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newjack last won the day on December 15 2018

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About newjack

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  • Birthday 10/08/1983

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  1. I'd be careful with Liverpool, it's doubtful they'll lose but with how easy this group is they might not play as hard as you'd expect them this first match.
  2. Afaik Lovren is out, Firminho is sick but will likely play, Gomey out, Dyk out, that backline looks awful however the good thing pool has going for them is that Bayern's defense this season has been attrocious to say the least. On avg they concede 1.2 goals. They've conceded a goal in last 6 bundesliga matches, 2 against augsburg and herta. They are slowly grinding but i reckon pool will be a very difficult fixture for them and here's why: They're used to pressing footie, holding the ball, attacking and creating chances. And Liverpool simply won't allow it, at best you're looking at 50/50 possesion imo even in spite of liverpool's missing defenders and most probably Fabinho or henderson will play in Lovren's position. I can't see LP not conceding here, but it's also hard to see them not winning at home so imo o2,5&bts or LP&o2,5 might be something to seriously consider.
  3. I'm sorry, but arsenal priced @11 ??? They're 3 places below city and such dogs? uhmm, yeah city will most likely win but come on this is ridic, taking arsenal +2 at 1.9.
  4. i tend to agree with above guy. As seen Chelsea, City, Pool fucked up (pool not as much but still). I def feel Bourne is too strong for cardiff however their away form is bad to say the least. Eve/wolves look like an over to me so does united/leicester and ars/city. Honestly utd ml is currently sitting at 2.1 which imo is quite high
  5. whats with all the complications lately? just looking at some statistics you can tell what is what, i don't wanna sound arrogant or cocky but why bother with low end of the table? it's completely random and basically anything can happen. For that matter upper league table offers some nice fixtures for overs. Assuming Spurs will play poorly based of 1 cup match that they won? come on. Spurs racked 14 goals in previous 4 matches. Since Sol UTD in last 5 matches racked 16 goals. Both have tendency to concieve a goal and both average 1,5+ goals per game. Relying on h2h is irrelevant at this point because Man U's play style is different. Spurs will want to welcome this new attacking crazyness and counter of it. Last meeting was 0:3 at the ol' trafford, i bet Utd will want to get points here, i doubt they'll be happy with a draw especially if gunners botch the match vs west ham. Spurs also can afford to drop points. Like i said 2nd game i liked was Pool to win to nil (at the time i said it it was at 2.10, now it's 1.95, I expect to drop to 1.9 come match day). pool on avg concedes 0,64 goals per game when away (that % went slightly up because of city matchup). I can't see Brighton scoring. Liverpool control the match start to finish. Win 0:1 or 0:2 most probable. Arsenal - Westham Goals goals goals. Previous matches between West Ham United and Arsenal have averaged 3.64 goals while BTTS has happened 64% of the time Arsenal hasn't kept a clean sheet when away this season on avg conceding 2,1 goals while scoring 2,2 (when away). Ham scores 1,5 goals on avg at home while conceding 1,6 goals. Kept clean sheet 9% of the time, arsenal 0%. Super easy bet here. Last but not least Everton - Bournemouth The teams that usually cuck me in this one, but again i can't predict a winner in this one because both teams are hot/cold at times. Just looking at h2h: Previous matches between Everton and AFC Bournemouth have averaged 3.88 goals while BTTS has happened 75% of the time. This season Bournemouth on avg scores 1,2 goals when away and concedes 2,3 goals. Everton at home scores 1,64 goals and concedes 1,45 goals. Both have kept clean sheets in 20% range while failing to score is also low. (9% Eve). So again I go for goals. Ty and good night
  6. I like arsenal game for goals, i love bourne/eve match for goals, i adore spurs&mau btts&over. Also I like Lpool to win to nil.
  7. yeah pretty insane odds on lpool right now, they're sitting at 3.9 at b365 currently. I'll take that easy, even if they lose i still profit longterm from a bet like this
  8. Well over2,5&bts at 1.9ish looks fairly good bet, it hits more often than odds suggest imo.
  9. Man oh man, i'm a little discouraged by that last 0:0 result in city/pool game, but i firmly believe we're in for a goal fest. I just can't see under 2,5 in this one. Thoughts?
  10. I think odds on pool are too high. They dropped a bit last few day but game day i'm seeing them closer to 3 or possibly even sub 3. Yes City is a tough opponent but i cant help but feel value on +0,5 pool currently sitting at 1.9
  11. Got 2 bets for today: Palace - Chelsea Man U - Bourne both bts&o2,5 (how original i know). Reasons for it is Chelsea conceded 4/5 matches vs palace and each time it resulted in hitting over. I know previous matches were under Conte's but current slump chelsea are in can't be overlooked. CP also managed to find some kind of form lately picking up a win vs City and Leicester while drawing vs cardiff. They clearly can cause problems, i'm not looking for an upset in this one but do feel like CP can score. Man u game is pretty self explenatory. Under SOL manu look really good, creating spaces and chances, nice attacking footie like ManU should be. On that note they still very much have same defensive issues only this time they're more out there since they tend to press up higher and play more of an attacking footie. Man U conceded both times under new manager and I believe it's gonna take some work on the defensive end. These 2 met good month ago where it resulted in 1:2 for man U however i feel cherries should've won after that 1st half they've had. Again, i'm not seeing an upset in the match but i strongly feel Bourne will score. They were humiliated vs Spurs and they need to produce something here. BOL
  12. Interestingly enough public seems to favor the under in eve match, odds went from 1.9 to 2.2 on the over. Am i missing something? I want to slam over harder now.
  13. I don't know is it just me or are we gonna see a lot of overs tomorrow? Wat-Che, Sours-Bourne, Leicester-City, Wolves-Fulham to name a few
  14. I guess great minds think alike, with mou gone i reckon utd winning by 2+ goals so a decent handicap on them wouldn't be the worst idea IMO. Same applies for Shampton, they've been dogshit up until the managerial switch where they beat Arsenal 3:2. They can definitely score and are full of motivation that's why i don't like the draw there. I'm leaning Shampton actually, Hudder not that great. Wolves - Liverpool I read today that reds want to go unbeaten in this year's EPL run. Of course wanting something and achieving it are 2 totally different terms. Wolves playing style actually fits well for Liverpool. They do like to control the game and in this case should they try to do it Liverpool will punish them. I def like Wolves as a team, but I just can't see them getting anything here. Maybe it's me being biased but still, i might see them scoring a goal vs Pool so O2,5 not the worst pick. I'll do more analysis on friday when i have the time to analyze whole card.