French Open 2022

[Torque]

12 minutes ago, raduvlad1995 said:

just no words..legit no player has truly screwed me over this year like sinner does..double faults galore and baena playing like a top 20 player..

He's a frustrating player no doubt. The trouble is he has no tennis brain and that always gets found out on clay. Carballes Baena is a challenger player really, but he knows how to play on clay and as you said he's having a good day so far. I'm waiting on Sinner for my treble, but to be honest I'm not very confident that Sinner turns this around.

[raduvlad1995]

40 minutes ago, Torque said:

He's a frustrating player no doubt. The trouble is he has no tennis brain and that always gets found out on clay. Carballes Baena is a challenger player really, but he knows how to play on clay and as you said he's having a good day so far. I'm waiting on Sinner for my treble, but to be honest I'm not very confident that Sinner turns this around.

let's hope he does...I just hope baena fades slightly and sinner mantains his level of now. So frustrating seeing a nobody like baena peaking out of nowhere and sinner just not thinking of changing the heigh of his strokes and stop giving baena the same ball over and over again.

[Torque]

Gets back in the lead, then broken from 40-15 and it might go five. Sinner 

[raduvlad1995]

21 minutes ago, Torque said:

Gets back in the lead, then broken from 40-15 and it might go five. Sinner 

has baena always had this much pop on his shots ? the few matches I ve seen from him , he seemed quite weak

[Torque]

I think he's just been inspired at a big tournament in a match that nobody gave him a chance in. You can swing much more freely - a bit like Kolar is doing against Tsitsipas right now. Speaking of Tsitsipas, he has very little chance of winning this tournament. His backhand is such a weakness and on top of that he'd need to overcome fatigue to get very far now. I'm not even sure he'll go as far as his ranking.

[Torque]

He might even lose to Kolar. He's being outplayed right now.

[raduvlad1995]

25 minutes ago, Torque said:

I think he's just been inspired at a big tournament in a match that nobody gave him a chance in. You can swing much more freely - a bit like Kolar is doing against Tsitsipas right now. Speaking of Tsitsipas, he has very little chance of winning this tournament. His backhand is such a weakness and on top of that he'd need to overcome fatigue to get very far now. I'm not even sure he'll go as far as his ranking.

yeah, sadly there are 0 improvements in tsitsipas's game , I wouldn t say his topspin bh is weak but his defense on that side is prety pathetic..dunno how someone as talented as him can t slice properly or use the dropshot better/more

[Torque]

6 minutes ago, raduvlad1995 said:

yeah, sadly there are 0 improvements in tsitsipas's game , I wouldn t say his topspin bh is weak but his defense on that side is prety pathetic..dunno how someone as talented as him can t slice properly or use the dropshot better/more

His backhand is just a weak shot. He needs to do something about it, otherwise he's hit his peak. When you combine his backhand with his poor return game, he actually deserves a lot of credit for having got a far as he's got. His serve and forehand are able a lot of the time to compensate for those deficiencies, although I wouldn't say either were great just now and that combined with Kolar raising his level is probably why it ended up being such a close match. Tsitsipas definitely got away with one there, it should have gone to a final set and I don't know if Tsitsipas would have won that.

[Torque]

18 hours ago, Torque said:

10pts Ruud (vs. Ruusuvuori) x Medvedev (vs. Djere) x Sinner (vs. Carballes Baena) @ 1.94 365

20pts Alcaraz to win ATP French Open @ 4.14 Betfair Exchange

15pts Tsitsipas to win ATP French Open @ 7.27 Betfair Exchange

 

Quiet day today with only the treble and one outright in action. The treble just about came in, but it wasn't looking good when Sinner, who was the shortest leg, lost the first set and then headed towards even money at the start of the second when facing break points. Thankfully he managed to save those points and then break before serving out the set from 0-40. After that he won the third set without much fuss, before going a break behind in the forth after failing to hold from 40-15. Carballes Baena then repeated that trick to hand the break back and then Sinner held after saving a break point before Carballes Baena outdid his previous service game by getting broken from 40-0. That seemed to break the Spaniard's resistance as a relatively easy hold from Sinner followed, before Carballes Baena had to save a load of break points to keep the deficit to just one break. Sinner then held serve in another nervy game where he had to recover from 0-30, which left Carballes Baena needing to hold serve to stay in the match. He got to 30-0 before losing four points in a row to hand victory to Sinner. Based on that performance, Sinner is going home as soon as he meets a better clay court player than Carballes Baena - he just doesn't have nous to win on clay at this level yet.

The outright of mine that was in action was Tsitsipas, and I'm not going to add too much to what I wrote earlier whilst he was playing his match. It's going to be very difficult for him to go much further, both because of fatigue and also because his return game just isn't there right now. For as well as Kolar played - and he did play really well - creating only twelve break points and taking just three of those points across four sets isn't good enough, particularly when you compare it to someone like Alcaraz who although wasteful created nearly twice as many break points during the first four sets of his match against Ramos-Vinolas. That lack of cutting edge on return is what led to three tie-breaks and such a long match and it doesn't matter who you're playing against, your chances of winning a set diminish at the tie-break stage. Tsitsipas won the second set breaker, lost the third and should have lost the forth. On another day he'd have been taken to five sets and maybe even have lost the match because of his inability to break.

[raduvlad1995]

took dimitrov to take a set, zverev to win and some short odds on djokovic on a sets handicap...I guess rafa could be added to this acumulator, but I didn t add him, don t trust his leg and zandschulp is a damn good player

[CzechPunter]

Elise Mertens to beat Varvara Gracheva at 1.44 with BetVictor

Keeping it simple today with just this one, Mertens has been finally on the up recently and has had more than enough time to recover from any fitness issues given the walkover in the second round. Gracheva nearly lost against Sharma and then beat the semi-injured Tomljanovic, nothing great.

[Robinnho]

On 5/23/2022 at 11:11 PM, Torque said:

I'm not sure Mertens is completely fit @Foo_Fighter I'm sure I read something somewhere although I can't remember where.

Mertens had an injury on her right leg on 24/04/2022 and retired from the match against Peterson in Istanbul thus missing out on Madrid and Rome. 

[CzechPunter]

Since then, though, she's played 4 matches already, going 3-1 while apparently conserving herself a bit against Juvan.

[Robinnho]

50 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

Since then, though, she's played 4 matches already, going 3-1 while apparently conserving herself a bit against Juvan.

Yes, she played in Strasbourg before the RG and looks OK now and I hope she has recovered at least 90%.

[raduvlad1995]

no words for dimitrov.... will never ever bet anything on that guy again, what a complete clown. Doesn t even have the courtesy of abandoning when he's literaly hitting every single ball out and puting 0 effort.

[Simeon Borisof]

Just now, raduvlad1995 said:

no words for dimitrov.... will never ever bet anything on that guy again, what a complete clown. Doesn t even have the courtesy of abandoning when he's literaly hitting every single ball out and puting 0 effort.

Yep, hate him since him turned pro. 

[DrO]

Yup,very bad performance from Grisha.

[raduvlad1995]

26 minutes ago, Simeon Borisof said:

Yep, hate him since him turned pro. 

one time in I think in around a year that I ve bet on him because he gained my trust through his clay performances and look what he does..

[DrO]

58 unforced errors from Dimitov. Really..shameful match.

[raduvlad1995]

I literaly feel cheated by dimitrov, I ve won many bets, lost many bets but none stung like this one. 

[Torque]

Just a single today and it's Teichmann to beat Azarenka. The Swiss has a couple of clean wins behind her, compared to Azarenka who's had to dig in for both of her victories to reach this stage. I wouldn't give Teichmann much of a chance on a hard court, as evidenced by their meeting at the AO where Azarenka was an easy winner, but on clay which is Teichmann's best surface and Azarenka's worst, I think she should be the favourite.

20pts Teichmann to beat Azarenka @ 2.00 Betfair Sportsbook

[Foo_Fighter]

2 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:

no words for dimitrov.... will never ever bet anything on that guy again, what a complete clown. Doesn t even have the courtesy of abandoning when he's literaly hitting every single ball out and puting 0 effort.

 

2 hours ago, Simeon Borisof said:

Yep, hate him since him turned pro. 

Ever since he came to the spotlight I believed that he was just a huge copycat of Federer (in terms of style) and nothing else beyond that really. 

[Foo_Fighter]

Seb Korda to beat (+6.5 games) Carlos Alcaraz at 1.9 with bet365

Alexander Zverev to beat (-7.5 games) Brandon Nakashima at 1.8 with bet365

Zverev faced a very dangerous opponent on clay in the first round. Baez has potential to achieve great things in the future. Nakashima on the other hand cannot be a serious threat to Zverev. I feel that the scoreline will be something like 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 or an even more comfortable win for the German.

Alcaraz and Korda are tied at 1-1 in their h2h. The Spaniard won in straight sets (4-3, 4-2, 4-2) at the Next Gen ATP Finals in 2021 but Seb avenged his heavy defeat with a 2-1 victory (7-6, 6-7, 6-3) at their recent encounter in Monte Carlo. I expect Korda to be close and I like the line of 6.5 games. 

Good luck.

[Foo_Fighter]

2 hours ago, Torque said:

Just a single today and it's Teichmann to beat Azarenka. The Swiss has a couple of clean wins behind her, compared to Azarenka who's had to dig in for both of her victories to reach this stage. I wouldn't give Teichmann much of a chance on a hard court, as evidenced by their meeting at the AO where Azarenka was an easy winner, but on clay which is Teichmann's best surface and Azarenka's worst, I think she should be the favourite.

20pts Teichmann to beat Azarenka @ 2.00 Betfair Sportsbook

I must be the only one who doesn't like Teichmann coz I feel that I read great things about her game everywhere. Just hope you guys are right and she overcomes today's hurdle. A hurdle who never stops grunting lol.

[Torque]

19 minutes ago, Foo_Fighter said:

I must be the only one who doesn't like Teichmann coz I feel that I read great things about her game everywhere. Just hope you guys are right and she overcomes today's hurdle. A hurdle who never stops grunting lol.

Looks like I'm going to be out of luck with this one. Teichmann hit the front but got pegged back and lost the first set. Could be about to be immediately behind in the second.

Edited May 27, 2022 by Torque

[Foo_Fighter]

On 5/19/2022 at 5:46 PM, Foo_Fighter said:

fellow punters, how does the following Bet Request I made look to you?

French Open 2022 Winner (W) - Rybakina or Mertens or Anisimova or Kasatkina or Tauson at 10.00 

Starting to look, kind of, promising? All four girls remain in the tournament so I'm just hoping for the much and long-awaited upset. Who's gonna eventually stop Miss Swiatek from winning another FO title? Better yet, can anyone stop her? Rooting for my girls (Elena, Elise, Amanda & Daria).

?

[Torque]

3 minutes ago, Foo_Fighter said:

Starting to look, kind of, promising? All four girls remain in the tournament so I'm just hoping for the much and long-awaited upset. Who's gonna eventually stop Miss Swiatek from winning another FO title? Better yet, can anyone stop her? Rooting for my girls (Elena, Elise, Amanda & Daria).

?

Looking very good right now, as far as they're all still in the tournament. As you said though, Swiatek looks almost invincible. Still, the same was said years ago about Serena at Slams and she lost plenty of matches that seemed impossible to lose. There's been so many upsets in this tournament - who's to say there won't be another one and the biggest one of all with Swiatek going out. Good luck 

[Torque]

15 minutes ago, Torque said:

Looks like I'm going to be out of luck with this one. Teichmann hit the front but got pegged back and lost the first set. Could be about to be immediately behind in the second.

Would help her cause if she could get her first serve in. Vika serving at 80 percent just takes so much pressure off trying to hold serve and Teichmann serving 20 percent less than that makes it so much harder to hold.

[Foo_Fighter]

17 hours ago, Torque said:

Quiet day today with only the treble and one outright in action. The treble just about came in, but it wasn't looking good when Sinner, who was the shortest leg, lost the first set and then headed towards even money at the start of the second when facing break points. Thankfully he managed to save those points and then break before serving out the set from 0-40. After that he won the third set without much fuss, before going a break behind in the forth after failing to hold from 40-15. Carballes Baena then repeated that trick to hand the break back and then Sinner held after saving a break point before Carballes Baena outdid his previous service game by getting broken from 40-0. That seemed to break the Spaniard's resistance as a relatively easy hold from Sinner followed, before Carballes Baena had to save a load of break points to keep the deficit to just one break. Sinner then held serve in another nervy game where he had to recover from 0-30, which left Carballes Baena needing to hold serve to stay in the match. He got to 30-0 before losing four points in a row to hand victory to Sinner. Based on that performance, Sinner is going home as soon as he meets a better clay court player than Carballes Baena - he just doesn't have nous to win on clay at this level yet.

The outright of mine that was in action was Tsitsipas, and I'm not going to add too much to what I wrote earlier whilst he was playing his match. It's going to be very difficult for him to go much further, both because of fatigue and also because his return game just isn't there right now. For as well as Kolar played - and he did play really well - creating only twelve break points and taking just three of those points across four sets isn't good enough, particularly when you compare it to someone like Alcaraz who although wasteful created nearly twice as many break points during the first four sets of his match against Ramos-Vinolas. That lack of cutting edge on return is what led to three tie-breaks and such a long match and it doesn't matter who you're playing against, your chances of winning a set diminish at the tie-break stage. Tsitsipas won the second set breaker, lost the third and should have lost the forth. On another day he'd have been taken to five sets and maybe even have lost the match because of his inability to break.

Last year's Tsitsipas > This year's Tsitsipas

Don't know why though. Makes no sense. You would expect him to improve but he's getting worse. Worse serve, worse bh...

[Torque]

12 minutes ago, Foo_Fighter said:

Starting to look, kind of, promising? All four girls remain in the tournament so I'm just hoping for the much and long-awaited upset. Who's gonna eventually stop Miss Swiatek from winning another FO title? Better yet, can anyone stop her? Rooting for my girls (Elena, Elise, Amanda & Daria).

?

I tried to talk you out of all of those as well. Shows what I know