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The Brigadier

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The Brigadier last won the day on April 22

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  1. Just the two return for a loss today of 6.1 points. Tomorrow's thought are up on the 'Racing Tips' button above. Hope you've all found a winner this weekend.
  2. Haydock 1.25 This 12F 56-75 class 5 handicap is surprisingly been shown on ITV and to be honest is not a race I have much interest in. As I’ve said before we don’t need to bet in every race so I’m happy to keep my powder dry for the other races then get involved here although Screaming Petrus looks an interesting runner if my hand was forced. Goodwood 1.45 This class 2 7F handicap features a dozen handicappers and as always the draw comes into effective with low numbers holding the call. Evocative Spark looked good last time when bolting up at Beverley but has been raised 12lb and is berthed in stall 11. He could win but for those two reasons I’ll be looking elsewhere. John and Thady Gosden run a pair in Find, who’s well drawn but has become increasingly disappointing and Alotaibi who must have a decent chance from a favourable stall 3. He was only touched off over course and distance on his re-appearance despite having a rough passage and off of only a pound higher mark could be the one here. ALOLTAIBI 1 point each way @ 5/1 Bet365 1/5th 1234 Haydock 2.00 A dozen stayers go to post for this two mile class 2 handicap which features a warm favourite in the Charlie Appleby trained Bandinelli who did us a good turn last time out on the all weather at Kempton. He’s only been raised 3lb for that victory and has to be part of the staking plan here. There are a couple of others in the race that can put it up to him mind in the shape of the Andrew Balding trained Valley Forge who steps up to two miles for the first time and may have needed his re-appearance run at Newmarket when 5th to Cemhaan and maybe more interesting Miranda trained by legendary jumps trainer Paul Nicholls and ridden by his daughter Megan. The 7 year old mare is a smart hurdler who is currently rated 145 in that sphere but races back on the level here off of 91 in a first time tongue tie. She could be well treated and is worth an each way saver against the main selection Bandinelli. BANDINELLI 2 points win @ 11/4 William Hill MIRANDA 1 point each way @ 17/2 william Hill 1/5th 1234 Goodwood 2.15 The listed Festival Stakes sees nine go to post and has an open look about it. Both Brentford Hope and last years winner Stormy Antarctic may find today’s ground not soft enough for them whilst the Varian pair of Father Of Jazz and Movin Time are over looked due to the poor form of the stable. The best in at todays weights is the Paul and Oliver Cole trained Majestic Dawn but I fancied him last time out at Chester where he cut out very quickly so is another I’m striking off of my list. I’ll take a chance on the fitness on the Charlie and Mark Johnstone runner West End Charmer who was last seen running a rival of his today in Victory Chime to a length over course and distance last September. On that run there shouldn’t be a great deal between the pair with the Johnstone runner now 3lb better of and with Franny Norton riding will do for me. WEST END CHARMER 1 point each way @ 8/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 123 Haydock 2.35 Only ten go to post for the Silver Bowl Handicap, a three year old handicap run over a mile. John and Thady Gosden’s Mighty Ulysses head the weights and must have a big chance. He appeared to improve for stepping back to this trip last time at Newmarket under today’s jockey Benoit De La Sayette and the fact that his trainers entered him in the Group 1 St James Palace only last week is a tip in its self. He should go very close. Bottom weight and Irish raider Mister Wilson is an interesting runner for Gavin Cromwell whilst handicap debutant Tollard Royal of George Boughey’s is another with each way claims along with Chester winner Outgate but this is all about Mighty Ulysses who can outclass his field here. MIGHTY ULYSSES 3 points win @ 7/4 Coral York 2.55 Fourteen more speedsters line up here for the 5F class 2 handicap. Four of these ran in a similar handicap at the Dante meeting 9 days ago with David O’Meara’s Alligator Alley coming out best of the quartet by finishing 4th to Fine Wine beaten some 3 1/2L. Track specialist Copper Knight was disappointing in 8th some 4L away with Jawwaal a further 1 1/2L away. The latter wasn’t knocked about any any stage having started slowly and I fully expect him to get closer to the three that finished ahead of him that day. I also like the top weight Atalis Bay trained by sprint specialist trainer Robert Cowell. He was having his first run for Cowell when a credible 9th of 12 beaten 5 1/2L in a group 3 at Newmarket on his re-appearance and with that run behind him may prove hard to catch as he likes to blaze a trail. A tough call with slight preference for Atalis Bay over Jawwaal. ATALIS BAY 1 point each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Haydock 3.10 The 6F Group 2 Sandy Lane Stakes is a stepping stone to the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot and has attracted a field of eleven this year. 8 of the 11 hold entries in the Commonwealth Cup and I think it can be fought out by recent Ascot winner Go Bears Go and Karl Burke’s El Caballo. It’s hard to split the pair but preference is just for the latter who’s chasing a six timer following five wins on the all weather. It was his latest run that shows he’s a proper sprinter when touching off the subsequent Newbury listed winner Tiber Flow on All-weather championships day at Newcastle. His sectional times were excellent and he can take this en route to a tilt at the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot next month. EL CABALLO 2 points win @ 11/4 William Hill Curragh 3.20 The Tattersalls Irish 2000 Guineas run over a mile looks destined to go to the Charlie Abbleby trained Native Trail. He’ll be no price but it’s hard to oppose him as he brings easily the best form to the table here as last seasons top two year who’s carried that form forward this season in winning the Craven and finishing runner up to his stable companion Coroebus in the 2000 Guineas. Appleby is chasing a unique 2000 Guineas treble having also secured the French version last weekend with Modern Games. Native Trail’s biggest danger maybe the progressive Joseph O’Brien runner Buckaroo but it will be a major disappointment if he can’t win this. York 3.30 Only 7 go to post for the Group 3 Brontë Cup for 4 year old and upwards fillies and mares. Despite the fact that the Varian stable had a winner on Thursday evening in Greatgadian they’ve been very much out of form the last few weeks and I’m happy to take on Believe In Love for that reason alone. Irish raider Mighty Blue from the Joseph O’Brien stable has definite claims so is on the short list along with Andrew Balding’s Silence Please whom may have just needed her latest start (her first for Balding). I’ve always been a fan of Eileendover but there’s no room for sentiment in this game so I’ll be sticking with Mighty Blue to small stakes. MIGHTY BLUE 1 point win @ 3/1 William Hill Haydock 3.45 A dozen sprinters assemble for this year’s renewal of the Group 2 Temple Stakes with a warm favourite in Tim Easterby’s Winter Power who we haven’t seen since flopping in heavy ground in the Prix de l’Abbaye last October. He has run well fresh winning on his seasonal re-appearance last season by 3L at York. He misses a group one penalty for this by eleven days having won the Nunthorpe at York last August and if straight enough will be very hard to beat today. He’s officially rated 9lb and more superior to his eleven rivals and although a short enough price I find him hard to oppose here. Existent had Twilight Calls (5th) and Came From The Dark (10th) behind him in the group 3 Palace House Stakes last time out and is maybe the value each way being at least twice the price of that pair here but it’s all about Winter Power and David Allan for me. WINTER POWER 2 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
  3. Three returns for a profit of 4.875 - have a good weekend everyone.
  4. Three 2nds but no winners !! loss of 12 points on day - Saturdays selections are already uploaded. Have a great weekend all.
  5. Newbury 1.35 Nine three year olds go to post for the BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes, a listed contest run over 6F. The 2nd and 3rd from the Go Bears Go Commonwealth Cup Trial Group 3 victory at Ascot last month renew rivalry with Hugo Palmer’s Hierarchy taken to confirm form over Ehraz who was 1 3/4L behind him that day. Aidan O’Brien sends over Cadamosto who’s well entered up and is another to consider. The one to beat though maybe William Haggas’s Tiber Flow who’s making his turf debut here but is already rated 106 following some excellent efforts on the all-weather. If he can reproduce his synthetic surface form onto turf (or maybe even improve it) he looks the one to beat. TIBER FLOW 2 points win @ 11/4 Betfred Newmarket 1.50 The 10F Fairway Stakes is a listed contest and has attracted a small but select field of 7 this time around. Arguably the form horse is the Tom Clover trained Zain Sarinda who’s 3/4L 3rd to Nahaani in the listed Epsom Blue Riband Derby Trial has already been boosted by the subsequent victory of United Nations who finished 1 1/4L behind him that day. Impressive maiden winners Groundbreaker (Doncaster) and Post Impressionist (Ayr) are likely improvers though didn’t beat much in winning those events whilst the Charlie Appleby trained Ottoman Fleet was given a poor ride by William Buick on his racecourse debut at Newbury when giving the leaders far too much rope but flashed home to only be beaten a neck by stable mate Natural World. The word is that he’s thrived since and he looks the one to be with here under James Doyle. OTTOMAN FLEET 3 points win @ 13/8 Bet365 Newbury 2.10 The Aston Park Stakes is a group 3 contest run over 1m 4F of the Berkshire track. There’s officially only 6lb between the sextet of runners. I don’t fancy Scope who needs further and is burdened by a 7lb penalty here but any of the others could potentially win this. Eshada brings group 1 form here having won the fillies and mares at Ascot’s Champions Day last October but hasn’t been seen since and is penalised 7lb whilst Ilaraab has to shoulder a 3lb penalty and will need to improve for his recent 4th in the John Porter over course and distance. The best in at the weights today is actually the Andrew Balding runner Foxes Tales who was not disgraced on his re-appearance when chasing home the smart Mostahdaf at Sandown and should appreciate the extra couple of furlongs today. A tough call but it’s Foxes Tales for me to small stakes. FOXES TALES 1 point win @ 7/2 BetVictor Newmarket 2.25 A decent class 2 6F three year old handicap is up next with a field of just ten going to post. Roger Varian’s Lir Speciale makes his handicap debut having comfortably won his maiden at Doncaster a fortnight ago with the runner up that night finishing 3rd at Salisbury on Thursday. He could be well treated off of 82 although Varian has now gone 20 runs and 12 days since his last winner (up to racing in Friday) so stable form is of some concern. That said he is the one they all have to beat but I prefer the bottom weight Haymaker who to my eyes looks a great each way bet (especially if you can get the extra place been offered by a couple of firms).He made most when winning here over 7F a fortnight ago and I don’t think the drop in trip will hinder him at all. He’s drawn this side in stall 10 of 10 and with the stalls on this, the stands side let’s not forget how much of a bias there can be racing on the stands side rail in the past. The icing on the cake is the booking of crack 7lb apprentice Harry Davies which nullifies his 6lb rise for his latest win and I believe we have ourselves a decent each way bet. HAYMAKER 2 points each way @ 9/2 Bet365 1/5 123 Newbury 2.45 The BetVictor London Cup is a 10F class 2 handicap that has produced several group performers over the years and has attracted a healthy field of 13 runners this year. This years renewal does have an open look about it with the Gosden’s Israr towards the head of the market following a good 3rd on his re-appearance at Newmarket. Surrey Mist is a horse I like who’s making his handicap debut here for trainer George Baker. His mark of 85 could be workable. There’s many others with chances but the one I’m interested in is the William Muir and Chris Grassick trained Red Vineyard who stuck on well to win at Sandown over this trip on his re-appearance when a seemingly un fancied 18/1 chance. The third that day Bolthole won on Thursday evening (and the runner up Al Qareem runs in the 4.10 York Friday afternoon so keep your eyes peeled for any further form boost). He’s been raised 5lb for that victory but on only his fourth ever start should have plenty of improvement to come and his worth backing each way with the additional place been offered. RED VINEYARD 2 points each way @ 10/1 Bet365 1/5th 1234 Newmarket 3.00 With Top Secret a non runner we have eleven going to post for this 7F class 2 handicap which has an open look about it. Shine So Bright broke a long losing spell when winning over course and distance at the Guineas meeting under apprentice Harry Davies and renews rivalry with the runner up that day Wizard D’Amour on 2lb worse terms for a length beating (Humanitarian well held down the field). Bullace is of some interest for Ralph Beckett as he won first time out here last season and has been gelded since we last seen although he still looks high in the handicap (a stone higher than his win here). Charlie Appleby saddles Quintillus who is only 2lb higher than his July course win here last August and was last seen in Dubai. Timeform give him the dreaded squiggle but that looks a bit unfair to my eyes and if tuned up can be thereabouts. The likeliest winner in my opinion though is the Simon and Ed Crisford trained Saleymm who was a good runner up in the Lincoln at Doncaster prior to a slightly disappointing 8th in the Spring Cup (beaten 4 1/2L). Both those efforts were over a mile and he’s dropping a furlong here which hopefully will suit and this Jack Mitchell ridden four year old gets the vote. SALEYMM 1 point each way @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 1234 Newbury 3.20 The one mile group one Lockinge Stakes sees the re-appearance of William Haggas’s smart Baaeed who’s unbeaten in his six career starts and it’s hard to see what’s going to beat him today. Second favourite Mother Earth hails from Aidan O’Brien’s stable and will strip fit having won already this season, a group 3 at The Curragh seven weeks ago. I wouldn’t be surprised if Andrew Balding’s Alchohol Free stepped up considerably on her Sandown defeat on her re-appearance on better ground and with the hood taken off but she was over 8L behind Baaeed at Ascot last October and it’s hard to see her beating the favourite. A race to savour with no financial interest from me.
  6. A profit of 3.4 points on the day - with one winner and a couple of places. Fridays selections are already uploaded.
  7. York 1.50 16 fillies go to post for the listed Marygate Fillies Stakes run over 5F for two year old’s. Richard Hannon’s Amo Racing owned Miami Girl looked a bit special when an impressive 5 1/2L winner on her debut at Newmarket. She apparently lives on her nerves a bit but if she can re-produce that run here should be hard to beat. There’s plenty of other promising two year old fillies in opposition including David Loughnane’s Carmela, Alice Hayne’s Fix You and Karl Burke’s Yashat but I’m sticking with the visual impact that Miami Girl made on her debut. Rossa Ryan rides again today. MIAMI GIRL 2 points win @ 7/2 BetVictor Newbury 2.05 A disappointing turnout for this 6F class 2 handicap with just seven declaring. Despite the numbers it has a very open look about it with the outsider only a 7/1 chance. Charlie Hills’ Ibiza Rocks was a bit disappointing on his re-appearance and drops down to 6F from 7F today. He has claims along with Mitrosonfire who was a progressive three year old sprinter last season winning four times. William Muir and Chris Grassick train him and if straight enough could be the one here with good ground likely to suit him well. In a competitive sprint I’ll play him to small stakes. MITROSONFIRE 1 point win @ 13/2 William Hill York 2.25 A dozen three year old fillies go to post for this listed Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes run over a mile. John and Thady Gosden appears to have some decent three year old fillies on their hands this season including Wednesday’s Musidora winner Emily Upjohn and last years top rated filly Inspiral and saddle their Ascot winner Grande Dame here. She impressed me when winning that day as she looked in trouble coming into the straight but when the penny dropped she circled the field and won like a good horse. Her connections have since entered her for the Group 1 Coronation Stakes and the hint should be taken here. Her big danger appears to be the William Haggas trained Perfect News who has the form in the book and was a 4 1/2L 4th in the Nell Gwyn behind subsequent 1000 Guineas winner Cachet. I was mightily impressed by Grande Dame’s win at Ascot and she could be very good so gets the vote for the in form team of the Gosden’s and Frankie Dettori. GRANDE DAME 2 points win @ 5/2 Bet365 York 3.00 A dozen handicappers go to post for the Paddy Power “I Love Steak” Handicap run over 1m 2 1/2F. I have a strong fancy here in the Tom Clover trained Rogue Bear who’s caught many peoples eyes in his two runs this season in valuable handicaps at Doncaster and Newbury. He’s stepping up in trip here but a quick look at his breeding shows plenty of stamina on his distaff side and he looks sure to run his race here so warrants a strong bet. Top weight Belloccio has always been held in high regard by his trainer David Menuisier though is 5lb higher now than when winning the Roseberry Handicap at Kempton 25 days ago and may chase the selection home. ROGUE BEAR 3 points win @ 3/1 Bet365 York 3.35 A small but select turnout of five for this year’s renewal of the Yorkshire Cup a group 2 contest run over 14F of the Knavesmire. Any softening of the ground would very much be in the favour of Max Vega and Tashkan but this may be fought out by the eight year old super star Stradivarius and two year younger mare Search For A Song trained in Ireland by Dermot Weld. John and Thady Gosden are having a good week and their Stradivarius is going for his sixth course win here under just a 3lb penalty. Conditions look ideal and with Frankie Dettori in the saddle will be very popular with the Yorkshire punters. He’s sure to run his usual solid race and with first time out figures of 5111131 has shown he runs well fresh although at eight one would expect it to be harder to get him fit. We know for sure that Search For A Song will be fit as she’s already been seen this Spring when running her owners Kyprios to 2 3/4L at Navan in a listed contest. I’ld love, like most racing fans, to see Stradivarius win again but at the prices I’ll happy to back Dermot Weld’s mare to small stakes. SEARCH FOR A SONG 1 point win @ 5/1 Bet365 York 4.10 We finish off the ITV coverage with a eight runner 1m 4F class 3 handicap for three year olds where it appears that Charlie Appleby holds the key. Godolphin’s main trainer saddles two interesting runners in Wild Crusade, presumably the pick of James Doyle who’s making his turf debut having won twice at this trip at Kempton on the all weather and the Frankie Dettori ridden New Comedy who scraped home by a neck under Doyle in a Haydock novices stakes over this trip and makes his handicap debut here today. Charlie and Mark Johnstone saddle Pons Aelius who’s chasing a handicap hat trick following two victories at Wolverhampton although is now 8lb higher here and looks best of the rest. This revolves around the Godolphin duo with preference for Wild Crusade and he’s the bet. WILD CRUSADE 3 points win @ 2/1 Paddy Power
  8. just the one winner but the right one and a profit of 1.75 points on the day
  9. York 1.50 A typical 5F York sprint handicap with 13 going to post. Michael Appleby saddles the progressive Raasel for The Horse Watchers and he has an obvious favourites chance despite a 7lb rise for his latest win at Goodwood when very well backed. He should be thereabouts but at the prices the bet has to be the course specialist Copper Knight who won the last two runnings of this race and his wins to runs record on the Knavesmire stands at 5 from 14. He looks an excellent each way bet. COPPER KNIGHT 1 point each way @ 6/1 william Hill 1/5th 12345 Salisbury 2.05 There’s also a six runner class 3 0-90 three year old handicap covered on ITV this afternoon with James Ferguson saddling the likely favourite in Viadelamore, a winner at Redcar on his seasonal re-appearance and now 5lb higher. Andrew Balding sends an interesting handicap debutant in Teumessias Fox who could be competitive but it’s the Harry and Roger Charlton trained bottom weight Brayden Star who’s maybe worth a small wager here. He was slowly away on his handicap debut in a decent three year old handicap at Newmarket at the Craven meeting and ran on to finish a 9 1/4L 8th of 15 to Tranquil Night. The 2nd and the 9th have both won since franking the form and with that run behind him he looks a value play here. BRAYDEN STAR 1 point win @ 15/2 William Hill York 2.25 Six fillies go to post for this group 2 10F Middleton Fillies Stakes. Sir Michael Stoute saddles a brace in Ville De Grace who was just touched off in the Dahlia Stakes last time out by Dreamloper and the Juddmonte owned Noon Star who stuck on well to win a listed contest on her re-appearance at Nottingham. The former is the preferred of the pair and should be thereabouts today. The trip looks on the short side for the Irish challenger Forbearance trained by Jessie Harrington. The other Irish challenger is the Ger Lyons trained Thunder Kiss who’s officially the highest rated of the sextet here. She impressed winning a listed race at Cork on her re-appearance and is another that should be involved in the finish. Not an easy race to crack but with a run under her belt its Ville De Grace for me. VILLE DE GRACE 2 points win @ 10/3 William Hill York 3.00 A competitive renewal of the 1m class 2 Hambleton Handicap with 15 going to post. Top weight Brunch was just touched off in this last year and is back to avenge that defeat off of a 3lb higher mark. His course figures here read 1127 and comes here on the back of a career best 3rd in the Group 3 Earl Of Sefton at Newmarket. He should run a big race. Nigel Tinkler is slowly getting going with his string (had a winner on Tuesday at Newcastle) and his Isla Kai ran an eye catching 4th on his re-appearance in the Spring Cup and looks to have a good chance if overcoming his wide draw. Trais Fluors got no sort of run in the Thirsk Hunt Cup last time out and is another with claims along with others. I’ll split my stake between Brunch and Trais Fluors. BRUNCH 1 point each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 12345 TRAIS FLUORS 1 point each way @ 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 York 3.35 This year’s Dante Stakes, run over 1m 2F 56yds has attracted a field of 9. Sir Michael Stoute’s Desert Crown has been a Derby gamble over the last week having been backed from as big as 33/1 into 6/1 and looks poor value here having only won a Nottingham maiden on soft ground (all be it in decent style)last November. James Ferguson’s El Bodegon beat the current Derby favourite Stone Age in the Criterium de Saint Cloud on very soft ground last October but has to prove himself on this better ground. The Gosden runner Magisterial did it well enough on his re-appearance at Leicester but this like the favourite this represents a big step up in class. Aidan O’Brien’s representative Bluegrass looks rather exposed and the horse that I’m interested in is the Mark and Charlie Johnstone trained Royal Patronage. Mark Johnstone has won this contest twice in the last five years and his runner is the officially highest rated in the field though can currently be backed at a decent price. He beat this seasons 2000 Guineas winner Coroebus in the Group 2 Royal Lodge at Newmarket last September before bombing out on soft ground in the Vertem Futurity at Doncaster. He made his re-appearance as a 33/1 chance in the 2000 guineas when finishing a credible 8th of 15 beaten 6 1/2L. With that run under his belt and a step up in trip likely to suit with his dam a 10/12F winner in France he looks good each way value. ROYAL PATRONAGE 2 points each way @ 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 123 York 4.10 8 go to post for this listed Weston Stakes run over the minimum trip of 5F. Aidan O’Brien saddles a interesting runner in King Of Bavaria who’s already had a run this year and although not much ahead of the field on ratings will be hard to beat as a lightly raced son of No Nay Never who has all the future fancy group entries. Kevin Ryan’s Boonie beat subsequent winner Mitbaahy at Nottingham last time and looks the danger. KING OF BAVARIA 2 points win @ 7/4 Ladbrokes/Coral
  10. York 1.50 Eleven middle distance handicappers go to post for this 12F Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Handicap where the winner gets a free entry into the sponsors Ebor Handicap here in August. Top weight Global Storm is one of just two in the field who hold future group entries and comes here fit from a short but successful stint this winter in Dubai for the top team of Charlie Appleby and 7lb apprentice Harry Davies who looks such good value for his claim. He looks sure to go well although I have slight preference for the other future group entered horse in Gaassee trained at Newmarket by William Haggas who loves to have a winner on the Knavesmire being a Yorkshireman himself. He comes here having won a novice stakes at Chester on soft ground by 15L and all weather events at Newcastle and Kempton when heavily supported and going off odds on. His mark of 94 may still be lenient when you consider that Haggas felt fit to enter this Sea The Stars horse in the Group 2 Hardwicke Stakes last week. There are some other interesting handicappers in opposition here including Sir Michael Stoute’s Just Fine and Ralph Beckett’s Sam Cooke who are both making their seasonal debuts. I’m all over Gaassee here though and he’s a good bet. GAASSEE 3 points win @ 9/4 William Hill York 2.25 A typical maximum field of 22 for this 6F sprint handicap where stakes are advised to be kept small. It looks a wide open affair with several holding claims. Last years winner Mr Lupton is back to defend his title from a handicap mark 3lb lower this time around although last year he had already had a couple of runs where as this year it’s his seasonal debut. David O’Meara’s Nomadic Empire showed up well on his seasonal re-appearance when third at Ripon and should be thereabouts whilst course specialists Dakota Gold and Mr Wagyu have claims. Especially the latter who hails from the very much in form John Quinn yard and will be ridden by stable number one Jason Hart. His course figures read 171246 and has already had a run to prep him for this race when 8th to Blackrod in a valuable 6F Newmarket handicap eleven days ago. The handicapper actually dropped him a pound for that run and I expect a big run from stall 9. MR WAGYU 1 point each way @ 12/1 Bet365 1/5th 123456 York 3.00 Eleven go to post for the Group 2 Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes run over 6F of the Knavesmire. Emaraaty Ana has to carry a 5lb penalty for his Group 1 victory at Haydock last September and has shown little in two outings at Meydan this Winter and is overlooked. Dragon Symbol has left Archie Watson and starts out for his new stable of Roger Varian’s. He was a smart sprinter last year and should be thereabouts. Any rain would suit Charlie Fellowes’ Vadream whilst the Hannon runner Happy Romance is yet another that can be competitive. It’s an open sprint but my eye is drawn to the Owen Burrows trained Minzaal. The Gimcrack winner over course and distance as a juvenile he wasn’t seen till the Autumn of his three year old career due to injury and ran two excellent races in defeat at Ascot. Burrow’s, who has won with 3 of his last 4 runners, stated last week that he felt this Mehmas colt can be his flag bearer this season. He looks the likeliest winner to me. MINZAAL 2 points win @ 4/1 Bet365 York 3.35 A small but select field of five assemble for this year’s renewal of the Group 3 Tattersalls Musidora Stakes run over 1m 2F 56yds. Aidan O’Brien has sprung into form over the last week and saddles The Algarve although with a official rating of just 88 she will need to have improved considerably to be taking a hand in the finish here, which with this trainer is quite possible. The short price favourite is Emily Upjohn who impressed everyone including his rider Frankie Dettori when literally scooting up in a Sandown novices stakes in April coming home 9 1/2L clear of her rivals. The runner up that day has been beaten 8 1/2L in an Ascot maiden since so it’s hard to know what the form amounts to (although the only other horse to have run from the race has been the the well beaten stable mate of Emily Upjohn’s Emotion who won at Kempton by 16L last week!). The boys in blue have the big danger to the favourite in the regally bred Life Of Dreams who looked way above average when winning on her debut at Newbury although there are mixed messages regarding those that have run since from that race. Both fillies were impressive on their debuts and it’s a race to savour with slight preference at the likely prices for the Godolphin runner Life Of Dreams. LIFE OF DREAMS 2 points win @ 5/2 William Hill York 4.10 An eleven runner three year old 7F handicap is next up and features a warm favourite in the John and Thady Gosden trained unbeaten Kingman colt Samburu who was entered in the Group 1 St James Palce Stakes only last week by his sharp connections. This will be his handicap debut following victories at Newmarket last Autumn and at Salisbury last month. He has to give weight all round here and the horse he beat by 3/4L last time has been beaten since in a Ascot handicap. He’s the most likely winner here but is a very short price and so its maybe best to look for some each way value against him. Kevin Ryan’s handicap debutant Fast And Loose steps up a furlong and is a possible whilst David Loughnane’s Mojomaker just failed to get up at Doncaster last time but is now 3lb higher in the handicap. Loughnane also saddles Dayman, an Amo Racing owned colt who showed promise last time out at Newbury and might be the one to be with each way to small stakes. DAYMAN 1 point each way @ 12/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123
  11. just 3 places today for a loss of 7.6 points but a profit of 22.25 points over the three days of Chester. Saturdays selections are already uploaded.
  12. Ascot 1.45 A big field of 17 go to post for this 1m 4F class 3 handicap which despite the numbers doesn’t look that competitive although finding the winner is not easy. Bottom weight Screaming Petra is making her handicap debut although her maiden win hasn’t really worked out. Just Hubert needs further and can’t be fancied whilst Mascat has a chance on his second run for the Tizzard’s having chased home Going Gone at Epsom in the Great Met Handicap. George Margarson has his small Newmarket team in fine shape winning with 2 of his last 3 runners and his Protected Guest can also run well following an easy win at Nottingham last time out. David Menuisier has started the new season in good form and his Flying Solo, a winner at Newbury and York last season starts his season here and if straight enough may be worth a small each way wager and is the bet for me in a tricky contest. FLYING SOLO 1 point each way @ 6/1 Bet Victor 1/5th 12345 Lingfield 2.05 A very modest 7F class 4 handicap that has no appeal to me as a betting medium and I’m happy to skip over the race. We don’t need to bet on every race do we? Ascot 2.20 Al Aasy is re-routed here from Chester on Friday and is officially rated 8lb and more better than this field of eight in this listed Buckhounds Stakes run over 1m 4F. He has his quirks though but first time out may be the best time to be backing him and it would be no shock were he to win this well under Dane O’Neill for William Haggas and the Shadwell Operation. Third Realm is the next best in (8lb behind Al Aasy) and if in the same sort of form that saw him defeat Derby winner Adayar in the Lingfield Derby Trial on this day last year can be competitive for team Varian. The Gosden’s saddle Stowell who ran well enough on his re-appearance when third in the Group 3 John Porter at Newbury. There will be plenty of people happy to take on Al Aasy because of his quirks but he is better than these and is a bet for me. AL AASY 2 points win 7/4 BetVictor Lingfield 2.40 Five have declared for the Lingfield SBK Derby Trial run over 1m 3 1/2F that last year featured the subsequent Epsom Derby winner Adayar who was runner up in this to Third Realm (re-appears today at Ascot). Charlie Appleby suffered a setback (his first this season?) when his New London was turned over at Chester in the week and saddles a brace here. Walk Of Stars looked green when battling well to beat his stable mate Hatif at Newbury three weeks ago and the boys in blue will be hopeful that he can win this and put himself in the frame for the big one. The Newbury form has taken a double blow by the 2nd and 3rd being beaten since and although he could easily win this he represents poor value at around the even money mark. His stablemate Natural World ground out a win at Newbury the day before Walk On Stars victory there although if his stable companion Ottoman Fleet had been given a better ride he surely wouldn’t have held on. He made all that day and 3/4L back in third that day was the David Menuisier trained Lionel who dwelt at the start and was finishing to some effect. At around double the price of Natural World he looks the value bet here. LIONEL 1 point win @ 8/1 BetVictor Haydock 3.00 We change codes now and it’s the 1m 7F 144yds Swinton Handicap Hurdle up next with a maximum field of 17 going to post. Anna Bunina did us a favour when winning the Scottish Champion Hurdle quite cosily in the end I thought by a length from one of today’s rivals in West Cork and although she’s 3lb worse off there shouldn’t be much between the pair although the better the ground the better her chance. Milkwood was back in 5th and seeming held today off of top weight. Philip Hobb’s handicap debutant Luttrell Lad is interesting under Tom O’Brien whilst Cormier and Herbiers are two others that can’t be over looked. A tough contest but I do think that there’s another big race in the Dan Skelton runner West Cork, winner of the Greatwood Hurdle back in November and on only his tenth career run may actually still have some improvement in him. WEST CORK 2 points each way @ 11/2 BetVictor 1/5th 12345 Lingfield 3.15 The SBK Oaks Trial is run over the same trip as the Derby Trial of 1m 3 1/2F and features a healthy turnout of 9. With only 2 of the 9 holding an engagement for the Oaks next month it doesn’t look the strongest of renewals with the Aidan O’Brien runner Emily Dickinson looking the one to beat under Ryan Moore who’s been in unstoppable form this week at Chester. By Dubawi and out of an Irish Oaks winner she’s bred for the job and improved to win a 10F Naas maiden 12 days ago. She’s improving rapidly and can take this. John & Thady Gosden saddle Belt Buckle, a Wolverhampton maiden winner in February who has been given the Ribblesdale entry recently. She will need to step up from that win and is surely only as short as she is because of her connections. George Boughey already has one Classic in the bag with Cachet in the 1000 Guineas and his Mystic Wells is the highest rated here who should be thereabouts but only scraped home in a Brighton handicap last time. EMILY DICKINSON 3 points win @ 13/8 Bet365 Ascot 3.30 A nine runner one mile fillies only class 2 handicap is up next at the Berkshire track. With the current outsider of the field only priced at around 12/1 this is an open handicap. Roger Varian sends his four year old Strawberri here with Andrea Atzeni riding. She was progressive last year and warrants plenty of respect today. Saeed Bin Suroor is very much in the shadow of his fellow Godolphin trainer Charlie Appleby at the moment and saddles a brace of fillies here in top weight Soft Whisper and Stunning Beauty both of whom have been racing over in Dubai this winter. Hughie Morrison has taken charge of the ex Gosden runner Delta Bay but hasn’t been seen for over a year and is best watched in the market regarding her chances. Don’t Tell Claire hails from the Daniel and Claire Kubler Lambourn stable who struck with Outgate in the week at Chester and is another with a chance. A tough call this one but my pin has landed on Strawberri, a dual winner at three years and a horse who could possibly make a mark on pattern company this season. STRAWBERRI 2 points win @ 4/1 Bet365 Lingfield 3.50 The 7F Chartwell Fillies Stakes is a Group 3 contest for 3 year old fillies and mares and we have a field of eight. One of two three year olds Symphony Perfect is the highest rated and has run well in defeat on both starts this season when 5th in the Greenham and runner up over a furlong shorter in a listed contest at Chelmsford. She has claims but whether she wants a step back up to 7F is debatable. Roger Varian saddles She Do not seen since winning a listed contest at Newmarket last October by a short head from the progressive Gale Force Maya and also comes into calculations. The most intriguing runner has to be the Irish raider trained by Henry De Bromhead Wren’s Breath who was a winner on only her second start in listed company at Naas last July. She flopped on her only subsequent run in the group 3 Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster last September and it will be interesting if there’s any money for her. A tough call but it’s the Varian runner She Do that will do for me. SHE DO 2 points win @ 3/1 William Hill Ascot 4.05 The days most competitive race is the tote Victoria Cup run over the 7f of the straight track with a bumper turnout of 28 going to post. Last years winner River Nymph is back to defend his title from a 2lb higher mark but would prefer softer conditions and his jockey that day Adam Kirby appears to have jumped ship to ride the same stables Aratus. Fresh has great track form but would also prefer softer conditions and is overlooked for that reason alone. Dark Shift is my main selection here having won first time out in the last two seasons and has an impressive three wins from four starts on the straight course here. Charlie Hills has his team in good shape and looks sure to be competitive as long as stall 4 is no hinderance. There’s plenty of others with chances as you would imagine in such a tight knit race but I can’t resist a small ew bet also on the in form George Margarson runner Ropey Guest. He has a good record fresh (4th in Jersey and 6th in this contest in last two years) and has a change of jockey today as Tom Queally (who’s ridden him on 21 of his 25 starts)is replaced by John Egan for some reason (Queally is at the meeting riding for the trainer in the opener). He was only beaten 2 1/4L last year in this race and is 7lb better off with the winner River Nymph. DARK SHIFT 1 point each way @ 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456 ROPEY GUEST 1/2 point each way @ 33/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456
  13. 3 out of 6 winners for a healthy profit of 19.6 points. Tomorrows thoughts and tips have already been uploaded. Hope we all found a winner today.
  14. Chester 1.30 Eleven runners go to post here for this 7f 127yards class 2 handicap. Boardman has course form, winning here last season and was a good winner at Haydock last time out on ground that would of been plenty fast enough for him. He’s not been done any favours by the draw here mind in box 8. Bottom weight Repertoire goes unpenalised for his apprentice handicap victory last week under Saffie Osborne although doesn’t really appeal as the type to back up a win. Two horses who have previous course form and are well drawn are Revich (stall 1) who should strip fitter for his Lincoln Handicap run and has the assistance of top apprentice Harry Davies claiming 7lb and Fools Rush In (stall 4) who hails from the in form stable of Hugo Palmer who landed a nice touch on day one of the meeting with Ever Given. He’s two from four at the track and can be competitive. I can’t split the pair so will back both each way. REVICH 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 FOOLS RUSH IN 1 point each way @ 13/2 William Hill 1/5 1234 Market Rasen 1.50 ITV have squeezed in a jump race from Market Rasen, a 7 runner class 3 handicap chase which has an open enough look about it. It maybe worth chancing top weight Via Dolorosa who was so impressive when winning at Fakenham in March by 20L under today’s pilot Philip Armson and his three outings since have come in the Scottish National, Topham Chase and Bet365 Gold Cup. This represents a drop in grade and only 5lb higher than his Fakenham rout can be competitive here. VIA DOLOROSA 1 point win @ 8/1 William Hill Chester 2.05 A 10F handicap for four year olds and upwards which has a very open look about it with only the two rags Restorer and Bakersboy easily ruled out. Course form is brought to the table by Baryshnikov who is two from three here and has claims. Lincoln flop Mujtaba won at the track last year and won’t mind any ease in the ground. He too is a contender here along with top weight Brentford Hope who likes to get his toe in and has a touch of class about him when conditions are right. Ralph Beckett’s Lord Protector also has a 218 day absence to overcome but has won first time out the last two seasons and has claims. I’ll take another chance in my Lincoln fancy Mujtaba who has course form and should appreciate the step up in trip today. MUJTABA 2 points win @ 5/2 William Hill Chester 2.40 Only four assemble for this year’s renewal of the Group 2 Huxley Stakes with only the outsider Certain Lad who has a 532 day absence to overcome ruled out. John and Thady Gosden’s Megallan who bumped into Master Of The Seas in the Group 3 Earl Of Sefton on his re-appearance and Sir Michael Stoute’s Solid Stone last seen in February when down the field in the Saudi Neom Turf Cup on the Saudi Cup card are the two at the top of the market and both obviously have chances but I’m going to take a chance on Majestic Dawn who is a natural front runner who looks sure to go off in front and will appreciate any ease in the ground. At the prices Paul and Oliver Cole’s six year old ridden by Rob Hornby will do for me with an attacking ride from the front. MAJESTIC DAWN 1 points win @ 11/2 Bet365 Chester 3.15 The feature race of the meeting is the 2m 2 1/2F Chester Cup Handicap. A near maximum field of 16 go to post with the current favourite being the locally trained Solent Getaway a winner here last Autumn who showed up well on his re-appearance 17 days ago. He has claims but is skinny enough in the market. His stable companion Rajinsky has drawn stall 1 and with apprentice Harry Davies taking a further 7lb off his back has to be taken seriously. Aidan O’Brien’s runner Cleveland is easily over looked as he’s stepping up markedly in trip and stamina has to be a major concern. Top weight and last year’s winner Falcon Eight is now 5lb higher but was given a peach of a ride by Frankie Dettori then and he’s back on board today. He is on my shortlist despite the fact his trainer Dermot Weld is 39 runners and 32 days since his last winner. Coltrane is well berthed in stall 2 for the Andrew Balding stable and is yet another with claims. Last years runner up The Grand Visir has each way claims if he can overcome his wide draw which can also be said about the Jennie Candlish trained It’s Good To Laugh. Another Irish challenger is the John Queally trained Arcadian Sunrise from stall 5. He was an easy winner at York when last seen on these shores at York’s Ebor meeting last August and if straight enough is another with a chance under Jamie Spencer. A tough handicap as one would expect but my pin has fallen on top weight Falcon Eight although there is some concern on the form of his trainers stable with a small saver in Arcadian Sunset. FALCON EIGHT 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 ARCADIAN SUNSET 1/2 point each way @ 9/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Chester 3.45 Seven have declared for this 5F class 3 conditions stakes contest although two of those, King Of Stars and Night On Earth are both declared for the 5F handicap on Thursday so must be considered doubtful. The one to beat despite his 6lb penalty is the Andrew Balding trained King’s Lynn owned by Her Majesty The Queen. A speedy type who’s run well on his seasonal debuts on both the last seasons and was last seen at Doncaster in November when winning a listed contest. Acklam Express is actually the best in at these weights but his trainer Nigel Tinkler is 0 from 26 in the last fortnight so hardly a a yard in form. The other runner to consider the the only three year old in the contest Flaming Rib who blatantly didn’t stay when 6th in the 7F Greenham at Newbury and should be suited by this drop in trip for Hugo Palmer. The selection however is King’s Lynn. KING’S LYNN 2 points win @ 5/2 Bet365
  15. 2 winners from 4 selections for a profit of 8.25 points. Thursday's thoughts have been uploaded. Hope everyone found a winner or two.
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