neilovan

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About neilovan

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  • Birthday 10/07/63

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    Sports betting, website development, Water color painting, Playing golf and tennis

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  1. SA v India ODI series

    Bizarre, India win the toss and bat first
  2. SA v India ODI series

    More of the same rubbish from SA expected in the 4th ODI at the wanderers today. The weather is pretty good. Clear skies but with a little haze, could make for a thunderstorm or two later on. Definitely an advantage to chase a total here and get duckworth lewis on your side. Also, team batting 1st could have an interrupted innings due to rain (prob rain at about 5.30 local time) If SA drop David Miller and bring Behardien in instead, I would be all over India. Probably Berhardien comes in for Zondo (who batted to slowly in the last game). SA are making ridiculous selection mistakes. Duminy and Berhardien are not the answers. We know what they can do ( very little), and will never win SA a match. Rather blood some other players, and get their International futures going. Stop flogging a dead horse. SA problems remain. They are unable to play wrist spin. However, they get their match winner (AB de Villiers back). Me, I wait for the toss, as the team that bats second here gains an advantage. India win the toss and bowl first is a green light !
  3. SA v India ODI series

    Below is my post for the 2nd ODI game. As a South African I have never seen a worse Proteas ODI team assembled than the one to play against India on Sunday. No AB de Villiers, No Faf du Plessis, and the rest of the batting lineup struggling. Berhardien a joke, Duminy useless, Markram finding his feet, and de Kock and Miller out of form. 3 left hand batsmen all extremely vulnerable to spin (Miller, Duminy and de Kock). Add to this a seam bowling attack that has no variation. Morkel bowls to short, Ngidi is just starting out, and Phehlukwayo is just not good enough. Add to this that SA may drop de Kock for this game and give Heinrich Klaasen a chance. If I see that I'll borrow money to bet on India in this game. Our match winner David Miller has really gone off the boil. Maybe some psychological reaction to blinding a person (a 6 in the IPL hit a man in the eye) a couple of years back. No form or belief at the moment ... SA deserve their low ODI world ranking because they are crap. No form at all, having a terrible last Summer in the UK (failing in the ICC Champions trophy, and being KO'ed by England in the ODI series). I don't like to bet against SA teams but the writing is on the wall here. India won the 1st ODI at a canter, realistically by 8 wickets with 6 overs to spare. In a boxing match they would have thrown in the white towel and surrendered. SA were s__t awful! At 8 to 10 INDIA WIN is a gift price. 2nd ODI was a one sided whitewash. Came home at 1pm and game was finished. SA beyond poor. -------------------------3rd ODI Prediction------------------------------------------------------------------- The crazy part is that SA are getting weaker (if possible) while India are gaining strength. Every week the touring team spends in SA makes them better. They get used to the conditions and settle in. SA without de Kock, de Villiers and du Plessis have almost no chance in the 3rd ODI. Who is going to get the runs in this team ? The batting lineup is just rubbish ! I see Glen Maxwell left out in Aussie, he would stroll into this lineup. Amla is a little out of form, the two newbies Markram and Klaasen will struggle (against top quality) . Duminy and Miller are really vulnerable to spin, and you can't teach them how to play it in a week. Not possible. Both are totally lacking confidence (while Duminy is technically poor). The last time he had any "WOW" in a game was 5 years ago. Absolutely ridiculous selection of a player well past his prime. INDIA are firing on all cylinders. There is a buzz, and big competition for places in the team. Think about it, your chance of playing for India is probably 120 million to 1 against. Also, when you get a chance to beat someone in professional sports, you must cash in and crush them. Grab the momentum and don't let up. For me, Dhoni is an unbelievable player. I can't count how many times I have seen him win a game for India. The greatest closer the short forms of the game has seen. And the crazy part is that he is not even needed here ! INDIA TO WIN at odds nearly 6 to 10 is still a very decent price.
  4. Hey neilovan..Thanks for the great tip on India in the cricket...Men and boys it seems...Do you have any thoughts on the 3rd 1 dayer mate ?...Obviously the bookies have shortened the m/l odds but i was wondering if you think they might still be a good bet to win and to win handsomely again ?..Many thanks mate.

    1. Show previous comments  6 more
    2. bookiebasher

      bookiebasher

      Well i took your advice and waited for the game to start...India seemed to be batting ok so i did them m/l in a double with Spurs that paid 5/2(not to big a bet as before,obviously)..Spurs won and India were on top when the rains came as you predicted so i decided to cashout for a 2/1 winner..Luckily for me as we all know what happened...I believe that with out the rain the Indians would,ve gone on to win the game ?...Anyways,so to game 5...All things considered what would your call be on this game and is there danger of showers again mate ?

    3. bookiebasher

      bookiebasher

      Damn sorry dude ive just seen your posts in the cricket section..I shouldve looked there before i guess..Well thanks for replying mate..You couldve just said check the cricket section lol..I think im gonna go with the Indians again..Its  3 - 1 now hey and they,ll want to win the series right.

    4. bookiebasher

      bookiebasher

      Well they did make me sweat a lil bit there but once they got the No.1 batsman out it was happy days 

       

  5. Premier League Predictions > Feb 3rd - 5th

    LEICESTER v SWANSEA Sat 2018-02-03 How disruptive is Riyad Mahrez! Every transfer window he is captain CHAOS! He won't play this weekend, and Leicester probably will get very little out of him for the rest of the season. It has to affect team spirit, and moral. It's a really bad situation to have a festering player around the squad. Negative vibes all around ! Leicester have only been doing so well, because Puel had Vardy and Mahrez buzzing. The air has gone out of the balloon here ... psssssssssssstttttttt ! Swansea will come into this game absolutely flying. Two unreal wins, at home against Liverpool and Arsenal. Come on, NOBODY gave them 6 points from those two games ! Amazing game plans, excellent execution. They beat Arsenal easily. So Carlos Carvalhal has performed wonders. It's sardines eating sharks, and this weekend the sardines could continue to bite back. The bet I like here is the away double chance. Swansea to win or draw is very decently priced at 2.1 Away Double Chance - Odds 2.1 (2 Units) Just a quick off topic post, because I did'nt know where to post it in the cricket forum. As a South African I have never seen a worse Proteas ODI team assembled than the one to play against India on Sunday. No AB de Villiers, No Faf du Plessis, and the rest of the batting lineup struggling. Berhardien a joke, Duminy useless, Markram finding his feet, and de Kock and Miller out of form. 3 left hand batsmen all extremely vulnerable to spin (Miller, Duminy and de Kock). Add to this a seam bowling attack that has no variation. Morkel bowls to short, Ngidi is just starting out, and Phehlukwayo is just not good enough. Add to this that SA may drop de Kock for this game and give Heinrich Klaasen a chance. If I see that I'll borrow money to bet on India in this game. Our match winner David Miller has really gone off the boil. Maybe some psychological reaction to blinding a person (a 6 in the IPL) a couple of years back. No form or belief at the moment ... SA deserve their low ODI world ranking because they are crap. No form at all, having a terrible last Summer in the UK (failing in the ICC Champions trophy, and being KO'ed by England in the ODI series). I don't like to bet against SA teams but the writing is on the wall here. India won the 1st ODI at a canter, realistically by 8 wickets with 6 overs to spare. In a boxing match they would have thrown in the white towel and surrendered. SA were s__t awful! At 8 to 10 INDIA WIN is a gift price.
  6. Swansea v Liverpool Mon 2018-01-21 Liverpool look terrific on the road. They have won 5 of their last 6 first half away games. Scoring goals for fun, with 7 of 10 first half games having more than 1.5 goals. 9 of 10 away games have finished over 2.5 goals. Can Swansea stop them? No chance here... so what bets look good? The Liverpool away win HT/FT looks reasonable at odds of 1.83. But it means thaey have to win the 1st half. I think this is a distinct possibility, given that Swnasea have scored 1 1st half goal at home in 10 games. This is the worst record in the premier league, The NO to both teams to score is priced at 1.8 (very similar to Liverpool win HT/FT), but realistically it's very similar to the Liverpool win to NIL bet. If I was choosing either of these I would go Liverpool win to NIL (odds 2.1). For me the possibility that Liverpool concede a sloppy goal is real, and it turns me off these last 2 bets. I would rather back Liverpool's strength, which is attacking football and scoring goals. At anywhere above 1.75, I would take Liverpool to win here and over 2.5 goals. FOr me this is a safer bet, than enduring 1st half pressure in the HT/FT win.
  7. To me , the fixtures this week (apart from the Liverpool v Man City game), are a hand grenade. Three big teams at ridiculously low odds. Chelsea, Tottenham and Man United. The biggest odds on offer (1.32) for the home win, are lousy. The implied probability (for the win) is around 75% for each of these games. Leicester are capable of surprising Chelsea, while Stoke and Everton will play an 11 man defense and hope for a break away or set piece goal. Not a place for the smart money ! The other games are a lottery, which is suggested by the price. Can you really pick a winner (with confidence) between Crystal Palace and Burnley, Huddersfield and West Ham, WBA and Brighton or Watford v Southampton. My feeling is NO. These teams are so inconsistent, and totally unpredictable. Is there any team closer to Watford in blowing games, and throwing wins away? Crystal Palace are even money to beat Burnley . Really ! What nonsense. Burnley have lost 2 away league games this season (Leicester and Man City). I would'nt touch Palace with a 10 ft pole here. Just a week for leaving the cash in the wallet ! If I had to bet on something, I would take Southampton to beat Watford away for 2 main reasons. 1) Saints away record has been proo, but no team in the EPL has had a tougher away schedule last 5 games. 2) Watford are just a crazy team. They are liable to blow them selves up at any moment, have a guy sent off, or just collapse. No team in the EPL has squandered a lead more than them ...
  8. Burnley at 6.5 to 1 to beat a Spurs team that has lost 4 of their last 5 away games ? Seems ridiculous. Why should Spurs win here ? Their form away says they will battle. It is not like Burnley just roll over and give up every game. FOr me the Home double chance looks excellent at odds of 2.35
  9. Fri 2017-12-22 ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL How nice to start the weekend with such a big game. Two evenly matched teams that may just be involved in a shootout. A draw does not suite either here, and both have the ability to win it. In an open game I really fancy Liverpool. They just look so good going forward. Very few teams will be able to shut them out. Salah, Coutinho and Firmino make a pretty awesome attacking lineup. Mane will probably come on as a 65th minute sub, as he makes his way back from injury. In my opinion Giroud should be starting more games for Arsenal. Without him, they look so one-dimensional, playing everything narrow, to feet. Arsenal should just give Sanchez his marching orders. Enough of that over-hyped trouble maker! In Afrikaans they would say 'vat joe goed en trek' , which roughly translated means 'take your crap and f-off !'' Does he even get into a Man City front line of Aguero and Jesus ? What bets look decent here ? The over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57 (lousy), which is a huge favorite versus the under 2.5 goals (odds 2.35). SO the bookmakers are expecting goals. I think they are right here. In an open run and gun game there is only one winner ... In an open shootout I think the Liverpool win (odds 2.88) is a very generous price. I would consider pushing this to Liverpool win and over 2.5 goals, which is priced at 3.75 . I just don't think Arsenal can handle Salah and the pace that Liverpool have. I think they get caught on the break here at least a couple of times. Away Win & Over 2.5 - Odds 3.75
  10. Newcastle v Everton Newcastle are the worst performing team in the Premier league in the last 7 games. They have 1 point from a possible 21, losing 6 times. In their last 5 games they have conceded 2 or more 5 times. Defensively they are a mess. They have picked up 6 points from a possible 30 in their last 10 ! Everton have turned the corner under Allardyce. They will be semi-organised and tough to beat. Allardyce's teams always are. This is just a team that was poorly managed, but they will be better. Under Allardyce they have already picked up 7 points from a possible 9 points, with 2 clean sheets I think that Newcastle get caught on the break here, and give up a goal or 2. Everton will sit deep and pick them off. Everton to win at odds of 3.3 looks more than decent, against a home team struggling with confidence and form.
  11. Premier League Predictions > Dec 2nd & 3rd

    Another weekend of Premier League fixtures arrives with the same old crazy unpredictability. Virtually impossible to win in this League. The odds are ridiculously low (when a fav is involved), and the other teams represent a lottery at the moment. Case in point is Man CIty v Huddersfield. Need the last kick of the game to win a bet at odds of 1.8 to 10. Laughable ! Two bets look good to me this weekend. I don't think Burnley will lose at Leicester. Are Leicester world beaters ! I also have a feeling that a Man United led by Pogba win at Arsenal. Burnley are better than even money for the win/draw (double chance). I also think the Man U win at Watford is a sign of things to come.
  12. It's insane. 2 shots 3 goals
  13. Thank you, I hope that it translates into a nice win for everyone !
  14. Brighton v Stoke MON 2017-11-20 A Monday night tussle, with no clear favorite. Brighton have done well at home this season. They lost to Man CIty (most teams will), but had solid wins over Newcastle and WBA. They have been defensively solid in the 1st half of games, with 4 clean sheets. Stoke are totally unpredictable. Beat Watford away, lose to Everton and Newcastle, and drop points against WBA. They are grinding for away goals. To me they have stagnated, and seem to be grinding through seasons, playing dour football under Hughes. They won't be relegated, but this team won't win anything either. It's like a couple that have been married for 35 years. Everything is too comfortable ! I am not mad on splashing the cash in a game like this. These two sides could put you to sleep If you are going to watch the game, and want a little interest, keep the bet small, and go for bigger odds. One bet that does interest me here, is highest scoring half (2nd). Your bet wins if you get the half with the most goals correct. If you go for highest scoring half (2nd), a draw (say 2-0 1st half and 1-1 second half), loses your bet. Brighton have the lowest 1st half goals per game average in the EPL (0.4), with just 2 1st half goals in 5 matches played. Second half there have been 9 goals, with a 1.8 goals per game average. I think the more goals 2nd half, is the bet here. Two teams that will keep it tight for the first 45, with the game opening up a little in the 2nd half. Highest scoring half(2nd) - Odds 2.15
  15. Premier League Predictions > Nov 4th & 5th

    Chelsea v Man United Is it me or are United a hard watch. They are so dull and one paced, and ponderous, but they grind out results. Certainly unspectacular, totally incomparable to Man City, but pretty rock solid defensively. The win over Benfica, guarantees them CL knockout football. It has been an easy CL campaign so far. No stress, no effort, but no fire either. I don't think you can switch that on and off. The emotion is just flat. Nobody seems fired up ! I see more of the same in this game. Dogged, pedestrian, grinding, leaning towards defense over offense, hard to beat. I don't think there will be goals here. United will come to win it 0-1. Realistically a 541 in defense playing on the break. Chelsea have had a tough week. Travel to Italy and get a proper hiding. 3-0 is a solid smack. Things are starting to unravel a little. Conte is annoyed (fair enough), but do Chelsea really want a remarriage to Ancelotti ? Its like kissing an old girlfriend. Nice memories but it's not the same ! I think the Man United win, draw no bet is decently priced at even money I also think the total goals in the game (0 or 1) is a decent bet at 2.9