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Everything posted by CzechPunter

  1. @888888It might, but the bounce can also be slightly more tricky depending on how good the grass is. Wouldn't read into that too much, it wasn't a massive amount of rain.
  2. As always, good luck to everyone getting involved! Mai Hontama to beat Clara Tauson at 2.60 with Unibet Tauson didn't play any preparatory tournaments on grass, while Hontama had a good run in the qualifiers and is generally a tricky player to play against. A good friend of mine from the Czech Republic also saw her play in the qualifiers and said she was moving really well etc., so I suppose she's worth a shot at odds against. On ranking alone, Tauson would be an even bigger fav, so chances are that the bookies are sensing an upset here as well. Jan-Lennard Struff (+2.5 sets) to beat Carlos Alcaraz at 1.64 with Unibet Alcaraz is a big unknown on grass, and his performances in the exhibition events suggest that he might not even be fully fit. Struff has been pretty poor lately, too, but he tends to be decent against big names and his serve can do the job here on its own, too. I think he'll raise his game for the occasion, and I think that he'll be able to steal a set off Alcaraza way more often than not. Martina Trevisan to beat Elisabetta Cocciaretto at 1.62 with Unibet Both players feel much better on clay, of course, but Trevisan had a great run in the French Open and she also actually played on grass, unlike Cocciaretto. Considering that I also rate her as the better player of the two overall, it all combines for a bet for me here. Yanina Wickmayer to beat Lin Zhu 1.67 with Unibet Zhu has been absolutely tragic recently, while Wickmayer seems energized after her comeback. Dominik Koepfer to beat Daniel Elahi Galan at 1.68 with Pinnacle Not confident at all about Galan's chances of grass, he didn't bother to prepare much by the looks of things. Koepfer isn't too impressive, either, but at least he's more proficient on hard courts etc. Lorenzo Sonego to beat Denis Kudla at 1.86 with Pinnacle Over the longer format, I much prefer Sonego's composure, even despite his recent loss against Kudla.
  3. Thanks for the input! Moved to the Wimbledon topic 😁
  4. The draws are out! Men's https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2022_MS_draw.pdf Women's https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2022_LS_draw.pdf
  5. @888888Too late to comment on Kvitova, but Draper is certainly the underdog there, depends on Cressy's serve, if it's spotless, he should win imo.
  6. Well, that didn't quite work out, should've stayed with the regular WTA I guess. Anyway, not much now until the Grand Slam!
  7. Danielle Lao to beat Nastasja Mariana Schunk at 2.10 with BetVictor Not quite sure why Lao is even the underdog here, she's played more on grass recently and with some good results, while Schunk really has only the two qualifying matches under her belt if you don't count the awful performance against Sanders. And, she's beaten clay court players in those two wins. She's talented, true, but Lao has experience on her side and is probably also better on grass overall. Everything above evens is value here imo.
  8. Despina Papamichail (+4.5) to beat Natalija Stevanovic at 1.83 with Pinnacle I'm not quite sure why Papamichail isn't getting any credit for her big win over Lys, she's constantly underrated by the bookies, but she's had some decent results recently. Stevanovic had a good win in the first round, but +4.5 looks off to me.
  9. Katerina Siniakova (+1.5 sets) to beat Simona Halep at 2.41 with Pinnacle Something just isn't clicking with Halep, she's good in patches and bad in patches, and she had a very disappointing Sunday when she lost against Haddad Maia. If she's still in a bit of a slump, Siniakova can certainly steal a set, as she did against Andreescu last time out. Given the odds, I much prefer the set handicap over the games handicap, as Siniakova can produce a meltdown in the decider.
  10. We've got plenty of action this week, including Wimbledon qualifiers, and one thing that I'd probably want to point out is that there are no points for the Grand Slam due to the exclusion of Russians/Belarussians. That means that perhaps the motivation factor of players wanting to focus on the Wimbledon will be slightly different this season than previously. Now, there's obviously way more money in the Grand Slam than in these minor tournaments this week, but it's something to keep in mind. Marta Kostyuk to beat Barbora Krejcikova at 2.25 with Unibet Krejcikova has played just a single match since February, and she was utterly without fitness in the French Open, so I think it's not too fair to have Kostyuk as the underdog here, especially since she was crushing it nicely yesterday.
  11. Well, at that price it's hard to argue that you're either backing Krajinovic there or staying away, though there's no doubt that Berrettini is the fav. Could very well run out of steam though, two very taxing weeks.
  12. Happy about Errani, but can't see much tomorrow, the bookies seem to be spot on.
  13. Sara Errani to beat Lucrezia Stefanini at 1.61 with Pinnacle Well, I certainly wasn't expecting to be betting on Errani on grass, but the Gaiba conditions are so specific with their incredibly low bounce that I have to back the more experienced player in this one. She beat another tricky and experienced player in Brengle in the previous round, so she should be primed for a match-up like this, against a younger Italian player that defeated Diatchenko, who I certainly wouldn't fancy to navigate such conditions, in round one.
  14. Caty McNally to beat Donna Vekic at 2.31 with Pinnacle While I'm aiming to back Vekic at some point as the underdog on grass, I can't have her as the fav against McNally, who's had only one poor performance on grass so far this season, losing against the in-form Alexandrova. Vekic can be incredibly shake herself, and I see this as essentially a coin-flip.
  15. I agree that you either bet on Evans there or stay away. He's going to give it his all, no doubt, while Matteo might just want to take a break given his long off period and the success in Stuttgart. I don't like all that much personally, but I'll be rooting for you guys!
  16. Well, there's the 0-4 H2H, but Opelka is much better now than back then, and AdM has only gone down, so another factor to help Opelka.
  17. Yeah, not easy, especially with De Minaur's recent struggles. Depends a lot on the exact conditions as well.
  18. Incredible scenes in Hertogenbosch...Van Rijthoven had ZERO ATP-level wins before this week!
  19. Well, I stop caring about the ATP for a while, and now Felix loses against Van Rijthoven!
  20. Natalija Stevanovic to beat Leolia Jeanjean at 2.19 with Pinnacle Jeanjean's stock is still running high after that surprising French Open run, but she has no experience on grass and her first match on the surface was rather one-sided. True, this will be a drop in terms of quality, but Stevanovic is 4-1 on grass this year, having also beaten two very solid opponents in Gadecki and Dart, both of which I rate above Jeanjean on grass.
  21. Julia Grabher (+4.5) to beat Nuria Parrizas-Diaz at 1.87 with Pinnacle NPD is choking awfully in this tournament for some reason, perhaps it's the fact that she's playing in home conditions, hard to say, but she wasn't holding it together well yesterday and had to play almost to the midnight local time despite facing a weaker opponent and despite having a massive lead in the second. +4.5 on Grabher looks appealing.
  22. Ajla Tomljanovic to beat Katie Boulter at 1.58 with Pinnacle Another straightforward bet from me for tomorrow, just don't see the appeal of Boulter, the hype is still there to a degree, but she's not playing as well as before and her most recent results suggest just as much.
  23. Viktorija Golubic to beat Heather Watson at 1.62 with Pinnacle Golubic seemed to have a good shot at beating Raducanu today, but we all know what happened. Watson will be a big step down, in any case, and the Brit has been struggling to string two decent performances together pretty much all season long. Golubic should outplay her knowing how erratic Watson can be these days, and the odds aren't too bad for that to happen.
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