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Bang on

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    Legend Punter

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  1. Just like @Wiltshire ShotI looked at the 3 Welsh cup games,Cefn Druids/Connah's Quay/T.N.S all at home to lower league opposition. As for Northern Ireland, again there are some very short ones Linfield (Home record 9-2-1), Crusaders (Home record 8-2-3) , as well as Carrick at home to Warrenpoint (Away record 1-1-11). So, putting all the short ones together - Cefn Druids(Won 2-0), Connah Quay's(Won 8-0), T.N.S(Won 4-0), Linfield(Won 8-1), Crusaders(Won 2-0), and Carrick(lost 2-1) produces a 6 fold (which is something I never do usually), and pays 1.92/1 which I will play to minimum stakes.
  2. Celtic 1.10 A.Madrid 1.44 B.Munich 1.14 20pt treble
  3. Hi @monty63I have never looked at the bet you have for Paddy Power, but believe me, Paddy Power are useless with dog bets, a couple of quid will make them shorten a dogs price !! They really are a joke amongst greyhound punters.
  4. Hi @kronialthough Ken's Sam's lost I do get decent returns by keeping an eye on the moves. The move is just an indicator to take a further look, not necessarily to place a bet.
  5. 2.10 Warwick - Fleminport - generally 3/1 Jonjo O'Niell/J.P McManus combo - 8/1 tissue into 3/1 generally. First time cheek pieces and outfit don't often leave money behind.
  6. I will post on here rather than starting a new thread so that everyone can get a feel for my selections. I always look out for market moves (% moves) using the racing post 'tissue' as the expected price. I keep track of stables coming into form as best I can, and look for any positives I can find. Just because a horse is backed does not necessarily make it a bet for me, some are just a smokescreen IMO. The one that interests me today runs in the 7.15 at Newcastle. 7.15 Newc - Ken's Sam's (best 3/1 but generally 11/4) It was only beaten a nose over CD a year ago from a 5lb higher mark. Ben Curtis booked to ride. (15/2 - 11/4) [approx 15% move] Irish trainer travelling over.
  7. In reply to @StevieDay1983if I were to get involved I would just marginally favour Cardiff Met Uni. As you say Caernarfon are safe in the top half, and their away form is not as good as at home (W3 D2 L5). The reason I didn't mention them is that the way I see this game is low scoring. Cardiff Met Uni (scored just 8 in 10 home games) and Caernarfon (scored 11 in 10 away games). I would go with the draw at 3.20 if having a bet, although I am more likely to give it a miss.
  8. Bristol City 2.15 Sheff Wed 1.72 Northampton 1.50 20pt treble
  9. Inside info is out there, the BIG PROBLEM is sorting the wheat from the chaff. My guess is that 'most' supposed inside info is anything but. There are of course exceptions (I once had a newmarket source who gave me 15 unraced 2 year olds and 12 won), but they are very rare. Nowadays I just use my own method, following the markets and then analysing the trainer/horse before having a bet... it will show up who is reliable and who is a chancer.
  10. A very good quote, similar to one that I try to stick with.. "Invest in Quality". The reason behind it is that the people at the top (Top trainers, top jockeys) make fewer mistakes. @RobbertGood luck in your quest, the only advice I would give is to try and find a bit better prices (especially avoid odds on) as profits should increase if your selection method has merit.
  11. The one that stands out for me is Ballymena (lost 0-3) at home to Glenavon. Ballymena are not a top side but Glenavon have lost 9 of their 11 away games and this could add another defeat, at odds of 11/10 it looks worth a bet. Of the Welsh games I fancy TNS (Won 2-1) to win the top of the table clash and may have a small double on them with Barry Town (Won 7-1) to get back on track at home to Carmarthen, the double pays just under 6/4.
  12. A tricky set of fixtures this week, Glentoran(Won 2-1) look nailed on but are priced as such. My only interest is in the Monday night game, Cliftonville v Linfield. As I have said before I think that Linfield are the best side in the division, and will possibly play to small stakes the Linfield DNB (Won 2-1) at 5/6.
  13. Not really worth having a bet for me. The Crusaders/Glentoran double pays 0.63/1 so I will give it a miss despite both being at home to lower league ooposition.