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Showing content with the highest reputation on 08/30/2022 in all areas
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Racing Chat - Tuesday 30th August.
Gary66 and 6 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
340 ripon Marks choice 8.0 class 31 5/2 Surprise picture 7.6 class 22 9/1 Majeski man 7.3 class 23 Khabib 7.2 class 25 Marks choice has been running well I better class but he's had a couple of hard races so it's a,question of whether he can hold his form if he can this is an easier race than he's faced for a while ...close between the others but there's some value in surprise picture who could run into a place at least Marks choice 4pt win 5/2 Surprise pic 1pt ew 9/17 points -
Racing Chat - Tuesday 30th August.
azzybear and 6 others reacted to maxironchin for a topic
17.40 Newton Abbot Fire Lake 2pt Win C&D winner not so long ago. Unlucky 2nd LTO. Yard are doing well and jockey is a good claimer. Preferred to Bucko's Boy who may now be carrying too much weight. Unseared rider or something like that!7 points -
Carlisle. Single. 7.50. Aighear. 4/1... unpl Good luck all.5 points
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Racing Chat - Tuesday 30th August.
Bedlam and 3 others reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
Got boxed in and still managed to get out and win ....comfortable win ?4 points -
Double. 4.55. Epsom. Whistledown. 11/4.... 2nd 6.50.Carl. Chinese Spirit. 10/3.... unpl singles & double. Good luck all.4 points
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US Open 2022
CzechPunter and 2 others reacted to amity for a topic
I would be careful with the Coric bet. Enzo could keep it closer than that. https://twitter.com/damiankust/status/1563326734866399232?s=20&t=XUjK1OJAcyEWDVMArLnurA3 points -
If you must do a multiple, here's my approach: 1. Nothing more than doubles 2. Use for bets between about 1/2 and EV This approach keeps the number of bets down, and it's hard enough getting 2 winners. NB: A pair of 1/2 chances in a double pays 5/4. A pait of evens chances in a double pays 3/1.3 points
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US Open 2022
raduvlad1995 and 2 others reacted to CzechPunter for a topic
Well, what a day one it was! Tsitsipas and Fritz must've demolished plenty of those low-priced accas that so many casual bettors love. On the women's side, we had Halep falling to Snigur and Trevisan losing against Rodina, who hasn't played for god knows how long.3 points -
And you got a 10% bonus lol. Well heres the thing, There are lots of people who do 4 horse accas and one gg lets them down and they win £000.00 at least you got a half decent return. ?3 points
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A better week for winners with most of the top teams producing the expected result so 36 of us found the winning combination (just over 25% success). Nonetheless only Divisions 1,2 and 6 in profit but enough to make us an overalll profit for the week. Star of the week is @Craig bluenose with an immense 33/1 treble followed by @dj.orange with a 10/1 double and 3 others around 5/1. Not surprisingly Craig leads the field with a 200 cushion! We have 6 players with 2 wins.2 points
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Having a Mr R.Beckett day. (. anyone can have a off day) Lingfield. Double 2.30. Borough 15/8.... unpl 4.00. Mrs Blennehasset 3/1 singles & double. Wolverhampton. Double. 2.10. Quantum Impact 11/4. 2nd 2.40. Boom Boom Power 11/4.... unpl singles & double. have also put the four horses in L15. Good luck all.2 points
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Seems to me that the many negative comments re the multi bet are based around like i said the "Profesional way" I have conceded in various places that the bookies fear the win single more than any other bet but lets be entirely honest here, they are not concerned with the tenner or fiver bet but the big £100/£1000+ bets, their knees only really start to tremble when the likes of JP McMannus turns up with a suitcase. it seems that a bit of snobbery is stopping a few from recognising the "enjoyment angle" (which fair play you didn't) is the whole point of my various comments and the article itself where i was conceding but emphasising- Yes you wont make money unless you are very lucky but for small stakes on a few TV bets "for newbies" the Lucky 15 is both inexpensive and a fun bet with a chance of a return now and again. Again i will emphasise the blanket statement that win singles is the only way to go without adding that you must do your homework and put a lot of time and effort into your selection process to even get anywhere near making a profit is misleading.2 points
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A bigger shake up at the top than I anticipated with only 1 of the previous podium surviving to take some of the added money. The final leg multiplier has played a part in positions this month. Well done to Leo who won the final leg and with it has shot to the top of the league with a 1st and 2nd place during August. McG holds on in there in 2nd overall and Rivrd moves up to 3rd proving that you don't necessarily need to win a leg and consistency counts. Thank you to everyone who joined in this month We have a spare week this week before the September league so if @LIKE2FISH would like to select a game type to play I'll try get that set up. (I've currently lost Home Games function yet again so will have to uninstall and reinstall again and hope I get the side bar option back as that's the only time I can click through. ) Winners, I think I've got all your details: 1st @LIKE2FISH £75 + PL Mug and Pens 2nd @McG £45 3rd @Rivrd £302 points
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US Open 2022
MinellaWorksop and one other reacted to amity for a topic
Yeh I decided against it, just as well. Thankfully my Bonzi bet came in although he made hard work of it.2 points -
Ripon. Single. 2.00. Lark Lane. 17/2. win.... unpl Good luck all.2 points
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US Open 2022
delfino and one other reacted to raduvlad1995 for a topic
tsitsipas getting destroyed by galan out of all people might be the weirdest thing I ve seen since I ve started watching tennis2 points -
BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - August 2022
MinellaWorksop and one other reacted to MCLARKE for a topic
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I also started out on accumulators, I always had a 6-4-1 on a Saturday. It's a good fun bet but not one I do anymore.2 points
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Thanks for always running league Helen & PL for added, gg as always all. I am going to take this Wednesday night off, off out on a day trip and I played 7 nights last week so going to take a night off! With regards to the Pen and Mugs, I have a few sets as played the league games for many years Would anyone like the set I got for this month?1 point
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Just the one's I've been backing (only to small stakes). I will keep this going for at least a year. I may start a parallel system where I incorporate some type of form analysis. Any suggestions of a simple factor to use would be welcome.1 point
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Here's a real world (albeit "once or twice in a betting lifetime") example, I'd be curious to know how people would have approached this in terms of staking, especially those who favour singles only. World Cup starts, 3 games per day, and a particular prop bet is being priced by one firm at 7/1 or more in every game when it should be more like half those odds. It's a no-brainer to bet it for every game for as long as the generosity lasts. I think I went for something like 20 point singles and a 5 point trixie every day. No doubt not the optimum approach in as much as that can be calculated before the outcome is known, but I'd argue that it would have been a mistake to stick to just singles in those precise circumstances.1 point
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There's an irrefutable case to be made for doubles and up in an ideal world for the simple reason that, if you've got an edge, then you multiply that edge by betting other than singles. Take 3 bets where you're getting 11/10 about even money shots; the double at 4.41 has a bigger edge than the singles and the treble at 9.26 has a bigger edge still. There's an argument to be had for not sticking to singles in that case but it's academic if the three prices aren't available at the same time and with the same bookies. Sometimes betting singles is the only option to take advantage of the value bets as they occur. There's also a different argument to be made for doubling up or trebling 11/10 shots as opposed to selections at 25/1 or bigger as when you're backing in the realms of 1000/1 shots luck plays a big part in your short term returns and you need a huge sample of bets (possibly bank-exhausting) to be sure of getting your fair return. I suspect that most punters who get a positive return from backing singles could have got a better return with the judicious use of the occasional multiple but could equally have lessened their profit by getting it wrong. So no harm in sticking to a "singles only" approach where it works, it's a valid enough form of specialisation. But be open minded to the possible value of the multi where the stars align for a decent opportunity even if you aren't persuaded by the "bit of extra fun" angle.1 point
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Racing Chat - Tuesday 30th August.
The Equaliser reacted to richard-westwood for a topic
It's a difficult one ....the 3 highest class horses marks choice ...majeski and khabib have finished 1st 2nd 3rd ....I was hoping the higher computer rating would take prevalence but you do have to take account of the class rating ....really your looking for a high both so marks choice was the clear choice ..if I post both people can use their own judgement ..I'm hoping it will throw up a few more in time1 point -
Racing Chat - Tuesday 30th August.
richard-westwood reacted to Le Doyen for a topic
E 3.20 Craft In Silk 9/1 Gilbert 9/1 R 4.45 Wadacre Tir 9/1 Easter Icon 12/1 All ew singles (4 Places) and dbls,rev fcs and fc dbls1 point -
New to Betting? The Lucky15,31,63
calva decoy reacted to MCLARKE for a topic
You are right, most people will show a loss over a year, I'm sure I did for many years. I have made a profit each year for the last 7 years but I have a very strict approach (I only bet singles) and keep meticulous records (I have made over 26,000 bets over the last 7 years). My margin averages 5% so it's critical that I obtain the best odds available which often isn't possible with multiples.1 point -
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
The Equaliser reacted to LEE-GRAYS for a topic
4.45 ripon tommorrows angel 12/1 £5 e/w bet365 placed 5.50 carlisle audit 12/1 £5 e/w bet3651 point -
Premier League Predictions > Aug 30th - Sep 1st
amity reacted to StevieDay1983 for a topic
Crystal Palace vs Brentford The midweek Premier League games kick-off with a fascinating all-London fixture between Crystal Palace and Brentford at 7:30pm BST on Tuesday night from Selhurst Park. Both of these two teams have experienced highs and lows this season already and we're only 4 league games into the campaign. Can either team push for a win to give themselves a lift up the table? Crystal Palace were a team I felt could challenge for the top 10 this season after their solid performances last season but it's been a bit of an inconsistent start from the Eagles so far. Just 1 win from their opening 4 league games has left the team down in 12th position but when you add some context to that situation and see that they've already played Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester City then it's understandable. Patrick Vieira's men could still be looking to do some transfer business before the end of the window. There is a potential injury blow for the club with Wilfried Zaha a possible doubt for this game. Palace have also only managed to win 2 of their previous 19 top flight derby matches. Home form has been decent recently though with the team winning 4 of their last 6 home league matches. Brentford find themselves in a similar situation to their opponents for this game having won just 1 of their first 4 league matches so far. The Bees have struggled with keeping the goals out this campaign on their travels having conceded 5 of their 6 goals on the road already. The team has also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 18 top flight away games. Thomas Frank's men are free-scoring this season though with only Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool scoring more than the 9 goals that the team have scored so far. There could be history made in this game with striker Ivan Toney aiming to become the first Brentford player to score in 3 straight away league games in the top flight since David McCulloch pulled off the feat back in 1937. Interestingly, the home side in this fixture haven't lost any of the previous 7 encounters between Crystal Palace and Brentford. Given Palace's home form and Brentford leaky defence on the road, you'd have to say that the signs are pointing towards a home victory here. Brentford haven't won at Crystal Palace since 1957 and I can't see that changing here. The home side seem a decent bet to win this one but we could see a few goals if the form of both teams' back-lines so far is anything to go by. Crystal Palace to Win @ 2.20 with SpreadEx BTTS @ 1.88 with SBK1 point -
New to Betting? The Lucky15,31,63
Zilzalian reacted to Valiant Thor for a topic
its a Yankee 6 doubles 4 trebles 1 Fourfold Minimum double required for a return so average target odds must = 5/2 or greater for a profit1 point -
To qualify for the final: Borna Coric at 15.00 with Betsafe Can beat both Alcaraz and Nadal in an eventual clash. Will be all up to him. If he turns up playing like in Cincy and how he's done throughout his career I'm nailed on this bet to come in.1 point
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TOUR Championships
fd1972uk reacted to MinellaWorksop for a topic
Scheffler squanders his lead and McIlroy wins. Fair play to any Rory backers. It's a funny old game this golf malarkey lol. PGA Tour takes a rest for a few weeks, with the Fantasy Golf app not restarting til around September 15th (I think). So I will also be taking a rest from the golf in this time. Though in the meantime there will be plenty of DP World Tour action for your golfing viewing requirements.1 point -
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Blackpool - Bristol City over 2.5 @1.85 Lens - Rennes over 2.5 @ 1.7 20 double please1 point
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Dortmund @ 1.67 Lorient @ 2.05 Atletico Madrid @ 2.00 15 point treble1 point
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Division 8 - Week 2 Selections
avongirl reacted to thebestthere for a topic
Celtic (2) @ 1.14 50 pts single1 point -
Sorry Real Betis is today Just a double please then.1 point
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Division 7 - Week 2 Selections
avongirl reacted to Peter York for a topic
10 points double please 1. Sheffield Wednesday v Forest Green @ 1.53 1. Leyton Orient v Hartlepool @ 1.671 point -
Bremen v Frankfurt - Over @ 1.57 Rangers v Ross County - Over @ 1.5 Double - 20 pts1 point
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Liverpool 1.10 Manchester 1.18 Arsenal 1.20 25 Treble1 point
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10.00 treble [1] man city. 1.18 [1] liverpool.1.10 [1] rangers. 1.141 point
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Man City 1.18 Arsenal 1.28 Liverpool 1.1 25 points treble1 point
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