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Posts
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Sandown 7.37 Royal Rhyme 8-11 Hills
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20.12 Sandown
Almaqam 11/1 bet365
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Sand 607 Get The Music On 17/2
£10 ew skybet 4 pl.
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On 5/9/2024 at 9:26 PM, Trotter said:
I don't know how possible it would be to research in past results but something like.....
Only back the top rated if it's not in the top 2 or top 3 in the betting
obviously there'd be a lot fewer bets but when they won they'd be bigger odds !
edit .... this is something I could think about if I do the AW ratings next winter
I've had a look at the data for the last 2 years, it proved a bit trickier than I inittially envisaged.
As you suggested, ignoring those at the top of the market will improve returns.
Ignoring those horses with forecast odds of 7/2 and below gives an AE of 1.05 with 1,117 from 9,558 runs with a profit of 296 points. Not a massive return but a good starting point.
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22 hours ago, Nigwilliam said:
Lost. 4th. &. 2nd. Minus £19.60
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