Villa Chris

Bad day at the races yesterday. The Skeltons lost two horses and also Hobbs lost one. Mohaayed Ardlethen Espion

Well done mate.

No gain from me today. Generous day was backed into 11/2 from 11s which seemed promising but could only finish third .

Market Rasen 12.20 Agamemmon 16, 16/1 (3/1) Mac Tottie 13, 11/4 (4/1) Sizing Cusimano 11 , 11/2 (9/2-5/1

1.15 Warwick small field but that’s what I’m concentrating on. Surprisingly I’ve found good value in this race Generous Day 18, 11/1( 3/1) Equus Millar 12, 11/2(9/2) Amoola Gold 11, 9/4(5/1 Sky Pirate 11, Evens (5/1) Could be well off but we’ll see. I like horses that are well handicapped and top rated is. He’s also 2/2 at Warwick which puts emphasis on jumping .

Does it transfer to notepad and pen 😉

Top rated Glen Coco beaten by a neck. Not sure if that means I’ve rated it well because the others below him didn’t threaten, so may have been luck .

Glen Cocco 18 , 10/1 (5/1-9/2) Strawberry Jack 17, 13/2 (5/1) Casaruan 15, 17/2 (6/1) Johnny Reb 14, 13/2 (13/2) Old News 13, 13/2 (7/1) These are my top 5 for the 7.00 at Chelmsford . The top 3 offer decent value especially top rated Glen Cocco. You’ll notice his recent form isn’t good but he’s dropped to a mark in which he’s won off higher in the past. It’s basically rough ratings which need touching up on, but I’m lacking the time . Horses 4,5 I’d say bookies have them spot on. My price in brackets

Meant to be Morale 😂 Nowt worse than those long losing runs in handicap races. Get a few winners under your belt and it keeps spirits high.

I’m in . I’ll do that Chelmsford race in a bit, although it’s just trial, with no money bet on it. Need to review how I do my ratings , because I’m not happy with them, but trial and error.

I’d probably say so yes. Then you’ve got the moral issue which can play a big part in betting.

You’ll always have horses hidden away in handicap races that are well handicapped and you don’t even know it. Some trainers will get their horse well handicapped for a certain race by running it wrong distance, going it doesn’t like etc etc. Look at those Irish horses that have won the big handicap races at Cheltenham this season. Gordon Elliot is brilliant in handicap races at the Cheltenham festival and always gets his horses to peak for those races by getting them well handicapped in Ireland. At least with graded races you know what you’re getting usually. I prefer working out handicaps, al

Cepage who won on Saturday was a good example of a horse that had everything for that particular race. 7 horse race. Had won off that mark before. Had won on the going before and distance winner. He also dropped down in class and top rated . The rest of the field had it all to prove . He won by miles and was third favourite at 7/2 at one point but went off at 11/4 second favourite. Looking at that, it’s easy money and I bet long term if you could find those kind of bets you’d make profit.

Haven’t got time for tomorrow unless I get rained off early but I’ll do one for Friday if not.

So would you say the way me and trotter have done it is ok ?