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CzechPunter last won the day on May 2 2021

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  1. Alexander Shevchenko to beat Hamad Medjedovic at 2.20 with Bet365 Shevchenko is the more talented player of the two for me, and he's improved massively since the two previous encounters he had against Medjedovic. He basically crushed Van De Zandschulp in the previous round, and I have no idea why he's the underdog in this one. Honestly, I'd have the odds the other way around!
  2. Zvonareva won exactly how I imagined it lol! Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to beat Linda Noskova at 2.10 with Bet365 I'm not convinced that Noskova deserves to be the favourite in this match. Pavlyuchenkova had a lot of success in Tokyo historically, and she was flying against Vekic in the first round. If she produces the same performance here, she should be in with more than just a shout, and the fact that she's the favorite should actually weigh Noskova down if her past result are anything to go by.
  3. Vera Zvonareva to beat Clara Tauson at 3.20 with Unibet Taking this with a one set bookie, since I don't trust Tauson's fitness at all. Zvonareva should test here much more than Avanesyan after beating Boulter, and Tauson can just start tiring out at any point if her recent performances are anything to go by. I wouldn't have Vera above 2.50 here.
  4. Misaki Doi (+5.5) to beat Petra Martic at 1.83 with Bet365 I don't exactly expect Doi to have enough to defeat Martic, but she's already played in the conditions and she will have some support at least, while Martic has no match practice since the US Open. Their previous meetings are rather old, but Doi covered this line in both losses, so at least they don't speak against this bet.
  5. Magda Linette to beat Yulia Putintseva at 1.91 with Bet365 I didn't see Linette's match against Masarova, but she was seriously good against Saville, and she also outlasted Burrage after dropping her first set in the event against her. Putintseva has had a much easier route here, beating the incredibly struggling Tauson and then the not-so-great-anymore Maria. Linette likes the courts, and she can hit Putintseva off the court in ways that Maria can't. I would have her at 1.70 here at most.
  6. Emiliana Arango (+1.5 sets) to beat Maria Sakkari at 2.60 with Unibet Arango is playing the tournament of her life in Guadalajara, and the fact that she managed that comeback against Townsend should allow her to play without fear against Sakkari. She's not as good, no doubt, but Sakkari has been very shaky under pressure almost all season long, and I don't think it's unrealistic for her to lose a set here, not at all.
  7. Greetje Minnen to beat Harriet Dart at 1.50 with Bet365 I backed Dart against Niemeier in the previous round and I was happy with the outcome, but I wasn't particularly happy with how Dart played. She was very lacklustre, with plenty of double faults, while Minnen looked much better against Parry.
  8. Daria Saville (-3.5) to beat Anna-Lena Friedsam at 1.81 with Unibet Rebecca Marino (+2.5) to beat Viktorija Golubic at 1.83 with Bet365 Saville should just outlast Friedsam in the Guangzhou conditions, I don't think Friedsam is anywhere near regular WTA level anymore unfortunately, while I didn't like Golubic in the qualifiers. Her serve is very attackable, and she seemed to struggle a bit physically as well. Marino can serve big and attack serves as well, which could prove to be the right strategy against Golubic in this encounter.
  9. Camila Giorgi to beat Mayar Sherif at 1.57 with Unibet This looks like a great opportunity for Giorgi to finally get a win on the board, Sherif should lack the skills to do well in the Guadalajara conditions, where it's really hard to control the ball. Giorgi needs to control one or two balls to win a rally, while Sherif needs a fair bit more than that. Harriet Dart to beat Jule Niemeier at 1.93 with Unibet Niemeier looked like a big talent at one point, and she might still come back to do something, but she's been very up and down so far this season, mostly down. She tends to snowball performances well, but she's without much practice here, while Dart got a decent match against Savinykh in during the qualifiers, which should serve her well. I'd also say that she's the fitter of the two, and the Guangzhou conditions look like one of those in which fitness can play a role (in the qualifiers, both Volodko and Golubic looked tired after less than 2 hours).
  10. I was kinda a fan of Errani back in the day, but now her serves are just puffballs, she was honestly serving just sitters for Noha a couple of days ago, and Noha just errored or put them back at Errani to start a rally. If you'd have a top player there, it'd be easy, she would struggle to get games against the top players nowadays, unfortunately. On this level, though, she can still do some damage, but mainly not through her own good play, but through her opponents' bad play.
  11. Miriam Bulgaru to beat Marina Bassols at 1.90 with Bet365 Both have been playing really well so far this week, but Bulgaru has had to face much tougher opponents than Bassols, and that practice/experience should help her here. There's not a great deal between the two quality-wise, I'd say, but, on evidence from the last couple of days, I see no reason not to back Bulgaru here.
  12. It's certainly baffling, and I agree with you @Swami on that Jabeur is one of the very most talented players around, she really can produce some astonishing shots and her touch is just incredible at times, something that Sabalenka, for example, can only dream of. But that's possibly the problem, as you say, she's never had to work that extremely hard to get where she is, and that can lead to some issues with her game that aren't easy to fix. In the finals against Vondrousova, who's also insanely talented, you just knew she was going to lose from one point, her body language changed and her intensity dropped.
  13. Caroline Garcia (+1.5 sets) to beat Danielle Collins at 1.58 with Unibet I don't trust Garcia to be able to play well for a full match, but she was able to play in two superb bursts against Stephens, and I think that she'll be able to produce at least one tonight. Collins can have dips herself, and it wouldn't surprise me one bit for this one to go to a decider.
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