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AFC Fylde v Woking I know it is easy to say after they have won, but Oldham should have been more than a 1pt bet last week. Woking really are rubbish and Oldham beat them with ease. Prior to Tuesday night I might not have played in this game as Fylde have surprisingly struggled massively for points so far this season, but they sacked the manager which needed to be done and they then beat Southend on Tuesday night. I watched that game and thought they deserved to edge it. Having Nick Haughton up front is always going to be a plus and he scored the winner on Tuesday. I make them clear favs to beat Woking on the back of that win. Altrincham v Boston We were a bit unlucky with Boston last week against Aldershot and I think they are worth backing again here at Altrincham. They have had two very good wins in their last 2 away games, beating York 2-0 and Sutton 3-0, and with Altrincham not really looking all that convincing so far this season I think the bookies have under estimated Boston here. Gateshead v Forest Green Bubble well and truly burst last week as Gateshead lost 7-1 to Dagenham. Clearly that was a bad day at the office, but they looked shocking in defence and injuries to key players are not helping. They have dipped their toe into the loan market to help, but I've yet to be convinced that they look potential champions on the games I have watched of them so far. Clearly they can win this, but I just don't get how they are odds on to beat a FGR side who have one of the best squads in the divisions. Barnet are the only team to beat them and whilst a point against Wealdstone was a bit disappointing last week, I can see them causing Gateshead lots of problems here especially if they defend like they did at Dagenham. Hartlepool v Dagenham & Redbridge Speaking of Dagenham that win must have given them huge confidence and came on the back of beating Sutton 3-0. They are yet to win away from home, but their only loss was an unlucky one to Woking although I do hope they can take those home performances into their away ones. I remain unconvinced by Hartlepool and whilst they have only lost twice, they don't look a side who have many goals in them. I don't think there is much between these two on paper and Dagenham certainly have the momentum so look value to me. Solihull v Southend A bizarre gamble on Southend for this game as they haven't really got going so far this season. I tried taking them on against Eastleigh last week which didn't pay off, but that is one of just two victories so far this season. As mentioned above I watched them on Tuesday and they didn't impress. They look a side short on players and they haven't really looked to strengthen as I thought they would before the season started. Defender Gus Scott-Morriss has scored 7 of their 11 goals and that clearly isn't going to be sustainable. Solihull look to have turned the corner with wins at Yeovil and Rochdale the last twice. They should be clear favs for this in my view and they look a good value bet. Eastbourne v Slough I don't get why Slough are favs for this game. They are stuttering after winning 5 of their first 6 games with defeats to Weston and Hemel in their last two league matches. They then needed a replay to beat Chichester in the FA Cup this week. Eastbourne are above Slough in the table and I fully expect that to be the case come April so they really ought to be favourites. Their manager wasn't happy with their performance against Boreham Wood in the FA Cup last Saturday, but that was always going to be a tough game in the circumstances and I'm expecting much better here. FCUM v Matlock The home sides only win so far this season came on the opening day of the season and whilst there was improvement on Tuesday night in their 2-1 loss to Macclesfield, I can see a lot of sides raising their game against them this season. I do have add though that they had sacked their manager before that game so maybe there will be more to come. Even so Matlock have seen some fresh investment and a new manager themselves and they won for the first time this season against Workington last Saturday, but they only had 10 men for most of the game and came from a goal down as well. They battled well against Ashton on Tuesday to go down 3-2 and for me they look a big price to pick up another 3 points here. Prices from 6pm Friday AFC Fylde 2pts @ 8/5 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (take up to 11/10) Boston 1pt @ 10/3 with Paddy Power and Betfair (Hills are 17/5 and take up to 9/4) FGR 1pt @ 23/10 with Paddy Power, Betfair, William Hill, Ladbrokes and Betfred (365 are 5/2 and take up to 9/5) Dagenham 1pt @ 21/10 with William Hill and Betfred (take up to 8/5) Solihull 2pts @ 9/5 with pretty much everyone (take up to 5/4) Eastbourne 1pt 19/10 with Paddy Power, Bet365 and Betfair (take up to 6/4) Matlock 1pt @ 14/5 with Bet365 (take up to 2/1)

Ayr 1.15 The first of nine races covered by ITV is this class 2 1M handicap which features a maximum field of fourteen runners. It looks a wide open affair with top weight Mirsky for the David O’Meara stable bringing a decent piece of form to the stable which a last time out runner up (beaten 1/2L) in the Clipper Handicap at York won by Thunder Run. He’s 2lb higher now and may struggle to confirm the form with Andrew Balding’s Aragon Castle who was 1 3/4L back in sixth and is now 2lb better off. One of only two three-year-olds in the race he may still have further improvement to come and with P J McDonald in the saddle can reward an each way wager. There are many others with claims however including last year’s winner Revich who’s now 7lb lower in the ratings. ARAGON CASTLE 1/2 point each way @ 7/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Newbury 1.30 The Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes is a Group 3 contest run over 5F which has attracted a field of eleven runners. The best in at the weights and a good 8lb and more ahead of his field is the Mick Appleby trained Annaf who was denied a clear run in the Haydock Sprint Cup last time out trailing in 15th of the 16 runners. I’m not entirely sure this Grade 2 7F winner wants a drop back to the minimum trip and is opposable. With a band of rain forecast the ground could easily ride on the slow side and that will be music to the ears of connections of the Rod Millman trained Adaay In Devon who’s been on the go since the first day of the season at Doncaster in March but appears to keep her form remarkably well. Her ideal conditions are 5F on soft ground and having run well on her last two starts on fast ground should appreciate stepping back on an easier terrain today. She looks good each way value under Silvestre De Sousa. ADAAY IN DEVON 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Ayr 1.50 The Doonside Cup is a listed contest run over 1M 2F and has attracted a field of nine this year. Joint best in here on official ratings is the Ricard Hannon trained three-year-old Persico who holds the Group 1 Champion Stakes entry at Ascot next month. He should run well but I’m not sure drying ground is his favoured ground conditions so pass him over in favour of the penalised Phantom Flight. George Scott’s five-year-old carries a 3lb penalty for winning a listed contest on his first run for the stable back in July and has run well twice since in Group 3 company. Runner up last time out to See The Fire in the Strensall Stakes at York when he had the re-opposing Roger Varian runner Enfjaar 2 1/2L behind in sixth. The latter is now 3lb better off and can get closer especially as he had a wide trip that day but may just struggle to make up all of the ground on the selection. PHANTOM FLIGHT 1 point win @ 11/4 Betfred Newbury 2.05 A valuable class 2 1M 5 1/2F handicap has attracted fifteen runners and a very worthy favourite in the David Menuisier trained Waxing Gibbous who certainly won’t mind if the rain hits the Berkshire track. The four-year-old filly stepped up his form when moving up to 1M 6F in the valuable handicap the Old Borough Cup Handicap at Haydock earlier this month when going down by just a neck to Epic Poet. This will only be her eighth career start and may have further improvement in her. Shes fairly berthed in stall 8 and should be highly competitive with the Andrew Balding runner Lieber Power looking a likely threat . WAXING GIBBOUS 1 point win @ 4/1 bet365 Ayr 2.25 The first of the two 6F cavalry charges today is the Virgin Bet Silver Cup Handicap which features 23 runners. One horse stands out here to me and that’s the six timer seeking Craig Lidster trained Alfa Kellenic. The three-year-old filly has been a revelation this season rising some 23lb since starting her run and her recent victory at York over 7F has been boosted since by the 2nd and 4th finishing 2nd and 3rd in a Group 3 since. That victory came off of a mark of 88 and taking today’s jockey William Pyle’s 3lb claim into account is now only 2lb higher and should appreciate stepping back to 6F. The ex Archie Watson runner Rhythm N Hooves is interesting having his first run for sprint specialist Robert Cowell but this is all about Alfa Kellenic who it would be no shock were he to be well backed exiting from stall 22. ALFA KELLENIC 1 point each way @ 11/2 Quinnbet 1/5th 12345 Newbury 2.40 Eleven run in this valuable class 2 1M 2F handicap. Any easing in the ground is maybe against the likes of Flying Frontier and Quietness who are close to the head of the market and there may well be some each way value to be found in the shape of the Harry Eustace trained Mustazeed who always seems to run well at the Berkshire track with form figures here which read 01148. The David Probert ridden six-year-old is due to run at the track on Friday so may not be a certain runner but if he does run he’s worth a saver bet for sure. The main bet though is the Simon &b Ed Crisford trained three-year-old Involvement who was two necks behind the re-opposing Flying Frontier at Sandown last time and can turn that form around on 2lb better terms. He also has form on soft ground so may not mind were things to get muddy. INVOLVEMENT 1 point ew @ 9/2 bet365 1/5th 1234 MUSTAZEED 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Ayr 3.00 Thirteen have declared for the Group 3 Firth Of Clyde Stakes run over 6F for two-year-old fillies. Arguably the form horse is the George Boughey trained Englemere, a winner in listed company and 4th in a Group 3 last time but she has yet to try this distance and it may be worth chancing one of those stepping up in class. William Haggas saddles his Newbury maiden winner Sky Majesty (runner up won in the week) and should be thereabouts along with the Henry De Bromhead trained Town And Country who was last seen winning a maiden at Navan from the 90 rated Snapdragon. Of the pair I prefer the former who is owned by Tony Bloom and can take this step up in grade in her stride under Callum Rodriquez. SKY MAJESTY 1 point each way @ 9/2 Betfred 1/5th 1234 Newbury 3.15 A field of ten have declared for the Group 2 Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes run over 6F for two-year-olds. Richard Fahey’s Powerful Glory looked smart when landing a gamble on his debut at Pontefract winning by an easy 5 1/2L with his trainer saying all the right things about him afterwards and nominating this race as a target. That was on good to firm ground though with Fahey staying he is ‘a very fast horse’. I just wonder if rain softened ground will suit and prefer the more established form line of the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes from York in which Charlie Appleby’s Shadow Of Light had a head in front of Adrian Keatley’s subsequent winner Symbol Of Strength. There shouldn’t be much between them with slight preference for the former who will be ridden by William Buick. Closely related to heavy ground Group 1 winner Earthlight he may not be inconvenienced by the likely easier ground so is the pick. SHADOW OF LIGHT 1 point win @ 11/4 William Hill Ayr 3.35 The day’s feature handicap is the Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup Handicap run over 6F with a maximum field of 25. As you would expect there are many with chances including last weekend’s gambled on Portland Handicap winner American Affair who should appreciate stepping up half a furlong but does have to race off of a handicap mark 5lb higher. The one that takes my eye is the David Evans trained six-year-old Rohaan who was seventh in this last year from a modest draw only beaten 1 3/4L and returns off of a handicap mark 8lb lower. He bounced back to form with a credible third at Ascot last time out under today’s jockey Tom Queally and looks a very well handicapped at present as three of his handicap victories have come from a significantly higher handicap mark. Theres a lot to like and if drawn on the right side (he’s in stall 8 next to front runner Sergeant Wilko) can run a big race. ROHAAN 1 point each way @ 12/1 bet365 1/5th 123456

Silver cup.2.25. Rythem & hooves.100. 22/1. Be proud 99.22/1 Sargent pep.99. 33/1 1/2 point e.way all 3 selections.

Silver cup with class rating Alfa kellenic. 397 11/2 Two tribes. 397 16.0 Mr wagyu. 394 22/1 Summerghand 389 Alfa kellenic doesn't know how to lose ....but this is tough against so many high class sprinters ....two tribes would have hated the heavy ground lto and is better on faster ground ......Mr wagyu has been running crap but is one horse who pops up when you least expect him to ...so When he is top 3 rated I sit up and take note 5 PT wins top 3 and forecasts

@LEE-GRAYS Not So Sleepy wins on final racecourse appearance. What a hero. May a long and happy retirement be had for him.

I think korker 33/1 and tinto 50/1 will get placed now in the gold cup

Drawn high drifted low and still won ..,unbelievable ....was 2nd rated that's all I can say .....but not the end of world ..jenever placed at 25/1 ...so 2 of the 4 placed in such a massive race and jenever was the value bet Edit just seen two tribes placed too so 3 of 4 placed ....I don't feel so bad now 😂

Chase The Dollar 5 25Chs 1/40th of a pt ew 66/1 Fivethousandtone 3 35Ayr 1/40th of a pt ew 66/1 Aramram 2 25Ayr 1/40th of a pt ew 14/1 { struck last week} -2nd Mostabshir 3 35Ayr 1/40th of a pt ew 14/1 { struck last week} -7th Houstonn 2 40Nby 1/40th of a pt ew 18/1 Blue Wood 3 26Gp 1/40th of a pt ew 12/1 -2nd

I found most of this afternoon's racing either too competitive or the prices offered about my selections simply too short Things look a little better this evening at Wolverhampton and WHOOP WHOOP in the 18.30 is double the price i had about her on my tissue.The 4/1 offered is simply too big about this hat-trick seeking filly who is unbeaten since being tried in cheekpieces. Half an hour later SOUTH DAKOTA SIOUX looks over-priced at 5/2.This 4yo gelding doesn't win as often as he should,but that seems factored in the price about a proven Course and Distance winner racing off a career low mark with a good 5ib claimer in the plate. Betfred's offer of a free bet 2nd,just swings a wager on 4/1 Chance MELISENDE in the 20.00.Winning despite being slowly away takes some doing at Lingfield over sprint distances,but this one did exactly that seven days ago.If unlike me you still have an account with Hills,then 9/2 is currently on offer. Finally, PYSANKA in the lucky last looks a play.The 5yo gelding ticks all the boxes here and while 2/1 shots are usually as low as i go when wagering-there is some 9/4 about in the villages this morning. I use Bog Bookmakers(and Betfair exchange) and currently only have a Betfred account at present.

Ayr gold cup ratings. STRIKE RED. 116. 14/1. COMMANCHE FALLS.114. 33/1. 2pts win and 1pt e.way also 1/2 point r.f.c.

Re rating cups with main rating ... Silver cup Brooklyn nine nine 395 13/2 Val 0.30 Alfa kellenic. 391 11/2 Val 0.24 Two tribes 390 12/1 Val 0.50 Jenever 387 25/1 Val 1.06 Value bet is jenever overall ...but if you go by draw bias today ....Alfa and Brooklyn are drawn High and two tribes and jenever low ..........I'm gonna cash out and change my bets to these two drawn low ....5 PT Ew both ....you watch the draw switch now ...lol 🤣

Gold cup Mostabshir 545 12/1 Rohaan .543 12/1 Orazio 528 18/1 Northern express .519 Glenfinnan 515 Fiverhiusandtoone 515 Top 3 5 PT wins ....forecasts

Value bet Ew again 😉

Hi all, we at Newmarket races today with our local friends in glorious sunshine 24c, it good to firm ground and on the Rowley Mile course 🐎 off to very nice start as the fav romped home in opener for us @ 5/6 R Becketts Sea to Sky nicely by looked like 3L or so 👌 our fingers crossed for Persica at Ayr @ 9/2 we backed online from here 🤞

Hello everyone !! Hope youre having a grand day !!! 1.15 ayr - stone soldier 20/1 ew 2.25 ayr - rock opera 16/1 ew And a nice double ew too ! Good luck folks

Frey 3/1 for QPR my opening salvo for today.

My early card bet.

I got rhythm and hooves top rated in silver cup.will put my ratings up for silver cup.

Ayr silver cup - Admiral D 25/1 & Rhythm N Hooves 25/1 Ayr gold cup - Rohaan 8/1 & Commanche falls 22/1 All BOG 6 places 1pt e/w singles & .5 e/w doubles = 12pts

Day 205 -£43.75

Gold cup.re rated Mostabshir. 461 12/1 0.51 Rohaan 456 12/1 ...Val 0.51 Ramazan. 452 10/1 Val 0.43 Commanche falls 451 25/1 Val 1.01 Billyjoh. 446 14/1 Val 0.60 Already backed top 2 .....so I might add the value bet commanche falls 5 PT Ew

Result: Sea To Sky 1st. Won £16.67 September profit to date £51.53

😱 🐎 WOW what an exciting finish in race 3......3 horses going neck and neck at the line and the 1 we thought would win came 6th Bell Shot @ 5/1 👎 .....however big kiss 😘 to our HQ friends who got late info about R Hughes runners today, sooo we also backed his Brunel Nation @ 4/1 which WON 💷

Go little ew on dream of mischief 22/1 now at 2.45

Did Not So Sleepy just give the perfect example of class? Headed, looked beaten then fought back and won going away. @LEE-GRAYS i hope you didn't leave it out.

210 day layoff ...that was a good run

AW selection WOLVERHAMPTON 4.50 OASIS SUNRISE

free tenna with SkyBet today. Palmer to win a foul. It's a banker. Evens

50% Bet builder boost with SBK on the Sunderland vs Middlesbrough game: Trai Hume Player to be carded Half time Double chance: Sunderland or Draw Full time Double chance: Sunderland or draw Odds boosted to 6.80

Charlton @ 13/10 Charlton v Blackpool Manchester City Women @ 6/5 Arsenal Women v Manchester City Women Draw @ 5/2 Dumbarton v Montrose 2.50 Treble @ 16.71/1betfair return 44.27

It does seem reassuring to know that horses running within their class level perform better than expected. Also that horses moving up in class perform worse than expected. There is an old adage "don't expect your horse to do what it hasn't done before". "Experts" on the TV (and often on here!) often state that a horse is favoured because it is moving down in class. The data doesn't support this. It could well be that these horses can't compete at the higher levels so it is a throw of the dice to see if they are any better at the lower levels and they are not.

Liverpool Burnley West Brom 2.61 Bet365 1 unit. EP

One thing in darts though is one performance is never a measurement of the next so Wright could quite easily still go on and make the final

i really like Commanche Falls e/w cracking price you got i only got 25's

SYSTEM A WEST HAM / CHELSEA DRAW 3/1 BV FULHAM / NEWCASTLE DRAW 13/5 WH LEICESTER / EVERTON DRAW 5/2 BV SOUTHAMPTON / IPSWICH DRAW 5/2 SBK CRYSTAL PALACE / MAN UTD DRAW 11/4 SBK BOURNEMOUTH 9/1 SBK NOTTM FOREST 5.00 SYSTEM B JUVENTUS 13/10 SBK LECCE 2.34 FIORENTINA 7/5 SBK ROMA 1.69 INTER MILAN 7/10 WH ATALANTA 1.50 GENOA 2.48 BOLOGNA 2.50

16.15 Ayr : Diligent Resdev (ew) - 22/1 Bet365

I haven't but thank you for the heads up i will certainly take a look. The power of Bog however shouldn't be under-estimated as the two winners selected today had drifted out from what was already a value price.

wow, didn't know that.How random

500 n Run Boy Run 11/2

Lost. 24th. beat one by a nose.

💷 🐎 R Hannons Persica WON so we happy bunnies.......in race 2 here as backed Reach @ 9/2 and Sea Regal @ 7/1 👌

Just watched the 150 Ayr and as stated Eydon was the class horse in this race and i don't think the winner will be beating it again, that wasn't the best ride, too far back and dead heated for 2nd should/could have won in my opinion but that's racing for you.

Bet 62 and 63 x2 Correct Score Trixie Bank -£118.65

@Fader and I will look into this mate. Sounds very strange. @waggy, are you sure you're not signed in to different accounts on mobile and desktop mate?

Have you tried SBK, decent odds (though no BOG) and some excellent offers

8.53 C.Downs - BATTEN DOWN 5/6 1st 👍 led from pillar to post & drew away well like an odds on shot should do up the home straight . 10.35 Wood - DANCING DUCHESS 3/1 4th 👎 poor ride from the jockey , horse broke well & led after 1st furlong then got taken back pulled badly next 3f then ran on last 1f & would probably bagged 2nd with an extra 1f . 10.35 Gulf - HAULIN ICE 8/1 eway bet365 . non runner 👍 Will price other 2 when 365 get their act together .

Presque 1021 Runaway Harry 13/8. 1st. 👍 1142 Forever Souper 1/1. 1st. 👍 bet365

I wanted to go big on Stoke but they sacked their manager in the week, so that's introduced some uncertainty. I will still oppose Hull who are trying to play total football...without the players to do it and it was more kamikaze football in their last game. 1pt win Stoke 11/10 Bet365 (2 goal ahead early payout). P/L: -4.55pts

Result: Dippedinmoonlight 1st. Won £20 September profit to date £34.86

3rd. + £14. + £186