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thfc last won the day on December 21 2018

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About thfc

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  • Birthday 08/01/1980

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  1. Any obvious reason why Leicester are big favourites to win at West Ham? On paper, West Ham's form is poor, with 4 losses in 5, although 3 of those were away. I watched their game against Man U last weekend and they didn't deserve to lose the game and really should have won. Leicester also coming off a loss in their last game at home to Newcastle which halted their good form of late. I really don't see why Leicester are such big favourites to win this one, and other than trying to finish 7th which might get you in Europe, there is nothing much to play for for either team. For me both teams are on a similar level of ability and no result would surprise me. West Ham have home advantage, and as they are nearly a point bigger than the Leicester price, I think they are definitely worth a punt at 3.4 (betfair). Good luck @StevieDay1983 if you try and preview the Man City Spurs game. After the emotion of last night I have absolutely no idea what the mindset of either team will be!
  2. Never in doubt!! What a game. Fair play to Man City. I said they weren't up for the CL but that was way off the mark.
  3. Good call on the Barca bet! Never in doubt after 20 minutes. Anyone with any thoughts on City Spurs tonight? I'd be interested in any less biased views on this match! I'm backing spurs to qualify 2.37 (betfair). I picked spurs to win last week on the basis I just don't think City play the same in the CL as we see in the PL. I know the owners and Guardiola are desperate for success in the CL, but the rest of the club/fans just don't seem as bothered about the CL as teams like Liverpool, Man U, Barca etc. Their fans boo the anthem which can't set a good tone for the players. I don't see spurs winning, but a draw is achievable. Not conceding an away goal is a huge advantage for spurs IMO, and city haven't been playing with the same swagger and confidence for quite a few games now, so if city do go on to win, I don't see them winning by a large margin- maybe a 2-1
  4. Also got to fancy Watford to beat Arsenal on Monday. Odds of 3.3 with bet365 are well worth taking. I watched most of Arsenal's game away at Everton last weekend, and 1-0 everton flattered Arsenal. They are just a different team on the road in the PL and are the only team in the PL not to keep an away clean sheet yet, so Watford should be good for 1 goal at least! More importantly, this game also comes in between Arsenal's two games with Napoli in the Europa, which will be tough games against a decent team who have already beaten Liverpool this season. Watford will be given a massive homecoming after their efforts in the FA cup semis last weekend. Even without that win, they are a decent team this season, and given Arsenal's poor away form and Europa League distractions, this looks a perfect time for Watford to be playing Arsenal and to get a win.
  5. Fancy Southampton to beat Wolves and at odds of 2.7 (betvictor) i'm more than happy at that price. The main reasoning being Southampton's form has picked up, only losing to Man U and Liverpool in the last 5. They were competitive in both those games as well. Saints still need another win or two to be assured of safety so have plenty of motivation to get a result here. Wolves are great against the top 6, but not so good against the rest and after the cup defeat they must be deflated, especially the way they lost it. I just don't see Wolves turning up for this one and I think Southampton will get the win.
  6. @StevieDay1983 good preview and a fair assessment IMO. I actually think Spurs are capable of getting a win here. City have slowed up in the last few games and while they have still won the games against weaker teams than spurs, they have not been doing it with the same style and swagger of earlier in the season. There are three main reasons why I think spurs are capable of a win tonight: 1. 6 days rest for spurs compared to 2.5 for city, and aguero just coming back from injury so he may not be match sharp. 2. City don't need to win the game, they just want to be in touch to give them a decent chance of going through in the return leg next week. 3. Whenever I watch city in the CL they seem a different team to the one we see in the PL in that they seem to struggle more against lesser opposition. This season I would say they have underperformed in 4/6 group stage games against both Hoffenheim and Lyon, and Schalke gave them a good game at their place in the last 16. Spurs are a level above those three teams IMO. City are rightful favourites as they are for just about every game at the moment, but I think spurs +1 at 1.91 is worth a shot in these circumstances.
  7. This is a tough game for Liverpool IMO and they are too short in the outrights for me. Saints have won 3 of their last 5 and were unlucky to lose one of those to Man Utd away. The crowd will be well up for this one given the good form of the home team and the number of ex Saints players in the Liverpool team to boo! I saw something the other day that if the PL table began when Hassenhuttl came in, Saints are something like 7th or 8th in the table. That's pretty impressive given he hasn't spent any money in January so is working with the same players who were underperforming previously. Of course Liverpool are the better team but they didn't play all that well last weekend (second half especially) and some have questioned whether their form is dipping slightly. Players like Salah aren't scoring, and they have the distraction of the champions league coming up next week, although on paper a good tie against Porto. At these prices, I think Saints are worth a shot to give Liverpool a competitive game. Unusually for me, i'm thinking this game looks a good candidate for a draw and at 4.8 I think that's a fair price. I also want some stake on Saints +2 at around 1.7 as if Liverpool do win, I don't see it being by a 2 or 3 goal margin.
  8. Going to take a chance on spurs to win 1-0 tonight. My only real reasoning is that this has been the result in the last 5 PL meetings between the two sides so why not again tonight?! Obviously this is the first game at the new stadium. Who knows whether Spurs will feel at home in the new ground from the get go or not. Palace will be difficult opponents and while spurs are out of form, they were unlucky against Liverpool at the weekend and from what I saw of the highlights of the Palace-Huddersfield game, they weren't all that impressive in winning. This is only a fun bet so very low stakes.
  9. Good analysis of the spurs game @StevieDay1983, pretty much sums up my thoughts on the game. However, the loss of Aurier and Dier is no major disadvantage either IMO, would expect Wanyama and Trippier to replace them who are as good as, if not better than the injured players. After 3 weeks off for the FA cup and internationals this is as good a time as any to play Liverpool and i'm sure the break in PL football will lead to some unexpected results this weekend (hoping Cardiff not losing to Chelsea could be one!). That said, the price on Liverpool is fair enough and I would be surprised if spurs won so can see why you've gone for them.
  10. I'm on Burnley to beat Wolves. Main reasoning is as I say every week, Wolves don't turn up to play the lesser PL teams and Burnley are definitely in that category. Wolves also have Man Utd on Tuesday and then the FA Cup semi final next weekend. I think they just want to get through this game and don't really care about the result a great deal. Burnley have been in poor form but the international break came at a good time for them and now they have a great chance to get some points and push clear of Cardiff before their game on Sunday. Wolves form in the PL isn't all that great either. They lost to Huddersfield which takes some doing and I think Burnley are good things to take advantage of a dis-interested Wolves team with a focus on Tuesday and next weekend. Burnley at 3.25 (betfair) with a decent stake for me.
  11. After the first leg score, for me Rennes should be favourites to qualify from the tie, but they are still outsiders, so have to go with Rennes to qualify at 2.00 (Ladbrokes). And no, i'm not going against Arsenal because i'm a spurs fan! I read earlier this week that Rennes have scored at least once in every single away game they have played dating back to October 2017 which is some going. Arsenal are not the most defensive minded of teams and therefore I think Rennes are likely to score at least 1 in this match, meaning Arsenal need to score 3 just to get to extra time. Of course they are capable of doing that, or even winning say 4-1 to win the tie. But I think with a 2 goal start and a proven goal scoring record away from home (they scored 3 vs Betis away in the last round), I think the French side are the value pick.
  12. Tough fixtures imo this weekend. I agree with @i1_principe on Huddersfield to beat Bournemouth, simply because Bournemouth appear to have stopped playing in recent matches. They do have some injuries in fairness, but aren't the best travellers even with a fully fit team. I am wary of the draw though, so going to go with Huddersfield DNB at 2.3 (Hills). I am also thinking about backing Wolves +1 at 2.6 with bet365. Wolves are well rested while Chelsea played on Thursday although from all accounts the match was nothing more than a training exercise for them. The pattern with Wolves this season has been to back them when playing a top 6 side, and oppose them when playing the lower teams. Wolves have already won away at spurs, drew with Arsenal (should have won) and I think they got a draw at Old Trafford early in the season also. Chelsea have begun playing well in recent games, but are unpredictable and not the most prolific top 6 side, so Wolves have a chance of getting at least a draw out of this one IMO. Man Utd at 3.1 also tempting, but will wait and see how the Saturday games go before deciding whether to go with this one.
  13. There are quite a few prices I like the look of in the midweek coupon. I actually think the bottom two teams have got a chance of picking up a result this week. Huddersfield- beat wolves away in the reverse fixture and if they are ever going to not lose a game, I think this is a good contender for them to get something. Wolves I've said plenty of times raise their game against the big 6 but don't fancy playing the smaller teams. They have nothing to play for other than to keep fresh for the FA cup. Huddersfield +1 are 2.05 and I think they can get at least a draw from this one. Fulham- Southampton are odds on again at home. They have played Cardiff, Burnley and Crystal Palace (2 at home) in recent fixtures and not won any of them. Without Ings who I think is still injured they lack a cutting edge up front. Yes Fulham are terrible defensively, but they can score, and 1 goal might be enough to win this one given Saints struggles to have any fit strikers at the moment. Again, taking Fulham on a +1 handicap at around 1.91.
  14. Going to take an early punt on spurs to beat Chelsea at 3.12, as I think this price may come down a bit in the next day or so. Main reasoning is Chelsea have just played 120 minutes and lost a final, and there are obviously issues within the squad. Who will be in goal will certainly be interesting! Spurs have had an extra day of rest and were disappointing against Burnley, although I always thought that was going to be a tough match against an in form team, so I wasn't too surprised by the result. My main reason for wanting to back spurs is Pochettino is very good at picking up the team after a disappointing result, and its very unusual for spurs to go on a long losing run. This is obviously a tough fixture but spurs have had the better of Chelsea over the past couple of seasons, finally managing to win at Stamford Bridge last season for the first time in something like 30 years! With Chelsea's issues, I expect the spurs price to come back in a bit so want to take this one now.
  15. The more I look at the Leicester Palace game, the more I like the look of the Palace price. Leicester are in poor form, 4 defeats in the last 5 games, although they did get a good draw at Liverpool in that run. However, Leicester have managed to lose at home to Cardiff and Southampton recently, and Palace are at least as good as those two so capable of getting at least a draw here. You never quite know what you are going to get from Leicester but they strike me as a team that raise their game against the bigger teams, and don't seem to have the same motivation when the smaller teams come along. I don't see Palace losing, so tempted by a small stake on Palace outright at 3.7, with a small saver on the draw.