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2022 World Cup Outright Predictions


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The 2022 World Cup group stage has been drawn. Three spots remain left to be determined but we will update this post when those play-off games have been played. Take a look at the groups along with the outright odds above and tell us what predictions you have at this early stage for the tournament.

I'm immediately thinking the bookies are spot on with Brazil as the favourites and England as the second favourites. I think France are always a threat with their current squad but is the same desire there? Spain, Argentina, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, and Portugal are all solid options but not quite at the same level as the front three teams.

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Not given it any thought yet or looked at the draw etc. but my initial reaction is that none of the front-runners scream "back me" at the available prices. 3 teams that look potentially under rated purely at first glance are Denmark, Uruguay and Mexico but I'd have to take a closer look before parting with any money. I'd also say that they'd probably be more viable in a market other than win/each way where you're needing them to reach the final to get a return.

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  • 2 months later...

The final field of 32 was set with Costa Ricas' victory over New Zealand yesterday, I've been working on some subjective ratings and plugged them into my model today - prices available for the first round of matches and the majority of the second in which case they have superseded my match ratings.

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Advised Bet(s) - I like to do a NAP (2pts), NB (1pt), Outsider (0.50pts) and a Long Shot (0.25pts) totaling 3.75pts outlay but I like both my main selections

1.50pts Argentina to win the World Cup @ 9/1

1.50pts Germany to win the World Cup @ 12/1

0.50pts Senegal to win he World Cup @ 80/1

0.25pts Morocco to win the World Cup @ 250/1

 

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I normally judge potential World Cup or European Championship winners using a process of elimination. This looks like being a fairly weak World Cup, as I can’t see any outstanding teams at the moment - we could be in for another 2002.

For me, it will be Germany or Spain who lift the trophy.

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