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Pep004 last won the day on February 7

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About Pep004

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  1. Liverpool vs Everton; 15:15 Liverpool will miss reserve goalkeeper Bogdan, defenders Moreno, Matip, Clyne and midfielder Grujić. Everton is coming without goalkeeper Stekelenburg, defenders Baines, Funes Mori, Coleman and midfielders Barkley, Bolasie. Short preview: Liverpool is flying high! They are in fantastic form lately, scoring goals for fun and Everton without so many important players missing they will hardly compete with their city rival. Anyway as it goes for derby, everything can happen and I like over 1,25 goals in first half here – at odds close to even. Liverpool is all about attack, high pressing and exploiting their chances. I believe that Klopp won’t change his style at all even if playing derby and I expect several chances already in the first half.
  2. La Liga Predictions > Dec 8th - 11th

    More short previews and missing players for all matches of TOP5 leagues on: Valencia vs Celta Vigo; 20:45 Valencia will miss injured defenders Garay, Murillo and winger Guedes. Celta is coming without defender Gomez and suspended midfielder Jozabed. Short preview: Valencia is still holding 2nd position, but they lost important 3 points in Getafe last round. It's notable that Guedes has a big impact on this team and as he is out injured, Los Che have some problems in offensive. Still, they are flying high and I think that as they finally have an excellent manager, they currently deserves to be in top 3 in Spain. They have strong midfield with Kondogbia and Parejo, forwards in form and pretty good support from defence. Celta is perfect opponent for stealing points on matches like this, but odds for that are too short this time. They did it against Barcelona and usually teams taking points to giants are having some bad results after it. Last season for example they won against Barça 4-3 and in next match they were trashed by Villarreal 5-0. I am not expecting Valencia crashing them totally, but I do expect a home win here.
  3. Serie A Predictions > Dec 9th - 11th

    View missing players and short previews on other matches of TOP5 on: Cagliari vs Sampdoria; 18:00 Cagliari will miss suspended midfielder Barella. Sampdoria is coming without midfielder Linetty. Short preview: We have some interesting odds here. I see a value in +0,25 on away side with odds around 1,80 and here are reasons why: Cagliari lost 2 and played draw in last 3 matches. Looking only at home matches, they won two and lost three in last 5 matches, but both wins were against the worst teams in the league Verona and Benevento, while they lost against Genoa, Inter and most lately in Coppa Italia against Pordenone from Serie C. Rotating or not, your morale cannot be boosted after failing against third tear team. Sampdoria isn't impressive, especially not away from home, but there is a slight difference between those two teams and if bookies are giving half of profit already for a draw here, then I am willing to take that risk
  4. Europa League Predictions > Dec 7th

    Vardar vs Rosenborg; 21:05 Vardar will miss Brdarovski, Popov and Maksimov. Rosenborg is coming without Stamnestro, Vilhjalmsson, Konradsen and Helland. Short preview: For the away side that will be the last match of this year and some player might already be with heads on vacations as they cannot reach the second place in the group anymore. Same goes for Vardar but difference is that Vardar will play at home, and win today would mean that club from Skopje would get 360.000 € (120.000 € per point). We saw a good fight from Maribor against Sevilla (1-1) and I think that Rosenborg is little bit overestimated in this clash. I suggest Vardar +0,25 with odds around 2,05!
  5. Europa League Predictions > Dec 7th

    Crvena Zvezda - Köln Home team will miss Ricardinho, and Radonjjic. Germans have several injury problems and they arrived in Belgrade with only 16 players which includes 3 players from youth academy! Short preview: around 50.000 fans are expected on “Marakana” in Belgrade tonight where their team will face Köln in direct fight for 2nd spot in the group H. Köln arrived with 3 players from youth academy as they have more than 10 players out injured and they will have only 5 players on the bench. Köln surprised Arsenal in last round, but meanwhile they sacked former manager, so Ruthenbeck who was a head coach of A-Jugend team. Even if draw is enough to qualify for Zvezda, I believe that they will be extremely motivated in front of their fans and win the match. Odds above 2,00 looks rock solid! All missing players and other short previews are available on:
  6. @andrewcalo I almost forgot to post it today. Thanks for notification. They are in poor form, looking bad, but they are still Monaco. Porto vs Monaco; 20:45 Porto will miss only midfielder Oliveira. Monaco is coming in Portugal without defender Raggi, midfielders Lemar, Tielemans, Boschilla, Traore and forward Jovetić. Short preview: Disastrous season in Champions league for AS Monaco, last seasons big surprise, but regarding the last transfer window it isn’t that crazily surprising.. Jardim will be forced to make some rotations as he has several players out injured. Porto needs more points than Leipzig to qualify for next phase and I think that motivational factor will be the key here. Monaco is still a team with lots of individual qualities, but they look pretty weak lately, so I see Porto as a winner of this match. Coach of Porto Sergio Conceiçāo knows Monaco very well as he was in charge of FC Nantes last season. Even though I think that Porto will finish on second place, I am not sure about them trashing Monaco, who will probably sit deep and try with counters. Result 2-1/1-0 looks pretty possible to me, so I see value on Monaco +1,75 with odds above 1,80.
  7. I know, I didn't mean anything bad, I just expressed my opinion that they will go out to win it and that they won't have problems with Moyes.
  8. Why would someone rest players for West Ham? It's true that they lost "only" 2-1 against City, but it's hard to score when someone has 10 players in the box. I am pretty sure that they want to be first. Who doesn't. It is also true that Atletico is coming to win. If anything, then they don't know how to play matches like this. They are specialists for knockout phases, specialists for matches against a team who will be in possession, but Chelsea... I think that everyone would suit them better than Chelsea right now. I wouldn't be surprised to see Conte playing defensively waiting for their chances here.. I think that with this approach they will win this match.
  9. Bayern München vs PSG; 20:45 Bayern will miss goalkeeper Neuer, defender Bernat, midfielder Thiago and winger Robben. PSG is coming to Germany without injured midfielders Motta and Callegari. Short preview: As mentioned above, Germans need to win by 4 goals to hit the top, but PSG is the team in form here. Even though they lost their first match in Ligue 1 they will be really hard to beat on matches like this. Bayern will miss creativity of Thiago Alcantara and individual abilities of Arjen Robben, while PSG is coming with the strongest squad. Counters could once again be to big problem for Bayern and I see value on odds above 2,05 for PSG team totals over 1,5. Read more short previews on todays matches of Champions league here!
  10. La Liga Predictions > Dec 1st - 4th

    Read more on Girona vs Alaves; 21:00 Girona will miss defenders Planas and Alcala, midfielder Amagat and forward Kayde. Alaves is coming without injured defenders Ely, Vigaray and Laguardia, midfielder Garcia and forwards Santos and Sobrino. Due to recent injuries are doubtful defenders Alexis and Duarte. Short preview: Alaves with new coach and with several problems in defensive line will need to score in Girona if they want to leave with least a point. I think that odds above 2,10 are letting us some value on over 2,5 goals. Alaves scored three in Copa del Rey recently and I expect them to score at least once today as well. With Bojan and Munir they have players capable of individually solving some situations while on other hand Girona likes to play. They have very offensive wingbacks/wide midfielders in Maffeo and Benitez and in form forwards Stuani and Portu who mutually scored 12 goals this season. I expect way more open match than bookies, and taking over here.
  11. It's amazing to see the difference of Citizens buildup without Stones and Fernandinho.. it's 20% slower! A shame that I didn't count more serious on that..
  12. La Liga Predictions > Dec 1st - 4th

    Read other short previews on: Getafe vs Valencia; 16:15 Getafe will miss two regular defenders Cala and Antunes due to suspension while midfielder Shibasaki is still out injured. Valencia is coming without important winger Guedes and defenders Murillo and Garay who are out for few matches. Short preview: Valencia is on a hot run definitely and odds are too good to skip. Getafe is sitting on 12th position with 16 points. They lost in a midweek match with horrible 3-0 against Alaves and won’t continue in Copa del Rey. After Barcelona and Real Madrid dropping points this weekend, Valencia have great chances to take an advantage and make a bigger gap between them and Real and reduce the gap to Barça on only 2 points. With several players being rested against Zaragoza in the cup I expect a strong performance from Los Che and a straight win. You can get odds around 2,35 for that!
  13. @andrewcalo I liked only the first part of your post, that Milan will win tho. City will need to prove that they are strong team. It's true that usually for teams like that March is the most important month, but not if you want to win the PL. Starting December wrongly after three consecutive "poor" wins might turn on the alarm... Manchester City vs West Ham; 17:00 Citizens will miss injured defenders Stones and Mendy, while having Kompany and Fernandinho doubtful with small injuries. Leroy Sane is coming back in the squad after being out due to illness on last match. West Ham is coming to Manchester without defenders Fonte, Collins and Byram, forwards Chicharito and Carrol and as Hart is loaned from City, they cannot use him neither. Short preview: Guardiola said that winning in last minutes makes a team bigger, more confident and that it’s important to win matches in this way and I agree with that but there is a line between those situations being good and happening too often. Citizens won last 3 matches and it has been a while since we saw them winning with huge goal difference. I thought that it will happen last match but I didn’t expect Sane out. Even though due to injury of Stones, buildup of City isn’t as good as with him, I expect them to destroy one team and West Ham of Moyes, recently trashed by Everton with 4-0 is perfect opportunity for that. I suggest Man City -1 already in first half time with odds around 1,80. I see them winning this one with 4 or 5 goals scored. You can read more short previews here!
  14. Other free previews: Leicester vs Burnley; 16:00 Leicester will miss only defender Huth and midfielder James. Burnley is coming without first goalkeeper Heaton who played only 4 matches this season. Midfielder Marney and attacker Walters aren’t fresh absent either, but regular defender Lowton may stay out of action after picking up an injury recently. Short preview: Leicester is dangerous against teams who are giving them space, having defensive line pushed higher. Well Burnley won’t do that and I expect Foxes having real troubles today. I think that bookmakers are giving to big chances to Leicester here and suggest a +0,5 on away side with odds around 2,00.
  15. La Liga Predictions > Dec 1st - 4th

    Read other free previews on: Malaga v Levante; 21:00 Malaga will miss defenders Juan Carlos and Miguel Torres and midfielders Ricca and Kuzmanović. Two important players – midfielder Recio and defender Baysse are doubtful and will probably stay out of the action tonight. Levante is coming without defenders Rober and Lopez, midfielders Dokouré, Lerma and Lukić and forwards Alegria and Roger Marti. Short preview: I need to say that I fancy odds on Levante not to lose here – odds around 2,25. Odds dropped pretty heavily on home side and I am not saying that they aren’t favourites tonight, they are but not as big as bookmakers are showing right now in my opinion. Malaga had terrible results and they are currently sitting on positions for relegation with 5 points behind the 17th place Deportivo La Coruña. Levante is even three points higher than Depor, and they are typical tough team, capable of surprising every single team in the league. Postigo and Chema will probably play back together on central positions of defence and with them Levante will be more compact. They are usually playing very defensively, with defensive line very low and with low possession, trying to surprise with quick counters. They lost only one of last 5 away matches.