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Posts posted by Tiffy

  1. @Sir Puntalot 


    Did I read somewhere that punters would be in profit if they backed teams at odds of over 4/1?

    it went through my head when I looked at the odds on WBA to beat Man U away this weekend. Is there any chance someone could back test this over the current season to see if it is worth doing.

    Im tempted to do it next season, and put results  it in the SYSTEMS & STRATEGIES thread.

  2. On 02/04/2018 at 11:44 AM, StevieDay1983 said:

    West Brom manager Alan Pardew has left the club after just four months in charge. An awful appointment to start with. Damage has been done. Whoever they appoint now needs to have Championship experience. Personally, if I was the Baggies owner, I would look to get Mick McCarthy in seeing as he's leaving Ipswich at the end of this season.

    I think the caretaker has done his chances the world of good, beating Man U away! What odds him to be appointed on a permanent basis?

  3. II've been following your bet this season via this thread. I am a LUTON fan, although I generally post about Brighton as I have a season ticket there. I have 2 fourfold, in a 5 team Accra, and have LUTON to get promoted rather than win. They have been too inconsistent this season, and it will be typical if they let your Accra down. Accrington have taken everyone by surprise in L2, but let's hope they have a dip in form over the last few games and LUTON clinch the title. 

    Good luck, and thanks for sharing your story. It makes interesting reading.


  4. On 13/04/2018 at 9:53 PM, allyhibs said:

    Peterhead v Cowdenbeath / Montrose v Berwick

    Two of the best teams in League Two against two of the worst, can't quite believe you can get odds against for the home win double, absolutely nailed on. Peterhead and Montrose double at 2.03.

    Well done allyhibs on the above. I managed to actually get on one of your tips for a change, and it topped my weekend off nicely!

    cheers pal:cheers

  5. Brighton V Huddersfield

    Put simply, this is a game Brighton have to win. I can see them going all out to get the points that would almost keep them safe. We haven't won in 3, but had a good performance against Leicester last week, and should have got something out of the game. Another good performance, in front of another sell out crowd, should be enough to see off the visitors.

    My only concern would be the absence of Dale Stephens, as our win ratio without him is a lot worse than when he is playing.

    Brighton to win@ 1.8

  6. 3 hours ago, Data said:

    Really???!? I'm sure @harry_rag would agree that if we two wannabe's with a combined -600 points (even though determined to redress the situation) could provide a little excitement into anyone else's life other than our own, we will be a little happier in our task, no matter what the outcome.

    Haha, Well it's far more exciting than my own season has gone!


  7. Brighton V Leicester

    "Albion’s record against the Foxes at the Amex has been impressive, taking seven points from a possible nine, while recording a league double during the 2013/14 season, which saw the Foxes win promotion to the Premier League"

    So our record against the Foxes at home is a decent one, and I feel that all the players will be itching to get back to winning ways at another sold out, packed and noisy Amex.

    Brighton need another 6 points to guarantee safety, and I feel we can get at least a draw here, with a good shout for all 3. Ill definateley be backing BTTS, perhaps O2.5 too, it should be an open attacking encounter, with both teams going for it.

    Ill post some tips up tomorrow.

  8. On 25/03/2018 at 5:18 PM, Data said:

    Have I killed a robin, or is this is some form of reverse Midas, whatever I touch, the exact opposite turns to gold. There's a fortune to be made merely betting the other team where I'm expressing a preference.
    Real Zaragoza (WWWWW) at home to Sevilla B (LLLLL) and the away side takes the game 0-1 at a whopping 9/1, Real only managing a single shot on target!

    Now -238.80 from 32. Has anyone ever been soooo wrong before I wonder?

    I have a mate who loves to bet on the horses. I always joke that I am going to lay everything he backs, as he never seems to get a winner. 

    Think I may do the same with you:ok

    But let's face it, I've had a dreadful season so far. My wife said to me "I do t know why you spend so much time reading & researching, you don't win anything" She is right. I worked out that if I had a part time job, on minimum wage, and worked the hours instead, I would be better off!

    But where is the fun in that?

  9. On 23/03/2018 at 4:15 PM, allyhibs said:

    Scotland v Costa Rica.

    The odds for an away win are too high here. Very much an experimental, inexperienced Scotland team which looks seriously lacking up front. Costa Rica players are playing for places at the World Cup so there is no lack of motivation here, one goal could be enough to win this. Cost Rica at 3.40.

    Good shout! I should listen to you more often:ok

  10. On 23/03/2018 at 10:31 AM, matt-e-matticle said:

    I like the under 2.5 pick above in Nor v Aus, with my only concern being Norway seem to be the sort of team that like playing open games with goals.

    Aus lack goal scoring power and haven't been that defensively resolute, however under the new guidance of Maarwick I expect the whole team setup will change from the more expansive possession style under Ange Postecoglu to a more defensive style 4-5-1 which looks to hit teams on the brake.  Unless Norway are in the mood for gifting goals, then u2.5 seems likely.

    It's nice to know that someone else is thinking along the same lines as me.

    Just a shame that it never came in. I should have stuck NED V ENG as my U2.5 selection really. England are so boring under Southgate, I can't be bothered to watch them anymore!

  11. Man Utd V Brighton

    i am still not sure of the team for tonight's match, but from what I can gather Chris Hughton wants to give it a good go. Man Utd are playing typical Mourinho football, (i.e., nothing special), and he said Brighton were the hardest team they had played this season, when Albion lost 1-0 in their last meeting. 

    You would expect Utd, to be fired up after their CL defeat this week, and if they play to their full potential, then they will beat Brighton comfortably.

    However, expect the unexpected. If Brighton can get into the lead, then the crowd could be in a negative mood like they were after the Sevilla game.

    im going to be a devil and go for an early Brighton goal.

    SX go 71-74 on the time of the first Brighton goal. I'll lose 19 points max if we fail to score.

    I'm hoping we go for it like we did against Arsenal.


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