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Tiffy

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Posts posted by Tiffy

    Premier League Predictions > Nov 28th & 29th

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    On 27/11/2017 at 10:47 PM, Tiffy said:

    @Mindfulness

    [email protected]@@@@@d!

    i have to agree with your pre match write up. Form is out of the window on this one, and yes, Palace are playing well now. I can see both teams going for it, and Your mob always do well here, (apart from the St Patrick's day massacre)

    i'd agree with your shout on cards, and perhaps BTTS YES wouldn't be a bad shout either. Brighton are unbeaten at home this season and Palace need the points. So it should make for an entertaining game, with the added spice that it is the first meeting in the Prem.

    I can also see late goals, something that happens when you play here, and also has happened this season. 

    As for those bloody clackers, I don't think they would dare! I can't stand the things. The trouble with the club, is that they turn a match into an occasion. Often it gets to the players, so hopefully this won't be turned into anything other that something that it should. Just another Derby match.

     I'll take a look at prices and update if I get 5 mins.

    BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE IN 2nd HALF 4.0

    BTTS YES 2.0

    GOAL AFTER 69m 1.83

    Another quick edit!

    Brighton never have a lot of corners, they lost the count 5-0 on Saturday. Palace need the win more than Brighton & I'd be surprised if they didn't keep coming forward all game. I'd fancy them to get at least 6 corners in the game. They are 1.44 to get the most corners.

    PALACE OVER 5.5 CORNERS 1.9

     

     

    POST MATCH

    I find most Palace fans to be decent people, but the ones that turn up to the Amex are idiots. There was trouble all over the place and the Palace Ultras sprayed over the BRUNO painting in the city centre, which set the tone for the night. The away end was unusually quiet last night too, probably the least vocal I have ever seen them. There were fireworks, flares and firecrackers going off throughout the game too, I've never seen as much at a football match before. But the atmosphere in the first half was generally cracking tho. And I am pleased to say that there was no trouble inside the ground.

    Yes @StevieDay1983, you can't call it a Derby, it is more of a rivalry tat started in the 70's. Up to this point Brighton's nickname was the Dolphins, but the fans started chanting "Seagulls" in response to Palace fans chanting "Eagles"!

    @Mindfulness You were right to call it "El Crapico", neither team showed any class last night. Both teams good defensively, but awful in the final 3rd.  A great double save early on to deny Beneke & Zaha was probably Palaces best chance. But overall both teams were evenly matched, with perhaps Brighton shading it in the 2nd HALF, (hence the corner count). Given the amount of money Palace have spent, and the quality of players on display, I wouldn't say they were any better than Brighton overall, which was pleasing.

    The corner count finished 10-5. I am amazed Brighton had 10 corners, I don't think I have ever seen it before, but they were the more dominant in attack in the 2nd half. Palace let me down by 1 corner, typical really, I don't think they have ever won a bet for me! 

    Both teams could have scored, perhaps should have scored, and Brighton had the best chances in the second half.

    There was more chance of a late goal than an early one too. I was convinced hat either team would nick it with a scrappy late winner.

    A draw was a fair result, and I am pleased that it is over now. I always look forward to this fixture, and relieved when it has passed.

    i had 3 bets last night

    Palace over 5.5 corners - (Lost, 10-5)

    Watord +2 AH  [email protected] 2.0 (Won 5-5)

    LEIC V TOT Each team over 1 [email protected] 1 2 (Won 4-9)

    It brings the question up,  should their be midweek football in the prem? Both teams put a shift in on Saturday, and I think it showed last night. I think I would rather watch weekend football only, if it was better quality than this. 

    Premier League Predictions > Nov 28th & 29th

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted · Edited by Tiffy

    @Mindfulness

    [email protected]@@@@@d!

    i have to agree with your pre match write up. Form is out of the window on this one, and yes, Palace are playing well now. I can see both teams going for it, and Your mob always do well here, (apart from the St Patrick's day massacre)

    i'd agree with your shout on cards, and perhaps BTTS YES wouldn't be a bad shout either. Brighton are unbeaten at home this season and Palace need the points. So it should make for an entertaining game, with the added spice that it is the first meeting in the Prem.

    I can also see late goals, something that happens when you play here, and also has happened this season. 

    As for those bloody clackers, I don't think they would dare! I can't stand the things. The trouble with the club, is that they turn a match into an occasion. Often it gets to the players, so hopefully this won't be turned into anything other that something that it should. Just another Derby match.

     I'll take a look at prices and update if I get 5 mins.

    BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE IN 2nd HALF 4.0

    BTTS YES 2.0

    GOAL AFTER 69m 1.83

    Another quick edit!

    Brighton never have a lot of corners, they lost the count 5-0 on Saturday. Palace need the win more than Brighton & I'd be surprised if they didn't keep coming forward all game. I'd fancy them to get at least 6 corners in the game. They are 1.44 to get the most corners.

    PALACE OVER 5.5 CORNERS 1.9

     

     

    Premier League Predictions > Nov 24th - 26th

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    8 hours ago, Mindfulness said:

    Aye, 'El Crapico' is the one game to rule them all and of course this year it's taking place in the top tier. I'm not going though, the Brighton streets will get too saucy for my liking:

    streets-of-rage-2-axel-rain-streets.jpg

    Hopefully will have more to say on the midweek thread.

    I've really got no comment with regards to Palace V Stoke, highly unpredictable game, apologies.

    El Crapico! Made me chuckle

    look forward to next weeks thread then, and regarding CP V ST, yes it was a hard game to forecast. Palace did well to come from behind. They have scored late goals recently, Roy seems to have them fighting to the end. 

    Premier League Predictions > Nov 24th - 26th

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    Man Utd V Brighton

    i think that after Newcastles 4-1 defeat at old Trafford, Chris Hughton will not try and be too expansive this afternoon. He will probably try and be more difficult to beat, and try and nick a goal on a rare breakaway/set piece.

    Man U will want to get back to winning ways after the CL result in midweek, but I don't think they are a great side by any stretch of the imagination. I think their style will suit Brighton's defence. 

    United should win by a goal or 2, but I think it may take a while to come. 

    No goal before 26 [email protected] 1.83

    United should also easily have the most [email protected] 1.14. A bit slim, but I have a low odds back builder on it.

    India Super League 2017/18

    in Other Australasia Predictions

    Posted

    17 November - Season Starts

    Kerala Blasters V Atletico De Kolkata (ATK)

    With India hosting the U17 World Cup it seems a good time to get into this league. There is big money & big stadiums , with a franchised format similar to the IPL. Some big names are over here too, so I have a feeling we could be in for an entertaining season with lots of goals.

    VlamZnjQOO.jpg

    The fourth edition of the Hero Indian Super League (ISL) kicks off with a battle between old nemesis Kerala Blasters FC and ATK at the Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in Kochi on Friday. The Blasters will be keen to avenge last year’s final loss in the very same venue as Kochi gears up for a blockbuster season-opener. ATK have got the better of Kerala in the past, but will be without star striker Robbie Keane, who’s sidelined with injury. The Blasters, however, are expected to field a full-strength squad as both sides look to open their campaign with three points.

    Head to Head: ATK 5 – 1 Kerala Blasters FC. 2 draws

    JqINmzUudY.jpg

    Key players – 

    Iain Hume (Kerala Blasters)

    The prolific Canadian returns to Kochi to play against the club he left Kerala for after the inaugural season. His success has been unwavering and his record of being his team’s top-scorer in every Hero ISL season goes to show that. He is also Hero ISL’s all-time top-scorer and lifted the title with Kolkata last year. Also, good with his link-up play, how he combines with Dimitar Berbatov in Kerala’s frontline will be crucial to the fortunes of the southerners.

    Eugeneson Lyngdoh (ATK)

    The defending champions made no hesitation in splurging the cash on Lyngdoh in the pre-season draft. The joint-most expensive domestic signing in this year’s draft, Lyngdoh will need to bring his A-game at the heart of midfield while trying to initiate attacks in a hostile stadium against Kerala. The talented midfielder’s pinpoint passing and clinical finishing will be worrying for opposition defences. He’s certain to be a driving force for ATK and is a definite game-changer. Lyngdoh is also known to be good with his head and has nodded in a fair share of crosses after arriving late in the box.

    Potential starting lineups:

    Kerala Blasters FC:

    Kerala will most likely opt for a 4-5-1 formation with Paul Rachubka in goal, a flat back-four and pacey wingers in midfield. Sandesh Jhingan, Nemanja Lakic Pesic and Rino Anto, are all likely to start at the back, while local star CK Vineeth will be providing width in midfield. Up front, Hume’s exchanges with the deep lying Berbatov is sure to keep the opposition backline on their toes.

    Goalkeeper: Paul Rachubka

    Defenders: Soraisam Pritam Kumar Singh, Nemanja Lakic Pesic, Sandesh Jhingan, Rino Anto

    Midfielders: CK Vineeth, Courage Pekuson, Siam Hanghal, Jackichand Singh

    Forwards: Dimitar Berbatov, Iain Hume

    Head coach, Rene Meulensteen on previous losses to ATK: “Whatever has happened in the past, is in the past. It’s not relevant now with what’s going to happen tomorrow. It's KBFC vs ATK. Only the names of the teams are the same. Rest is different. Managers, players, everything is different.”

    ATK:

    Kolkata will probably begin with a traditional 4-4-2 formation with Jordi Figueras Montel and Tom Thorpe at the centre of defence and Eugeneson Lyngdoh and Conor Thomas in the heart of midfield. The responsibility in attack will have to be shouldered by the likes of Zequinha, Njazi Kuqi and target-man Robin Singh.

    Goalkeeper: Debjit Majumder

    Defenders: Keegan Pereira, Jordi Figueras Montel, Thomas Joseph Thorpe, Prabir Das

    Midfielders: Zequinha, Eugeneson Lyngdoh, Conor Thomas, Bipin Singh

    Forwards: Robin Singh, Njazi Kuqi

    ATK head coach, Teddy Sheringham on playing in Kochi: “It’s mouth-watering for a manager and for my players to come to this fantastic stadium and know that it’s going to be a full house in the first game. It’s what you dream of as a boy. You want to play in front of a lot of fans. You want that excitement. You want that atmosphere.”

    Key stat:

    Kerala have beaten ATK just once in eight meetings and that sole victory came at Kochi in Hero ISL 2014.

    Last meeting:

    The last time these two sides met was in the final of Hero ISL 2016, which ATK won 4-3 on penalties after it finished 1-1 at the end of extra-time in Kochi.

    Premier League Ante-Post 2017-2018

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    11 hours ago, Mindfulness said:

    @Tiffy

    I never have rose tinted specs when backing Palace, business is business and price is the only thing that matters when I make a play. I've only backed Palace twice this season: +0.50 @ Burnley and +0.75 @ Newcastle, both were good selections but had no luck whatsoever. Note how many times I warn people off backing us in certain situations over the years.

    Palace top 10 finish @ 7.00 was also a good selection, not many could have foreseen the shower of shit circus that was to follow. When you make long odds bets, lots will crash and burn, that one just crashed and burnt spectacularly.

    Appreciate your input on Brighton but I am still none the wiser. It's a difficult one to figure out but that's ante-post betting for you - it's all about timing and decisions aren't as clear as match betting in my experience.

     

    Yes I agree, antepost is very tricky. I've done a couple long shot accas, more for fun really. 

    I'm always happy to give my input on the Albion, and I'm now going to see if I end up looking clever or a plonker by the end of the season!

    Good luck against Wet Spam tmrw, I am tempted to go for BTTS, as it is a must win for both teams.

    Premier League Ante-Post 2017-2018

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    22 hours ago, Mindfulness said:

    Thanks for replying.

    It is hard to put a number on these things sometimes, Brighton have performed well so far and a lot of stats back this up - I don't think you have been flukey.

    Really I want to know whether you think this can be sustained?

    Well, there is the million dollar question! And I think it can, for the following reasons.

    Brighton are consistent, much more so than with any other manager in the past. Last season we didn't hit a barren spell. We just plodded in the same manner all season. Yes we lack firepower, but expect that to changed in January.  We have carried on from last season, and improved.

    Does Hughton have a plan B? Well, who knows, his plan A works well, and there is good back up on the bench. He surprised me against WHU , by starting with Bong and Izquierdo, meaning that he was planning to play a more attacking game away from home. Probably sensing that the game was there for the taking if we got the first goal. 

    I agree with you that Hughton is shrewd with his purchases, he knows how to organise a team and has good experience. My main concern is that you really lack firepower and at some point that may start to show. A barren spell maybe difficult to overcome as it will drain confidence and spirit (which is high for now) and Hughton may not have a plan b.

    Brighton are 3.5 for relegation right now so markets are basically saying you only have a 28.6% chance of getting relegated this season. It just seems strange to me as you are only 3pts off the relegation zone with 29 games to play + weaker squad and less EPL experience than the teams below you.

    Am I just being bitter and biased here or is this clear value play???

    Haha, yes, I think you have hit the nail on the head, and letting your emotions get to you. Is it value? I don't know, perhaps? If you think it's value, then go for it, it may well happen.

    I think there is more chance of that, than your antepost "Palace in the top  6 " bet that you had. But at the time it was a reasonable choice, (and the price shortened) even before the season had begun.

    I wouldn't back us to go down at 3.5, or to stay up at 1.36. You are right, the season is only a quarter gone, and there are 29 games left. Although we are 3 points off relegationn, we are 4 points off a European place.

    I really think that you need to start looking at Brighton with the glass half full, and leave those rose tinted specs off when backing Palace.

    So, this reply probably doesn't help, but I think we will stay up.(just) And I think we can maintain consistency.

     

     

     

    Premier League Ante-Post 2017-2018

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    So in percentage terms, would that equate to 60-70% chance of us staying up?

    @Mindfulness

    You didn't spot my deliberate mistake (ahem)

    Just doing the maths again

    If we average 1.2 pts per game, over 38 games that will equal 46 pts

    Based on past seasons, that will put us anywhere between 8th - 13th. So, would that be 100% chance of us staying up?

    I suppose it would, based on the team performing at their current level.

    Premier League Ante-Post 2017-2018

    in Premier League Predictions

    Posted

    On 22/10/2017 at 11:08 PM, Mindfulness said:

    @Tiffy

    Serious question: In percentage terms what do you honestly think Brighton's chances of getting relegated are this season?

     

    I'm not sure really. I don't know if I can work it out into percentage terms (not clever enough!)

    From how we have started the season, our form suggests we will avoid the drop. I don't think any relegated team in previous seasons has done as well as we have after 9 games.

    I have been impressed with our style of play. Typical Hughton really, well organised, hard to beat, good shape, preserve the point you start with & look to nick all 3. Even the games that we have lost, we have done reasonably well, and have not conceded more than 2 against Arsenal, Man City & Leicester. (Our only 3 defeats)

    We are taking points off the teams around us, and if we can continue like this, and acan dd a striker in January, then I can't see us going down. There are other teams on the slide, and I think it will be harder for them to arrest their downward spirals. (As was the case with Villa & Sunderland last season)

    Bournemouth should reverted to type, Huddersfield were never would beaters last season, Wet Sham are struggling without Payet, and with their new stadium. Stoke and West Brom could be running out of steam too. 

    Brighton has a fantastic Chairman,  a maths genius who uses algorythims when selecting players to buy. He hasn't bought a turkey yet! 

    I always look at a table, and if a team has less points than games played, they aren't doing well in my opinion. We have Played 9, gained 11 points (unlucky too not to have 4 more points from the Watford & Everton games). We average 1.2 points per game, so we should end the season with 39 points if we can carry on as we are. That should be enough to keep us safe. And I can't see any reason for it to not carry on.

    Of our games played,in the current table, our points gained

    Top 6 - P3 PTS1

    Mid table - P2 PTS 6

    Bottom 6 -  P4 PTS 4

    So in percentage terms, would that equate to 60-70% chance of us staying up? 

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