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Everything posted by dylanphan

  1. Just some quick thoughts here. Since United beat Chelsea in week 1 on August 18th, they have failed to score more than a single goal in a match since that time. And save Arsenal & Liverpool, they have played absolute garbage. I'm talking League 1 Rochdale, Partizan, Alkmaar, Newcastle, Palace, Astana, I'm talking competition they should have smashed and at least been able to score multiple goals against. Anyone backing them this week is crazy, imho. United can counter for sure. The likes of James, Martial, Rashford, AWB, they have speed to burn. But, any manager worth their sa
  2. One game I like today is Bayer Leverkusen -1 (-120) Leverkusen has a fantastic squad and are flying high with 3 goals in each of their first two league games. They have weapons all over the field, and wonderkid Havertz is simply fantastic. Home win seems very likely here. I will lay the handicap here for a few reasons. Offseason has been very harsh for Hoffenheim. Injuries, attrition and they lost their coach to RB Leipzig and this is a massive loss in my eyes. Still without Kramaric, they lack in the dynamic goal scoring department. Game should have goals, but I fancy
  3. Last week was one of my best in a while. I had West Ham at +250 in a number of acca's and my biggest bet was the Liverpool/Arsenal over. Only game that really cost me money was United losing, but that's going to happen. Their expected goals were nearly 3 and the expected goals against was the second lowest for the weekend. It happens. I've only made one bet for the weekend and its a big one. Man United +110. This is just nuts. I've stated for weeks I have Southampton tipped for the drop. United isn't great, no. But they are miles better here. They've played a very pleasing brand
  4. Been a pretty good start to the season for me. Although I've been dead wrong on some teams, the bets I've put in have been so far, so good. early game, someone up top found Norwich +1 at evs and well, I need that line available to me because I've seen nothing close to that. I like Norwich and put a small play on them at +0.75 at -110. Norwich seem to get goals for fun. They led the championship in goals last year at just over 2gpg and seem to picked up right where they left off. Chelsea a bit of a team in flux imo. Jury still out on Lamps as a manager and it's going to take him a bit
  5. Usually the second week gives an opportunity or two to take a punt on a team with long odds, however this weeks fixtures are extremely tricky in my eyes. I generally will try to take an overreaction to the market as a chance to make a play, but I'm not seeing it this week at all. I'll go through a few games quickly. Liverpool should smash Southampton, I to have Southampton tipped for the drop, and Liverpool is obviously a strong side, however with Allison out and now potentially Adrian out well, I'm going to shy away by playing short odds here on the road side. This game screams pass
  6. Sundays fixtures: Leicester is too heavily favored in my eyes. Maguire is going to be a massive loss to the confidence of this team. I don't see why Wolves are so short, I mean they finished ahead of Leicester last year, no? Give me Wolves at +260 and DNB at +160 here all day. I don't think Wolves will finish as high as last year, but see no reason why they can't get a result here tomorrow. I like Arsenal quite a bit this year. Lacazette/PEA and now Pepe in the attack. Tierney and Luiz should be good gets in defense. It make take a few weeks for this team to find their best 1
  7. First week always tricky in my eyes. I try to keep it simple and don't play much early on. Here are my quick thoughts on Saturday's games West Ham/City - this game is just a huge pass for me. I've got City tipped to win the league and they are just a fantastic side. But, I do like West Ham quite a bit this year. A full year with Lanzini, Anderson hit his form late - and I love the Fornals and Haller pickups. But, will take a while for this team to congeal. Meanwhile, City pretty much the same as last year. Kompany and Delph gone, Rodri on, this team will be fantastic this year. Ju
  8. Paderborn game busted, but MY GOD, bless you Franfkfurt. Absolutely made my weekend here.
  9. Two games have my interest here tomorrow in Germany. First one, Paderborn vs St Pauli. Paderborn score for fun at home with 36 goals in 12 home matches. I'm not that smart, but that looks to be 3 goals per game. In fact, they've scored at LEAST 3 goals in 6 of their last 7 home games. St Pauli no slouches, sitting 4th in the table so I expect this to be a very competitive game. Team that is at home loves to score against another good team? to me that simply means goals. o1.5 1H +125 o3 -120 BIG BET The other game looks to be an absolute cracker is Frankfurt/Hoffenhe
  10. Going to wake up early, really looking forward to Spurs/Arsenal game. No strong lean in that match, but do feel Arsenal are being undervalued, taking them +0.5 would make sense. Be honest here, I think Poch is overrated as a manager. He has a nice system, has a keen eye for young talent, and gets a lot of his players so something certainly can be said for that, but his in game management is questionable. Case in point, Kane's first game back in what, 6 weeks against Burnley of all teams, and leaves him in for a full 90? Yeah, he scored a goal, that's well and good, but bigger fish t
  11. Well done Neubs. Between you and me we wiped clean on the early slate of games
  12. Borrusia Gladbach are super strong at home. They are a very good team with tons of attacking options and have won 11 in a row at home. See no reason not to back them here at -125 vs Augsburg. Nurnberg are the worst team I have seen play by far. They are certain to get relegated. They offer nothing from open play in attack and try to just defend defend defend and get a set piece. Terrible team Mainz at home should take care of them and again very generous price in my eyes at -120
  13. I'm going for o2.5 goals here in the Fulham/Spurs game Spurs are super thin, sure. But they are not out of options fully. They will need guys like Alli, Lamella and Erickson to step up. The loss of Son and Sissoko are really going to leave them super short in the mf and will make them susceptible on the counter for sure. Sessegnon on the bench today but Babel playing and while he was terrible in the premier league, he was actually quite good in Turkey. We'll see. Spurs also always have a chance to score on a set piece. Trippier is outstanding and Erickson no slouch. Spurs ne
  14. Okay, I sat out the first few weeks to watch some games and get a feel for things. Trust me when I saw the eyes lie, but I think I get too antsy early in the season and press but after just seeing how things play out I get a better feel for teams. Fulham/Watford o2.5 (-115) Watford a bit of shock here sitting near top of the table and just one loss to United, a game they did not play that poorly. Watford a sneaky counter attacking team and they average at 2gpg. Fulham not much to lose in this one, no reason for them not to attack. I really think both teams score in this one and i
  15. Very tricky fixture today at Old Trafford. After a pragmatic, 0-0, negative football draw at Sevilla, United not in the best of spots here. Sevilla get a goal and United need score 2 to advance which could be very difficult proposition. But, I am going to try not to overthink this one too much. Sevilla a good side, but honestly United much much better. The only team to come into the Theater of Dreams and come away with a victory since January 2016 has been Man City. Not a single other visitor has won there. Sevilla does not offer the same kind of threat that City does by any mea
  16. Okay lads, I'm gonna make this write up the night before the match here in the states, and I'll also preface this by stating I'm a United supporter big time. I generally don't like to send bets in before I see lineups, but I'll do my best to prognosticate this match beforehand. There is no love loss between these two teams for sure. And I'm also fairly sure that both coaches know that neither side is catching City this year for the premier league title, so a top 4 spot is a key consideration. Liverpool's form has been top notch. Not only in the PL, but easing through the CL with a
  17. Waiting on lineups here to finalize bets, but on the early matches: AC Milan/Arsenal under 2.5 seems a good bet for me. Arsenal relying on Welbeck to score, well, enough said. AC Milan have a plenty solid side and I'm sure will be pleased to not allow a road goal here. 1-0, 2-0 result seems right. I do really like Marseille to get a result at home too. If Aduriz is absent, this will be a bet from me for sure. CSKA/Lyon under 2.5 seems another good one, especially if Fekir is out for Lyon. Generally speaking, when I like unders, expect plenty of goals. Will try to s
  18. It would be a bit of a shock result if Toronto don't advance, at home, with the return of Giovinco and Altidore. A road draw was a good result for them. That being said, Columbus went into Atlanta which boasts a tremendous home field advantage, and advance through them on PK's. Columbus always undervalued and I'd suggest a play on them on a handicap or else under on total goals as I don't expect an open game again. Seattle has the other tie in a virtual death grip, with a road win and 2 road goals, and returning to home with one of the most significant home field advantages in MLS. Th
  19. Houston GK will be suspended for this game for an off field domestic abuse incident. More fuel for the Portland fire
  20. All four home sides are pretty heavily favored as to be expected. My initial thoughts as I generally wait till much closer to kickoff before sending in any bets Vancouver blew a beautiful opportunity at home in the first leg to get a result. They had to know Seattle was punch less, but they came out as under inspiring themselves, afraid to allow a road goal. That's pretty disappointing as I think you should always play for the win. Seattle will get two huge boosts, first their massive home crowd. And then they should have a few players that may be available and of course Dempsey off
  21. Here are my thoughts on today's matches. I cannot see backing Koln today, especially at very short odds. They are bottom of the Bundelisga with 2 points in 10 games, and only scored 4 goals in those 10 games. Surviving relegation is goal 1a and 1b for this club right now and anyone with any type of knock needs to be sat. Team came into the campaign with high hopes, and have thoroughly disappointed. Opening Europa league fixture at Arsenal saw thousands of Koln fans 'invade' the Emirates and brought a huge atmosphere with them. Unfortunately, the fans do not play the game, and the tea
  22. I love Vancouver tonight at +142. They have to be brimming with confidence after the drubbing of SJ last match out in an elimination match. I think they should come in with that same attitude tonight, as they really do need a result before going to the return fixture at Seattle which enjoys one of the best home field advantages in the league, if not the very best. They have the added advantage of being able to face a very banged up Seattle team, also without their emotional leader in Dempsey who picked up a stupid red last match out. Seattle may well play for a scoreless draw as their
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