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thfc

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thfc last won the day on December 21 2018

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  1. OK so the big game is nearly here. As a spurs fan i'm very nervous- this is the biggest game in the clubs recent history and certainly in my 30 years of supporting them. It will probably be another 30+ years before they are back in the CL final so it really feels like now or never! I don't see this being a game like the Europa league final where one team is going to win by a couple of goals or more. Both teams will be fully committed and I think the outright odds for the match are about right, although spurs are perhaps a touch bigger than I would have them. I think this game will be quite tight. Both teams know each other well, and Liverpool are rightful favourites having done so well this season, but I don't think you can write off spurs at all just because they finished 20+ points behind Liverpool in the league. Both premier league games were tight, with Liverpool only winning the most recent encounter 2-1 because of a massive Lloris blunder. Having come through against the odds against City and Ajax I don't think spurs will fear Liverpool. Equally Liverpool will feel confident of their chance having come through so well against Barcelona. In other words, both teams will feel they have a great chance to win the trophy. Its tough for me to have a bet in this as i'm naturally biased so will be looking out for some more neutral views! However, I'm going to go with spurs +1 @ 1.95 (Ladbrokes). This gives me spurs or the draw on my side for around evens which seems fair enough if this does end up being a tight game as I expect.
  2. @Tiffy fair points- especially when you see the money that has been wasted at clubs like Man Utd and Fulham etc. Will have to wait and see how he gets on, but he will have to hit the ground running as I think the bottom of the PL will definitely me more competitive this time around.
  3. Potter confirmed as the new manager. Looks a good appointment to me, though it will be interesting to see how much investment is made into the team. Despite @Tiffy's post, I still can't see them spending big to get the players that are going to push them much further up the table.
  4. Wolves were good for me. Always performed well against the bigger sides, and always struggled against the lesser sides so managed to bet either with or against them at a decent price. Think I called spurs fairly well this season. Overall a 6/10 for me.
  5. Sadly No! Great call though- will look out for your tips in the championship next season. I got 5 of 8 on my BTTS and 5 of 8 on over 3.5 goals for a small profit on the final day. Just a shame its now 3 months of next to no football.
  6. I don't know who else they can get who will do a better job with their resources. I would argue he overachieved getting Brighton up to the PL in the first place. Next season will be tougher at the bottom as the teams coming up are going to be stronger than those going down this season. I can see Norwich surviving, and if Leeds or Villa come up I think they would be ok too. So agree with @ndanmak that Brighton look a good tip for relegation next season.
  7. Last fixtures of the season always tend to throw up 1 or 2 crazy scorelines. Spurs won 5-4 vs Leicester last season, and I seem to remember a Stoke 6-1 Liverpool score a couple of years back and also a West Brom Man U 5-5 draw not so long ago. As there are a lot of teams with not much to play for, it's very tough to know who is 'on the beach' and which teams are more up for the fight. Most teams will be in relaxed mood, and while I know most clubs can go up and down a place or 2 in the table, I doubt the players are overly motivated by this. I think its quite likely we are going to get a few high scoring games with both teams scoring. As its the last round of fixtures, for me its tough to have a serious bet, so i'm going to try BTTS in all 8 of the fixtures with not so much to play for (not the games affecting the title). And also smaller stakes on over 3.5 goals across the 8 fixtures as well just to keep me interested in all the matches and not just the title deciding games.
  8. I think Fulham might be worth a go on the +1 at 2.6 (bet365). Wolves all season raise their game for the big teams and struggle against the smaller teams. It's tough to know the mentality of either team as neither have much to play for but Fulham seem to be playing with some confidence at the moment, and I don't think Wolves should be as short as 1.55 to win this.
  9. Tottenham are the outsiders in the 'to qualify' market at 2.1 with skybet. Ajax have done very well to get where they are and are obviously a very good team but they are around 1.7 to qualify from this tie which seems too short to me and very much an overreaction to the two high profile previous wins vs (out of sorts) Real Madrid and Juventus. I think people are forgetting spurs were in a touch CL group, and then also had to beat two very tough teams in Dortmund and Man City to get this far. Ajax beat both Real Madrid and Juventus in the last two knockout rounds, but importantly for me, they had the home leg first and knew what they had to do in the return leg away from home. This time, spurs are at home first, with the return leg in Amsterdam next week. This puts a different perspective on this tie, as Ajax won't necessarily go for it in the away leg as they don't need to. I see a similar pattern to the spurs Man City tie, with a tight first home leg, and then more of an open game in the return, when away goals might be crucial to determining who gets through. I'm confident spurs will score in the away game as both Real Madrid and Juventus did in the previous ties and from looking back at the group games. If spurs can knockout Man City and Dortmund over two legs (scoring in both away games), then they are more than capable of beating Ajax over two legs. I know Son is not available and Kane and a few others are injured for the first leg. But I still think spurs are as good as, if not better than this Ajax team (who I admittedly haven't watched much of). The odds for the to qualify market should be more or less even at around 1.9 each team, so for me there is some value in spurs to qualify at 2.1.
  10. Also, Arsenal should not be favourites to win at Leicester. They have a big game against Valencia coming up after this game, but even without that, based on their past two performances, they are clearly struggling, as they have done all season away from home. Aubameyang is likely out of this one so their goal threat is reduced. Leicester's form has tailed off a bit in the past couple of games, but I think they will be up for this one at home. Vardy loves a game against a big 6 team and Arsenal's defence is not exactly performing well at the moment! 2.8 on the Leicester win is just about worth taking IMO.
  11. Going to take Southampton to beat Bournemouth and confirm their safety. Saints in generally good form apart from the Newcastle game last week in which they were poor, but at the same time Bournemouth were losing at home to Fulham which takes some doing! Bournemouth's players are clearly playing as though they are done for the season and are just going through the motions. People say this is a derby due to the close proximity of the teams but Southampton don't see it that way and I don't think Bournemouth do either so don't expect this to be any sort of factor in the match. At 1.95 with skybet, there's just about enough there to tempt me to back Southampton.
  12. When I looked at the match before looking at the odds I was thinking Liverpool -2 as hoped that might be close to evens, but it's only 1.6 because they are so short in the outrights. Not going to get involved in this match although there is arguably some value on Huddersfield on the handicaps as @StevieDay1983 says.
  13. Liverpool as short as 1.05 and Huddersfield at 46s? Has there ever been such a massive disparity between two teams in a PL match? That's the kind of price I expect when England play a crappy international team, not two teams in the same league!
  14. Any obvious reason why Leicester are big favourites to win at West Ham? On paper, West Ham's form is poor, with 4 losses in 5, although 3 of those were away. I watched their game against Man U last weekend and they didn't deserve to lose the game and really should have won. Leicester also coming off a loss in their last game at home to Newcastle which halted their good form of late. I really don't see why Leicester are such big favourites to win this one, and other than trying to finish 7th which might get you in Europe, there is nothing much to play for for either team. For me both teams are on a similar level of ability and no result would surprise me. West Ham have home advantage, and as they are nearly a point bigger than the Leicester price, I think they are definitely worth a punt at 3.4 (betfair). Good luck @StevieDay1983 if you try and preview the Man City Spurs game. After the emotion of last night I have absolutely no idea what the mindset of either team will be!