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About tschurchy

  • Birthday 12/14/1990

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  1. Lumping on Scottie is a smart play. He's been there and done it and in fine form. Having said that, I fancy Cam Smith for this one. He always plays well at Augusta and he's ice cold on the greens.
  2. I would love that Tiger Woods bet to come in. The GOAT said he shouldn't be ruled out so I'll take that action too.
  3. 1 Scottie Scheffler (11.1k) 2 Cameron Smith (9.8k) 3 Corey Conners (7.6k 4 Sahith Theegala (7.5k) 5 Tom Hoge (6.9k) 6 Seamus Power (6.8k)
  4. @savernake72 you can now view the P&L on our new horse racing tips page (halfway down) which will be updated daily going forward
  5. Congratulations to all the prize winners and thank you @MCLARKE for running another successful comp.
  6. I'm going for three home wins today: Brentford vs Leicester Leicester are on a four-game losing streak and Brentford are flying high in 8th having won four of their last 5 home games. The form book is so in Brentford's favour that it's almost written for a Leicester win, but I'm backing Brentford here. Wolves vs Leeds With one win in their last 5 games, Leeds' form is hardly stellar, and their away form is even worse with four losses in their last five away games. Having said that, Wolves are hardly in-form, but Leeds are a mess so I think Wolves will get the win today. Arsenal vs Crystal Palace As an Arsenal fan, I'm hoping that Palace don't get an 'Assistant Manager' bounce. Arsenal are flying the league, but the Europa League game against Sporting Lisbon could be costly with Saliba and Tomiyasu coming off injured. However, Palace are in poor form and can't buy a goal right now and Arsenal are at home so I'm backing the Gunners here. Brentford, Wolves, Arsenal Treble (5.15) at bet365
  7. 1.30 Zenta 2.10 Pied Piper 2.50 Corbetts Cross 3.30 A Plus Tard 4.10 Billaway 4.50 Allegorie De Vassy 5.30 Irish Hill
  8. 1.30 Mighty Potter 2.10 Captain Morgs 2.50 Shishkin 3.30 Blazing Khal 4.10 Midnight River 4.50 Magical Zoe 5.30 Dunboyne
  9. 1.30 Hermes Allen 2.10 The Real Whacker 2.50 Benson 3.30 Energumene 4.10 Delta Work 4.50 Final Orders 5.30 Its For Me
  10. Fortunately - or unfortunately - restrictions are not something I have to negotiate ?
  11. Do we know if Cheltenham will still go ahead? Someone told me the Met Office has forecast 55mph winds ?
  12. 1.30 Facile Vega 2.10 El Fabiolo 2.50 Monbeg Genius 3.30 Constitution Hill 4.10 Honeysuckle 4.50 Tekao 5.30 Gaillard Du Mesnil
  13. I can't remember the last time I saw him near the top of a leaderboard - would be nice if he won though.
  14. After some betting trends reading and it seems approach play is crucial to success at the Players so I'm going for the following: Xander Schauffele (20/1 e/w @ Betfair) Tony Finau (22/1 e/w @ Betfair) Rickie Fowler (35/1 e/w @ Betfair) Rickie Fowler had a week last week and it feels like he's heading back to his best and the Players suits a player like him. 35/1 would do very nicely, but I'm mainly playing for the places if I'm honest. Betfair are offering 12 places, but the natural punters in me wants to go for 10 places and get better odds.
  15. @MinellaWorksop Solid choices - I'd be fuming if that didn't come in ?. There's a 3/1 double that I really like this week. Patriots @ Bills (O43.5) Cardinals @ 49ers (O39.5) Over recent weeks I've been using a system - with moderate success - to find under-priced totals by looking at three variables: Points-per-game (season) Average-points-per-game (home/away) Points-per-game (Last 3 games) As a Bills fan, I fully expect the AFC East matchup to go Buffalo's way. But, if you look at the scoring figures the Bills average 28 points-per-game rising to 31 points-per-game at home, meanwhile the Pats average 21 points-per-game rising to 23 points-per-game on the road. If you also look at both teams form in their last 3 games, the Bills have average 29 points-per-game and the Pats have average 21 which indicates consistent scoring from both teams and suggest the total is well under-priced at 43 points. Moving onto the Cardinals at 49ers game and you see a similar pattern. The 49ers average 25 points-per-game rising slightly to 26 points at home whereas the Cardinals average 20 points-per-game and the same amount when they're on the road. If you look at their recent form, then the 49ers' points-per-game rises to 31 while the Cards dips a bit to 16. However, it's still enough to suggest the two teams can beat the total line at 39.5 points. Double 3.64 Bet365 ps. I'd be interested if anyone has feedback on this approach. I doubt it'll work in the post-season though.
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