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  1. A little extravagant but: 1.30 Sou The Vollan 2/1 1.45 Pont Bavardages 9/4 6.45 Win Jewel In My crown 11/4 9.00 Muss Award Dancer 9/4 6 x 0.4 win doubles = poss 26.26, 4 x 0.4 trebles poss 57.75 and 1 0.4 fourfold = poss 47.53 Total stakes = 4.4 so far Back later
    9 points
  2. Hi all, its TK here deputising for The Brigadier who is off on hols this week. Hopefully a few winners coming our way as the week progresses. Tuesday's selections below ahead of posting onsite later. 2-30 Brighton (NAP) Silver Bubble recorded a first ever career success last time out and more importantly it came over this course and distance. The four-year-old son of Mayson ran out a comfortable victor here when scoring under Saffie Osborne just three weeks ago. Gay Kelleway has her team in great shape and actually has a fifty percent record with her runners at this track (winning 3 from 6). Saffie is back in the saddle this afternoon and ought to know a little more about her partner today. The front two pulled some ten lengths clear in that previous race and if similar tactics are deployed today, they have to have every chance of following up. 3-00 Brighton Treble (TREBLE) Shut Up And Dance comes here in search of a hat-trick for team Osborne. He has improved markedly since being upped to this middle distance trip and has scored readily on recent starts at Windsor and Chepstow. Turned out quickly for a potential third win in seven days, he is clearly taking his racing well and now Saffie Osborne comes into ride him for the first time. The good to firm ground shall certainly be of benefit to him and with all other rivals seemingly struggling for form, he has to be high on any shortlist. 5-25 Chepstow (TREBLE) Crosstitch is improving with each run and he went closest when beaten just over a length at Lingfield last time. This will be his fourth career start and Michael Bell now applies a visor for the first time. Running in the colours of Her Majesty the Queen, the three-year-old son of Recorder is reunited with David Egan. The pair combined when finishing third to Blatant at Leicester last month and the young jockey should know a bit more about his mount this afternoon as a consequence. Dresden Green looks the biggest threat for a very much in-form William Haggas team. 7-00 Chepstow (TREBLE) Infiniti has showed that he has improved beyond all recognition this season following two wins having reverted back to the flat. He moved yards at the end of last year and embarked on a hurdling campaign for Kevin Frost. He won at the fourth attempt over two-and-a-half miles at Market Rasen and then disappointed when attempting to follow up at Worcester on his next start. Frost made an inspired decision to take advantage of his relatively low handicap mark on the flat and it has reaped dividends. Aiden Brooks is a talented seven-pound claimer and he has a 100% record when riding the nine-year-old. No surprise to see the pair go close again back over two miles. 2-15 Hamilton Frisky remains lightly raced but has improved with each start so far this season. The three-year-old daughter of Bated Breath was not beaten far when third at Bath on her most recent appearance. She brings the most experience to the table here and now has the added assistance of Will Buick in the saddle for the first time. The combination command respect in a race where she will be fully race fit and the jockey is riding with utmost confidence. 2-45 Hamilton Ghaly has been off the track for well over eighteen months, but Saeed Bin Suroor has obviously deemed the fires to still be burning brightly. To send him on a 700-mile round trip just for the sake of it seems pretty ludicrous and this looks a sensible starting point for the son of Dubawi. He is well bred to get this one-mile trip and the last time that he encountered ground as decent as this was when he won on his local track at Newmarket back in 2020. He is extremely lightly raced compared to quite a few of these and there may well be more to come from him. Kevin Stott has won on Godolphin horses in the past and he looks to be a sensible jockey booking. 3-50 Hamilton Judy’s Park makes only her third appearance on the turf here this afternoon and from her two previous tries on it, she seems to handle it rather well. She is vastly experienced from running on the all-weather and even picked up a win at Newcastle over this trip back in March. George Boughey has a perfect 100% strike rate at Hamilton this season will all three of his previous runners having won on their visits. Will Buick rides Judy’s Spark for the second time today and he too has a 25% strike rate when teaming up with the trainer. A lot in their favour off bottom weight and warrants closer consideration than most. 6-50 Stratford Texard makes a quick reappearance having just won a little over 48 hours ago. He was a three-time winner in his native France and now encounters identical conditions to those he faced on Sunday at Uttoxeter. Tom Scudamore is back on board and the Pipe team are clearly hoping to strike again whilst the iron is hot despite a seven-pound penalty. Being the youngest in the line-up and possibly the least exposed means there is certainly further room for improvement. He showed a gutsy and determined attitude in that last race and will be a force to be reckoned with if in the same mood here. 7-20 Stratford Mr Yeats was on the scoresheet at Ludlow back in May before finishing a good second in an extended three-mile handicap hurdle at Huntingdon 25 days ago. He was only just edged out after mistakes at last two flights cost him dear. This drop back to two-and-three-quarter miles will be very much in his favour as will the re-association with jockey Mitchell Bastyan. Bastyan has won twice before on this gelded son of Yeats and he also has a 50% strike rate when riding at Stratford this season. There should still be plenty more to come from this five-year-old and he if ironing out that odd error, he is likely to go extremely close here. 8-20 Stratford The Plumber made a reasonable enough debut over hurdles at Southwell just a little over three weeks ago. He is expected to come on in leaps and bounds for the experience. Whilst no match at all for the winner on that occasion, he shaped with a degree of promise and Amy Murphy is likely to find suitable alternatives for him. Jack Quinlan has partnered this five-year-old son of Shirocco three times in the past (including in bumpers) and if progressing, he is worthy of a second look here.
    8 points
  3. 3.15 Ponte - Wagga Wagga - 11/8 - Hughie Morrison sends just one runner up to Pontefract, William Buick rides. Trainer has an excellent 28% course strike rate. Horse finished 2nd beaten just a neck LTO. A bit of a shot in the dark with the next one. 3.00 South - Full Aux Rois - Each Way( now 9/1 - 1/5th 4 places after Leopolds Rock taken out [ I am on at 14's rule 4] ) - Has blasted off in front in its last 2 races before running out of steam. Today has tongue strap and 1st time cheekpieces. Has dropped 24lbs in last 6 runs. Decent jockey and definitely worth an each way bet for me.
    7 points
  4. Torque

    Wimbledon 2022

    So here we are again. It's summer and that means the return of the pristine green lawns of SW19. For the first day, I've got an outright, a load of singles, a double, a boosted double and a multiple comprised of lots of short prices. Starting off with the outright, I can't see any reason not to back Djokovic. The only other players in single figures in the betting are Berrettini and Nadal and I don't see either of them taking the title. Berrettini has the best shot as he has all the tools to succeed on grass, but he was dismantled pretty easily by Djokovic in the final last year despite winning the first set and I don't think much has changed since then. I also think it's easy to draw a line through Nadal - it took injections for him to win the French and without them and despite treatment to alleviate his foot problem I don't think his body will be able to cope with the rigours of another Slam so soon. I'm backing a lot of singles and most of them are underdogs, which means it's likely there will be a lot of losers. Obviously I believe that there will be enough winners for a profit to be made, but this is always a risky strategy with lots of ups and downs and so if anyone is following please bet accordingly. Having said that, I am backing one player at short odds and that's Haddad Maia. It's impossible to ignore the form that she's in and whilst I don't think she'll win the title, she should make the second week at least with the way that she's playing. Her opponent Juvan is a good young prospect and she got a good result here last year when she beat Bencic, but I think she'll struggle to deal with Haddad Maia's lefty game which can force players way off the court and which creates different angles to most other players. There are two players that are around even money that I like and that's Baez and Bouzkova. Baez plays Daniel and neither player would classify grass as their favourite surface, but what swings me towards Baez is that he's the more talented player and he appears to have made strides on the green stuff with a win over Thompson in Mallorca last week. Bouzkova takes on Collins and in normal circumstances I'd have this down as a routine win for Collins, but as she's not played since the French Open and bearing in mind the physical issues she's been experiencing this year it's possible she isn't fully fit. If that's the case then Bouzkova has a good chance of getting the win. Next up is a cluster of players around the 2 to 1 mark - Burrage, Inglis, Bronzetti and Tomova. Burrage takes on Tsurenko and after a good showing in Eastbourne last week she should be feeling good about her chances, particularly as Tsurenko withdrew from the same tournament due to injury. Inglis is up against Galfi and from a form perspective I can see why Galfi is the favourite, but she shouldn't be such a big favourite in my eyes. Inglis has come through qualifying and whilst it's fair to say she laboured somewhat, three wins in a row is always good for confidence. She showed earlier in the year that she's not afraid of the big stage with a good run at home at the AO and I think she can compete here. Bronzetti should have a good chance of an upset win against Li, as her opponent has been on the end of a couple of heavy defeats on grass in recent weeks and she's had injury problems in recent months. Tomova could also cause an upset against Saville, after finding some form on grass last week in Eastbourne. Wins over Rogers and Flipkens, combined with a disappointing loss for Saville against Miyazaki at the same tournament might mean this match is closer than expected. The last two singles are firmly in the realm of speculative, as I'm backing both Dodin and Coria. Dodin plays against Ostapenko and that's a thankless task on the face of it with Ostapenko coming off a final appearance in Eastbourne and playing well. However, Ostapenko has been wildly inconsistent for years now and whilst her big-hitting game was working last week as she painted line after line and kept unforced errors low, a repeat at this tournament is by no means guaranteed. With Ostapenko it's boom or bust and if she plays like she did last week then Dodin stands little chance, but if she busts and starts missing her shots then Dodin might only need to keep the ball in the court to win. Coria is a massive underdog against Vesely and whilst I don't dispute that Vesely should win and most likely easily, the fact is he's done next to nothing on tour since his surprise run to the final in Dubai at the start of the year. He doesn't have the best injury record either and I'd certainly be nervous if I was backing him at such a short price. That's the singles taken care of so time to move on to the doubles and the multiple. The first double is Haddad Maia paired with Opelka. I've written about Haddad Maia already and I'm putting Opelka with her because even though his price is short, I think it should be shorter. Taberner isn't suited to grass at all and although Opelka lost the two matches he played on grass ahead of this tournament, he was beaten by Cressy and De Minaur who are both good players on the surface. Opelka should be able to account for Taberner easily enough. The second double is boosted and it's Raducanu and Murray. Raducanu is underdog against Van Uytvanck and that's understandable given her injury problems and difficult season so far, however she'll have the support of the crowd and the adrenaline rush that provides, plus a desire I'm sure to make up for last year. Van Uytvanck is a tough player to face on grass, but she's not a world-beater and Raducanu was beating players of her ilk here last year. If she can find a way to manage her physical issues I think she'll make the next round. Murray has also been struggling with injury ahead of his match against Duckworth, but like Raducanu I expect his surroundings to inspire him. Duckworth actually has a decent record on grass and so might not be a pushover despite what the odds say, but I can't see him winning this even with that and Murray's injury problems in mind. Finally there's the multiple which is made up of short odds, with the largest being Haddad Maia's. There's not much to say about each pick except they are all players that play well on grass, or are in form, or are priced a little higher than I think they should be. 25pts Djokovic to win ATP Wimbledon @ 1.90 Betfair Exchange 90pts Haddad Maia to beat Juvan @ 1.30 365 30pts Baez to beat Daniel @ 1.91 Boyles 20pts Bouzkova to beat Collins @ 2.20 365 20pts Burrage to beat Tsurenko @ 3.00 365 25pts Inglis to beat Galfi @ 3.20 Boyles 15pts Bronzetti to beat Li @ 3.00 365 50pts Tomova to beat Saville @ 3.00 Boyles 5pts Dodin to beat Ostapenko @ 7.00 Boyles 15pts Coria to beat Vesely @ 13.00 365 10pts Haddad Maia x Opelka @ 1.51 365 10pts Raducanu x Murray @ 3.12 365 10pts Kalinina x Mannarino x Haddad Maia x Hurkacz x Ruud x Tiafoe x Otte x Van Rijthoven x Opelka x Kanepi x Mertens x Linette x Kerber x Riske @ 9.27 365
    7 points
  5. 2.15 Pontefract Esken Rose @ 5.00 4.45 Dream Together @ 5.00 5.15 Windsor Dusky Prince @ 2.62 6.15 Sterling Knight @ 4.50 7.30 Musselburgh Birkenhead @ 7.00 --- All prices Bet365. Good luck all!
    6 points
  6. Might be worth a look in Lyon-parilly today especially the handicap races soft going race 1 won by bottom weight ?
    5 points
  7. RESULTS UPDATE A good day. All won so a net profit of £127.19. My MTD is now +58.20 which is a relief. My YTD has reduced to -99.35 ?
    4 points
  8. morning sun 7 45 wid 1/5 pt win 20/1 ascraeus 8 15 wid 1/5 pt win 20/1 P/l + 132 pt
    4 points
  9. Mr K. Dalglish double. 8.30. Ninky Nonk. 5/1 9.00. Mi Capricho. 7/1 singles & double ew Good luck all.
    4 points
  10. Windsor. Single. 7.15. Thanks Monica. 6/1 Good luck all.
    4 points
  11. Good luck with the last one, but still a good day. Just won with Pimlico so i'm off to bed with a smile on my face.
    3 points
  12. 3rd place and should be happy, but thought jockey was poor. (as was Ray Dawson on the fav) Had the rail and just needed to keep on with hands and heels as he was making ground, but lost all momentum,slowed, went left and into the back-side of the fav all because he wanted to use the whip and nearly lost 3rd because of it. Not saying he would of won, but you never know. Returns £130 profit.
    3 points
  13. Wagga Wagga - WON very easily Full Aux Rois - lost - went off like a lunatic again, will keep fallingin the handicap and will probably win eventually provided it settles at least a little bit better.
    3 points
  14. Got simply red 300 Southwell. Elegant Erin gubbed my double. The vollan had won 1st leg
    3 points
  15. Billy Roberts 1.45
    3 points
  16. sergeant painter 1.00 hell red 2.00
    3 points
  17. No worries. You do a difficult enough job as it is and I'm sure it's appreciated by all. The odd mistake can only be expected. It might just make all the difference for me just needing a comfortable 90/1 shot on the last day instead of having to go for a risky 100/1 outsider? Thank you. ??
    3 points
  18. Congratulations The Equaliser, well done In Play Race Reader!
    3 points
  19. As always, good luck to everyone getting involved! Mai Hontama to beat Clara Tauson at 2.60 with Unibet Tauson didn't play any preparatory tournaments on grass, while Hontama had a good run in the qualifiers and is generally a tricky player to play against. A good friend of mine from the Czech Republic also saw her play in the qualifiers and said she was moving really well etc., so I suppose she's worth a shot at odds against. On ranking alone, Tauson would be an even bigger fav, so chances are that the bookies are sensing an upset here as well. Jan-Lennard Struff (+2.5 sets) to beat Carlos Alcaraz at 1.64 with Unibet Alcaraz is a big unknown on grass, and his performances in the exhibition events suggest that he might not even be fully fit. Struff has been pretty poor lately, too, but he tends to be decent against big names and his serve can do the job here on its own, too. I think he'll raise his game for the occasion, and I think that he'll be able to steal a set off Alcaraza way more often than not. Martina Trevisan to beat Elisabetta Cocciaretto at 1.62 with Unibet Both players feel much better on clay, of course, but Trevisan had a great run in the French Open and she also actually played on grass, unlike Cocciaretto. Considering that I also rate her as the better player of the two overall, it all combines for a bet for me here. Yanina Wickmayer to beat Lin Zhu 1.67 with Unibet Zhu has been absolutely tragic recently, while Wickmayer seems energized after her comeback. Dominik Koepfer to beat Daniel Elahi Galan at 1.68 with Pinnacle Not confident at all about Galan's chances of grass, he didn't bother to prepare much by the looks of things. Koepfer isn't too impressive, either, but at least he's more proficient on hard courts etc. Lorenzo Sonego to beat Denis Kudla at 1.86 with Pinnacle Over the longer format, I much prefer Sonego's composure, even despite his recent loss against Kudla.
    3 points
  20. mark22

    Wimbledon 2022

    Kukushkin - Brooksby 1 @3.10 with Wwin Brooksby showed very bad games in last months, also on grass what is strange if you look at his good run in Newport last summer. Kukushkin's best years are over, but he still can show good tennis on fast courts and win at some very high odds. I think he is worth a shot here, he successfully made it through qualies and is ready to take advantage of Brooksby's bad recent form. Goffin - Albot over 37.5 games @1.77 with Wwin Albot made nice run on grass this year, while Goffin played only 1 match on grass. H2H is 4:0, but 3/4 ended with Albot taking a set with nice number of TB. I expect something like that also tomorrow, line is set pretty low. Goffin is not in form like he wanted before Wimbledon. 3:1 or 3:2 for Goffin. Sock - Zapata Miralles over 38.5 games @1.75 with Wwin Another underdog who caught my eye is Zapata Miralles, who gave a nice fight here in Wimbledon last year against Garin. Good all round player, who knows to play on all surfaces. Now he's through qualies again, ready to face Sock. He took smo nice wins at start of the grass season and deserves to be favourite. He also had to made it through qualies, but to be honest both players had very average opponents here. Sock is making a return to ATP top 100, but he has weak points and is not a player he was few years ago. I expect close sets and Spaniard takes at least one.
    2 points
  21. nice one i had 3/4 of urs myself look why u had them u be going right.
    2 points
  22. 245 ham Fame and acclaim 8.2 5/1 Empirestateofmind 8.0 9/1 Risky bets this one ....ghaly is fav here but is coming off a massive 662 days layoff ...I can't back a horse doing that so he's worth taking on surely ....I'll back them ew to try and claw some money back if the fav does something special 5pts ew both
    2 points
  23. 14.15 pontefract lady celia win @ 17/2 wh. cheers
    2 points
  24. It wasn't a criticism, having selected a 1/33 chance in the naps competition I would not consider myself to be an extravagant gambler !
    2 points
  25. Torque

    Wimbledon 2022

    365 have put up some more boosts and there's one I like the look of which is Djokovic to win in straights sets without any tie-breaks and serve 10+ aces. That seems achievable to me as I don't think he'll be mucking around against Kwon. 10pts Djokovic to win the Match 3-0, Under 0.5 Tie Breaks in the Match and 10+ Aces in the Match for Djokovic @ 2.25 365
    2 points
  26. Torque

    Wimbledon 2022

    This turned out to be quite prophetic. 10 of the 14 bets I've placed so far settled today and 8 of them were losers, including Haddad Maia who was the shortest price. She played very poorly against Juvan and made lots of mistakes and perhaps reverted to her normal level after a stellar few weeks. Burrage was also disappointing and wasn't able to challenge Tsurenko at all and the same went for Bronzetti against Li. Inglis lost from a set up against Galfi and it was obvious from early on that Coria only turned up to play Vesely for the cheque. Haddad Maia losing torpedoed the double and there ended up being a few losers in the acca, with Hurkacz being the most 'impressive' in managing to lose to Davidovich Fokina as a big favourite despite being a break ahead twice in the final set and also well clear in the champions breaker - although he was lucky to even get that far and should have lost in straight sets in what was a thoroughly underwhelming performance from a player fancied by many to get to the the latter stages here. I also struck out with the Djokovic bet, as although he hit the aces line and there were no tie-breaks he did lose a set behind some passive play and subdued and withdrawn body language that is becoming something of a feature of his early matches at Slams. At least he got through which is good for my outright on him, although the nature of his performance against Kwon probably means his outright price will drift. Some small comfort came in the form of Bouzkova fighting really hard to beat Collins in three sets and also Raducanu and Murray winning to bring in the 'Brit' double at a nice price, but overall it was a chastening day that leaves me firmly behind the eight ball in terms of trying to make a profit by the end of the tournament. I'll be back later with what I'm taking tomorrow.
    1 point
  27. BBBC

    Naps - Monday 27th June

    2015 Windsor Pimlico win 70/1 @ betfair
    1 point
  28. 1 point
  29. Date Posted by Horse 1st Run 2nd Run 18/02/22 Zilzalian Harrys Bar lost W 10/3 18/02/22 Zilzalian Enemy W 11/1 lost 01/03/22 Zilzalian Baratti W 11/10 (2/1 ep) 16/04/22 calva decoy Enshrine W 2/9 (2/5 ep) 18/04/22 Zilzalian Potapova 2nd 11/2 lost 19/04/22 calva decoy Security Code 26/04/22 calva decoy Akhu Najla lost 28/04/22 black rabbit Flash Bulb 29/04/22 black rabbit Eyedon 4th 33/1 (4 places) 30/04/22 Zilzalian Traise Fluors lost 13/05/22 black rabbit Cairn Gorm lost 13/05/22 kroni Tashkhan lost 14/05/22 Zilzalian Beringer 17/05/22 Zilzalian Katey Kontent lost (plcd 11/1 bet365) 26/05/22 calva decoy Shahbaz 26/05/22 calva decoy Novel Legend 30/05/22 Zilzalian Manobo lost 10/06/22 black rabbit Vintage Clarets lost
    1 point
  30. Bet 7 won. Next stake £165.29
    1 point
  31. Windsor 7.15 SHIBUYA SONG 12/1 £10 EW SKY 4 places
    1 point
  32. The merits are trying to win the competition based upon the rules. I am never opposed to changes in the rules. But I guess you have as much chance of that as the Tory 1922 Committee amending their rules to have frequent "no confidence" votes in their leader. And all this just because they don't like the results based upon the current rules ?
    1 point
  33. Haha, I remember that and Graham's comments
    1 point
  34. Haha, I'm desperate to qualify for the KO cup this month as my naps are doing so bad. I'm taking a stab at your method of selection as I wouldn't want you to have to kill me if you revealed it. Don't worry, my main bets will be at much shorter prices on Racing Chat. Good luck with your selection any way
    1 point
  35. Hulton Ranger could run well over 6f ?
    1 point
  36. 4.45 pontefract custodian 25/1 £10 e/w bet365
    1 point
  37. Tell me about it mate. Incredible to go from scoring -7 on round three to a +6 on round four. Bonkers stuff. John Deere Classic (PGA) and Irish Open (DP World) upcoming this week.
    1 point
  38. Stanimal

    Wimbledon 2022

    Coria played yesterday on clay + he is very bad on grass. Cant see him taking at least 1 set..
    1 point
  39. Mus 8.00 Sheikh Maz Mahood 11/1 B365
    1 point
  40. South 100 Where's Maud Gone. 11/2 £20 win. bet365
    1 point
  41. ralphie7

    Quick System

    Monday 27/06/2022 Southwell 03:00 LEOPOLDS ROCK f/c. 9/2 Stake = 10 pts. WIN
    1 point
  42. RESULTS UPDATE A bit unlucky with the multiples with two getting second. Cougar saved my bacon. The horse ran and won well and justified favouritism in a way that an odds on horse should win. -0.12 on the day. MTD still stuck on -68.99 & YTD -226.54. I am still hopeful to turn around the YTD figure over the next few months
    1 point
  43. harry_rag

    Women’s Euro 2022

    12 points on France to win at 6/1 with Uni Had a look at the teams in terms of odds, form, Fifa rankings, draw etc. and arrived at the conclusion that France were a reasonable bet at the price. Not an earth-shattering conclusion to say that I think the winner will come from the front 6 in the betting. There are only 16 teams in in it and those 6 are all at single figure odds with Norway 20/1 next. England at 9/2 not the worst bet given current form and the fact that they're hosts but they're looking at Spain or Germany in the QF and I think the price is fair at best. Spain and Germany are in the obligatory "Group of Death" and I think the former are false favourites at less than 4/1. Good as they are, and as strong as the domestic game is now, I think the market has overrated them slightly. Germany not the force of old but still to be respected. I wouldn't back them at 8/1 though given the draw. Holland and Sweden should get out of group C easily enough but don't appeal at the prices. France have the easiest looking group to me (in with the 8th, 10th and 11th ranked teams in the competition). Recent form comparable to England. Just stood out enough to me at a price that was clear best and may well be trimmed. (Still 6 for now on the exchange.)
    1 point
  44. Curragh 1.40 Proud And Regal @ 20/1 Bet365
    1 point
  45. Double. 1.50.Cart. Prime time Lady. 9/4... 2nd 1.45.Win. Helvetique. 4/1... 5/1. 1st singles & double Good luck all.
    1 point
  46. 1.40 Curragh PROUD AND REGAL 0.5pts EW 66/1 Bet365 BOG
    1 point
  47. richard-westwood

    Betbull

    Anyone with funds are being urged to empty accounts before company winds up .....my thoughts ??...they had a cash investment of 80 million and they went bust ????....check the cayman isles hmmpth .....
    1 point
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