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Total Posts -
Posts
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31 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
I think you would need a much bigger difference between edge and negative RIO.
In my earlier example I think you would need an 80% edge on the 1/1 selections to achieve the 9 points ?
I was working a more "real world" example where I was comparing using the fiver freebie as part of a £25 stake on a 2/1 shot to using it as all the stake on a 9/1 shot (assuming I was backing both selections anyway). Most people who have a fiver on at 9/1 would stake higher on an even money shot. I think @Zilzalian has hit the nail on the head, put it on the biggest priced selection that you're intending to back. The higher the odds the less gap there is between the return with or without the freebie.
It makes sense for you to favour a break even 9/1 shot over a value 2/1 selection for the reasons you've given.
I should do better than you if I can use it on a 9/1 shot that I deem to be value.
But it's advantage you again if I forget to use the bugger!
I seem to have had 3 winning freebies this year, £1 on a 13/2 shot, £3 at 9/1 and a fiver towards the tenner stake on an e/w golf bet at 40s. I'm just going to see how much I won or lost on the bets that earned me the freebies!
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7.10 Win Lil Guff ew at 4/1 with Bet365
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wee Valerie 6.50 ew rosscomon
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3 minutes ago, Hotspur88 said:
Cat Ninja wins 💥
5.25pts returned ✅️
Not sure if using her tail as a propeller made her go faster or slower, but she's clearly pretty good 😁
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19 hours ago, Hotspur88 said:
1810 Windsor Cat Ninja 5/2 1.5pt win
Cat Ninja wins 💥
5.25pts returned ✅️
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