Mindfulness

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Mindfulness last won the day on December 14 2018

Mindfulness had the most liked content!

About Mindfulness

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    Metta Meditation
  • Birthday 05/07/83
  1. Premier League Predictions > Jan 19th & 20th

    I agree, it would be a pointless move. You wouldn't be able to find a manager that could do better with the current squad of players and budget you have. The only concern I would have is morale, Warnock needs to maintain that and not let arguments about Brexit spill over into the dressing room.
  2. Premier League Predictions > Jan 19th & 20th

    An absolute shocker of a card for me but some good calls from @neilovan, @thfc and @StevieDay1983 The EPL has had a low % of X outcomes so far this season, will it revert to the mean? Not sure as it maybe a sign that an increasing number of teams play with a kitchen sink mentality.
  3. Serie A & B Predictions > Jan 18th - 21st

    Be careful with this one mate, Napoli are without CB Koulibaly, DM Allan, CM Hamsik and FW Insigne - all key players. Napoli are still looking strong on key goal metrics and that is why I cannot really bring myself to back Lazio +0.50 AH here. Given the circumstances I do not like Napoli to win at odds on, they are too short given all their absences in my view. Game has become very dicey and is best avoided in my humble opinion.
  4. Premier League Predictions > Jan 19th & 20th

    Newcastle Utd v Cardiff City Cardiff City +0.50 AH @ 1.91 Betvictor Newcastle may have won their midweek FA Cup replay but the match went to extra-time and Newcastle now have many injury doubts for Saturday's game with Cardiff. Cardiff haven't been that impressive on the road this season but key goal metrics have them virtually level with Newcastle. ELO ratings are starting to favour Neil Warnock's team with a three-quarter goal advantage heading into Saturday's game so the technicals look ok for the away side. This game should be closely contested and I think a play on X @ 3.42 Matchbook is also reasonable here, I have backed this at half stakes. Southampton V Everton Everton -0 AH @ 1.95 Matchbook Everton should be buoyed by their 2-0 home win over Bournemouth last weekend. Their attacking quartet of Richarlison, Bernard, Lookman and Sigurdsson are menacing in different ways and if you compare the attacking quality of these two sides I don't think many would disagree that Everton have the advantage here. Everton's improving attacking performances are reflected in their ELO ratings and they head into this one with a 1.5 goal advantage. Key goal metrics are much closer with the away side having only a slight advantage but that is partly due to the fact that Everton have already played 5 of the big 6 away from home and this has contributed to their underwhelming away form. Southampton do have CF Austin and CM Hojbjerg back in contention this weekend which is a boost as they are both important players. Despite this we have seen Southampton's midweek FA Cup replay go to extra-time and penalties, where they eventually lost. A number of first team players did play in that game and so there maybe one or two tired legs for Saturdays game with Everton. This is another game which could be closely contested and I see some added value in X @ 3.48 Matchbook, I have backed this at half stakes.
  5. Premier League Predictions > Jan 12th - 14th

    I'm a bit short of time this morning so I can't write any previews but I have gone with 3 selections on this card: Burnley V Fulham = X @ 3.36 Matchbook Cardiff City V Huddersfield Town = X @ 3.26 Marathonbet Crystal Palace V Watford = X @ 3.45 Unibet
  6. FA Cup Predictions > Jan 4th - 7th

    Crystal Palace V Grimsby Town Grimsby Town +2.0 AH @ 2.17 Matchbook I agree with @Tiffy here in the sense that Palace are probably priced a bit too short for this match. Grimsby are pretty high up the form table in league two and they have a chance to at least make the scoreline look respectable here. Hodgson says he is taking the competition seriously but is likely to rotate 7 or 8 players for this game. We've already established that Palace are not the best home team in the EPL and have really struggled to score goals on their own patch so far this campaign. Ok so the cup is a separate competition but Palace's home form in the league is a cause for concern. Domestic cup games are usually difficult to predict and most bets are a bit of a punt. I only play at half stakes in these kinds of situations so it's time to relax and throw some quids on the bonfire. I have quite a few games on my shortlist for this card but currently waiting for manager interviews and team news, will post again if I take anything else.
  7. Premier League Predictions > Jan 1st - 3rd

    @Xcout Appreciate that mate. I think the markets have broadly struggled to get a grip on Wolves games so far this campaign. The Palace +0.50 closing line was around 1.7 so the market adjusted eventually but basically they were very slow here and this gave us space for a nice value bet.
  8. Non-League Predictions > New Year's Day

    Good work @Darran Decent start to the new year.
  9. Premier League Predictions > Jan 1st - 3rd

    Wolverhampton Wanderers V Crystal Palace Crystal Palace +0.50 AH @ 1.89 Matchbook Fairly standard value play in my view, I respect the fact that Wolves are in a good moment but Palace could prove to be awkward opposition here. We know that Palace struggle at home if teams sit back against them but away they are more dangerous. I expect Wolves to be expansive and play an open and attacking game. This will leave space for the likes of Zaha, van Aanholt, Wan-Bissaka and co whilst Hodgson's insistence on playing 4 defensive midfielders can stifle the likes of Neves and Moutinho. We saw Wolves struggle against this dynamic in their home game against Huddersfield and it could be the same here. Both teams are poor at converting their chances, ELO ratings are almost level whilst key goal metrics are bang on equal. I don't really understand why Palace are such a big price here, in my view the asian line has been set incorrectly for this match. Palace to cover 2 of the 3 outcomes at 1.75 or above seems to be a decent value bet.
  10. Premier League Predictions > Jan 1st - 3rd

    1.69 for over 2.5 in said game doesn't exactly look like price error of the century to me. You could make a case for the price to be a bit shorter but clearly the markets already favour overs here. We know City will go for the 3pts, Liverpool's mentality and approach to the game will be the most interesting factor. City looked very vulnerable to the counter-press against Southampton, Liverpool are likely to be a lot more ruthless with said method. I still don't like over 2.5 at current prices but I'm sure they'll be some folks arguing it should be 1.49 and that it's time for the biggest bank burner of the season. I too am concerned by this previous 0-0 you speak of. @StevieDay1983 Is it time to dust off the punters lounge manuscripts and take heed of the ancient wisdom that is 'two team repel theory' ???
  11. Premier League Predictions > Dec 29th & 30th

    Manchester Utd V AFC Bournemouth Both teams to score @ 1.83 Betfair (Exchange) I managed to get on this @ 1.90 with Bet365 earlier today, price has come in a bit but still worth taking in my view. We know Bouremouth have a dangerous attack which works best against cavalier opponents. Man Utd have been reinvigorated under Solskjaer but I am still skeptical about their defence. They will probably beat Bournemouth due to overwhelming firepower advantage but Eddie Howe's team have a good chance of getting on the scoresheet here. Odds for BTTS should be around 1.67 in my view so 1.80 and above appears to hold some added value.
  12. Serie A & B Predictions > Dec 29th & 30th

    Juventus V Sampdoria Sampdoria +1.75 AH @ 2.00 Matchbook We all know that Juventus are the beasts of the division and a home record of 8,1,0 is nothing to be sneered at. Despite this I feel the markets are loving the home side way too much in this situation. Sampdoria are bang in form and haven't lost a competitive match since early November. They've won 4 out of their last 5 league games and Marco Giampaolo's side has both the quality and spirit level to make life difficult for Juventus here. Key goal metrics only give Juventus a marginal advantage heading into this contest while the ELO ratings have actually begun to tip in Sampdoria's favour. Juventus are rightly favourites for this game but the prices are a little wild when you consider the data. In my view it's pretty complacent to think Juventus can easily overcome such a big asian line against a decent Sampdoria outfit. Sampdoria +1.5 AH or +1.75 AH seems to be the value play here.