Sir Puntalot Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_Ghost_ Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Week 2 remaining matches tissue... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_Ghost_ Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Outright projections... *I'm going to assume that all teams without an outright quote would win the league at least once if I ran more than 5000 sims... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liongjoycewang Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 hi I am back Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 New here - cannot find the Forum Rules anywhere so may need some guidance. I have created ratings for the China Super League (just for fun !) on an excel spreadsheet that then creates odds predictions for matches. If the bookmakers are offering better odds than these then a value bet can be suggested. Are these predictions something I can post here as its a bit lonely just preparing them for myself? I presume a link to download my spreadsheet is a no no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 Early kick off tomorrow so early prediction - more tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted June 20, 2019 Share Posted June 20, 2019 So just three predictions for this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Today's game was an exciting 4 goal affair but its only the result that counts - either a winner or as in this case a loser. Overall a good (lucky) start for the predictions on this Forum. Don't get carried away though as the losing streak is always just round the corner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 Could be the beginning of my losing streak but here is what the spreadsheet says for this weekend - three home wins hopefully. Off to Eastbourne to watch the tennis today - looks like a sunny day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted June 30, 2019 Share Posted June 30, 2019 Details on how these selections are made is described in the 'Betting Strategies and Systems' forum while the stake is the % probability of the outcome occurring as per the system spreadsheet. More predictions next Friday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 2, 2019 Share Posted July 2, 2019 At the start of the Season I gave Beijing Guoan a 100pt rating increase due to their team strengthening and this proved correct with Bejing Guoan currently sitting top of the league. I read today that Rafael Benitez is joining Dalian Yifang as manager but I intend to let the system amend their rating according to results. The tempation is to add 50pts as Dalian Yifang must have aspirations beyond their current mid-table position however this may take time. Lets see what happens. Current team ratings after 15 games compared with last season's closing rating and this season's start are; Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 Unsurprisingly given my decision not to adjust the rating for Dalian Yifang following the arrival of Benitez my system recommends a gamble on their opponents this weekend. The other prediction is also a longshot so do not be surprised if we see a blank this weekend. The stake represents the systems expected percentage true odds so at 32 % and 28% they are unlikely to be successful but if they are the rewards are worthwhile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 7, 2019 Share Posted July 7, 2019 So the new manager bounce may be occuring and the system will adjust accordingly for this though in retrospect a small nudge in the right direction would have helped. Some early games this coming week so watch out for some equally early predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 Just one prediction for this week and another longshot I am afraid so expect the worst.Regarding Dalian Yifang the system has agreed with the market and the odds on offer are within 2% of the expected result so no value bet available. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 12, 2019 Share Posted July 12, 2019 Well that was a turn-up for my trousers a 3-2 win. I took odds of 43/10 fairly early on and watched as the odds steadily dropped over the past few days. However 5/2 was still on offer just before kick off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 14, 2019 Share Posted July 14, 2019 I may live to regret not adding that bonus to Dalian Yifang following the appointment of Benitez as manager as once again the system is predicting them to lose in the midweek game. Maybe they will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Fortunately the Benitez bounce has ended with a bump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Just the single selection for this coming weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 I always say if you are going to get it wrong do it in a big way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 24, 2019 Share Posted July 24, 2019 No Selections for this weekend. On holiday now but will try to post selections for the weekend 2-4 August from sunny Torquay if I get time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 (edited) Two rather unlikely selections for this weekend. I should probably double check these but as I am drinking beer by the pool not sure I will bother so here goes and if they come in it will help pay for the holiday. Edited August 1, 2019 by OddsPredictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 As suspected Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Two rather more sane selections for this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted August 12, 2019 Share Posted August 12, 2019 Five losses on the trot is a bit concerning so lets hope we have a good midweek with these selections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted August 15, 2019 Share Posted August 15, 2019 Just keeping our noses in front Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 We have a summer and international break now in the China Super League. See you all back again for the final seven rounds on 13th Sep 2019. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 The Superleague returns this weekend after the Summer break but the system can find no value in the odds offered on this weekend's matches. Keep your money in your wallet and we will be back next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted September 19, 2019 Share Posted September 19, 2019 Unusually I have nothing to recommend for the second week running though if you do wish to have a flutter on the Superleague the nearest I can com to a selection is the draw in the Friday night match Chongqiang Lifan vs Jiangsu Suning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 And now we have another break in Super League matches until the 18th October apart from one match on the 13th. In the meantime check out the selections from other leagues on the OddsPredictor web site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted October 15, 2019 Share Posted October 15, 2019 Just the one selection this week as the season moves towards its endgame. But a good price one if it wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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