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My picks this week
By my numbers Scheffler is well clear of the pack, he's ranked #1 on 6 of the 16 key metrics that I've focused on for this event.
...but I can't justify backing him at 3/1.
Morikawa has very strong numbers in all those key areas (bar putting: where he's 121st across the last 2 seasons in strokes gained putting) and he's as well placed as anyone to challenge him, especially coming off a strong showing (tied for 4th) at the PGA Championship.
But my biggest stake bet this week will be on Max Homa - who is comparable to Morikawa with his irons and Stokes Gained in general...but both putts & scrambles better - at a bigger price. It's a gamble, as his accuracy off the tee would need some improving this week and that's a tricky part of this course.
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1 pt win Alvesta 14/1 Bet365 Nottingham 3.40
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A loss of £ 30.25
Total profit £ 1,538.92
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Fenway Park 8/11 Bet 365
Punchestown 14:58
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Nottingham 3.40
GREAT CHIEFTAIN 22/5
£20 win BETMGM 10% boost
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