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405 red Rum going on 8.2 5.5 4pt win Bearcodi 7.9 6/1 4 pt win Stripzee 7.5 19.0 And 6x 0.5 forecasts

Double. 2.55. Ling. Lakota Sioux. 5/2..... 1st 4.05.Ayr. Loudo's Landing 9/4... 2nd singles & double. Good luck all.

Incredible. Scheffler never got going. Riley crumbled on the back nine. And young Burnsy swoops in with the playoff victory. Well done to @Xtc12 who had the perfect playoff scenario of Burns vs Scheffler for the win. Superb tipping. No two ball ties came in on this event, though it was close going between Ramey-Bezuidenhout who were level with three holes left to play though then went in completely different directions. Memorial Tournament up next on the PGA Tour.

Qinwen Zheng (+7.5) to beat Iga Swiatek at 1.70 with Pinnacle Obviously I don't expect to see an upset here, but this is getting ridiculous given that this is a Grand Slam, that Zheng beat a (limited) Halep, and that Swiatek didn't have the best of days against Kovinic. Zheng can play attacking tennis and produce some neat serves, she's the new generation of Chinese players and has absolutely nothing to lose here.

Tsitsipas had the air as he trudged off of a player that knew he was nowhere near the level required to compete at this tournament. Rune played very well regardless of what Tsitsipas was doing, but I'll be surprised if he goes much further and certainly his talk about winning the tournament is premature to say the least.

Trixie Today 2.10 Cart Idilico 11/4 @Budgie's Nap 2.45 Cart On We Go 5/2 3.25 Lin Essme 3/1 (PL Nap) 1 x 4 pt win Trixie = poss return of 94.62 Singles 2.45 Cart Calliope 1 pt win at 5.5 & Benito 0.5 pt win at 7/1 3.25 Lin Dark Esteem 1 pt win at 7.8 (um 7.6) Have more but details given now because of 2.10 Race at Cartmel ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Idilico failed to fire 3.25 Lin Essme 3 pts win at 4.3 (my PL Nap). All the money for the Will Buick horse. It has to do better than last time so I'll oppose it) 4.05 Red @richard-westwood's rated race. Not so sure that forecasts and tricasts are a good idea but hope I'm wrong. Rum Going On 1 pt win at 7.6; Bearcardi 1 pt win at 11.5 (drifting) Stripzee 0.5 win at 16/1 & 1 pt 4TBP at 4.2. Its difficult fro me to make a profit with low points staked today on this race Total stakes so far = 13 points Poss come back later, meanwhile good luck to all punting today

I wouldn't say its the "days" that are the relevant factor , more likely to be the class of racing(lower class jocks/trainers/horses) running on these days because they cant get in the decent races @ the weekend . Lower Class greater variance That is what I stated @ the beginning of this thread . Atm Im using xgboost as the algorithm on default settings,it works using decision trees on the past data you've trained it with, then it compares that with the present data (daily races) and makes its decision then puts it into pandas (Not the black and white cute ones ? , but an excel like data frame ) this then sorts it into most likely winner by race and that is what I put up, the algorithm doesn't know or care whether its Sunday or Friday as long as you keep putting in new races it keeps giving out its assessment, in fact its worst day was 21/05/22 (Sat -12) and its best day was 22/05/22 (Sun 7.5) Some quite high price selections today which seem a bit strange but hey ho lets see how they go. 30/05/2022 08:56:10 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.15 Lingfield Cu Chulainn 9-10 6.31 7.50 1 17.15 Redcar So Grateful 10-11 6.35 4.50 2 18.00 Ayr Red Force One 9-6 2.46 3.00 3 18.10 Windsor Winnetka 8-11 3.61 17.00 4 18.30 Ayr Cathayensis 10-2 24.50 2.25 5 18.40 Windsor Just That Lord 8-9 4.59 10.00 6 19.10 Windsor Prejudice 8-11 4.46 11.00

Burns very much had timing to thank for that. It was a mad last couple of hours with the winds. Not a birdie in site. All the more annoying that Riley let it slip from -11 to -7. Glad to see Cam Smith sneak into the placings at a big price, too.

Smith 12/1 winner of the event. Danny Noppert makes the final for a 11/1 winner (placing 22/1)

Newbury. Single. 1.35. Baltic Voyage. 10/1........ unpl Double. 3.40. Cygneture. 17/2.... unpl 3.10. Caramelised. 11/2. unpl singles & double Good luck all.

I think that's a huge plus.....so royal patronage is waaaay overpriced on the whole ....I can see him finishing top 5 so ew to 5th or 6th would be a good bet in my opinion

For me, Alcaraz or Djokovic. One of the two will lift the trophy, and i think Djokovic looks as monster of tennis intelligence against everybody. From the bottom half nobody is even near to challenge either Alcaraz and of course Djokovic Rune is good, but i am not crazy of what i have seen from him today. He has potential yes, we are talking for now. So now Rune no chance to beat either of the two. Tsitsipas was playing as having only forehand. Not a big issue for me to beat Tsitsipas these days...

Dirchill @ 51 Redcar 17:15 - 365

I've backed at small stakes Charlie Appleby's NAHANNI each way at 25/1 due to the simple fact along with Royal Patronage the only two who've won at the track , NAHANNI has won here over 10f but has also won over 12f at Leicester , hasn't a chance on ratings but this course can upset the best of horses .

I've just this second finished the oaks ? With the moonlight 9.2 8/1 Emily upjohn 9.0 Nashwa 8.5 Thoughts of June 8.1 Emily upjohn is most progressive and likely winner but For me the value lies with... with the moonlight ....I'm happy to just back that one ew and I'd be disappointed if she doesn't place and show,a profit

With the maiden hurdle dividing 3 times we have 6 jumps races at Hamilton on Tuesday morning. Here are my thoughts on those races. Race 1 I Arize is favourite on his hurdles debut which is based on the fact he is the best flat horse of these. He might prove good enough, but he's not even trialled since April 8th and his last two jumps trials were both over fences. I'm happy enough to take him on. Olmeto jumped well on his last hurdles trial and he ran well on the flat last week when 3rd at Mornington so he might prove to be the best of the hurdling newcomers. I'm going to go with one of those who has already been over hurdles in the shape of Hakuna Matata. I thought she ran very well at Casterton and she made a terrible blunder at 2 out which didn't help her cause. Onset came into the race with the best form so she was beaten by the right horse and the drop down in trip will help her as well. I think she can go one place better here. Hakuna Matata 1pt @ 16/5 with Paddy Power and Betfair Race 2 This looks a bit of a match to me between Mighty Oasis and Tolemac. I thought Mighty Oasis ran really well at Warrnambool as he was a close 2nd to Count Zero who has won since. They pulled well clear of the rest so the form looks strong. Tolemac was also 2nd at Warrnambool to Rider In The Snow and then was just denied by Hey Happy at Casterton last time. Again the front two pulled well clear. I think the drop down in trip will help him. I'm just going to side with Mighty Oasis. For a start he's a bigger price, but his Warrnambool race was won in a quicker time and had a faster last 600m sectional. Given the winner has gone in since I think he has the stronger form. Mighty Oasis 1pt @ 11/4 with Coral and Ladbrokes Race 3 I thought Killourney was disappointing at Warrnambool especially as he was backed into 1/2 to win and he could only finish a 10L 4th. His flat form is bar far the best in this and he could go and win, but he's odds on again and I can't say that appeals. I thought there was a bit of promise in Dubawi Prince's 3rd on hurdles debut at Casterton a couple of weeks ago which was behind Onset and Hakuna Matata so the form could get a boost in the first race. I think he's a fair price to possibly overturn the favourite. Hopefully Joshua Reynolds wont win having backed him all 4 starts this prep, but he just seems to have gone backwards from the course and distance 2nd in April. Dubawi Prince 1pt @ 4/1 with William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair, Ladbrokes and Coral Race 4 There is plenty of rain in the forecast and because of that I am going to side with Roland Garros. I thought Casterton was going to ride softer a couple of weeks ago, but it didn't and he was a big disappointment. It also didn't help that he didn't plenty of work in the early stages so he had little left late on. If we get a heavy track then I think he wins and at this stage that looks likely so I will put him up again. Hey Happy is favourite and he ran OK on the 7 day back up last week, but it is only 9 days since that Sandown 4th. He has a chance but looks short enough. Big Blue ran no short of race on his come back at Warrnambool and I want to see more from him before thinking of backing him, but he certainly has the back class to win this. El Diez and Onset wouldn't be without claims either. Roland Garros 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365, Betfred, Coral and Ladbrokes Race 5 This isn't a race I like very much unless the emergancy gets a run. Zedstar is favourite and he does deserve to get his head in front considering only once in 9 hurdle starts has he finished out of the frame, but he has yet to win one. He was 3rd in the Australian Hurdle last time which was a top effort and there is every chance he could finally win in his first steeplechase start. I just don't want to take a short price about him though and he will be even shorter if the emergency doesn't get a run. A few of the others have bits and pieces of form which would give them some sort of chance, but nothing that makes me want to back them. Yulong Prince has run well enough in his last two hurdles and trialled well over fences recently so if he won it wouldn't surprise. I will be backing Under The Bridge though if he gets a run. He was running very well in the BM120 Chase at Warrnambool until falling at the 2nd last. A repeat of the effort, until the fall, might well be good enough to win this. He ran well enough back on the flat 12 days ago as well. So hopefully he gets a run otherwise it will be a no bet race. Under The Bridge 1pt @ 7/4 with Betfred, Coral and Ladbrokes Race 6 Like the other steeplechase race on the card this looks trappy as well. This is a class drop for Magnanimous Man, but he was still poor in the Brierley. He could still be good enough on his New Zealand form though. Hierarchal, Coleridge and Flying Pierro don't make much appeal. I'm going to back both Historic and Cheners as I think one of the two will win. Historic tried to keep with Elvison at Casterton, but not surprisingly couldn't late on. He won 3 times last season and he looks like getting an easy lead if he wants it. Cheners won here over hurdles last month and it was a good 1st chase start in the BM120 at Warrnambool. He finished 3rd and was closer to Elvison that day than Historic was at Casterton although it was a shorter trip. I'd probably just favour Historic, but will be backing both. Historic 1pt @ 5/2 with William Hill Cheners 1pt @ 17/5 with Bet365

A bit disappointing with Riley he was 2/1 at one stage when taking the lead, well done to @Xtc12 getting the top 2, very impressive.

its all automated The hardest part is getting all the data together and getting it mistake free after that the learning algorithm part is quite easy . learn the basics on Kaggle for xg boost or gradient boosting (they give you the data bases to try and step you through the learning process ) test it out with there parameters when its working ok , put your data in instead of theirs an play around thats all I did . You used to be able to get daily racecards in excel format from HERE (I think you need to log in but still free I think) then manipulate them how you want with a bit of VBA then save as a .csv (uses less space than an excel file I think) Thats half the job done

Profit of 29.5 x stake on Knox to recoup nearly half of the loss. Letting it run proved the best call. Well done to the winners.

I'm backing a few more outrights, all on the exchanges. On the Men's side I think Djokovic's price is skinny so I'm putting some more on Alcaraz, Tsitsipas and Rublev. For the Women, it's hard now to look past Swiatek so I'm putting some more on her. If she doesn't win though I've already backed a few others and I'm adding Gauff to those I've backed and also topping up on Fernandez. 20pts Alcaraz to win ATP French Open @ 4.04 15pts Tsitsipas to win ATP French Open @ 8.84 2pts Rublev to win ATP French Open @ 73.52 ------------------------------------------------------- 45pts Swiatek to win WTA French Open @ 1.46 10pts Gauff to win WTA French Open @ 14.72 10pts Fernandez to win WTA French Open @ 14.72

Hi Alex Firstly I do this for a hobby, its not my program (its just my data input) Its a machine learning program in python that anyone can use, all I do is provide the data for it to read then it does its thing. For the database input I use impact values for Horse (win Ratio) Horse (A/E) Jockey (win Ratio) Jockey (A/E) Trainer (win Ratio) Trainer (A/E) Age Course Distance Class Runners

Well. Thankfully Burns came through, would have been pretty annoying losing 2 playoffs in 1 day. Na placed but only tiny profit on him as shared place with quite a few. Unfortunately Reed hit a poor last round and lost out.

RESULTS UPDATE Just two winners today and they were the singles bets. Luckily I lumped on Limelighter (which had the blessing of @richard-westwood). Very interesting that none of my multiple bets were ever in any danger of winning. It looks like the market was right about them so I'll be mindful of that in future. Only Rich Belief seemed to defy market signals for me. Anyway 6.46 profit on the day and my Nap bet won so I can't complain. MTD +77.42 and YTD = -151.85

I'm not happy to say so, but I think they do reflect the current state of affairs.

all bsp win only 420 yarmouth dawn view 300 leicester croeso cymru 400 leicester cashew 430 leicester at liberty 220 brighton nigg bay 250 brighton storm asset

Most winners @Budgie 65's valiant attempt to catch @Alastairfinally comes to an end. Excellent performance from @Alastairwho completes the most winners / ko cup double.

So sad to hear of the passing of Lester. I was born in 1957 and consider him to be the greatest British based jockey of my era.

Belmont 1012 - Therapist @ 14/1 e-w Betfair - Santa Anita 1047 - Stilleto Boy @ 11/8 Betfair 1118 - Count Again @ 7/2 Bet365 200 - Eddies New Dream @ 16/1 e-w Betfair - Lone Star 1230 - Park Avenue @ 11/10 Bet365 101 - Strike Hard @ 6/1 e-w Bet365 135 - Mish @ 11/4 Bet365 / Rated R Superstar @ 9/1 e-w Bet365

Couple of winners put me in profit, redcar 405 was a bummer, 2nd and nowhere (grey wolf). Also annoyed never took on tilsitt and boudica bay, but wasnt willing to put on any more.

Might have been better for the handicap if she hadn't...

I thought my luck was in when Essme was backed into 7/4 favourite. Made no difference, Will Buick trounced it. A couple for later on 8.05 Ayr Yasser 4 points win at 10/3 and 2 pts win on Liangel Hope at 3.6 8.15 Win Eklil 2 pts win at 5.3 and Mount Kosciuszko 2 pts win at 9/2 Total stakes today = 23 points

Zheng has taken the 1st set from Swiatek!?

For info purposes i have Desert crown in 4th on 123 so i can't crab that one.

Going to stick my neck out and crab Emily Upjohn, Not sure if it stays (possibly will), no speed figure of any note, not beat much and is one of the worst prices value wise i have seen this season. Given that is accurate, we have agreement on the forecast ?

@harry_ragI'll read it again later because I didn't fully understand what you wanted to tell me. I do the Roi for sport, and the Roi for horses. Two different ROI It is obvious that with few bets, the ROI is not very representative

You are probably right although my analysis doesn't include details of the class of the race. I may look at including this in the future.

Rune looks very good. Tsitsipas backhand is terrible. Lets see. I think Rune has great chance to win this match. But to defend the +6.5 games handicap is enough.

1640! Red esticky end 1840 win newyorkstateofmind 1910 ayr miramichi 2005!ayr yasser Looking at redcar 1605, maybe bet more than 1 going by odds and chance of a free bet also for some, looking at the grey wolf, bearcardi and rum going on.

I must have been born lucky, thought I'd had a poor day... and don't bet on Sundays (take a day off). DQ means Chasamax wins at 3/1 (Unfortunately never did Nicky Hendersons other runner which won at 22/1 !!!). Roudemental a NR so level on here (Nice day for me as Chasamax was a max bet for me).

I have him taking a set against tsitsipas, but seeing how random clay matches are he'll somehow get straight setted by the greek. He 100% has the game to trouble tsitsipas , but we ll see , he s still young and unexperienced but seems to have a solid mentality

Just looked at the 6.30 Ayr where it has Cathayensis as Ex_Odds of 24.50 Ran that race again and same returns Seems the upload for that race must be corrupt somewhere as it has all the runners @ Ex_Odds of 24.50 and selected Cathayensis simply because its the 1st horse (no1) I'll leave it as previously posted as I cant see 1 runner making much difference win or lose.

Fox did so well in his final round, til double bogeying the 18th. Do feel for you mate. Like you rightly say though, fair play to Perez in handling the pressure. Happy to report Broberg vs Korhonen finished a tie so a nice return there and is something that I'm definitely going to focus more on for the golf. As I will be the first to hold my hands up and admit my ante post tournament bets have been naff to say the least and that's being kind lol.

Boardman winning at Chester secures the title for @Alastair. Congratulations and well done to the runner up @bymatrix.

Very sad news - RIP to an absolute legend.

Sad news.

Does anyone on the ATP tour has a serve, worse than Schwartzman's? (Ymer's doesn't count)

St Johnstone v Inverness: Buy hotshots at 25 with SPIN (25 points per goal by Hendry, Middleton, McKay or Samuels). Basically 0 goals is a loss, 1 a push and 2 or more (the merrier) a profit. Hendry the rightful favourite in the goalscorere markets. Not played this market much in football for a while and would have been a seller more often than a buyer of late but I just feel, at the price, there's a touch of value on offer here. That's the trouble with this stage of the season, I have too much time on my hands to find bets that would usually pass me by!

I use the same as everyone else does ,horse, jockey,trainer , runners , course etc etc . a bot just reads the output data for the race & puts the bet on without me having to do anything its the algorithm that sorts the data from the database that does the work. What Im trying to do atm is build an algorithm to price up Hcp races and select a horse that fits the bill within a reasonable tolerence +/-, but its hard due to the nature of Hcp races thats why Ive stayed away from them. but im bored so thought Id have another crack at it , keeps me busy. The problem is in handicaps most are inconsistent lower grade garbage , where some are 'not really trying' to get the hcp mark down, ,most runners are usually ridden by lower class jocks, apprentices or Luke Morris ? etc. They aim them for gambles rather than racing to form due to crap prize money, Where as top grade races (nonHcp) are running for prestige not to make a few quid .