Tiffy
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Posts posted by Tiffy
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Ouch!
Keep going until the end of the season mate, it will be a good trial for next season if nothing else, or you carry on for the World Cup.
I was tempted to back QPR on the MP last night, I fancied them to score. instead I bet my entire bank on a low fixed odds "bank builder"double of Villa & Wolves
Villa are next in my little black book, it's going to be busy on the day of the revolution, we've already got Arsenal & Milwall in there. I'll have to put Palace off till the following day as the firing squad will need a rest after that lot!
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Arsenal V WATFORD (1)@ 1.5
Stoke V Man City (2)@1.22
Preston V Fulham BTTS@ 1.80
£10 Treble please
Good luck comrades
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SHEFF WEDS V BOLTON
SX have the mini performance on Bolton at 12-15. They've not lost in 4, and Wednesday seem to be in aright mess at the moment. Do either of you think that there is any value in them to come away with something here?
I am tempted to back either this or a fixed odds U2.5 goals for the match.
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Looking at the opposition, from the Brighton club website. Some useful stats
Brighton & Hove Albion travel to Goodison Park on Saturday afternoon to play Everton in the Premier League, and here’s a statistical look at how Sam Allardyce’s team have performed this season.
The Toffees currently sit level on points [34] with the Seagulls but one place behind in 11th after 29 matches played - winning nine, drawing seven and losing 13 games throughout the season.
Albion’s goal difference of -10 puts them in front of Everton, who sit on -16 after scoring 33 goals but conceding 49 times. Six of those goals conceded [12%] have come from set-pieces.
Idrissa Gueye emphatically leads the way when it comes to passing - the Senegalese midfielder has made 1,241 pass so far this season, over 250 more than closest rivals Jordan Pickford and Wayne Rooney.
Gueye also tops the Everton charts in both tackles and interceptions - which shows how important the hard-working midfielder has been for the Toffees this season.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has won over 40 more aerial duels than central defenders Michael Keane and Ashley Williams, and has also recorded the most shots [39] for the Merseyside club.
Everton’s top goalscorer, Rooney, has ten goals from his 34 shots this season, but the striker was only used as a second-half substitute when Allardyce’s team lost 2-1 against Burnley at Turf Moor last weekend.
Outside the top six, only Everton have a better home record than the Seagulls this season - taking 26 points from a possible 42, while recording a win percentage of 57% at Goodison Park.
But Albion can take confidence from the fact 24% of Everton’s goals conceded have come in the final ten minutes of matches at home - an area the Seagulls will look to capitalise on this weekend. -
Great thread and this looks interesting, very interesting.
Simple too, easy for me to understand!
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EVERTON V BRIGHTON
Heres an interesting game. The first meeting at Goodison for a long time. I was at the reverse fixture at the Amex earlier this season, and Everton were simply awful, and lucky to come away with a draw thanks to a last minute penalty. Ok, since then Big Sam has taken over and steadied the ship, but that initial honeymoon period now seems to be over.
As he has a team full of Koemans ball players, you wonder if, (with his different style) he is trying to put square pegs into round holes.
All I keep hearing, is how much the fans dislike him, and obviously his assistant Sammy Lee. I am convinced they will be gone at the end of the season, as SA was never the chairmans first choice, and was really only bought in to save them this season. Although, they have been good at home, and they will see this as a game they can get something from.
So what about Brighton, and how will CH approach the game. He has often been accused of being negative away from home, and it woulddnt surprise me if he kept tight here. BUT I don't think we now have the players to play for a draw. We are playing with confidence and have players who can punish any team on the counter attack.
We sit 6 points from safety, and have 4 games in which we realistically should be looking to get these. There is a real tough end to the season with games against Spurs, City, Man U & Liverpool. We are all praying that we can reach 40 points before then.
The next games we could get something from are Everton (A), Leicester & Huddesfield (H), Palace (A).
So a point at least on Saturday is what is needed, and if we can snatch all 3 then that will be immense. I'll keep an eye out for team news, Schilotto was injured on Sunday,(Arsenal Brutes!). He has become a fantastic attacking option down the right, so if he is playing, then we could really be going for it.
Youve got to be fancying Murray to score too!
BRIGHTON 1X@ 1.75 (B365) looks good value to me
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Manchester United vs Liverpool
""""If there was one game this weekend that I looked at and really could not pick a winner then it's this one. """"
What are you talking about, you can NEVER pick a winner, haha
OK, LMS, I get it now. Could be another bit of fun for next season?
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Interesting thread from you, and I have also been backing performances, most notably backing Wigan against Man City in the cup.
I also made a small profit on the BORO V BRUM game this week.
I have mainly done goals though, buying or selling the first goal, and really seem to have got my eye in on this. I'll post some results up when I get around to it.
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2 hours ago, harry_rag said:
Yeah, time it right and get your money down in time for me hitting a hot streak (hopefully)!
Have you also seen Data's thread focusing on the mini performance market?
Cheers, no I hadn't seen that, I'll check it out.
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What's "last man standing"? @StevieDay1983 Is there something going on I don't know about!
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Haha yes!
I was pleased with myself for resisting the urge to back Liverpool to score early last night!
I'll wait until you are on a good run, then I'll lump some dosh on
Cheers
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18 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Haha, I need to start putting in a disclaimer. I've done well so far with Cardiff match tips. Think I've got the majority correct. I'm not so confident this week though. The deeper I analyse Barnsley under Morais, the more I think we might be playing them at a time when they will scab points through cautious play. I just put my faith in Neil Warnock aka Colin Wanker!
Good news, we asre still on speaking terms & you wont be going into my little black book, just yet
I took the Cardiff win & U3.5 goals, just to be safe!
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i know you mentioned this thread before, bit I have only just discovered it!
Ill be keeping a close eye on it as I may be able to learn something
Good luck
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You can't beat the opinion of a true fan, who is going regularly to games and living in the area.
in fact I'm off to have a punt on your selections
I just hope that I am still speaking to you tomorrow
- kenya1 and StevieDay1983
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23 hours ago, waynecoyne said:
3 new injury doubts for wednesday -pudil, venancio, joao-ipswich look big at 5/2
i have sold 1st ipswich goal at 58 and second at 81
Interesting, I'll keep my eye on that, but not brave enough to be backing Ipswich. Good luck, hope they score early on.
Spreadex set the time of the first Fulham goal at 45min.
They are on fire at the moment and are getting on the board early on. At home too,so should be a fair chance of them scoring in the first half. I'm not sure how stubborn Sheff Utd will be but I'm inclined to think it should an entertaining & open game.
Sell time of first Fulham goal@ 45min.
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26 minutes ago, Pep004 said:
@Tiffy my biggest mistake in this pick was, that I was talking mostly about Arsenal... seeing some positive things in a match against City, but I totally misjudged the home side (and obviously expected way too much of positive energy from Arsenal as well). My biggest problem when analyzing PL matches is that I have a point of view only from matches of Man City, and that's pretty much irrelevant as only a few sides (IF) can press and outplay someone as they can. That's also why my record in PL is only a few units in profit,... Should read this thread more often, as some of you guys are describing some teams and situations very precisely.
Cheers, well it's only taken me about 9 months to start calling things with a bit more accuracy!
Everyones thoughts are valid, and we all see different strengths and weaknesses in teams, and your opinion certainly got me thinking about my comments and whether I was calling it right or not.
But I would leave Arsenal alone in the PL, until they have sorted this mess out. They may go for it in the Europa League though, as it will be the only way they will qualify for CL next season.
But City are a different animal this season, just breathtaking to watch and incredible to think they could wrap the title up soon.
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European Masters V French Wannabees!
I'm looking at where the early goals will be tonight.
I did fancy Liverpool as mentioned above, but may leave them alone.
Spread ex set the time of the first Real Madrid goal at 49-51.
Now, PSG have 1 thing that RM. don't, an away goal. Will PSG sit back from the off? No they will try and reduce the deficit as quickly as possible & capitalise on their asset. I'm with everyone that RM will look to get one on the counter, as they did in the first leg. If PSG come forward early on ,then this could lead to opportunities for RM to get the away goal.
If PSG strike first then its game on & RM have to get a goal.
If RM can strike first then it could be game over. PSG will need to find at least .4 goals
id be confident in saying that RM should score in the first half,
Sell time of 1st RM goal at 49mins.
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Well done everyone, and thanks @BillyHills for running this.
Tiffy Junior wanted to put his name down, but has he left it too late or can you squeeze him in? He is already a member on here. No sweat if not as I told him weeks ago to pit his name down! He will have to wait!
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3 hours ago, newjack said:
My guess is they won't play full team, Salah is doubtful to play according to Bleacher report. I think they will win but with a smaller margin and will probably concede, something like 2:1 result, classic 1:0 at ht
Thanks for that newjack. I thought as much, so will probably swerve it
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Liverpool V Porto
Spreadex set the time of the first Liverpool goal at 40-43 mins. Now I would normally fancy them to score well before this, but you wonder what sort of game they will play with a 5 goal advantage. Will they start fast? Or play a bit slower as they can afford to be a bit less intense, and not worry about getting the early goal.
Mmmmmmmm............
Thoughts everyone?
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you were brave backing Arsenal this weekend @Pep004
Brighton need to win their home games, and are now playing with an attacking swagger that results in goals.
What I have noticed this season (well every season!) is that when there is a split between the fans and the board/manager, then that negativity translates to the players on the pitch. We've witnesses it at the Amex this season with West Ham, West Brom, now Arsenal.
Arsenal were utter rubbish in the first half yesterday, a team showing no confidence, and you wonder if the manager has the ability to inspire the players anymore. Ozick & Aubamiyang will be realising that there so 0 chance of CL football, and EL is far from guaranteed.
Body language tells you they are not up for the fight, the manager can't inspire his players, the fans are on his back.
Interestingly enough, Brighton are away to another club like that on Saturday, EVERTON. The fans are set against Allardyce & his style of play.
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6 hours ago, Trotter said:
Thanks Tiffy ...... you were a bit unlucky there with Scunny letting you down !
well done on hedging with the bet ........ looks like you won as much as you would have done winning the comp !
If it's any consolation I reckon we should both be in Div One next week.......
Cheers mate. Yes, Scunny were the only team to let me down, everything else has come in this weekend, and I am especially pleased with myself for hedging my bets, feeling alsmost clever really!
i think you are right about us being promoted, but not to Div 1, oh no no no.
THE PREMIER LEAGUE, I think that's we both belong now, with Premier League prize money too haha
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Spreadex go 56-59 for the time of the first Brighton goal.
i can see them scoring in the first half
Sell time of first Brighton goal @56
Have also done BTTS & Brighton 1X@ 2.75 with B365 bet builder
Championship Predictions > Mar 10th & 11th
in Championship Predictions
Posted
A goal, a draw & 4 corners meant a MP of 37, yielding 22 point profit
Just saying like