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Mindfulness last won the day on February 8

Mindfulness had the most liked content!

About Mindfulness

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  2. Hellas Verona V Brescia Brescia +0.25 AH @ 2.11 Betfair (Exchange) The fixture machine has been unkind to Brescia thus far and I feel the calls to sack coach Eugenio Corini are somewhat harsh; although Sunday's match in Verona is of vital importance for the Biancazzurri. I've watched quite a bit of Brescia this season and I feel they're a good team with some quality players at this level. Their performances have not been poor, it's just they keep having to face top 6 sides or opponents who have been boosted by circumstance. The match in Verona this weekend will be a high pressure situation for the away side, but it is also an opportunity for Brescia to make their quality advantage tell. I've already spoken about Verona this season, they do have a clear way of playing and the team is awkward to break down. However, they are very uninspiring in the final 3rd and Brescia clearly have the more dangerous forwards with the likes of Donnarumma and Balotelli. Some articles have been critical of the latter recently but I do not share the same view. Balotelli looked sharp and threatening against Inter and I think it's only a matter of time before we see Super Mario back on the scoresheet. ELO ratings do not show a clear advantage for either side here and it's a similar story for the key goal metrics. My view is that Brescia have underperformed due to a harsh fixture list, while their forward players are more of a threat than their opponents here. This match should be more closely contested than odds suggest and to get Brescia on the +0.25 asian line at odds against seems generous in my view.
  3. Sheffield Utd V Burnley Burnley +0.25 AH @ 1.99 Betvictor Price on the away side is starting to shorten so going to have to make a move here. Sheffield Utd may find this game difficult as Burnley are not the type of team to underestimate their opponents or play the kind of cavalier football that would play into Sheffield Utd's hands. We can see that Sheffield Utd, although 8th in the table, have only scored 3 goals at home so far this campaign. The Blades have shown good game management under the stewardship of Chris Wilder but their lack of firepower should be a concern for the home side here. Burnley should be a tough side to play against and break down, it's never nice having to make the game against them. In my view their forwards are more adept and effective at this level than Sheffield Utd's and the ELO ratings give Burnley nearly half a goal advantage heading into this fixture. Key goal metrics also show a similar margin in Burnley's favour here. Burnley CF Chris Wood may miss this game through injury but Jay Rodriguez is a more than capable replacement in my view and their attack should not be hindered if Wood does miss out. To summarise, this should be a hard-fought contest between two well-drilled units. Sheffield Utd may find it hard to make the game against an opponent that knows how to play 2 banks of 4 and a low block while Burnley themselves look to be the more dangerous team going forward by most key measures. I expected the odds to be closer together for this match, Burnley on the +0.25 asian line at around EVS is the value play for me in this situation.
  4. 7 cards per game??? The maniac has handed out 7 cards before half-time in this one!!!
  5. Hellas Verona V Sassuolo Sassuolo -0 AH @ 2.09 Matchbook Some folks may demand that I am put before a firing squad for posting a bet involving the much maligned Sassuolo, but, there maybe an opportunity here for those of the brave and foolish disposition. Sassuolo have lost all 3 away games in Serie A thus far and are currently undergoing a defensive crisis with a number of first teamers out injured. Despite this, I do not really feel that Hellas are the team to capitalise on these issues as their attack is particularly tepid. The Gialloblu have the joint 3rd worst offence in the division as things stand and it's not difficult to see why. Verona's forwards are not particularly ruthless infront of goal, I feel they lack a natural goal-scorer at the top of the pitch and their chance conversion is poor in general. Sassuolo may have a shakey backline but they are very strong going forward, they have dangerous players who have no problem scoring goals at this level such as Caputo, Berardi and Defrel. Their chance conversion rate is way ahead of Verona's and I feel if anyone has the means to win this encounter then it's Sassuolo. It should also be noted that Hellas Verona have injury issues of their own as key midfielder Miguel Veloso is out for this match which is a big problem for the home side as he has been their top performer so far this season. It's also thought that Sofyan Amrabat has somekind of fitness issue for this match and it will be another major setback for the home team if he does not start on Friday. Veloso and Amrabat really are the driving force of this Verona team and they will be compromised if either, nevermind both, do not play against Sassuolo. It's true that Sassuolo are one of the main mad dogs of this division and betting on their games can prove treacherous at the best of times. Despite this, I feel they are much more vulnerable against teams with genuine goal threat and effective counters. This Verona side does not come under that category in my view. The away side have a clear firepower advantage heading into this game and it's a good opportunity for Roberto De Zerbi's team to register their first positive away result of the campaign. Sassuolo with full draw cover at odds against is the play for me in this situation.
  6. Hopefully Tottenham can improve and get the win as they are my last man standing pick for this week and seem to be the least worst option from the short priced favs this weekend.
  7. I would also say that Chelsea, Wolves and Liverpool are all potential coupon killers this week and should be avoided.
  8. In terms of predicting outcome; yes, in terms of understanding West Ham odds are generous; no.