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four-leaf last won the day on June 23 2019

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About four-leaf

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 02/25/1983

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  1. Well it's a competitive league so that's where the challenge lays and it has already brought us a few good winning bets..
  2. BTTS+Deportivo Ocotal to beat ART Municipal Jalapa at 5.50 with Betfair Stats say that Ocotal beats Jalapa most of the time at home and also that Jalapa scores at least one goal. Frequent result is 2-1 Ocotal. I think it might be wise to think about the stats sometimes and this could be one of those times.
  3. Well there has been no draws in Belarus this weekend and somewhere it should come so why not in the last match before next week? That's my thought.
  4. I included this match with a bet on Vexed in my treble with 2 draws in football. Let's hope Vexed doesn't dissapoint.
  5. Ye It'll be interesting as well as the draw you posted in Belarus.
  6. It was a late decission to bet Juventus Managua -1.5 so therefore I did not post it because I just went to bed and woke up with a lot more on my account.
  7. Because of COVID-19 I started to follow the matches in Belarus and Nicaragua. I had a very successful bet this week on Juventus Managua when I picked Juventus to win by 2 goals or more which they did by 4-1 at home. Odds was 3.70 on that handicapbet.
  8. I've placed my bet for tonight in Nicaragua and it is as follows: Jalapa - Juventus Managua draw at 3.15 with Unibet The Managua team played excellent earlier this week when they showed their strenght at home winning by 4-1. Jalapa is the the rightful favourite here but I think it feels like there's a draw coming up in some match in Nicaragua soon and therefore I think this match looks like the most likely to end in a draw. But no bigger stake because it's just where I think of probability to be a draw. There has been away wins and home wins mostly this week but Diriangen edged out a draw away this tuesday. I don't think we will see just one draw and this one looks like a probable draw so I'm just gonna go for draw and see where it takes me.
  9. Billy Joe Castle to beat Sam Craigie at 2.75 with Unibet Taking the bigger risk instead with Billy Joe whom I think played quite well in the Shoot-out and he could take another scalp in Gibraltor. Also he's got the upperhand in this matchup since he's up 2-0 and he acctually beat Sam by 4-0 last season in Gibraltar. Very attractive price on B.J. and it's taken, thank you Unibet or I hope to say so in the end.
  10. Hossein Vafaei to beat Kurt Maflin at 1.88 with Unibet I'm going with the knowledge of Kurt not being one of the most prolific scorers when it comes to low number of frames to be played. If it had been a longer match I think Kurt had been big favourite but the shorter format makes it more even. Ofcourse Kurt is more capable than Hossein but in a short match in Gibraltar I like the chance of Hossein to get past Kurt by the score 4-3 most likely. Edit: Sorry my bad I didn't see on Unibet that Hossein already had past Kurt by walkover.
  11. Lucas Miedler to beat (correct score 2-1) Hugo Grenier at 6.25 with Unibet Sometimes it might be worth taking a bigger risk with a medium stake. This is one of those moments I think it could be worth taking that risk. Same age on both players, both players ranked inside top 300. Nothing to separate them really. I don't know what's behind the higher odds on Lucas but I'll take my chances with a correct score. About Dustin Brown: shortly after I posted the bet on Dustin -4.5 the price rised to 2.20 with Unibet compared to Coolbet who decided to lower their odds on Dustin -4.0 games. Strange but I don't buy the supposed risk of failure because Unibet raised the odds because I think there's no valid reason for that.
  12. Dustin Brown to beat (-4.5 games) David Pichler at 1.98 with Unibet I think Dustin has looked pretty mutch alright so far this season. He has won the matches he's been supposed to win like beating Corentin Denolly and Uladzimir Ignatik before this week. Dustin is rounding up to some kind of form and I am very happy to be on Dustin to cover this handicap against an unknown less good opponent who is most successful in doubles through his career. Dustin has the right kind of arsenal to go far in this minor challenger tournament. His toughest opponents will be Jack Draper and his doubles partner Lucas Miedler. Beating a doubles specialist like David Pichler shouldn't be of any major troubles. David has never been ranked higher in singles than 390 and that was 3 years ago so he clearly isn't exactly powering up for singles and he shouldn't have any weapons to hurt Dustin and therefore I can see a double break coming Dustins way sometime during the match. David has played two singles matches this season and lost both on futures level against a player ranked 1172 and another ranked 716 and ofcourse he played one match in Southafrica today which he won in straight sets against a non-existent threat for most players. Even a less advanced player like David could beat the qualifier Jean Thirouin in 2 sets today. I hope Dustin is up to this non-existent challenge and wins as easy as I think because if it happens 1.98 could be the price for Dustin to win straight up without complications. Dustin is back this season after his injury and he's been good enough for me to back him to win by 5 games or more.
  13. The Southafrican challenger tournament offers only 50 points to the winner and 30 for the runner up so it's a really poor standard for a challenger tournament.
  14. Dustin Brown is playing in Southafrica and that can't be poor. He beat Corentin Denolly in straights yesterday. Very balanced performance by Dustin although he got broken at least two times in first set.
  15. Daria Kasatkina/Camila Giorgi over 12.5 games first set at 8.00 with Unibet I see a relatively big chance of a tie-break between these two. Camilas serve is working like a charm that mutch I know and I think Darias game this week works well enough for her this week to hold serve in curcial moments. 8.00 is a bit to high price for a tie-break to happen in first set.