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Pep004 last won the day on February 7 2017

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About Pep004

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  1. Short previews and missing players, provided by! Shakhtar v AS Roma; 20:45 Shakhtar will miss Srna and Mayeshev, who are out for for a while. Bernard had some injury problems but should be back in the first lineup here. AS Roma is coming in Kharkiv without midfielder Gonalons and defenders Karsdorp, Silva, and Pellegrini. Some doubts are about important wide midfielder Florenzi, but he will most likely be in the squad for the match. Short preview: We've seen some high, trashing results in this round - City beating Basel, Liverpool Porto, Bayern Besiktas, but I think that in this match, bookies are forcing Italian side little bit too much. The only thing really bothering me here is the fact, that Ukranian championship came back last weekend, but I am sure that preparations of Shakhtar were tempted for the UCL match, so I expect players to be on a high competitive level anyway. After playing the last match on 6th of December, they started with training sessions pretty early in January, played 6 matches before the first match of their league, which they've won 5-0 against Chornomorets. Roma, on the other hand, had a very poor January, losing against Atalanta, played draws away against Inter and Sampdoria, and on 28/1 even lost against Sampdoria at home. February looks much better with three wins on their account, but first two matches were against Benevento and Verona, two of bottom three clubs in Serie A. Definitely Shakhtar will be a different opponent. At "home" they have an advantage also in temperatures as there is -5 in Kharkiv currently and it will be around -7 degrees during the match. My advice is to take Shakhtar -0,25 at odds around 2,20 and no it is not coming out of the fact, that this team won against Manchester City in the group stage, but mainly from how they played against Manchester City in England. True, they lost 2-0, but the second goal was scored in last seconds of the match and till then, everything was very much open. They've created many chances, and I think that till the match, no one caused as many problems to Citizens as Ukrainians did. Probably everyone knows how City plays, but I believe that there is only a few of those who actually watched matches of Shakhtar. They had 49% of possession on the Etihad stadium, which didn't happen there this season either. They have a very good squad, they managed to keep Fred there till the end of the season and I know that it could be tricky to pick them as being out of competition for two months is a pretty big handicap, but I still believe that they have more chances than odds are showing.
  2. Copa del Rey Predictions > Jan 17th - 25th - Providing short previews, missing players and betting suggestions on top 5 leagues! Barcelona v Espanyol; 21:30 Barcelona will miss: Vermaelen, Deulofeu, Denis Suarez – Iniesta and Alcacer are coming back from injury, while Coutinho and Mina are in the squad as well. Espanyol will miss midfielders Piatti and Jurado. I am usually keeping my fingers far away from Copa del Rey, but here I simply think that bookmakers are giving us too much of value on under 4 goals at odds close to 1,90. Barcelona have lost the first match on Cornella with 1-0 and therefore every single goal of Espanyol might be decisive. I know that it can happen that Barca will be 3 goals in front in only 15 minutes, but I expect Quique Sanchez Flores to start the match very defensive orientated, trying with counterattacks but still mainly focusing on closing gaps in defensive zones. Espanyol cannot count on services on two important players – Piatti and Jurado, so their midfield won’t be the best possible. Even if Barcelona will start offensively, probably with high pressing as well, I am pretty sure that Valverde won’t allow them to do it totally headless. To those able to take it, I suggest Barcelona and under 4,5, while Barcelona win to nill looks decent as well.
  3. FOOTALYCT - Providing short previews, missing players and betting suggestions on top 5 leagues! All other picks for 24th round of Premier League will be uploaded on Everton v WBA; 16:00 Everton will miss goalkeeper Stekelenburg and defenders Baines, Coleman, Mori. Except for Baines, other three players are without a single match this season. WBA will miss midfielders Chadli, Morisson while defenders Dawson and Hegazi will probably be fit for the match. Short preview: I’ve been surprised with odds on Everton here. Last head to head match finished with 0-0 in West Bromwich and since then Everton lost 4 matches in a row! But except Bournemouth, opponents were Manchester United at home and Liverpool and Tottenham away. I cannot be too much surprised by those results, but I will be surprised to see them staying without 3 points this time on Goodison Park. They brought Theo Walcott from Arsenal and with already added Tosun, their attack will be stronger in the second half of the season. Adding experienced Rooney and Sigurdsson, I simply think that team of Big Sam will be too strong at home for poor WBA who is currently sitting on 19th spot with only 19 points and even though they added an important win against Brighton in last round, they are overrated from bookmakers this time in my opinion. I think that books are giving too big credits to the fact of Everton losing 4 in a row here. Price on Everton should be closer to 2,00 in my opinion. Therefore, a value is on Everton -0.5 at odds above 2,20!
  4. No need for apologies, we are here to help each other and share informations.
  5. Terrier is in the squad of Strasbourg. @malabgd
  6. La Liga Predictions > Jan 12th - 15th - Missing players, short previews and betting suggestions on La Liga, Serie A, Premier League and Bundesliga. French Ligue 1 is followed professionally so it's available only for subscribers. Girona v Las Palmas; 13:00 Girona will miss defender Alcala and attacker Kayode. Las Palmas is coming without defenders Michel, Bigas and holding midfielder Samper. Short preview: as mentioned last week, I will keep picking overs on matches of Las Palmas, especially in encounters like this one where the home team is extremely offensive minded. I suggest over 2,5 goals and both teams to score with odds above 2,00 here. Garcia, Stuani, and Portu are still on fire and they are playing against a team which conceded at least 2 goals in 12 of last 13 matches! Still, regardless the position of Girona, this is a newcomer to La Liga and Las Palmas must take points from teams like this if they don’t want to be pushed back into Segunda. Without Bigas, Michel and Samper, their chances are cut short, but they will have to score on more than Girona in this one if they want something out of the match, because Girona will score for sure. For those unable to pick combination, over 2,75 at 1,90 looks decent as well.
  7. Bundesliga I Predictions > Jan 12th - 14th

    @StevieDay1983 I totally agree with your bet. Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern München; 20:30 Only long-term injured midfielder Yurchenko is off for Leverkusen. Bayern is still without first goalkeeper Neuer, important defender Hummels, important midfielder Thiago and key striker Lewandowski. Short preview: Regarding the odds, it's simply fair to go against German champions today. Without Lewandowski, they will miss their key striker and due to how Leverkusen perform lately +0,5 with odds close to 2,10 looks decent to me! Last time that Leverkusen lost was on 20th of September, while they are still on defeatless at home this season. As mentioned Herrlich can count on all important players and I expect a tense match, where the smallest error might decide the winner.
  8. To be honest, I like some underdogs... will take a look later, anyone knows if official statements about missing players are already out? Is it possible that any of those clubs (Leicester, Everton, Burnley) will miss an important player? So far: Leicester +1,5, Burnley +0,5, Everton +1,5...
  9. EFL Cup Predictions > Jan 9th & 10th

    Tough to say something smart, regarding odds. I don't know Bristol at all, but if they will succeed to play compact and very well organized defensively, they might hold for the first half. But deeper in the match we'll go, more mistakes I expect from their side in positioning, bigger holes for Citizens to attack and sooner or deeper Bristol should crash. It's possible to get @2,00 for City -1,5 in the second half. Any thoughts?
  10. La Liga Predictions > Jan 6th - 8th

    Barcelona v Levante; 16:15 Barcelona will miss defender Umtiti, suspended midfielder Busquets, injured Turan and forwards Paco and Deulofeu. Levante will miss defender Chema, midfielders Morales, Bardhi, and Campaña and forwards Alegria and Marti. Short preview: as you can see Levante is coming in Barcelona without three important midfielders and regular defender, so on first hand, we could say that their level of creativity will be pretty low, but knowing Levante, the main problem will be that they cannot count on three important players in line whose primary goal was to create a decent block and help defensive line behind them. They conceded only a goal in last three away matches and I expect them to come on Camp Nou with a totally defensive-oriented team. Barcelona will miss suspended Busquets which probably means that buildup will be slower, but Rakitić played solid on this position last time. Anyway, I expect Levante to drop really deep and if Barcelona won't score some silly goals, I think that this match will stay under 4 goals. I've been looking at Barcelona win with clean sheet, but odds are pretty low (1,70) so I suggest under 4,5 at 1,85.
  11. La Liga Predictions > Jan 6th - 8th

    I agree, and I really like bets on underdogs too, but I think that there are too many "mismatches" between those two teams. If Girona can perform defensively, everything is possible, even an away win, but I think that they are too offensive minded. I expect to see plenty of goals in this one, something like 2-1/3-1. Good luck to everyone.
  12. La Liga Predictions > Jan 6th - 8th

    Missing players, short previews and betting suggestions on other La Liga matches of 18th round are available here: Las Palmas v Eibar; 18:30 Las Palmas will miss defenders Michel, Galvez, midfielder Aquillani and forwards Remy and Tannane. Eibar is coming without reserve goalkeeper Yoel, defender Junca and midfielders Fran Rico and Pedro Leon, who are out from the start of the season. Short preview: new coach of Las Palmas is Paco Jemez who is known by style with high pressing and possession football. Even if winning or losing, he is demanding his teams to play high and offensive. Eibar is a team who won't mind about not being in possession, but they are very dangerous on flanks, especially from counters and in attack they have two very strong individuals in Enrich and Charles. I expect Las Palmas to play, create chances, also score a goal, but on the other hand, concede at least one so I suggest both teams to score here with odds around 1,70 or even over 2,5 with odds around 1,85. Some bookies are offering both together and there is a value at odds around 2,05 as well.
  13. Serie A Predictions > Jan 5th & 6th

    Missing players, short previews and betting suggestions on other Serie A matches of 20th round are available here: Benevento v Sampdoria; 15:00 Benevento will miss defenders Lazaar, Antei, midfielders Cataldi, Ciciretti and forwards Parigini, Iemmello. Sampdoria is coming without defender Strinić, midfielders Đuričić, Capezzi and Alvarez. Short preview: After three consecutive defeats both teams bounced back with a win in last round. Benevento succeeded with first Serie A win against Chievo while Sampdoria defeated SPAL in last minutes of the match. Comparing those two teams, there is still a big quality difference and I see Sampdoria as a winner today. Last round my suggestion was Benevento Asian totals under 1 at home but odds were much better last round as they played against Chievo. Still, you can get odds around 2,00 for Benevento to stay under 1 (exact 1 goal means that you will get your money back). Benevento will miss two regular midfielders Cataldi and Ciciretti while except full back Strinić, manager of Sampdoria has no troubles with team selection. Offensive trio in Quagliarella, Caprari, and Ramirez behind them should be enough for all three points. So suggestions are two – Sampdoria -0,5 with odds around 2,10 and Benevento totals under 1 with odds around 2.
  14. Serie A Predictions > Jan 5th & 6th

    All other picks for 20th round of Serie A will be uploaded on: Chievo v Udinese; 18:00 Chievo will miss defender Gamberini, midfielder Castro and forward Meggiorini. Udinese will miss defenders Ali Adnan, Angella, midfielder Behrami and forward Matos. Short preview: Since Oddo is sitting on the bench of Udinese, they climbed on the 7th spot with 5 wins in a row but in my opinion, their run will stop tonight in Verona. Chievo, on the other hand, is in miserable form, winning only a point in last 5 matches, losing against both "Serie B" teams Benevento and Crotone but still - the only point they have won was against Roma at home. Statistical facts are going against the home team here, but I think that Udinese simply isn't a team big enough to win 6 matches in a row in Serie A. Injured Adnan played a pretty important role in Oddo's team, and it won't be easy to replace him. Even though most of the tipsters are taking a straightaway win here, I would suggest Chievo +0,25 at odds around 1,83.