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  1. 15 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > September 28th

    Tuesday night summed up the last 2/3 weeks really as things didn't quite go our way. Barnet had a stinker and Halifax should have won only to lose to a late goal in the end. Hopefully I can end the month on a high though as I have 7 bets including some strong selections among them. Previews to follow Barrow v Maidenhead I know Maidenhead have one of the best away records in the league, but I think they have been flattered by their good start and they are beginning to find their natural place in the table. Their last 2 away games have seen a draw at Wrexham and a loss at Barnet and that trend is also in their overall form. They have now not won in 5 games and go to a side in Barrow who are flying at the moment. After beating Yeovil in a live game last month they then failed to win in their next 4 games picking up just a point, but they were playing well and only losing games by the odd goal. They have now won their last 4 and they have scored 3 goals in each of their last 3 games. With Maidenhead only keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 9 games then Barrow will surely be adding to their goals total here. They look a big price at 6/4 to win this. Dover v Halifax As mentioned above Halifax should have won on Tuesday night, but in the end a late Harrogate goal meant they didn't even end up with a point. They look a big price though to beat a Dover side who have only managed to pick up 5 points from their 6 home games so far this season. That includes draws against struggling Ebbsfleet and Chorley so Halifax should pose a much stiffer test. It is annoying that the only time I have tipped Dover away from home this season was the one time they haven't won on their travels this season, but it is clear that Dover at home and Dover away from home are two very different sides. Halfiax have looked strong away from home and I just can't see how they can be nearly 3/1 to win this as I would have them around the 7/4 mark myself. This game is the live BT Sport one on Saturday teatime. Billericay v Dorking Granted it was very poor from Dorking to lose to a side two leagues below them in the FA Cup last Saturday especially given Tooting ended up with 10 men, but this game looks a decent chance to bounce straight back. They have won their last 3 league games and a 3-1 win over Maidstone was a top effort. I suspect everyone reading this knows what has happened at Billericay so I won't go back over it, but they could only manage 5 subs (allowed 7) in their FA Cup game and they only scraped a 1-0 win. One of those subs was new manager Jamie O'Hara who was meant to have retired. More players have left the club this week and although as I type the likes of Jake Robinson are still there, they have been weakened. Dorking are above Billericay in the table as well and we are dealing with a different Billericay from the side who had won 4 of their 5 home league games so far. At over 3/1 the away side seem a sporting play in the circumstances. Eastbourne v Chelmsford Two sides who are under performing so far this season especially the away team whose fans aren't happy with the way things have gone. Their away form has been especially bad as they have only picked up 1 point so far in 5 away games The also lost at Corinthian-Casuals in the FA Cup last weekend and they haven't even managed to win a game in the league below. Including that FA Cup game they have conceded twice 3 times and let in 4 twice. Given all that I just can't understand how bookies can make Chelmsford favs to win this. I accept Eastbourne aren't doing great themselves, but they have only lost one of their last 5 league matches and beat Tonbridge in the FA Cup last weekend. They should be favs to win this so 15/8 is well worth taking. Gloucester City v Guiseley I am backing my own team again here as I just don't see how they can be 5/2 to win this. Having seen them in the flesh against Kings Lynn two weeks ago I was impressed with what I saw and they were within seconds of being the first team to win at Kings Lynn for a long time. Granted Kings Lynn deserved the point, but Gloucester held their own against a team who have started the season very strongly and look at this stage to be certain to finish in the play-offs. Beating Guiseley won't be easy as they have done well themselves this season, but their only away wins so far have come against two of the worst sides in the league Bradford Park Avenue and Blyth. That points to Gloucester having a decent chance and I would make them a point shorter to win. Spennymoor v Kidderminster My strongest bet of the season so far. I know Kiddie have only lost once away this season in the league, but they have had a very kind fixture list so far. They have beaten Bradford, Curzon and Kettering and drew to Blyth. They are currently the bottom 4 clubs in the division. Now Spennymoor are 5th from bottom, but they have clearly been suffering from a play-off final defeat hangover (like Fylde in the league above) and they are much better than a bottom 5 side for me. They have only lost one of their last 6 league games so the signs are there that they will be rising up the table. Kidderminster look a long way from being a side capable of mounting a play-off challenge this season and I would put a lot of money on Spennymoor finishing above them come the end of April. Losing 3-0 at Stafford in the FA Cup replay on Tuesday was another shocker and of course they have had to play an extra game compared to the home side. I am really strong on the home side here and they should be odds on shots in my view. Buxton v South Shields I was very surprised to see South Shields at odds against to win this. The title favourites have only lost won game this season and have won all bar one of the others. Compare this to Buxton who have yet to win and have picked up just 3 points in their first 8 games. Odds against looks a steal to be honest and it will be a surprise if this isn't an away win. Barrow 2pts @ 6/4 with BetVictor Halifax 1pt @149/50 with Marathon Dorking 1pt @ 16/5 with BetVictor Eastbourne 1pt @ 15/8 with Marathon Gloucester 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365 Spennymoor 4pts @ 61/50 with Marathon South Shields 3pts @ 59/50 with Marathon
  2. 15 points
    BillyHills

    World Cup 2018 Competition

    Just an early heads-up for anyone wanting to know what they are going to do without the prospect of entering the Tipsters Competition each weekend once the season finishes in 3 weeks time. Have no fear the PL is here to occupy you for a few weeks during June and July! We will be running our very popular World Cup prediction competition. Details will follow over the next couple of weeks on how to enter and the format we will be using. Entries will need to be finalised before the first match kicks off on June 14th. After that date you can just sit back and watch the action and see all of your predictions come true (or not). No need to register just enter your selections when required. (details to follow) Spread the word, the PL World Cup Competition is back
  3. 10 points
    CzechPunter

    Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season

    Another season comes to an end, so let me now sum things up a bit. Last year, I had a fairly tough time writing the summary, as the results were simply awful - in fact, the worst ever. This time around, they are much better, with picks posted by me finishing with a very juicy ROI of 108.62%. There were exactly 391 picks in total, so slightly more than one per day, and I'm really not sure what to be critical of this time around. The start of the season was fairly average, then it went down a bit and I was hovering with a small profit only, but, since the tournament that Basilashvili won came around, it was a fairly uphill climb with a marvelous finish that led to such a good ROI in the end. The pre-season picks did well too, but that was pretty much locked in as soon as Simona Halep won the French Open at the end of the first half of the season. As far as 2019 is concerned, I don't even know what to think just yet. Novak Djokovic should be the main star if he remains healthy and at least somewhat motivated, but it's hard to guess beyond that, as there are massive questions around Nadal/Federer/Murray that even they might not be able to answer right now. It would be nice for all of them to get at least one bonus year, but that's probably not likely to happen without some lucky breaks. I'm also looking forward to what Raonic is going to attempt after a poor year, while the likes of Thiem and Zverev should only climb honestly. Fingers crossed that at least one "youngster" gets a Grand Slam title in the next season, as those tournaments have been a bit boring for a while winner-wise. The WTA should be crazier and I'm really looking forward to that - not only because of all the different changes to the tournament structure below the WTA circuit, but also because it's essentially guaranteed that there isn't going to be any sort of a dominance anywhere. Simona Halep is going coach-less for a while, which is something I don't see working out well in all honesty, but who knows. Plenty of young players can shine, including Garcia, Ostapenko, Osaka, Kasatkina, and Sabalenka. I'm probably going to dive into some pre-season bets again at some point, but there's plenty of time for that. Finally, I would also like to say a few words about the tennis forums, which were surprisingly active throughout the entire season - and that is something I'm very thankful for. I'm not even going to try to tag all you great guys in this post, as I'm sure that I would miss some and that wouldn't be fair. I only hope that we'll all be able to come together again for the next season - and that perhaps some new faces are going to join in as well. With that, let me wish you a merry Christmas and a happy New Year - and stay safe. See you in 2019!
  4. 9 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > Boxing Day

    Saturday was not great with only Weston winning and Havant really should have covered the handicap with ease instead of only drawing which was especially frustrating. Anyway onto Boxing Day and I have 7 bets including 5 in the National League. Dagenham & Redbridge v Ebbsfleet Dagenham did manage to get pass Sutton in the FA Trophy, but they have lost 8 of their last 9 league games and as I mentioned when tipping Sutton up the 6-1 beating of Aldershot sticks out like a massive sore thumb. I just can't have Ebbsfleet as big as 13/5 for this given they have only lost one league game in their last 8. Granted they have drawn 4 of them, but they have been playing well and are unfortunate not to have picked up more wins. Chesterfield v Solihull Moors Solihull's away form nearly put me off this as it isn't as strong as it should be, but I think the Rotherham loss was to blame for the poor performance at Wrexham in their last away match and then prior to that they had picked up 7 points in their last 3 games on the road. Chesterfield beat Torquay on Saturday, but the home side pretty much gifted them the victory given they conceded in the first minute and then had a man sent off. That was their first win in 8 games and given they are playing the team I think are probably the best in the division it ought to be an away win. Dover v Bromley Bromley blew it big time on Saturday by gifting Eastleigh 3 goals and 3 wins in their last 9 league games is a bit of a concern, but it sums up the league that they are still bang in contention. I have to back them here though given Dover's poor home form which I have often spoken about on here and I would have them as favourites. Harrogate v Hartlepool Got to try again with Hartlepool after the FA Trophy game which should have been a winner. They are the better team for me and they should be wanting to prove a point after blowing a 2 goal lead. Yeovil v Torquay 6 league losses on the bounce for the away side and I just don't see how they can suddenly beat Yeovil who have lost just once in 9. It was an impressive effort to come from 2 down to draw 2-2 at Fylde on Saturday and given Torquay are conceding goals for fun at the moment I can see Yeovil's impressive strike force causing them all sorts of problems. They should be odds on for me. Guiseley v Farsley Celtic The last time I opposed the home side was when they beat Gateshead which is their only victory in 9 league games! Hopefully we can get paid out this time as I think Farsely are the better team. Their away form is the 3rd best in the division only behind the top two in the table and I was impressed with their win against a Leamington side who have been showing a fair bit of improvement. They look value at 19/10. Hendon v Harrow Borough Hendon have proved they can do well against the teams around them in recent weeks and they look a good bet to beat a Harrow side who are badly out of form. They lost 4-0 to Weston on Saturday and have only picked up one point in their last 7 games. Hendon are much better at home than away as well having lost just one of their last 5 on the own patch. Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365 Solihull Moors 1pt @ 34/25 with Marathon Bromley 1pt @ 161/100 with Marathon Hartlepool 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365 Yeovil 3pts @ 107/100 with Marathon Farsley Celtic 1pt @ 19/10 with Bet365 Hendon 2pts @ 129/100 with Marathon I hope everyone has a great Christmas with whatever you have planned and that we can have a profitable Boxing Day.
  5. 9 points
    BillyHills

    Latest Tables - September

    Tea total Malky! have been for a dozen years. ....yeah it keeps me out of trouble mate, 2001 I started on the PL, seen a lot of changes and its looking all right at the minute, lots of decent members, long may it continue
  6. 8 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > January 18th

    Kettering's late late winner was very welcome last Saturday to win at 5/1 and with Gainsborough and the 4pts Nap Havant also winning it was a profitable afternoon. Tuesday saw the only bet Stratford win to keep things ticking over. I have 6 bets across Step 2 and Step 3 this weekend. Southport v Boston (National League North) Southport's run towards the play-offs has hit the rails of late as they have lost 4 games on the bounce. Granted 2 of those were against Chester and one against York, but they have been very leaky at the back conceding 12 goals in that spell. Their wins in their last 10 games have come against some of the weaker sides in the division as well, Leamington, Kidderminster, Gloucester and Blyth so coming up against one of the better sides like Boston I expect it to be a task they aren't up to. Boston were a bit disappointing to only draw with Curzon last time out, but there only 3 defeats in their last 10 games have come against Kings Lynn twice and Spennymoor when they were in flying form. I think Boston should be favourites to win this so they look a good price. Slough v Dartford (National League South) When Steve King first took over at Dartford I mentioned on Twitter that it was a great appointment and they would soon be flying up the table. Why I didn't keep backing them I don't know, but I have hardly put them up for one reason and another yet the have won 6 of their last 7 games. They now look a play-off side and it is no surprise to me as Steve King is a fantastic manager especially at this level. Obviously Slough are flying as well, but they are 4 without a win and they were fortunate to get a point at Billericay last week as they went 2-1 up against the run of play. I don't think there is much at all between these two sides and Dartford are value at 12/5. Witton Albion v Atherton Collieries (BetVictor Northern Premier) I opposed Witton last week and they duly lost 3-1 to Gainsbororugh and I am happy to take them on again here. Atherton really co look a big price given they have only lost one of their last 7 league games. They gave Barrow a fright in the FA Trophy as well and have beaten Lancaster and Stalybridge in 2 of their last 3 league games. The slight concern is Atherton's away from as they have only won twice on the road, but I think that is factored into the price here given Witton are in woeful form at the moment. Stafford v Warrington Town (BetVictor Northern Premier) I am surprised Warringotn aren't odds on for this. Warrington have drawn 5 of their last 10 games, but have also only lost once in that spell as well. They won their first game in 7 last Saturday and hopefully they can kick on again. This game looks a perfect one to pick up another 3 points given how bad Stafford are. They have lost 9 of their last 10 games and look in a desperate shape. I think any odds against price is good value. Hendon v Gosport Borough (BetVictor Southern Premier South) I put up Hendon 4 games ago when they played Harrow and managed to find the game Harrow bounced back to form and they have gone unbeaten since after losing 5 games on the bounce. Hendon then lost to Chesham, but have had two good wins over Weston and Met Police in their last two games. Given they are at home, and 5 of their 6 league wins have been at home, I struggle to see why they should be over 2/1 to beat Gosport here. Gosport have lost their last 2 and have only won one of their last 7 games now. The 4 draws have been against some of the weaker sides in the league as well so they aren't in great form and for me this game is much closer than the bookies have it. Rushden & Diamonds v Stratford Town (BetVictor Southern Premier Central) Stratford's win against Redditch was their first away win of the season and obviously this is a risky bet, but as I wrote on Tuesday they look a much improved squad and they could be about to do a Leiston and go on a much improved run. They battered Redditch and should have scored more and did really well against Stourbridge last Saturday. Speaking of Leiston Rushden beat them 3-2 last week, but that was down to a late winner and I do think Stratford have a sporting chance of picking up another 3 points on the back of the Redditch win. Boston 2pts @ 19/10 with BetVictor (Betfred/Hills) Dartford 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365, BetVictor and Betfred Atherton 1pt @ 12/5 with BetVictor (Marathon) Warrington 2pts @ 133/100 with Marathon Hendon 1pt @ 117/50 with Marathon Stratford 1pt @ 19/5 with Marathon
  7. 8 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > January 8th

    Saturday's results were rather painful and to not end up with at least 1 winner after the way the games had gone was pretty unfortunate. I can only remember 1 team I have backed blowing a 3 goal lead previously and then to have another blow a 2 goal lead on top of that is pretty tough to take. Anyway we move on to the mid-week action and I have 3 bets including the first max bet of the season. Gateshead v Solihull Gateshead lost their 1st home game since September against Maidenhead on Saturday and I think they will lose another one on Tuesday night. The home side are having all sorts of injury problems at the moment which means they can't even fill properly fill a subs bench at the moment and that includes 2 goalkeepers and a youth coach who had to come out of retirement to go on the bench against Maidenhead. The fact they only brought 1 sub on and that was in the 84th minute proves how badly they are suffering from injuries. They have recalled 1 player from a loan and have another coming back from suspension, but they are only a small squad and there is every chance a busy period with so few players is also going to play a factor here. The fact they lost to a truly dreadful Maidenhead on Saturday is also prove that this will be a tough game for them. Maidenhead only managed 1 shot on target the whole game and their keeper didn't have to make a proper save all afternoon either. Solihull are a hell of a lot better than Maidenhead and importantly their away form has been pretty strong of late. If you took the last 10 away league games then Solihull come out on top having lost just 3 in that time. Whilst Gateshead were struggling to muster a meaningful shot Solihull were putting 4 past Eastleigh. It was a very impressive performance and if they preform like that again then there will only be one winner. William Hill are biggest about an away win at 9/5 and I think that is massive because they should be favs given the strength of the team Gateshead will be able to put out. I suspect if Gateshead had played a better team than Maidenhead on Saturday it would have been a heavier defeat and Solihull and like I say they are much better than Maidenhead so hopefully they can do the business. Spennymoor v Kidderminster Kiddie sacked their manager on Monday which isn't a surprise given they have been struggling for wins over the last couple of months and suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat on Saturday at Darlington. They were really poor as well and this is a very tough game back in the North East. Spennymoor did lose to AFC Telford on Saturday, but that was only their 2nd defeat in their last 10 games and they look in much better shape than their opponents coming into this game. I would make them home side a shade of odds on to win this so 27/25 with Marathon looks a fair enough price. Maidenhead v Oxford City There are 3 FA Trophy replays on Tuesday. I did put Havant up against Dover when the game was originally meant to be played before Christmas as Dover had put out a weakened side in the first game, but it is hard to know what sort of side Dover might put out given the busy festive period is now over so I will leave it for now. This game is sort of a replay because Oxford were in front before the game had to be abandoned so they are having to start again on Tuesday. I put City up that afternoon and I am doing so again and the surprising drift to 16/5 is very appealing. I can only imagine Maidenhead are being backed because they beat Gateshead on Saturday, but as mentioned above their is much more to the bare result. Oxford lost 1-0 to St Albans on Saturday, but they ought to have won really and St Albans were making it 7 games unbeaten. They did lose to Hungerford surprisingly on New Years Day, but prior to that they were unbeaten in 7 having won 6 of them. Given Maidenhead look a National League South side there is every chance Oxford can get back to winning ways here which will be deserved after having the first game abandoned about 15 minutes from the end. Solihull 5pts @ 91/50 with Marathon Spennymoor 2pts @ 27/25 with Marathon Oxford City 1pt 19/5 with Marathon
  8. 8 points
    CzechPunter

    Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29

    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.22 with Marathonbet Pretty drastic odds given that Basilashvili has already won three matches against decent opposition in this tournament. Cuevas has always been the better clay court player of the two and everything, but his form has been VERY shaky in recent times and I just don't believe that he can be trusted as a big favorite against players that can actually play, which Basilashvili can. In terms of value, there's only one play to make here and I prefer the outright win over the handicap lines (if Basilashvili loses, chances are that it's going to be by a big margin, he's often that kind of a guy). Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 4.97 with Pinnacle Odds odds odds. Dutra Silva has many of these odd losses against worse players and Safranek will have the home conditions on his side here, so 5.00?
  9. 8 points
    Day 1 3 people had the 16/1 winner of the last race and they lead the way on day 1.
  10. 8 points
    We shall be running a tipsters competition for the Cheltenham Festival starting on March 15th The winner and two runners up will receive cash prizes. Please find all the rules below. I will put up the selection threads each day and the table each evening. Anyone wanting to enter in advance due to lack of access let me know via PM. No need to register, just turn up on the day Rules: 1 selection per race throughout the 4 days at Cheltenham Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over 4 days wins £50 cash via Skrill (follow link to sign up) 2 x Runner Up wins £25 via >Skrill. No edits allowed in selection posts No losses incurred for losers or Non Runners Replacement selections for NR's can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter all 4 days (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leaderboard posted each evening All welcome No need to register
  11. 7 points
    Ryanpete

    Racing Chat - Sun Jan 19th

    3/4 win. .50p lucky 15 (£7.50 stake) rerurned just over 100 👍
  12. 7 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > September 24th

    Nice to be in profit again after a tough couple of weeks and the weekend's profits were given a nice boost thanks to the bookies massive error in the Chertsey game on Sunday. My guess is Bet365 were first to price up and they clearly didn't realise Biggleswade Town had already played in the FA Cup on Saturday. The rest of the bookies to price up the match just blindly followed and it was great to catch them with their pants down with Chertsey doing their side of things on the pitch. There is a full National League fixture list on Tuesday night and I have 4 bets for the action. Aldershot v Yeovil Yeovil did the business for us on Saturday and I am backing them again here. It was a bit nerve wracking in the end with the goalscorer Luke Wilkinson having to go in goal when the keeper got injured and it meant they were down to 10 men as they had used all their subs. Luke then pulled off a wonder save in the 98th minute to keep it 1-0 to the away side. They continue to look strong and now they have been taken over they might well fancy their chances of going straight back up at the first time of asking. Aldershot beat Wrexham on Saturday with a 94th minute winner, but it wasn't much of a game and this ought to be a tougher test for the home side. The 7/4 with BetVictor on the away side looks worth taking. Boreham Wood v Notts County Boreham Wood hadn't won at home since January and then when I opposed them with Dover they duly won 3-1 and they followed that up with a very impressive 4-0 win against Stockport on Saturday. That makes it just one loss in 5 now and Kabongo Tshimanga has carried on his goal scoring form from last season for Oxford City with his 2 goals on Saturday making it 8 for the season. Wood could find it hard keeping him in January as surely Football League clubs are going to be interested. He might well add to his tally here and I am backing them at 7/4 (BetVictor) to make it 3 home wins on the bounce. Notts County aren't playing badly as such, but they keep losing key players to injuries and they lost another one on Saturday in the defeat at Bromley. No Wood have found their groove at home I expect Meadow Park to become a very tough place to visit again and County could come unstuck with a weakened side. Ebbsfleet v Barnet Ebbsfleet were shocking on Saturday in their 3-0 defeat by Barrow. They remain bottom of the table with just one win all season. They had drawn their 3 previous games and did come from 2 down against Woking, but that confidence boost didn't continue to Saturday and manager Gary Hill was not surprisingly not happy about things. Barnet were a bit disappointing in the 2nd half against Halifax on Saturday and lost 4-2 in the end, but they are more likely to bounce back here and obviously playing bottom of the table is going to be easier than playing 2nd. The 141/100 is worth taking with Marathon. Halifax v Harrogate Speaking of Halifax I am backing them to come out on top in this Yorkshire derby. That win over Barnet was a return to form after losing their previous two games and that was certainly a return to form. They have won 5 out of their 6 home games so far and are looking so much better than Harrogate at the moment. They have only won one of their last 6 games and that came over Chorley when they were really struggling. They look a fair way from being capable of reaching the play-offs as they did last season and Halifax should be around even money for me not the 29/20 (BetVictor) that they currently are. Yeovil 1pt @ 7/4 with BetVictor Boreham Wood 1pt @ 7/4 with BetVictor Barnet 1pt @ 141/100 with Marathon Halifax 2pts @ 29/20 with BetVictor
  13. 7 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > October 30th

    Saturday was a blank day. Aldershot and Halifax were poor, Dulwich could have won and somehow Stockport failed to beat a 10 man Nuneaton. It is a full fixture list in the 3 National League's on Tuesday and as much Tuesday's can be a nightmare I fancy 7 bets on the night. Eastleigh v Leyton Orient Eastleigh won their first game under their caretaker manager on Saturday when beating Halifax, but as mentioned above Halifax were poor and I don't think Eastleigh had to do much to beat them. This game is very different and Orient were superb in taking apart Havant on Saturday. The Havant manager said afterwards they were easily the best side they have played so far this season and with Salford having a mini wobble that 4-0 win took them back to the top of the table. I am amazed that Orient are drifting as I think they should be odds on to take this and Marathon's 127/100 makes plenty of appeal. Ebbsfleet v Maidstone I admit I am taking a bit of a chance here as Maidstone have lost their last 3 league games, but it is worth considering 3 things in this game. First of all Maidstone did manage to beat Leyton Orient in the FA Cup so that was a decent effort. Secondly Maidstone's away form has improved a little of late as they managed to beat Braintree and Aldershot before losing to AFC Fylde in their last 3 away matches. The 3rd point is Ebbsfleet's home form which is shocking as I have pointed out quite a few times on here of late. Now it was a great result to get a point at Salford on Saturday and the expected departures hasn't happened as of yet, but I can't overlook their dreadful away efforts. Maybe this being a derby might perk them up a bit, but I think that could be a factor for Maidstone as well and they are capable of pulling off a victory here. I am certainly happy to take a chance on an away win at 26/5 with Marathon. Sutton v Chesterfield Chesterfield are the draw specialists having now drawn their last 4 league games and 6 of their last 8 have been draws. The two defeats in that spell were when they couldn't defend against Gateshead and Maidenhead and conceded 3 goals in each game, but since those two they have defended much better and yet again have made themselves hard to beat. They did manage to beat AFC Fylde in the FA Cup, but as we know in the league they can't buy a win. They tried hard against Wrexham on Saturday, but they just couldn't find a winning goal however hard they tried. Sutton have drawn 3 of their last 5 home matches with the other two games being the two freak results of losing 4-0 to Boreham Wood and then beating Wrexham 3-0. I know there are 14 points between the two sides, but I suspect in reality there probably isn't that much between the two teams. I rarely put up a draw, but I do think it looks the value play in this game and at 13/5 with Bet365 it is worth a bet. AFC Telford v Hereford Neither of these sides have been winning much in recent weeks as after a cracking start to the season Telford had a bit of a blip by not winning in 5 (although they did draw with leaders Chorley), but they were back to winning ways when coming from a goal down against in form York to win 2-1 on Saturday thanks to a late winner. They still sit in the play-off places whereas Hereford sit one place outside the relegation zone having only picked up two points in their last 9 games. New manager Marc Richard's hasn't really seen an improvement from his side so far and Boston put 3 past them on Saturday. To be fair Hereford were the better side in the first half, but they couldn't make it count and were very much 2nd best in the 2nd. The goal on Saturday was only their 3 on the road so far this season and I am surprised that Telford are as big as 7/5 (Bet365) as I would have them as stronger favourites. FCUM v Alfreton Going to take a chance on FUCM here as they have shown improvement in their last couple of games. The new manager only started on Saturday and he oversaw a 1-1 draw with Brackley which was a good effort, but last week they caused a huge upset when winning at 2nd place Kidderminster. They haven't won at home yet, but I wouldn't read too much into that given how poor they have been for most of the season. Alfreton have now lost 5 on the bounce in the league and although it was a late winner from Chester to beat them 3-2 on Saturday that will have been a painful defeat to take on the back of the other loses in the league. At 13/5 with Bet365 I think the home side are a sporting bet. Southport v Curzon Ashton Quite why the bookies continue to price up Southport so short I am not sure given they are bottom of the table. They are by far my worst ante-post tip of the season given they were my main selection for the title and I can't believe how badly they have done. Their only league win was a 4-1 victory over Nuneaton which sums up their season really. Curzon have only lost to Boston in their last 6 games and they sit in 2nd place in the away table in the league and are only behind Chorley on goal difference. Also Chorley are the only side they have lost to on their travels. For them to be over 3/1 to beat the bottom side seems bonkers to me. Weston-Super-Mare v Torquay One of the strangest results of the season so far was Weston beating Bath in the FA Cup last week because Bath should have been way too strong for them. Weston only have 2 points in the league and were bad yet again on Saturday. I wasn't sure Gary Johnson was the right fit for Torquay, but he has really transformed them so far and got them scoring goals which was something they weren't doing before. Impressive again at the weekend and I just don't see how they don't pick up another 3 points here. Both sides are in the FA Cup 1st Round, but that is going to be the highlight of Weston's season so no surprise if the players have one eye on that. Leyton Orient 2.5pts @ 127/100 with Marathon Maidstone 1pt @ 26/5 with Marathon Sutton v Chestefield 1pt draw @ 13/5 with Bet365 AFC Telford 2pts @ 7/5 with Bet365 FCUM 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365 Curzon Ashton 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365 Torquay 4pts @ 47/50 with Marathon
  14. 7 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > March 24th

    So close to landing a massive price treble in midweek with Maidstone drawing in the end against Macclesfield although a 2nd injury time winner in two days was always going to be a tough ask. Results really are all over the place in the National League at the moment and it certainly pays to pick and choose what games to get involved with and even then not get too heavily involved unless there is very good reason for doing so. I do have one bet in the division this weekend, but the main ones yet again come from lower down the pyramid. Ebbsfleet v Maidenhead I just get the sense that Maidenhead are beginning to coast a little bit as we reach the tail end of the season. They don't really have anything to play for now as they can't reach the play-offs and they are a big price to end up in the bottom 4. A 1-1 draw against Boreham Wood was a fair result, but they were poor last Saturday when losing to Barrow as they were the Saturday before when losing 7-1 at Gatsehead. Indeed in their last 10 away games they have only beaten Hartlepool and Guiseley which doesn't say an awful lot. Ebbsfleet haven't played for two weeks so certainly no excuse about them having tired legs and they won 4 on the bounce prior to a 1-1 draw against Leyton Orient. They do have the odd blip at home and defeat to Chester and a 3-0 loss to Boreham Wood weren't great, but otherwise they have been hard to beat. They still have a chance of the play-offs so have plenty to play for unlike their opposition. I think the home side should be a shade of odds on here so 13/10 with Marathon makes plenty of appeal. FCUM v Bradford Park Avenue The home side look a massive price here. I have written a few times about FCUM's great home form and their last 10 home games record reads won 7 drawn 2 and lost 1, That is impressive especially for a team who are in a relegation battle. It is their away form that has been the big problem, but their home should see them safe. They have played 2 games more than their opponents here, but they are actually only 4 points below them in the table which shows how congested it is. Bradford haven't won in 5 now and that includes a defeat to bottom side North Ferriby. They have won just once in their last 10 games. You get the sense after over achieving for most of the season that they are getting close to where they should be in the table. I think the home side should be favourites so the fact they can be backed at 85/40 with Marathon makes them a good bet. Southport v Alfreton Southport aren't quite odds against this week as the bookies are slowly catching up with their form. Another 3-0 win against AFC Telford last Tuesday means they have now scored 3 goals in their last 5 games and have conceded just once as well. That is impressive form and I think they can continue that run against a struggling Alfreton side who were pretty poor when losing to AFC Telford on Tuesday night. With Southport having had a near two week break that should mean they are fresher than Alfreton as well. Regular readers will know I don't often tip up odds on shots but at Marathon's 17/20 I think they offer plenty of value still. Whilst I was writing the previews it was announced that Ross Hannah is joining Southport on loan until the end of the season and that is a plus for me. Hemel Hempstead v Gloucester City I am going to back my own side on Saturday and it is a game I am going to as well. Hemel have threatened to play a part in the title race all season, but that has realistically gone now and they have to concentrate on finishing in the play-off places. That could be easier said than done because they have only won one of their last 6 games and they have blown leading positions against Chelmsford and Dartford. Now Chelsmford are 6th and Dartford 2nd so a Gloucester side in 12th place should be an easier test. But Gloucester are the form side in the division right now. They have only lost once in their last 9 and that came against top side Havant when they only had 10 men and even then they were unlucky to lose. Given issues off the field and the fact it looked like we were going to be fighting for relegation at the turn of the year it is quite staggering that we even have half an eye on the play-offs. Granted Hemel don't lose at home all that often, but they have lost to Poole and Hungerford in their last 5 home games so they have been fair from bomb proof of late. Gloucester are nearly 3/1 with Marathon which looks big to me as I think we should be around the 2/1 mark. Lowestoft v Burgess Hill Backing a side who have only picked up 1 point in their last 9 games is hardly something you would expect me to do and usually it would be a crazy thing to do, but I have to take Lowestoft on again. Burgess Hill are bottom and a bit detached although they do have games in hand and this really is a must win if they want to survive. These are clearly two bad teams, but the bookies still haven't caught up with the problems at Lowestoft and at 16/5 with BetVictor the away side have to be worth a punt as they shouldn't be that price. Ebbsfleet 1.5pts @ 13/10 with Marathon FCUM 2pts @ 85/40 with Marathon Southport 4pts @ 17/20 with Marathon Gloucester 1pt @ 72/25 with Marathon Burgess Hill 1pt @ 16/5 with BetVictor
  15. 7 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > Jan 1st

    A small loss to end 2017, but it has been a hugely successful calendar year and hopefully 2018 will be just as good. The weather looks better so hopefully that shouldn't be an issue and I have 8 bets in total. AFC Fylde v Tranmere Tranmere are really finding their feet now and are looming large as they continue their rise up the table. They are the best side in the division for me and finally everything is clicking and they are looking really impressive. They win their game in hand and they would be in 2nd place behind Macclesfield. They have now won 5 on the bounce in the league and have just one defeat in their last 10 league matches. Now their away form has been a bit in and out, but they only played one away league game in December and that was the impressive 3-1 win at Sutton. Prior to that they drew 2-2 against Macclesfield when the home side equalised in injury time. Having put 4 past Fylde on Boxing Day you would be hopeful they can get another 3 points. The home side got a good win on Saturday coming from a goal down against Maidenhead and they have lost just two home league games all season. Having said that prior to playing Ebbsfleet on December 23rd their last home league game was November 18th. Micky Mellon said Fylde made it hard for them on Boxing Day despite the scoreline and I am sure they will again, but I think they are value to keep the winning run going. Marathon have them at 6/4 to do so. Dagenham & Redbridge v Leyton Orient Sounds like Dagenham deserved a point against Ebbsfleet even if the equaliser did come late on. Even so I think what I wrote in that preview still holds true and I just can't get over the price on Orient here. They were really unfortunate to lose 1-0 to Bromley on Saturday having gone down to 10 men early on as they had numerous chances to at least get an equaliser. Justin Edinburgh has really improved them and as Boxing Day proved Orient look a play-off challenging side rather than a team near the relegation zone. After beating them 2-0 a week ago it makes little sense to have them at 7/2 (Marathon) to win this game. Granted playing over 80 minutes with over 10 men isn't ideal, but for me that is more than factored into the price. Solihull Moors v Maidenhead The home side have definitely improved since Mark Yates took over and it was a close game between these two sides which Maidenhead won 1-0. Solihull then got a cracking victory at Barrow on Saturday and on the back of that I think they can pick up another 3 points here. As mentioned above Maidenhead blew a 1-0 lead on Saturday to Fylde and as their record suggests they are a very in and out side. With home advantage I am surprised Moors are 41/20 to win this because I would probably just about make them favs. Bromley v Ebbsfleet This is the live game on Monday and it does seem a bit of an odd pick although I am hoping the away side edge it. Granted their away form hasn't been the best and they have picked up just 2 points in their last 5 away games, but again as mentioned above that is a bit misleading because the Fylde game was their only away league game last month and I think they are playing better than they were in November. Bromley still don't really convince me and they look a mid-table side. As mentioned above they had luck on their side against Orient in that win and I can't make them such strong favs to win this. Ebbsfleet look decent value at Bet 365s 21/10. Alfreton v Stockport Now Stockport have only won two away league games all season, but they have only lost one of their last five on their travels which was a 3-2 defeat a Brackley. Travelling to Alfreton is going to be a very different story as they have lost their last 5 home league games and conceded 13 times in those games. That Brackley defeat is Stockport's only loss in their last 7 league games whereas Alfreton have lost 7 of their last 8 league games which tells its own story. At 143/100 with Marathon Stockport look a nice price. Bognor Regis v Havant & Waterlooville These two teams drew 0-0 on Boxing Day, but as regular followers will know Havant's away form is way better than their home form. It reads won 8, drawn 2 and lost just 1. They are unbeaten in 10 league games now as well and I fancy them to win this. Bognor have drawn their last 3 games, but they have only won once in their last 10 and they haven't won in their last 9 home matches. The vast majority of bookies are either odds on or evens about an away win which makes Marathon's 117/100 a real stand out bet. Eastbourne v Whitehawk I have to back Whitehawk again as I did on Boxing Day as they were all over Eastbourne, but just couldn't score and they were defeated 1-0 and the Eastbourne goal was a penalty. I am clearly not the only person who thinks Whitehawk might get their first win of the season as they have been backed, but they are still value for me at Marathon's 73/20 as there is nowhere near the gap in class between these two sides as the betting suggests, in fact I would have them pretty much the same price. Merstham v Worthing You never really know what you are going to get from the home side as prior to losing their last two games, they were unbeaten in 4, but prior to that they had lost 4. Losing 3-1 to Tooting on Saturday was a poor effort and I just have to back Worthing again. I know they only drew against Lowestoft, but they played well again and the fact remains they are making themselves very hard to beat at the moment. No way should they be 31/10 (BetVictor) to win this and they have to be backed. Tranmere 1.5pts @ 6/4 with Marathon Leyton Orient 1pt @ 7/2 with Marathon Solihull Moors 1pt @ 41/20 with Marathon Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365 Stockport 2pts @143/100 with Marathon Havant & Waterlooville 3pts @ 117/100 with Marathon Whitehawk 1pt @ 73/20 with Marathon Worthing 1pt @ 31/10 with BetVictor
  16. 7 points
    CzechPunter

    March 13 - March 19

    Wanted to write a longer post at some point, so here we go, feel free to skip if you care about tips only . We're somewhere at the end of the first quarter of the season/start of the second one and I think it's been a fairly tough going for most punters really. Certainly not all, as we're seeing on this forum, and I myself am sitting somewhere in a very tiny plus at the moment, which is probably good given the big pre-AO slump, but also bad given that I had a tremendous run a few weeks a go. Anyway, what I think is that we're now really going through some sort of a transition period, with many of the big names slowly falling away. Djokovic isn't a beast anymore, Nadal is beatable even by the likes of Querrey, Berdych and Isner have dipped big time, etc. Meanwhile, the new big names like Thiem, Zverev, etc. are yet to become very consistent. This is exciting on one hand, but it also muddies the waters big time in terms of betting, so one has to adapt somewhat. I'm certainly going to hunt for more value in the long shots department from now one if the opportunities arise, perhaps more Challengers as well. I wish there was some sort of a silver bullet, but there isn't - more research and more tough work awaits everyone who wants to bet on tennis now I'm afraid. The one thing, for example, that I have strong feelings about now is that short-odds accumulators aren't viable in the current climate. When you have guys like Cilic and Berdych losing from massive leads nearly every single day, it's not "investing" (as some are calling short-odds betting), but walking through a minefield. In fact, perhaps the opposite could be a much better approach, throwing two underdogs together for nice returns, although that's obviously nothing for the faint of heart. Am I just rambling or does anyone else have similar thoughts about the current tennis "climate"? Who do you think the next strong-but-not-best layer could be - I'm talking the next Berdychs/Isners/Tsongas? Personally, I'm thinking Pouille, Kyrgios, Nishioka, Goffin, Sock, with Zverev and Thiem perhaps rising above them.
  17. 6 points
    richard-westwood

    Carribean or bust

    Had a few discussions with people and seems there's a taste for a bit of fun this year and a thirst for decent big wins ...... trying to get a bit of excitement involved in the weekly racing mainly the big weekend races and regular big festivals .....so I'll start this topic devoted solely to bets on 2 of the best weekend races ....prices allowing of course ....if I can only find 1 race with decent odds to risk ratio then it will be one or even none if all crap ......main aim is to just have a bit of fun with the weekend big races using my ratings whilst having a shot at a big win each week and who knows what could happen ....might bust out ....or with a touch of luck if I can build up a decent win here or there there might be an excess at some point enough to book a nice holiday ......small excess it might just be a weekend in bath lol... or a good couple of weeks and suddenly 600 or 900 up and you could be looking at a week or two somewhere more exotic .... I love my racing anyway and I like to get involved anyway so can't really lose but it will certainly be fun to try and if the first race wins each week it will generate some exciting 2nd races especially if the prices are big and you are looking at booking up that week ...eek...I.e 3pts on 12/1 is 39 pts ....carrying onto 16/1 2nd leg ..wins around 663 for the doubles and aboutv140 for the singles roughly so that's 800pts ....airport here I come !! I've come up with a few rules and strategy .....I'll stick mainly to big hcaps and probably rate as many as I can ....hopefully 4+ and pick the strongest 2 races I can where the top 2 are furthest ahead of the 3rd rated .....that should be a good starting point ... Also one of the top 2 must be in the first 5 betting ....as this seems to boost the horses chance twofold sometimes ....it doesn't matter about the 2nd horse as that is effectively the race wildcard and backable at any price especially as win bets I'll be paying attention to betfair prices on the outsiders because I've lost count how many times I've backed at 16/1 with bet365 only to see 25.0 later on betfair which will make a huge difference long term ..... Also I will only be backing Friday evening so as to avoid any non runners .....might mean slightly smaller odds but guaranteed best chance of a run and no loss due to any antepost rules so that will avoid silly losses ... Overall .....it's not hard ....only what id be doing anyway so I may as well have a shot and have some fun with it Start Friday
  18. 6 points
    Christmas Tipsters Competition For the first time we will be running a Tipsters Competition over the Christmas Period. It will start on Boxing Day and will last or 3 days covering a selection of the top races. Dec 26th : Kempton Park, Wetherby, Wincanton Dec 27th: Kempton, Chepstow, Leopardstown Dec 28th: Leopardstown, Newbury Rules: 1 selection per race throughout the competition Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over the competition wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account. No edits allowed in selection posts No losses incurred for losers or Non Runners Replacement selections for NR's can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter everyday (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leaderboard posted each evening All welcome, no need to register Winners will also receive PL Merchandise
  19. 6 points
    rolandcooper

    Naps - Wednesday Oct 9th

    3.05 Navan - Doonard Prince 40/1@Coral
  20. 6 points
    Sir Puntalot

    Following tipsters?

    to Punters Lounge @BetterBettor Put quite simply, there is just no need to pay for tips. There is never any guarantee a previous years record will be repeated the following year. It's much better to improve your own knowledge and style of betting, whilst managing your betting bankroll strictly, in fact this is the most important thing of all. Punters Lounge has in house tipsters as well as some phenomenal members who post great tips each and every day. We have an ethos that no part of this website will ever be charged for, unlike say Racing Post. You really have all the things you need right here for free, and shrewd punters to interact and learn from too. With all the updates we have coming, this will only be enhanced and we won't stop until we're the No.1 site for all punters providing everything they need completely free. It takes time, but we're making great progress in the background with our development team.
  21. 6 points
    CzechPunter

    US Open 2019

    Right, so it's apparently time for the last Grand Slam of the season. Usually, I'd be rather excited and thrilled for the event, but, somehow, I find it really hard to get my hopes up, as I've been a bit disappointed by this season so far. Not results-wise, not betting-wise, I don't know what it is, but I just found it really hard to like a lot of matches. Some of the finals were great and the Grand Slams were quite nice as well, but the smaller tournaments...meh. Anyway, we now have a full set of matches ahead of us on Monday and Tuesday, so I suppose that I should just shut up and get right to them, eh? On another note, good luck to everyone who participates and an even better luck to everyone who gets a few posts in! Day One Let's start with the obvious one here, which is Williams to beat Sharapova. I've been looking at that bet pretty much ever since the draw was published and I think that there's every chance we're going to see a quick win for the American here. She's not at her best, of course, but there's still a lot of bad blood between the two and Sharapova is in an even worse form, so Serena should just get the job done in what should be an exciting night session. Sharapova doesn't have enough power to compete with ball-bashing right now, it really is that simple. The second bet that I like is Muchova to recover from her defeat against the in-form Linette with a good win over Rybakina, who just doesn't have enough experience at this level and who will probably need a year or two before becoming competitive in Grand Slams. Muchova is solid, did well in the tournament last time out, and has enough match practice under her belt. In terms of upsets, I wouldn't be shocked to see Martincova being fairly competitive against Pliskova, who tends to have slow starts and who might not fancy trying really hard against a compatriot that she knows isn't particularly strong. Martincova is coming off the qualifiers and should get the 17.5 games line covered much more often than not imo. Finally, on the acca side of things, I'm picking Berdych to beat the young American Brooksby, the in-form Nishioka to beat the very average Giron, and Kerber not to mess up against Mladenovic. Serena Williams (-4.5) to beat Maria Sharapova at 1.87 with Pinnacle Karolina Muchova (-2.5) to beat Elena Rybakina at 1.83 with Bet365 T.Martincova/K.Pliskova - Over 17.5 games at 1.72 with Bet365 Berdych + Nishioka + Kerber at 2.08 with Bet365 Day Two On day two, I very much fancy Linette to continue her good form and beat Sharma, who hasn't been doing all that well recently and who doesn't have much Grand Slam experience either. The fact that Linette has an extra day off should be of a great help and she is a solid type that doesn't have too many letdowns. Apart from that one, I also like two underdogs, Guillermo Garcia-Lopez and Andrey Rublev. The latter was naturally very good lately, while Tsitsipas is one of those players that blow hot and cold and who's blowing cold at the moment by the looks of everything. He's obviously somewhat better and more composed, but he's also sliding into some sort of a Zverev situation and could be ripe for a loss in what is a not particularly ideal first round draw. The outright price is juicy and appeals. Meanwhile, GGL seems to be going through a nice patch with a good run in the qualifiers, while Isner has been very disappointing recently. He would in an even poorer form without the serve to fall back on and this is the factor that isn't exactly making me love the outright option, but we're getting a nice price for four or more sets and that's what I'm going to go for. Magda Linette (-2.5) to beat Astra Sharma at 1.88 with Pinnacle Andrey Rublev to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at 2.92 with Pinnacle J.Isner/GGL - Over 3.5 sets at 1.83 with Unibet Outrights In terms of outrights, there are only a couple that I fancy. First, I like the odds for Nadal to win the entire thing, as he's been the most convincing of the bunch in the lead-up tournaments and as he still has what it takes to win. Second, Medvedev looks a juicy price to go further than Federer, as I think that the latter might suffer some sort of a Millman accident again after looking mentally beaten after Wimbledon. And, even if that doesn't happen, Medvedev's form might be good enough to carry him further on its own. Rafael Nadal to win US Open 2019 at 4.00 with Bet365 Daniil Medvedev (vs. Roger Federer) at 3.00 with Bet365
  22. 6 points
    darko08

    Tennis Tips - March 4 - March 10

    @money44 these are my finally official bets. Low stakes all of them obviously because they are all non-favorite players. If i get profits at the end of the round i will do this more regularly. Kaia Kanepi to beat Julia Gorges at 2.30 with William Hill Kanepi has already win 1 match here against Larsson (6-2, 6-2). Gorges started the year winning in Auckland but did nothing remarkable since then and she comes here after losing in the first round in Dubai against Riske (6-4, 7-5). Mona Barthel to beat Madison Keys at 6.25 with 888 Keys has never won more than 1 match in any of her 6 participations here. She has lost in the first round the last 3 years here without winning any set. This will be the first match for her since the Fed Cup. Barthel has already win one match here against Lin Zhu in a 3 set match. Jessica Pegula to beat Lesia Tsurenko at 2.50 with William Hill Pegula destroyed Zarina Diyas in the first round (6-1, 6-1). She has played a couple of Finals this year in minor events but beating some interesting players. This will the first match for Tsurenko here and she did nothing remarkable since her quarterfinals in the US Open. Alja Tomjlanovic to beat Aryna Sabalenka at 3.70 with betfair Alja has already win 1 match here against Cornet (7-5, 6-3). Sabalenka is the favorite but Alja will have more chances than the odds suggest. Ricardas Berankis to beat Jan-Lennard Struff at 2.75 with 888 I don’t understand this big favoritism for Struff. Berankis did very well in her previous tournament in Dubai, winning there against Lestienne, Basic, Medvedev and Kudla. He finally lost against Monfils in a 3 set match. Struff has did nothing remarkable since a long time (even he lost in Rotterdam against an unknown player in straight sets) so I don’t understand these odds. Felix Auger Aliassime to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at 3.25 with bet365 Felix has already win 1 match here against Norrie (6-2, 6-3). This will be the first match for Tsitsipas here. I think he’s overrated for his last results and I expect a long match here with good chances for Felix to win this one. Philipp Kohlschreiber to beat Nick Kyrgios at 2.75 with William Hill Kohls has already played one match here against Herbert (6-4, 6-0). This will be the first match for Kyrgios here. He comes here after winning in Acapulco so Im not sure about his implication here (even with Kyrgios implicated Kohls should have more chances than the odds suggest). Martin Klizan to beat Alexander Zverev at 6.25 with 888 Klizan is very good, if he's implicated and plays as he can he will put Zverev in troubles. He has already 1 win here against the other Zverev (6-1, 6-4).
  23. 6 points
    Actually super happy I didn't overtake demios, wouldn't seem right as they weren't able to play the last leg. Well done demios, superbly consistent once again Well played everyone
  24. 6 points
    Jurgen Melzer to beat Milos Raonic at 6.09 with Pinnacle Fully agree with @opole on this, the odds are just too juicy. Marco Cecchinato to beat Henri Laaksonen at 1.68 with Unibet Yannick Mertens to beat Harry Bourchier at 1.56 with Pinnacle These two picks aren't really about backing Cecchinato and Mertens, even though they aren't bad players by any stretch of imagination. It's just that I really don't rate their opponents at all. Laaksonen has been a mess for quite a while now, he doesn't have what it takes to compete on the main tour these days really, while Bourchier doesn't have what it takes to compete in Challengers imo, he's a futures-level guy all things considered.
  25. 6 points
    BillyHills

    Latest Tables - August

    Final Table Some cracking totals this month and it was Donnyflyer who came out on top. Trotter, Vangovin and Btugero fill the places. Soi Bongkot won the KO Cup 25 players ended in profit and will play in the Cup next month which starts tomorrow. Prizes £80 : Donnyflyer £40 : Trotter £20 : Vangovin £10 : Btugero £30 Cup: Soi Bongkot Can all winners pass on their PayPal email address, PL Name and Prize being claimed to: team@punterslounge.com And if you have not already won a Mug and Pen set then you can claim one of those too!
  26. 6 points
    BillyHills

    Final Tables

    Final Tables Thanks for those who stayed til the end, it brings the curtain down on an enjoyable season and hopefully the competition brought a bit of added interest for us football fans. Dont forget to enter the World Cup Comp which will keep us occupied throughout June and July. Prizes : Please contact team@punterslounge.com with your PayPal details, PL name and what prize you are claiming. Please allow 14 days for payment as we have to wait for everyone to claim before submitting them. Div 1: £75 Skittle, £45 Woodys Way, £25 Terminator1 Div 2: £60 Corky, £40 Alley Cat Glover, £20 The Sexless Innkeeper Div 3: £50 Balearic Betas, £30 Yanko79, £20 Gzeven Div 4: £40 Mabs, £25 Vangovin, £15 Wivz03 Div 5: £35 Barnsley Chop, £20 Sugardaddyken, £10 Crazy Suzy Div 6: £30 Botmission, £15 Buga00, £10 Seanbear Many thanks
  27. 6 points
    bluemal

    Naps Competition - Thursday Dec 7th

    Wincanton 2.40 Goring One @ 14/1 bet365 e/w thanks Goring One......from Anna Newton-Smith yard the old yin at 12yo may still have a win in him , He's been a winner of seven chases from 2m 4f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to soft and has a good record round here, He has one of the older jockeys in Andrew Thornton in the saddle and has been successful on him here and at other tracks , the yard at his age are having the cheekpieces on for first time so yard must think his mind must be wandering and hopefully concentrate and find another win over a track he likes, He's ran 41 races 35 over fences and only 6 over hurdles in his younger days and has only fell twice and they where over hurdles and never had a frame finish hurdling
  28. 6 points
    Snoopdog

    Stats

    Billy H, Your selections are great - everything over 100% ROI. I previously mentioned that when Sam Turner won the newspaper tipsters competiton, he was running about 96%. We all have our style of bet - which usually means - do you want a chance of winning big; or do you want to win often. I'm in the latter group. I also love an "easy" selection where I can rely on a website, etc for a decent shot with little thinking - whether it be horses, football or american football. If I have the time, I'll add in my judgement. Keep up the good work.
  29. 6 points
    Final Table Glavintoby lands the spoils after his two winners at 20/1 and 14/1 on the last day Any errors speak up and i'll sort it out. Just one competition left for this year and that is the Doncaster St Leger Festival in a couple of weeks. Thanks for the support All prizes will be paid via Paypal Send us your PayPal email, PL name and prize being claimed to team@punterslounge.com £60: Glavintoby £25: Trotter £15: Costello
  30. 6 points
    jinxy

    Monthly Naps - Wed Aug 16th

    2:50 Salisbury waseem faris 20/1 bet365 please
  31. 6 points
    Hello from Finland. Interesting fact about SJK Seinäjoki - KR Reykjavik. The away team have booked a hotel in downtown Seinäjoki right next to a local tango/pop festival. Good luck getting a decent sleep tonight. We had a poor start at veikkausliiga and head coach was sacked two times. First issues with the board and the second time poor performances. We have had had scoring issues lately but Aristote "Totti" Mboma is fit again and should be helping with that. We have a quite new home stadium and expected to be sold out (about 6000) and artificial grass so that is in our advantage as well. Ill take SJK Seinäjoki @ 2,75 Nordicbet
  32. 5 points
    Ok, I've been holding this info back for a while and this PL Poker Championships has been hastily arranged because of it. I held this info back because I didn't want it to appear to be attention seeking, but here it is... I got diagnosed with advanced Cancer a while back which is now terminal and nobody knows how many more of these I'll see. However, knowing the stubborn twat I am, I'll still be around in 10+ years annoying everyone going all in with 26o! I'd REALLY LOVE it if everyone turned up and left APAT until 2021. I don't look ill and strangely don't feel ill and I know this will be shocking news to a number of people who have known me years, but I'm every bit the same sarcastic twat you've all met previously and in great form! Let's make this one to remember, no morbid stuff, just poker, alcohol, shits and giggles.
  33. 5 points
    rolandcooper

    Naps - Thursday Oct 31st

    5.10 Kempton - Champion Brogie 20/1@Bet365 Reserve:6.40 Kempton - Star Archer 0.5pts e/w 28/1@PaddyPower
  34. 5 points
    Well .....that was worth waiting for ....430 pts returned !!...fill ya boots
  35. 5 points
    PercyP

    Naps - Fri Sept 6th

    Riviera Nights 3.05 Ascot (Win 12/1Skybet) Sold for £120k in the Autumn Sales, Riviera Nights 2019 form figures of 3, 0 and 0 do not look good. However these were in higher class races than this one. With top jockey W Buick, top trainer Richard Hannon, a distance winner and down in class, what's not to like. He will surely go close.
  36. 5 points
    Jan-Lennard Struff to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 2.57 with MarathonBet I'm not fully behind Tsonga again yet, think he's still got a way to go before he's back to his best. He's winning the H2H but I don't think they've faced much before on hard. Short points are likely so its whether Struff is hitting it clean and whose serving better. Maybe should look at taking the short priced handicap instead.
  37. 5 points
    adamross

    Naps - Thursday July 18th

    8.55 Leopardstown 1 pt win With a Start 20/1 Bet365
  38. 5 points
    rolandcooper

    Naps - Tuesday July 9th

    8.00 Roscommon - Bective Cave 16/1@Williamhill
  39. 5 points
    FAA v Lopez (Queens) - over 23.5 games at 1.83 with Sportingbet Simple reasoning here: both have strong serves so I feel we will definitely have at least one TB here. Although FAA is of course the better player, Lopez has held his serve a high percentage of the time. I doubt Lopez will break FAA's serve.
  40. 5 points
    MrJol

    Latest Tables - April 2019

    -"You can tell him now, we're still fighting for this title and we have three days left to get something. And I'll tell you, honestly, I will love it if someone beats him, Love it." (a Keegan & Ferguson reference for those to young to remember)
  41. 5 points
    opole

    Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28

    Good call. I took Zeppieri yesterday @ 2.65 with big stake. My biggest bet this week so far. He'll beat Barranco.
  42. 5 points
    Just the 3 for Wincanton's Hunter Chase and I am surprised that the early money has been for Woodfleet. Yes he did win over course and distance last May, but Unioniste didn't run his race and it meant he ended up with a very simple task. This season he pulled up on his return and I then saw him finish a distant 2nd at Charing. His last start at Milborne St Andrew saw him beat a head by Jack Snipe who was carrying 4lbs more. That doesn't tell the whole story though having watched a video of the contest. The winner would have been a big price in running as he was a fair way back in 3rd jumping the last with Woodfleet looking set to win, he then pulled himself up and it allowed Jack Snipe to go by him. It has to be a big worry for anyone wanting to back him that he has done that. Regardless Southfield Vic has the best form in the race anyway based on his 2nd at Newbury to Master Baker which was a massive step up on his Hunter Chase debut at Fontwell. A repeat of that effort should be more than good enough to beat his two rivals here. Keltus wouldn't be totally out of this based on his 3rd in the Royal Artillery, but he wasn't as good in the Grand Military on his next start which is a bit off putting. The Stratford contest looks a cracker with Arthur's Secret taking on Master Baker and Risk A Fine. All 3 have won 2 Hunter Chases this season and there have been some big winning margins as well. Regular readers of my previews this season will know I hold Arthur's Secret in the highest regard and that I am a big fan of Risk A Fine as well. They are both front runners so there is one theory that they could cut each others throats and set things up for Master Baker, but I don't think that will happen. First of all it wouldn't surprise me if James King on Risk A Fine just let Arthur's Secret get on with it, but even if he did try and force the issue I think Arthur's Secret would eventually burn him off. Arthur's Secret can set a ridiculously high tempo and crucially can keep going at that high tempo. As much as Risk A Fine has impressed me this season I just don't think he is up to being able to get Arthur's Secret off the bridle especially based on his Wincanton run behind Monsieur Gibraltar. I know Master Baker won over 2m at Taunton earlier in the season, but that was a really bad race and I think he will find himself outpaced over this trip round here especially given the speed Arthur's Secret is going to go. The jockey change is a plus though. I am really looking forward to this race, but in my view Arthur's Secret would have been capable of going very close at Aintree last week and he is one of the best pointers/hunter chasers in the country at the moment which is backed up by his lofty rating in this sphere. As much as the other two are good horses I just don't see how they can get him beat if he is at his best again. I think a double on both races is the way to go and at the moment it pays 2.6/1 with Bet365. Southfield Vic/Arthur's Secret 2.5pts double @ 2.6/1 with Bet365
  43. 5 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > March 2nd

    So football head back on after a busy few day's on the racing front and hopefully I can bounce back from a disappointing mid-week session. Not much damage done, but it was frustrating all the same given I had left the last two Tuesday's alone. I have 6 bets for Saturday and unusually for me only one of them is bigger than 13/10. Previews to follow Barnet v Barrow Barnet are a strange because they really shouldn't be in a relegation battle because as their FA Cup run shows they have a very good team and on their day are capable of putting in a great performance, but although they have a few games in hand they have to be very careful they don't go down. They have only won 2 of their last 10 league games and haven't won in 6 now. Their home form also seems to be a bit of an issue and it is hard to understand why they are so short to win this. Barrow have only lost one of their last 10 league games although on the other hand they have only won one of their last 7, but I think they have deserved more points than they have got. They drew 0-0 with Ebbsfleet last week and they were unlucky not to win. Their away form has been strong of late and as much as some people might want the draw onside I think the price for them to win the game is at least a point bigger than it should be. Bromely v Boreham Wood It has been 8 league games since Boreham Wood last won and they have picked up just 3 points in that spell with just one of those coming in their last 5 games. They have looked poor as well and the only thing that can save them in this game for me is if their week and a half off has seen them improve. Bromley are in 3rd place in the last 10 games form table and their only loss in the last 9 games was against Eastleigh which given they are top of the last 10 games form table shows their was nothing wrong in losing 1-0. They really have turned the corner after a slow first half or so of the season and although the play-offs look out of reach they should be able to carry on their good form here and they are strong at home. Chippenham Town v Oxford City Oxford City threw away a 2 goal lead last week to lose 3-2 to Billericay which was good new for us and it obviously meant they continued their poor run of form. I think it is worth opposing them again here and Chippenham look a big price really. They are having a very solid season and have lost just once in their last 7 games. They have won 9 at home, drawn 3 and lost 4 and strangely enough Oxford's away form is the exact opposite. With Oxford looking booked for mid-table obscurity and Chippenham in with a chance of the play-offs that also means the homes side have an advantage. East Thurrock v Billericay Fair play to East Thurrock they caused Torquay more problems than I thought they would on Tuesday night and it was only a late goal that meant Torquay came away with a 2-1 victory. I just wonder if that effort may leave a mark though and as much as they would love to get one over their Essex rivals I just don't seem them being able to. Billericay did really well to win last week having been 2 down and then seeing out the game with only 10 men. They also got a good draw at Wealdstone on Monday night as they are flying at the moment and I just don't see them losing to a team who are destined to be playing step 3 football next season. Odds against is a big price. Harrow v Taunton (Southern Premier South) To be fair to the home side they a really good 4-0 over Poole last Saturday and if in that form they would have a chance of getting something out of this, but that performance really sticks out like a sore thumb because it is their only win in their last 9 and they have only picked up 3 other points in that time and funnily enough one of those was against Poole. The other 2 came against Basingstoke who are level on points with them and Walton Casuals on Tuesday night who are one point from safety and have a terrible away record. Taunton are top of the table as they look to win their 2nd title on the bounce and although they under performed on Wednesday night in a 1-1 draw against Swindon Supermarine, that was a much tougher game than this and odds against quotes look big on them bouncing back with a win. Tiverton v Met Police (Southern Premier South) Met Police are also in the title hunt and again they look big at odds against to win this. They didn't win in 4 prior to thrashing bottom of the table Staines last Saturday, but they had 4 really tough games. The only defeat was to Wimbourne who were bang in form and then they drew with 2nd place Weymouth, 3rd place Salisbury and Farnborough who are the most in form side in the division. Tiverton on the other hand are pretty poor this season after a good campaign last time around and their only two wins in their last 10 games have come against Gosport and Staines. The two draws came against a Hendon side who have only picked up 7 points in their last 10 games and Merthyr who are very in and out. Met Police should be odds on for this and look a cracking bet. Barrow 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor and Boylesports Bromley 3pts @ Evs with Bet365 and BetVictor Chippenham 2pts @ 13/10 with Marathon Billericay 2.5pts @ 53/50 with Marathon Taunton 2.5pts @ 5/4 with William Hill and BetVictor Met Police 3pts @ 11/10 with William Hill, BetVictor and Bet365
  44. 5 points
    Mihail Youzhny to beat Mirza Basic at 1.91 with Ladbrokes Donna Vekic to beat Sloane Stephens at 3.00 with Ladbrokes Belinda Bencic to beat Garbine Muguruza at 3.00 with Paddy Power Alexandra Krunic (-3.5) to beat Viktorija Golubic at 1.90 with Bet365 Daria Gavrilova (-3.5) to beat Kristyna Pliskova at 1.98 with Pinnacle Going for quite a few bets in the first round, let's see what happens. Mirza Basic was as dreadful as expected against Nishioka, so I'm going to go against him once again. I also didn't like Pliskova and Golubic last week, while Krunic and Gavrilova had many good results in Asia in the past and have the form books to win these matches as well. And now the underdogs - Sloane Stephens had a truly dreadful Asian run after a good US Open and I wouldn't be surprised to see something similar again with her not being too interested after a good season. Vekic isn't a bad player by any stretch of imagination and she's beaten Sloane before. Meanwhile, Muguruza has been rather poor in recent times, her performance against Muchova in the US Open was just lifeless, for example, while Bencic is keen on playing after yet another injury break. At 3.00, I'm willing to give both Vekic and Bencic a shot.
  45. 5 points
    CzechPunter

    Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29

    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Nicolas Jarry at 2.20 with Unibet Looks like 50/50 to me. The previous picks on Basil obviously had more value, but I don't see how he's the underdog in this one.
  46. 5 points
    CzechPunter

    Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29

    Shuai Zhang to beat Margarita Gasparyan at 1.50 with Paddy Power I don't believe that Gasparyan is ready to face WTA-level opponents just yet. The road back is going to be long and Zhang really isn't the easiest test in home conditions. She didn't have too many problems against Lisicki today and Gasparyan should be a step down, not a step up.
  47. 5 points
    yogg

    May 14 - May 20

    a double from me today. Kontaveit to beat Kuznetsova Shapovalov to beat Haase 2.58 @ Pinnacle
  48. 5 points
    Darran

    Non-League Predictions > Feb 24th

    Was good to nick a profit in midweek after last Saturday's losses and given how tricky Tuesday night's can be as well. It is a big weekend in the FA Trophy for those who have joined me in backing Billericay and Leyton Orient and hopefully both will be in Monday's semi-final draw. I have 5 bets for Saturday. Maidstone v Tranmere I thought Tranmere were going to make a massive statement on Tuesday in beating top of the table Macclesfield. Instead it was the same old story in that they weren't clinical enough when they were dominating and they ended up losing 4-1. I think they need a minor miracle to win the title now, but given the National League this season nothing would surprise me. Anyway they certainly need to win this and they look a good bet to do so. Granted they have only won 4 away games all season and that hasn't helped their position, but on the other-hand they have only lost once in their last 7 away games. Mickey Mellon can't play for draws anymore and he will have to be positive here to go for the 3 points.That defeat on Saturday was also their first since New Years Day. Maidstone haven't won for 15 league matches now and they have only won 3 games at home all season. They lost at home to Barrow last Saturday and they hadn't won since December 23rd prior to that victory. The 5/4 about an away win with William Hill looks a big price to me. Leamington v Blyth Spartans Blyth had gone through a dip in form and I opposed them with Brackley who were in form a couple of weeks ago only for Blyth to win 3-0! Blyth have won their two games since by the same scoreline and they have really found their form again as they look to cement a place in the play-offs. Leamington are in a battle at the other end of the table. They have only won twice in their last 10 games, one of which was against Boston last week, but by all accounts it was a game low on quality. Blyth really should have enough to see off their hosts and 6/5 with Marathon looks a fair price to me. Southport v Curzon Kevin Davies has finally got his Southport side in good form and they are worth keeping an eye in regards to next season as they seem to be backing him well with cash. They have only lost twice in their last 8 games and they were to a FCUM side who rarely lose at home and a Kidderminster side who were on a long unbeaten run. I think they can pick up a 4th home league win on the bounce as they host the team one place below them in the table. Curzon had a superb result against York last week beating them 4-1, but I just wonder if they will be able to replicate that performance here especially as they have won just 3 away all season. Southport are building a decent looking side and Marathon's 21/20 is just the right side of value for me. Hemel Hempstead v Havant & Waterlooville. Hemel and St Albans were my two ante-post bets in the National League South this season and they have both been very frustrating. Every time it looks like they are going to play a part in the title battle they drop silly points as St Albans did last week. Hemel lost two games on the bounce including a 4-1 defeat to Oxford City, before blowing the lead 3 times against Chelmsford last weekend. That was obviously a better performance, but Havant are in 2nd and have 3 games in hand over Dartford at the top. As I have mentioned before their away form has been superb this season and reads won 10 drawn 2 and lost 2. They shouldn't be as big as 2/1 for this and that is well worth taking. Barwell v Workington I don't dip into the Evo-Stik Nothern Premier all that often, but this game appeals. The home side are in great form at the moment and are 8 games unbeaten now having won 5 of them, including a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture. Workington on the other-hand have lost their last 4 league games on the bounce and any hope of a play-off place seems to have gone now. The home side are 6/5 with Marathon and that looks a fair price to me given the form of these two sides at the moment. Tranmere 2pts @ 5/4 with William Hill Blyth Spartans 2pts @ 6/5 with Marathon Southport 2pts @ 21/20 with Marathon Havant & Waterlooville 1pt @ 2/1 with Marathon Barwell 1pt @ 6/5 with Marathon
  49. 5 points
    Darran

    Weekend > Feb 11th

    Solihull v Sutton I was kicking myself for not backing Boreham Wood to beat Sutton in the FA Trophy replay on Tuesday night. Given Sutton’s away form and the fact they ended up with just 9 men on the pitch in the first game it really was an obvious bet, but for some reason I left it alone. They ended up getting stuffed and it is hard to understand why they aren’t favourites for this let alone priced up at 19/10 (various). Granted Sutton have two games in hand, but Solihull are actually 1 point above their visitors in the table. They have gone through some changes in the squad and I did think they might begin to suffer as a consequence, but that hasn’t really happened and they have been performing well. Sutton’s players will be thinking about Arsenal already and given there away form is so bad, Solihull rate a pretty strong bet at the prices. Southport v Dagenham & Redbridge Southport’s chairman can’t resist a manager change and to me it was pretty harsh to get rid of Steve Burr. Andy Preece got the job in the week and he has a very tough game to get his tenure underway. Southport’s issues are defensive at the moment and it will be a tough ask for Preece to get them sorted at the first time of asking. They didn’t play too badly against Gateshead last week, but they still lost 3-0. Dagenham meanwhile have been scoring goals for fun of late and will take plenty of confidence from the injury time winner they scored against Chester last week. They really have turned a corner over the past month and they look title contenders again. I am surprised they aren’t odds on and William Hill’s 11/10 is worth taking. Acca All the troubled clubs who I have been opposing are playing teams who are very short this week so I have come up with a four-fold which pays 4.6/1 with Marathon. Dartford continued their good form when beating Whitehawk easily last Saturday and they should overcome Gosport. Speaking of Whitehawk they did eventually stop the rot with a point against Eastbourne on Tuesday, but they now face a flying Ebbsfleet and they shouldn’t have too many issues in beating them. In the Ryman Premier Merstham did finally win away from home last time, but going to an Enfield Town side who are hoping to get in the play-offs will be a much tougher task. In the Evo-Stik Northern Premier high flying Nantwich should have too much for Sutton Coldfield.
  50. 5 points
    CzechPunter

    October 19 - October 25

    Back Tommy Haas (+4.5) to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga for a 7/10 stake at 1.72 with Paddy Power Back Fabio Fognini to beat Paul-Henri Mathieu for a 7/10 stake at 1.57 with Betway Back Ivo Karlovic (-2.5) to beat Sergiy Stakhovsky for a 7/10 stake at 2.02 with Unibet Can't win them all unfortunately and a bad day had to come at some point after so many good ones, 0/3 on Tuesday. Three for me tomorrow - Haas should be able to put up some solid resistance against Tsonga in the Vienna conditions, Fognini should be too strong for the out-of-form Mathieu (who lost to Arnaboldi last time out), and the ultra-consistent Karlovic should also be able to get the job done against Stakhovsky. Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/erste-bank-open-betting-tsonga-vs-haas-the-main-highlight-on-wednesday
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