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Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/25/2023 in all areas

  1. I have to say that the National League fixtures in all 3 divisions look really tough this weekend and I only have one bet. It is however a max bet at odds on which is something I rarely do, but confidence is high and for me the value is there. There are 4 other bets at Step 3. Oldham v Ebbsfleet You could see that Micky Mellon has improved Oldham on Wednesday nightagainst Barnet. Having seen some of the comical goals that Barnet have been conceding of late I think he knew that they could allow Barnet plenty of the ball, but they would get their chances. It is no surprise to see that Barnet had 75% of the ball in the first 15 minutes and then 70% in the following 15, but they did very little with it as Oldham made themselves very hard to breakdown. The first shot Oldham had was the penalty which was gifted to them and Barent were fortunate not to have the keeper sent off. In the 2nd half Barnet equalised with a penalty which ended up being their only shot on target. They had looked more likely to kick on and win the game at that stage, but they didn't have another shot for nearly 20 minutes when the game was long gone. Oldham punished Barnet's defensive mistakes which is no surprise given they have someone of the quality of Norwood. If Barnet had taken the good chances that came their way in the first half after the goal maybe we would have seen a different result, but it was the perfect away performance and Oldham have a talented squad. I rarely tip up odds on shots especially ones as short as Oldham, but for me they look good things to beat Ebbsfleet. They did get a point on Tuesday against Maidenhead, but they created very little and had an xG of just 0.16. They are in dreadful form and Oldham should have way too much for them. AFC Sudbury v Stourbridge I don't dip into the Southern Premier Central too often as highlighted by the fact I've only put up 3 bets in the division so far this season. 2 of the 3 bets have been winners though and I am doubling the amount of bets had on Saturday. I will also be content if the number of winners doubles as well. Sudbury have won 3 of their last 4 games including beating Coalville on Tuesday night 3-0. I'd make them favs to beat a Stourbridge who hadn't won in the league for 7 games until beating Long Eaton 3-0 on Tuesday. They are dreadful though (just 4 points so far) and Sudbury put 6 past them recently themselves. The value is there in a home win for me. Berkhamsted v St Ives Berkhamsted aren't much better than Long Eaton and have also won just once this season although 7 draws have helped them get 10 points. St Ives had also only one just once in the league prior to their 3 game winning spell they are currently on. They have beaten Coalville and Halesowen in that spell as well so it isn't like they are beaten rubbish and there is clear improvement in the side. They were 1 up against Aveley in the FA Trophy last week as well before losing 2-1, but that was still a very good effort. If they take those performances into this game then they ought to make it 4 league wins on the bounce. Mickleover v Nuneaton Despite all the off the field issues at Nuneaton they have been doing really well on the pitch. They have won 8 of their last 10 league games and have won 5 on the bounce. They look over priced to beat top of the table Mickleover who after going on an impressive winning run at the start of the season have now not won in 5 league games and lost to Kettering 2-0 on Tuesday night which was a big shock. I don't think there is much between these two sides and therefore the price on Nuneaton is over the odds for me. Carshalton v Wingate & Finchley Into the Isthmian Premier for the last bet of the weekend and I think the away side are a big price to beat a Carshalton side who are struggling after a good start to the season. They have won just one in their last 8 league games and were hammered 4-0 by Hastingson Tuesday night. Wingate's last 10 games have seen them win 5, lose 5, score 19 and concede 19. They did lose on Tuesday 2-1 to Chatham, but they are better than Carshalton and I think Wingate are in better nick than their hosts at the moment. Prices from Friday around 10am Oldham 5pts@ 4/6 with Paddy Power, Betfair, Betfred and Coral (take up to 1/2) AFC Sudbury 1pt @ 17/10 with Bet365 and William Hill (take up to 11/8) St Ives 1pt @ 6/5 with Skybet and Betfred (take up to Evs) Nuneaton 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365 (take up to 2/1) Wingate & Finchley 1pt @ 15/4 with Skybet and Bet365 (take up to 2/1)
    5 points
  2. Ground at Ascot is very heavy currently ....really don't like the look of it ....so rated the stayers hurdle at haydock so far ......going to change tack and fully focus on the big Saturday races and trying to get some big wins on the board so I'm going to choose two big Saturday races from now on and place 10pts Ew on the top 2 in both races .....if the any returns I'll pocket half and roll the other half on to the next weekends big race as a bonus win .....should give a bit of excitement over the coming months 💰 Hay 2.20 Bold endeavour. ,9.0 12/1 Lord snootie. 8.9 7/1 Wakool. 8.2 Schalke. 8.2 10pt Ew top 2 😊
    3 points
  3. I've also gone for this 4-fold : Heta/Bunting/Chizzy all to win and most 180s + Searle just to get most 180s 14/1 Paddypower
    3 points
  4. Good luck with those Searle bets chaps. Looks a tricky night, but I’m going with a Wade win, Zonneveld +2.5 legs & Bunting -2.5 leg treble tonight, pays 5.3 with Bet365.
    3 points
  5. 2pts Searle (most 180s) vs Humphries 15/8 2pts Searle to win and hit most 180s 17/2 Paddypower as mentioned, reckon that Searle is well up for this tournament and has the crowd very much on side. Smashed in 7 180s and Humphries only got 1 in his thrashing. I think Searle hits the most 180s unless a complete drop-off and so the 17/2 win with most 180s looks a bit of a freebie punt
    3 points
  6. Good luck to all posting 'real' bets on the final day .
    3 points
  7. 3 points
  8. Emitom 12/1 bet 365 - 14:20 Haydock 5 places Haute Estime 9/1 bet 365 - 15:35 Haydock - 4 places 2 x singles Each Way double
    3 points
  9. 3 points
  10. Shoclokjack 2 20 Hay/ 1/40th of a pt ew 33/1 Funambule Sivala 3 15 Asc/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 Wakool 2 20 Hay/ 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1 Sidi Ismael 3 35 Hay/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 Pink Lilly 2 53 Lin/ 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1 P/L + 173.50 pts
    3 points
  11. Haydock 1.15 A competitive looking 2M 3F handicap hurdle where the in form Nicky Henderson trained Park Hill Dancer appears to hold as good a chance as any. The Henderson stable are on fire at present and this Middleham Park Racing owned six year old may still have some mileage on his on his current handicap mark. Not seen since May when winning at Uttoxeter, the Sean Bowen ridden gelding is now 8lb higher but at the right end of the handicap and looks likely to go very close. PARK HILL DANCER 1 point win @ 4/1 BetVictor Ascot 1.30 Just the four for the Nirvana Spa 1965 Chase, a Grade 2 chase run over 2M 5F. Shishkin makes his re-appearance here sporting first time cheek pieces and as he has already slaughtered his main danger here Pic D’Orhy by 16 lengths over course and distance last season it’s hard to look beyond Nicky Henderson’s nine year old who, under Nico de Boinville, is officially rated 11lb better than Pic D’Orhy and 10lb and 26lb superior to the other two competitors Minella Drama and Straw Fan Jack. BRAVEMANSGAME /SHISHKIN/ STATE MAN 2 points win treble @ 9/10, 4/6 & 1/3 BetVictor Haydock 1.50 An intriguing five runner 2m 5 1/2F Graduation Chase with three possible winners as the two outsiders Scipion and Hardy Bloke have far too much to do. Willie Mullins’ Grand National third Gaillard Du Mesnil has to be respected but may find this trip too sharp and in receipt of a hefty 18lb Apple Away can make a winning chase debut. She was a smart novice last season over hurdles culminating in victory in the Grade 1 3 mile novice hurdle at Aintree which has worked out brilliantly with the 3rd, 4th, 6th and 7th all winning well since. APPLE AWAY 1 point win @ 5/2 888Sport Ascot 2.05 The 2M 3 1/2F Coral Hurdle has attracted a small but select field of just five with each of the quintet having a chance of sorts. Maybe the best value is Olly Murphy’s Strong Leader who we have to forgive a disappointing first run of the season when finishing last of ten in the Welsh Champion Hurdle. He’s better than that and the step up in trip may suit this six year old who was a smart novice hurdler last season winning three times and concluded his season by finishing runner up to Inthepocket in a Grade 1 at Aintree. Last year’s winner Goshen maybe the one to chase him home. STRONG LEADER 1 point win @ 6/1 bet365 Haydock 2.20 The most competitive race of the day is the sixteen runner Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle run over three miles. The two favourites are Fergal O’Brien’s Crambo, who looked good at Aintree but is now 6lb higher and Emmet Mullins’ Slate Lane who’s chasing a four timer but this is easily his stiffest task and he’s up a stone for his latest victory. It wouldn’t be a shock if either were to win this but I can’t resist an each way bet on Willie Mullins’s Fine Margin. He’s still a maiden after six outings but there were all for Matthew Daly who’s not had a winner under rules the last five years in Ireland so surely Mr Mullins is going to improve him massively especially now he’s upped in trip. He’s worth a chance at a nice price and don’t rule out Tom Lacey’s Howlingmadmurdock from a yard in fine form and is worth a small each way saver. FINE MARGIN 1 point each way @ 12/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345 HOWLINGMADMURDOCK 1/2 point each way @ 20/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Punchestown 2.35 Only four have declared for this 2M 160 yards Morgiana Hurdle with Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott both saddling a brace of runners a piece. This looks a penalty kick for Mullins’s State Man who’s only defeat last season came when runner up to Constitution Hill in the Champion Hurdle. I can see him being smashed off the boards and if a big priced odds on chance is your preference than this is very much one for you. Too short for a single so lets try a win treble with Shishkin and Bravemansgame. Haydock 3.00 The day’s feature race at the Lancashire track is the 3M 1 1/2F Betfair Chase. Paul Nicholls’s Bravemansgame is a confident selection. He’s sure to strip fitter for his second in the Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby three weeks ago when he looked all over the winner going to the last only to make an error and allow Gentlemansgame to out sprint him on the run in. He is a consistent top class chaser and although last year’s winner Protektorat may push him hard I fully expect Daryl Jacob to steer him home. Ascot 3.15 Eight two mile chasers line up for the valuable Hurst Park Handicap Chase with cases made for many. Top weight Boothill won this last year and looked good at the last meeting but on a run at Kempton last Christmas he may struggle to hold Chris Gordon’s Aucunrisque who was only beaten a length but re-opposes here on 11lb better terms. He went on to win the Betfair Hurdle back over hurdles and may have just needed his first run back this season when third over hurdles. Back over fences he looks a decent value each way bet. AUCUNRISQUE 1 point each way @ 7/1 888Sport 1/5th 123 Haydock 3.35 Eleven line up for this 3M 1 1/2F handicap chase which has an open enough look about it. Nicky Richards’ Famous Bridge looks sure to be thereabouts but maybe Anthony Honeyball’s Credo represents better value. A consistent eight year old mare she impressed when winning on her re-appearance at Wincanton by 6 1/2L and even with a 7lb rise in the weights can be competitive with Sam Twiston-Davies taking over on her for the first time today. CREDO 1 point each way @ 5/1 bet365 1/5th 1234
    3 points
  12. Nice blast from the past tomorrow, RBA against Fognini in Valencia finals! They haven't played each other since 2019, H2H is 8-3 in Fognini's favour.
    2 points
  13. Bunting well priced out at 10/1 with MVG and Chizzy still in the half. Shocking price. I'll take a point eachway on Searle as if Humphries can't be bothered tonight then it's open for him. 1pt e/w Searle to win 20/1 Bet365
    2 points
  14. At least, a very easy winner for you, daveg, nice job!
    2 points
  15. Lingfield 1.45 VICTORIA GROVE £20 win BSP
    2 points
  16. Leopardstown 1213 win withoutpredators gold Jhentong Enki doctor elvis
    2 points
  17. Paddypower learning lol
    2 points
  18. Pun 1323 mb2 flooring porter Hay 1315 Mb2 Park Hill dancer Mb3 fingals hill Hay 1420 Wakool ew Sholokjack ew (also double with boot hill) Lord shooting Still to use coral bet builders so a bit to play around with. Good luck all.
    2 points
  19. 2.53 lingfield pink lily 25/1 £10 e/w bet365
    2 points
  20. Like zonneveld handicap pick. A good price that.
    2 points
  21. My bet for today, based on some ratings I'm toying with (this could go horribly wrong!) Nottingham Forest to beat Brighton @ 3.25
    2 points
  22. Highest checkout over 112.5 (bunting v van veen) , Searle, wade, vandenbogerde, veenstra 10/1 bet365 Van Veen, Kuivenhoven, Joyce 9/1
    2 points
  23. Well done yesterday fellas. I’m going for a Vandenbogaerde, Wade & Zonneveld +2.5 legs treble this afternoon, pays 4.2 at Bet365.
    2 points
  24. Asc 315 Funambule Sivola 17/2 £10 ew skybet.
    2 points
  25. Running total -£72.29 Bit of luck last week (3 winners in 2 bets) Bets 88 and 89
    2 points
  26. Placed +£56 -£80 nov -£633 10/07/23
    2 points
  27. Zilzalian

    BLACK FRIDAY OFFERS

    Looking at all the above, personally i would just say "sod it" and take up fookin knitting or something. Jesus H Christmas, life was so simple at the bookie shop back in the recent past.
    2 points
  28. good luck Harry👍
    1 point
  29. Bet 13 McGuire (Orlando City) at 13/2 with 365 Based on the pre line up prices he’ll be a system bet at 2/1 anytime so it’s fairly obvious to play the first e/w price when the place pays slightly better than the 2/1. Goes up against @alexcaruso808 ‘s inaugural pick of Hernandez but he looks a bit short tonight by comparison.
    1 point
  30. Fader

    Players Championship Finals

    Expect a Heta win. Dolan has been very poor and like ya say Maik bottled it. Can’t see it getting to a decider either
    1 point
  31. harry_rag

    BLACK FRIDAY OFFERS

    You must have played the Asian totals line. >5.5 can only win (6 or more) or lose (less than 6). >5 can be a push if it lands on the line. You’ll get better odds for the former with 5 being a loser rather than a push. Let’s not get into “quarter ball” lines like 5.25 and 5.75! Not sure if you just want to “rinse” these accounts for the early offers or get long term use out of them but might be best not to overplay the offers without putting any normal looking business through if the latter. VBet might be worth a look if you want a firm that is essentially on the same platform as 365.
    1 point
  32. Plymouth won and Birmingham won so I'm happy with that!
    1 point
  33. Fader

    Players Championship Finals

    good luck bud.
    1 point
  34. Poor day at the races, two main bets (Saturday chat) ran poorly.
    1 point
  35. 12 points on Isak at 21/10 with Uni A system bet when placed just now but not anymore as trimmed to 2/1 and spread price has dropped a punt. Ok at 2/1 or if you can get a bit more on the exchange.
    1 point
  36. Hearts (1) 1.50 St Mirren (1) 1.73 30pts Double
    1 point
  37. Here are the odds for week 1 of Season 2 of our FREE Punters Lounge Football Tipster competiton 2023/24. You must use these odds for your bets (single, double or treble combination) which have been taken from the William Hill site this morning. Deadline is a strict 3pm (15.00GMT) Saturday for all bets, any later and your whole bet is disqualified and you count as a no show for the week. If you pick an earlier match you must post before kick off or that game will be discounted and your bet reduced. The season will run for 10 weeks and you must play at least 7 weeks or you are eliminated. I'll set up the Selection threads for Divisions tonight and I'll tag you all so you know which to post in. Here's to a fun 10 weeks and hopefully a virtual profit again, we have big shoes to fill after last season's epic results! Good luck everyone. 1 X 2 (Home Win / Draw / Away Win)
    1 point
  38. 7 hours ago, In Play Race Reader said: Yeah got to admit you got me there 😞you smashed it with that 15/8 winner 😂. Clueless,,can’t believe your still doing this shit Three winners and a winning forecast EAGLES 🦅 REALM won easily at Southwell under an enterprising ride by the champion apprentice Billy Loughnane. BEER MONEY 💰 🍺 “proofed too strong” for his opponents stateside last night. Bob Baffert’s runner followed up a good second at the breeders cup to win the last at Del mar as TAHOE SUNRISE ☀️ hung on, dropped in class to eclipse his rivals. Beer money beat stagger Lee to land the forecast too. ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: * it is good to be back, posting winners and upsetting the uneducated :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::;;;;;;; Happy Daze!!! 😃 😃
    1 point
  39. Luton Town, Newcastle Utd and Sheffield Utd are options, but without having done the subjective analysis I can guess already they probably won't make the cut. Maybe Burnley when I don't follow my model exactly
    1 point
  40. I was a bit unlucky in the end. If Unexpected Party had won the Paddy Power I would have had 2 lucky 15 's up. Paying about £500
    1 point
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