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Mindfulness last won the day on February 8

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About Mindfulness

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    Mind 2 Motion
  • Birthday 05/07/83

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  1. Brazil Serie A Predictions 2018

    Flamengo price seems a bit long at Atletico Mineiro in what should be a balanced encounter. However, Flamengo have to play River Plate in Copa Libertadores on Thursday. Flamengo do have one of the bigger squads in this division but even so, having to play Thursday / Sunday can be disruptive. At least that's what we've seen in English Premier League. Be interested to hear what @Felipe Madeira and @AndreBR thinks of Vasco da Gama this week.
  2. Brazil Serie A Predictions 2018

    @Felipe Madeira Are you from Brazil? I am interested in getting involved in this league over the summer but getting information can be difficult. Be good to have your thoughts on some of the teams if possible and perhaps some links to websites that have detailed and up to date info regarding this league (I already use WhoScored). I am building a database on Brazil Serie A as we speak but it takes time to setup and maybe a little while before I am clued up enough to post my own selections. Also, do you think Atletico PR odds are a bit long in the match at Fluminense?
  3. Group H Predictions

    Group H - Senegal to qualify @ 2.5 Betvictor Senegal are arguably the strongest African team at the tournament this year and I simply don't understand their 'qualify from group' price compared to Colombia and Poland. I see those 3 teams all on a similar level and in my view they should be priced closer together. A play on Senegal to progress to the next round holds some value imo.
  4. 2018 World Cup Ante-Post Chat

    Guys I have been really boring with my first 2 selections but I feel World Cup betting is so random and treacherous you should back teams that are generally consistent at international level: Germany to win the world cup @ 6.0 Unibet Some would argue the team has improved from 2014 and I would say the likes of Leroy Sane and Timo Werner will bring that added pace and movement. Pace and movement with runners going beyond tends to bring the best out of Ozil and generally speaking I think Germany will be strong contenders to lift the trophy once again. Question marks over Jonas Hector at LB but overall I am satisfied this team has the quality, cohesion and experience to win. Spain to win the world cup @ 7.6 Betfair (Exchange) It might not be the Spain of old but the squad is strong throughout and coach Lopetegui should know how to get the best out of Isco and Asensio through his work with the U21 setup. It should also be noted that some of Spain's more talented players have not been playing 90 minutes week in, week out for their clubs this season so fatigue should not be a factor for them. This is also a major reason why I never like to back England in summer tournaments as everyone's knackered after 30 minutes. The big question mark for Spain this summer will be over the cohesion of the side - I don't think they're on Germany's level in that regard. However, a balanced squad combined with great blend of youth, experience and quality should mean Spain are contenders once again this year. Will post again if I can find further selections.
  5. Non-League Predictions > April 28th

    Cheers @Darran, I've been distilling your selections into asian handicap plays this season and it's proved profitable. Also, the mighty Shots managed that top 7 finish which was a nice bonus Hopefully see you on these boards next season.
  6. Premier League Predictions > Apr 21st - 23rd

    Hope you've recovered from the weekends events. Agent Murray did a great job of clearing one off the line for us in the last seconds. Beautiful.
  7. Non-League Predictions > April 3rd-5th

    What are your thoughts on Shots inconsistency @Darran? Are there reasons for it like absences or young group of players?
  8. Premier League Predictions > Mar 1st - 5th

    Sorry mate, I've had a cold recently so haven't had a chance to do much in-depth analysis on games. If I have time this week I will post again.
  9. Serie A Predictions > Feb 17th - 19th

    Chievo V Cagliari X @ 3.2 Betfair Chievo have had a rough time of it recently, the 1-0 stoppage time home defeat to Genoa added further insult to injury at the weekend. They now face a Cagliari side who have found their level in the lower mid-table zone this campaign. Looking at the metrics we can see these sides are closely matched in a number of important areas. Cagliari have had the stronger backline thus far - it's an area where Chievo have really struggled this season. The home side can be thankful that RB Cacciatore returns for this match to help shore things up. I'm prepared to overlook Chievo's poor form here as metrics suggest this game should be close. X seems to hold the most value in this situation. Benevento V Crotone X @ 3.2 Betfair Benevento play the better football of the two but Crotone are stronger defensively and more pragmatic which is why they have a chance of surviving come the end of the season and Benevento don't. Once again we see two teams that are very closely matched in some key areas when looking at the metrics. It's very hard to pick a winner from these two and the stats suggest neither side is really capable of running away with it. X seems to be the logical play after running the numbers.
  10. Serie A Predictions > Feb 9th - 11th

    Rough going this weekend guys, Lazio were a disgrace in that second half, some of the goals they conceded were just ridiculous. Atalanta had a tough game as conditions were appauling and it was questionable that the match went ahead. The pitch was in really poor condition aswell and this affected Atalanta's ability to pass ball and dominate the game: https://www.football-italia.net/117020/inzaghi-lazio-reaction-unacceptable https://www.football-italia.net/117012/gasp-good-point-circumstances February has been a difficult month so far but hopefully things will improve soon.
  11. Premier League Predictions > Feb 10th - 12th

    @Tiffy No problem. As you said, very unpredictable game and I personally would want bigger price on Brighton all things considered.
  12. Premier League Predictions > Feb 10th - 12th

    That particular selection was on my shortlist but I've decided to leave it alone because metrics and ELO do not favour Brighton here. You're right to highlight Brighton's new forward additions because that may make past performance less relevant and also agree that it boosts the performance of other players. Generally I feel the Stoke V Brighton game is hard to price in present circumstances but markets don't appear to have done a terrible job in any case. Valuations seem to be in the right ball park so it's a no bet for me. I'm not advising you or others to avoid backing the away side, just saying what I'm gonna do.
  13. Serie A Predictions > Feb 9th - 11th

    Napoli V Lazio Lazio +1.0 AH @ 1.78 Betvictor I guess we're seeing a big price on the away team due to conflicting form but I am prepared to back Lazio here as I don't see a big difference between the two sides. First off, Napoli have won 7 league games on the bounce and are making a serious charge for the scudetto. They're a fantastic team and will surely finish above Lazio come the end of the season. Despite this, I expect Maurizio Sarri's team to be given a stern test this weekend in what should be the tie of the round. Lazio have staggered recently by losing their last 2 league games. Coach Simone Inzaghi said his team were a little fatigued at the weekend in the home defeat to Genoa. Inzaghi did not field a full-strength team in that game with Milinkovic-Savic and Lulic both absent and Felipe Anderson struggling for match fitness. I expect Milinkovic-Savic and Lulic to return to the starting eleven V Napoli which will make Lazio a lot more competitive. Looking at the metrics in detail we can see that Lazio outperform Napoli in a couple of key areas. Essentially, both teams create a lot of chances but Lazio actually have the better conversion rate. ELO ratings also suggest game is very balanced so I do not believe such a big price for Lazio is justified here. Lazio on +1 asian line gives us decent cover in a game that should be more competitive than the markets suggest. Value on away team is too big to ignore in my view.
  14. Serie A Predictions > Feb 9th - 11th

    Crotone V Atalanta Atalanta -0.25 AH @ 1.72 Betvictor As I said a couple of weeks back, Crotone had a good transfer window with the additions they've made to their squad. It's starting to show on the pitch as Walter Zenga's side are now unbeaten in 3, a run of results which includes a very respectable draw at Inter Milan. My view is that it will be tough for Crotone to keep the unbeaten run going here against an Atalanta team which is performing well. Gian Piero Gasperini's side had a number of issues to contend with heading into the game with Chievo at the weekend but they still managed to emerge victorious. Atalanta have had some tough fixtures recently but they still gave a good account of themselves and they may just have too much for a plucky Crotone in this situation. Looking at the metrics, Atalanta are clearly ahead in almost all areas compared to Crotone and I would expect the Nerazzurri to dominate the play despite being away from home. ELO ratings are also very favourable to Atalanta here which is encouraging. I would say Atalanta should be priced between 1.70 and 1.80 for this game but the markets are giving us 2.00 at the time of writing this which seems generous. I will take the away side on -0.25 line here for some extra cover but taking Atalanta outright is also acceptable @ EVS or above imo.