-
Posts
4,118 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
3
allthethings last won the day on December 10 2019
allthethings had the most liked content!
About allthethings
- Birthday 12/12/1961
-
StevieDay1983 reacted to a post in a topic: Premier League Predictions > Oct 14th - 16th
-
Premier League Predictions > Oct 14th - 16th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Premier League Predictions
Value POD is Liverpool X, 4.25 @ Bovada. And I'm on it. -
The splitting of the UEL into UEL and UECL has kind of messed up my database, and it may be a few years before I have a read on this third level of European comp. Having said that, I have some leans... If AZ stay at 2.00 and below, I'll have a go with Gil Vicente to win at home after they lost the first leg by 4 goals. I'll for sure be on MOL Fehervar and Wolfsberger to win outright. Sides like this, that win the first leg narrowly as a big dog away, and are now big dogs at home, are often viewed as having been lucky rather than a better club than expected. The market also always says, "They only need a draw," overvaluing that outcome, when the fact is they are as likely to come out on the front foot as cower in front of the likes of Koln and Molde. They will play their asses off in front of the home crowd. Keep in mind that I am posting this, so I expect these to lose in the worst possible way.
-
Europa League Predictions > Aug 25th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Europa League Predictions
Apollon and especially Pyunik are the livest dogs on the board at prices around 7.00. Sherif T at 1.50 for anything is kind of nuts. Shamrock are a good draw shout, down by 4 goals and at home in the second leg comes up draws way more often than outright wins. -
StevieDay1983 reacted to a post in a topic: Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
-
freddie01 reacted to a post in a topic: Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
-
Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Premier League Predictions
As if to prove my point, I had Nottingham to win today at 3/1, but did not post it. Draw your own conclusions. -
MABS reacted to a post in a topic: Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
-
StevieDay1983 reacted to a post in a topic: Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
-
alexcaruso808 reacted to a post in a topic: Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
-
Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Premier League Predictions
I swear to god, posting here is the kiss of death. Nice call, Stevie. -
alexcaruso808 reacted to a post in a topic: Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
-
Premier League Predictions > Aug 13th - 15th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Premier League Predictions
Wasn't sure I was going to take this, but as the odds have risen Brentford-Man U are now a play on the draw @ 3.85. Premier League matches featuring a home dog at this range of odds in my database draw about 27% of the time, but against Man Utd these dogs have drawn 36% of the times, through bad and good years. -
Premier League Predictions > Apr 2nd - 6th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Premier League Predictions
Zaha in the starting XI, so is Ramsdale; Tomiyasu is out. Aside from that... -
Championship Predictions > Mar 15th & 16th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Championship Predictions
This time of year, mid-February through the end of March, these midweek large dogs tend toward draws. Had my eye on Derby to nick a draw, but sadly my book know the trend also, and draw is only at 3.25. -
Premier League Predictions > Feb 23rd - 27th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in Premier League Predictions
They can't. -
FA Cup Predictions > Nov 16th & 17th
allthethings replied to StevieDay1983's topic in FA Cup & Other Cup Predictions
Gills 4.60, Solihull 4.50, Oldham 4.30 System bet here in the round of 128. -
I took them after the price started dropping. 4.70
-
What on earth is the story with Cheltenham? Normally I'm all over a home dog against an academy side, but the odds have gone from 2.04 (opening) to 2.90 earlier today to 5.25 and continuing to skyrocket. Covid?
-
harry_rag reacted to a post in a topic: 2020 European Championship Last 16 Predictions > Jun 26th - 29th
-
It's a decent shout, but over the past 20 years those draws have come later in the bracket, in the semis. It's putting me off the draw in the Wales match, actually, even though you'd expect Wales to do such a thing, as they did against the Swiss. And in fact, the books have priced it that way: 4.81 for the Wales win in 90, 3.22 for the draw. I might be inclined to play on the win for that reason, but haven't pulled the trigger yet. Wales's defense is good and, really, the Danes aren't that great without Eriksen. A Wales win wouldn't shock too terribly.