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  1. 8 points
    opole

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    Matteo Berrettini 2.910 Pinnacle 4/10 So we do trust Kyrgios again only because it's grass court tennis now? No, man, i do not trust him for 1% even if it's grass in Australia in front of his house. Kyrgios is a joke and i really love to fade him right now as he's looking like a mental nutcase who is also struggling with physical issues left and right. Berrettini is a guy who is always reliable as he is delivering solid performances and he has the tools to play well on grass. His serve is big and he has crushing groundstrokes. At some point Kyrgios might quit again. If not it's still close matchup. Shelby Rogers -1.5 games 2.03 Dafabet 4/10 Rogers looked incredible good recently considering the fact she is coming back from long injury layoff. She won sets vs. Suarez Navarro, Garcia and Ostapenko during her first comeback trail on clay and now she's playing on grass where she had some solid success in the past (R3 in Wimbledon, should have beaten Kerber there but lost close match in the third). On the other hand Sorribes Tormo finished her match vs. Zidansek in Bol late Sunday evening. She caught a flight from Split to the UK on Monday but there is no direct flight so she had at least one stop and might arrived in Nottingham late in the evening, a couple of hours ago. I doubt she could hit on grass as weather was really bad in Nottingham. The whole week shows tough weather conditions and it'll be tough for her to get any match practice on grass before she has to play the match while Rogers already had a few hitting sessions on the outdoor grass. I like Rogers here.
  2. 7 points
    opole

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    Columbus John Mcnally @2.71 Pinnacle 4/10 Theoretically this is a must-win for prospect like Mcnally playing at home in Ohio. I know his current form isn't the best, he had some major problems in the last few College matches losing sets to some players he should beat easily. But now he had few weeks off and maybe recovered a bit after a long season for Ohio State and this is a big chance here.
  3. 6 points
    opole

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    ATP s'Hertogenbosch Robin Haase @2.47 Pinnacle 4/10 Haase looked great vs. Humbert in the first round. Was serving very well. Grass is maybe his favorite surface, personally of course, he's a former junior Wimbledon finalist (losing to Chardy in 2005). I think he can be dangerous to anyone on grass and especially in the early stages of the grass season he's very dangerous as he is adapting quickly. I don't think Garin should be the favorite. I like my action on Haase here, in my opinion he has good chances to reach the quarterfinal at his home tournament.
  4. 6 points
    KennyDelight

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365 Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not. She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek. Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.
  5. 6 points
    darko08

    French Open 2019

    Dominique Thiem vs Karen Khachanov Over 37.5 Games at 1.80 with Marathonbet I think Khachanov can trouble Thiem more than the odds suggest. Thiem has dropped a set against Tommy Paul, Bublik and Cuevas so i think we can have a long match here. Novak Djokovic to beat (3-0) Alexander Zverev at 1.95 with Marathonbet Zverev has suffered against Millman (5 Sets), Lajovic (5 Sets) and Fognini (4 Sets) while Nole has win all his matches in 3 sets. I think this will be an easy match for the Djoker. Madison Keys to beat Ashleigh Barty at 2.43 with 888 I don't why Barty is only payed at 1.50-1.55. I know she is playing very solid but the match will but in the racket of Keys considering the defensive style of Barty. If she's accurate and can control Barty's wicked slices she can get this. Amanda Anisimova (+5.5 Games) to beat Simona Halep at 1.87 with 888 Halep has destroyed Tsurenko and Swiatek but she also has dropped a set against Tomljanovic and Magda Linette. If Anisimova doesn't get nervous i think she can trouble Halep with her offensive game (at least to cover this handicap). Anisimova has not dropped any set in the whole tournament. This is what i got for tomorrow. Too many bet i know 😂 but anybody is forced to follow them. GL.
  6. 5 points
    darko08

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    WTA is more unpredictable than the ATP and that is a fact. For example, do you know that we have 10 different woman players that have won RG in the last 12 years? We only have 3 male players that have won RG in the last 12 years. During this RG Halep was paid very similar than Nadal to win RG (that is ridicolous considering that Halep has won only 1 GS and Nadal has 18 including 12 RG..). Everytime a GS is coming we all know that the men's title will be disputed by 3 or 4 players but the women's title has become a lottery. Probably this will change when some players take a step but now this is the situation. Obviously im not saying that there are no suprising results in the ATP im just saying that the WTA is more unpredictable than the ATP.
  7. 5 points
    monterosilva

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    Hello my friends, this is my very first post here, but I've been follow this forum for a long time.. Well, today was a very nice day for betting, I thought is the more profitable day since a long time... Starting with the fact that the grass season is here!, and all matches are more even. For example... today where a lot of very profitable bets like Mannarino wins a set against Verdasco, or Jarry +4.5 handicap against Tsitsipas, or Kudla +4.5 handicap against Monfils... well, a lot of oportunities... But, I thought the most clear bet today is: Felix Auger to beat Gilles Simon at 1.5 with Bet365... don't miss the chance to see that match, we have value here...
  8. 5 points
    opole

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    Nottingham Paul Jubb @4.82 Pinnacle 4/10 I think there is a solid chance that we can see some grass court tennis early today in Nottingham as i think it shouldn't rain till 1 or 2 pm and matches starting early today at 10:30am. So this is good chance for Jubb after beating Zopp to gain another good win. He has the grass experience as he played good match vs. Ward last week and he has played indoor vs. Zopp so in my opinion doesn't matter if it's played outdoors or indoors, i am going with the young brit who is a very decent prospect. He only had short junior career because he decided to go the college path int he US and he's playing for South Carolina. He won the NCAA singles title in 2019 which is a great deal. Novak coming straight from clay court tournament in Poznan last week. I don't think he had many chances to hit on grass considering the fact he arrived in the UK last week Friday or Saturday, then weather got worse and it is basically raining for days now. Jubb should be better prepared for the grass here. Hopefully match will get started and finished outdoors.
  9. 5 points
    Just some info - they've already started to move the matches in Nottingham indoors, just for the men now, but I reckon the same could happen to the main WTA event if the weather stays like it should. Keep that in mind.
  10. 5 points
    opole

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    there is no topic for this week non french open bets so i put it into that one as it's a qualification match of next weeks tournaments S'hertogenbosch WTA qualif Arianne Hartono @8.10 5dimes 4/10 Hartono decent prospect i think, she played college tennis in the US and won the NCAA singles championship in 2018 for Ole Miss. She also graduated in 2018 so now she will turn pro and she looks promosing. Another angle is that her opponent Bonaventure played on claycourt on Thursday in Croatia. She finished her match on Thursday 4pm local time so i checked some sites and i think she took the flight from Split to AMsterdam yesterday which made her arrive in Rosmalen in the evening, she probably didn't even have the chance to hit on grass for a training session here. I wouldn't be surprised if she lacks timing and movement after coming from claycourt. Bonaventure is very solid but we all know switching to grass is difficult. I also expect very tough conditions if you're not adapted to grass as it'll be slippery, very wet weather in the Netherlands according to the reports altough it should not rain at all.
  11. 5 points
    CzechPunter

    French Open 2019

    Yeah, I get it. I tried having blacklists once, but I found out that I would very quickly run out of players to bet on .
  12. 5 points
    CzechPunter

    French Open 2019

    Fabio Fognini to beat Alexander Zverev at 1.85 with BetVictor While it might be strange to have Fognini as the favourite here from a certain point of view, I think it's absolutely justified, as Zverev hasn't been good at all recently. Should've been 3-0 against Millman, was 3-2. Should've been 3-0 against Lajovic, was 3-2. Fognini can go nuts, of course, but seeing Zverev on the other side of the net should provide him with enough motivation and he looked surprisingly solid against RBA in crucial moments. Given all that, I think that it's not hard to side with the Italian in this one.
  13. 5 points
    DrO

    French Open 2019

    S.Tsitsipas (-5.5 games) to beat F.Krajinovic @1.65 with Soocerbet (local bookie) Tsitsipas is in excellent shape. He won the first two matches relatively easily while Krajinovic had to play two marathon-matches. The second one (vs Baena) was especialy tough. Today Filip withdrew from doubles as a precautionary measure. He's not injured,but he is tired. Also,take note that Filip doesn't like to play against players of Tsitsipas profile.
  14. 5 points
    CzechPunter

    French Open 2019

    Rafa is going to have trouble sleeping tonight, Mahut is the favourite for the title .
  15. 5 points
    Chelsea vs Arsenal The first all-English major European final of the season is here and it is taking place 2,500 miles away from the country that both of these teams come from. The joys of UEFA's organising prowess! It's Chelsea versus Arsenal in an 8pm kick-off at the Olympic Stadium in Baku, Azerbaijan. Chelsea enter this final game with controversy and disruption smothering their preparations. Real Madrid President Florentino Perez publicly stating he wants to sign Eden Hazard was probably a little unnecessary at this time of the year and Maurizio Sarri witnessing David Luiz and Gonzalo Higuain have a bust-up in yesterday's training was not ideal. The Chelsea manager was then left frustrated by the training session being kept open to the media meaning his side couldn't practice top secret set-piece drills resulting in the Italian kicking his cap to the floor and storming off. This is even without mentioning the rumours that Sarri has been in talks with Juventus to succeed the outgoing Massimiliano Allegri at the Old Lady. Arsenal's build-up has been a little bit more low key. Unai Emery has done his best to keep plans close to his chest. The Spaniard is experienced at preparing for matches like this having won this competition three times with Sevilla. The emphasis for the Gunners has been to win this game and secure a spot in next season's Champions League because failure to do so would seriously harm their chances of evolving. The big injury news leading into this game is the potential absence of N'Golo Kante. The Frenchman is ruled "50-50" to play and with the Blues also missing Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Callum Hudson-Odoi it would leave Chelsea very short in midfield. Arsenal will be without Henrikh Mikhitaryan due to concerns over his safety and Aaron Ramsey. This is the second time there has been an all-English final in this competition. The first time it happened was back in 1972 when Tottenham played Wolves. Both sides have won 11 games in European competition this season. Only three teams (Real Madrid in 2001/02, Porto in 2010/11, and Atletico Madrid in 2011/12) have won more. The Gunners don't possess the best record in major European finals. In their five visits to a final in European competition they have only come out on top once. That was in the 1994 Cup Winners' Cup victory over Parma. Interestingly, Arsenal have faced opponents from 27 nations in European competition. They have beaten teams from 26 of those countries. The exception? England. On the flip side, Chelsea have a cracking record in major European cup finals. The Blues have won 4 of their 5 finals. If you're considering a goalscorer bet then you might want to look at Olivier Giroud. The French striker has flown under the radar with his 10 goals in the competition this season. That is the most scored by a Chelsea player in a single season of European competition and it is the joint most by any Frenchman. The other two French players to score that many were Nestor Combin in the 1963/64 Cup Winners' Cup and Just Fontaine in the 1958/59 European Cup. This is going to be a close game. It's been one victory apiece in the league. Chelsea might have had every that could go wrong going wrong in the build-up but that can create a siege mentality. I'm just not sure the players back Sarri any more and I'm not sure Sarri really has the motivation knowing he's all but out of the door. Sure, it's a cup final but Chelsea are so reliant on Hazard and he's not really done the business away from Stamford Bridge. I think this is one where Arsenal should be backed. Emery knows how to win this competition and that could prove crucial. Arsenal to Lift the Trophy @ 2.30 with Betway BTTS @ 1.70 with Sportingbet @delfino, @KikoCy, @giraldi, @Icongene, @dogmeister, @rangers234, @Pipoca, @Notorious, @ElPrincipito007, @KingSoccertips, @vasilli07, @betcatalog, @immortal--, @DW_United, @discipline, @WinningAdvice, @arvee, @silverfox, @FrenchEskimo, @liamcorrigan86, @ElPrincipito007, @Neubs, @TOTTI3, @Simeon Borisof, @Charon84, @Magic0024, @Xcout, @arsenalfh, @BJO, @footballeye, @gamblerxxx, @Xcout, @allyhibs, @cluelessG, @jazzman02 , @DrO, @chris50, @mtom, @canaries91, @slipkid, @Dzontra85, @Marek76, @hristofor, @Philosophy2 @Hitch, and @CloughandTaylor, are you all betting on this game tonight?
  16. 5 points
    Tennis Picks

    French Open 2019

    Hercog to beat Brady 1.79 with Betfair As already mentioned, Hercog has only lost to better players on clay recently. She plays more on the dirt with 56% specialisation on clay compared to Brady who plays only 25% of her matches on clay. Brady hasn't won two matches in a row on clay since April last year and even then two of the players she beat (winning 3 in a row) were ranked below #300. She had trouble against Jorovic. She hasn't won two matches in a row on clay against top 300 opponents for over 3 years. Hercog has 20 titles, all on clay. Brady has 4 titles with 1 on clay. Looking at the surface ranking, Hercog is #30 with Brady at #193. Hercog is great value here.
  17. 4 points
    i1_principe

    Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23

    J.Sousa to beat H.Hurkacz at 2.37 with Pinnacle I do not see Hurkacz as a big favorite here, he is neither in very good form nor has a great experience on this surface. He played only 4 matches on the grass and lost 2 of them on ATP level. Sousa is quite inconsistent in his performance, but he has more experience on the green surface and has already played 3 games, winning 2 of them. I think the Portuguese should have a slight advantage, and the odd 2.37 seems like a good bet.
  18. 4 points
    four-leaf

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    Cristian Garin to beat (+1.5 set) Borna Coric at 1.71 with Pinnacle Borna lacks that offensive firepower to blow Cristian off the court. I can't imagine Cristian not to take a set here because he's played well enough this tournament for that to happen and Borna didn't play great last match when he beat Taylor Fritz. Cristian should have a decent chance for a set here.
  19. 4 points
    Striker

    Unraced 2 Year Olds To Follow

    Can pass on from decent sources these three colts who should be making their debuts soon, and have natural ability Man Of The Night....trained by Richard Hannon King's Command...Charlie Appleby Plymouth Rock..John Quinn
  20. 4 points
    Trotter

    Naps - Wednesday June 12 (Kempton Off)

    KEMPTON ABANDONED burst water pipe in the area ……. that's a new one on me !
  21. 4 points
    Lorenzi Musetti

    French Open 2019

    Your posting is a joke and i hope you will be banned from this forum for being such an idiot.
  22. 4 points
    darko08

    French Open 2019

    Interesting. Barty has played 4 american players (Collins, Kenin, Keys and Anisimova). All of them have hard courts as their favorite surface so the only "clay" courter that she has played here is Petko.. She has dropped 2 sets (Kenin and Anisimova). W/L record on clay: 45-24 Vondrousova has played against Potapova, Carla Suárez (pure claycourter), Sevastova (W/L record of 230-95 on clay), Martic (the player with most wins on clay this season) and Konta (not a claycourter but the match she played against Stephens was absolutely amazing..). All of them in straight sets! W/L record on clay: 72-19 I repeat what i say for the Anisimova-Barty match, the pressure will be on Barty again (she lost the first set when she was 5-1, 15-40..!). Vondrousova is the youngest player, i have not seen her playing nervous (her comeback against Martic in the first set was so good) and like you said, she's a very good claycourter. I don't know if i will bet on this match but if finally I do this will be my bet for sure.
  23. 4 points
    Foxstar

    French Open 2019

    @Stegosaurus I think that you completely took this out of content. My response was directly to your message re @CzechPunter's and my conflicting predictions. I never said, or was disrespectful to any other players at all. I am, like you, or anyone else allowed my opinion, which is that Nadal and Djokovic are expected to play in the final. This is why this forum is made, to allow each of us to bring up the suggestion, or expertise regarding Tennis betting. You may agree, or disagree.
  24. 4 points
    Darran

    End of the Hunter Chase season

    So that is it for the season. The incredible strike-rate that I had until about mid April was never going to be kept up and from when I last updated the total on April 14th there was only a very small profit although I must admit I thought it was going to be a loss so I was pleasantly surprised by that fact. The final totals are below and again they are only rough because I know people will have got different prices and some might have BOG and some might not although admittedly BOG isn't something that needs to come into play that often. As I said at the beginning of the season my Hunter Chase stuff is not just about the tips it is about educating people and trying to enhance interest in a part of the sport that a lot know very little about. I also write the previews so people can use what I say as they see fit and I know people have won money by doing different bets to what I have put up based on what I have said. It has been a really enjoyable season and that 3 month spell at the start of the season was something I have never experienced before as almost everything I put up won and when I was in Australia I didn't have a losing race. As good as Hazel Hill was at Cheltenham my performance of the season has to be Risk A Fine's win at Stratford back in April. The way he broke Arthur's Secrets heart and then ended up putting Master Baker under so much pressure he bled was some achievement given how good those two horses are. Friday's performance wasn't far behind either. Obviously Road To Rome's 4 timer deserves a mention and his win in the Walrus at Haydock was a sight to behold. It was also great to see Caid Du Berlais bounce back from his Cheltenham effort to win at Punchestown for the 2nd year running when nothing could get anywhere near him. So thank you everyone who has read, shared or liked my previews this season and I am pleased to say that my previews will be on Punters Lounge again in 2020. I will be popping up before then though as I am sure horses that have been running in points and Hunter Chases this season will be running under rules over the summer and there have been plenty of winners over the years so keep an eye out for those. 2019 stats Total Stakes 204pts Total Returns 278.09pts Total profit 74.09pts
  25. 4 points
    Darran

    Hunter Chase - 4.20 Listowel

    Regular readers will know I rarely tip up in Irish Hunter Chases and have only put up two this season, both of which have won. Hopefully I can make it a hat-trick on what will be the final bet of the season. It would be great if On The Fringe can win this race for a 2nd year running on what surely will be his final ever race, although given I have been saying for at least 2 years that they should retire him maybe it wont be. As well as he ran last time, I don't think he will win this however as I really like Rewritetherules who is 9 years younger than On The Fringe. He didn't really look like he was up to much until he was a massive gamble to win a Down Royal Hunter Chase at the beginning of last month. He was an impressive winner that day and then 3 days later he went to Tipperary and was even more impressive. Talk after that win was that he would go to Stratford for the John Corbet Cup and he was entered at the 6 day decs, but they obviously decided to stay in Ireland and go for this instead. He looks a promising horse and his trainer has spoken very highly of him. In my view he should be favourite for this and I would be surprised if he didn't start favourite. There doesn't look to be a lot else in the race. All Hell Let Loose has been running consistently well in points this season, but keeps finishing 2nd. Flirting Lesa won the Bishopscourt Cup at the Punchestown Festival, but that is always a very weak affair. So at 5/2 hopefully we can end the season with a winner. Rewritetherules 2pts @ 5/2 with Bet365
  26. 4 points
    Darran

    Stratford Hunter Chase night

    We finally get to the end of the Hunter Chase season with the big evening at Stratford. 6 Hunter Chases including the John Corbet Cup, the Stratford Foxhunter and the only handicap Hunter Chase of the season. There is also a point-to-point bumper to end the card. Now the ground they are giving as good with it set to be 22 and breezy tomorrow, but they have been well known to over water for this meeting and last year was a new low in that regards. Horses were finishing as if it was heavy winter ground which was crazy and I don't think the trainers were happy about the fact it had been so well watered for the pro card on the Saturday. Hopefully they have got it right this year and it is good ground likely to go on the quick side. 5.45 Earth Leader - A horse who has done nothing but improve since he won his maiden back in March. It is hard to win a maiden, a restricted and an intermediate back to back and he then added to that with a Hunter Chase win at Fontwell. I know the race fell apart because the 2nd and 3rd went off too fast, but I was still impressed with the way he won and he looks to have a strong chance here. An Scairp - Been kept to 2m4f and 2m5f in his 4 points and he won 3 and was a neck 2nd in the other one. His best run form wise was when he was 2nd to Abriocot De L'Oasis who won a Hunter Chase last season as he didn't beat a great deal in his wins. Capable of running well although needs to find a little to be capable of winning. Buck Dancing - Nothing wrong with his pointing form and he has even won twice since he ran poorly at Hexham in the Heart Of All England. You may remember I really fancied him for that on the back of his previous form, but after a blunder at the 5th he didn't travel after that. The winning time at Easingwold was quick on his next won and then he had a simple task at Sedgefield on Sunday. He certainly has some of the best pointing form in the race and if he can get it together back under rules he will go close. Castle Cheetah - Doesn't seem to stay 3m in points and dropped to 2m4f he won his Restricted earlier in the month. He is 11 though and although he hasn't seen much racing it will be disappointing if he proved good enough to win this. Chapelier - Had won 4 on the bounce in points this season, but struggled really badly at Cheltenham in the Intermediate Final. Hard to fancy him on the back of that and his pointing form wouldn't be as strong as some of these. Cheltenham De Vaige - Won 4 of his last 5 points although probably fortunate to win 3 starts back as the favourite slipped up before 3 out and was going well. Not sure he has achieved the level that some of these have in points. General Arrow - On a line through Legal Ok he has a few lengths to find on Earth Leader as he only beat him by 15L last time, but I think General Arrow has a good chance here. That race was over 2m4f after he had won his Restricted and Maiden over 3m. He clocked good times in the process so we know he stays 3m, but has the pace for shorter. He also front runs which is a plus round here as well. Should go close. Pancrace - Another front runner who I thought ran well at Cheltenham until he didn't see out the trip and ended up getting very tired in the ground. He has come out and one a weak race since so he looks to be over the Cheltenham efforts. On pointing form he has a bit too find, but on the back of the Cheltenham effort it wouldn't surprise me if he ran well at decent odds. Soul Kaliber - Had a good season finishing either 1st or 2nd in his last 6 starts in points. Looks solid enough, but there looks more progressive types to me. Kayjaydee - Only had 16 starts despite being 12 and was missing for 2 years until his pulled up run in March. 2nd and then a winner since which weren't bad efforts, but there are more progressive horses than him in this. Tangoed - Went under rules after winning a maiden in 2017, but after two good bumper runs he was a massive disappointment over hurdles. He was sold again and returned to pointing this season. He unseated when beaten first time out in December, but on his next start in April at Larkhill he won by 25L. He then won his Intermediate earlier this month. The question is how he will handle going back under rules and he is yet to go over fences if he takes to them though he could run well. Summary - Earth Leader, Buck Dancing, General Arrow and Pancrace are the 4 on my shortlist. Earth Leader might well win, but he shouldn't be odds on to win this. I think the other 3 are all backable prices with General Arrow being my pick of the 3. General Arrow 1.5pts e/w @ 8/1 with Betfred Buck Dancing 1pt e/w @ 12/1 with Betfair and Paddy Power Pancrace 0.5pts e/w @ 15/2 with Bet365 6.20 Net D'Ecosse - Wasn't given the most sensible ride in the world at Lingfield on his first start after wind surgery as he helped forced a strong pace in soft ground. He ended up pulling up that day and he wasn't seen until last month when he was a decent enough 2nd before hacking up at Northaw. That wasn't a strong race, but he's likely to be prominent and the drop down in trip doesn't look the worst move in the world. Tusa Eire - A staggering training performance to get him to win at Fontwell after 4 years off the track. That wasn't a strong race though and this will be tougher. Witness In Court - Battled well to win at Fontwell, but this race looks stronger to me and I just wonder this trip will be on the short side for him. Brave Jaq - Ran a hell of a race in this last year to be just collared by Robin Des People on the run in. Last season he was very keen and always set a very strong gallop. This season he has been a bit more calmer and he won well over 2m5f in March. Clearly this drop in trip won't bother him and he will be up there. Had no chance behind Risk A Fine last time and must have a good chance although the forced jockey change isn't ideal. Llancillo Lord - Won on his pointing debut at Maisemore although that race fell apart and it was a very weak contest he won at Fakenham. He was then collared late on by Greensalt at Kelso where his jockey picked up the ban that forces him to miss tonight as he eased up for 2nd. He did run well over 2m at Chepstow in November and he was 2nd over 2m to Presenting Percy in Ireland as well. I think he needs to step up a bit on what he has shown so far this season, but he has a good jockey booked and he might just improve for dropping down to this trip. Beau De Tabel - No chance Bletchley Castle - His one really bad run this season was when he pulled up behind Brave Jaq here in March, but as I pointed out last week at Huntingdon his jumping is a massive concern and one terrible mistake that night cost him the race. He won't get away with that here in this deeper race. Could be interesting if him and Brave Jaq did go hell for leather up in front although Brave Jaq sat in 2nd behind him in March. If he doesn't make a mistake then he might be capable of winning of this, but I think that is a pretty big if. Boher Call - Unlikely to be troubling the leading contenders. Bubble O'clock - Was left to a solo after 25 yards when winning his maiden and was a very easy winner of his Restricted a week later. Made all that day which I struggle to believe he will do here and this is a much stronger heat. Downbythestrand - A 19L 4th to Brave Jaq here in March and this drop in trip doesn't look like it will help him reverse the form. Mr Sawyer - 2nd in this in 2016 but a well beaten one and the P's have continued to mount up since. Now his handicap mark is down to 78 I'd be tempted to try him in a handicap again over this trip, but hard to see him winning this. O Maonlai - Had the perfect opportunity to win a race at Fontwell and blew it. He even had an easy lead that day and he just looks a horse who is going to do everything he can to get beat. Red Inca - Was 2nd behind Tusa Eire and O Maonlai at Fontwell and as I have already mentioned its hard to see that form being good enough to take this. Velvet Maker - Was a 21L 5th in this last year and didn't run well in his only other run since which was at Ludlow over hurdles in November. If he returned to his peak form he would have a right chance in this, but he just looked a bit laboured in his 3 Hunter Chase runs last season. Village Vic - His Newbury run wasn't bad although his Cheltenham effort wasn't great and its hard to think this sharp test is going to be what he needs. Summary - I think this is between Brave Jaq, Llancillo Lord and Bletchley Castle. I'm surprised that Village Vic is favourite and I struggle to believe he will start the race as the market leader. Brave Jaq for me is the main bet with savers on the other two. Brave Jaq 2pts @ 5/1 with Bet365 Bletchley Castle 0.75pts e/w @ 13/2 with Bet365 Llancillo Lord 0.5pts e/w @ 11/1 with Betfair 6.50 Casey Jem - Only had 4 starts and fell on the first of them back in December. He then won to points before winning a Cork Maiden Hunter Chase last month. He was very impressive that day and the 2nd has won a Hunter Chase since so the form looks solid enough. He still looked green on the run in as well so every chance there should be more to come. Regular readers will know I have rated the UK Hunter Chasers higher than the Irish this season, but that was at the top level and I think he has a big chance he. Changeofluck - Likes this meeting as been 3rd in the Restricted race 2 years ago and then was 3rd in this last year. I didn't think he was given the best of rides at Cheltenham as he was up with a strong pace and went very wide. If held up here it wouldn't be a huge shock if he hit the frame again, but he would be a surprise winner. Chase Me - Was well beaten at Warwick last week and hard to see how he can win this based on that effort. Law Of Gold - The last time he was beaten was by General Arrow so if that one wins the first then it will boost his form. He won his next 3 although the last one earlier this month was a match. Others have achieved more and I'm not sure he can improve enough to land this. Pink Eyed Pedro - Pulled up in this last year, but he did lead briefly fairly late on before his stamina gave out in the ground. Still not sure how he didn't win a handicap last year off 93 especially after he was impressive in winning the Dunraven Bowl last time. It certainly helped that the 2nd didn't jump well, but even so it looked a personal best. If he stays, and if they haven't over watered he might well do, then he has claims. Winged Leader - Got some decent placed form in Ireland this season including his 2nd to Rewritetherules (who was entered for this) at Down Royal last time. Last year's Stratford Foxhunter winner Chosen Dream was back in 3rd so that is decent form. He looks capable of running well to me. In Arrears - Won her 2 Hunter Chases by 22L and 23L, but she didn't really enjoy the quick ground at Exeter last time and they were both weak races. She was well beaten at Ascot and if they haven't over watered then it is hard to see her being good enough to land this. Kalabaloo - Took her form to a new level when beating Theatre Territory at Cheltenham last time and was impressive in doing so. The problem is Theatre Territory found nothing for pressure so there is a slight question mark about how much she did achieve, but she has an obvious chance. Summary - A surprisingly small field for this championship heat. For me Kalabaloo, Pink Eyed Pedro and the two Irish runners are the ones to concentrate on. I was really taken with the way Casey Jem won last time and I am just siding with him with a saver on Kalabaloo. Casey Jem 2pts @ 5/2 with Betfair and Paddy Power Kalabaloo 1pt @ 7/4 with Bet365 7.20 Seefood - Made a winning debut for the yard at Leicester in February and although it wasn't a strong renewal of that race it was still a good win. He was still traveling well within himself when unseating at Bechers at Aintree and then he had a very easy win at Easingwold. Looks to have a leading chance. Virak - Was put in his place by Hazel Hill and Caryto Des Bosses at Cheltenham last time, but prior to that was 5/5 in points and Hunter Chases this season. Did well to win at Ascot after making a really bad mistake and beat a solid yardstick in Queen Olivia. Thought he did well at Ludlow to beat Now Ben even for allowing for the fact that one bled. Has an obvious chance in this. Big Casino - Did win on his first start for over a year in April when beating Garde Ville but that was over 3m4f and this drop in trip isn't going to help and would be a surprise if good enough. Brackloon High - Doesn't always put it all in and likely to find a few too good here. Cloudy Joker - Went missing for 3 years before returning earlier this month when finishing 2nd. He won a couple of weeks ago, but he only beat Fair Exchange that day and that gives him a bit to find with the best of these. Kriss William - No chance. Meldrum Lad - Has looked really good in 3 points this year and has clocked some quick times. Was capable when he ran under rules in the past. Beat Buck Dancing a head last time and given how good he has been in points this season that is a really good effort. Gives the trainer a very strong hand along with Seefood. Patricktom Boru - Run in this race for the last years and has managed 4th, 2nd and a well beaten 3rd last year. No doubt he will go well again, but its hard to see him winning it. Ar Fheabhas Ar Fad - No chance. Summary - Looks a 3 horse race to me with Virak, Seefood and Meldrum Lad the 3 to concentrate on. I'm going to side with Seefood who comes here fresh whereas Virak has been on the go since December and had a hard race at Cheltenham. Seefood was one of my bets at Aintree and he was unlucky to depart when he did. Justin Landy has a strong hand and Meldrum Lad is worth a saver at the price. Seefood 2 pts @ 7/4 with Bet365 and most others Meldrum Lad 0.5pt @ 7/1 with Betfair and Paddy Power 7.50 Asockastar - Did me a huge turn for us at Fakenham last time when winning as the outsider of 3 and it was a dominant performance. Was a good 2nd in this last year, but it was a strange race on over watered ground and as much as I can see him running well I think they should have run him in the handicap on the card. Ballyrath - Has won 3 times in points this season, but this is a tough race to make his Hunter Chase debut n and would be a surprise winner. Caryto Des Brosses - I've not exactly hidden my thoughts on how good I think this horse is and as much as Hazel Hill didn't run to the same level he did when winning the Foxhunter, it was still a huge effort to run him so close. He looked very good when winning the Restricted race on this card last year and there should be more to come. The one concern is that he had a hard race at Cheltenham, but it was only his 3rd run of the season and he's had nearly a month to get over it. As I said in my review of Cheltenham at this stage he is my idea of the 2020 Cheltenham Foxhunter winner and he can take the Stratford one first. Chosen Dream - Won this race last year at huge odds although the trainer apparently fancied him! He didn't come into the race in great form and he hasn't exactly done an awful lot this season either. I'm always wary of horses who are proven here, but at the same time I struggle to see him winning this for a 2nd time. For 'N' Against - Ran much better than I thought he would at Fontwell, but that is a long way below what will be needed to win this. Garde Ville - Won the John Corbett last year, but surely can't land this given the form he has been in so far this season and he's had a lot of racing in the past month. Sambremont - The 2nd Irish challenger, but he's only won once this season and he certainly isn't running like the 134 horse that he is currently rated under rules. Wonderful Charm - Been 3rd in this race the last two years, both were good efforts as he found himself outpaced at a crucial stage in 2017 before he stayed on well late and then was a 9L 3rd on the over watered ground he wouldn't have enjoyed last year. Given he loves fast ground its amazing he's only got to run twice and one of those was on soft ground at Aintree which he hated. Showed he still had lots of class at Doncaster though. My concern is he doesn't handle the track which is going to hinder him, but if they haven't over watered then this is certainly a weaker race than 2017. Summary - Top Wood and Caid Du Berlais were both entered and their absence means this isn't really a renewal which has much depth to it. I would be amazed if Caryto Des Brosses or Wonderful Charm doesn't win and firm preference is for the former who I think can go onto even better things next season. Asockastar is the pick of the rest. Caryto Des Brosses 4pts @ 6/4 with Bet365 Wonderful Charm 1pt @ 11/4 with Bet365 8.20 Risk A Fine - The weather did for him at Cheltenham and I am sure in hindsight connections wish they hadn't run him in the end. In my review of that meeting I mentioned this race looked the obvious target and it is no surprise he has turned up here. His course and distance win in April was one of the performances of the season for me and he should be able to dominate this small field. Road To Riches - A superb 3rd in the Aintree Foxhunter, but the rest of his form hasn't been great. The Carlisle 2nd wasn't strong form and neither was his win their 10 days later. After Aintree he pulled up at Fairyhouse and was a well beaten 2nd to Southfield Vic last time. As much as I am not a Maxwell basher the jockey change is obviously a plus, but he just looks to have lost his form and I don't think he will be able to catch Risk A Fine. Sam Cavallaro - Won the Cheltenham 2miler for the 3rd time last time and he looked in decent heart. To be fair to him as well he has beaten two horses who have gone on to win Hunter Chases on his last two starts. Stratford doesn't suit him as well, but he was only just beaten in this race off 104 in 2017. He was then a well beaten 4th last year off 109. He is off 115 now and although he gets a lot of weight from Risk A Fine I don't think it's enough. Crazy Jack - A very well backed and a very well handicapped winner of this race last year, but he is 2lbs higher and just hasn't been in as good form this time around. No doubt this has been the target again, but I think he will do well to win it for a 2nd year. Numbercruncher - Bolted up in the 2m race on this card in 2017 and although he won a point last time he hasn't been in great form this season. That win was over 3m, but this trip stretches him in my view. Summary - Firmly in the Risk A Fine camp here and I think we can get back our losses from him at Cheltenham. I know he has a big weight, but its fully deserved for me and we know he is very good over this course and distance. I think he will make all and they wont see which way he goes. Risk A Fine 4pts @ 2/1 with Bet365 8.50 Bullsempire - Has two squiggle's next to his name in the pointing formbook and an unlikely winner. Classic Ruler - Won his bumper by 15L but the time was 12 seconds slower than the other division. Didn't look the strongest heat either, but the fact he is proven in a bumper counts for something in this race. Daranova - Has been really well backed the last twice and does seem like 2m might suit him. I suspect he won't be good enough, but he has a shrewd trainer so a bold showing wouldn't be a massive surprise. Neil The Legend - Well beaten in 2 bumpers before winning over 2m4f. Jumped poorly next time and probably didn't stay over 3m. Rivercourt Guy - Clearly wasn't staying the trip and then suddenly bolted up over 3m at Garthorpe earlier in the month. Could also be the case that the penny has finally dropped and could well go close for Caryto Des Brosses connections. The Garrison - Was stuffed by Earth Leader 2 starts back which was his first completion and then was beaten 5L last time. Would be a surprise if he was good enough. Eqqus Gold - Well backed at Barbury but winning time was 8 seconds slower than race Mount Nelly was a close 3rd in. Form doesn't look at special, but again has at least proven himself in a bumper. Courtly Love - I wonder if connections tried asking to see if they could use her real name. Anyway she looks to have plenty to find on her form so far although maybe she has a hole in her given she has the first time tongue-tie. Love Around - Is quirky and her maiden win came when she was left alone. Had 12 starts and looks exposed. Morning Smiles - Finished upsides Courtly Love last time and looks to have plenty to find. Mount Nelly - Run in both Exeter and Aintree's version of these bumpers finishing 4th and 6th. Ran well enough and connections go for the hood. My initial thinking was to oppose her, but having gone through the form this looks pretty weak and she wouldn't be out of this. Feodora - The official pointing website doesn't put the whole video up of races so I haven't seen the whole event, but from what I did see you would do well to see a worst round of jumping. She was really bad jumping out to her right and being really slow over her fences. Even then she still nearly won although it was a 3 runner race. She clearly has an engine though and did go off 1/3. Connections know the time of day with their youngsters and with no fences in the way she should be capable of showing much better. Petit Petard - Was 13th of 14 when miles behind Equus Gold on debut at Barbury and then got herself miles behind a month later before flying home to win cosily in the end. She would have been a huge price in running she was that far behind. The concern is she does that again here and she might not get away with it round this tight track, but a good jockey has been booked and the penny clearly finally dropped last time. Summary - This looks a pretty weak heat and the first up bumper winners have to be respected even though they didn't do great times and Mount Nelly has to have a chance as well. I am though going to take a chance on 3. Feodora is going to be the main pick as she clearly has an engine, comes from a good yard and will do better with no fences in the way. I know Petit Petard has a lot of ground to make up with Equus Gold on Barbury running, but I was taken with the win the next time and she should continue to improve. I know backing a horse who pulled up on his first 4 starts and then finished a well beaten 2nd means he could be exposed, but based on his win on the 6th start Rivercourt Guy looks like he could just be a slow learner. He also looked like 2m might suit and his trainer wouldn't run him for the sake of it. At a big price I will have a small play. Feodora 1pt @ 12/1 with Betfair and Paddy Power Petit Petard 0.75pts @ 9/1 with William Hill and most others Rivercourt 0.5pts @ 16/1 with Bet365
  27. 4 points
    Anaxagoras

    French Open 2019

    Hey guys, I've been following this forum for quite some time. I'd like to make some contributions as well. Martic vs Kanepi Martic seems to be in top form in 2019 clay court season. She spent around 3.5 hours on court in 3 matches while Kanepi spent 6 hours. This is Martic's match to take. Nishikori vs Paire Main reason I'm taking Kei is because Paire should be exhausted. He was in Lyon last week and played 9 singles and 4 doubles match in a matter of 13 days. This must take its toll on him. Nishikori seemed a bit shaky in his last match against Djere but if Paire can't cut this match short, it will favor the japanese imo. Parlay @ 2.09
  28. 4 points
    eros

    French Open 2019

    If someone uses phrases like money print etc. he normally must get banned without hesitation.
  29. 4 points
    Steve75

    Latest Tables - May 2019

    Well done all the winners - thanks again Billy Hills for the competition!
  30. 4 points
    Trotter

    Latest Tables - May 2019

    Well done bosou I was desperate for the finishing line and you were running on strongly ! well done to the other prize winners ……….. thanks to BH as always ………
  31. 4 points
    South_African_Punter

    French Open 2019

    Londero to beat Gasquet - 1.85 with SportingBet Can't read too much into Gasquet's win over Zverev given Zverev's form. Londero demolished Basilashvili and in general he's having a stellar season. It's likely that Gasquet will run out of the gas the longer the game goes on.
  32. 4 points
    3.35 on Arsenal is surely a gift from the gods. Incredible price - almost full-bank territory. Excellent forum, by the way.
  33. 4 points
  34. 3 points
    CzechPunter

    Tennis Tips - June 17 - June 23

    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Matteo Berrettini at 3.50 with Bet365 Benoit Paire to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 3.00 with William Hill Cameron Norrie to beat Kevin Anderson at 3.50 with Unibet Alright, going with some underdogs in the first round next week, as I just like the odds honestly despite my really poor record on grass so far in this season. Berretini had a long week before Halle and Basilashvili is the type of a player who's always dangerous as an underdog, no reason to have him at 3.50 imo. Paire, on the other hand, has been better than Tsonga all year long and Tsonga didn't really impress me against Raonic, so, again, no reason to have him as such a big underdog I'd say. Finally, I'm also going to go for something even more speculative and back Norrie against Anderson, who's returning to the game after three months of absence. The South African is obviously the much better player of the two on grass, but Norrie will be at home and with more match fitness as well, so I think that there's some value in backing him for the upset.
  35. 3 points
    Auxiliary 515 york 20/1 bet 365
  36. 3 points
    Torque

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    Fresh from venting about serving, there's something I like tomorrow. Dustin Brown to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 2.75 Bet365 Brown delivered as an underdog against Sascha in the last round, so I don't see why he can't deliver as a lesser underdog in this one. Auger-Aliassime is a big talent and he has a couple of decent wins behind him here, albeit against the inconsistent Gulbis and the declining Simon, but he has very little experience on grass and I wonder if he will be able to deal with what Brown will throw at him on this surface. The German has good pedigree at this tournament and has claimed some scalps down the years, and his serve and volley style could see Auger-Aliassime out of points before they've even started. Brown is on a nice run having come through the qualifiers and I think his experience and grass-court nous will trump the youthful talent of Auger-Aliassime and at the price I'm happy to pay to see if I'm right.
  37. 3 points
    opole

    Tennis Tips - June 10 - June 16

    ATP s'Hertogenbosch doubles S. Arends/M. Middelkoop @2.68 5dimes 4/10 For me this is basically a pick em' match so i am happy to take the two local guys at a very good price. Arends and Middelkoop had a decent run on grass in 2018. They reached qf. in s'Hertogenbosch, final in Antalya and the second round in Wimbledon (close match and loss vs. Bryan brothers). Ram/Salisbury coming off a very decent run on clay in Paris (although they had some real luck out there for sure). They're having a good year together and i think they will do fine on grass but this is close matchup, no real fav should be named.
  38. 3 points
    Torque

    French Open 2019

    On gut instinct I'd say three sets between Konta and Vondrousova. Can't see either of them winning easily - particularly when the winning line comes into view. Barty will probably beat Anisimova - the Australian has much more variety than Halep and I think that will be Anisimova's undoing as she's unlikely to be able to get into the kind of rhythm she got into today.
  39. 3 points
    Great turnout tonight Well done to John Anthony off to a winning start. Next week's game is set up and open for registration.
  40. 3 points
    CzechPunter

    French Open 2019

    Rafael Nadal to win French Open 2019 at 1.61 with Bet365 Realistically, this is between Nadal and Djokovic. Nadal is pretty much guaranteed to get to the finals imo, while Djokovic isn't just yet, Zverev could take him out with a best-of-season performance and so could Thiem. In the finals, Nadal is probably going to be something like 1.40 if nothing significant happens, so I'm taking this now - and he's going to be much less than that if it isn't Djokovic on the other side of the net.
  41. 3 points
    richard-westwood

    Racing Chat - Sunday June 2nd

    Drifted to 15/2 ...won by 6 lengths!!....spoof 3rd
  42. 3 points
    Korayu

    French Open 2019

    Siniakova to beat Keys 2,44 lokal bookie Apparently she is on beast mode now.My bookie’s odds are lower than 365 and that is something also.Gonna put some bets on her. GL.
  43. 3 points
  44. 3 points
    Morning 5.00 Worcester-Glanvilles Guest Each Way @ 14-1 Ladbrokes Like the booking of Harry Cobden
  45. 3 points
    CzechPunter

    French Open 2019

    As I said, I was a big fan and his GS win was absolutely fantastic. I'm just not a big fan of players who pretend that they are going to collapse at any moment while still being able to play a decent game. He's not alone in this and you may have a different opinion, but I just have to say that he's been a bit of a drama queen way too often recently. If you can't play, you can always retire from a match, there's no shame in doing that. If you can play, however, there's no need to remind us how hurt you are after nearly every single point.
  46. 3 points
    Tennis Picks

    French Open 2019

    Cirstea to bt Bolsova 1.79 Betfair. Bolsova won 4 on the trot but Vera was the only top 100 player and she is crap now. Before that she lost in three to Bains (#242) after winning the first set 6-0. She is 2-2 in main draw matches on the tour, most of her experience is still down at ITF level. Her two wins coming against Vera last time out and Di Lorenzo (#167). Cirstea has been playing at this event for over ten years. She won as an underdog last time out against Juvan and reached the SF in Nurnberg, losing to Putintseva. Before that she lost to Garcia in Madrid. In the last 12 months against players ranked 100 or below Cirstea is 6-0 on clay. Nice price for me here. Anisimova to bt Sabalenka - 2.16 Betfair. Anisimova won in Bogota but hasn't been as great since. Apart from the defeat to Kostyuk in Madrid her matches have gone as expected. Sabalenka has been awful for a while. She had a few wins in Strasbourg but nothing amazing. She's 4-4 on clay as a fave this year, she's underperforming compared to market opinion. Anisimova already beat her on fave hardcourt this year. She plays nearly twice the amount of her tennis on clay compared to Sabalenka (33% to 19%) and I make this more a 50/50 match so going with the odds against. Swiatek to bt Wang - 1.7 Betfair Swiatek ranked higher on clay (50 to 87 for Wang), Wang plays just 9% of her tennis on clay compared to 60% for Swiatek. Swiatek reached the Lugano final recently and is 8-2 on clay this year. Wang has lost 4 of her last 6 matches. She's 4-5 on clay this year. I don't think she can cause an upset here.
  47. 3 points
    Fader

    2019 Cricket World Cup

    I have SA on other bets otherwise I would see SA as value here. I fancy Amla to be top batsman and for England i think Stokes or Buttler as I can see a couple getting caught by in my eyes the best bowling team in this event. There is more talent in this SA team then people think. Are you sure Makram is playing? I think they'll side with Van Der Dussen. I expect a decent match here. Phehlukwayo could be the wildcard today. 2pts J.Buttler top england batsman 11/2 bet365 2pts Amla top SA batsman 4/1 bet365 1pt Stokes top england batsman 9/1 bet365
  48. 3 points
    $735 USD profit as won a $22 ticket from a freeroll, spun it up for $109 ticket
  49. 3 points
    CzechPunter

    French Open 2019

    Jordan Thompson to beat Ivo Karlovic at 1.76 with Pinnacle Beating Fokina is certainly a bigger achievement than beating the already half-retired Lopez, so I'm going to side with Thompson here. He might not be a clay court specialist, but the surface should nonetheless suit him a bit more and Karlovic is bound to get exposed at least every now and then. Feliciano was a great draw for him in the first round, but this should be much tougher now that he has to face someone who can actually defend.
  50. 3 points
    avongirl

    PL Poker League

    I did actually run the result through my spreadsheet without the double points and Ian still won overall (though obviously helped by the fact of us getting more runners due to the double points), Barry hung on to 2nd and muttley and Marek tie for 3rd. I think I compared it last month too and it didn't actually affect the result then, but Craig did rather run away with it anyway! 1.5x instead of double this month still produces the same result. No-one was really dominating this month, placings and points were being shared around so we were all closer together going in to the final leg.
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