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neilovan last won the day on September 7 2019

neilovan had the most liked content!


About neilovan

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    Seasoned Campaigner !
  • Birthday 10/07/1963

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    Jo'burg (Sunshine Capital of the World)
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    Sports betting, Machine Learning & Data Science , Making Money

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  1. Having watched most of the games in the French, it is pretty obvious that Tsitsipas has really improved his game. He already had two pretty tough opponents in Isner and Medvedez and swept them both aside. He is stronger and fitter, and has way too much game for Zverev. I though Zverev was really poor against Davidovich Fokina. He just played an opponent who was totally outta gas. For me Tsitsipas wins in 3 sets. For me it makes the over under 37.5 games a really bad bet (at odds of 1.83 either way). The Tsitsi win 3-0 in sets is far better value at 2 to 1. Interesting stat, but fro
  2. I just don't think Mikael Ymer can play with Jannik Sinner today. Ymer had to come back from a difficult position first match, and Monfils played so badly against him, and gifted him the match. For me Ymer simply does not have the power and finesse to compete in this match. Sinner will win in straight sets, and if he does he will cover the -6.5 game spread. The 3-0 set score is a much better bet giving even money
  3. Medvedev will eat Opelka, for me a slam dunk bet at 2.6 to 10. Score is 2-3 medvedev serving
  4. Not a huge fan of woman's tennis but I think there is value in Collins to beat Serena at 13 to 10. Last match decided by 10 point tie breaker, and Serena is just not moving well. If her opponent starts getting her serve back, she is in trouble. I also fancy Azarenka over Madison Keys (if you can bear the sound effects). I think Azarenka is just way too tough, physically and mentally here. Will take both in a double that should give about 2.6 to 1
  5. I think it's very hard to go against Medvedev. He is a smart guy, probably one of the most gifted players out there, with incredible game strategy. Every match he wins on the clay makes him exponentially stronger. I really thought he would battle with Tommy Paul, but when the chips were down, he readjusted and brought his A game. For me almost a match to bet in play. Evaluate how quickly Medvedev figures out the Opelka serve. If Opelka is struggling to win his serve early on, it's a strong indicator of him losing. And odds won't change that much considering Medvedev is 2.8 to 10.
  6. Another 0 for 2 in a season that never stops giving
  7. Hi Steve, I just don't see the goals or entertainment in this game. United will play a second 11, probably giving their main men 20 minutes at the end of the game. I think you see a disjointed United side, with 5 unfamiliar faces, struggling for cohesion. Mata, Matic, Telles, van de Beek, Elanga and the rest of the 2nd stringers to get a meaningless outing., I would be going under 2.5 goals here all day at odds of 1.9 I have a mate coming over to watch the game, and I think it will bore us beyond belief (can always watch the golf), At least the food and drink will be good.
  8. Money to be made in IPL with strong patterns. 11 games played so far. Venue Chidambaran . Team batting first has won 5/6 games played. At venue Wankhede stadium. Team batting second has won 4 of 5 games. Tomorrow game is at Wankhede (CSK v RR) . So for some reason team batting first has a big advantage. Two teams that are quite even, but I feel that Miller and Morris are finding their form and could well win another game for the Royals. Team batting first should be favorites, but need to wait for the toss. Not betting huge here. I would be betting inplay h
  9. Stupid decision making from Delhi in not bowling Ashwin for his 4th over, when lack of pace was the way to go. Stoinis bowled 1 over for 15 and Curran's last over was a shambles. He bowled a back of the hand slow ball that bounced 2/5th's of the way down the pitch. Just nonsense regarding dew on the ball for the last 4 overs, because they got a used dry ball 5 times (after every huge towering 6).
  10. Delhi will also get both Rabada and Nortje back, so will have a rock solid bowling attack.
  11. He plays like he is playing for England, but it doesn't work here as the squad is not so good.
  12. I think they will be an excellent team to oppose when playing against MI, RCB, SHR, DC.
  13. A few interesting developments regarding the IPL. Stokes is out, and this will seriously dent the RR chances of doing well. They need him like blood for the batting, but their real weakness is in bowling. No team conceded more runs in the last IPL (Round robin stage) than the Royals (2482 runs in 14 matches, for an average of 177 per match). In 15 of the 20 overs they were in the top 3 teams for runs conceded. Normally this would not be such a problem because this is a batting heavy side. But without Smith and Stokes, they are now lopsided, and will struggle. Looking at two critical
  14. The biggest thing that hurt RCB last IPL was the over reliance on Kohli and de Villiers. Paddikal had a great 1st season, but Finch was a blowout. On Morris they spent a fortune and they got little in return. The numbers for RCB in the middle overs just don't lie. RCB boundary percentage in range overs 8-14 (7 overs in total), they ranked bottom in this category 5 times and 3rd worst 3 times. Kohli and de Villers were digging them out of trouble, and regrouping too often. In the last IPL, from overs 6-14 RCB were in the bottom 3 teams for strike rate (9 overs or 45% of the game) in
  15. As a learning exercise I created some data visualizations for the 2020 IPL. There are 3 dashboards that will help you determine winners and losers in this IPL season. These dashboards are all free to use, so enjoy. I have not embedded them into any web pages, but will post the link. (1) dashboard is a scorecard analysis, with worms, over ranges and runs, and ball by ball analysis, with breakdown by batsman. You can just choose any match from the dropdown (https://public.tableau.com/profile/neilvanasselt#!/vizhome/IPLcricketMatchPerformanceScorecards1/Dashboard1) (2) Another da
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