and it is for the Bostik Premier Champions Dorking. Dorking haven't let up since they won the league winning every game since and they have lost just once in their last 20 games, a run which started against Leatherhead. They have already beaten 3 teams still in the play-off hunt in their last 3 games so to beat another one here wouldn't surprise at all. Leatherhead are 2 points off the play-offs although they are only 9th. They lost their 1st game in 7 at the weekend so they had been in good form, but Dorking have picked up 87 points, Haringey in 2nd are on 71 and Leatherhead are on 62. That's how much better than the rest they have been so to be able to back them at over 2/1 just because their hosts need a win looks worth taking advantage of. Havant 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor Boreham Wood 1pt @ 18/5 with BetVictor Maidenhead 1pt @ 19/5 with William Hill, Marathon and BetVictor Dover 1pt @ 5/1 with William Hill Gateshead 1pt @ 4/1 with Bet365 and BetVictor Darlington 1pt @ 11/5 with Bet365 Oxford City 1pt @ 9/1 with William Hill and Bet365 Weston-Super-Mare 1pt @ 7/1 with Bet365 Dorking 2pts @ 103/50 with Marathon

Exeter 2.40 Here's Herbie E/W 22-1 SkyBet

No. Value is if you think the player (in tennis) you're betting on has (much) better chances to win than Bookies suggesting. It's basically maths. If Nadal and Djokovic playing each other and Nadal is prized around @2.0 and i give him 70% to win then it's value because bookmakers are giving him 50% and difference between 50% and 70% is big enough to pick him then. You should deal with the topic and not claiming such strange observations about other tipsters who call some value here and there on bigger odds. It has nothing to do with bigger odds & smaller odds. Odds around 1.9 could have as much value as odds around 3.5. In my opinion this isn't a topic which is about "to agree or disagree"....it's about facts. And fact is Value is 100% maths. How this works in the end has a lot to do with insider infos about players if you think bookies didn't take it into account what you did with your estimates.

Don’t need to be sorry dude.This is tennis even No1 can beatable.

I like Lara Arruabarena against Tamara Zidansek. Spaniard plays in Bogota like at home for several years - last year she was in final and she lost against Schmiedlova, so she needs to defend some points for WTA ranking. Yesterday she was in 1st Set 2-5 down against Paolini and despite that she stay mentally strong with her game plan. Even more, Italian never ever was in chance to get a Set point at all and in TB Lara again shown her mental stability. 2nd Set was pure formality then for her. Now, I didn't see Zidansek play in Bogota, but I doubt she is mentally stronger then Lara. I know Zidansek is training a lot on clay surface, but I think that is not her favourite surface although she likes to play on clay therefore she can be very dangerous. But somehow I do not trust her at all. Tamara beats Khromacheva and Vickery so far here in Bogota and I doubt she can go now past Arruabarena. I believe odds higher than 2.05 on Spanish tennis player are worth a try... Guys, what is your opinion?

Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Kristyna Pliskova at 1.67 with William Hill I'm psychologically afraid of this bet given how poorly I usually tip my fellow Czechs, but I did well with Vesely today and I hope to do well with Pliskova tomorrow, although I'm going to go against her. Kuznetsova has exactly the type of grit that's required to frustrate Pliskova and she's still somewhat above her in terms of quality as well imo.

I like Skupski/Skupski @ 2.25 5dimes 6/10 in Houston later this evening. Opponents are Chardy / Martin. Chardy lost in singles to Garin and he'll play in Monte Carlo next week. He's still focusing on singles and i can see him being happy losing today in doubles so he can be in MC on Saturday or Sunday. Big +++ here is that he's playing with his friend Martin. Those doubles combos always having some "unwritten rules" to follow if one player has to leave early for another tournament. Martin might get the full prize money without splitting it.

Sveta easily big achievement as usual by Sveta to down Timea in Lugano

We have 5 hole in Ones in the last 3 years, all at the 16th Hole In One : 4/6 at William Hill First Round Leader D.Johnson EW 16/1 (first 8) betfair/PP P.Casey EW 33/1 (first 8) betfair/PP Winning Score : Going for a big one this year again (last year was 273, 2015 was 270) 275 or under 7/4 bet365 Top Amateur : V.Hovland is ranked 3rd in the world, well ahead of the other 5 players, won the US Amateur Championship. V.Hovland 7/4 bet365 Multiple Top English: P.Casey 4/1 Top Aussie: J.Day 9/5 Top Con Euro: F.Molinari 5/2 Top S.A: L Oosthuizen 10/11 1pt Yankee

Nice, that's 4 batsman bets in a row for this thread. Mumbai Indians Vs Kings. Mumbai Indians 1 win and 1 loss at home this season. Kings 1 win and 2 losses away from home. Kings look like abit of value today. They won this fixture at home and although Mumbai won this fixture at the Wankhede, it was only by a few runs. I like the chances of Rahul as top batsman again and also going to take a little outside chance on Pollard as top batsman for Mumbai. 4pts Kings to beat Mumbai Indians 5/4 betvictor 2.5pts L.Rahul (Top Kings batsman) 12/5 bet365 1pt K.Pollard (Top MI batsman) 8/1 bet365

@StevieDay1983 good preview and a fair assessment IMO. I actually think Spurs are capable of getting a win here. City have slowed up in the last few games and while they have still won the games against weaker teams than spurs, they have not been doing it with the same style and swagger of earlier in the season. There are three main reasons why I think spurs are capable of a win tonight: 1. 6 days rest for spurs compared to 2.5 for city, and aguero just coming back from injury so he may not be match sharp. 2. City don't need to win the game, they just want to be in touch to give them a decent chance of going through in the return leg next week. 3. Whenever I watch city in the CL they seem a different team to the one we see in the PL in that they seem to struggle more against lesser opposition. This season I would say they have underperformed in 4/6 group stage games against both Hoffenheim and Lyon, and Schalke gave them a good game at their place in the last 16. Spurs are a level above those three teams IMO. City are rightful favourites as they are for just about every game at the moment, but I think spurs +1 at 1.91 is worth a shot in these circumstances.

This event gets underway in the early hours so the first matches begin at 1.30am being in China of course. Looking at the first round there isn't too much to get excited about in the early hours but abit later there are a few worth watching. One that starts in the morning at 6.30am is Ali Carter against Kurt Maflin and I think Maflin is overpriced. Ali beat Maflin 6-0 the last time they played but they have shared 2 wins each at the head-2-head. We don't really know of Ali's form at the moment because he withdrew from the Gibraltar tournament and was very poor against Williams in the Players prior to that. He beat Alann Taylor to qualify here 6-3. You couldn't say we have seen him in-form since the Grand Prix where he made the final. Kurt Maflin is playing some decent stuff right now. He beat Hugill in the previous round here and Ashley played some great stuff including a 140 break. He had a good Gibraltar event where he got to the last 16 and lost to eventual champion, Bingham. Carter hasn't really performed in the China Open in the past couple of years and it just sways me on a possible upset here. Also around this time, a battle of the Chinese commences as Li Hang takes on Yuelong. These two have never played eachother surprisingly, but I think Li Hang should be the favourite in my opinion. At 11/10 I will back him. He has had some nice results recently beating Robertson back in Ireland and pushing Higgins close not long ago. Mei Xiwen faces Marco Fu at 11.30am and I will be backing Xiewen. He is a very good up and coming prospect and he beat Fu 4-1 when they last played. The value is surely on Xiwen. Sam Baird is really hitting the ball well right now. His form is good and you'd have to say the form is better than Brecel's, who to me just seems like he is playing in his local pub every time I watch him. I will go with Baird on that one. I will also punt on Vafaei who is another player who looks to be the better of form against Milkins. 2.5pts K.Maflin to beat A.Carter 2/1 bet365 2.5pts Li Hang to beat Z. Yuelong 11/10 ladbrokes 2.5pts M.Williams (-4.5 frames) to beat H.Chandle 11/10 bet365 2.5pts M.Xiwen to beat M.Fu 21/10ladbrokes 4pts S.Baird to beat L.Brecel 15/8 5pts H.Vafaei to beat R.Milkins 6/5 coral

Sometimes not having a bet can be just as good as winning bet and not backing Always On The Run at odds on turned out to be a good move. It is rare to get a truly run race when there are only 3 runners, but he set a good clip and Ravished ran out a good winner in the end. It was some improvement from his recent form to win his point prior to Wetherby and this was a step up again. It will be interesting to see where they go with him next, but he should add to this win at the right level. Onto Ascot's race today and they have actually increased the trip from 2m5f to 3m. Virak is the odds on favourite and he should win this. He won two Hunter Chases last year at Ludlow and then the Walrus at Haydock. He then ran down the field at Cheltenham before disappointing at Newton Abbot although he isn't the first horse to now show his form after running in the Foxhunter. He has gone to Rose Loxton this season and he has easily won 3 points. I saw the first of them at Chaddesley Corbett over Christmas and he had Arthur's Secret back in 3rd. Now Arthur's has improved since then and needed the run that day, but it is still good form. He might prefer a little bit of cut in the ground, but the point wins have been on good ground this term so it shouldn't be an issue and his form is a cut above the rest for me. In Arrears didn't beat much in the end at Exeter, but she was impressive in doing so. She is clearly progressing nicely and I under estimated her ahead of the Exeter race. She looks the most likely to follow the favourite home. If Queen Olivia could repeat the close 2nd to Road To Rome on her seasonal debut then she comes right into this, but the issue is she has gone backwards now. She was a well beaten 3rd behind Arthur's Secret although that wasn't a bad run, but she was then pulled up at Parham. I would imagine there was an issue that day because it was too bad to be true and if she bounces back then she isn't out of this. Silvergrove was well beaten on his first start for 22 months at Fakenham and there is every chance he will come on for that, but I didn't see enough in that run for me to want to think he has a chance in this. Flaming Charmer was sold for 18k in December and did win at Chepstow off 121 the month before, but he was poor over 3m at Wincanton and he has never won over this far. Every chance he will need this as well against fit rivals. Virak should win, but the price isn't exactly exciting so I will take a couple of forecasts. I don't fancy Silvergrove or Flying Charmer so I can rule them out. I was initially going to leave Queen Olivia out as she looks to be going backwards after a good run, but even the Ludlow 3rd could well be good enough to finish 2nd and the Parham run was too bad to be true so I will save on her. In Arrears though looks progressive even if the Exeter race wasn't strong and she is most likely to finish 2nd. Virak to beat In Arrears 1pt fc Virak to beat Queen Olivia 0.5pts fc

Interesting comment. Yeah not been overly consistent this season sadly but sometimes it goes like that. Last two seasons have been very strong but this season has been tougher for sure. Strange because on the Hunter Chase front it’s been winner after winner but I have always said that making a profit on football is much harder than doing it on horse racing

West Brom vs Birmingham The Championship is back tonight with this Midlands derby between West Brom and Birmingham in an 8pm kick-off tonight at the Hawthorns. The Baggies have picked up since the sacking of Darren Moore but their opponents here have been handed a 9-point deduction. West Brom are in 4th place in the table and just 7 points off the automatic promotion pace with 8 league games to go. Is it too late? Well, caretaker manager James Shan is giving it a good go by winning the two games he's had in charge against Swansea and Brentford without conceding a goal. Birmingham were in a safe position where it looked like they would be preparing for next season but this points deduction now leaves them just 5 points above the relegation zone in 18th place. If results go against them this weekend then that gap could be reduced to just 2 points. I'd say that's unlikely but the threat of that happening sums up how bad this deduction has hit them. I'm going to have to back the home win here. I think nerves are now going to set in for Birmingham. The situation still isn't desperate so I think they'll give a good account of themselves. They've been difficult to beat on the road with just 7 defeats from their 19 away games. I think Shan has got West Brom set up well. It might be a tight win but it should still be a victory to keep their promotion hopes alive. West Brom to Win @ 1.92 with BetVictor Draw HT/ West Brom FT @ 5.20 with MarathonBet @waynecoyne, @sajtion, @arvee, @canaries91, @Mindfulness, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @CloughandTaylor, @Tiffy, @Gidds, @chris50, @PokerWolf1, @teddybear3011, @skyblues88, @allyhibs, @Icongene, @KikoCy, @willie82, @Neubs, @Papa Lazarou, @kulikTS, @Valkovets, @Pipoca, @padman, @Marek76, @silver fox, @neilovan, @HastGill1, @jazzman02, @andypaps28, @Kenton Schweppes, @rangers234, @newjack, @Kane91, @yossa6133, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Xcout, @branskie, @Wanderer89, @four-leaf, @trevor8, @OppoArchitizerLady, and @the bastardian, what bets are you guys placing this week?

Thanks to Punters Lounge for supporting this, and to everyone who took part this month. The turnout was a little disappointing tonight, probably because 1st and 2nd were pretty much sown up. Andy made the suggestion that the last leg should be double points, and I would support that, or similar, if it made it more competitive. Unfortunately, I won't be able to play for the next two legs, as I'm in Vegas. (Obv brag). Good luck all!

I have bet against Woz in her first 2 matches here. The last one was one of the most frustrating matches that i ever seen. Niculescu break points converted = 3/15 Wozniacki break points converted = 4/4 so you can imagine my anger watching that match. Woz is so far from her best form let's see if this will be the definitive

Kyle Edmund to beat Milos Raonic at 2.25 with SportingBet I think Milos Raonic was fortunate to get to the SFs of Indian Wells last week, especially given that he nearly lost to a player outside of the Top 200. He hasn't yet played a match here, as he got a bye in R2 after his opponent withdrew. Kyle Edmund is getting quite a few wins under his belt now having come back from injury. He's in a run of good form here. Also the somewhat slow-ish surface should dent Raonic's most powerful weapon.

Some interesting matches I think we should get involved today but I have no time for detailed previews so I'm just giving 1 short recommendation and I hope the winning train keeps on rollin'. ATP Miami - R2 Radu Albot - Roger Federer Radu Albot (+1.5 Sets) @ 3.10 Pinnacle 5/10 Albot is on fire, he is as good as he never has been before in his career and should be able to gain 1 set today against Federer I think - the machine is a hard fighter and as well mentally as physically on the top. After his tough loss in in the finals of the BNP Paribas Open Roger I think will have the same problems as Dominic had yesterday so I totally see parallels to Thiem's overall condition.