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The Equaliser

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Everything posted by The Equaliser

  1. RESULTS UPDATE I don't know what goes on in the brains of our professional jockeys but not a lot if the 2.30 at Ascot is anything to go by. Admittedly this was a 2 miles race but what on earth were most of them thinking about by letting the favourite go off into over a 20 lengths lead for most of the race. I wouldn't have minded if the leader had been a 50/1 outsider that could well be expected to come back to the field but this was a 6/4 favourite!! Absolutely shocking jockeyship for all those involved. I did get one winner which was Dreamloper though I didn't expect it to win so
  2. 14.20 Thirsk The Dunkirk Lads £2.70 win at 8.6 = £20.11 profit if it wins. No bad reports on this one though it has drifted from 4/1 last night. The favourite has a lot of weight which is largely offset by a 5lbs claimer. Not confident about this one for a Trixie 14.30 Asc Blow Your Horn £6 win at 4.5 = £20.58 profit if it wins. Looks like punters are relying on 3 year old records in this race for the favourite to win. the media are banging on about its good second at Chester. Well Chester is no where like Ascot so once again the favourite is not Trixie material 3.00 Asc Dreaml
  3. 3.35 Asc Valrian Steel one point win at 4/1 with Bet365
  4. Well maybe you should stick with him. I don't think that he will be less good at riding now he has lost his allowance it is just that the trainers seeking to eak out their last bit of advantage for their runners may well use another claiming apprentice and he may not get the rides he has been enjoying of late
  5. There are others to choose from Apprentice Jockeys Championship The Apprentice Jockeys Championship is decided on winners of both Flat and All Weather races taking place from 1 May 2021 to British Champions Day at Ascot on Saturday 16th October 2021 . Current Champion Apprentice Jockey: Cieren Fallon An Apprentice Jockey can “claim” a weight allowance of 7lbs until they have 20 wins, 5lbs until 50 wins, 3lbs until 95 wins (special allowances apply in races for Apprentices only). Current Standings as of 21st July 2021: Marco Ghiani
  6. RESULTS UPDATE No winners today but the day did not pass without future hope. Looking back I missed the Timeform top rated Andaleep which won at 16/1. On reflection although this horse was a top rated Timeform horse, Timeform did have the guts to put it up as a selection too. On this basis it was a better bet than my wasted 3TBP bet on Lawn Ranger. Also, I backed the glitzy Hollie Doyle in the 7.35 at Nb. She rides better on the All weather and I got taken in by the guff written about the horse. Again, looking back Rolling The Dice looked to be a better prospect as it had already ra
  7. Further to this I do agree that I chop and change quite a bit; it must be the "airies" star sign at work. However, I will pledge to keep to the strategy of puting favourites only in Trixies and non favourites backed in singles possibly in the same race(s) right through until the end of December this year. The only minor difference maybe choosing one of my favourite jockeys/apprentices over another in either category
  8. Haha, chose the wrong top rated horse. TImeform had Andaleep which won at 16/1 4.50 Yar Invincible Larne (LM) £2.10 at 11.00 = £20.58 if it wins. 7.20 Don Tom's Reignbeau £2.50 win at 9.6 = £21.56 if it wins. Well fancied in the sporting press 7.35 Nb Stellar Queen (HD) £3.80 win at 6.4 = £20.11 profit if wins No Trixie as some favourites odds on Total stakes so far £15.60
  9. 3.55 San Sweet Reward £3.20win at 7.8 = £21.32. Looks to have a good chance on present form although shunned in the market. Have also had £2 on Lawn Ranger 3TBP at 6.4 = £10.58 should it run up to top rated RPR expectations Will try to look at other 3 later runners now
  10. Only looked at one race so far today and unfortunately most of the Class 1 -4 are in the earlier part of the day so I may miss a lot whilst out at lunch Anyway looked at the class 1 event 2.10 Sandown. Inspiral looks to be the top form horse trained by the mighty Gosden team. You could get 2/1 about this one last night and will be lucky to get 7/4 today. It even seems to have an advantage over Wild Beauty in as much as Wild Beauty has to prove it as good over a firm surface. I think that @Zilzaliancould well be OK with Qipao as Mark Johnston's runners always have to be respected.
  11. 2.10 San Allayali one point win at 10/1 with Bet365
  12. Many thanks for being helpful. This is a hobby for me and even when I had a go at Forex trading I could not paper trade that either . As far as I'm concerned I will keep plugging on at trying to find a winning strategy for myself using open published information so that other people may take advantage of it if/when it proves to be fruitful. I truly suspect that the general public are being duped into placing bets on false favourites as promoted by the likes of Timeform who are I believe are owned by the bookmakers so as to ensure that the great roller coaster of profits continue to be susta
  13. RESULTS UPDATE A profit for once!! Very interesting although I only played two races. I almost didn't play the 7.35 at Sandown because of time pressure at home. Even after I backed Lyndon B along with Coul Kat and when I found it had won I was wondering how I came to back it. Luckily I still had the RP Racecards available and because I screen capture the ATR Racecards I could look back at them too. This was the RP's take on Lyndon B: Slipping down the weights and last two runs more promising; not ruled out down in class. Timeform was not so generous but at least gave the horse 3 s
  14. Been out most of the day so couldn't look at much today 7.35 San Coul Kat (OM) £7.50 win at 3.8 = £18.62 if it wins. most of the runners in this race are trying to redeem their reputations. I believe this one was at the wrong distance last time. I hope it handles the firmer surface. Lyndon B £2 win at 16.00 = £22.05 if that wins. a drifter with a chance 8.10 San Barn Owl (JD) £3.20 win at 13/2 = £24 Return if it wins. Looks to be top rated, though it is only a class 5 winner; well bred son of Frankel. Drifted like a barge overnight £12.70 staked
  15. 8.10 San Barn Owl one point win at 13/2 with Betfair
  16. RESULTS UPDATE No winners at all today so a £45.65 loss. My new balance is £729.09 (Bank £1056.22) 5 UK meetings tomorrow. I counted 3 class 3 races and 6 class 4 races. Let's hope that I can find a winner or two 😀
  17. The people who claim to make a living in horse racing very often say that they do so by watching and re watching previous races with regard to the race that they may be interested in. They do not like the results commentaries given out by the racing press saying that they have too many errors. However, carrying out such a task is beyond my interest in racing as it would be very time consuming. This is only a hobby for me. I like to think that I can come up with good selections and make a profit by using the available published information available. As can be seen by my published balances
  18. No Alex, I use the overnight movements in relation to all the other factors such as Form etc. Taroob was 6/4, 7/4 overnight and showing as 5/2, 11/4 this am when I looked. Prioritise was showing as 15/8 to 2/1 last night and around 5/2. 3/1 this morning. Badlands looked as though it could perform very well on its best form as highlighted in the Racing Post comments . There looked to be an indication by way of market interest that the horse was spot on for the race today. This being so I favoured risking £4 on Badlands as opposed to risking something like £8+ on Taroob which had drifted fr
  19. A bookies market stitch-up. Drifted badly in price in the run up to the off and finished at 11/1. Asdaa was about 15/2 to 8/1 last night and sent off by an adjusted 13/2 I'm sure. Don't know if there was a stewards but Asdaa looks to have kept the race by a nose. The canny Johnston team did the business in the end and although no one seemed to push that one's chances one can never underestimate Mark Johnston and Joe Fanning
  20. Decided to primarily follow overnight market movers today; got too bogged down in ratings yesterday 7.05 Chelm Best class race of the day but can see why most of my fellow forum members have passed it by as it looks to be a very open race. I have put £5.50 to win on Aljady at 4.8 = £20.48 if it wins. It is 5lbs better off with Maysonic for a nose beating in May. It has been running at the wrong distance since. C&D form in a similar class 2 event can't be ignored imo. Also Maysonic price has drifted from a strong overnight position 2.45 Wolv Badlands £4 win at 6.00 = !9.60 if
  21. 4.45 Ffos Asadjumeira one point win at 15/8 with Bet365
  22. RESULTS UPDATE Two of my favourite jockeys in the last race at Windsor and they both got beat. what a bummer. This has dented my profits by £32.33 and my new balance is now £774.74 (Bank £1056.22). It seems so difficult to build up and then so easy to take a knock. Mainly rubbish racing tomorrow. even though we have four meetings in the UK. I counted just 7 class 4 events and only one class 2 event in the 7.05 at Chelmsford. this is a handicap with a 2/1 favourite Sleep well, I know I will
  23. Got my money back on Maries Diamond but Tonto blew out for Kemosabe in the next race Have chanced £15 win on Companionship (TM) at 2.8 = £20.04 at Windors if it wins and £6.55 win at 3.3 on Betty Crean LA (WB) (6p ins bet) in the 8.40 at WIndsor = £21.55 outlay
  24. I totally agree with you that it is probably best to sit out his race and enjoy watching watching how it unfolds. Having done the work on it I took a punt on what I felt were the best chances. I didn't back Hatcher yesterday and regretted it. Let's hope that I don't regret backing my two today 🙂
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