Jump to content
*** Punchestown Festival Competition: Well done to 1st. Craig Bluenose, 2nd. Lee Grays & 3rd. Carole Dawney ***
** May Poker League Result : 1st McG, 2nd muttley, 3rd GirlyWirly **
** Football Tipster Competition Result : 1st CertiF, 2nd PercyP, 3rd adamross, 4th Joelavfc, 5th Chris P **
** May Naps Competition Result: 1st Internetmails, 2nd Rug, 3rd Rolandcooper, 4th Adamross. KO Cup Winner: Xtc12, Most Winners: Mickyftm32 **


Regular Members
  • Content Count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won


Everything posted by thfc

  1. Surprised to see that Brighton are favourites at Southampton. Both teams are out of form, but Southampton can partly attribute this to all their injuries, whereas Brighton's problem is the same as ever- they don't take their chances and don't have a top quality striker. Brighton also have a poor record against Saints. I certainly don't see Southampton losing this one, so happy to back the home side at the prices, but with a little bit of cover on the draw as Brighton draw a lot of matches (level with Fulham for most in the PL). Man U at nearly evens to beat West Ham is also tempting, e
  2. You are braver than me! Spurs are in no real form at the moment, although did play well away in the Europa League on Thursday. West Ham are a really tough team to predict this year other than I think it's fair to say they are definitely overachieving, so are perhaps due a downturn in form sooner or later. Another point to note is this is like West Ham's cup final because they hate spurs (we don't really care about them!). I know there is no crowd so perhaps not as relevant this year, but thought i'd mention it.
  3. Spurs against Fulham is now being played Wednesday after some Covid related fixture alterations. Fulham only got 2 days notice of the game being played, as did spurs, but the difference was spurs were expecting to play midweek (vs Villa) whereas Fulham thought they had the week off so have probably been resting rather than training too extensively. I'd fancy spurs anyway, but given these circumstances, I am putting a strong bet on spurs half time/full time which you can get for 2.1 with bet365. Aside from the late notice of the fixture being played, spurs tend to get off to a fast start
  4. Spurs love conceding goals late on so it was no massive shock! I think that's 6 goals conceded in the last 5 minutes of games now. I fancy spurs this weekend, largely because both teams play in a similar way relying on the counter attack, and I think spurs have the better personnel (Kane & Son) versus mostly Vardy for Leicester. Leicester are so inconsistent (more so at home admittedly) it's hard to know what team will turn up. They have won 5 out of 6 away though, which puts me off wanting to put spurs up as a bet on here.
  5. From a quick look, I like the price on a lot of the home teams this week. Both Liverpool and Man City look underpriced to me based on the way this season is going. Liverpool don't win away at the moment, and Palace is a tough game to go to. A shame there is no crowd as that would have helped Palace out, but I still feel Palace are more than capable of getting at least a draw out of this one. Saints at home to Man City is another high price on the home team. Man City generally aren't scoring enough goals this season, which gives Saints a much better chance in this match than the o
  6. I can see why backing spurs in some form could be attractive, but Liverpool's home form over the last 3 years is insane. I think its 63 out of 64 wins with the other being a draw since they last lost. I know Liverpool have their injury problems, and they were lucky to get a draw at Fulham. Spurs played quite well against Palace, certainly creating more chances than they have in recent matches, and I think were unfairly criticised after the match for easing off a bit in the second half. Only 3 top saves from the keeper stopped spurs getting the win. A draw at Palace is not a bad result wit
  7. My main pick is Newcastle. Leeds seem to be everyone's second favourite team because of their style of play, but the fact is they are a lower mid table PL team, as are Newcastle. Leeds have lost 3 out of the last 5, and have only won one game at home all season (out of 6). Newcastle have only lost once away in the PL this season (out of 5) so know how to get points on the road. No way that Leeds should be odds on to win this one, so Newcastle or the draw at 2.1 (betfair) is my strongest pick out of all the games this midweek. On current form, you have to think Saints are going
  8. Fantastic shout- wish i'd seen this earlier. Kane gets more assists than goals these days!
  9. I also really like the price on Aston Villa. Win their game in hand and they are joint top of the league 8 games in. Brighton, for all the plaudits Graham Potter gets don't seem to have improved, and really lack a goalscorer. Bear in mind that Brighton have drawn at home against Burnley and West Brom recently, and you see the level they are at. Villa have lost their last two at home, but those were losses to good teams, and of course they have also had impressive wins against Liverpool, Leicester and Arsenal already. All the evidence says Villa are a level above Brighton, and I'd ha
  10. I don't get why Man City are odds on to win at spurs. Spurs have done well against city in recent meetings in both the PL and CL, and won this fixture 2-0 last season. City have fitness doubts over Aguero and possibly Sterling, and while you still have to respect them, they will certainly be weaker if one or both of them aren't able to play. It's hard to know if players are fully fit after the international break, but as far as I know Spurs have no major injury problems, other than Doherty missing through COVID. That means Aurier starting which is a bit of a worry, especially if Sterl
  11. I like Palace at home to Leeds. Both teams on level points, so not sure why Leeds are deemed favourites for this one. The table is now starting to settle down, and it looks like both teams are of similar ability level so there shouldn't be much in the odds between the teams. Leeds play with their gung-ho style which is easy on the eye, and might be the reason why they are seen as favourites, but I feel Palace are the perfect team to nullify that approach. For me the prices on Palace and Leeds should be swopped so happy to take Palace at home at 3s. I'm also going to take Fulham
  12. I think Southampton are worth a go this week. Everton are missing Richarlison through suspension, and I believe Ancelotti has also ruled out Rodriguez and Coleman, who would both be tough to replace (rodriquez especially). Saints are not normally good at home, but managed a 2-0 win over West Brom last home game, and with Everton's injury list, I think they should be slight favourites for this game, not slight underdogs. Saints are good going forward, and with Everton's attacking injuries, I'll take them to outscore Everton. Man Utd and Chelsea screams draw to me. Both teams are
  13. De Bruyne out, Aguero out, and Sterling is probably not fully fit after missing the England games. I don't think Arsenal have any key fitness concerns. Arteta also knows City inside out having been with Guardiola before taking over at Arsenal. All things considered, I don't like the Man City price, so I'd have to go with the away side to get a result in this one. Agree on BTTS though!
  14. Some cracking games on this round of fixtures. It's a shame they come right after the international break as that always leaves you less sure where teams are and what players are fit or not. Man U are 1.7 to beat Newcastle away. You'd have to be crazy to want to take that price in my view! We don't really need to go into what's wrong with Man U, but the short version is they are being priced up on reputation rather than how good they actually are. Newcastle are no world beaters, but are a solid middle PL team, and should not be so big to win this one. Newcastle +1 for me is pr
  15. This looks a tough set of fixtures. Of the 18 matches played in the PL so far, there have only been 7 home wins, vs 11 away wins and not a single draw as yet. Perhaps we'll get a few draws this weekend with Palace-Everton, Sheffield-Leeds, and West Ham-Wolves for me looking good candidates on the basis I think the teams are quite evenly matched. I quite like the look of Brighton +1 at around 2s, as I think as usual Man U are being priced up partly on name. But Man U will surely be better than the last game vs Palace. Both teams had good away wins in the league cup in midweek. It's no
  16. Just reviving this topic as sky sports have done some analysis suggesting home advantage has been wiped out https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11661/12079338/premier-league-goals-and-away-wins-at-record-highs-has-home-advantage-been-wiped-out Will be interesting to see how bookies react if the current trend of away wins continues another couple of weeks.
  17. I'm going to go against most of you as I just don't fancy Leeds at those prices. Two newly promoted teams, and no real home advantage with the lack of fans. I wouldn't want to be on Leeds at 1.66 which seems to be the best price at the moment. They managed to lose in the cup to at home to Hull midweek, while Fulham managed a 1-0 win at Ipswich. I know Leeds probably didn't care about the cup, but even so, you'd expect them to beat a Hull team (who also probably didn't care) who have just been relegated to league 1. Fulham +1 at 2.38 with Betfair with a low stake is my bet on this game.
  18. It's certainly a subjective topic. The BBC have today published an article about Liverpool's title defence not being straight forward (https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/53917751), and part of their reasoning for this is they won't have the crowd to support them so clearly there is a school of thought that home advantage will be weakened. Will be interesting to see how Leeds get on against them at the weekend at long odds.
  19. With the football season about to kick off (in England anyway), I was interested in people's thoughts about whether the lack of crowds at football games is going to negate the normal advantage that is deemed to be given to the home team? If you are a lower to middle PL team, going to a top 4 or 6 team must be a lot less threatening without a crowd on your back so perhaps they have a better chance of winning/drawing than if the stadium were full? I guess i'm asking if you're going to be more tempted to take on the bigger teams when at home at long odds on, given the away team won't be sub
  20. I can certainly see the logic of going with the price play on this one, and agree the odds do seem skewed to make this a good pick. That said, I find it hard to see spurs finishing as high as third, as certainly Chelsea look good candidates to push on, and I hate to say it but Arsenal are also looking stronger than they have for some time. There is still no backup striker for Kane, so he will have to stay fit all season, and the defence will have to be a lot better than last year if spurs are going to manage a top 3 finish. I think we'll see a tighter battle at the top this season a
  21. I'm definitely on Newcastle at 3.5 to beat West Ham. Newcastle look to have recruited quite well over the summer, whereas West Ham unless i've missed it haven't signed anyone as yet, plus they lost a highly rated player (to West Brom of all teams) which seemed to upset some of the West Ham players. There seems to be some discontent in the West Ham camp and they just don't seem to be a team who are going to do anything other than be knocking around the relegation zone this season. Newcastle on the other hand I can see being somewhere around 10-13th as they were last season. Betti
  22. Be interesting to see what happens from here. Don't think there's much chance we will actually get back underway in April. China's league is still shutdown and their main outbreak was in January. They are saying the peak is 12-14 weeks away in the UK, so could be months before anything starts up again. If I was a Liverpool fan i'd be seriously concerned that this season might be voided. As a spurs fan, that outcome would be fine for me! I hope lower league clubs are able to survive without any gate income for the next few weeks. Be a real shame if one or more go out of business
  23. 🤮. Wenger used to say that finishing in the top 4 was a trophy so if you accept that logic I think you'll find spurs have 'won' quite a few trophies recently! An early away goal would make things interesting given Leipzig have never been in this position before and might start feeling the nerves. They really should have won the first leg with plenty to spare, so I'm just hoping for another Ajax style miracle. I doubt it's gonna happen though, so can see why you've gone for Leipzig.
  24. spurs are marginal favourites at Burnley which doesn't seem right based on current form. The game against Norwich was diabolical, and Burnley are in good form themselves, though they did let me down last week when I was on them to beat Newcastle. Burnley are well rested, while spurs have well documented injury problems and playing 120 minutes on Wednesday even with a slightly rotated side isn't going to have helped. I don't think the Burnley price is massive value but i'd have them as favourites to win. Aston Villa +1 on the Monday game is my only other fancy. Leicester at around 1.4
  25. Looks quite a tough set of fixtures to me. Palace maybe a touch big at over 4s but I can't really pick them with any confidence as they aren't reliable for goals. Surprised also to see Saints as favourites at West Ham as was thinking of going with them, but can't have them as favourites to win away. I like Burnley at 3s to beat Newcastle, who have been disappointing in recent fixtures, whereas Burnley have been on a good run, including winning their last 2 PL away games at Man U and Southampton. Newcastle don't concede many at home which is a bit of a concern, but they also don't
  • Create New...