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  1. 10 points
    Good to have a really good Saturday last weekend with 3 of the 4 National League bets landing. Didn't have as much fortune on the FA Cup front but the next round should bring plenty of opportunities on that front next weekend. This Saturday it is Non-League Day and I urge anyone reading this who can go to a game at the weekend to go and do so especially if you haven't been to watch your local team before. I will be watching Billericay v Gloucester and as much as I fully expect my team to lose I am really interested to see Billericay in action especially from an ante-post perspective as I am sure a few of you have got some fancy prices about them. Hopefully it will be a profitable Non-League Day and I have five bets. Dagenham & Redbridge v Wrexham (National League) Surely Peter Taylor won't be in the Dagenham hot-seat for too much longer. They had a 4 game unbeaten spell, but apart from that have looked every bit relegation candidates and I don't see Taylor bringing about any improvement and he is the wrong man for the job. Wrexham on the other-hand have their eyes firmly on promotion although I suspect that will be via the play-offs rather than winning the title. Their only defeat in their last 8 games was when I put them up to beat Sutton, but that looks every bit the one off I thought it would be and Dagenham are no Sutton. Skybet are even money if you can get on although the shade of odds on elsewhere is acceptable as well. Eastleigh v Aldershot (National League) Slightly risky to want to back a team who have only picked up one point on their travels this season playing against a team who have won 4 on the bounce and are unbeaten in 6, but I think Aldershot are worth backing here. As I highlighted last week Aldershot are an improving side and they dispatched Halifax without too many worries last weekend. I am hoping that they can continue that on their travels and the fact they got a draw at Hartlepool two weeks ago gives me confidence that they can. Eastleigh lost their manager in the week and it might just upset their good run of form. This could be the perfect time to be playing them and the Aldershot players should be full of confidence at the moment. The 61/25 about an away with Marathon is way too big for me. Halifax v Chesterfield (National League) Yes I am going to oppose Chesterfield again in the live TV game on BT Sport at Saturday teatime. Yet again they are short price favourites away from home and although we didn't get a result in Chesterfield's last two games as they have drawn them they are a stupid price yet again. Now granted Halifax aren't exactly winning football matches either at the moment, but at home only Hartlepool have beaten them so far this term. Either side of that defeat they have drawn against Leyton Orient and AFC Fylde. It has been 8 games since a win, but they have drawn 5 of them. The two 3-0 defeats have both come on their travels and as pointed out above Aldershot are improving fast. Chesterfield have scored just 3 times in their last 10 games which is pretty shocking really and given Halifax have only scored 7 in that time we could be looking at a pretty dull affair (a bit like most of the games BT have chosen this season as they have made some shocking choices), but Halifax are good value 9/4 with Bet 365 to win the game. Some people might want the draw onside, but I think having a small bet on the no goalscorer at 15/2 (Bet 365) and on 1-1 at 11/2 (Betway and BetVictor) is the best way to cover the win bet and if Halifax win 1-0 via an own goal we have hit the jackpot! Solihull v Ebbsfleet (National League) Opposing Ebbsfleet got us a nice profit last weekend and although their away form is better than their home form I am more than happy to take them on again. They have only lost one on their travels, but that came in a heavy 4-1 defeat at Wrexham. Prior to that they had drawn at Dover which sums up their level at the moment. They did beat Dagenham in their last away game, but again that hardly says a lot and this match should be much tougher. Ebbsfleet were poor at home to Harrogate last Saturday and they again continue to look a fair way of the pace. Solihull weren't great themselves last weekend when losing 2-0 at Barnet, but their away performances haven't been as good as their home ones. So far in 7 home games they have conceded just 3 times and lost just the once to Hartlepool. I have put them up in both their last two home victories and I think they can land a 3rd home win on the bounce. 5/4 with William Hill and Betfred looks a big price to me as I would make it an odds on shot. Chippenham v Dartford (National League South) As I have mentioned before Dartford look a million miles away from the team who nearly won the league last season, yet they are still being priced up as if they are. They did manage a 1-1 draw against Billericay in their last league away game, but they have lost 3 of their other 5 without scoring a goal and were hammered 4-1 at Oxford City in the FA Cup last Saturday. Again Chippenham are a side who I have written about in recent weeks and although they cost me the FA Cup acca a couple of weeks ago they have been playing well otherwise. They beat Hendon in the FA Cup easily in the week and at home they have won 4 out of five in the league including beating Billericay. Chippenham should be favourites for this and it is crazy that they aren't. BetVictor's 9/5 is a very attractive price. Wrexham 2.5pts @ Evs with Skybet Aldershot 1pt @ 61/25 with Marathon Halifax 1pt at 9/4 with Bet365 No goalscorer 0.5pts @ 15/2 with Bet365 and 1-1 @ 11/2 with Betway and BetVictor Solihull 3pts @ 5/4 with William Hill and Betfred Chippenham 1pt @ 9/5 with BetVictor
  2. 9 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > October 6th

    It is FA Cup weekend and yet again the bookies have been slow to price those matches up. Bet365 and BetVictor have so I will wait to see if we get any more prices before putting anything up. As it stands I have 4 bets in the National League for Saturday. Aldershot v Halifax On the face of it the home side probably look on the short side at 5/4 to win this, but I think they look a fair price to do just that. Gary Waddock hasn't minced his words at times this season, but not surprisingly he has been a bit more upbeat of late and he certainly was after Aldershot had got their first away point of the season at Hartlepool last Saturday. It was a good performance from them and Waddock was right to highlight the fact that the new squad are starting to improve and get things together. As I mentioned in the Maidstone preview last week Aldershot battered Maidstone but still lost in their last home game, but that was actually only their 2nd defeat at home this season and they have won 4 of their 6 home games. That is key for me that despite their poor start to the season that has been pretty much down to their away form rather than their pretty solid home form. Halifax have had some tough away games and draws at Sutton and Wrexham are good efforts, although that Sutton match was a dire game in general. Their only win on their travels remains the opening day win at bottom of the table Braintree and given they only managed 2 shots on target against Bromley they were slightly fortunate to get a point last weekend. I think this game is tougher and with Aldershot solid at home and performances improving I think they can continue their rise up the table here. Chesterfield v AFC Fylde The price on Fylde has come in from the silly opening quotes from the bookies which had them as the outsiders for this. The plus is they are unbeaten on the road, but the negative is that they have drawn 6 of their 7 away matches. Strangely given how strong they are going forward at home they can't score on their travels. They have only scored 5 times and 3 of those came in one game at Ebbsfleet. Surely in this game Dave Challinor has to make sure his side are a bit more attacking minded given Chesterfield are making some really poor defensive errors of late. I read a preview last weekend which suggested Chesterfield have defended OK of late, which is just bizarre because as I pointed out last weekend they have certainly not defended OK in recent matches. It has been a comedy of errors really and although they only conceded once against Maidstone it was a bad one to concede. Surely the likes of Danny Rowe are going to be gifted a few chances against a Chesterfield side who don't really look like winning anytime soon. 6/4 is still available with Skybet and Sportingbet and it is still a high enough price for me to want to play. Dover v Salford Another team who have shortened up are Salford which again isn't a surprise. Football can make fools of you sometimes, but I just don't see how Dover can get anything out of this game. They have looked a really poor side in most of their games this season and they were especially bad against Barrow last weekend. Maybe the players will raise themselves for this one, but even so they just don't look good enough and manager Chris Kinnear pretty much hinted at that after the game. Salford on the other-hand are threatening to run away with the league and some of the football they have been playing is some of the best I have seen in this division for a few years. They have just got stronger as the season has gone on and they comfortably beat Maidenhead 3-0 last weekend in what could have been a tricky game for them. As long as they don't drop their standards and get complacent they could really batter Dover this weekend. I think at the very least they should cover the -1 handicap and that is a big price at 12/5 (Betfair/Paddy Power) and looks the best bet in the division this weekend. Ebbsfleet v Harrogate There was a much improved performance from Ebbsfleet last Saturday, but it did come against Dagenham so how much do we read into it? I do think the signing of Reise Allassani who is a player I know well having been at Dulwich last season is a very good one and he was man of the match in the Dagenham game. The big problem for them though has been their home form and given they play a Harrogate side who aren't really showing any signs of slowing down after their flying start to the season I am happy to take Ebbsfleet on. Harrogate were the first team to defeat Boreham Wood at home last weekend and Wood are always hard to beat at home so that is no mean feat. Skybet and BetVictor are 2/1 about an away win and that is too big for me. Aldershot 1pt @ 5/4 with BetVictor/William Hill AFC Fylde 1pt @ 6/4 with Skybet/Sportingbet Salford -1 2pts @ 12/5 with Betfair/Paddy Power Harrogate 1pt @ 2/1 with Skybet/BetVictor
  3. 7 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > October 16th

    A few games at step 3 this mid-week and a home double in the Evo-Stik Southern Premier South makes some appeal. Chesham have been really poor so far this season having won just once and drawn just once so far this season. The win against Farnborough was two games ago, but in three out of their last 4 league games they have conceded 4 goals each time including on Saturday when Salisbury put 4 past them. They go to Beaconsfield who have only lost twice so far this term and although they have yet to win at home in 4 league games this looks the perfect game to get their first home 3 points of the season. Walton Casuals is the other bet and they host Staines. Casuals didn't win any of their first 5 league games, but they have won 3 of their next 5 and are looking in much better shape now. Crucially they host a Staines side who are looking in desperate trouble. They have won just twice in the league (one of which was against Chesham) and have lost their other 8. In their last 4 league games they have conceded a huge 18 goals. Also these two sides played each other in the league cup earlier in the month and Casuals won 6-1 that night. It is hard to see how Staines are going to turn that around given how they have played since and are conceding goals for fun. Now Oddschecker isn't playing ball with this league so I have only checked 3 firms and Bet365 and Betfred were joint best of those 3 with odds of 1.7/1 on the double. I am having a point on that.
  4. 7 points
    BillyHills

    Latest Tables - September

    Final Table Well done to Pete who ended the month with a good winner and truth be told had this wrapped up a couple of weeks ago Good totals from several especially Wiggo, Jimmy and Drew who made the cash spots. Corky won the KO Cup and 25 players qualified for next months edition Prizes £80: Pete1971 plus Mug & Pen £40: Wiggo Bets plus Mug & Pen £20: Jimmy2shoes plus Mug & Pen £10: Drew005 £30 Cup: Corky All winners pass on their details to team@punterslounge.com PayPal addy, PL name and prize being claimed (home addy if you want a Mug sending) Many thanks for your continued support and we all start again tomorrow
  5. 7 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > September 29th

    Got to get back to winning ways on Tuesday after what has been a pretty tough month. Even on Tuesday we still had a very late goal go against which stopped the double from landing. Hopefully we can end the month on a high and I have 5 bets. Havant & Waterlooville v Solihull Moors (National League) Solihull's away form doesn't quite match the heights of their home form as they have lost 3 and won 3. However those loses came against Fylde, Harrogate and Leyton Orient so you can hardly knock them for losing those games. They have beaten Eastleigh, Barrow and Dover and Saturday's trip is hardly any harder than those. Havant did stop us from landing the double on Tuesday night, but they are still struggling to win games. Their home form isn't terrible, but Solihull are in really good form at the moment and I think they should be favourites for this game so am happy to take Betway's 15/8. I suspect Solihull will continue to be under estimated by the bookies and unless their form takes a turn for the worse then they are likely to remain a decent value bet. Leyton Orient v Sutton (National League) I Tweeted on Tuesday that I think the league will be between Salford and Leyton Orient now. Both sides look a cut above the rest of the league at the moment and crucially neither side are really dropping silly points unlike the teams around them. Sutton have had a very strange last 3 results and how on earth they allowed a terrible Dover to come back from 2 down with 10 men I just don't know. Orient are still yet to lose and I would have them around 4/6 for this game so the even money (Marathon and William Hill) is certainly worth taking. I have been really impressed with the way Orient have been putting away sides of late and in 5 of their last 7 games they have scored at least 3 goals. That is really impressive and I think they can add another 3 points on Saturday. Maidstone v Chesterfield (National League) Gary Waddock said that he had never seen such a one sided game that a team has lost after his Aldershot side lost to Maidstone on Tuesday night. It seems new Maidstone manager Harry Wheeler had a game plan of making them really hard to break down and they managed to sneak a goal to win the game 1-0. That is two 1-0 away wins on the bounce for Maidstone and they should make things very hard for a badly out of form Chesterfield back on their own pitch. I was surprised Martin Allen didn't either walk away or get the sack after the 3-1 defeat to Maidenhead on Tuesday. I see no reason to not carry on opposing them especially when they have been put in as favourites again which makes little sense to me, but again it is bookies using the big team mentality instead of what is actually happening on the pitch. Marathon are 9/4 about a home win. Biggleswade v Redditch (Southern Premier Central) The best bet of the weekend for me is the home side. Biggleswade are still unbeaten in the league and although they have drawn 5 of their 7 games they have started the season in really good shape. The only downside so far is the fact they surprisingly lost to Chesham in the FA Cup, but what that did mean was they didn't have a game last weekend so have had a bit of extra rest coming into this fixture. Redditch seem in a right mess off the field. Ex manager Paul Davies came out in the press saying that he had to beg players to play in what turned out to be his final game in charge when they lost 5-1 to Coalville. It seems the players hadn't been paid and the chairman certainly seems to be ruining the club. Former assistant Paul Smith has now been given the job and although he has done well at a lower level, this is the first time has been in charge of a side at this high a level. He lost 2-0 to Stratford in his first game in charge and although he has brought in 5 players since he took charge they still don't look a great squad. The home side are 24/25 wuth Marathon and that price looks very fair. Corinthian Casuals v Enfield Town (Bostik Premier) I have been really pleased with Enfield's start to the season given I put them up at a big price ante-post. They sit in 3rd place at the moment and they should be able to stay up there. In their last league game a couple of weeks ago they came from 2 down to Lewes to draw 2-2. Both goals came from Billy Bricknell who came of the bench as he was coming back from injury. They are unbeaten in the league still and should be able to beat Corinthian Casuals who are finding themselves a bit outclassed. They won their first league of the season last time, but that came against Harlow who are one off the bottom. Their other 2 points have come against teams around them in the table as well and I think they will continue to struggle against the better sides in the league. Marathon go 143/100 about an away win and that looks a good price. Solihull 1pt @ 15/8 with Betway Leyton Orient 2pts @ Evs Marathon/William Hill Maidstone 1pt @ 9/4 with Marathon Biggleswade 3pts @ 24/25 with Marathon Enfield Town 2.5pts @ 143/100 with Marathon
  6. 6 points
    Saturday was a bit more like it with a superb win for Solihull although Wrexham decided to put in what will probably be their worst performance of the season. The acca was only just denied by an 88th minute equaliser as well. Tuesday sees a full National League fixture list as well as a handful of Evo-Stik Northern Prem games and the FA Cup replays. Chesterfield v Maidenhead It looks a trappy night in the National League as there are teams I would love to oppose but some of them are playing each other or the opposition are too short (Aldershot being an example of the latter). I have out Chesterfield up a couple of times during this dreadful run they are on, but they are still winless since winning their first 3 games. They were shocking on Saturday when losing 3-0 to Gateshead at home where they managed just 2 shots during the match. Martin Allen claimed it was the worst performance from any team that he has managed and it wouldn't surprise me if that was true. He has come out and said they have had a meeting with the players and he hopes to get a response from them on Tuesday night. It might happen, but you have to wonder if Allen is actually capable of getting the best out of his players and I wouldn't even go as far to say if they lost this he won't be in the job after the game. Maidenhead's away form does concern me as they have only won once and lost 4 of the other 5 including at Barrow on Saturday. The win was against Braintree and the draw was against Dagenham so that isn't great, but they played well enough on Saturday and I think Alan Devonshire's men will smell blood here. One thing that does worry me is the amount of travelling they will have to do, but I think it's factored into the price and I am happy to take 15/4 about an away win which for me should be shorter. Barnet v Havant and Solihull v Dagenham Solihull were superb on Saturday to beat Bromley 5-0 and they now face a struggling Dagenham side who looked awful at Eastleigh on Saturday in the live game. I can't see Peter Taylor being in the job for too much longer as I imagine the new owners will want to get their own man in who can build a better team than the one they have. As mentioned on Saturday Solihull are very strong at home and are making a mockery of their favourites to go down tag. Barnet are in good form at the moment after a slow start to the season and their only loss of late was against top of the table Leyton Orient and even then they held their own for a long period of the match. I think their injury list told that day and they were good on Saturday when drawing against Fylde. Havant got a draw at Ebbsfleet, but the home side under performed again and I'm not sure it says a great deal. I do get the feeling it will click for them at some point, but it is hard to see it being at Barnet who are playing with plenty of confidence at the moment. Both Barnet and Solihull are around about the same price and the double with Marathon pays 5/2 and that looks a decent price. Maidenhead 1pt @ 14/5 with Bet365 Barnet/Solihull 1pt double @ 5/2 with Marathon
  7. 6 points
    Dead heat son of rest ....and baron bolt .....carnage at the bookies ...boom
  8. 6 points
    Very much agree. I was going to tip Edinburgh City myself, they should be favourites here.
  9. 6 points
    Donna Vekic to beat Caroline Garcia at 2.22 with Pinnacle These odds are only set by ranking. Donna is playing good enough to win this match while Caroline hasn't played good tennis this hole season. Caroline may be ranked no.4 but has no ytd titles and has only passed the quarterfinals in two tournaments on clay so far. I think Donna is playing to good for Caroline now. Carolines ranking will drop if she can't defend her titles in Wuhan and Beijing and I doubt she can do that.
  10. 5 points
    Major jumbo wins ...flying pursuit 2nd ....got 16/1 On winner and 84.50 for the forecast ....golden Apollo non runner......well done Trotter too
  11. 5 points
    York 3.15 Gone for single figure draw D winner aged 4/5 that's left me with 3 runners and two of them are CD winners so I'll go with them...……. Golden Apollo 9/1 Major Jumbo 18/1
  12. 5 points
    Trotter

    Naps - Monday Oct 8th

    Kemp 6.15 - Intuitive - EW at 66/1 bog PP
  13. 5 points
    Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (-3.5) to beat Viktoria Kuzmova at 1.83 with Bet365 Kuzmova has been a mess for a while now, while Pavlyuchenkova has been playing reasonably well and shouldn't mind the conditions at all, so I quite fancy her to cover this handicap line in round one. The match win can be taken as well I reckon, but I don't mind the additional risk in this case.
  14. 5 points
    Saturday was much better and pleasing to get a winning Nap at last with Biggleswade. Enfield did the business with ease and Solihull won with the last kick of the game. There isn't a huge amount of games this week, but I like the look of 3 teams all around the even money mark. Given I fancy them all the same strength I am going to just go with a point treble rather than the 3 singles although feel free to play them how you want. The first team is Chester who host Hereford. Take away Chester's bizarre 8-1 defeat at Blyth and their 3-1 loss to Telford (came after two weeks off so they were rusty), then Chester have been mainly very good so far this season. Saturday they drew 0-0 with a Chorley side still flying at the top of the table and they now host a mangerless Hereford who have only picked up 1 point in their last 6 games. They did come from behind to beat Truro in the FA Cup, but then lost 3-0 to Spennymoor on Saturday. It is hard to see them getting much out of this match and they aren't in a great shape on the pitch at the moment. For some reason Chester are drifiting, but they should be odds on given how these two sides are playing at the moment. The other two teams both come from the Evo-Stik Northern Premier. Grantham have won 4 of their last 5 and their only dropped points in that spell came when I tipped them up to beat North Ferriby and they blew a 2 goal lead! They have only lost once in the league so far this season and got a 90th minute winner against Whitby on Saturday. Hednesford aren't in great form at the moment having lost 3 of their last 4 and their only win coming against a poor Workington side. Warrington look a solid bet to see off Mickleover Sports. Warrington went so well last season finishing in 3rd place and I wondered if they would be able to repeat that, but they went to the top of the table after beating ante-post favourites South Shields 3-0 on Saturday. That made it five wins on the bounce and their only defeat came on the opening day of the season. Mickleover's two wins this season have come against North Ferriby and Hednesford which pretty much sums up how good they are. The only danger for me is if Warrington allow their standards to drop after such a good win at the weekend, but they should win this and they should be shorter than a shade of odds on to do so. The treble pays 6.8/1 with BetVictor.
  15. 5 points
    darko08

    Tennis Tips - October 1 - October 7

    Last bet for today Shuai Zhang (+4.5) to beat Angelique Kerber at 1.83 with bet365 Im always a little bit scared when i make some kind of bet against the German but considering the oddss and how good has played Shuai Zhang the last matches i think this line can be covered. The Chinese has defeat Elise Mertens (6-1, 3-6, 6-3) in the 1st round and Timea Babos (6-1, 6-2) in the 2nd one. Like I said on a previous post Zhang is playing very solid, she's being aggressive, serving decently and doing well at the net. Kerber has not won 3 consecutive matches since Wimbledon so actually she's not doing well in hard courts. She won Mladenovic (6-2,6-2) int he 1st round and Carla Suárez in the 2nd one (7-6, 6-1). I really don't care too much about that because Mladenovic is only getting good results in doubles and Carla looks like losing the tiebreak mentally destroyed her. I have no doubts that Zhang will fight the match till the end especially considering that she's playing at home and the crowd will be with her so i don't expect any kind of "disconnection" from her like Carla had.
  16. 5 points
    money44

    Tennis Tips - October 1 - October 7

    Malek Jaziri to beat Alexander Zverev @ 7.5 with 5dimes Alexander Zverev was beaten convincingly by Kohlschreiber just 4-5 weeks ago at the U.S. open after winning the first set tiebreak 7 points to 1. This is unusual. Zverev is far more talented, and we are in a grandslam. Zverev I have also seen running with tape on his knee in the last couple months.. I have not seen many of his matches. But I'm pretty sure that top form is not there. Agut another player definitely not in his finest hour, and was up a break on Zverev in the first set in previous round. I don't believe this is a impressive result from Zverev opening round in Beijing. It doesn't tell us that much. I've seen tape on Jaziri in Beijing, and he looks to be healthy again. He also had some nice results in Chengdu winning twice in that tournament as an underdog vs Baghdatis, and again vs Mannarino before losing to Sousa in 3 sets.. In my opinion its impressive. If Jaziri finds his form .. his heavy shots will be hard for zverev to control for winners on the slower surface of Beijing. Match could go either way, even tho I believe the bookmaker odds is a fair price. The value of Jaziri winning for me is best value of all the betting options today men or women. I'm rating this atleast a 25% to win. so thats + 350 euro profit for every 4 bets like this @ stake 100 euro. Good luck guys, and hope to win and to place another high odds tip in the near future.. If I lose then you will not see me for awhile.. Take great care !!
  17. 5 points
    Kateryna Kozlova to beat Anna Karolina Schmiedlova at 1.78 with Pinnacle Still fancy her. Fernando Verdasco (vs. Daniel) + Alex De Minaur (vs. McDonald) at 1.80 with Bet365 I was a bit wary of both at the start of the tournament, but their first round performances were so convincing that I'm going to back them in a double. Daniel had more than enough problems against Ito and McDonald was lucky against Lacko, there shouldn't be any such free gifts here against stronger opposition.
  18. 5 points
    Dominika Cibulkova (-1.5 sets) to beat Simona Halep at 6.00 with bet365 Finally it may acctually be worth backing Dominika again after a long long time since she was worth backing. She's not as good anymore as she was back in 2016 but this matchup is clearly in favour of Dominika and Simona lost her last match in US open first round in straight sets to Kaia Kanepi and chances are that we might see the same thing happening here again. Dominika has won 4 matches against Simona and in all 4 matches she didn't drop a set and it was 3 on hardcourt and once on grass. Should be worth taking the risk of Dominika winning in two here.
  19. 5 points
    Qiang Wang to beat Maria Sakkari at 1.53 with Unibet Bernard Tomic to beat Bradley Klahn at 1.74 with Pinnacle Margarita Gasparyan (-3.5) to beat Sabina Sharipova at 1.72 with Bet365 Ekaterina Alexandrova to beat Ivana Jorovic at 1.80 with Bet365 Irina Begu to beat Kateryna Kozlova at 1.58 with Pinnacle Hello, it's me again, Mario, with five picks for the early rounds. Qiang Wang was in an amazing form last week and Chinese players tend to work really hard in home events, so I do fancy her against Sakkari. Tomic has finally found some footing, while Klahn is still way too unproven outside the US, so there's that. At 1.74, I'm definitely happy to have a shot. In Tashkent, I definitely fancy Begu and Alexandrova on quality terms. Finally, I've been waiting to back Gasparyan somewhere since seeing her in the US Open against Kerber and this looks like a good opportunity. She's a top 50 material when in form, while Sharipova is just below average.
  20. 5 points
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Ugo Humbert at 1.61 with Unibet Basilashvili a bit underrated once again I feel. The guy is seriously good, had a great match in the first round, and the only things that speak for Humbert are his youth and home conditions. He's got some serious talent, alright, but Nikoloz should be 1.40 here imo.
  21. 5 points
    Queens park manager gus McPherson away to st mirren. Edinburgh are on fire and don't concede many. Queen's struggle to score a lot of goals. 9/5 for Edinburgh is good value
  22. 5 points
    Shakhtar to beat Hoffenheim at 2.00 bet365 Shaktar are starting their consecutive journey in CL. The Ukrainians were able to get 3 home wins last year in their group and even achieved a prestigious win against Man City (even though the English team played with their reserves). This year the aim will be the same to get out of the group. This game is must win. Shakhtar don't have real competition in the local league and have 5 consecutive wins in the league. From the other side, Hoffenheim started unconvincing with 2 losses from 3 games in Bundesliga. In addition, the Germans have problems with injured and doubtful players. The total number reaches 10 players which most certainly will not play with Kevin Vogt, Lukas Rupp, Amiri, Denis Geiger and others. Hoffenheim are new to CL with last year playing in EL and finishing last in their group. Based on everything written, I see value in home win. GL
  23. 5 points
    Mihail Youzhny to beat Mirza Basic at 1.91 with Ladbrokes Donna Vekic to beat Sloane Stephens at 3.00 with Ladbrokes Belinda Bencic to beat Garbine Muguruza at 3.00 with Paddy Power Alexandra Krunic (-3.5) to beat Viktorija Golubic at 1.90 with Bet365 Daria Gavrilova (-3.5) to beat Kristyna Pliskova at 1.98 with Pinnacle Going for quite a few bets in the first round, let's see what happens. Mirza Basic was as dreadful as expected against Nishioka, so I'm going to go against him once again. I also didn't like Pliskova and Golubic last week, while Krunic and Gavrilova had many good results in Asia in the past and have the form books to win these matches as well. And now the underdogs - Sloane Stephens had a truly dreadful Asian run after a good US Open and I wouldn't be surprised to see something similar again with her not being too interested after a good season. Vekic isn't a bad player by any stretch of imagination and she's beaten Sloane before. Meanwhile, Muguruza has been rather poor in recent times, her performance against Muchova in the US Open was just lifeless, for example, while Bencic is keen on playing after yet another injury break. At 3.00, I'm willing to give both Vekic and Bencic a shot.
  24. 4 points
    Elias Ymer to beat Maximilian Marterer at 2.10 with Paddy Power The home conditions are the clincher for me here, as Ymer has nearly always been able to perform reasonably well in Sweden. Both guys are playing rather poorly these days, but I don't see what makes the home guy the underdog honestly - he's not that worse than Marterer overall and nearly all the different situational factors are working for him as well.
  25. 4 points
    richard-westwood

    Racing Chat - Sunday Oct 14th

    Crikey .....fill ya boots .....
  26. 4 points
    darko08

    Tennis Tips - October 8 - October 14

    Camila Giorgi to beat Alison Van Uytvanck at 1.72 with betfair I will be quick. I don’t like Alison, I see her as a player that if she doesn’t play with first serves she lost a lot of points. Today she has won because her first serves went in and also because Barbora did so many errors. Camila is a super aggressive player that can make blood of the second serves of Alison. Surprisingly, Camila is serving very well actually so I expect a victory from her here.
  27. 4 points
    BillyHills

    Naps - Sunday Oct 7th

    Arc 305 Longchamp Enable 11/10 bet365 Ive looked at this although I dont bet races abroad and cant come up with any serious challengers to the favourite Enable. I saw this horse in the flesh early last year at Chester and have followed her ever since, I never thought she would turn out this good. Very impressed with her comeback run and will be surprised if she doesnt get the job done.
  28. 4 points
    Never in doubt GIVE IT SOME TEDDY @ 20/1 Getting the hang of this big handicap lark
  29. 4 points
    BillyHills

    Naps - Friday Oct 5th

    150 Ascot Lush Life 7/1 Corals I was impressed by Lush Life when she won after a lay off at Chelmsford at the end of August, she took on a useful sort that day and got up in the last stride after looking booked for second. Next time out at Sandown I was a bit disappointed but looking back that form wasnt too bad, the winner has won again and the stiff finish just found her out maybe? Back to 7f here and William Buick booked so i'm expecting her to bounce back to form.
  30. 4 points
    Pretty sure the point of this forum is to give betting tips before the game, not to brag with them after.
  31. 4 points
    Stanislas Wawrinka to beat Denis Shapovalov at 1.80 with William Hill Early - and I think mistaken - odds that are worth taking. Shapovalov was a joke last week and his serve is getting progressively worse.
  32. 4 points
    Jimmy2shoes

    Latest Tables - September

    Big Congrats to Pete and Wiggo for taking home some wages and as per a massive Thanks to You BH for doing all the math Cheers
  33. 4 points
    Shapovalov to beat Chung at 1.67 with SportingBet I'm quite flummoxed by the price here, as Chung has not been the same player since his injury. He's been going out early in all tournaments since his return, while Shapovalov has been playing relatively well recently. Khachanov to beat Querrey at 1.60 with SportingBet Khachanov had a good run in the US Open, giving Nadal a good run for his money. He did lose to Warwrinka in St. Petersburg, although this was in two tie-breaks. I was initially impressed with Querrey earlier this week, but his loss to the one-dimensional Taylor Fritz suggests he is not at the level he needs to be to beat Khachanov, who will offer a much sterner test than Fritz did.
  34. 4 points
    Well done to thebestthere on the final leg win However the top 3 kept their grip on the overall podium, although with some shuffling around. Well done to Marek on the league crown again, with Andy leapfrogging over Ian in 2nd and 3rd places. Instructions for League Winners: 1st Marek76 £75 + PL Mug and Pen 2nd andybell66 £45 3rd ian309 £30 To claim please email team@punterslounge.com with the following:Subject: Poker League Message Content.PL Username: * PayPal Email: * Prize Amount/Position: £75 (1st) / £45 (2nd) / £30 (3rd) Winner (Marek76) - please also provide address for PL Mug & Pen to be sent Payments are normally processed together for all our monthly competitions around 14 days after the end of the month. Thank you to everyone who played this month. Regarding the PLO leg, I'm inclined to run this in alternate months, so we'll revert to all NLHE for October league and run a PLO leg again in Nov.
  35. 4 points
    black rabbit

    Racing Chat - Friday Sept 28th

    jazeel 5 15 newm 1/2 pt ew 12/1 p/p P/L account = + 113.25 pts [ 56 % return on bank since start in may 2018]
  36. 4 points
    Trends Selection 9/10 Aged 5 or lower We lose 1,15, 19, 25, 26, 28, 29, 34. 9/10 Ran within 50 days We lose, 11, 14, 22, 23, 26, 8/10 Rated 95 or higher We lose 35 7/10 Drawn in double figures We lose 4, 7, 17, 18, 27, 30. 16/21 Placed in first 4 last time We lose 6, 15, 19, 21. 15/21 Ran at least 4 times this season We lose 3, 9. 12/16 Won over 10f or more We lose 10, 12, 13, 16, 20, 24 Cant split numbers 2,5 and 8 Selections 1pt Pivoine 20/1 William Hill 1pt Alfarris 10/1 Paddy Power 1pt Wissahickon 11/1 Coral
  37. 4 points
    Happens all the time I'm afraid - that's tennis. If you think the contrast between Murray in the first round and Murray in the second round here was stark, it's nothing compared to Federer at the US Open - serene progress to the round of 16 followed by the worst display I've ever seen from him in defeat against Millman. A player some consider to be the greatest of all time produced these numbers - about 40% first serve percentage, about 10 double faults and about 70 unforced errors. I defy anyone to say they saw that coming.
  38. 4 points
  39. 4 points
    @losingpunter enters the Punters Lounge Tardis - I'm gonna miss that guy sooooo much!
  40. 4 points
    Considering I've never seen you post a decent pick I'd respect other members a bit more if I were you and maybe try to learn something.
  41. 4 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > September 22nd

    Hopefully we won't see a repeat of last Saturday again this season as it was a horrid afternoon. Eastbourne put in their worst performance of the season by a long way and to lose so heavily to a team with 10 men for so long was shocking. Anyway days like that happen in a season so hopefully this weekend I can be back in the money. The National League South/North sides enter the FA Cup this weekend and at this stage no one has priced up any of the matches yet. Should that change and should I fancy something then I will add to this post. It means only the National League has a full fixture list and there are 2 bets I like. Solihull Moors v Bromley Bromley have lost 3 games on the bounce now and they drew the game before so that is 4 without a win. To be fair they didn't play too badly against Salford last weekend and going down to 10 men would not have helped their cause. Manager Neil Smith didn't think it was a red card, but from what I saw on the highlights it seemed justified to me. They have played 5 games away from home and have picked up just two points. It could be argued as well that they have been slightly fortunate to get both as they were 2 down in both matches. Against Wrexham it was a 90th minute own goal and against Maidenhead they scored twice in injury time to pick up a draw. Their season so far has certainly backed up my pre-season thoughts that they would struggle to reach the heights of last season. Solihull on the other-hand have looked anything but relegation candidates, which they were short in the betting for. After 11 games they only sit outside of the play-offs on goal difference and although I had my doubts about Tim Flowers as a manager it is a case of so far so good. They were especially strong at home last season and that has carried on this time around. They are the only team to have beaten Wrexham this season and although they lost to Hartlepool 1-0 in their last home game there is nothing wrong with that give Hartlepool are yet to lose away from home. It might be a game of few goals given Solihull have scored 5 and conceded 3 at home so far this season, but they look in much better shape than their opponents and 29/25 with Marathon looks a good price about a home win. Sutton v Wrexham Sutton losing 4-0 to Boreham Wood on Tuesday night was one of the most surprising results of the season so far. Given Boreham Wood had only scored twice away from home prior to that and Sutton had on conceded twice twice at home it was not a scoreline anyone would have seen coming. It was Sutton's first loss of the season at home, but although they have beaten Salford at home this season, I do think they have generally been playing better away from home. It was interesting to read Paul Doswell's quotes after the draw against Halifax when he spoke about it being a poor game and that the players were struggling with the busy schedule. Given they have had to play an extra game than Wrexham that is not going to help them here. I really don't understand why Wrexham are as big as 14/5 with Bet365. The price is starting to go and I can see them going off no bigger than 2/1 come 3pm Saturday. Wrexham needed a goalscorer last season and they are now capable of scoring goals. They have 18 so far this season and they looked really good when beating Ebbsfleet 4-1 last Saturday. What is also big for them is the fact they have been really hard to score against and they have conceded just 5 times. They look genuine title contenders and although I do expect some sort of response from Sutton I think Werxham will have too much for them and the price looks massive. Solihull Moors 2.5pts @ 29/25 with Marathon Wrexham 2.5pts 14/5 with Bet365 FA Cup So Bet365 have priced up some of the FA Cup games. Why they have chosen these over the others I have no idea. BetVictor I think might be pricing more up, but I can't bet with them so haven't looked at what they have done. Acca Usually I avoid acca's, but the FA Cup does lend itself to them as you get some complete mis-matches. I have had a bit of success with them over the years and I have come up with a 7 team acca that pays just over 5/1 with Bet365. All the teams are at home apart from the first one Torquay. Lymington couldn't believe their luck when they drew Torquay and after beating Lydney in a replay they get their big day. This game is on the BBC website, but it really should be a one sided affair especially with Gary Johnson not wanting a bad result in just his 2nd game in charge. City Of Liverpool have only lost 1 league game, but it is hard to see them causing Chester too many problems. Chippenham should be able to see off Swindon Supermarine and unbeaten Chorley shouldn't have any issues getting past Leek. Hampton & Richmond are flying at the moment and face a poor side in Burgess Hill who have yet to win in the league this season. Kidderminster could easily put a few past Step 6 side Atherstone Town. Finally Wealdstone should have too much for Great Wakering Rovers. The other reason I like betting on the FA Cup is you get some big priced shocks, but nothing really appeals in this round so it will just be the acca. Torquay, Chester, Chippenham, Chorley, Hampton & Richmond, Kidderminster & Wealdstone 1pt acca @ 5.17/1 with Bet365
  42. 4 points
    Ramkumar Ramanathan to beat Jiri Vesely at 2.50 with bet365 Jiri has lost to no.419 Zsombor Piros in 5 sets on clay in Davis cup. Now he's up against a 23 year old indian qualifier ranked 136 who reached his first ATP final on grass in Newport this season. Jiri hasn't played good tennis in a long time and it looks like he'll run into big troubles again here with his bad form. An indian in asia on hard court could be a good combination so an upset could be possible. At least I think Ramkumars chances are better than the odds suggest. Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat Matteo Berrettini at 3.00 with bet365 The other indian playing in asia this week also looks like he's got better chances than the odds suggest. Prajnesh no.164 is older than Ramkumar and his ranking is not as good and he hasn't reached the same level of success through his career but he's got the game for hardcourt and could do some damage in this match. Prajnesh is 28 year old and also has qualified for his chance in the maindraw against this younger italian who just won the St. Petersburg doubles title with Fabio Fognini. The travel could be a problem for Matteo and that's the only reason I'm taking the qualifier but that could be enough.
  43. 4 points
    Results 2 winners each, good quality final Well done Corky, unlucky VT
  44. 4 points
    Snazzy jazzy wins easily ....190pts returned ....el quhwa 2nd
  45. 4 points
    No strong thoughts on the gold cup but have small e/w bets on Brian the snall e/w 40/1 & G-force 25/1 on the other hand in the silver cup im very Sweet on Bengali boys have had a decent e/w bet on Fahey horse who throws an apprentice on to to take a few lbs off also had a few quid e/w on Snazzy jazzy 18/1 who was a decent 2yo not been great this term yet but dropplng down the weights and plenty of cut in the ground will suit can eaisly see this one outrun its current form have also had a wee rfc on these 2.. Really like the Ayr and esp this meeting should really get my ass over there next year aint been over for a long time. Good Luck All
  46. 4 points
    Sugardaddyken

    Naps - Wednesday Sept 19th

    Knight Errant 4:20 Sandown Park 5/1 @ Bet365
  47. 4 points
    Reading (2.78 with betfair) to beat Norwich. The Norwich head coach Daniel Farke has just given an injury bulletin, and to say Norwich will be entering this match with an injury crisis is almost an understatement! Already, Norwich we’re without captain and best defender Grant Hanley. Along with important midfielders Thompson and McLean. Now, to add to that, Marshall is now sidelined, along with Pinto and Stiepermann who produced a great game on Saturday is a major doubt. However, the one big major blow is that of Onel Hernandez. If Player of the season was awarded now, he would win it by a landslide. He has been something of a revelation, and is now sidelined for the next 5 games with a hernia. Norwich will be going into this game with Reading with a real threadbare side, with teenagers (albeit decent) filling both full back spots, and real holes in midfield and no pace in attack. Reading have come off the back of an impressive win at Preston and represent cracking value at 2.78, which cannot be ignored imo.
  48. 4 points
    Barca v PSV: Probably the easiest to call, Barca and over 3.5 goals at 8/11 makes sense. PSV on fire in Dutch league but no comparison to La Liga but may contribute to the scoring, but Barca can score 4 anyway. Inter v Tottenham: Spurs loss of form and making costly mistakes is a bad sign going to the San Siro to lock horns with a ‘storied’ club from the past eager to test themselves at this level again. Keeping it simple with a draw no bet on Inter at around Evens. Club Brugge v B. Dortmund: Dortmund back in form and should win here despite Brugge killing it in the Belgian league, again chalk and cheese with the Bundesliga. 8/11 on Dortmund win. Galatasaray v Lokomotiv Moscow: Gala at a shade under Evens is the bet, with the wealth of experience at this level and the home advantage. Liverpool v PSG: Needs no explanation, two rampant attacks, btts and over 2.5 goals at 4/6 is a Nap/Lock. Monaco v Atletico Madrid: 8/11 for the away win as Monaco has lost many star players and Atletico are wiley old campaigners. Red Star Belgrade v Napoli: Odds a bit low on the away win, so not bet for me. Red Star an unknown quantity at this level and lack of supporters in the ground is another confounding variable. Schalke v Porto: Another tricky call, if pushed Btts at 3/4 might be a play. Ajax v AEK Athens: AEK have already dumped Celtic out but a rampant Ajax side with a mixture of youth and experience is a step too far so chancing -1.5 AH at 6/5. Shakhtar v Hoffenheim: Not the Shakhtar of old when they were super competitive at this level, makes this a tricky call. On balance no bet, even both teams to score is a bit short. Benfica v Bayern Munich: Bayern are built to challenge in this competition perennially and are strong enough to get the job done away to a Benfica side far from convincing lately, 4/9. Man City v Lyon: When Man City are motivated they can score for fun and Lyon are susceptible at the back whilst able to also contribute to the scoring so Man City and over 3.5 goals at around Evens. Real Madrid v Roma: Real live and breathe the Champions league and will again try to create history despite the loss of CR7. They will be focussed and too much for a Roma side leaky and inconsistent. -1.5 AH on Real at a shade under Evens. Valencia v Juventus: Again a side built for the champions league and destined to go very deep, will be too strong for a disappointing Valencia side, so straight win on Juve at 4/5. Viktoria Plzen v CSKA Moscow: A slight lean to the home side but too many unknowns so no bet. Young Boys v Man Utd: When focussed Utd are a decent team but more leaky at the back than recent seasons so a high scoring Young Boys team can get on the score sheet. Btts at 4/5 is therefore preferred to the Utd win (3/4).
  49. 3 points
    sorry guys, I never saw that coming
  50. 3 points
    Welcome to PL @darko08 and good luck! Your post looks absolutely fine to me!