Leaderboard

6/1 winner,7/2 winner, 6/1 and 7/2 x double lands.plus f.cast lands in 3.27 payed £7.50. 27pts profit.

Thursday ratings. 12.30 Newbury. Aurigny mill.148. 6/1 Mucana.137.9/1. 1.40 .Newbury. Rock my way.150. 7/2. Olivers travels. 149.10/1. 2.52. Monmarial. 151. 7/2 Emitom.146. 7/2. 3.27. Twinjets. 156.100/30. Masicarno.148. 7/2. 1.25. Southall. Herectic. 106. 10/1. Overlooked. 101. 5/1. 2 pts win all races. 10/1 and over 1pt e.way.1/2 pt r.fc all 4 races, going to perm some cross doubles on Newbury races.

Ooh .......... just been notified that I've been upgraded to Level 4 out of 14 ...... 'Regular Member' Only 16 years on the forum and 15,000 posts ........ if I keep this rate up until I'm 150 I might get to level one ............ 😜

I’ve had a look through the Grand Slam this morning and picked out a player from each quarter, and broadly in agreement with what has already been said. Wade has a really good record in this tournament, especially in his last three visits, reaching two semi-finals and a final. He’s playing pretty well at the moment, so the 55/1 with Star Sports seems more than fair. In the second quarter I do like the chances of Rob Cross, but I’ve opted for Connor Scutt. Scutt doesn’t have much big stage experience to draw on, but if things click for him in Wolverhampton the 150/1 odds could look massive, that’s with Skybet. In the third quarter I’ve plumped for De Decker. He’s arguably playing the best darts of anyone in this section, so I’ve taken 33/1 with Coral. The bottom quarter is a real minefield, but I’ve gone for Josh Rock at 40/1 with SpreadEx. You could probably make a case for seven of the eight to get through from this section, but Rock has averaged in excess of 100 in both his knockout defeats over the last two years, so is due a bit of luck in this tournament.

The big race of the day is the Clonmel Oil Chase (Grade 2) over in Ireland at 2.40. Two and a half miles, good ground, right hand undulating track with a stiff finish The favourite, Saint Sam, has everything going for him ...... trained by Willie Mullins and his only runner in the race, He's had a couple of pipe openers over hurdles, he's won at this level before and at this trip. Ideally suited by small fields where he can get out in front and make all. There's a couple of rank outsiders who look outclassed and a couple of decent ones that are better around two miles and this stiff track should see them floundering in the finish The main danger therefore is Fakir D'Oudairies who won this race 3 years ago and won a Grade 2 race last season ........ but he's not been performing in good form lately and had been drifting this morning in the betting. So it all points to the jolly old Fav ......... 2.40 Clonmel - Saint Sam - win at 6/4 bet365

2 Saturdays ago the ratings made 370 pts profit, in just 1 day,was a 33/1 winner and £69 f.cast plus other winners. They have been performing really well of late,its a system I've been using for quite some time. Computer generated . I do my profit and loss each month.been posting on here around 7wks.close to 600 pts profit in that time.but that's mainly because of the Saturday I mentioned. Its only last few days been advising the x doubles on my selections.

Eintracht Frankfurt to beat Slavia Prague @-105 with William Hill No Analysis for me on football bets.. I just thought I would post the action I'm taking this morning.

Result: Saint Sam 1st. Won £30 November profit to date £35.68

won - + 30.00 month + 169.63

I've gone Cross, Rock, De Decker, Van Den Bergh and Wade in the end.

Wipeout in the later games for a poor midweek thus far. After one of the best months ever in October for the anytime bets November is starting to have echoes of August which was one of the worst. That said, short term variance is part and parcel of most betting and the long term returns are all that really counts. It's just easier to remember that when you're winning!

Sorry , PC running slow ended up posting this WINNING Tip four times!😁

I agree, over many years I've looked at systems based on jockeys and never found one that made a profit

13:50 Ludlow Ned Cash 5/6 Bet365 Whilst looking into all of the Competitions and how we can improve them, I thought Id get involved in this one

Clonmel 14.40 £20 Saint Sam @6/4 Ladbrokes

4.02 Newbury: Brookside LA @ 3/1 (WHill)

Got to stick with hit will hit the biggun one day soon I hope 😂did get all back yesterday with a footy bet so not the end of world 👍

Tightenourbelts 3:35 Exeter (11/2 Betvictor / Hills). Well handicapped if confidence is back. Heavily backed at Chepstow last season off 5lb higher but had no confidence at the jumps. Looked like a promising prep run over hurdles last month. Cobden booked. 2pts win 11/2 P/L: +7.9pts. Great ride from Cobden won that. Nice to actually get a winner but the R4's killed it, I only got paid out at 2.2/1, when it started at 7/2, which is a bit of a joke, but then again the fav might well have won.

No problem. Out of interest, when you next look at a game post up their odds for two players both to score. 2/1 and 5/2 or as close as you can find. Ideally you should get the multiplied odds or slightly more but a fair few firms offer less. Be good to know where they sit in that respect.

Apologies been out most of day

Got there in the end, brace bet landed though still a card shy of the BB.

Friday ratings. 2.25 Exeter. Sans brut.158.11/2 Scarface.157.11/1. 3.35. Tightenurbelts. 145.9/2 Egbert. 142. 7/1. 2pts win on all 4 selections and 1/2 point r.f.c. both races. 4x cross doubles.

Just two winners today in different L15's = a return of 1.83 versus total stakes of 3.00, hence a loss of 1.17. My C/fwd L15's balance is -135.43

Not sure what the odds would’ve been for Chelsea scoring 6 before the break and Nkunku not being among the scorers!

They weren’t a bad band either

Wow, just coming back after a break as life has been crazy with the summer holidays etc. Are you kind of new to the forum? How's this system working? I checked back some of your previous posts and it seems to be working well. Do you track a P/L? Have you ran the system for a while now? Well done 👍🏼

Gotta say that Gauff v Krejicova match was just awful. One player slightly less bad than the other. Gauff must have made 35 unforced errors (simple rally balls and powder puff 2nd serve returns) that left the building. SHe was 2.4 to 10. One of the worst matches I have ever seen. Imagine paying money to watch that rubbish...

Uni boost of 4/1 Nkunku brace is a no-brainer, clear and present value and void if not starting (which seems unlikely). 27/10 "straight" price not that bad. 4.2 on the exchange with the risk of him not starting and coming on as a sub.

We might want to review the naming of that one. Being called a "regular member" seems perilously close to a posh way of being called a proper plonker!

ah ok, that's why i couldn't find it, it's Hills. Going with this Bet Builder tonight. Just a bluey.

With Osimhen in the team and Gala at home, with such an intense environment. I feel like Spurs have quite a weak underbelly. I'm thinking Osi to score and Gala to win but perhaps it's best to stick it in a bet builder tonight. I like the look of those 3. Perhaps the 2nd and 3rd option with over 2.5 goals and adding Gala win and draw. What's 25 boost with b365 exactly?

Yeah, not the greatest recently. What we thinking with Spurs, Chelsea and Man U tonight then? I think Man U might have a bit of an up trend over the coming few weeks. No value on those boys. Part of me is quite tempted with Gala at home to Spurs?

Lucky 15 E/W Ludlow 4:10 Farhh Echo 10/1 Chelmsford City 6:00 - Good call 12/1 7:00- Renesmee 15/2 8:30 Helm Rock 13/2

505 NEW DARLOS PRIDE 9/2 WH

Only authorised and outlaw stood their ground .....went Ew at 33/1 and 10/1 in the end as only .....would have bet again had they drifted again but everything is shortening so I'll just let them run now

16-30 Newcastle muker 9/1 hills

"These are largely based on Trainers/Jockeys entries and bookings." I keep telling you that horses win races, What @harry_rag says is absolutely correct in what he says above. too many bets not enough rigour.

Today's NAP: 3:27 Newbury Masaccio @2.88 Bet365 Best regards!

That’s it for day 😂👍

2.40 Clon - Saint Sam - £20 win at 6/4 bet365

Day 53 +£425 4.55 Chelmsford jester queen 28/1e/w bt365

Day 247 -£130.20

Week Ten NFL Predictions YTD P45 W21 D2 L22 Staked 270 pts, returned 84.68 pts = YTD loss of 185.32pts. (1) NYGiants to win ATS -6.0 points @ 10/11. I am surprised I am saying this but the Giants are the better team here. The Panthers and Bryce Young will struggle to repeat their victory over the Patriots. Daniel Jones is usually good when he gets time in the pocket. Panthers have struggled to generate pressure all season. (2) 49Ers to win ATS -5.5 points @ 10/11. The 49ers’ off a bye week and the expected return of Christian McCaffrey should be pivotal here against a poor Buccaneers defence. (3) Bears to win ATS -6.0 points @ 10/11. The Bears defence is one of the best in the NFL but did not show up last week. I shall give them another chance at home against a poor New England team. (4) Steelers to win ATS +3.0 points @ 5/6. The Commanders have had a relatively easy schedule and playing the Steelers off a bye will be very different. Watch T.J. Watt will come hunting rookie QB Jayden Daniels. (5) Eagles to win ATS -7.5 points @ Evens. Dak Prescott and CD Lamb are the Cowboys best players and both are injured. With a reduced attacking threat and a poor run defence there will be little the Cowboys can do to stop Saquon Barkley. Hopefully A J Brown will start for the Eagles. Bet: 10 x 1 point trebles 5 x 3 point 4 timers 5 point accumulator

You might want to recheck your maths on that. I make it that even a fourfold would see you get less than half your total stake back if you did this till the end of the year. You’d need to hit all 5 or several 3s and 4s to finish in front. It strikes me as just another way for you to drip feed your money to the bookies. I’ve just realised you might mean that a treble should more than pay for that day’s bet, which is true, though the above is relevant to the overall returns you can expect. As all the evidence suggests you can’t beat the odds (i.e. your selections would show a loss if backed as level stake singles) then you can expect to lose however you combine your selections, unless you get lucky (as in lottery win lucky). There’s some logic for you doing lucky 15s as the boosted returns for 1 winner offset your losses to some extent and you have a chance of hitting that really big win. Doing these bets offers no such benefits. In my opinion you’d be better of focusing on improving your selection process rather than thinking of different ways to combine loss making bets. If you can get close enough to break even then the L15 bonus could turn that into a small long term profit. I look at your updates every day and just get a mounting sense of too many horses backed in too many different bets at too small stakes. How much to bet is very much a personal choice and needs to be done with regard to being responsible in terms of not risking more than you can afford to lose but, at the other end of the scale I feel stakes can be pointlessly small. No-one is likely to care that much about losing 75p so there’s a risk of the selection process lacking any real rigour, especially when backing so many horses every day. All that said I’ll congratulate you now on the full house you’ll inevitably land today after I’ve chosen to share these “pearls of wisdom”!

Nottingham 2.43 Diffident Spirit 18-1 B365

Took 17/10 early for de Jong (PSV), still just about a play on the exchange if you can get close to that. 18/5 Miovski in the same game. Kulenovic big for DZ at 21/10 with Paddy, got close enough on the exchange. Also 9/2 (or better) for Baturina. They're my 4 in the opening couple of games. @MCLARKE currently the (score) draw king on here! I suppose from the "fun" angle the dynamic changes as soon as one or other team scores and then you do want something to happen. From a value perspective it's like any other market, if the odds are wrong in your opinion then bet. Then there's the general principle that you're more likely find value on the things that most casual or mug punters don't want to bet on, which may apply to draws to an extent. I wouldn't place too much weight on any apparent trend in that respect. Freaky spates of (or absences of) draws in a given league tend to be just random blips that even themselves over time.

I agree and that's the whole point of having different types of events and a one year list etc cause personally, what I love about Darts is different winners. I don't want to be seeing the same old finals and hugely predictable short odds winners. I'll be taking Cross and Wade from the top half and the bottom I'm looking to cut 4 into 2 (Anderson, Van Den Bergh, Rock and De Decker)

A lot of negativity on the PDC social media channels about how many big names have missed out on this, I'm all for it personally. Majority of these players have had 23 chances (10 TV tournaments and 13 ET events) to meet the qualifying criteria before having to play in the qualifier for card holders, If they've not been good enough to get in them is the event really any worse off for their absence? Humphries and Littler should have no problems topping their groups. Groups B,D and H all look like minefields, any of the 4 players in each group could finish top or bottom and I don't think you'd me shocked. Will take a look at some group based bets close to the weekend, as well as the outrights.

Thank you Fader for running this comp.