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CzechPunter last won the day on October 1 2020

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  1. Matteo Berrettini to beat Filip Krajinovic at 1.88 with Pinnacle Krajinovic might have the conditions on his side, but I didn't like him that much in recent weeks and Berrettini is the better player overall. Slight value I'd say with the Italian.
  2. Alexei Popyrin to beat Gianluca Mager at 1.95 with Pinnacle This looks a bit off to me given how crazy Mager can play at times. Popyrin has built up quite some reputation on clay recently and he's shown a lot of fighting spirit in Belgrade already. If he plays his standard, he should be the favorite in this one and by a decent margin at that in my opinion. Mager is worth backing as the underdog here and there, but he's rarely the favorite.
  3. Angelique Kerber to beat Ekaterine Gorgodze 2-0 at 1.83 with William Hill Kerber has gone through all sorts of trouble since her big triumphs, but this should be an easy match to target. Gorgodze qualified as the lucky loser and is ranked below 200+ for a reason. When facing players of slightly better quality in Zarazua and Buyukakcay, Kerber won 6-0 6-0 and 6-4 6-2 this year.
  4. Miomir Kecmanovic to beat Facundo Bagnis at 1.88 with Pinnacle Alright, back to the ATP I suppose. Kecmanovic has no form and that's why his price is so high here. This is him returning back to Serbia, though, and I think he has every chance to bounce back against a softish opponent. Bagnis is exploitable with power and Kecmanovic can produce enough. I watched a bit of Bagnis since his long run and he's not the same in Europe. From many points of view, this looks like an automatic bet on Bagnis, but I'll be siding with Kecmanovic. He has a much higher ceiling in terms of skills and he sho
  5. Andrea Petkovic (+6.5) to beat Maria Sakkari at 1.76 with Unibet I haven't bet on the WTA for quite a while now, but this price I don't understand. Petkovic is worse than Sakkari now, I get that, but Petkovic is a competent player and she'll have the home conditions on her side as well. The 6.5 line implies a difference of two classes and I just don't see that.
  6. Well, for this week, we have ATP Barcelona, ATP Belgrade, WTA Stuttgart, WTA Istanbul + a couple of Challengers. Good luck everyone!
  7. Well, Rublev has done way more that Tsitsipas to get to the finals and that's why he deserves to be the favourite. It's hard to gauge where Tsitsipas is at. If I'd have to bet, it would be Rublev.
  8. Good luck if anyone is getting involved tomorrow, I'll cash this week out and prepare for the coming days!
  9. I think that both underdogs have too big odds today, but only slightly so. Evans is on a run, that's always dangerous and I'd never feel comfortable backing Tsitsipas at 1.15 really. Rublev against Ruud can go all the way down to the wire and who's going to have more left in the tank? There's no doubt that Rublev is classier, but he also has two long matches in his legs and against opposition that he had to be at his best against. This is a dangerous spot for him imo. If I had to bet, I'd bet on Ruud either outright or to win a set.
  10. Yeah, I'm kinda beating myself that I didn't back Rublev in some capacity! Still, guess I can't be too unhappy about this week!
  11. I'm not particularly keen on anything in Monte Carlo today honestly. Rublev looks a touch big, but he won't last I reckon.
  12. I'd go with Rublev, but I'm taking both as you've noticed. Hi and welcome to the forum @Stanimal!
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