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About jazzman02

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  1. Checkatrade Trophy 2018/19

    I've found an antepost selection that I like, obviously team news is crucial in a competition like this but I feel the price on offer is a touch generous. Accrington are available at 50/1. They're in a group with Blackpool, Macclesfield and West Brom u21; in their only match in the competition so far they beat Macclesfield 4-1. They currently reside in 6th place in the League 2 table sit a comfortable mid-table in my ratings. On expected goals ratio they also sit in 6th place. Below are comments taken from manager John Coleman prior to the Macclesfield match (source; http://accringtonstanley.co.uk/2018/10/wembley-dream-coley/) “I like it. I do not see why people slate it [Checkatrade Trophy]. For me, it gives me a chance to get players game-time under their belts and it’s a realistic way for us of getting to Wembley, we are one of just two clubs who haven’t played there in the Football League. “The prize money is also healthy, perhaps not for the higher placed teams, but for clubs like us and Macclesfield it can make a difference. “For Under 21 teams, it’s a chance to play against men. Playing in Academy games can sometimes be like a cocoon so it’s a good game for them. “You only have to ask Lincoln fans if they enjoyed the Checkatrade Trophy last season. It’s a realistic chance for us to go to Wembley.”
  2. Division 7 - Final Week Selections

    Sutton @ 2.87 £10 Single
  3. Division 7 - Week 9 Selections

    Swansea @ 1.85 10 pts win
  4. Division 7 - Week 8 Selections

    Really? Very harsh. 11 mins late and 4 mins before their match kicked off, gained no advantage whatseover.
  5. Division 7 - Week 8 Selections

    Barcelona v Bilbao - BTTS @ 2.05 10pts single
  6. Division 7 - Week 7 Selections

    West Brom @ 1.80 10pts win
  7. 2018/19 Champions League Ante-Post Betting

    I've added Lyon to my stable at 300/1 - my current 32-match ratings don't have them trailing PSG (8/1) by a massive amount, yes they have a tough group (Man City, Hoffenheim & Shakhtar) but at 300/1 they're worth a small poke
  8. Division 7 - Week 6 Selections

    Portsmouth @ 3.10 10pts win single
  9. Scottish Premiership Ratings Projections Thoughts Kilmarnock rank 2nd on my ratings and rank 4th 5.4 points of 2nd in my projections and are worth a small punt in the 'Without Celtic' market at 100/1. Hearts have had a fast start to the season but Killie been more solid over a prolonged period of time, Hibs lost their two best players in McGinn and McGeough whilst Rangers will have the Europa League to contend with throughout the winter. Aberdeen look to be going backwards,a point highlighted by the fact their top scorer Adam Rooney chose to join Salford City in the summer.
  10. Scottish FA Cup SPL Ratings Thoughts Kilmarnock are 2nd on my shots ratings and only Celtic have picked up more points than them over the last 32 league matches - they look overpriced at 33/1 to win the competition. Obviously they'll need a bit of luck in the draw in order to avoid Celtic until as late as possible but they look the best value play. Hibernian are also a touch of value at 20/1 which is more than double the price of Rangers (6/1) and double that of Aberdeen (10/1).
  11. Division 7 - Week 5 Selections

    Queen of the South @ 2.37 10pts single
  12. Early doors but I like Oxford at home to Fulham u21 at 5/4 with Bet365 - at home to academy teams in this competition League 1 sides have a record of 29-11-8 (roughly a 4/6 chance) with average odds of 21/20. There are 5 other ties that meet this criteria and in 4 of those the league side is odds on, there are currently no prices for the 5th match (Bradford v Everton u21)
  13. Division 7 - Week 4 Selections

    Mansfield @ 2.10 10pts single
  14. Ligue 1 & 2 Predictions > Aug 24th - 27th

    Worth keeping an eye on the prices for a penalty to be awarded - using the same VAR system as used a the World Cup. Currently all priced around the 3/1 mark, obviously lower goal lines but matches at the World Cup were going off at 13/8ish after a few rounds
  15. Opening lines for the Quarter Finals starting to filter through... Kashima Antlers v Tianjin Quanjian 365 have opened up a mouthwatering 11/2 about Tianjian, this to me is WRONG for several reasons; 1. If I can draw your attention to match 4 on the JAP v CHI table below, Kashima v Shanghai Shenua, take a look at the prices for this match. Now go to the Tianjin Quanjian table at the bottom, match 9, Tianjin v Shanghai, and note the match prices. You'll see that Kashima were around 1/2 with Tianjin around 4/7; this suggests to me that the market rates Kashima as a slightly better side than Tianjin. 2. Repeat the above process for match 1 on the CHI v JAP table and match 6 on the Tianjin table. You'll find prices of around 1/2 and 1/3, again this favours Kashima but further supports my argument that whilst they are a better team they are not so much better to warrant Tianjin being 11/2, two teams of equal ability with one having home advantage would have match prices of 21/20 - 13/5 - 3/1 in the ACL. 3. Chinese teams have a record of 8-9-9 away at Japanese teams since 13/14