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richard-westwood

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Everything posted by richard-westwood

  1. Only 2nd today ...bummer .... 60.10 pts profit...94.34 inc stakes returned overall ....
  2. Yeah I know ...I was stuck in the hospital with phone dead ..gutted or else I'd have backed it ...truly gutted
  3. 150 chelt Warthog 235 +2 Spiritofthegames 231 +2 I'll play these 2 in open race as they both have that class factor on recent run Warthog 3pts win 11/2 lads Spiritofthegames 3pts win 6/1 sky 4x 2pt win doubles with above race
  4. Skybet chase Azzerti 234 +2 Good man pat 232 +2 Ravenhill road 229 +3 Weights and runners changed so ratings altered accordingly .....top 2 look the ones I want to be on now although ravenhill could improve past them but that's speculative so I'll stick with top 2 Azzerti 3.5pts win 9/1 willh Good man pat 2.5pts win 12/1 bet365
  5. Monbeg non runner ....leaves the race wide open and roaring is easy to back at 12 with some firms ..seems no confidence ....I'll try the saver on Lord schnitzel...he is a complete novice with 5 runs but others seem badly treated and he is 7yo and will carry 10-1 which is a big plus in these conditions ....if he can make it round who knows ....5pts ew 20/1 b365
  6. Prices didn't appear ....falling fast on roaring....mostly 9 now Roaring bull 15pts ew 10/1 betvic Monbeg notorious 5pts ew 50/1 lads
  7. Just finished .... 150 chelt Warthog 235 +2 Western miller 233+2 Spiritofthegames 230 +1 With warthog and spirit at around 7/1 ...Western miller is looking vastly overpriced at 50/1!!!.....not much between the other 2 on last run but warthog has the scope for improvement so gets the vote ...I'll post bets on carribean thread later in week once confirmed but at the m9ment it's warthog and western miller for me in this Skybet chase Just 2 horses left on ratings Chidswell My old gold Both trained by the in form Nicky Richards.....they look very interesting now at around 10 and 14 . ....Will see if both run first ...currently looks promising as trainer has said both will possibly take their chance
  8. Yeah I was just discussing with my friend and we agree we've gotta cover the forecast too ....if a 1000/1 forecast goes in and I missed it I'm throwing myself off a cliff lol
  9. Just for the fun of it I thought I'd pass tomorrow's big race through the computer ....wasn't expecting much as the conditions are heavy and race looked like a 20 horse pinsticker but the computer threw 2 horses miles clear back at me Roaring bull 229 +2 Monbeg notorious 225 +3 Both trained by Gordon Elliot and both gigginstown horses .... I mean how interesting does that make them look now ??.....And if I tell you they are both currently available at 14/1 And 66/1!!!.......I mean that's just crazy .....I don't care if they finish plum last gotta steam in on these 2 I think ......think I'll grab the best ew prices later I can nearest to that and smash 10pts ew and fingers crossed for a nice payday .....especially on the outsider who has it all to do but has patchy form giving him chances so it's possible ......cmon Mr Elliot....!!!
  10. Non runner probably did us a favour today especially as the ground was so bad I wasn't expecting much but overall finished with a 13.10 pt profit .....so that's as good as I could have wished for .... Vintage clouds loves it at haydock and was looking really well weighted so he did himself justice . Total profit 80.10pts .........total including returned stakes to date ..94.34 pts
  11. Well...the weather is atrocious but let's have a go ..... 240 hay Prime venture 4.54 pts win 6/1 b365 Vintage clouds 3.34pts win 17/2 Willh 3.00 asc Espoire de guye 6.35pts win 4/1 bet365 Happy diva 5.77pts win 9/2 b365 Plus 4 x 2.5 pts win doubles Any 1 winner will return a 1.75pt profit overall...2 winners a 100+ profit
  12. Hard one....usually they circle or initial the price to confirm they put it on ...if it was written by you and not circled or anything then they can claim a mistake by their teller that they accepted it without confirming first ......always let them search for the price and put it on then it's much harder for them to worm out of it ......but they shouldn't be rude so I'd have said well fuk you give me my money and I won't be back
  13. I'm at home so spotted a couple of bets ... 355 Newc Zack mayo has been running some good races and looks fairly well treated in context of this race ..6/1 looks good value Zack mayo 5pts win 6/1 corals 430 Newc Amood like above has been running some good times and also looks fairly well treated looks good ew price at 6/1 Amood 5pts win 6/1 bet365 5pt ew double
  14. Well he has seemed exposed for a while but he's dropped to a nice mark now and he loves haydock so I think he's fab ew material for this race ....he's got to run well surely ....I hope lol
  15. This week's leg 1 has to be the peter marsh chase ....no doubt a couple will drop out but hopefully a fair few will run as many of them have wins on soft .... Currently the computer has narrowed to 3 ... Vintage clouds 230 +2 Prime venture 228 +2 Daklondike 225 +1 Hard to separate them currently so hopefully one will drop out and make it easier or I might alter stakes and cover all 3 if odds allow as these 3 are clear of rest and I can't rule out Daklondike completely for a powerful stable ......I really like vintage clouds ....loves haydock ..last 4 runs here are 3213...and is looking a well hcapped horse ....should run well ....prime venture ran in a very strong looking race behind yala enki....that looks strong form so has the ability for sure ......looking for race 2 now ....plenty of action so hopefully I can find a 2nd leg
  16. I don't think there's any right or wrong ...the secret is to find your own niche and something you are comfortable with and if you can consistently make a profit then you've got it made .... Only negative I can see is the low odds and 5.3% means unless you bet large bets then you will spend a lot of time betting for a small return but if your happy just collecting your nice percentage which is better than the banks then good for you and keep doing it ..... .welcome to the forum btw and good luck with your bets
  17. Bit dramatic but a win is a win ...67pts pts profit I'll keep 2 running totals ....total profit and a running total including stakes and profit cos if I can bet 20 or 30pts each week and use same money plus profit to pay for an exotic hol I'd still call that a win win Total profit 67pts ......total including returned stakes 78pts .....start again next week Horses finished 1st and 4th ...not bad
  18. 210 fairy Nothing to write home about ...but 2 horses catch the eye in this ...Articulum who will be very much suited by the drop back to 2 mile over bigger obstacles ....he's been crying out for it so 7/1 looks good value ....also ...ornua who was way out of class last time in grade 1 and now drops into a hcap..4 classes !!!.....should find this much easier so the 12/1 also looks good value Articulum 5pts ew 7/1 b365 Orlua 5pts ew 12/1 corals
  19. Well .....disappointing I must say ....chti balko out ....Alfa out ......and on top of that I can't find a suitable 2nd leg this week all the other races there are only a couple of points between the top 3 or 4 in each race so will have to be this single race only this week and I'll trust the ratings and go on the 2 burrow horses .... Burrows edge 11.89pts 13/2 bet365 Burrows park 8.11pts 10/1 bet365 2x1pt rev forecast Almost 70pt profit if either wins
  20. God ....a day or two later and 2nd pass is usually more accurate but the weights have changed and settled a lot altering the results completely ... My previous fancy Alfa mix still has a good chance but has dropped to 5th on account of the 13lb rise ...not 9lb ...hccapper has hammered him so although still good that's gonna make life difficult now ...I'll be gutted if still wins now but I've got to trust the ratings Chti balko Burrows park Burrows edge Northofthewall Alfa mix This is such a hard race ..really is complicated .....I really did like Northofthewall due to trainers decent record but I keep looking at that last run and to be fair it was nothing special ...maybe improved a couple of pounds but is he suddenly going to improve 10lbs + which I think is what is needed and is he even going to handle this distance in such a competitive race ...it's very debatable making his current price a bit crap value tbh ... Burrows edge is an enigma ....could run really well and is weighted to place ....but falling last time is not ideal So currently that leaves burrow park ...and chti balko....I can oppose both tbh ....Burrows park has struggled off this mark in past but has he improved now ??? And chti balko is high in the weights and 8yo both negatives from trends which isn't good but the 10 length destruction of Burrows park is still fresh and collateral form does seem to frank the rating as chti should finish ahead of burrow on that race even allowing for the definite improvement of the latter .....I can't see the ratings changing much now barring the top horses non running so at the moment its looking Chti balko Burrow park Both are decent prices currently around 12/1 ....hopefully nothing will change by Friday So I can start looking for a 2nd leg now
  21. Do you know what ....I filled it out on bet365 ....got called away then didn't do it ....gutted ..lol ....my heart sank when I saw the result .....27.82 ...oh well
  22. Alfa mix 8/1 Burrows edge 8/1 Echiquier 16/1 Northofthewall 9/1 Current prices suggest echiquier is the weakest of the 4 ....I had Alfa mix written down before I started rating due to his good win on a classy race last time with potentially more to come...yes he's been raised about 9lb but you generally need a touch of class to win this so I'm happy to see him qualifying so def8nately runner 1 I think with a run ....8/1 would be a fair win start too Not sure on other horses yet ....echiquier has patchy form that gives him ew chances at best .....Burrows edge represents good trainer but fell last time which isn't a good prep for a competitive race ......Northofthewall is a lightly weighted improving novice ....I currently think he's 10 -12lb behind Alfa but could improve drastically now stepped up and firing for good trainer ....food for thought
  23. Just preparing for first race this week ....I think the lanzarote hurdle will be the first leg this week ....currently 25 runners I've passed the race through the computer and it threw out 4 horses Alfa mix Burrows edge Echiquier Northofthewall I'm open to any suggestions or thoughts from any one....name of the game is to pick the winner from 2 selections however that happens so any thoughts appreciated ... My current thinking is to wait And see what betting says to see if that helps .....Im thinking top 4 in betting for selection 1 is a must so that might be helpful or not 2nd I'm sure I've read can Skelton does well in this so even though a novice and only raced at 2 mile really Northofthewall is catching the eye too .....Intersting race