allthethings

Man Utd-Wolves X @ 3.73 This has been a good matchup for Wolves since returning to the Prem, and I don't see any reason why returning to Old Trafford means the home side should be favorites to this extent. Man U were 2.67 at Wolves in the match away, now they're 1.79?

Won with Dorking, lost with Kingstonian...sadly, two losses in League One made it a small profit today.

MK Dons X 4.10, Bolton X 4.45

The FA Trophy replays I'm watching are Concord, Kingstonian and Dorking. If the home sides are listed at 2.00 or below and the away dogs are listed at under 3.99, I'll be on the dogs outright.

Royston W, Halifax W, Halesowen X + 4 losses = plus 4.3

A little FA Trophy action Farsley 3.47, Southport 4.20, Salisbury 3.90, Royston 3.50, Halifax 3.95, Dag&Red 3.90, Halesowen X 3.95

I think Man U are a must-take at these odds...up to 5.38. The rest of the card...Billericay 3.70, Tranmere 5.25, Walsall 3.60

What will happen, who knows. What has happened is interesting. Go back 15 years in this competition, and away favorites of under 2.00 do not perform well in the first leg of the semis. Home dogs have gone 4-2-0: Wycombe 9.90 1-1 Chelsea 2006-07 Ipswich 9.44 1-0 Arsenal 2010-11 Derby 7.79 1-0 Man Utd 2008-09 Sunderland 4.84 2-1 Man Utd 2013-14 Bradford 4.27 3-1 Aston Villa 2012-13 Blackburn 3.47 1-1 Man Utd 2005-06 In all six, leg two was won at home by the overwhelming favorite. Will be interesting to see how Man U do as a dog, as they failed to win three times as a favorite at this point in the competition.

Also Derby 5.38, Northampton 6.03 As with Sheff Wednesday yesterday, these prices are insane

Bristol Rovers-Coventry X @ 3.80 I've watched Coventry's odds drop like a stone, now to 1.77 from above 2 yesterday, and this seems an obvious take. Hardly any daylight between the sides, and Rovers are 8-8-3 at home this season in all competitions I believe.

YB 4.90, AZ 4.60, St Etienne X 4.01 Ferencvaros will be a X if odds stay above 5.00, ML if below.

I also took APOEL ML 4.10 Will wait out prices, but Young Boys and AZ are possible wins, Ferencvaros and St Etienne possible draws.

Getafe-Krasnodar X 4.10, LASK-Sporting X 4.30

Getafe already hold the second position on goal differential, and they won at Krasnodar, so they are through with a draw.

If Chelsea win, Valencia must win, but Ajax need only draw to advance. I think the 4.50 or so on offer for the X in Ajax and Inter will be too good to pass up.