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Bang on

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Everything posted by Bang on

  1. Yes, and 2.45 Ham - Ghaly -is very interesting (his only runner of the day). He is in very good form, has a good course record, my only concern is that he has been off the track since 2020 (662 days).
  2. Some interesting runners at Hamilton today, trainer George Boughey sends 4 runners (his previous 3 at the course all won) and jockey William Buick travels up to ride them all (3 wins from 6 rides at the course). It could be a very good day for him. For me, the best (hopefully) runs in the 3.15 Ham - Charles St - 15/8 - doesn't run a bad race usually and can hopefully win today. 7.30 Chep - Edinburgh Rock - 6/4 - Trainer Ralph Beckett is infantastic form ( won 5/11 at the weekend including Irish derby), and he has an excellent 31% strike rate at the course (this is his only runner at the course today). 8.20 Strat - Barenboim - 9/2 EACH WAY (1/5 3 places)- Fergal O'Brien is top course trainer, and has 2 runners today. This is the only one that Paddy Brennan rides. This is a maiden so maybe not one for maximum confidence, hence backing each way.
  3. Wagga Wagga - WON very easily Full Aux Rois - lost - went off like a lunatic again, will keep fallingin the handicap and will probably win eventually provided it settles at least a little bit better.
  4. 3.15 Ponte - Wagga Wagga - 11/8 - Hughie Morrison sends just one runner up to Pontefract, William Buick rides. Trainer has an excellent 28% course strike rate. Horse finished 2nd beaten just a neck LTO. A bit of a shot in the dark with the next one. 3.00 South - Full Aux Rois - Each Way( now 9/1 - 1/5th 4 places after Leopolds Rock taken out [ I am on at 14's rule 4] ) - Has blasted off in front in its last 2 races before running out of steam. Today has tongue strap and 1st time cheekpieces. Has dropped 24lbs in last 6 runs. Decent jockey and definitely worth an each way bet for me.
  5. Bang on

    Spurs55

    There is no doubt that some horses are backed to win... and then layed for a place by the same people. If they think the horse can win... press on. If they think that they are beaten.. drop back and get unplaced.. save the stake money. Didn't see the race in question but it happens regularly... put them in your notebook.
  6. Amateur and apprentice jockey races always seem to have 'some' riders who are always a bit too eager to impress and end up causing problems for those who are more 'professional' in their approach. I don't have a problem backing a selection ridden by an amateur or apprentice... but not in a race confined to them. I agree, some pro jockeys are very over rated ( won't name names) but I tend to avoid them if at all possible.
  7. Disappointing, Bagan looked to be going quite well when a jockey in front unseated, which in turn unseated Bagan's jockey... that's why I rarely bet in non pro jockey races. Calliope finished 3rd so each way small loss.
  8. Afternoon cards giving options but not major bets, haven't finished evening cards yet. 1.55 Cart - Bagan - 9/2 each way - looks an interesting runner for Seamus Mullins who is in red hot form (5 wins, 1 place, from last 7 runners). He sends this one runner on a 500 mile plus round trip. It is an amateur jockeys race which I very rarely get involved with. At the price it might be best to play each way (very small loss if placed). Later on the card I have backed 4.47 Cart - Calliope - 9/2 each way (best now available - was much bigger). It is 17lbs lower than it's winning mark, trainer Dianne Sayer has a good record at the course (20% strike rate) and is in decent form ( 2 wins from last 7 runners). There are dangers in the race with Golden Town, and kayfast Warrior, so I have backed each way.
  9. Sods law, Tangled never really put in race despite being lower in the weights than it has won from. Smiling Sunflower - won 4/1 ... at least I had a single after the 1st one went down.
  10. Had an EACH WAY double. 2.25 Carl - Tangled - 3/1 ( 1/5 4 places) - 2nd 8 days ago, CD winner (twice), and trainer in very good form (3 wins, 2 placed from 8 runners) 5.50 Kemp - Smiling Sunflower - 3/1 ( 1/5 4 places) - 3rd LTO and has cheek pieces added.
  11. It was a very tricky race, to be honest, the racing post had every runner at single figure odds ( 9/2 - 9/1 )which means that even their odds compiler was struggling.
  12. A sure welcome was running off a 7lb lower handicap mark than it had won off in the last year. It had also fallen 10lb in its last 6 runs. For me, the markets are nowhere near as reliable as they used to be. When the prices (and s.p.'s) were taken from the bookmakers in the betting ring, it was a useful tool watching the markets. Nowadays (since covid) the bookmakers set their own s.p.'s and there have been some very strange ones... a couple of weeks back I backed a selection at 9/1 just a minute or so before the off... it won at an s.p. of 9/2 .... that was bookmaker manipulation because of liabilities IMO.
  13. Lots of interest today, and for various reasons. 4.00 Uttox - Game Line - 9/2 - 3pts win - Trainer Peter Bowen is in excelent form ( 3 wins, 3 placed from 8 runners). It was a beaten favourite LTO but is 3lb below its winning mark and can make amends today. 4.10 Ham - Yeeeaah - 15/2 - 1pt EW - Yet to win (twice placed) in 7 attempts, but was only beaten a length LTO and is on my 'to follow' list. Each way because it hasn't won yet. 8.40 Ripon - Burgoo Beauty - 10/3 - 3pts win - Trainer Harry Eustace sends just one runner (his first) to Ripon. Should have learnt plenty from its first race at Chester (very tricky track for an unraced runner), and also steps back in distance. Jockey with a good course record has been booked and hopefully it can improve for a second race and win. 8pts staked
  14. I did notice them, he is the furthest traveller, and I am on 'Prince of Persia', it having been gelded and having its first run for Hugo Palmer ... a definite step up from previous trainer Tom Dascombe IMO. Palmer also has a 50% strike rate at the track (4 / 8 ) in the last 5 years. As a side note.. Hamilton is a bit further north than Yorkshire. 😁
  15. Some more of interest, 3.25 Sand - Saaheq - 6/1 EW (1/5th 4 places) - Needs to find a return to form, but is 9lbs lower than when winning this race last year. Well drawn and good apprentice Harry Davies takes a further 5lbs off. 4.55 Hex - Bestiarius 7/2 (Hills) AND Calliope 9/2 (B365) - I have backed both. Bestiarius is running into form and trainer Gillian Boanas is in decent form (2 wins, 1 place, from 8 runners last 2 weeks.) - Calliope is 16lbs lower than his best winning mark. Again he looked to be coming into form although wasn't really put in the race IMO last time out at Cartmel. Also a couple of 'speculative' EW selections (small stakes). 8.00 Worc - Imperial Lightning - 10/1 with most firms - Had one race (a bumper) and now tries hurdles over an extra 1/2 mile which should suit. 8.30 Worc - Writteninthesand - 14/1 generally - His sole win was over this distance but in a chase, this is a hurdle race. This is his first handicap hurdle, and with a recent chase run he may run well. Speculative.
  16. Very busy day ahead, but one I have backed for starters. 1.20 Hex - Going Mobile - 5/1 - ran well enough here last week over an extra 1/2 mile, drops back in trip today, and is 17lbs below the mark it had when winning at Market Rasen in 2020. Downside, it is on a long losing run, but there has been support for it and at the price is a bet for me.
  17. Gale Force Maya - WON 10/1 Arousing - looks worth following on next couple of runs.
  18. Lost - never really put in the ace until very late, will probably win at some point.
  19. 3.00 York - I am backing 2 in this race at the prices. Gale Force Maya - 13/2 - finished 3rd in this race last year. Won 1st race of season but beaten next 2 runs (both listed - now drops to handicap) Has 8 x distance wins. Arousing - 8/1 -Top trainer W.Haggas, can be slow away but has blinkers 1st time today and D.Tudhope rides. Has 3 x distance wins. At the prices I thought I would back them both.
  20. 4.20 Chep - Zambezi Magic (9/2 with Hills at the moment, 4/1 elsewhere) Trainer sponsors race 'in memory of'. The selection was 4th in the race last year (33/1 beaten just 1 length). Hasn't won since Aug 2020 and is dropping in the weights, ... primed for today ?
  21. Looks a poor days racing to me, definitely keep to MINIMUM STAKES. I've had 2 x trixies to very low stakes. WIN Trixie 3.15 Sals - Majestic Tejaan - 11/4 3.45 Sals - Sunrise Valley - 11/4 8.10 Weth - Danni California - 9/4 ------------------------------------- EACH WAY Trixie 5.35 Chelm - Villalobos - 3/1 (1/5 3 places) - 6.25 Weth - Yeeeaah - 11/2 (1/5 4 places) 7.00 Weth - Jack Daniel - 9/2 (1/5 5 places) ------------------------------------ These are not strong selections and are for the smallest stakes.
  22. Another very busy days racing. Not too much standing out for me to post on here, but some to look at. 2.10 Hunt - Family Time - 4/1 - First time in a handicap, can be excused last run (going), and may improve enough to win. 2.25 Mkt Ras - Teescomponent Fly - 4/1 - Again, 1st time in a handicap, and trainer Gillian Boanas is in very good form (2 wins, 1 place, from 4 runners last 2 weeks). 5.45 Epsom - Saleymn - 9/2 - I backed it last time when it finished 2nd and I vowed to follow it, shouldn't be far away.
  23. Jordan Electrics beaten a NK. The other 2 never really at the races for me, although I may well track them for a couple of runs.
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