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Showing content with the highest reputation on 10/11/2024 in all areas

  1. York 1.30 The first of ten races covered by the ITV cameras is a highly competitive sixteen runner class 2 1M handicap. With the ground currently riding soft (heavy in places) and with the odd shower still to come we need to be looking for a real mudlark. Step forward Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood’s five-year-old Thunder Roar who won two 7F handicaps on heavy ground at this time last year here and at Doncaster. He’s run well when conditions have been on the sloppy side this season finishing 1/2L runner up to the re-opposing Look Back Smiling at Doncaster’s Lincoln meeting for which he is now a pound better off. His latest run also was a good one at Ascot on soft ground against horses rated higher than him and the handicapper has raised him 4lb in future handicaps so he is effectively 4lb well in today. He’s the pick although as earlier stated if I like him I must have a small stakes each way saver on Gemma Tutty’s Look Back Smiling at a nice price as his soft ground form ties in with the selection. THUNDER ROAR 1 point each way @ 14/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 LOOK BACK SMILING 1/4 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 12345 Newmarket 1.47 The first of five races at the headquarters of racing covered by terrestrial television is the Group 3 Cornwallis Stakes run over 5F with a dozen juvenile sprinters declaring. Nothing really stands out to me with the likes of The Striking Viking, Treasure Isle, Coto De Caza and Grande Marques all found wanting already in this grade or higher. One horse who may be better than we’ve seen so far is the Saeed Bin Suroor trained Midnight Thunder who bar getting left ten lengths at the start on his debut would be chasing a four timer today. He’s looked good at Windsor and Yarmouth this autumn with all three of his runs coming over 6F. He’s shown plenty of pace mind and had his latest victory sewn up at the furlong pole so the drop to the minimum trip is not a worry. Oisin Murphy has a great record with the under used Godolphin trainer and he looks the value bet. MIDNIGHT THUNDER 1 point win @ 9/2 Bet365 York 2.05 A bumper field of fifteen two-year-olds have declared for this 7F EBF £100,000 Final. Although he has yet to race on anything like what he will encounter today the favourite, the Ralph Beckett trained Amiloc, will be hard to beat with his family all seemingly suited by soft ground. His sire Postponed was 2 from 2 on soft whilst his dam Colima won on her only start on soft ground. His half brother Chamade was also 2 from 2 on soft (including in listed company) and with his dam and half brother both trained by Beckett surely he will know whether he’ll go on the surface. He’s unbeaten in two starts on the all-weather at Kempton this season and this doesn’t look the strongest of races, with very little soft ground form to consider, so he is the selection. AMILOC 1 point win @ 7/2 bet365 Newmarket 2.25 Ten run in the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes run over 7F for two-year-old fillies. Ralph Beckett’s Cathedral is an interesting runner having bolted up on her only run which came in a all-weather maiden at Lingfield (3rd won since) and can be competitive but I prefer the more solid form pick in Ollie Sangster’s Flight who is the highest rated filly in the race. She bumped into a couple of useful sorts on her first two outings prior to comfortably breaking her duck at Sandown in August. Raised in class she certainly wasn’t disgraced in finishing third in the Group 2 May Hill at Doncaster last time over a mile behind the useful Desert Flower and shouldn’t mind the drop back a furlong today. Oisin Murphy has been aboard her for the last two outings and retains the partnership here. FLIGHT 1 point each way @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 123 York 2.40 Seven have declared for this 1M 6F three-year-old handicap worth over £50,000 to the winner. Theres plenty of soft/heavy form on show with the likes of The Reverand (up 9lb for winning in the mud at Ascot), Who’s Glen (up 12lb for heavy ground win at Chepstow) and Forest Gate (up 7lb, though carrying just a 6lb penalty today for a heavy ground win at Epsom). They all have chances but it’s the top weight of David Menusier’s Master Builder that appeals the most. He followed a highly credible third in the Melrose Handicap at York by winning at Haydock over today’s trip of 1M 6F a fortnight later. The 3rd has won since from that race to boost the form and he showed he handles the mud when winning at Salisbury back in May beating the now 105 rated Subsequent off of levels by a head. despite top weight he may still be ahead of his mark which is currently 95 and he’s the selection under Danny Tudhope. MASTER BUILDER 1 point win @ 2/1 BetVictor Newmarket 3.00 Eleven run in the Group 2 Challenge Stakes run over 7F which has quite an open look about it this year. Current favourite is the Charlie Appleby trained Noble Dynasty who lost his chance when slowly away at Goodwood last time. Any ease in the ground however would seem to be against him (he was pulled out on officially good ground at Haydock in June) and you can also pick holes in his form when winning here on the July course in June. He’s a lay for me and the one I want to be with is the Paul & Oliver Cole trained Royal Scotsman. He hasn’t been seen since bolting up at Epsom’s Derby meeting in June, a 132 day absence which I must admit is a bit of a worry although he has run one of his career best races when third in last seasons 2000 Guineas following a 210 day break last year. Still entered in next weekend’s Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot he may just be too good for these if straight enough with Jamie Spencer on top. ROYAL SCOTSMAN 1 point each way @ 4/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Chepstow 3.15 The first signs that the National Hunt season proper are just around the corner is this Chepstow two day fixture with the feature race being the 2M 3 1/2F Grade 2 Persian War Novices’ Hurdle which has attracted a field of seven. It’s a tough race with all bar Bullets Hill, the rank outsider in with a chance of sorts but it’s the highest officially rated runner Intense Approach who appeals the most. The only Irish runner in the race, John C McConnell’s five-year-old has already won a maiden and a novice hurdle at Downpatrick and Kelso this autumn so will certainly lose nothing in match fitness today. Harry Cobden is an eye catching booking taking over from 5lb conditional jockey Alex Harvey and is the pick. INTENSE APPROACH 1 point win @ 10/3 Hills Newmarket 3.35 The feature race of today’s racing is the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile which is contested by seven juveniles. The form pick and one they all have to beat is surely the Charlie Appleby trained Desert Flower who is unbeaten in three starts this season including last time out in the Group 2 May Hill Stakes over today’s trip at Doncaster in September. She did that well defeating the re-opposing January, who looks held, and is a confident selection. DESERT FLOWER 1 point win @ 6/4 Betfred Chepstow 3.50 The second national hunt race shown by the ITV team this afternoon is this 2M 7 1/2F veterans handicap chase in which a healthy field of eleven go to post. Fitness at this time of year is a major factor and one horse who has a terrific record fresh which reads 111121171 is the Nigel Twiston-Davies trained Good Boy Bobby who was my selection in this race a year ago when coming from the clouds over the last to get up on the line beating Aye Right by a neck. He went on to follow up from a 3lb higher mark at Sandown a month later but failed to win in four previous starts. He’s now just a pound higher than last year’s victory but 2lb lower than his last win and with his stable in terrific form and his record fresh looks the one to be with. GOOD BOY BOBBY 1 point win @ 4/1 bet365 Newmarket 4.10 One of the most competitive handicaps of the day is the 1M 4F Old Rowley Cup Handicap featuring fifteen runners but the bet of the day runs here in the shape of the Andrew Balding improver Mount Atlas who will be ridden by Oisin Murphy. Only his fifth ever career start (he unseated 5F out on his debut) he showed on his handicap debut that he was progressing the right way when winning a class 2 1M 4F handicap at Ascot by half a length from Insanity. That form has worked out remarkably well with the runner up winning since along with the 3rd (Melrose Handicap), 5th (listed race by 8 1/2L) and the 6th ( by 7 1/2L). Even the 7th has run well in finishing 3rd in a class 2 York handicap (beaten 1 3/4L). The handicapper has shunted up the selection 7lb but that may be lenient and he has a major each way chance. Due To Henry is another who’s form has been boosted and could feature although he like a few here have stamina to prove. MOUNT ATLAS 2 points each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 1234
    4 points
  2. Nations league not really of interest to me, a bit like friendlies. League 2 WIMBLEDON, BARROW, GILLINGHAM - treble pays 3.95/1 with boost with 365. ( All 3 are at home to the bottom 3 teams in the league) Wimbledon - look mid table but have played 3 fewer games - still 9 places above Carlisle and 11 goals better off. Barrow - 3rd in table at home to bottom of table Morecambe , and 12 goals better off. Gillingham - 2nd in table at home to 2nd bottom Accrington, and 16 goals better off. * goals better off means GD for home team at home + GD for away team away from home.
    4 points
  3. A cracking afternoon of racing on ITV with 10 races I'm going to have £2 win on each race and am picking the current second favourite as at around 11.45am. All BOG Yk 1.30 - Hafeet Alain 7/1 wm hill Ne 1.47 - The Strikin Viking 4/1 Coral Yk 2.05 - Stratusnine 13/2 Coral Ne 2.25 - Flight 4/1 wm hill Yk 2.40 - Master Builder 5/2 bet365 Ne 3.00 - Topgear 5/1 bet365 Ch 3.15 - Ryan's Rocket 5/2 bet365 Ne 3.35 - January 4/1 wm hill Ch 3.50 - Wayfinder 4/1 bet365 Ne 4.10 - Kildare Legend 5/1 bet365
    4 points
  4. Good competitive Cards today, pick of the prices for me are as follows... Newmarket 14.25 Flight 3/1 (free bet 2nd) 15.00 Noble Dynasty 5.5 (betfair exchange) York: 14.05 Amloc 2/1 14.40 Master Builder 9/4 15.10 Fuji Mountain 7/1 Unless stated otherwise, these are bog prices and offers from Betfred at 10.00a.m
    4 points
  5. I've not used them, but follow them on Twitter and they are racecourse bookies who set up an online presence a couple of years ago. Should be fine to use because of that.
    3 points
  6. Your better off doing it on outsiders .....when the horse is like 25/1 they don't seem to care if the horse is that price to 6places sometimes and they'll give you that price then 7 places might be 18/1 .....8 places 14/1 etc ... I always check before I place any bet ...even on Betfair .,.I'll always check extra places prices first .....not every race ....but the big races they take a lot of liquidity so like to oppose the favs with generous Ew terms on the outsiders Take tomorrow's big race ....spirit mixer is around 14/1 generally but bet365 will give you 14/1 to 6 places !!.....just an example
    3 points
  7. Managed to get 5 places so paid out on imperial... Always worth checking bet365 extended places because sometimes they'll give you same price to 5 th even 6th places if feeling generous ....but you have to look . They won't show you lol 😆
    3 points
  8. Fader

    2024 World Grand Prix

    tends to be the better players as it goes as you need to have the bottle to double the first time. MVG 3 times, Price, Clayton and Humphries in the last 6yrs. however, definitely something weird about it this year.
    3 points
  9. Torque

    2024 World Grand Prix

    I'm assuming it must be the format. Given so many can have struggles checking out, adding in checking in can only add to the carnage. I've not looked but this must be one of the tournaments with the most random results.
    3 points
  10. AW selection Kempton 7.15 THE GLEN ROVERS
    3 points
  11. The 2.45 Chepstow is an interesting mares hurdle race The Nicholls favourite had a big reputation on the point circuit, but if you can get an each way price I think Dameofthecotswolds will have a recent race advantage 11-2 is her current price
    3 points
  12. Old Rowley cup full rating and class Imperial sovereign 407 580 total 987 Brioni. 404 578 total 982 Grey Cuban. 376 568 total 944 Goodwood odyssey. 378 560 total 938 Sun god. 380 459 total 839 Brioni is on the upgrade and looks a good Ew bet at 6/1 but overall the computer is overwhelmingly saying for some reason that imperial sovereign at 25/1!! ....is epicly overpriced with with a value index of 1.8 .....so I'll go 5 PT Ew brioni ...and imperial sovereign
    3 points
  13. 2.10 Chepstow-Letterston Lily She looks better than a Summer jumps horse Each Way, currently 13-2
    2 points
  14. Filibustering 2nd at 16/1 Irish nector 5th at 16/1 Destroy the evidence 1st at 8/1 Also imperial sovereign 5th. Got 14/1 with extra place. Gives me 16pts profit from today's ratings.
    2 points
  15. Don't follow or punt Soccer harry but noticed William Hill offer a 25% bonus on winnings on most games i think , suspect it's still an just an interest bet for those that follow with no value whatsoever though as all bookmakers seem to be pushing the bet very hard. 25% Winnings Boost Football IcelandvWales Bet Builder 3+ selections 3/1+ Expires today 19:45 Apply in betslip Select bet Terms & Conditions Good luck
    2 points
  16. Shouldvbeenaring 3 00Nmk 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 Navagio 1 30Yrk 1/40th of a pt ew 14/1
    2 points
  17. 2 points
  18. 4-55 York on the river 20/1 365 ew
    2 points
  19. 3.35 Newmarket: Anna Swan @ 16/1 E/W (Bet365)
    2 points
  20. Newmarket 1.15 The first of eight races covered by the ITV cameras today is this 1M 1F Group 3 Space Blues Darley Stakes which has attracted a field of nine. The best in at the weights today is the globe trotting Spirit Dancer but he hasn’t been seen for 196 days and one would think this is a stepping stone to his travels again this winter. John & Thady Gosden’s three-year-old Lead Artist is progressive and can run well although ideally wants fast ground and any cut in the ground would be against him. One horse who will have no problem on that score is Karl Burke’s four-year-old Liberty Lane who arrives on a career best effort when winning the Cambridgeshire Handicap over course and distance a fortnight ago. Clifford Lee rode him that day and retains the mount today. He should be thereabouts and is the pick. LIBERTY LANE 1 point win @ 7/2 bet365 York 1.30 The first of York’s three ITV races today is the 6F listed Rockingham Stakes for two-year-olds which will be run on pretty testing ground. There’s very little soft ground form amongst the nine strong field with the highest rated being the Ricard Fahey trained Shadow Army who has been gelded and wears blinkers since last seen 47 days ago. He also has yet to encounter soft ground and a better pick is the Ralph Beckett trained Bolo Neighs who showed vastly improved form when running away with the Goffs 500 at The Curragh a fortnight ago on ground on the slow side of good. The Coulsty gelding pulled 7L clear of his rivals and a reproduction of that run can put this Hector Crouch ridden gelding right in the mix here. BOLO NEIGHS 1 point win @ 3/1 bet365 Newmarket 1.50 The 10F Palace Pier Zetland Stakes is a Group 3 contest for two-year-olds and has attracted a field of seven including some promising staying types in the shape of the Gosden runner Dunamase and Ralph Beckett trained Starzintheireyes who both looked good winning their maidens and are stepping up in distance and class today. Aidan O’Brien saddles a a brace of runners with the Ballydoyle number one being the Curragh maiden winner Shackleton who steps up a further furlong with Ryan Moore seemingly picking this Camelot gelding ahead of stablemate County Mayo. He appears to be highly progressive and in a race in which the market will be prove informative is the selection. SHACKLETON 1 point win @ 9/4 Ladbrokes York 2.05 A good sized field of fifteen run in this valuable 1M 2 1/2F class 2 handicap. There’s plenty of soft ground form on offer including the Karl Burke trained top weight Bolster who should run well. William Knight’s Dual Identity has been in good form this season and his Cambridgeshire effort can be upgraded as he was drawn on the unfavoured near side. Paddy The Squire was also down the field in that race and likes to get his hooves in so appeals at a nice price to run well but I’ll take a chance with the confirmed mudlark Stessfree who’s form figures on ground deemed soft or worse reads 102212241. He was well backed earlier in the week when going down by a length to the progressive Galyx and off of the same mark David O’Meara’s four-year-old gelding looks good value each way with an additional place. STRESSFREE 1 point each way @ 11/1 bet365 1/5 1234 Newmarket 2.25 Six have declared for another interesting juvenile contest, the 1M Group 3 Emirates Autumn Stakes. Godolphin trainer Charlie Appleby has an excellent record in the race having won the contest for the past four years and saddles the progressive Silver Peak. William Buick’s mount looked smart when beating the subsequent easy winner Sir Dindan by a couple of lengths at Haydock last month. This is a step up in class but he can take this with the Aidan O’Brien runner Delacroix who is without doubt the form pick following his 1/2L second in a Group 2 at Leopardstown last month his big danger. SILVER PEAK 1 point win @ 10/3 bet365 York 2.40 The most competitive race of the day, including the Cesarewitch, is this twenty two runner class 2 Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap. Several can be given chances but the one that catches my eye is Kevin Ryan’s top weight Room Service who is two from two on soft ground with his latest effort when 11th in the Ayr Gold Cup easily excused on account of the fast ground. He may still have improvement to come as this is only his ninth career start. Tom Eaves rides and with additional places from a draw in the middle of the field can run well. ROOM SERVICE 1 point each way @ 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Newmarket 3.00 The day’s big two-year-old race is the Group 1 Darley Dewhurst Stakes which has attracted a a small but select field of six. Aidan O’Brien has half of the field with presumably Rock Of Cashel here to make the pace for his two stable mates. Expanded only got going late to score in maiden company on his debut at The Curragh a week ago so surely this will come too quick. The Lion In Winter is the Ballydoyle number one under Ryan Moore having shot to the front of next year’s Derby betting when winning the Group 3 Acomb Stakes at York in August. The runner up that day Wimbledon Hawkeye has won the Group 2 Royal Lodge since to frank the form and he looks the bet here. His biggest threat may come from the boys in blue with Charlie Appleby’s brace of impressive Middle Park winner Shadow Of Light and Group 2 Superlative Stakes winner Ancient Truth. I prefer the latter of the pair despite William Buick choosing the former who looked a sprinter to me and doesn’t appeal stepping up in trip here but the one to be with is The Lion In Winter. THE LION IN WINTER 1 pint win @ EVS William Hill Newmarket 3.40 The feature handicap of the day is the fiercely competitive Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap run over a stamina sapping 2M 2F with a field of twenty five spread across the course which starts in one county and ends in another! Irish horses have won this race five times in the last six and it looks like that sequence will continue with the market top heavy with runners from the Emerald Isle. Willie Mullins has won the race three times in the last 6 and saddles the totally unexposed runner Sea Of Sands who is a past Group 3 winner in Germany and bolted up in a maiden hurdle following a 776 day absence on his debut for Mullins in September. The only thing not to like about him is his price and the one I want to be with is the Gavin Cromwell trained Sixandahalf who won on the July course back in August prior to a good 3rd in the Irish Cesarewitch at The Curragh over 2M 1F last month. That was arguably a stronger race than this and he appeals each way under his 3lb apprentice Robert Whearty. SIXANDAHALF 1 point each way @ 8/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456
    1 point
  21. 1 point
  22. I've signed up and found it quite good so far. It looks like whoever designed the website also designed the Gentleman Jim website. No opening offers but they do offer the magical double odds 1 winner on lucky15s which is a big plus for me, and BOG, another big plus. Also free bet if your horse finishes second at the Welsh courses.
    1 point
  23. Another terrific winner for @Gary66 , On The River at York, backed from 20/1 into 9/2 favourite
    1 point
  24. Saturday ratings.3.40 nmkt. Bashful boy. 126. 50/1. Queenstown. 116. 16/1. Dawn rising. 116. 14/1. 3 picks 1pt e.way. 2.05.york. dual identity. 114. 10/1 Paddy the squire.114. 16/1. 2.40. Room service. 113. 7/1 Servant wilko. 111. 20/1 4.30. Zimmerman.103. 14/1. Corsican caper. 101. 16/1. 2.10 Chepstow. Roaring legend.145. 5/1. Through the ages. 143. 10/1. 3.20. Afadil.146. 11/1. Josh the boss. 142. 20/1. 4.00. Saint segal. 170. 8/1. Ga law. 165. 7/1. 4.35. Stolen silver.164. 9/2. Toss again. 157. 7/1. 2pts win under 10/1 over 10/1. 1pt e.way. and 1/2 pt r.f.c.
    1 point
  25. Fader

    2024 World Grand Prix

    and from Clayton about to win the 2nd set 3-0 and go 2-1 up he loses the set and will now go on to lose. Humphries taking out 146. Clayton missed 3 darts to kick off the set. Tedious Players just give up far too easy against Luke.
    1 point
  26. First look and if you're not using a phone, the website is terrible. Slow and clunky.
    1 point
  27. Sportinglife Accy Gillingham Barrow Wimbledon Grimsby 16/1 Skybet 10 units
    1 point
  28. Lost (N/W) Month -£60
    1 point
  29. Only tip tommorrow LOW Draw in big sprint massive advantage at york gl all
    1 point
  30. Fader

    2024 World Grand Prix

    Looks kinda obvious after previous rounds that wins for de decker, cross and VDB so expect the opposite
    1 point
  31. Ena Shibahara to beat Linda Fruhvirtova at 1.50 with Bet365 Fruhvirtova is in a free-fall right now, and Shibahara should be good in home conditions. Linda hasn't won a match since July, losing against the likes of Mladenovic and Lepchenko in the process.
    1 point
  32. 535 DPK EDGEWELL 4/1 WH
    1 point
  33. This statement I can wholly agree with mate. International football break is absolutely pointless. I can't see why they can't just scrap the Nations League, and stick all the qualifiers in a block format at the end of the domestic season lol.
    1 point
  34. One (not very imaginative) bet builder from me for the 5.00 Kickoff clash of the footballing Titans of Estonia vs Azerbaijan Three legs, odds 2/1 Bet365 Total cards: Over 4 Total Goals: Under 3 Double Chance: Azerbaijan or Draw
    1 point
  35. Day 32 -£141 4.45 Newmarket Fakhama 40/1 e/w bet365
    1 point
  36. Eddie G 6.30 Dundalk 12-1 Bet365
    1 point
  37. 3.35 Newmarket: Anna Swan @ 16/1 E/W (Bet365)
    1 point
  38. Gamble is on ?????...lol 😆
    1 point
  39. LEE-GRAYS

    DAILY LUCKY 15

    Day 222 -£100ots more to come
    1 point
  40. MCLARKE

    SPEED RATINGS

    Current loss 11.34 points COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS BOOKMAKER Newmarket 1.07 Mother Mara 9.00 BETFAIR York 1.30 Navagio 9.00 BETFAIR Newmarket 1.47 The Strikin Viking 4.50 BETFAIR Newmarket 2.25 Flight 3.33 BETFAIR York 2.40 Master Builder 1.88 BETFAIR Newmarket 3.00 Jumby 33.00 BETFAIR York 3.10 Fuji Mountain 5.00 BETFAIR Newmarket 3.35 January 7.00 BETFAIR York 3.45 Wen Moon 9.00 BETFAIR Newmarket 4.10 Spaceport 28.00 BETFAIR Newmarket 4.45 Place Of Safety 14.00 BETFAIR
    1 point
  41. Dundalk 7.30 LOHENGRIN £20 win BSP
    1 point
  42. The pick of the prices for me today are as follows.. Exeter: 14.23 Florencethemachine 9/4 1608 Jo's Rainbow 11/2 Southwell: 19.00 Mon Etoile 10/3 20.30 Maris Angel 4/1 These are Bog Prices taken from Betfred at 10.15 am
    1 point
  43. Won, BSP 1.88 81 from 330, LSP 75.77
    1 point
  44. Posted earlier in week on class thread
    1 point
  45. I also have imperial sovereign top rated,and goodwood odyssey a close 2nd.
    1 point
  46. I sometimes think that picking bets at random would be quicker and potentially more profitable when it comes to International footy but I'll carry on chucking the darts during the latest break. Ikaunieks 4/1 for Latvia and 5/2 Damascan for Moldova.
    1 point
  47. Bath 1.25 - Tarbat Ness 8/1 Ayr 1.40 - Savrola 9/1 Bath 2.35 - Louis Treize 4/1 Ayr 2.50 - Mighty Power 20/1 Ayr 3.25 - Iris Dancer 28/1 Ayr 4.00 - Maxi Boy 6/1 Bath 4.20 - Make a Scene 10/1 Ayr 4.33 - Jackhammer 20/1 Bath 4.59 - Miss Bella Brand 5/2 Ayr 5.08 - Laudable 13/2 these are the selections in my old RPR/RTF system for this afternoon's flat handicaps ...... RPR is the Racing's Post's form figure and RTF is the Post's trainer form figure (the figure is a measure of how the trainer's runners are achieving their form level) So ideally adding the two figures together and selected the top rated will give a horse around the top rated who is most likely to run to his rating. That's the theory ! prices quoted are Skybet single figure - win only double figure odds - EW
    1 point
  48. 1 point
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