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Xtc12 last won the day on November 28 2018

Xtc12 had the most liked content!


About Xtc12

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 12/21/64

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  1. Short Priced Favs

    @MCLARKE Yes you maybe right about staking plans but you are not guaranteed a profit on level stakes either. Yes with a staking plan you would possibly lose your profit quicker. Read a good piece on RFO recently from Richard Birch a professional punter. Since the 1st january 2019 he has laid out approximately £80,000 for a return of £80,030. I know people will say that he mustn't be a good punter, but unfortunately we are all not in the JP McManus league but we will all carry on to make our dream. Will try and get the level stakes for you asap. Thanks for the input.
  2. Conflict Cup

    Grey Atlantic Way 16.15 Exeter 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog) Irish raider who is still a maiden but best effort yet on return from a break when third at Wincanton 11 days ago, finishing a long way clear with 2 unexposed ones. Has to be taken seriously. Milan Native 15.30 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) Promising sort. 1 win from 3 runs this season. 3½ lengths third of 6 to Chosen Mate in Gr 2 hurdle (6/1) at Naas (16f, good) 22 days ago. Significantly up in trip. One to keep on right side.
  3. Conflict Cup

    Started this two years ago today for a little bit of fun after the battle between GB and Ireland at Cheltenham. Little did I realise that I would still be in profit 2 years later. Overall : Well looking at the results GB are starting to pull away on all counts. GB having the most wins and a higher strike rate. Should I be happy with a 2.54% R on I from 1111 bets. ?? Year 2 Strike rates not bad in both UK and Ire, but Ireland hammered me in Year 2. If you are following the doubles we are still ahead. even after a poor year 2. Most consecutive winners overall: GB 6 from 2nd April 2018 and 8th May 2019 - Ire 4 on five occasions - Daily Doubles 3 on 2 occasions Most consecutive losers overall : GB 11 from 15th August 2018 - Ire 11 from 5th October 2019 - Daily Doubles 27 from 19th Sept. 2018 Highest Price Winner Overall : GB 4\1 Dotted Swiss 3rd April 2018 - Ire 1 @ 9\1 Smokey Joe Joe 6th January 2018 - Daily Doubles 2 @ 15.78 6th & 7th April 2017. Lets hope for a better Year 3
  4. Naps - Monday Mar 18th

    14.55 Navan - Serious Ego - 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 WHill
  5. Conflict Cup

    2nd - mid-division, took closer order before 4 out, effort 2 out, stayed on into 2nd after last, kept on well 1st @ 5\2 - mid-division early, 6th at 4th, soon improved, slight mistake 7th, pushed along approaching straight, on terms from before last, gained narrow lead near side and stayed on well run-in Well thats the end of year 2, will come back with the review.
  6. Conflict Cup

    3rd - held up in touch in last, raced a bit keenly, effort 3f out, 3rd over 2f out, no impression over 1f out, one pace 2nd - led and disputed, headed 4th and chased leader, pushed along before 3 out where left in lead, joined and pushed along 2 out, ridden before last where narrowly headed, no extra run-in and kept on same pace Wazowski 16.25 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog) Good claims on the pick of his efforts from earlier in the season having walked over at Sedgefield a fortnight ago after a wind operation. Christopher Robin 13.45 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) Fairly useful Flat winner. Thrice-raced maiden over hurdles. 7/2, thirteenth of 20 in juvenile hurdle at Navan (16f, soft) 15 days ago. Big player judged on effort at Gowran on penultimate start.
  7. Naps Sunday March 17th

    15.40 Limerick - Wee Small Hours - 1 Pt Win @ 7\1 WHill
  8. Short Priced Favs

    The logic behind the staking plan is, increase your stake by a point at a loss and decrease your stake with a win. The amount you decrease your stake depends on the price of the winner. You continue to do this until you make a profit and then start again. There are another few rules thrown in but the above is the basis of the plan. This year on the 17th December we were in profit of 20.39. It took 63 more bets before we were able to increase our profit above this which is the reason for the high stakes from the end of December till the 2nd March when Oleg won with Harry Cobden up to increase our profit to 34.12. Think I checked this on Level stakes before and dont think it makes a profit. Will check when I get a chance.
  9. Conflict Cup

    The Cob 17.50 Uttoxeter 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) 12/1, showed plenty of ability when second on Ffos Las debut (heavy) in January. Similar conditions again and taken to go one better. Mala Beach 16.50 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) Smart chaser. C&D winner. Well-beaten eighth of 11 to Presenting Percy in John Mulhern Galmoy Hurdle (28/1) at Gowran (24f, soft) 51 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase.
  10. Naps Saturday March 16th

    15.35 Uttoxeter - Folsom Blue - 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Bet365
  11. From Top to Bottom

    Top Mansfield v Lincoln X 4 Pts Win @ 3.5 Bottom Yeovil v Macclesfield 2 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 Bundesliga Frankfurt v Nurnburg 2 9 Pts Win @ 8.0
  12. Short Priced Favs

    2nd - led, 4 lengths clear 3 out, ridden and headed approaching last, stayed on Well unfortunately couldn't finish with a winner, so after 99 bets we stand as follows : A few facts on 18\19: 59 Winners led to the lowest strike rate of 59.6% (2.3% lower than 12\13) This years profit is the 3rd lowest and the 4th lowest P on I. The 5 losers between 8th Mar, and 12th Mar was the equal highest number of consecutive losers with 2016\17. The most consecutive winners over the time was 7 (3rd lowest) brought to an end by Southfield Stone (Lorcan Williams) on 4th February.. The biggest odds winner @ 3.0 was Le Precieux (J.Moore) 3rd Jan and Song Saa (Mr N George) 5th March. The lowest odds winner @ 1.06 was Louis Vac Pouch (J.McGrath) 26th Feb and Poppy Kay (A.Coleman) 1st March. 49 different jockeys, three with the most rides Barry Geraghty 10, 6 winners 60%, N De Boinville 7,6 winners 86%, Harry Cobden and G.Sheehan 5, 3 winners 60% and Aidan Coleman 5,2 winners 40%. Of the jockeys who had 2 or more rides D.Russell (3 rides), J.Bowen (3 rides), Jack Kennedy (2 rides), Mr D.Maxwell (2 rides) all had a 100% record. Average Stake : 9.73 Pts Think thats it for another 8 months. Thanks to everyone who looked in since November.
  13. Conflict Cup

    1st @ 13\8 - tracked leaders, tracked leader 4 out, led next, ridden and all out 7th -
  14. Division 1 - Week 2 Selections

    Luton @ 1.36 Sunderland @ 1.57 Bury @ 1.61 £10 Treble please
  15. Cheltenham Tipster Comp - Day 4 Selections

    130 CH: Quel Destin 210 CH: Eclair De Beaufeu 250 CH: Dinons 330 CH: Kemboy 410 CH: Road to Rome 450 CH: Whatswrongwithyou 530 CH: Getareason