jazzman02

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About jazzman02

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    Legend Punter

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    jamie.d02

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  1. MLS 2018

    DC United are available at 250/1 to win the MLS Cup - they are 6 points off the play offs with games in hand on every team above them and 10 of their final 13 matches are at home
  2. Division 7 - Week 2 Selections

    Forfar @ 2.50 Elgin @ 1.80 10pt double
  3. Division 7 - Week 1 Selections

    Mansfield @ 2.00 10 pts single
  4. 2018/19 Champions League Ante-Post Betting

    Not since Porto lifted the Champions League in 2004 have a side from outside the "Big 5" leagues won this trophy - in that time no French side have won the trophy but I'm including them due to the modern-day presence of PSG. That being said, here's a few bits of data regarding this years challengers hailing from said league... England France Germany Italy Spain Notes Coe - Nations coefficient Pyt - (Nat) Pythagorean rating of all teams from said Nation over the last 100 UCL matches, (Confed) Pythagorean rating of team over last 32 European matches (Domestic) Pythagorean rating of team over last 32 domestic matches WR - (Nat) Win rate of all teams from said Nation over the last 100 UCL matches, (Confed) Win rate of team over last 32 European matches STR - Shots ratings over last 32 domestic matches
  5. FA Community Shield Predictions > Aug 5th

    It's difficult to predict a winner for this without team news; assuming both teams field their strongest available XI I'd be tempted to back Chelsea +0.25 but not with any degree of confidence. Yes they had a poor season last year results wise but on my 32-match ratings they rank a respectable 3rd (Man City 1st) and I'm sure Sarri will be keen to get off to a positive start by putting some silverware in the trophy cabinet. For a speculative punt, again team news dependant, if anybody prices up the man of the match market I'd take a punt on Callum Hudson-Odoi if he was 16/1 or bigger. The youngster has impressed pre-season and with speculation around Eden Hazard and Willians future his performance will surely be under the microscope.
  6. FA Community Shield Predictions > Aug 5th

    Betfair are a standout 4/5 about over 2.5 goals, this looks a rock solid wager to me
  7. Super League 2018

    Update ratings and priojections..
  8. NRL 2018

    Update ratings and projections...
  9. MLS Cup 2018

    Updated projections and ratings...
  10. 2018/19 Europa League Ante-Post Betting

    I've amended my league ratings - only matches in the Europa League proper taken into account;
  11. 2018/19 Champions League Ante-Post Betting

    I've amended my league ratings - only matches in the Champions League proper taken into account;
  12. Pre-Season Projections/ Ratings Notes Obvisouly all stats/ data based and DOES NOT take into any changes to the management/ squad made during the off season, intended to be a starting point before more indepth research. Points projections based on Pythagorean theorom taken over the final 32 matches of last season, newly promoted teams projected points calculated taking into account the performance of past promotoed teams. Margin of victory, goals for and goals against stats are again taken from a teams final 32 matches of last season. All stats and ratings promoted/ relegated sides are their final 2017/18 ratings.
  13. 2018/19 Championship Ante-Post Betting

    Pre-Season Projections/ Ratings Notes Obvisouly all stats/ data based and DOES NOT take into any changes to the management/ squad made during the off season, intended to be a starting point before more indepth research. Points projections based on Pythagorean theorom taken over the final 32 matches of last season, newly promoted teams projected points calculated taking into account the performance of past promotoed teams. Margin of victory, goals for and goals against stats are again taken from a teams final 32 matches of last season. All stats and ratings promoted/ relegated sides are their final 2017/18 ratings. Thoughts I think this is a really poor (quality wise) renewal of the Championship I'm happy to put a line through a number of teams for verious reasons. There is one side I'm keen on however, and that side is Wigan and there are several reasons for this; I have shots data going back to the 2010/11 season and the WIgan side of last season rate as the strongest side to play League One football in that period, they also recorded the highest 46-match Pythagorean rating and the strongest Market rating over the same time frame. Bet 0.5pts - Wigan Athletic to win The Championship @ 40/1 with Bet365 & Paddy Power
  14. 2018/19 Premier League Ante-Post Betting

    Pre-Season Projections/ Ratings Notes Obvisouly all stats/ data based and DOES NOT take into any changes to the management/ squad made during the off season, intended to be a starting point before more indepth research. Points projections based on Pythagorean theorom taken over the final 32 matches of last season, newly promoted teams projected points calculated taking into account the performance of past promotoed teams. Margin of victory, goals for and goals against stats are again taken from a teams final 32 matches of last season. All stats and ratings promoted/ relegated sides are their final 2017/18 ratings.