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neilovan last won the day on September 7

neilovan had the most liked content!


About neilovan

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    Seasoned Campaigner !
  • Birthday 10/07/1963

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    Jo'burg (Sunshine Capital of the World)
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    Sports betting, Machine Learning & Data Science , Making Money

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  1. Hi All, Just curious. Had a bet on the 18:40 at Chelmsford CIty. Layed Volcanique. Quite disgusted by the jockey getting the whip out and thrashing that horse at least 6 times in the last 3 furlongs. Is this horrid behavior frowned upon or actually every brought to task? That horse had no chance of winning there but took a ridiculous beating. Scandalous behaviour from the ba__d on board. thanks
  2. I just don't like Arsenal today. Bournemouth will come to play and should provide a stern test. Plenty of value in the away win at 7 to 1.
  3. Amazing, but United were even worse than I thought. What a 2 hour waste of time. Imagine paying to sit there and watch that garbage.
  4. AZ v Man United I really like the team that United are putting out. Looking forward to seeing Brandon WIlliams, who hopefully has a great start and maybe is the long term replacement for Shaw. Also for me Dalot is a huge upgrade on both Lingard and Perreira. I have no problem with Fred in midfield.The guy has a solid engine, and it is simply not easy to shine in a mis-firing team that is lacking confidence. I think Pogba is not missed at all. He doesn't bring it and hardly influences a game. It will still be disjointed. Too many new faces together for the 1st time on an old astroturf surface. I would definitely be going more second half goals in this game (odds 2.05) , and possible the HT draw, Man United win FT (odds 5.5). I think United grind out a 0-1 or 0-2 win here.
  5. Liverpool v Saltzburg Watching the Genk v Napoli game, and Genk are giving them the run around. This is a team that Saltzburg stomped 6-2, That's a hell of a scoreline, and obviously says two things. 1) This Saltzburg team carries a serious goal threat. 2) Genk are not as bad as you think. I am going for the left field result, in the upset, where Saltzburg win a high scoring game. Two bets I like... Haland to score anytime (3.2 bet365) and Saltsburg win and over 3.5 goals at odds of 21 for a small stake (skybet or paddypower)
  6. That win to NIL bet is just so tricky to win. There is always some stupid goal or weird stuff that kills it.
  7. Man United v Arsenal My feeling is that Man United and Arsenal are just too inconsistent to have a large (MATCH WINNER) bet on at the moment. United are hampered by Pogba who is a disruption. He wants away, and they should sell him to Real Madrid for 100million +. Rather have 2 new 50 million pound midfielders that Poggie, that will give less problems, and cost less, and give more effort. For me it is a no-brainer. If they can get it done in Januray then great. C ya! At the moment Pogba is a bad fit for United. I say this for a number of reasons; 1) He is no leader. You can't build a team around this guy. 2) He feels he is bigger than the club. He is definitely putting his own interests first all the time, not helped by Ole bending over to accommodate him 3) He has an agent that causes friction and discontentment 4) His attitude is that he does not want to be part of a 3 year Man United rebuilding cycle. He wants to play in the Champions League, and craves the spotlight. OK, NP sell him for the maximum. Seriously, how many really good games has he had for United in his stay there? 5 maybe... Rather sell him and get two new midfielders that will give 100% and have a consistent rating of 6.5 to 8 most weeks. Both Arsenal and United are conceding goals. United have the problem of not scoring enough, and are definitely a center forward short. Obviously the deal from Inter (for Lukaku sweetend with the Sanchez loan) was to good too turn down. But the injury to Martial has really screwed them. How is it possible that a team of the size of United have no center forward? Quite interesting in that both Morata and Lukaku are gone from the Premier league... Arsenal have such a potent threat upfront. This is a team that will score goals. Aubameyang takes his chances well, but Lacazette will be missed. I do feel that Arsenal have more confidence than United at the moment, and it should just give them a slight edge. Between these two inconsistent, relatively fairly matched teams, I would definitely be going over 2.5 goals in the game, instead of trying to find a winner.
  8. Everton v Man City The Norwich City game against Man CIty was just one of those really weird days. Take nothing away from Norwich, they were great .... but normally a team like City would find a way. Man CIty know they are 5 points behind Liverpool, and one of the ways to catch up 1 extra point is to beat Liverpool on goal difference. So I expect City to be very aggressive in going after goals. There will not be much sitting back and cruising at 3-0. They are going to spank teams 5 and 6, and they will do this surprisingly often. Everton are just such a weird team it is crazy. They go into the game against Shff U with such good home form, and just don't show. Bizarre. I think they get an absolute hiding from a Man CIty team that will counter it's defensive woes by banging in bucket loads of goals. The away win and over 2.5 goals is about 1.7 and looks as close to a banker that I can find this weekend. I think Man CIty cover the 3.5 goals and win which is at odds of 2.3
  9. I really don't fancy Man United against anybody at the moment. After a freak 4-0 win over Chelsea they have managed just 5 goals in 6 games played. I think 2 of those were penalties. I think you see another disjointed performance from United, as all the rusty fringe players get a potential run out. United probably play at least 5 youngsters so I am not expecting much. A scrappy low scoring game on the cards here. I would really like to see Axel Taunzebe play, hopefully with Maguire. For me this has potential to be United's best center back pairing. Get the partnership going ! United squad : Sergio Romero, Lee Grant, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Victor Lindelof, Phil Jones, Axel Tuanzebe, Marcos Rojo, Brandon Williams, Scott McTominay, Andreas Pereira, Paul Pogba, Fred, James Garner, Juan Mata, Jesse Lingard, Mason Greenwood, Daniel James, Tahith Chong. would be tempted to take Rochdale on the double chance here. Odds of 7 are decent for a small bet.
  10. Two interesting games this afternoon. West Ham v Man United Watching Man United is not even enjoyable anymore. The football is insipid, and they still have no real style of play. Wingers or wing-backs are still stopping, and kicking the balkl backwards and sideways. Nothing much has changed under OGS, except the average age of the team on the field. I don't think West Ham can beat them, but I just don't see a clean sheet from Man U, or Man United scoring more than a goal. So another low scoring borefest on the cards here. The West Ham double chance bet looks solid. Chelsea v Liverpool I have a funny feeling Liverpool lose this game. They were not to good against Napoli in the CL midweek. I have a feeling they come out a little flat and get outplayed. CHelsea have been playing decent football, and sometimes not getting the results. But their style of play, and tactics are decent, and they will get better every week. Home win and over 2.5 goals here.
  11. I'm a Man United fan and I think we are as bad as 8th or 9th. There is simply no experienced midfield quality playing today. I think you see a really disjointed game from United, where they are unable to create much/anything. The stats don't lie. This team has won 3 of their last 13 league games. 4-0 Chelsea and 2 fluke wins over West Ham and Watford where they were outplayed for vast periods of the game. A good beating from Leicester could be the start of the end for OGS. Hopefully Potch has a fallout with Levy and become the new manager when Solksjaer gets his marching orders. Just a ridiculous kneejerk reaction to appoint the guy in the 1st place, based on a last minute dubious penalty against PSG in the CL. The team has been useless this season. Would any other huge club such as Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Juventus, PSG, Porto, Benfica, Ajax, Dortmund be in such a bad position? All very well to go down the youth path, but there has to be a mix and blend. It is not nearly the same as Fergie winning with boys, because those guys had all played along side each other for 6 years. I'll be very surprised if United even score and expect them to get zip from this game.
  12. Man United v Leicester I don't like United in this game. United have no ability to pass the ball forward and move it well. Forget the Chelsea game, it was a fluke result. United scored first, against the run of play, and then caught Chelsea on the break. Pogba seems to want to do too much, and gets caught with the ball often. WHo else can provide any midfield quality ? United have just 3 goals in their last 3 games, and 1 is from an out and out winger. Rashford looks ice cold, perhaps over-hyped. Martial is injured, or if back will not be match fit. The goalthreat up front looks quite dull. I think getting Dalot back in the team will definitely help United. He is an upgrade on Lingaard (no confidence) and probably Perreira as well. He gives them a decent right sided midifleld balance. I would also like to see Fred have a run of games. Most don't like him, but he has a good engine, and will give them midfield legs. Most of the time he has played in a crappy team, with no real tactics or direction. Even if some of these guys do start, it is unlikely they will be up to match day speed and intensity. Leicester look good. Rogers is a solid manager, and there seems to be a healthy synergy at the club. Do they target Lindelof (who looks suspect under the long ball). I would be taking the Leicester win here and Jamie Vardy to score. The crazy thing is that United will be 10 points behind Liverpool after 5 games of the season. Closer to relegation than the top 4. OGS in presser today "...we don't want to be behind Tottenham or Chelsea or Arsenal" . Lets not even mention Liverpool and Man CIty, and avoid WOlves, Leicester and West Ham. United could finish 8th or 9th this season. So injury news is that Pogba will not play (probably a bonus for United). Think Leicester win this 0-2.
  13. Well, Serena got properly spanked.Forget the slight 2nd set comeback, it was a hiding. Andreescu let her concentration wander at 5-1. My favorite next gen player is Medvedev, but I don't think he is ready to beat Nadal here. His game has really improved, but he needs to up his fitness and workrate. He can take care of Federer in a 3 setter, but the blitzing he got from Nadal at Cincinnati (6-3 6-0) cannot be underestimated. That is a proper ass kicking. I think Medvedev is capable of taking a set here, but I can't see him winning it. My feeling is that there will be at least one set that Nadal romps (probably 61 or 62. Would be going for a 4 setter at odds of 2.8
  14. Andreescu has just had the most amazing breakout year. If memory serves me correctly, it started before the Aussie open in Auckland, where a couple of freaky results stood out for me. In the round of 16 she beat the #1 seed (Wozniacki 6-4 6-4). In the next match she showed me the mindset of a future star. She played Venus WIlliams and lost the 1st set 6-7. Most players on the woman's tour (and quite a few in the mens) fold up in the second after a close, emotionally and physically invested 1st set. This kid took WIlliams to pieces winning 6-7 6-1 6-3. It was an eye opener. A ridiculous break out season follows, with wins at Indian Wells and in Toronto. The seasons record is ridiculously good, winning 34 of 39 matches (87%). This is after stepping up from ITF with a win percentage of 73%. Come on, get real, stepping up 2 divisions, she starts spanking good players. So, can she beat Serena? I don't think Serena can intimidate her with power, but the trick for Andreescu is to keep it close in the 1st set. Keep Serena on the court, and her possibilities increase as the match goes on. Two simple tactics will really help her. Make Serena move ... so don't give her a stable platform to crank the ball. SO more balls down the sides, and get Serena moving forward. In my opinion the woman's game is very 1 dimensional. They hate volleying, and most are baseline hitting machines. Odds of 3.3 for the Andreescu win are not that brilliant, but they suggest no easy ride for Serena here. I think a close match is on the cards, and would rather go 3 sets at better than odds of 2.6