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Total Posts -
Posts
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16 hours ago, harry_rag said:
He was a system bet and, as I said yesterday, I back them all regardless, I just thought it was amusing that he popped up as one less than 24 hours after I flagged him as an example of the worst case scenario when following the system.
I never second guess the system and, DCL aside, I can’t really think of any other players who I have an instinctive negative reaction to. Conversely, I’ve missed a few nice winners where I can’t get on at the system price and have swerved the bet at slightly shorter odds on the basis of the stats being poor. As long as the returns hold up (and we’re talking 1000s of bets now) I won’t be faffing with the formula.
I hardly ever bet on results these days. The markets are pretty efficient and I don’t feel as if I have any particular edge. I don’t really look beyond the goalscorer bets unless it’s a quiet day or something leaps out at me. Better to specialise on my strongest area rather than spread myself thinly across results, goals, cards and corners etc. (all furrows I’ve ploughed in the past).
Harry, where do you post your footie system bets? I sometimes come across a £5 skybet football multi bet thing and never really know what to do with it, so your tips might come in handy. I did try and look on here, but couldn't find it. Cheers.
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5 hours ago, tonythepaint said:
Hello Minella (what's your real name by the way)
Hope you've had a wager on Hun An.
Everyone has got an interest going into the weekend.
Good Luck 🍀
The name is Stuart.
Yes, just a small stakes interest mate, he's doing pretty respectably Mr B. Hun An.
Your lad Mitchell going decent as well Tony.
Preferably they can both kick on over the weekend 🤞
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On 5/3/2024 at 3:09 PM, harry_rag said:
Tomorrow's NRL
Crichton 13/8 and Xerri 21/10 (Bulldogs)
Hughes 12/5 (Storm)
Nanai 13/8 (Cowboys)
Hughes another of the "just shy" bets with a significant edge.
7/4 Marzhew the only play tomorrow, in the early game.
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Yeah, I'll do a bit of post match analysis in the week. The spreadsheet could do with a tweak or two so it will be more easy to take out non-runners as they arise.
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32 minutes ago, harry_rag said:
Could've done with that extra place for Ghostwriter but a profit from Haatem placing. The winner definitely not on our collective radar; no one had it better than 9th.
I think the experiment if taken as "the value" bet was correct in selecting Haatem ew at 28/1. but have a scrute and see if you come to any other conclusions based on the result. A consideration for @MCLARKE AW or Turf, is there much of a difference?
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