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Showing content with the highest reputation since 06/28/21 in all areas

  1. A bumper day’s racing with 11 terrestrial TV races to salivate over. To be honest I like many others feel there’s too much racing on this particular Saturday and it seemed to work better last year when the meetings were split over two days. Anyway here’s my thought on the days fare :- York 145 Yet another big field handicap, this one over a mile and the ground at York is likely to be on the slow side with the odd shower forecast. Only two three year olds take on their elders here and at this time of year they receive a healthy 9lb allowance which may swing the favour of Tim Ea
    15 points
  2. One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure a
    11 points
  3. Coral Eclipse Day at Sandown plus the Old Newton Cup at Haydock makes for an interesting 7 race terrestrial TV programme and here’s my weekly look at them. Sandown 1.50 The Coral Charge is run over 5F of the straight track and as always ( it maybe not as prevalent as it once was) the far rail is the preferred draw. Lazuli has to shoulder a 3lb penalty for his win at Newbury over Came From The Dark and drying conditions will suit the former. Arecibo is officially the best horse in the race and comes here on the back of an excellent 2nd in the Kings Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot
    11 points
  4. Day one of Glorious Goodwood and for once we know what the ground conditions will be. Soft (good to soft in places) is the official call and with thunder storms possible we’re looking for soft ground performers. He’s my thoughts on the 5 ITV races :- 1.50 The 10F Chesterfield Cup Handicap has attracted a maximum field of 18 with low drawn horses favoured due to the turning nature of the track. There’s likely to be a pace burn up on the inside with Majestic Dawn (stall 1), Cockalorum (stall 2) and last years winner Maydanny (stall 5) all wanting to lead. The last named is 12lb higher
    10 points
  5. Back to form today !! Two returns from the five selections including a 12/1 (30p R4) winner. A profit of 17.6 points on the day. Wednesdays selections will be up very shortly.
    10 points
  6. Standard wise its not the strongest of Saturday’s but we have 8 races on ITV from Newbury, summer jumpers at Market Rasen and the Irish Oaks from The Curragh. The weather’s set fine so we’ll be looking at drying fast ground for all meetings. So here we go with my run through for Saturday:- Newbury 150 The 10F Steventon Stakes is a listed race contested this season by 10 runners. It has an open feel about the race with only 8lb on official ratings covering the entire field although having been with Saeed Bin Suroor’s Real World at Royal Ascot when he annihilated the field on
    10 points
  7. More Buck's ran an absolute stinker on Sunday although if you did back Babytaggle without the front two in the betting you did have a winner and he remains one to keep an eye on. The 2.30 at Uttoxeter is a really weak contest where hardly any of them have any credentials which suggests they can win a race. There are two horses here who both come off the back of a maiden point win. I was at Chaddesley Corbett to see That's Me win and it was a very weak contest (the 2nd pulled up next time) which suggests to me that a mark of 92 is too high. To be fair under rules he has been running over s
    10 points
  8. Day 2 of Glorious Goodwood and although its suppose to be mainly dry now throughout the week the damage has been done with the rain on Monday and Tuesday and today at least it will still ride pretty slow and tacky so once again its soft ground horses all the way. Here’s my thoughts on the ITV races :- Goodwood 150 A typically wide open Goodwood three year old handicap with plenty of form lines to consider. The King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot form is represented by the 4th Siskany (why is regular rider riding at Sandown rather than here to ride him?) and the unlucky in ru
    9 points
  9. Here are my selections for this rather quiet day of racing. Pontefract 1.55 Vieux Carre 4/1 2nd 2.30 Outback Boy 3/1 3rd 3.35 Regal Mirage 11/2 1st 🏆 4.40 Alpha Cru 3/1 1st 🏆 5.10 Van Gerwen 16/1 1st 🏆 Muselburgh 3.55 Edward Cornelius 15/2 1st 🏆 6.40 Let Me Be 6/1 Unplaced. All prices as per Bet365. All bets are EW.
    8 points
  10. As in previous years we will be running a tipsters competition for GLORIOUS GOODWOOD, Tuesday 27th July to Saturday 31st July. Rules: 1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account No edits allowed in selection posts Losses incurred fo
    8 points
  11. My Speed Figures- a few considerations. The speed figures I submit on these chats have a few Proviso's The nature of 2yo figures i produce means that they are incomplete until the end of the season or at least 3 runs and are therefore a bit fluid, for example:- you may see a Plus (+) next to them this means it has only raced once and will inevitably improve its figure on its next start. many races have small sample sizes, eg most horse at this time of year may only have had 1, 2, or 3 runs and many are first time out i only publish figures for listed races and upwards.
    8 points
  12. Congratulations to Johnrobertson. There was lots of change on final match. 2nd through 4th is decided on how many correct scores each player got. Congrats to the top 4. I've put the top 10 (top 12) up. Hard luck on TheMagicDaps who only lost out on the top 4 with choosing Turkey to get through. I'm sure we will be back for the World Cup with a similar format top 4 if you could PM me your Paypal details, I will sort out payment.
    8 points
  13. Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month. More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now
    8 points
  14. Another satisfying day finding 5 winners and 7 returns from the 11 ITV races. A healthy profit of 28.92 points on the day at advised prices.
    8 points
  15. A decent day finding 4 of the 6 winners for a profit of 27.2 points. Saturday's selections up soon.
    8 points
  16. A decent winning day - 3 winners and a NR from the 7 picks showing a profit of 26.89 points.
    8 points
  17. 2yo speed figures for the 3:00 Goodwood I am going to stick with the raw figures here because i am uncertain about the "acting on the ground" angle. 1 Swayze 129+ 25/1 2 Amour 128 8/1 3 Chipotle 127 4/1 I would not put anyone off Fearby because it has the best figures on the soft, most of the runners we have to speculate but the price is far too short for me for what it has done so far. And I am sure Martyn Meade would not run Swayze if he didn't think it could handle the ground. 4:10 Goodwood, Opinion based on not
    7 points
  18. Once again we’re in the lap of the gods regarding the weather for tomorrows card at Ascot. Its currently rattling fast and good to firm but with the possibility of the best part of an inch of a rain conditions could easily ease overnight. Or alternatively the localised showers could fail to materialise and we could be racing on a sound surface. I won’t be getting involved until the morning when I see how much rain the track has attracted. The forecast is a lot simpler at York with decent fast ground likely. 7 races on ITV and here’s my thoughts and betting strategy: - Ascot 150
    7 points
  19. All bets are with bet365 and are EW. Newcastle 2.10 Stone Axe 10/1 10th 2.10 Tricky Business 10/3 1st 🏆 2.45 Soapys Sister 4/1 5th 2.45 Miss Nay Never 4/1 1st 🏆 3.55 Misscarlett 11/1 2nd 4.30 Hasty Sailor 7/2 1st 🏆 Newmarket 3.05 Modern Games 4/1 1st 🏆 3.05 Desert Angel 11/2 3rd 4.50 Fools Rush In 4/1 6th It has been a good day overall, hopefully some of you made a profit from my selections.
    7 points
  20. Well thats quite contentious for me to be honest its been my experience that jockeys and trainers are over rated, jockeys can never get a horse to run faster and neither can trainers, all horses have optimal limits which basically means jockeys can only get a horse beaten (how many times have you seen even "top" jockeys cock up?) i concede some trainers appear to be better than others but at the top level they can only train what they have, now there are some very good trainers that are very good handicappers so are expert at choosing "the right race" but then again they also know the races to
    7 points
  21. 4.50 Cartmel When the hunter chase season ended last month I mentioned that Blackjacktennesse was the perfect example of a horse that had been wrongly handicapped by the handicapper as he can't handicap hunter chases. Given he was rated 68 going into the Chepstow hunter chase in April how on earth he decided to stick a horse who had never won before up to 68 I don't know. The form of the race also hasn't worked out and he just wasn't worthy of that mark. Amazingly the handicapper has actually admitted that he did put him into high because after just two runs he has dropped to 83. He ran a
    7 points
  22. Salisbury 1.15 Ask The Wind 8/1 - £5 single Stratford 3.13 Celestial Force 7/4 - £10 single 4.23 Big G 13/8 - £10 single and £10 double. As some of you know I use jockey/trainer combinations to pick my horses and have been doing fairly well recently starting bank £250.00 has risen to £638.63. Last night I had a quick look and 1 of my selections Ask The Wind was in the same race as Roman Mist who I personally thought would win it. What to do, the jockey on mine Mollie Phillips has won her last 4 rides in a row for me and owes me nothing with prices of 15/8, 7/2, 11/8 and
    7 points
  23. Six terrestrial TV races for racing on Friday and the times looked fast enough at Newmarket on Thursday despite the fact they were kicking the top off. York is officially good to soft so best to look for horses who like to get their toe in at the Yorkshire track.. Newmarket 150 A competitive three year old handicap run over 10F. Many of the big Southern stables are represented and it maybe the Newmarket handler William Haggas that takes the spoils with his Pride Of Dubai gelding who made his re-appearance in the Britannia Handicap at Royal Ascot when racing on the seemingly un
    7 points
  24. The Newmarket July meeting kicks off tomorrow with the ground currently good to firm but with plenty of showers around we will have to monitor the ground conditions throughout the week. There’s also a race from Carlisle on terrestrial TV and here’s my thoughts on the ITV quintet:- Newmarket 150 Charlie Appleby’s Yibir has some smart form which ties in with the likes of Derby winner Adayar, Royal Ascot winner Alenquer and Irish Derby runner up Lone Eagle from earlier in the season and looks to hold a decent chance here for the boys in blue. Gelded since last seen he missed his
    7 points
  25. Hi all, used to frequent these forums a while back and had a few succesful threads such as ratings and a maiden race thread. Have a bit more time to get back to doing this now so thought I'd start it up again for this year. To keep things simple all bets will be to a 1pts win with BOG. Hopefully it can be as succesful as it was previously. Cheers
    6 points
  26. I’ve just gone through the 2.50 at Uttoxeter. Storm Home comes out top rated. Won his first chase lto in 13 attempts , but his previous 3-4 runs were encouraging which is probably down to him being upped in distance and he’s rather unlucky he’s only got the 1 chase win to his name. Raised 10Ibs for his 9 length victory lto in a listed race and was eased towards the finish, so I’m confident enough he’s still winnable off this mark. 10 points win at 9/2
    6 points
  27. Not much time today. Big fields and I suggest small stakes The big race 3.35 Asc seems to indicate the favourite but I'm not playing. I would love to see Adayar win this. 2.40 York Blind Beggar £2 win at 8.2 = £21.17 if it wins. Influenced by @TheBrigadierand Jason Weaver on The Opening Show 3.00 Asc Motakhayyel £1 win ins bet at 9/2 @TheBrigadier, Starshiba £1 win at 20/1 Jason weaver (TOS) and Raising Sand £1 win at 25/1 (me) Total Stakes £5.00
    6 points
  28. Speed figures for the 2yo listed and g3 races at ascot, 115 ascot 1 angel blue 123 2 Mr McGann 119 150 Ascot 1 El Hadeeyah 121 (aw) 2 delmona 118 system 118 zain claudette 118 Comment- they seem poor races to me but there you go, I don't use caution but i might recommend others do on these two races. use the kiddies piggy bank you got plenty of time to pay that back before they grow up and slap you b
    6 points
  29. Only looked at one race so far today and unfortunately most of the Class 1 -4 are in the earlier part of the day so I may miss a lot whilst out at lunch Anyway looked at the class 1 event 2.10 Sandown. Inspiral looks to be the top form horse trained by the mighty Gosden team. You could get 2/1 about this one last night and will be lucky to get 7/4 today. It even seems to have an advantage over Wild Beauty in as much as Wild Beauty has to prove it as good over a firm surface. I think that @Zilzaliancould well be OK with Qipao as Mark Johnston's runners always have to be respected.
    6 points
  30. Small recap to date just when I have a minute Thread was started on 8th Sept 2020. Profit since the start of the thread up to yesterday is €9,221 to a fixed €100 stake, profits are net of 2% commission, all prices recorded at Betfair SP. 897 selections. ROI of 10.28%. Starting bank of €10,000. 1% or €100 on each selection to win. Lowest bank balance was €8,986. Current bank €19,221. When I get to one full year posting here I'll reassess, I may look to move to an email system with a cap on subscribers but this will be flagged well in advance if its going to happen and it wil
    6 points
  31. 1:00 wolv - Valentinka 9/2 - 4th 1:35 wolv - Camerily Joe - 6/1 - 1st 🏆 3.20 wolv - Captain Ryan - 9/1 8th 😢 3:55 wolv - Trusty Rusty - 9/2 - 1st 🏆 2:30 Ffos - Eagle's First - 140/1 - Long shot of the day. - 5th 2:30 Ffos - Moqadama - 4/1 3rd paid out on EW extra on bet365 2:30 Ffos - Chifa - 8/1 - 4th - paid out on EW extra on bet365 3:05 Ffos - One Night in Milan - 14/1 - last - what a disaster! 🤣🤣 4:15 Ffos - Beowulf - 3/1 1st 🏆 6:05 Chelms - Irish Times - 15/4 - 1st 🏆 7:35 Chelms - Coupe de Champagne - 14/1 7th 😢 8:10
    6 points
  32. Flat selection Newmarket 1.40 VALUE THEORY 11/4
    6 points
  33. It was a great competition, I really enjoyed it, thank you.
    6 points
  34. Superlative stakes 315 Newmarket 7F 2yo G2. speed figures. 1 Dhabad 122 15/8 2 Mott and the Messer 121 25/1 3 Mr McGann 119 9/1 That's a very skinny price for Dhabad I wont be touching that even with the wife's money. Well that didn't turn out well but Native Trail needs keeping on your side.
    6 points
  35. Well managed to nab a good placed GG (Sam Maximus) at 40/1 despite my nap (Dig Two) totally bombing out to come plumb last, too bad to be true. So we go again with a bunch of not that impressive 2yo's in the Duchess of Cambridge stakes Group 2. 2:25 Newmarket. 1 Hello You 117 11/4 2 Ellade 116 40/1 3 Sandrine 115 15/8 3 Desert Dreamer 115 12/1 Looking at that lot the obvious bet is Ellade @ 40/1. To Win if your man enough or EW if your one of those cautious sensible types. (Well
    6 points
  36. Well Done @Kingdom for for doing the double ! Thank You @MCLARKE for your time ! Well done @Johnrobertson excellent strike rate with a nice profit .
    6 points
  37. I have decided to only look at the better quality races from now on as there are too many races to consider. Class 4 and upwards to class one for me from now on. Only looked at Lingfield and Ponte this morning. No races qualify for a Trixie there but have done some singles 3.45 Lin Marks Bear £1 win at 5/1 3.55 Pon Aramis Grey £1 win at 4/1 4.30 Pon Frankello £1 win at 4/1 = Total stakes of £3 There is a class 2 and class 3 race at WIndsor tonight so this may provide fodder for a Trixie later on
    6 points
  38. 2YO 6F Richmond stakes speed figures 1 Caturra 127+ 2 Perfect Power 127 3 Khunan 125 Hearts says perfect power but gotta go with the figures and to be honest value so Caturra it is at around 10/1 I like this race so im going all in on R/FCast 335 I think if Audarya doesnt win we should all pack up and stick to dominoes back in the smoke room. max max max bet, print your own money. 410 another 2yo race not much to go on but will chuck a speculative one in here South Audley
    5 points
  39. All prices Bet365: 1.50 Goodwood - 1pt e/w Lucander @ 11/1 Looks relatively well handicapped compared to some of these and will handle conditions better than most. Ran a bit flat the last couple of races but had an excuse last time and the return to softer ground looks sure to suit. 2.25 Goodwood - 1pt e/w Austrian Theory @ 28/1 Don't want to back anything at short prices here given the wildly different conditions they are facing and I'll chance the Johnston horse who is bred to stay well and might just handle the conditions better than some of these. Won nicely on debut i
    5 points
  40. My opinion on ew bets which is probably different than most is simple. They are the worst "Horse racing" bets on the planet next to odds on shots and i even struggle to force myself to do a 100/1 shot ew which is an act of stupidity on my part i concede. I avoid short priced horses like the plague so my betting theoretically should all be ew, i did an analysis on my betting book and ew cost me money simply because if i want to invest say £10 i would have had to split that in half to go ew. my analysis showed that the places i got would not beat the win. In other words the £10 win beat the £5ew
    5 points
  41. The basic rule is that each way betting only makes sense for 16+ runner handicaps. There are some exceptions, principally when the favourite is odds on. I cannot see any logic why you would use them in accumulators.
    5 points
  42. Decided to primarily follow overnight market movers today; got too bogged down in ratings yesterday 7.05 Chelm Best class race of the day but can see why most of my fellow forum members have passed it by as it looks to be a very open race. I have put £5.50 to win on Aljady at 4.8 = £20.48 if it wins. It is 5lbs better off with Maysonic for a nose beating in May. It has been running at the wrong distance since. C&D form in a similar class 2 event can't be ignored imo. Also Maysonic price has drifted from a strong overnight position 2.45 Wolv Badlands £4 win at 6.00 = !9.60 if
    5 points
  43. Three selections. One from the flats and two jumps . 3.20 Ayr Top two rated are... Vintager 9 Maries Diamond 7.75 Vintager is the bet, 10 points 3/1 4.10 Cartmel Top two rated are..... Tontos Spirit 9.5 Ballyvic Boru 9 Tonto is the bet, 10 points 9/4 4.45 Cartmel Top two rated are ..... Dressedforsuccess 8.3 Licklighter/ William Of Orange 8.2 Dressedforsuccess is the bet, and is probably well handicapped, 10 points 15/8
    5 points
  44. My whack for today, patent mainly made up of free bet.
    5 points
  45. Won at 2/1. 22 / 66 + 26.19 lsp. +15.92 lsp for the month so guaranteed a profit this month.
    5 points
  46. 2.05 Market Rasen Valentino Dancer 11/1 3.00 Newbury Royal Crusade 11/1 3.40 Newbury Delmona 11/1 4.45 Newbury Mawenzi 3/1 Good luck all CNBB.
    5 points
  47. A big thanks to fader for all the work in running the competition, well done to jockprop, chris353 and stuboy43.
    5 points
  48. 38sdk1

    Wimbledon 2021

    Show a bit of respect. There’s no need to resort to personal insults like that. Nothing ‘gutless’ about it anyway - surely most human beings would expect to be horribly nervous in that situation?
    5 points
  49. CzechPunter

    Wimbledon 2021

    Not sure what you're talking about, I think most of us had good two weeks! Karolina Pliskova (+1.5 sets) to beat Ashleigh Barty at 1.75 with Pinnacle I usually like to protect my betting a bit in the second GS weeks and this one was no exception. Just didn't have any strong feelings and the first week was so good that there was no need to push things. I'm going to take Pliskova, though, after considering everything. Barty hasn't quite faced anyone with a good serve so far and only one in-form player in Kerber as well. Pliskova took a set off Barty in Stuttgart and now the conditions
    5 points
  50. Very well done to @Kingdom for who wins this month's naps competition as well as the KO cup. @Offrampgrabs 2nd with a 11/1 winner on the last day, @glavintobytakes 3rd and a 12/1 winner on the last day secures the final prize for @bymatrix.
    5 points
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