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thfc last won the day on December 21 2018

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About thfc

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  • Birthday 08/01/1980

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  1. I'm leaving the spurs game alone this time around though I expect City to win by a couple of goal margin. The rest of the Saturday games don't hold much appeal either. I'm taking Wolves to beat Utd on Monday. Wolves were excellent last season against the top 6, and are already match sharp with all their Europa league matches. They also were perhaps unlucky not to win away at Leicester last weekend, and have kept most of their squad from last season, so look to be at least as good a team as the one from last season. Utd had their 4-0 win last weekend, but the general view is the scoreline massively flattered them. I'm not convinced they are going to do any better in the league than last season. Either way, this is a tough game, and one they lost twice last year (in the league and FA cup), and I don't think Utd should be so far ahead in the betting. Wolves at 3.25 (BetVictor) for me has some value, as I think Utd have been priced up on their name and an overreaction to their first game.
  2. Way too early to be looking at these fixtures but i'm away when the PL starts back up so what the heck😮. First thoughts are to do lay both Liverpool and Man City. Liverpool's pre-season has not been the best to date, and their best attacking players have been busy with international commitments. I still expect Liverpool to win, but Norwich will have a fairly settled team unless they go on a crazy spending spree in the next couple of weeks, and will be more refreshed so aren't without a chance of getting a result. It's as good a time as any for Norwich to go to Anfield and be able to get a result. Similar reasoning for city, but coupled with a tough away fixture to start the season I think they could be worth a lay. West Ham are capable of a top 10 finish and on their day are able to compete with the top teams. I think there is a fair chance at least one of Liverpool or City will drop points which would guarantee a profit. I expect spurs to comfortably beat Aston Villa. Villa concern me with the number of signings they have made- looks like they don't trust the team that got them promoted bar a couple of players like Grealish. They could be 'doing a Fulham' and signing quantity and not quality IMO. Either way, spurs will be too strong for a Villa team with a lot of players being bought in who have no experience of the PL. I can see quite a few draws in this round. Burnley-Saints, Palace-Everton, Leicester-Wolves and Utd-Chelsea all look like good candidates for draws as I think the teams are similarly matched.
  3. Newcastle have accepted a bid from Leicester for Perez. No big deal I originally thought but apparently he's been the team's top scorer the past two seasons so clearly will be a big loss. Just makes the Newcastle to be relegated bet look even better. Taking the 4.5 on offer now as the price can only shorten from here, especially if some of the teams expected to be near the bottom make some astute signings.
  4. I think Palace are holding out for Arsenal's inevitable £40,000,001 bid!
  5. Pochettino won't leave this season especially as spurs appear to be spending some money at last. I've not seen Ndombele play so can't really comment on his ability but at £65m he'd better be good! I fancy spurs for the top 4, but they will be at least as far away from the title as last season, and on that basis I think their odds are too short. But the title race is tough to bet on, as it's highly likely to be between city and Liverpool. Arguably Liverpool could be a touch of value given they only lost by a point and in any other season their points tally would have been more than enough to take the title. However, I can't help but feel they will slip back a bit this year, especially with Salah and Mane currently playing in the AFCON. They will be most likely jaded for the start of the season and may take some time to get going.
  6. Surprised to see spurs as third favourites in the PL title race, albeit a long way off the top two. No chance of us challenging for the title as I think we will have a weaker team than last year if Eriksen and maybe Alderweireld go. At the bottom, I like the look of Newcastle and like @Mindfulnesssays, they should be shorter than that. No money, no manager and the club in turmoil suggests a very tough season for the toon. Could Palace be worth a shout at 6.5 if Zaha goes? I think they've probably got enough about them if he does go, especially with Hodgson in charge, but the price would probably shorten if he did leave. My main ante-post bet is to back Everton to finish in the top 4 at 21s. Main reasoning being they finished last season strongly and have a good team already. If they can strengthen with one or two more (particularly a decent striker), I think they've got enough about them to give the top 6 a good run for their money, especially as Chelsea are going to be weaker (no Hazard is massive), Arsenal are not improving and don't have much to spend to sort out their problems, and spurs may also be weaker. And who knows with Man U who always seem to be in some sort of transition?!
  7. Surely Chris Hughton wouldn't be tempted back there after his previous experience? Mourinho also no chance. Of the names on that list, I wonder whether Dyche might be worth a punt? Probably done all he can at Burnley and Newcastle would be a bit of a step up. That said Ashley will probably appoint someone who is unemployed so he doesn't have to pay to release the manager from his club. Whoever they get, it's hard not to think they will be able to do better than Benitez so they will do very well to avoid being involved in the relegation scrap. So basically, I haven't got a clue!
  8. OK so the big game is nearly here. As a spurs fan i'm very nervous- this is the biggest game in the clubs recent history and certainly in my 30 years of supporting them. It will probably be another 30+ years before they are back in the CL final so it really feels like now or never! I don't see this being a game like the Europa league final where one team is going to win by a couple of goals or more. Both teams will be fully committed and I think the outright odds for the match are about right, although spurs are perhaps a touch bigger than I would have them. I think this game will be quite tight. Both teams know each other well, and Liverpool are rightful favourites having done so well this season, but I don't think you can write off spurs at all just because they finished 20+ points behind Liverpool in the league. Both premier league games were tight, with Liverpool only winning the most recent encounter 2-1 because of a massive Lloris blunder. Having come through against the odds against City and Ajax I don't think spurs will fear Liverpool. Equally Liverpool will feel confident of their chance having come through so well against Barcelona. In other words, both teams will feel they have a great chance to win the trophy. Its tough for me to have a bet in this as i'm naturally biased so will be looking out for some more neutral views! However, I'm going to go with spurs +1 @ 1.95 (Ladbrokes). This gives me spurs or the draw on my side for around evens which seems fair enough if this does end up being a tight game as I expect.
  9. @Tiffy fair points- especially when you see the money that has been wasted at clubs like Man Utd and Fulham etc. Will have to wait and see how he gets on, but he will have to hit the ground running as I think the bottom of the PL will definitely me more competitive this time around.
  10. Potter confirmed as the new manager. Looks a good appointment to me, though it will be interesting to see how much investment is made into the team. Despite @Tiffy's post, I still can't see them spending big to get the players that are going to push them much further up the table.
  11. Wolves were good for me. Always performed well against the bigger sides, and always struggled against the lesser sides so managed to bet either with or against them at a decent price. Think I called spurs fairly well this season. Overall a 6/10 for me.
  12. Sadly No! Great call though- will look out for your tips in the championship next season. I got 5 of 8 on my BTTS and 5 of 8 on over 3.5 goals for a small profit on the final day. Just a shame its now 3 months of next to no football.
  13. I don't know who else they can get who will do a better job with their resources. I would argue he overachieved getting Brighton up to the PL in the first place. Next season will be tougher at the bottom as the teams coming up are going to be stronger than those going down this season. I can see Norwich surviving, and if Leeds or Villa come up I think they would be ok too. So agree with @ndanmak that Brighton look a good tip for relegation next season.
  14. Last fixtures of the season always tend to throw up 1 or 2 crazy scorelines. Spurs won 5-4 vs Leicester last season, and I seem to remember a Stoke 6-1 Liverpool score a couple of years back and also a West Brom Man U 5-5 draw not so long ago. As there are a lot of teams with not much to play for, it's very tough to know who is 'on the beach' and which teams are more up for the fight. Most teams will be in relaxed mood, and while I know most clubs can go up and down a place or 2 in the table, I doubt the players are overly motivated by this. I think its quite likely we are going to get a few high scoring games with both teams scoring. As its the last round of fixtures, for me its tough to have a serious bet, so i'm going to try BTTS in all 8 of the fixtures with not so much to play for (not the games affecting the title). And also smaller stakes on over 3.5 goals across the 8 fixtures as well just to keep me interested in all the matches and not just the title deciding games.