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  1. 7 points
    BillyHills

    Latest Tables - March

    Final Table 50/1 shocker on the last day snatches it for Thebestthere Boulder, Luckypants and Pete1971 fill the places. Prizes: £80: Thebestthere £40: Boulder5111 £20: Luckypants £10: Pete1971 £30 Cup: Striker Can all winners send their PayPal addy, PL name and Prize being claimed to: team@punterslounge.com 7 days to claim, can take up to 14 days to reach your account ___________________________________________________ 26 players qualify for the Cup next month, 69 players entered overall and placed a total of 1302 selections, 21.6% strike rate and a total profit of £68. Well done to all and thanks for supporting the competition
  2. 7 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > March 24th

    So close to landing a massive price treble in midweek with Maidstone drawing in the end against Macclesfield although a 2nd injury time winner in two days was always going to be a tough ask. Results really are all over the place in the National League at the moment and it certainly pays to pick and choose what games to get involved with and even then not get too heavily involved unless there is very good reason for doing so. I do have one bet in the division this weekend, but the main ones yet again come from lower down the pyramid. Ebbsfleet v Maidenhead I just get the sense that Maidenhead are beginning to coast a little bit as we reach the tail end of the season. They don't really have anything to play for now as they can't reach the play-offs and they are a big price to end up in the bottom 4. A 1-1 draw against Boreham Wood was a fair result, but they were poor last Saturday when losing to Barrow as they were the Saturday before when losing 7-1 at Gatsehead. Indeed in their last 10 away games they have only beaten Hartlepool and Guiseley which doesn't say an awful lot. Ebbsfleet haven't played for two weeks so certainly no excuse about them having tired legs and they won 4 on the bounce prior to a 1-1 draw against Leyton Orient. They do have the odd blip at home and defeat to Chester and a 3-0 loss to Boreham Wood weren't great, but otherwise they have been hard to beat. They still have a chance of the play-offs so have plenty to play for unlike their opposition. I think the home side should be a shade of odds on here so 13/10 with Marathon makes plenty of appeal. FCUM v Bradford Park Avenue The home side look a massive price here. I have written a few times about FCUM's great home form and their last 10 home games record reads won 7 drawn 2 and lost 1, That is impressive especially for a team who are in a relegation battle. It is their away form that has been the big problem, but their home should see them safe. They have played 2 games more than their opponents here, but they are actually only 4 points below them in the table which shows how congested it is. Bradford haven't won in 5 now and that includes a defeat to bottom side North Ferriby. They have won just once in their last 10 games. You get the sense after over achieving for most of the season that they are getting close to where they should be in the table. I think the home side should be favourites so the fact they can be backed at 85/40 with Marathon makes them a good bet. Southport v Alfreton Southport aren't quite odds against this week as the bookies are slowly catching up with their form. Another 3-0 win against AFC Telford last Tuesday means they have now scored 3 goals in their last 5 games and have conceded just once as well. That is impressive form and I think they can continue that run against a struggling Alfreton side who were pretty poor when losing to AFC Telford on Tuesday night. With Southport having had a near two week break that should mean they are fresher than Alfreton as well. Regular readers will know I don't often tip up odds on shots but at Marathon's 17/20 I think they offer plenty of value still. Whilst I was writing the previews it was announced that Ross Hannah is joining Southport on loan until the end of the season and that is a plus for me. Hemel Hempstead v Gloucester City I am going to back my own side on Saturday and it is a game I am going to as well. Hemel have threatened to play a part in the title race all season, but that has realistically gone now and they have to concentrate on finishing in the play-off places. That could be easier said than done because they have only won one of their last 6 games and they have blown leading positions against Chelmsford and Dartford. Now Chelsmford are 6th and Dartford 2nd so a Gloucester side in 12th place should be an easier test. But Gloucester are the form side in the division right now. They have only lost once in their last 9 and that came against top side Havant when they only had 10 men and even then they were unlucky to lose. Given issues off the field and the fact it looked like we were going to be fighting for relegation at the turn of the year it is quite staggering that we even have half an eye on the play-offs. Granted Hemel don't lose at home all that often, but they have lost to Poole and Hungerford in their last 5 home games so they have been fair from bomb proof of late. Gloucester are nearly 3/1 with Marathon which looks big to me as I think we should be around the 2/1 mark. Lowestoft v Burgess Hill Backing a side who have only picked up 1 point in their last 9 games is hardly something you would expect me to do and usually it would be a crazy thing to do, but I have to take Lowestoft on again. Burgess Hill are bottom and a bit detached although they do have games in hand and this really is a must win if they want to survive. These are clearly two bad teams, but the bookies still haven't caught up with the problems at Lowestoft and at 16/5 with BetVictor the away side have to be worth a punt as they shouldn't be that price. Ebbsfleet 1.5pts @ 13/10 with Marathon FCUM 2pts @ 85/40 with Marathon Southport 4pts @ 17/20 with Marathon Gloucester 1pt @ 72/25 with Marathon Burgess Hill 1pt @ 16/5 with BetVictor
  3. 6 points
    silver fox

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    3.05 Huntingdon: Clondaw Westie @ 4/1 (Bet365).
  4. 6 points
    Boulder5111

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    H2.00 Sparkleandshine e/w 40/1 Ladbrokes
  5. 5 points
    Examiner wins in photo ...but win is win!!@
  6. 5 points
    Bubbles180

    SPREADSHEETS

    Well your acrually wrong their if you go through and check the spreadsheet the prices advised are on the sheet and the return column will show the higher return if the selection drifted but leaves the original SP in the price column, trust me my stats are 100% correct and i check them all the time. So as you seem to be a disbeliever of not just my stats and you seem to not want my help i will finish my conversation with you here, im just a punter and member like you and was trying to help new people to this site and betting in general with 30+ years of experience, but now im feed up with the bullshit, so I shall just sit here in my villa in the sun in Tenerife watching you muppets fail while us experienced punters make money
  7. 5 points
    BillyHills

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    355 Taunton Sir Egbert 7/1 bet365 A speculative nap for a weak Monday, no AW racing for a change at least! Not shown too much but you don't have to look too hard to see Sir Egbert has a bit of potential going forward. I just think if he's going make his mark over hurdles then taking on this company off this mark looks a very good opportunity and comes from a shrewd operation. Sound EW bet at the prices.
  8. 5 points
    CarlosMc

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    3.05: Huntingdon: Clondaw Westie: Win @ 5.0 4/1 Bet365
  9. 5 points
    Xtc12

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    16.10 Huntingdon - Minella Whisper - 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 Bet365
  10. 5 points
  11. 5 points
    Wolv 6.00 Arlechinos leap..329 Tellovoi 324 Scribner creek . 324 Close race ....comes down to value really ...scribner creek sets a good standard and could win this but at 7/2 He's poor value against the 6.4 and 20.0 of the other two ...so I'll take him on and hope the biggy springs a shock Arlechinos leap 5ptsxwin 6.4 Betfair Tellovoi 5pts win 20.0 Betfair
  12. 5 points
    First online sat I've played this year and won $315 ticket!
  13. 4 points
    CzechPunter

    April 16 - April 22

    Borna Coric to beat Novak Djokovic at 3.25 with Bet365 Marco Cecchinato to beat Milos Raonic at 3.50 with Bet365 Daniil Medvedev to beat Kei Nishikori at 3.50 with Bet365 I think that we could definitely see some big upsets in Monte Carlo tomorrow, with Djokovic/Raonic/Nishikori all looking a bit overrated to me at the moment. In the previous round, Raonic didn't seem to be in any condition to play against top opposition on clay, Nishikori won only because Berdych completely (and hilariously) self-destructed, and Djokovic wasn't that great against Lajovic no matter what the scoreline says. All three bets can end like the bet on Oliveira, of course, but I like the odds way too much to let go. One win for a profit, two for a celebration!
  14. 4 points
    Xtc12

    Conflict Cup

    1st @ 11\8 - Held up towards rear, headway on outside over 2f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, ran on under pressure to lead close home 1st @ 6\4 - Led, headed 5th, regained lead at 9th, made rest, slight mistake 3 out, pushed along before last, stayed on well run-in, comfortably ** First Double in a while
  15. 4 points
    Day 3 Finally, back in the winners enclosure Thanks to everyone who supported the comp. Prizes £60: Billyhills £25: Striker £15: Daveg Can all winners send PayPal details, PL name, Prize won to; team@punterslounge.com *Any errors please report asap.
  16. 4 points
    Right again, winner scoring 99.
  17. 4 points
    CzechPunter

    April 9 - April 15

    I must admit that I do like Ouahab as a player, but he's not exactly athletic these days.
  18. 4 points
    Sir Puntalot

    SPREADSHEETS

    I'm sitting in my mansion with a racetrack running around it and a substantial amount of eastern european poledancers on demand, life is sooooooo good....
  19. 4 points
    2018 Aintree Tipsters Competition We shall be running a tipsters competition for the Aintree 3-day meeting starting on April 12th The winner and two runners up will receive cash prizes. Please find all the rules below. I will put up the selection threads each day and the table each evening. Anyone wanting to enter in advance due to lack of access let me know via PM. No need to register, just turn up on the day Rules: 1 selection per race throughout the 3 days at Aintree Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over 4 days wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account. No edits allowed in selection posts No losses incurred for losers or Non Runners Replacement selections for NR's can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter all 3 days (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leaderboard posted each evening All welcome No need to register
  20. 4 points
    The second highest Placepot dividend was returned on Thursday at Wolverhampton , the £81,874 being eclipsed only by the £91,774 declared at Cheltenham on December 11, 2015. Not a single favourite managed to reach the places in the half dozen races on which the Placepot operated at Cheltenham that day, and while that was not the case at Wolverhampton – two outright market leaders won and a joint-favourite was placed – turnover was boosted by the meeting being the only afternoon card on offer, with Warwick and Musselburgh having been victims of waterlogging. The massive Wolverhampton dividend was won to only 65p, so there will be a £28,655 carryover to Lingfield on Friday. Four punters were celebrating, with three winning £16,374 for 20p lines, and the other £4,093 for a 5p line. All-time top Placepot dividends £91,774 Cheltenham, December 11, 2015 £81,874 Wolverhampton, April 5, 2018 £63,284 Newmarket, October 3, 2003.
  21. 4 points
    Valiant Thor

    Profitable rates of return

    Yes Think of it like a PAYG mobile theres no point to use it (from the 50pt bank) if you already have enough credit in to pay for the call (profit), If I make 20 calls (bets) if I'm in credit (profit > 20) why would I need to top up(from the 50pts) It should actually read losing all my bank in 1 losing run is 1mill to 1. Purely due to laziness I stated that this is derived from my current ave sr Unfortunately not having the foresight of Nostradamus I couldn't know what my sr would be post 2010 ,so the bank of 50 pts was actually derived from my pre 2010 lowest sr of 24% and Ive always left it at that, the reason that I used my lowest sr instead of the average sr was purely as an extra safety net. There is always the probability of several losing runs combined causing a black swan effect although probable, highly unlikely that the sr will deviate that far from the mean due to the amount of bets per season (ave 470) being nowhere near the million mark. log 470/-log(1-.33) = 15 losing runs How do I come about the 50pts.... (6/-log(1-0.24)) = 6/-log(0.76) = 6/0.119 = 50.34 = 50 rounded to 1pt 6 = log of 1million 1-0.24 = 0.76 the losing sr why -log?, if we log less than 1 (which we are, as your logging a %age as a decimal) we get a negative number ,so by doing -log we get a positive number. I wouldnt say I'm more knowledgeable than than the next man about racing in fact far from it most probably worse than the average Joe Public , its just Ive put the hours in over time found something that works for me at this moment and stuck to that ,I just play a numbers game, its boring, repetitive and actually takes the gloss off even bothering to watch racing now I don't bet on anything other than my statistical selections anymore.(horse racing wise) I was planning to retire in 2020 but it might be this year if they cant get my knee sorted out soon its been around 6 months now ,they've done some 'keyhole surgery' on it (the doc must live in a f*ckin castle if the hole in my knee is his idea of a keyhole ) but all thats done is cause an infection now so its worse than it was before ,thats bye the bye, Im hoping for a good year this year if the rain can stay away I might need it.
  22. 4 points
    Pleased to have won a very competitive league although I had a lot of luck.Please excuse me for not chatting during the games this is due to me multi tabling and needing to concentrate as I am not as young as I used to be.
  23. 4 points
    Well done to muttley who wins tonight and leapfrogs into 2nd place in the final table. Yet another podium finish for thebestthere secures the champions spot with Vince managing to hold off all opposition to take 3rd place. Well done winners and to all who played this month and made it such a competitive and entertaining league.
  24. 4 points
    1945harry

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    16:20 Market Rasen, Must Havea Flutter, 11/10 WH.
  25. 4 points
    Sugardaddyken

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    Royal Act 3:25 Taunton 10/3 @ Hills
  26. 4 points
    Rainbow

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    1.30 Huntingdon PETRONELLA MANNERS 0.5pts EW 66/1 William Hill BOG
  27. 4 points
    Costello

    Naps : Monday Mar 26th

    Market Rasen 3.45 On A Promise @ 4-1 Bet365
  28. 4 points
    CzechPunter

    March 19 - April 1

    Pablo Carreno-Busta to beat Steve Johnson at 2.00 with Paddy Power The Miami conditions don't look all that fast to me, which should hand PCB the advantage in this match-up. Both players are now starting to get back into some form, but PCB's dominance in rallies should be the key here. 1.80 would be my odds. Denis Shapovalov to beat Sam Querrey at 2.12 with Unibet Based on what I saw from Querrey in his match against Albot, I simply have to side with Shapovalov, who should be fine unless he breaks himself too many times. Querrey doesn't have the defensive weapons that are needed to deal with the Canadian's winners, so he'll have to rely on serving well, which is something that he wasn't really able to do against Albot. At odds against, Shapovalov has to be the play here.
  29. 4 points
    Drifts to 11/1 And still wins .....and ground was against him too .....good performance
  30. 4 points
    richard-westwood

    Racing Chat - Sunday March 25th

    335 donc Naadir 289 Quick look 285 Justanotgerbottle 279 Very tricky race ....lots in with chances on old form and naadir really wants the ground to dry slightly. But with strong ratings and decent prices ...top 2 worth a small bet Naadir 2pts win 15/2 pp Quick look 2pts win 12/1 pp
  31. 4 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > March 20th/21st

    I was certainly glad I avoided getting involved in the National League on Saturday as pretty much every result was near on impossible to pick. My 3 picks were all off and hopefully now we are over the last of the wet/cold weather as plenty of teams still have a large amount of games to fit in. I have 3 bets for tonight and tomorrow. Maidstone v Macclesfield This game was called off a couple of weeks when I put up Macclesfield as the bet. Things have changed since though and I am now making Maidstone a bet. The home side have finally managed to win a game of football when they beat Torquay and not only that they managed to follow that up with another victory at the weekend. That win was an impressive one against Macclesfield's title challengers Sutton and that should give them plenty of confidence heading into this game. Macclesfield lost at the weekend to Dover and I think this is a trickier game than it looked a couple of weeks ago. Apparently Macclesfield are under a transfer embargo at the moment and you have to wonder how on earth they can even afford to be in League 2 if they do win promotion. Marathon go 19/10 about a home win on Wednesday night. Lowestoft v Dulwich Needless to say I am having another attempt at taking on Lowestoft. It seems like this game will go ahead and now Dulwich have found their scoring boots again, it is hard to see anything but a comfortable win for Dulwich. Dulwich went back to the top of the table on Sunday when beating Worthing 3-0 and as much as they are unlikely to pip Billericay to the title, it is important they finish 2nd to have home advantage come the play-offs. The only slight concern is Dulwich played on Sunday whereas its been over a week since Lowestoft last played, but Dulwich are a much better side and they should be able to overcome that. Skybet go 7/4 for Dulwich to cover the -1 handicap. Nantwich v Stalybridge Stalybridge have only won 3 away games all season, but those 3 have come in their last 4 games. Also when you look at the opposition they have beaten it is hard to believe they went so long before winning away. First up they beat 2nd place Warrington and then Workington before on Saturday shocking leaders Altrincham. Their form overall at the moment is superb having lost just twice in their last ten matches, a run which has seem move well away from the one relegation spot. Nantwich have lost 4 of their last 6 games and have lost more at home than they have won. Given Stalybridge's form at the moment it is very hard to understand why they are 119/50 with Marathon to win the game and it looks a cracking bet. Maidstone 1pt @ 19/10 Marathon Dulwich -1 2pts @ 7/4 with Skybet Stalybridge 2pts @ 119/50 with Marathon
  32. 4 points
    And the 2nd sat I won another $315 ticket! #easygame
  33. 4 points
    CzechPunter

    March 19 - April 1

    P.Kypson/C.Norrie - Over 18.5 games at 1.90 with Bet365 Kypson is one of the more promising American youngsters, with a nice win against Smyczek yesterday, should keep things at least tight honestly. Norrie is going to beat him I reckon, but not without a fight, especially if Kypson gets his serve going well.
  34. 3 points
  35. 3 points
  36. 3 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > April 14th

    Good to be back among the profits on Tuesday night and there are just two weeks left of the season now although some sides still have 6 games still to play! I am going to take it fairly steady tomorrow although I have found 4 bets worth having. Boston v Bradford Park Avenue I am avoiding the National League this weekend as there didn't seem to be a great deal of value so straight into the National League North and I like the home side here. Boston's home form has been really strong and they have just the one defeat at home in their last 10. Bradford have only won twice in their last 10 games and won none of their last 7 away matches. Their season has very much petered out after a good first half and Boston look in better nick at the moment. Marathon's 53/50 is worth taking. FCUM v Darlington Darlington's good run of form has come to a bit of a halt as their only win in their last 4 matches was against bottom side North Ferriby. Regular readers will know how strong FCUM's home form is and they even managed to win away last week. I am more than happy to back them at home again especially as they look over priced at 179/100 with Marathon. Shaw Lane v Lancaster In the Evo-Stik Northern Premier I am going to take on the home side here. They did manage to win on Thursday in what turned out to be an away game as they were forced to switch the game to Stalybridge. They hadn't been in great form themselves so I am not reading too much into the fact Shaw Lane won. They have had such a busy schedule and have lost the vast majority in that spell as well. Granted Lancaster are hardly flying themselves, but they did have a cracking 3-1 win over Grantham on Tuesday night and they haven't played as many matches as Shaw Lane and I think that will make the difference. They are certainly worth taking a chance on at BetVictor's 27/10. Staines v Margate Margate have become the draw specialists as they drew 6 on the bounce. They did win again last week, but lost on Tuesday night. Even so I think they have the edge here as Staines have been very busy this week. First off they lost to Leatherhead on Saturday, Monday they lost 5-3 to Billericay and then on Thursday they were involved in a thrilling 4-4 draw with Folkestone. Those run of games against opponents in the promotion hunt most have left its mark and there is every chance this 4th game on the bounce with a promotion hopeful will be a match too far. Margate's 17/10 with BetVictor is worth taking. Boston 2pts @ 53/50 with Marathon FCUM 1pt @ 179/100 with Marthon Lancaster 1pt @ 27/10 with BetVictor Margate 1pt @ 17/10 with BetVictor
  37. 3 points
    hi everyone, For the round I will give 4 predictions, which I also support by betting the same way: Tottenham City - X; yes it will be very disputed and frankly can go either way. But X is one chance from which you get more value (odds 3.5). Probably it will be 2-2, I expect at least 3 goals in this game Burnley - Leicester X. Teams are too alike, so a draw is very probable Southampton Chelsea 2. Both are played from bad too worse currently, but Southampton has failed a lot at home, this season. I conclude, they will fail one more time Crystal Brighton 1. It will be a close game, but Crystal have the edge. Better form, twice the goals Brigton scored this season in this setup (Crystal playing at home, and Brighton Away) Last round I did 1 mistake while predicting the 10 games, but managed to get a close to 2% profit. This time, I am targeting for 60%
  38. 3 points
    Interesting topic. As BH and Valiant Thor have both said, your suggested staking is counter intuitive to what should be bet. The stake (if you wanted to increase/decrease based on price) should be bigger at the shorter odds where the market price suggests the horse would have a better win ratio. If your own betting history suggests your winners are coming in more at the bigger odds, then by all means, increase your stakes here but at a very much reduced level to your suggested stakes. 12/1 shots have the chance of producing losing runs of 70 or more over as small a sample size as 200 bets, so your betting bank size would need to accomodate this potential losing run (ie 70 x 12pts = 840pts bankl), but preferably bigger as two or more such losing runs could come together. Suggestions - Stick with level staking/variable profits. (best choice) Try level profits/variable stakes. Define the profit you want from each bet, then divide the required profit by the odds available to arrive at the stake. E.g. Required profit = 10pts per bet odds =3/1 Stake is profit/odds or 10 / 3/1 (3) = 3.33pts odds = 15/2 Stake is 10 / 15/2 (7.5) = 1.33pts Try 1/2/3 points staking. Where - 1pt is bet on what you consider to be weak bets. 2pts are bet on what you consider to be your medium bets. 3pts ors bet on what you consider to be your strongest bets. Valiant Thor also alluded to the long odd/short odds bias regarding SP's, so here are the last ten years bookmaker SP's showing what he means in table format. Odds - show the returned SP's Required SR - show the returned SP's as a probability Runners/winners are the number of runners/winners at the returned odds (10 years). Actual SR - show the probability of the actual results (i.e. winners / runners) Difference - show actual SR - required SR, (if red then those returned SP's would show a loss) Bookmakers typically make their best profits at the longer odds, hence increasing the stake on those longer odds selections would be detrimental (imo).
  39. 3 points
    Apologies to muttley for breaking his hattrick, I see the deposit-boom, withdraw-doom gods are still in play. Well played everyone, enjoyed your company as always.
  40. 3 points
  41. 3 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > April 7th

    The weather has caused all sorts of problems and the fact the worst of it has hit late into the season means lots of clubs are having to play Saturday, Tuesday, Thursday at the moment and in the next couple of weeks there are going to be some tired legs out there. Its going to be hard as a punter to try and keep up with when games are taking place and who has played when, but hopefully there will be money to be made. AFC Fylde v Sutton Fair play to Sutton boss Paul Doswell as after the loss to Bromley on Monday he admitted Sutton can no longer win the title. To be fair I am not sure he will be all that bothered. He knows that going up will hurt the club given they will have to replace their 3g pitch and although if it happened they will do it, reading between the lines it seems to me that the club hope it doesn't happen. They looked a side who had run out of steam on Monday and really struggled against a Bromley side who deservedly won the game. They now have to travel to a Fylde side who have almost been unstoppable at home. It is worth pointing out that they have beaten Tranmere 5-2, Macclesfield 6-0 and Aldershot 7-1 at home since the turn of the year. They have only lost 3 games at home all season and since the turn of the year they have played 11 home games and Leyton Orient were the only team to beat them. They are in with a real chance of getting into the play-offs at the first time of asking, but even if they don't go up this year they are already on my radar for next season's title. To me Sutton are there for the taking and Fylde are more than good enough to take full advantage. They look a fair bet at 129/100 with Marathon. Southport v Nuneaton Although Southport's defeat against Alfreton was a costly one for us I am happy to back them again here. After that Alfreton game they lost 3-2 to York, but that was still a decent effort. Both their games over Easter were called off so they have had a week and a half without a game which is no bad thing. I am happy to take on Nuneaton despite the fact they have only lost once in their last 10 games.The important thing for me though is the improvement came under Dino Maamria, but since he has gone to Stevenage performances have definitely become worse. Their last 3 games have seen them draw with North Ferriby, lose to Leamington and draw with Alfreton in a game which was low on quality. Southport for me have the clear edge in this and I am happy to take the even money with Betway. Truro v East Thurrock The home side are looking to keep themselves in the play-offs and they look a big price here to pick up another 3 points. They had won 4 games on the bounce prior to a thrilling 3-3 draw with Hemel on Good Friday. Hemel took the lead 3 times and Truro's 3rd came in the 94th minute. East Thurrock on the other hand have only won twice in their last ten games and they came against Bognor who are all but relegated and Concord who are in a relegation battle. They have nothing left to play for now and for me the home side should be odds on so Marathon's 29/25 makes plenty of appeal. Banbury v Biggleswade So the weather beat us when trying to oppose Biggleswade on Wednesday night, but we get another chance on Saturday. The story took another twist though when the goalkeeper who was meant to have been in Poland was actually still in England and has never even been to Poland. He had played for them in pre season, but he doesn't actually want to play for them which is a little surprising given he now has a bit of fame. The league may allow them to sign an emergency keeper but I would be surprised if that did happen to be honest. Even if they did Banbury should win anyway and in their last 10 games Hereford are the only team who have beaten them. They score plenty of goals as well so they should put whoever plays in goal under plenty of pressure. The -1 is 11/10 with a handful of bookies and hopefully we might see a few more price it up. AFC Fylde 2pts @ 129/100 with Marathon Southport 2pts @ Evs with Betway Truro 3pts @ 29/25 with Marathon Banbury -1 4pts @ 11/10 with Skybet/BetVictory/Betbright
  42. 3 points
    bluemal

    Naps: Saturday April 7th

    Kelso 2:25 Keyboard Gangster @ 20/1 bet365 e/w thanks Keyboard Gangster.....from Donald Whillans yard the 7yo has been a winner of a hurdle race at 2m on heavy ground so conditions will not be a problem , He runs in his first Handicap Hurdle off a mark 130 and yard are having the hood on for first time along with the tongue strap he's had in last three race, Jockey Callum Whillans claiming 3lbs has been in saddle all five races he's ran and in saddle today
  43. 3 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > April 2nd

    A small profit made thanks to Hartlepool on Good Friday which when you tip up a few at big prices is certainly the most you can hope for and anything after that is very much a bonus. The weather is set to be pretty awful on Monday so we may well lose matches or even see abandoned matches like the Dulwich game I went to on Friday afternoon which shouldn't even have started. At the moment I have 3 bets although more maybe added Sunday night/Monday morning. Torquay v Woking A relegation 6 pointer and the home side have given themselves half a chance of staying up after a win at Chester on Friday. That came off the back of a win against Leyton Orient and a draw at Solihull. They are 7 points from safety and 10 points behind Woking, but they have a game in hand over them and they are certainly in better form than Woking at the moment. Woking have picked up just 2 points in their last 8 games and although they were a bit unlucky not to get a point against Macclesfield on Friday their two draws came against teams in the play-offs at the moment Boreham Wood and Wrexham. That tends to suggest they up their game against the better sides, but then play poorly against the teams they need to be picking up points against. Their away form has also been shocking this season and they have won just 3 on their travels the last of which came back on October 3rd at Chester. Now Torquay have only won 3 at home, but at least in their last 8 games at home they have won 2 drawn 2 and lost 4 so their is more promise there. They were also unfortunate to lose to Sutton in their last home game. That last minute winner from Macclesfield would have been heartbreaking for them and with Torquay having a comfortable afternoon at Chester I think they look a good bet to win this. Marathon go 67/50 about a home win. FCUM v York I wrote about FCUM's home form when tipping them up to beat Bradford in their last home game and they duly won 4-0 although Bradford did end up with just 9 men on the pitch. Even so you can't not be impressed by FCUM's home record which is the complete opposite of their away form and they lost again on Saturday on their travels. York should get themselves into the play-offs, but they have been so inconsistent especially for the squad they have. They have only won 3 of their last 10 games and away from home they have picked up just one point in their last 4 which came at struggling Tamworth. This game has been priced up by the odds compilers just looking at the league table and not by taking into account how strong FCUM have been at home. There is no way they should be as big as 23/10 (Marathon) to pick up another 3 points at home. Stourbridge v Stafford Stourbridge are another side who have had a very busy schedule in the Evo-Stik Northern Premier and have played 7 games since March 13th. They have won just two of those as well and have had a pretty disappointing season given they were one of the fancied sides pre-season. Stafford have been in good form and suffered their first loss in 8 games on Saturday when losing to Grantham. They should be fresher going into this game as they have played 2 games less than their hosts since March 13th and that along with the respective form of both teams make the away side a bet at 111/50 (Marathon) for me. Torquay 2.5pts @ 67/50 with Marathon FCUM 1pt @ 23/10 with Marathon Stafford 1pt @ 111/50 with Marathon
  44. 3 points
    A chap elsewhere came up with this method last year which I followed: I haven't had chance to do anything with it yet this year. Each trend met, you score that number of points out of 11, so the maximum score is 99. If the trend is not met on the 10/11, you score 1 If the trend is not met on the 9/11, you score 2 The theory was that the trends & scoring are based only on the few years since the major changes to the race were made & was based on winners & close finishers (within 10 lengths of the winner) in those years. Taking only those scoring 90 points or more, it got 6 of the first 7 home at the first attempt last year! Aged between 8 and 11 years old: 11/11 Best RPR during last 12 months of at least 5 lbs higher than current Official Rating: 10/11 Best RPR during past 12 months within last 3 starts over fences: 10/11 Weight Carried between 10.03 and 11.03: 10/11 Won a chase over at least 3 miles and 1/2 furlong: 10/11 Placed in a chase over at least 3 miles and 2 furlongs: 10/11 Previously won no more than 5 times over fences: 10/11 Previously won a chase worth £/€ 31 k, or placed in a chase worth at least £/€ 51 k: 10/11 Last ran between 22 and 49 days prior to this race: 9/11 Previously recorded no more than 1 fall/unseated rider non completion over fences: 9/11 Last year's ratings: The Last Samuri: 90 pts More Of That: 72 ptsShantou Flyer: 52 ptsPerfect Candidate: 74 ptsSaphir Du Rheu: 74 ptsRoi De Francs: 65 ptsWounded Warrior: 81 ptsWonderful Charm: 72 ptsTenor Nivernais: 83 ptsBLAKLION: 99 pts Drop Out Joe: 83 ptsLe Mercurey: 61 ptsThe Young Master: 81 ptsCAUSE OF CAUSES: 99 pts Regal Encore: 74 ptsVIEUX LION ROUGE: 99 pts Definitly Red: 92 pts Ucello Conti: 74 ptsDouble Shuffle: 79 ptsHoublon Des Obeaux: 67 ptsPleasant Company: 81 ptsOne For Arthur: 92 pts Ballynagour: 58 ptsO'Faolains Boy: 74 ptsHighland Lodge: 92 pts Bishops Road: 85 ptsLord Windermere: 90 pts Saint Are: 83 ptsVincente: 83 ptsJUST A PAR: 99 pts Measureofmydreams: 90 pts Raz De Maree: 79 ptsStellar Notion: 56 ptsRogue Angel: 76 ptsCocktails At Dawn: 56 ptsThunder And Roses: 92 pts Gas Line Boy: 92 pts Goodtoknow: 79 ptsLa Vaticane: 72 ptsDoctor Harper: 72 pts And the years that were used for the data were back scored: 2016 1. RULE THE WORLD: 90 pts2. The Last Samuri: 99 pts2015 1. MANY CLOUDS: 90 pts2. Saint Are: 76 pts3. Monbeg Dude: 99 pts2014 1. PINEAU DE RE: 90 pts2. Balthazar King: 90 pts3. Double Seven: 90 pts2013 1. AURORAS ENCORE: 83 pts2. Cappa Bleu: 92 pts3. Teaforthree: 99 pts If anybody wants to crack on before I find the time feel free as things are quite hectic at the moment.
  45. 3 points
    Norwich v Fulham (2) @ 2.25 Mansfield v Acc Stanley (2) @ 3.4 Wigan v Oldham (1) @ 1.4 30pts win treble please.
  46. 3 points
    Woodysway

    Naps : Wednesday March 28th

    Newcastle 8.45 Pea Shooter 0.5 pts e/w 12/1 PP
  47. 3 points
    Well if its trumpet blowing time But If I was a win bet on Addeybb and ew savers on Via Via & Repercussions at 33/1 and 20/1 Oh and Lord Glitters came second @ 37.40 ex & 25.81 csf
  48. 3 points
    bluemal

    Naps : Thursday March 22nd

    CHEPSTOW 4:00 Looks Like Power @ 11/1 bet365 e/w thanks Looks Like Power....from Debra Hamer the 8yo has been successful in a hurdle race and a chase at 2m on good and heavy ground, he's had 196 days break before yard gave him his first of two runs this season in December last year when did well to finish 2nd here over 2m 3.5f heavy in a handicap chase beaten 5 lengths a good show after long break , His other race came 65 days ago at Hereford 2m 3f soft again a place finish 3rd beaten 8 lengths but jockey Trevor Whelan was hampered and lost his irons didn't help as dropped back to 4th at last but fought back in run in, The yard up the distance to 2m 7.5f for the first time although did 2m 5.5f before and found a place and with only two runs this season should still be fresh and bit more fitter only stamina is a question.
  49. 3 points
    The Guinness Book of Records phoned me up tonight. They say that when I busted out of the PL tourney in the first level last week, AIPF with my KK v Andy Bell's AA, after he had raised 12 hands in a row from the start of the tourney, I drew level with the World Record Holder for the highest number of sick beats combined with the highest number of comedy bust-outs in the history of poker. How I laughed when I busted with AK v AQ.... JJ v JT,....TT v 99, the list is endless. So do your worst Punter's Loungers... tomorrow night you have the opportunity to cement my place in the Guinness Book of Records poker history... it doesn't matter that you are only 5% to win the pot... you will win... just ship it !
  50. 3 points
    CzechPunter

    March 19 - April 1

    Katie Boulter (+5.5) to beat Taylor Townsend at 1.92 with Marathonbet Boulter managed to beat Townsend 6-3 7-5 not that long ago in Rancho Santa Fe ITF. Townsend has managed to get some good results since then while Boulter hasn't, but I'm not sure that this line is completely correct nonetheless, I'd have it at +4 or even +3.5 honestly. Townsend hits well and has all the power in the world, but her movement can get exposed by players that are agile enough to defend for a while - and Boulter can certainly do that.