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thfc last won the day on December 21 2018

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  1. As a big spurs fan I just can't trust us at the moment. The team are not performing well all season other than the 4-0 over Palace. Spurs haven't won away in the PL since January. Of course they should beat Brighton who aren't doing all that well themselves, but they've had the week off to prepare for this game and spurs are coming off the 7-2 game on Tuesday. Good luck if you go with them.
  2. I'm also tempted by Sheff Utd at Watford. Sheff Utd have played well away from home so far, getting a win at Everton, and a draw at Chelsea (coming from 2-0 down) and a draw at Bournemouth. They seem to be struggling more at home, although they were unlucky not to get a draw against Liverpool last time out. I haven't seen much of Watford this season, but key players don't seem to be in any sort of form and are perhaps still traumatised by the 6-0 cup final drubbing. They were poor against Wolves by all accounts, and the game before was the 8-0 city result. True they did come back from 2-0 down in their last home game against Arsenal to get a draw, but Arsenal will always give you a chance, and I think Sheff Utd are going to be more resolute in their defending. I'm wary of the draw in this one, so going for Sheffield Utd +1 at 1.7 (betvictor) rather than the outright price as I don't see them losing given Watford's form has been poor for some time if you take the back end of last season into account.
  3. Burnley at 3s look good to me. How are Everton favourites for this game? Burnley is always a tough place to go, and Everton have lost their last 3 PL games so aren't in good form. OK the last game was versus Man City where you perhaps expect to lose, but they also lost to Sheff Utd at home and Bournemouth away, both games they should not be losing if you want to finish in the top 6. Burnley away is as tough as, if not tougher than either of those two games. Burnley are ticking along fairly well, having only lost two games in the PL (Liverpool at home and Arsenal away so no disgrace in those results). Wood and Barnes are a handful upfront and they generally perform well at home, having beaten Southampton and Norwich to nil already this season. Personally I think Burnley should be Everton's price (around 2.6) and Everton should be around 3s for this game, so taking a decent stake on the home team to win this one.
  4. I shouldn't be either as a spurs fan! It's just hard to see Man Utd scoring in this game with their current problems so it was more a bet against Man U than it was pro Arsenal and their defence in particular. Only had a tiny stake on the win to nil so let's wait and see.
  5. And lastly, through gritted teeth, Arsenal have to be worth a punt at 3s (betfred). It's been suggested by OGS that Rashford and Martial are unlikely to play, and Pogba is doubtful (though him being missing could be a good thing!). Utd look like they may end up playing without a recognised striker with maybe James up front or that Greenwood kid. I know Arsenal are poor defensively, but they are strong up front and have scored in every match so far this season. They will score at least one in this match which could well be enough to win as even with Rashford/Martial etc, Utd have not been prolific this season after the 4-0 Chelsea win. I'll also take a small amount on Arsenal to win to nil at 6.5 (unibet). Risky with Arsenals defensive record but if they are ever going to keep a clean sheet away from home, Utd in their current state looks a good place for them to do it.
  6. I quite like the price on Bournemouth to beat West Ham. Bournemouth have a good record against West Ham since coming up to the PL, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2. Bournemouth did the double over West Ham last season and for me both teams will be looking to finish in and around the top 10 by the end of the season, so i'd say they are fairly evenly matched. I'm not sure with the home advantage why there is hardly any difference in the price between the two teams. For me, Bournemouth are overpriced and should be a little shorter. Therefore i'm going with the straight win at 2.5 but also a little on Bournemouth and BTTS at 4s (bet365). Bournemouth have either won or lost their last 4 PL games 3-1 so a 3-1 win would do me very nicely!
  7. Aston Villa Vs Burnley perhaps isn't a fixture that leaps out as a good game, but from a betting perspective i'm with Burnley. Burnley have drawn their last two PL games, albeit with a last minute equaliser against Brighton. Then again, they let in a last minute equaliser to Wolves so these things perhaps even themselves out. Villa are very inconsistent, which is perhaps not surprising for a team with such a high turnover of players. Villa also played in midweek while Burnley have had the week to prepare for this one. I'm going to take Burnley DNB at 2.2 (betfair) as I think they are the better team with a more settled squad and I don't see them losing at Villa Park.
  8. Surely West Ham have to be considered at 3.4 (betfred). Over a point bigger than Man Utd's price. Considering West Ham are at home, and taking into account their form this season, I don't think Man U should be such big favourites considering they just aren't performing all that well, even going back into last season. Clearly they are being priced up on name rather than their current ability. That said, I think the draw is a good possibility in this game, so I'll play slightly safer and take West Ham DNB at 2.4 (marathon). Agree with @StevieDay1983 on the draw in Saints Bournemouth. 5 of the 8 PL games played between these two have been draws, and looking at the league table, they have identical records. The draw is the biggest price of the 3 and seems the most likely outcome between two teams who seem evenly matched and will probably finish in mid table with a few points splitting them by the end of the season. My team Spurs were so poor in midweek I don't have much faith in them going to Leicester and winning. Then again, Leicester disappointed me last week when I (and lots of others on here) thought they had a good chance of getting at least a draw at Man U. Spurs only drew 2 PL games all last season, but both away games this season have been draws, while Leicester have also drawn twice this season. I think the draw looks the most likely result in this one so will have a small interest at 3.5 (betfair) So basically lots of draws this weekend!
  9. Been a tough start to the season for me, so don't follow any of my suggestions with any confidence! Games after an international break are always tough to call and there are some tough games to pick a winner on the coupon this week. Brighton/Burnley, Sheff Utd/Southampton, Wolves/Chelsea, Bournemouth/Everton are all games that no result would surprise me in so i'm steering well clear of those games. My team Spurs are playing Crystal Palace and while spurs have generally had the measure of Palace in recent fixtures, i'm wary about this one. I read that Palace were the last team to win away at Man City and Liverpool in the PL, and they beat Man U away recently as well. They clearly know how to set up to get a result against the bigger teams away from home. Spurs aren't playing with any great cohesion so I couldn't be backing them at massive odds on. Not going with anything in this one, but I can see why Palace outright or on the handicap would hold some appeal. The only bet I fancy this weekend is Leicester +1, which can be had for evens (betway), and I think that has a good chance of landing based on form before the international break. In fact going back into last season, Man U have only won 3 of their last 16 PL games which is a shocking record for a club of their status. Leicester are going along nicely and have nothing to fear going to Old Trafford. I think they are well capable of getting a draw, if not the win.
  10. Final one for me and i'm going to back Man Utd at 2.1 (betfred). Southampton are nothing special, and I've read that Redmond and Djenpro are out of this game. Both scored in the last game vs Brighton and Redmond in particular is an important loss that won't be easily replaced. Arguably, Utd are nothing special either, but they are still a class above Southampton, especially with a couple of key saints injuries. I was surprised to see them a bit above evens for this one. I was expecting something like 1.8- 1.9, so to get 2.1 I have to chance Utd getting back to winning ways against a team weakened by injuries, and one that is likely to finish bottom 8 of the PL.
  11. I quite the look of Burnley +2 at 1.8 (Ladbrokes). Ignoring the carabao cup game, Burnley have been in good PL form this season. They are capable of scoring goals, and Liverpool are conceding goals at the moment. Burnley are quite strong defensively (probably the best defence Liverpool have faced so far) and Barnes and Wood are a handful for any PL team. I can see this potentially being a draw, but if Liverpool win I don't see it being by a big margin, so happy to take the +2 to cover a 1 goal win for Liverpool.
  12. Not an official bet as I won't bet against my own team, but I couldn't put anyone off taking Arsenal at 2.4 (bet365) to beat spurs. Arsenal were OK in defeat at Liverpool, while spurs were dreadful at home to Newcastle, and to some extent are lucky to have 4 points on the board already having not played well in all 3 PL games to date. Taking form and home advantage into account, i'm not sure why Arsenal are as big a price as they are.
  13. Also tempted by Burnley +1 vs Wolves at around evens. This is the kind of game Wolves didn't do so well in last season, and coming off a EL game vs Torino on Thursday and the Man Utd game on Monday there will be one or two tired legs. Burnley played quite well in defeat vs Arsenal, and they do have some capable players (Barnes/Wood etc). I think they will score at least once, and if they can do that, it might well be enough to get at least a draw as Wolves aren't often that prolific in front of goal.
  14. My main bet this weekend is Norwich +1 vs Chelsea at evens. Chelsea at odds on in their current state instinctively feels wrong to me and I think they are being priced up on reputation rather than the ability of their team. Norwich look like they will score goals this season, although Pukki's form will drop off at some point. I like the fact Norwich are giving a chance to most of the team from last season. Team spirit must be good, and they will be confident after the Newcastle win. Chelsea to me look short of a top striker. Giroud has never been prolific, Abraham is unproven at this level and Batshuayi blows hot or cold (mostly cold). I watched the game vs Leicester last week and they gave up so many good chances to Leicester they were lucky to draw in the end. Norwich can score at least once against them, and given I don't think Chelsea are likely to score more than 1 themselves, that makes Norwich capable of getting at least a draw in my book.
  15. I'm leaving the spurs game alone this time around though I expect City to win by a couple of goal margin. The rest of the Saturday games don't hold much appeal either. I'm taking Wolves to beat Utd on Monday. Wolves were excellent last season against the top 6, and are already match sharp with all their Europa league matches. They also were perhaps unlucky not to win away at Leicester last weekend, and have kept most of their squad from last season, so look to be at least as good a team as the one from last season. Utd had their 4-0 win last weekend, but the general view is the scoreline massively flattered them. I'm not convinced they are going to do any better in the league than last season. Either way, this is a tough game, and one they lost twice last year (in the league and FA cup), and I don't think Utd should be so far ahead in the betting. Wolves at 3.25 (BetVictor) for me has some value, as I think Utd have been priced up on their name and an overreaction to their first game.