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CzechPunter last won the day on May 2 2021

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  1. Sorana Cirstea to beat Sloane Stephens at 1.70 with Pinnacle Cirstea was quite shaky against Maria, but she should get her act together and Stephens would've been out were it not for Niemeier's injury. She can be soooo bad at times these days that I simply can't trust her against a proven opponent that has enough power to stay with her in rallies. Angelique Kerber (-1.5 sets) to beat Elsa Jacquemot at 1.83 with Unibet Yes, the dreaded set handicap again for me, as I think that Jacquemot will get thoroughly out-classed here. She was pretty average against Watson, who missed a million chances, while Kerber is going through some sort of a renaissance in recent weeks, having won a title going into this and producing a stunning fightback in round one.
  2. Yeah, Wawrinka will probably run out of gas. Having a nightmare myself, still disgusted by Karatsev's loss yesterday!
  3. Please let's stop it here and I'm looking forward to some picks!
  4. @delfino I agree that he should find a new coach, but firing one's father isn't as easy as it sounds most of the time (unless he's happy for someone else to take over).
  5. Well, what can I tell you? Those all look like matches in which the favorites should win, but I'm not great at picking those short odds, perhaps @neilovan has more data on that.
  6. @StanimalShould happen, of course, but Zverev can lose focus for a set as always.
  7. Alright, it's the French Open time! Who Will Go Further - Novak Djokovic to beat Carlos Alcaraz at 1.90 with Bet365 Despite Alcaraz being such a great force recently, I think that Djokovic is the stronger player in the Bo5 format still and that he has an edge going into this tournament. His Rome performance was much better than in Madrid and I think that he's peaking for the occasion, while Alcaraz is bound to receive a setback at some point, it just happens that way more often than not. At 1.90, this looks worth a shot to me. Ons Jabeur to win the 3rd quarter at 3.50 with Bet365 Jil Teichmann to win the 4th quarter at 8.00 with Bet365 Two in-form players and the withdrawal from Teichmann in Rome looked more like a precaution to me. Two wilder punts, of course, but I like the odds. Aslan Karatsev to beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 1.75 with BetVictor It's form against class here, and I'll go with class. Karatsev has to start caring finally and, honestly, many of the matches he's lost on clay so far were reasonably tight and against tougher opposition than Carabelli. With so much on the line, I think there's every chance he'll raise his level and show his class again. Wouldn't back below 1.57. Donna Vekic to beat Mirjam Bjorklund at 1.57 with Pinnacle While I'm not ecstatic to back Vekic, I think this is a good price for her to continue her resurgence against Bjorklund, who'll be making a GS debut and who should find this more challenging than Buzarnescu, who Bjorklund beat to qualify in a pretty wild match that could've gone either way despite the scoreline. Stanislas Warinka to beat Corentin Moutet at 1.70 with Pinnacle Wawrinka was struggling and, to be fair, we still don't know if he can last 5 sets. Moutet has been pretty awful recently, though, and he can be all over the place when things stop going his way. I've seen some of Moutet's recent matches and the odds just seem to be too favorable for him to my liking. Nuria Parrizas-Diaz (-1.5 sets) to beat Leolia Jeanjean at 1.67 with Pinnacle This looks like one of the bigger WTA mismatches in the first round, Jeanjean has no results at all at this level and there's every chance that she'll just error herself out. NPD has made a lot of progress recently and has plenty of experience with these match-ups. Christian Garin to beat Tommy Paul at 1.80 with Unibet Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Maxime Cressy at 1.42 with Pinnacle David Goffin (-1.5 sets) to beat Jiri Lehecka at 1.78 with Unibet Not much to be said for these one honestly, I think that the odds are just about worth it, but wouldn't go much below, particularly on Garin. Lehecka was awful last time out and Goffin has already beaten him in this season, while Cressy just shouldn't do this unless Basilashvili breaks mentally.
  8. Well, the most striking element is that we now have the ATP and the WTA odds turned around from what we had in so many previous years that I've already lost the count. We always had one big ATP favourite heading into Grand Slams and plenty of long shots, while the WTA was a right mess, only perhaps when Barty was in and in form (after Williams times). Now, the ATP is quite open, while the WTA has one big favorite in Swiatek. Hilarious.
  9. It starts tomorrow @neilovan, they are probably waiting for the order of play to adjust!
  10. Mihaela Buzarnescu to beat Mirjam Bjorklund at 1.93 with Unibet Going for the experience angle in this one, otherwise this does look pretty 50/50 to me. Bjorklund hasn't actually made it to any GS main draws just yet and that sort of thing can get to you, even if you have been playing well up to that point. She's never convinced me with her quality, either, so I was looking for Buzarnescu at around 1.70.
  11. Well, I think the after-match discussion adds a lot, even for myself, so I'm more than happy that it exists and I'm very grateful to everyone! Your post comes across as perhaps a bit offensive, so please tone it down, thank you!
  12. Marino does the trick and it wasn't even as nervy as Mladenovic yesterday! 6-1 6-2!
  13. Rebecca Marino to beat Katerina Zavatska at 1.75 with BetVictor Quite fancy Marino in this one, there were plenty of successful bigger hitters in R1 and Marino can do a lot of damage with her serve alone, even on clay. She's typically playing on the main level, unlike Zavatska, and I don't think the clay court factor plays a major role, especially given that Zavatska hasn't had any major wins lately. Marino has also already beaten her this year, 6-3 6-2 in Miami. Unless Zavatska recreates some of that BJK Cup magic against Rogers, she'll be in for a tough ride.
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